NPR

Trump's All About The Base, But He Likely Needs More Than That — Here's Why

A lot of focus is put on the president's job approval nationwide, but all that matters in the end is the president's standing state by state — and that leaves him with a narrow path to reelection.
In the Oval Office, President Trump references a map showing Hurricane Dorian's path. The map appears to have been altered by a black marker to extend the hurricane's range to Alabama.

Many heads got scratched this week when President Trump doubled down on his erroneous claim that Alabama had been in the path of Hurricane Dorian.

Apparently relying on a map that warned of high winds, or another showing hypothetical paths for the storm, the president over the weekend insisted Alabama was "in the crosshairs." At midweek, sitting in the Oval Office, he held up a map on which someone using a marking pen had ballooned the area of actual hurricane threat to include Alabama.

The question had to be asked: Wouldn't it be enough to be worried about Florida, Georgia and the rest of the Southeastern coast without dragging in Alabama — a state outside the current danger zone?

Perhaps. But in seeking to understand the moment it was tempting to observe that Alabama is arguably the cornerstone of the president's base of support in seeking a second term.

While 17 states have consistently shown the president at 50% job approval or better,, Alabama is one of just three states where Trump's approval has often topped 60% since Inauguration Day. According to the tracking poll, Trump's approval is 18 points positive in West Virginia and 21 in Wyoming. In

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