Sunteți pe pagina 1din 14

Element

Carne
Peste
Lactate
Paine
Produse fainoase
Ciocolata
Zahar
Condimente
Apa si sucuri
Ceai si cafea
Vin
Bere
Alte bauturi alcoolice
Tutun
Haine piele
Lenjerie intima
Accesorii
Incaltaminte
Bijuterii
Instrumente muzicale
Echipamente sportive
Calculatoare
Televizoare
Jocuri
Scaune
Saltele
Cauciucuri
Obiecte de sticla
Obiecte de ceramica
Obiecte de piatra
Obiecte din aluminiu
Obiecte din otel

Ch. Operationale Ch. Personal Achizitii Bunuri Investitii Imobilizari


367000
21000
150000
4900
33000
2610
19157
720
166900
11000
100000
4000
66320
19672
39878
4256
11400
1333
6791
511
51000
5913
31492
1591
20500
1710
13299
593
12300
1687
9234
345
63000
5403
30488
2490
24000
2250
13002
584
40000
2245
17879
1326
42800
5801
23592
3494
38000
2167
13109
711
47200
2759
19766
693
72300
9284
39403
1188
22200
2282
7880
182
24100
2388
9115
260
38400
4790
19557
680
26000
2121
10000
371
14500
501
938
53
19000
1172
4517
193
84300
6139
50182
710
272200
31496
173680
7841
20000
1381
5000
441
45000
27000
6350
754
21000
4111
1145
147
40000
5465
26378
1517
60330
10655
32218
3095
43000
9583
24838
2698
53000
7585
26944
2051
74700
5120
41086
1654
13000
3203
1221
170

Residuals
78560.53399
-8018.661565
-17247.15493
291.7189467
-4869.577048
-10225.31614
-8777.848913
-10985.76927
13139.55215
-5284.028715
7904.593541
16604.24542
9818.407497
4513.126615
-12519.48471
-469.0712436
-461.0423814
-5981.375015
959.4979526
6657.745053
4475.532818
-24356.05055
-46714.30448
6697.172458
6754.57303
10096.25684
-10947.53963
7643.098655
2726.280131
4018.098822
-4940.351986
3057.877585

e
78560.534
8018.66156
17247.1549
291.718947
4869.57705
10225.3161
8777.84891
10985.7693
13139.5521
5284.02872
7904.59354
16604.2454
9818.4075
4513.12661
12519.4847
469.071244
461.042381
5981.37502
959.497953
6657.74505
4475.53282
24356.0506
46714.3045
6697.17246
6754.57303
10096.2568
10947.5396
7643.09866
2726.28013
4018.09882
4940.35199
3057.87758

(mil. Euro)

Obiecte din fier


Arme
Unelte pt agricultura
Barci
Trenuri

20400
24500
56000
60300
44000

9523
3632
6000
9049
5194

3397
9309
30000
32214
16264

631 4251.366521 4251.36652


326 -1040.746201 1040.7462
907 -8917.555133 8917.55513
1100 -10303.3803 10303.3803
462 3889.580179 3889.58018

SUMMARY OUTPUT

I
A

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

0.968152788
0.937319821
0.931621623
18420.00115
37

ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

3
33
36

SS
MS
1.67437E+11 55812254411
11196782594 339296442.2
1.78634E+11

Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat
5930.383623
4280.5709 1.385418852
0.984234924
0.669570091 1.469950551
2.064987991
0.168699799 12.24060728
-9.777152981
4.111114652 -2.37822435

Intercept
Ch. Personal
Achizitii Bunuri
Investitii Imobilizari

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6

Predicted Ch. Operationale


288439.466
41018.66156
184147.1549
66028.28105
16269.57705
61225.31614

Residuals
78560.53399
-8018.661565
-17247.15493
291.7189467
-4869.577048
-10225.31614

F
Significance F
164.494075
6.46E-20

P-value
0.17521795
0.15104575
8.1569E-14
0.02334125

Lower 95%
Upper 95%
-2778.50331 14639.27056
-0.37801566 2.34648551
1.72176567 2.408210311
-18.1412786 -1.41302737

Ftabelat = 2.658866501
ttabelat=

2.348338377

Lower 95.0%
-2778.50331
-0.378015662
1.72176567
-18.14127859

Upper 95.0%
14639.27056
2.34648551
2.408210311
-1.413027375

7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37

29277.84891
23285.76927
49860.44785
29284.02872
32095.40646
26195.75458
28181.5925
42686.87339
84819.48471
22669.07124
24561.04238
44381.37502
25040.50205
7842.254947
14524.46718
108656.0506
318914.3045
13302.82754
38245.42697
10903.74316
50947.53963
52686.90134
40273.71987
48981.90118
79640.35199
9942.122415
16148.63348
25540.7462
64917.55513
70603.3803
40110.41982

-8777.848913
-10985.76927
13139.55215
-5284.028715
7904.593541
16604.24542
9818.407497
4513.126615
-12519.48471
-469.0712436
-461.0423814
-5981.375015
959.4979526
6657.745053
4475.532818
-24356.05055
-46714.30448
6697.172458
6754.57303
10096.25684
-10947.53963
7643.098655
2726.280131
4018.098822
-4940.351986
3057.877585
4251.366521
-1040.746201
-8917.555133
-10303.3803
3889.580179

Residuals
78560.53399
-8018.661565
-17247.15493
291.7189467
-4869.577048
-10225.31614
-8777.848913
-10985.76927
13139.55215
-5284.028715
7904.593541
16604.24542
9818.407497
4513.126615
-12519.48471
-469.0712436
-461.0423814
-5981.375015
959.4979526
6657.745053
4475.532818
-24356.05055
-46714.30448
6697.172458
6754.57303
10096.25684
-10947.53963
7643.098655
2726.280131
4018.098822
-4940.351986
3057.877585

et 2
6171757500
64298933.29
297464353
85099.94384
23712780.63
104557090.1
77050631.53
120687126.4
172647830.6
27920959.47
62482599.05
275700966.1
96401125.78
20368311.84
156737497.4
220027.8316
212560.0775
35776847.07
920636.321
44325569.19
20030394
593217198.4
2182226243
44852118.94
45624256.82
101934402.2
119848623.9
58416957.05
7432603.353
16145118.15
24407077.75
9350615.324

et 3
4.84857E+14
-5.15591E+11
-5.13041E+12
24825265.98
-1.15471E+11
-1.06913E+12
-6.76339E+11
-1.32584E+12
2.26852E+12
-1.47535E+11
4.939E+11
4.57781E+12
9.46506E+11
91924770258
-1.96227E+12
-103208728.6
-97999204.31
-2.13995E+11
883348665.1
2.95108E+11
89646685698
-1.44484E+13
-1.01941E+14
3.00382E+11
3.08172E+11
1.02916E+12
-1.31205E+12
4.46487E+11
20263358842
64872680212
-1.2058E+11
28593037005

et 4
3.80906E+19
4.13435E+15
8.8485E+16
7242000442
5.62296E+14
1.09322E+16
5.9368E+15
1.45654E+16
2.98073E+16
7.7958E+14
3.90408E+15
7.6011E+16
9.29318E+15
4.14868E+14
2.45666E+16
48412246666
45181786534
1.27998E+15
8.47571E+11
1.96476E+15
4.01217E+14
3.51907E+17
4.76211E+18
2.01171E+15
2.08157E+15
1.03906E+16
1.43637E+16
3.41254E+15
5.52436E+13
2.60665E+14
5.95705E+14
8.7434E+13

4251.366521
-1040.746201
-8917.555133
-10303.3803
3889.580179

S=
k=
JB=
val critica=

18074117.29
1083152.654
79522789.54
106159645.7
15128833.97
11196782594

76839697150
-1127287009
-7.09149E+11
-1.0938E+12
58844812717
3.65171E+14

3.26674E+14
1.17322E+12
6.32387E+15
1.12699E+16
2.28882E+14
4.35291E+19

3.514920167
12.84678633
171.1541092
9.487729037 Deci respingem ipoteza nula a distributiei normale

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Am calculat valoarea absoluta a erorilor si am construit un


model de regresie: e = 1 + 2x2 + 3x3 + 4x4 + u
In urma testarii parametrilor se observa ca 3 si 4 sunt
semnificativi (p_value fiind mai mic decat =0.05), ceea ce
inseamna ca modelul este heteroscedastic.

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.871071117
R Square
0.758764891
Adjusted R Square
0.736834426
Standard Error
7259.413764
Observations
37
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

3
33
36

SS
5469954990
1739069911
7209024901

MS
F
Significance F
1823318330 34.59867
2.66127E-10
52699088.2

Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat
P-value
2128.151319
1686.994211 1.261504814 0.215972
0.042471892
0.263880892 0.160950995 0.873113
0.445875502
0.066485427 6.706364402 1.23E-07
-3.312595005
1.620210664 -2.044545859 0.048944

Intercept
Ch. Personal
Achizitii Bunuri
Investitii Imobilizari

Lower 95%
-1304.064194
-0.494397817
0.310609884
-6.608938369

Upper 95%
5560.366831
0.579341601
0.58114112
-0.01625164

Lower 95.0%
-1304.064194
-0.494397817
0.310609884
-6.608938369

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7

Predicted e
53669.67081
8395.571542
33932.5123
6645.877303
3519.970836
11150.46027
6166.107715

Residuals
24890.86318
-376.9099775
-16685.35737
-6354.158356
1349.606211
-925.144131
2611.741197

8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37

5174.170508
7703.11769
6086.430868
5802.807838
1319.418658
5709.914814
8762.8781
16155.9299
5135.67884
5432.454695
8799.014268
5448.016473
2392.093422
3552.617182
22411.86824
54931.44576
2955.328114
3608.505209
2326.329251
9096.357574
6693.424708
4672.433853
7669.837787
15185.81614
2245.461626
1957.002779
5353.158306
12754.72406
13232.05838
8070.050596

5811.598759
5436.434457
-802.4021526
2101.785704
15284.82677
4108.492683
-4249.751485
-3636.445186
-4666.607597
-4971.412314
-2817.639253
-4488.518521
4265.651631
922.9156354
1944.182307
-8217.14128
3741.844344
3146.067821
7769.927591
1851.182053
949.6739473
-1946.153722
-3651.738965
-10245.46415
812.4159588
2294.363742
-4312.412105
-3837.168924
-2928.678079
-4180.470417

Upper 95.0%
5560.366831
0.579341601
0.58114112
-0.01625164

Residuals
78560.53399
-8018.661565
-17247.15493
291.7189467
-4869.577048
-10225.31614
-8777.848913
-10985.76927
13139.55215
-5284.028715
7904.593541
16604.24542
9818.407497
4513.126615
-12519.48471
-469.0712436
-461.0423814
-5981.375015
959.4979526
6657.745053
4475.532818
-24356.05055
-46714.30448
6697.172458
6754.57303
10096.25684
-10947.53963
7643.098655
2726.280131
4018.098822
-4940.351986
3057.877585
4251.366521
-1040.746201
-8917.555133
-10303.3803
3889.580179

et-et-1
-86579.19555
-9228.49336
17538.87387
-5161.295995
-5355.739089
1447.467224
-2207.920354
24125.32141
-18423.58086
13188.62226
8699.651883
-6785.837927
-5305.280882
-17032.61133
12050.41347
8.028862173
-5520.332634
6940.872968
5698.2471
-2182.212235
-28831.58337
-22358.25393
53411.47694
57.40057218
3341.683812
-21043.79647
18590.63828
-4916.818524
1291.818691
-8958.450809
7998.229571
1193.488936
-5292.112721
-7876.808932
-1385.82517
14192.96048

(d) DW= 1.35717329


di= 1.25
ds= 1.72

(et-et-1)

7495957102
85165089.7
307612096.7
26638976.34
28683941.19
2095161.365
4874912.291
582031133.3
339428331.8
173939757
75683942.88
46047596.37
28146005.24
290109848.6
145212464.8
64.4626278
30474072.39
48175717.55
32470020.01
4762050.239
831260199.5
499891518.7
2852785869
3294.825686
11166850.7
442841369.9
345611831.8
24175104.4
1668795.532
80253840.89
63971676.27
1424415.84
28006457.05
62044118.95
1920511.401
201440127.2
15195974266

et

6171757500
64298933.29
297464353
85099.94384
23712780.63
104557090.1
77050631.53
120687126.4
172647830.6
27920959.47
62482599.05
275700966.1
96401125.78
20368311.84
156737497.4
220027.8316
212560.0775
35776847.07
920636.321
44325569.19
20030394
593217198.4
2182226243
44852118.94
45624256.82
101934402.2
119848623.9
58416957.05
7432603.353
16145118.15
24407077.75
9350615.324
18074117.29
1083152.654
79522789.54
106159645.7
15128833.97
11196782594
k=4,T=37

Nu exista corelatie intre 1.72 si

2.28