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PROIECT LA
ECONOMETRIE
Regresia simpl
2014
Considerm evoluia tranzaciilor aciunilor SC AURORA SA n perioada 01.04.201430.04.2014. n analiz am luat drept variabile volumul tranzaciilor i valoarea total a
acestora.
Tabelul 1.Evoluia tranzaciilor aciunilor SC AURORA SA
Data
01.04.2014
02.04.2014
03.04.2014
04.04.2014
07.04.2014
08.04.2014
09.04.2014
10.04.2014
11.04.2014
14.04.2014
15.04.2014
16.04.2014
17.04.2014
18.04.2014
22.04.2014
23.04.2014
Volumul
Valoarea total
187.00
60.00
46.00
60.00
44.00
300.00
50.00
286.00
86.00
297.00
98.00
59.00
157.00
3.00
170.00
77.00
150.00
48.94
36.80
48.60
35.64
261.58
40.50
229.82
69.36
217.60
73.38
47.79
125.60
243.00
136.96
63.02
2
24.04.2014
25.04.2014
28.04.2014
29.04.2014
30.04.2014
223.00
401.00
178.00
291.00
275.00
179.66
341.33
136.37
195.93
232.24
UnstandardizedCoefficients
StandardizedCo
Sig.
efficients
B
1
(Constant)
Volum
Std. Error
Beta
83.277
19.129
.655
.096
.843
1.779
.091
6.819
.000
Model Summaryb
Model
R
.843a
R Square
Adjusted R
Std. Error of
Square
the Estimate
.710
.695
Durbin-Watson
51.28491
2.140
Tabel 4.
variabilei dependente este explicat de ecuaia de regresie, n cazul nostru putem estima ca
71,0 % din valoarea tranzaciilor este explicat n volumul lor.
Tabel 5.
ANOVAa
Model
Sum of
df
Mean Square
Sig.
Squares
Regression
1
Residual
Total
122302.389
122302.389
49972.690
19
2630.142
172275.079
20
46.500
.000b
21
Mean
Normal Parametersa,b
0E-7
Std. Deviation
Most Extreme
Differences
49.98634316
Absolute
.292
Positive
.284
Negative
-.292
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z
1.339
.055
-14.20172
10
11
Total Cases
21
Number of Runs
12
.011
.991
a. Median
Std. Deviation
161.5714
119.43516
21
0E-7
49.98634316
21
Correlations
Volum
Unstandardized
Residual
PearsonCorrelation
Volum
Sig. (2-tailed)
1.000
N
PearsonCorrelation
UnstandardizedResidual
.000
Sig. (2-tailed)
21
21
.000
1.000
21
21
10