The Quick and Dirty NFL Football Handicapping Method
By Ken Osterman
3.5/5
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About this ebook
The purpose of this book is to explain a fundamental approach to making a profit betting on professional football games, especially for those with little time to handicap them.
This method will help you find an overlay in the point spread using the simplest and quickest method possible.
The Quick and Dirty NFL Football Handicapping Method teaches you how to create your own point spread for each game in the NFL.
The results using The Quick and Dirty NFL Football Handicapping Method for the 2015 season showed a flat bet profit over five percent. Although this may seem low to many people, this was for a method that was simple and completely mechanical. No subjective analysis was involved. As I have stated in my book, this is a strong foundation to build upon.
Table of Contents
Introduction
An important first step in becoming a winning bettor
The basis of the Quick and Dirty NFL Method
How to create your own point spread
NFL 2013 season Week 7 - Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills
NFL 2013 season Week 9 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks
NFL 2013 season Week 15 - Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions
Money Management
Improving this method
Mistakes to Avoid
Conclusion
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The Quick and Dirty NFL Football Handicapping Method - Ken Osterman
Table of Contents
––––––––
Introduction
Section 1 - An important first step in becoming a winning bettor
Section 2 - The basis of the Quick and Dirty NFL Method
Section 3 - How to create your own point spread
Section 4 - NFL 2013 season Week 7 - Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills
Section 5 - NFL 2013 season Week 9 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks
Section 6 - NFL 2013 season Week 15 - Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions
Section 7 - Money Management
Section 8 - Improving this method
Section 9 - Mistakes to Avoid
Section 10 – Conclusion
Appendix
Results for the 2015 Season
Introduction
The purpose of this book is to explain a fundamental approach to making a profit betting on professional football games, especially for those with little time to handicap them. It is a quick method that ignores nearly all variables that determine the chances of a team winning today’s game and by how many points. The reason for this is simple.
There is no magic formula that only requires a few numbers to calculate the winning bet for today’s game. The only way to make money betting football is to bet on a team that is an overlay. That is to say, betting a team whose odds are higher than they should be. Another way to put it is in terms of point spread. Since professional football games are bet according to a point spread, a team that has a more favorable point spread than***** it should have is an overlay.
Naturally, much of this type of speculation is subjective, but the results of the bets you make are not subjective. You can calculate mathematically exactly how well you are doing and how great your advantage or disadvantage over the game is.
Regardless of whether you are betting a football game or another sport including horse racing, there is no predetermined outcome. No one has a crystal ball, and there are no psychics that can see the future, because it hasn’t happened yet. The future is all about probability. There are thousands of factors that can influence the future, and the exact way the future unfolds into the present is dependent upon the interaction of many variables and the strength of influence these factors have.
Among the factors that go into calculating a probability