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The Quick and Dirty NFL Football Handicapping Method
The Quick and Dirty NFL Football Handicapping Method
The Quick and Dirty NFL Football Handicapping Method
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The Quick and Dirty NFL Football Handicapping Method

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The purpose of this book is to explain a fundamental approach to making a profit betting on professional football games, especially for those with little time to handicap them.

This method will help you find an overlay in the point spread using the simplest and quickest method possible.

The Quick and Dirty NFL Football Handicapping Method teaches you how to create your own point spread for each game in the NFL.

The results using The Quick and Dirty NFL Football Handicapping Method for the 2015 season showed a flat bet profit over five percent. Although this may seem low to many people, this was for a method that was simple and completely mechanical. No subjective analysis was involved. As I have stated in my book, this is a strong foundation to build upon.

Table of Contents

Introduction

An important first step in becoming a winning bettor

The basis of the Quick and Dirty NFL Method

How to create your own point spread

NFL 2013 season Week 7 - Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills

NFL 2013 season Week 9 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks

NFL 2013 season Week 15 - Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions

Money Management

Improving this method

Mistakes to Avoid

Conclusion

LanguageEnglish
PublisherTeela Books
Release dateSep 22, 2015
ISBN9781513029191
The Quick and Dirty NFL Football Handicapping Method

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    Book preview

    The Quick and Dirty NFL Football Handicapping Method - Ken Osterman

    Table of Contents

    ––––––––

    Introduction

    Section 1 - An important first step in becoming a winning bettor

    Section 2 - The basis of the Quick and Dirty NFL Method

    Section 3 - How to create your own point spread

    Section 4 - NFL 2013 season Week 7 - Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills

    Section 5 - NFL 2013 season Week 9 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks

    Section 6 - NFL 2013 season Week 15 - Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions

    Section 7 - Money Management

    Section 8 - Improving this method

    Section 9 - Mistakes to Avoid

    Section 10 – Conclusion

    Appendix

    Results for the 2015 Season

    Introduction

    The purpose of this book is to explain a fundamental approach to making a profit betting on professional football games, especially for those with little time to handicap them. It is a quick method that ignores nearly all variables that determine the chances of a team winning today’s game and by how many points. The reason for this is simple.

    There is no magic formula that only requires a few numbers to calculate the winning bet for today’s game. The only way to make money betting football is to bet on a team that is an overlay. That is to say, betting a team whose odds are higher than they should be. Another way to put it is in terms of point spread. Since professional football games are bet according to a point spread, a team that has a more favorable point spread than***** it should have is an overlay.

    Naturally, much of this type of speculation is subjective, but the results of the bets you make are not subjective. You can calculate mathematically exactly how well you are doing and how great your advantage or disadvantage over the game is.

    Regardless of whether you are betting a football game or another sport including horse racing, there is no predetermined outcome. No one has a crystal ball, and there are no psychics that can see the future, because it hasn’t happened yet. The future is all about probability. There are thousands of factors that can influence the future, and the exact way the future unfolds into the present is dependent upon the interaction of many variables and the strength of influence these factors have.

    Among the factors that go into calculating a probability

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