Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Siraprapa Watakit
5502310013
Agenda
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The more complete set of data provide new evidence about what
persistent on the mutual funds
Expense ratio and transaction costs are persistence
Data
Jan/1962-Dec/1993
Monthly
The 4-factor model can explain much variance in returns and the
low correlation between independent variable suggest low
multicollinearity problem
The 4-factor model eliminates
almost problem i.e. price pattern
Persistence in One-Year Return-Sorted
7
Mutual Fund Portfolios
A. Common-Factor Explanations of One-Year Mutual Fund Persistence
Methodology: Form 10 portfolios of
mutual funds(equally weighed),
and calculate return with 1-year lagged
Table 3:
CAPM betas are identical
in every deciles
4-Factor can explain better
Top performance port
has more small stock
PR1YR factor
is + for top decile and
- for low decile
Persistence in One-Year Return-Sorted
8
Mutual Fund Portfolios
B. Characteristics of the Mutual Fund Portfolios
Table4:
Expense and turnover
are related to performance
The low decile have
highest expense ratio
Fund size, age, load fee
cannot explain the spread
of the fund performance
Persistence in One-Year Return-Sorted
9
Mutual Fund Portfolios
C. Characteristics of Individual Mutual Funds
Manager usually says that Expense and Turnover does not reduce
fund performance; Carhart directly test this claim by estimating
alpha in each month, for each individual funds, then average the
coefficient across samples(like Fama MacBeth)
These mutual funds don't follow the momentum strategy, but are
funds that accidentally end up holding last year‘s winners.
Longer-Term Persistence in Mutual
13
Fund Portfolios
After 2 years, the only thing persistent is expense and transaction
Conclusion
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