2001

2000

1999

Anul

Matricea X

Luna
noiembrie
decembrie
ianuarie
februarie
martie
aprilie
mai
iunie
iulie
august
septembrie
octombrie
noiembrie
decembrie
ianuarie
februarie
martie
aprilie
mai
iunie
iulie
august
septembrie
octombrie

Marfa livrata lunar Consum combustibil

131750
1523
225245
2525
76316
1114
104875
1369
159366
1945
160124
1865
168745
1647
240814
2444
213702
2268
207965
2097
181546
1952
117786
1464
133079
1884
226416
2927
78116
1580
106994
1884
161203
2355
164045
2208
170614
1999
243398
2630
214011
2325
208844
2545
183939
2355
118968
1884

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

1523
2525
1114
1369
1945
1865
1647
2444
2268
2097
1952
1464
1884
2927
1580
1884
2355
2208
1999
2630
2325
2545

Pierderi materiale Retur marfa

124
1510
236
1532
124
1480
147
1500
165
1580
167
1600
172
1630
258
1650
240
1640
225
1635
182
1580
123
1490
178
1510
245
1536
110
1485
117
1487
185
1530
206
1550
217
1620
260
1640
233
1638
206
1636
183
1580
165
1550

124
236
124
147
165
167
172
258
240
225
182
123
178
245
110
117
185
206
217
260
233
206

1510
1532
1480
1500
1580
1600
1630
1650
1640
1635
1580
1490
1510
1536
1485
1487
1530
1550
1620
1640
1638
1636

1
1

2355
1884

183
165

1580
1550

1
1523
124
1510
530
1887
153.7

1
2525
236
1532
550
1965
154.8

1
1114
124
1480
400
1942
156.8

1
1369
147
1500
400
1958
155.7

24
48789
4468
37589
11640
47418
3420.5

48789
103727101
9484449
76736915
24024520
96809569
6913691.3

4468
9484449
882084
7045356
2202410
8852727
634183.3

37589
76736915
7045356
58954279
18252490
74260584
5353152.1

INVERSA
X tr *x

760.665103
-0.004804426
0.261498518
-0.216175863
-0.033753427
-0.131645563
-1.294501095

-0.004804426
1.19399E-06
-9.65739E-06
1.93258E-06
-8.36552E-07
-4.52632E-07
1.71783E-05

0.261498518
-9.65739E-06
0.000194879
-9.14806E-05
-2.72955E-05
-2.98703E-05
-0.000439332

-0.21617586
1.93258E-06
-9.1481E-05
7.29531E-05
1.15184E-05
3.18201E-05
0.00032671

x tr *x invers * x tr

-5.921086853
7.75207E-05
-0.005537621
0.001947739
0.00378505
-9.70197E-05
0.015025571

1.429469758
0.000201648
0.001240483
-0.001684955
0.000846363
-0.00065072
0.010423047

-4.336314642
-0.000331689
0.001700288
0.000234235
-0.000959399
0.001579878
0.012017408

-4.55287241
-0.00023683
0.001895599
0.000231792
-0.00164156
0.001665688
0.013087379

Final

-313557.853
63.99406068
294.443345
233.1234411
107.0846183
-119.8912705

Matricea x transpusa

x TR * X

echivalent cu a0
a1
a2
a3
a4
a5

807.2307155 a6

Capacitate incarcare Fond salarii

530
1887
550
1965
400
1942
400
1958
420
1913
430
1877
480
1876
500
1925
490
1899
470
1881
450
1905
430
1911
560
2021
580
2120
450
1932
450
2025
470
2030
480
2050
520
2057
550
2070
550
2012
510
2043
490
2050
480
2069

530
550
400
400
420
430
480
500
490
470
450
430
560
580
450
450
470
480
520
550
550
510

1887
1965
1942
1958
1913
1877
1876
1925
1899
1881
1905
1911
2021
2120
1932
2025
2030
2050
2057
2070
2012
2043

IPC
153.7
154.8
156.8
155.7
149.0
148.9
144.0
140.9
144.5
145.4
144.9
142.9
141.3
140.7
139.9
140.0
140.3
137.5
137.4
135.7
131.8
132.4
131.2
130.8

153.7
154.8
156.8
155.7
149.0
148.9
144.0
140.9
144.5
145.4
144.9
142.9
141.3
140.7
139.9
140.0
140.3
137.5
137.4
135.7
131.8
132.4

490
480

2050
2069

131.2
130.8

1
1945
165
1580
420
1913
149.0

1
1865
167
1600
430
1877
148.9

1
1647
172
1630
480
1876
144.0

11640
24024520
2202410
18252490
5705800
23042370
1655372

47418
96809569
8852727
74260584
23042370
93817022
6749611.1

3420.5
6913691
634183
5353152
1655372
6749611
488855

-0.033753427
-8.36552E-07
-2.72955E-05
1.15184E-05
3.71131E-05
-1.17494E-06
4.78307E-05

-0.13164556
-4.5263E-07
-2.987E-05
3.18201E-05
-1.1749E-06
3.00065E-05
0.000207508

-1.2945
1.7E-05
-0.0004
0.00033
4.8E-05
0.00021
0.00278

-5.985178372
0.000320226
-0.003735903
0.002144063
-0.001218595
0.000648821
0.014190398

-4.87018842 -4.2136 7.009903 4.410382 4.269978 3.774682 12.62085

0.000250255 -0.0001 -5.8E-05 -3.2E-05 -6.1E-05 7.25E-05 -0.00013
-0.00355686 -0.0024 0.004182 0.002756 0.00263 0.000731 0.003424
0.002202547 0.00246 -0.00164 -0.00082 -0.00066 -0.00065 -0.00345
-0.00056725 0.00145
-0.0008 -0.00045 -0.00063 -0.00076 -0.00062
0.000148958 -5E-05 -0.00154 -0.00126 -0.00123 -0.00099 -0.00208
0.011201507 0.00361 -0.01144 -0.00568 -0.00585 -0.00479 -0.02193

1
2444
258
1650
500
1925
140.9

1
2268
240
1640
490
1899
144.5

1
2097
225
1635
470
1881
145.4

1
1952
182
1580
450
1905
144.9

1
1464
123
1490
430
1911
142.9

1
1884
178
1510
560
2021
141.3

3.864141
-0.00031
0.002126
-0.00174
0.002372
-0.00046
-0.00775

1
2927
245
1536
580
2120
140.7

1
1580
110
1485
450
1932
139.9

1
1884
117
1487
450
2025
140.0

1
2355
185
1530
470
2030
140.3

1
2208
206
1550
480
2050
137.5

1
1999
217
1620
520
2057
137.4

1
2630
260
1640
550
2070
135.7

1
2325
233
1638
550
2012
131.8

-2.17833 10.18882 -2.24608 2.255728 4.784088 -8.60982 -5.24384 2.277402

0.000265
4.2E-05 0.000301 0.000276 -0.00013 -0.00039 -7.2E-05 -0.00022
-0.00051 0.000373
-0.0042 -0.00026 0.003781 0.000282 0.000279 0.001591
-0.00077 -0.00248 0.000602 -0.00108 -0.00199 0.002354 0.001302 -8.3E-05
0.000567 0.00015 -0.00038 -0.00138 -0.00139 0.000765 0.00031 0.001161
0.000716 -0.00192 0.000609 -7.8E-05 4.55E-06 0.00214 0.001209 -0.00046
0.009054 -0.01889 0.003484 -0.00142
-0.0098 0.007734 0.00562
-0.0113

1
2545
206
1636
510
2043
132.4

1
2355
183
1580
490
2050
131.2

1
1884
165
1550
480
2069
130.8

-8.91526 -0.60408 1.791174

0.00033 0.00021 -0.00024
-0.00571 -0.00237 0.001296
0.003388 0.00064 -0.00045
0.000199 -0.00047 -0.00034
0.001285 0.000261 0.000556
0.00988 -0.00442 -0.01205

2001

2000

1999

Anul

LunaMarfa livrata
Consum
lunar combustibil
Pierderi materiale
Retur marfa
Capacitate incarcare
Fond salarii
noiembrie
131750
1523
124
1510
530
1887
decembrie
225245
2525
236
1532
550
1965
ianuarie
76316
1114
124
1480
400
1942
februarie
104875
1369
147
1500
400
1958
martie
159366
1945
165
1580
420
1913
aprilie
160124
1865
167
1600
430
1877
mai
168745
1647
172
1630
480
1876
iunie
240814
2444
258
1650
500
1925
iulie
213702
2268
240
1640
490
1899
august
207965
2097
225
1635
470
1881
septembrie 181546
1952
182
1580
450
1905
octombrie
117786
1464
123
1490
430
1911
noiembrie
133079
1884
178
1510
560
2021
decembrie
226416
2927
245
1536
580
2120
ianuarie
78116
1580
110
1485
450
1932
februarie
106994
1884
117
1487
450
2025
martie
161203
2355
185
1530
470
2030
aprilie
164045
2208
206
1550
480
2050
mai
170614
1999
217
1620
520
2057
iunie
243398
2630
260
1640
550
2070
iulie
214011
2325
233
1638
550
2012
august
208844
2545
206
1636
510
2043
septembrie 183939
2355
183
1580
490
2050
octombrie
118968
1884
165
1550
480
2069

IPC
153.7
154.8
156.8
155.7
149.0
148.9
144.0
140.9
144.5
145.4
144.9
142.9
141.3
140.7
139.9
140.0
140.3
137.5
137.4
135.7
131.8
132.4
131.2
130.8

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.984912
R Square 0.970052
Adjusted R Square
0.959481
Standard Error
10055.22
Observations
24
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
6 5.57E+10 9.28E+09 91.7736091 5.2903E-12
17 1.72E+09 1.01E+08
23 5.74E+10

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
Intercept
-313558 277324.5 -1.13065
X Variable 1 63.99406 10.98732 5.824355
X Variable 2 294.4433 140.3699 2.097625
X Variable 3 233.1234 85.88423 2.714392
X Variable 4 107.0846 61.2569 1.748123
X Variable 5 -119.891 55.08067 -2.17665

P-value
Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
0.2739008 -898661.38 271545.7 -898661 271545.7
2.0311E-05 40.8128407 87.17528 40.81284 87.17528
0.05119461 -1.7111963 590.5979
-1.7112 590.5979
0.01472566 51.9235486 414.3233 51.92355 414.3233
0.09847741 -22.156142 236.3254 -22.1561 236.3254
0.04389182 -236.10132 -3.68122 -236.101 -3.68122

X Variable 6 807.2307 530.3579 1.522049 0.14638025

-311.72669 1926.188

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
et
ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
1 127023.9 4726.147
2 222930.4
2314.6
3 75843.97 472.0257
4 100790.9 4084.089
5 163729.7
-4363.7
6 169167.7 -9043.74
7 165201.6 3543.354
8 239954.1 859.8867
9 226012.3 -12310.3
10 210229.9 -2264.91
11 170045.2 11500.78
12 95987.35 21798.65
13 143163.1 -10084.1
14 225485.9 930.0656
15 95619.56 -17503.6
16 106531.9 462.0588
17
168504
-7301
18 166355.4 -2310.43
19 175901.6 -5287.61
20 233887.1 9510.942
21 209758.1 4252.854
22 207904.9 939.0535
23 171969.4 11969.64
24 125862.8
-6894.8

DW

d=

2.025017

du=2.174
dl=0.750

4-2.174=
4-0.750=

1,826
3,258

et- et-1

-2411.55
-1842.57
3612.063
-8447.79
-4680.04
12587.09
-2683.47
-13170.2
10045.39
13765.69
10297.87
-31882.7
11014.16
-18433.6
17965.62
-7763.06
4990.573
-2977.18
14798.56
-5258.09
-3313.8
11030.59
-18864.4

(et-et-1)^2

et^2

5815555.06
3395081.6
13046998.3
71365125.3
21902769.8
158434925
7200999.14
173453855
100909933
189494224
106046128
1016509732
121311786
339798608
322763514
60265150.7
24905819.7
8863611.19
218997237
27647491.5
10981273.5
121673900
355867148
3480650867

22336461.7
5357375.03
222808.246
16679779.4
19041874.4
81789217.4
12555360.9
739405.178
151543521
5129807.31
132267994
475181246
101689020
865022.034
306374665
213498.375
53304665.1
5338092.8
27958851.8
90458021.3
18086767.1
881821.523
143272349
47538247.3
1718825871

-311.727 1926.188

Upper 95.0%