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Anlisis de Consistencia

ANLISIS DE CONSISTENCIA PARA LOS DATOS DE AOS CORREGIDOS


1. Datos de la estacin base

AO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

WEBER
ENERO
FEBRERO
MARZO
ABRIL
MAYO
JUNIO
JULIO
AGOSTO SEPTIEMBRE OCTUBRE NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE promedio
30.30
50.40
357.30
56.20
12.30
6.60
1.60
23.80
12.60
52.60
58.80
115.20
64.81
121.10
81.40
121.10
41.70
12.10
11.10
2.90
28.00
13.40
98.00
40.70
34.40
50.49
62.70
45.90
54.50
41.90
44.00
0.00
7.50
0.70
13.10
76.80
62.70
18.70
35.71
120.90
139.50
109.10
32.30
44.10
3.90
28.40
5.80
24.90
101.00
17.80
36.70
55.37
58.00
81.00
67.70
26.20
14.90
1.60
1.60
16.20
50.00
66.40
54.60
70.80
42.42
42.00
73.70
83.50
85.70
1.50
19.60
0.30
7.80
18.40
73.80
106.40
162.00
56.23
71.00
41.80
79.90
54.50
33.80
19.90
3.20
2.50
18.20
103.00
51.50
54.10
44.45
58.40
97.80
275.70
54.70
8.00
12.20
17.60
17.20
28.10
89.80
45.80
66.50
64.32
55.50
67.60
11.80
76.20
18.10
4.40
3.40
20.60
31.90
31.40
66.50
50.20
36.47
95.30
70.70
91.60
98.40
27.90
28.70
8.40
19.30
87.20
5.50
68.20
72.30
56.13
76.80
128.20
95.20
58.50
4.60
17.30
6.50
26.40
39.70
71.00
55.10
84.60
55.33
137.60
181.80
238.50
70.70
66.80
10.00
7.20
19.30
45.10
80.20
65.10
0.90
76.93
130.40
62.90
81.30
55.20
43.00
23.00
0.10
4.40
12.30
32.20
71.60
44.40
46.73
129.90
146.40
141.90
42.60
25.50
8.00
7.50
0.10
16.10
53.40
54.80
68.20
57.87
12.70
34.40
48.80
37.00
65.60
3.90
4.40
3.80
25.00
24.40
54.00
44.80
29.90
84.10
81.60
159.70
37.10
16.30
1.80
7.50
15.70
33.60
24.40
26.30
46.60
44.56
34.90
42.40
65.00
29.30
6.90
15.10
3.20
6.70
2.30
130.40
111.00
106.70
46.16
78.20
186.50
105.70
33.70
14.70
6.60
7.20
12.70
22.00
111.90
45.60
111.30
61.34
71.80
102.90
75.70
88.70
38.20
7.80
2.10
6.60
43.90
124.80
67.30
87.40
59.77
116.60
75.70
152.80
105.70
31.10
10.10
9.60
2.70
19.20
86.90
28.10
118.40
63.08
24.70
233.60
123.80
80.00
69.50
25.10
23.40
18.70
36.70
68.60
97.60
104.10
75.48
24.60
42.40
37.20
41.90
53.00
0.40
4.80
18.30
37.30
50.00
23.90
40.30
31.18
84.40
47.70
96.80
120.20
16.00
0.60
1.20
14.60
1.30
43.60
66.20
51.80
45.37
98.00
95.20
39.20
52.20
11.20
4.00
10.80
12.30
39.50
37.20
74.30
61.50
44.62
109.70
105.50
44.80
95.60
10.60
5.40
0.00
0.40
32.90
69.40
65.20
63.40
50.24
87.00
158.80
113.50
85.40
18.80
16.70
3.20
5.90
53.50
106.60
47.10
2.70
58.27
101.00
95.30
101.80
62.00
28.00
10.70
6.80
10.30
28.70
73.30
61.20
64.20
53.61
43.80
90.00
133.70
55.20
17.90
0.70
0.40
0.30
10.20
23.20
55.10
71.90
41.87
2117.60
2571.10
2973.90
1663.60
736.50
274.50
180.40
320.80
786.90
1886.60
1587.40
1782.20
78.4296296 95.2259259 110.144444 61.6148148 27.2777778 10.1666667 6.68148148 11.88148148 29.1444444 69.8740741 58.7925926 66.0074074

2. Datos de estacin en estudio(datos corregidos)


LLAGADEM
AOS
ENERO
1964
43.0
1965
33.9
1966
185.0
1967
52.6
1968
13.1
1969
73.0
1970
48.7
1971
53.4
1972
115.0
1973
35.0
1974
71.5
1975
179.9
1976
161.3
1977
38.8
1978
34.5
1979
78.0
1980
61.2
1981
55.7
1982
50.0
1983
36.9
1984
17.9
1985
54.3
1986
190.8
1987
113.7
1988
195.5
1989
69.3
1990
42.5
1991 43.5290423
2104.5
77.9444444

FEBRERO
MARZO
ABRIL
55.0
182.3
67.5
87.2
75.5
40.4
223.1
84.3
29.5
56.1
37.5
25.4
146.4
111.7
73.7
31.5
92.2
61.2
57.2
234.5
118.8
96.5
175.2
33.5
107.7
132.2
110.3
126.7
45.4
40.8
110.5
144.0
14.5
16.4
71.2
52.0
202.2
72.3
62.3
55.8
51.1
14.4
94.5
275.6
13.7
5.6
71.0
23.4
257.5
112.3
22.5
79.4
25.5
71.7
75.7
125.0
77.8
107.9
101.4
62.9
73.0
51.4
44.9
50.6
26.6
273.7
76.3
23.0
53.4
112.5
22.3
110.0
189.2
57.6
118.9
104.9
79.8
78.0
55.1
103.3
78.1
92.919373 116.179946 76.0670278
2654.5
2584.2
1773.3
98.3148148 95.7111111
65.677797

SEPTIEMBR
MAYO
JUNIO
JULIO
AGOSTO
E
12.3
6.6
8.1
3.3
11.2
12.1
11.1
11.8
14.4
9.2
44.0
0.0
16.8
13.8
0.7
44.1
3.9
18.1
4.4
20.0
14.9
1.6
8.5
1.0
24.0
1.5
19.6
11.7
0.9
7.7
33.8
19.9
1.8
19.2
10.0
8.0
12.2
13.8
1.5
19.2
18.1
4.4
10.1
0.8
51.9
27.9
28.7
3.1
11.7
22.5
4.6
17.3
4.4
20.4
40.0
66.8
10.0
11.8
13.5
2.1
43.0
23.0
14.3
2.2
17.9
25.5
8.0
13.7
14.2
2.2
65.6
3.9
7.4
5.4
9.7
16.3
1.8
3.8
7.7
20.0
6.9
15.1
3.8
0.6
4.7
14.7
6.6
13.1
5.1
28.1
38.2
7.8
13.8
7.2
23.8
31.1
10.1
5.4
6.7
37.9
69.5
25.1
8.1
11.2
10.2
53.0
0.4
11.4
6.8
16.3
16.0
0.6
14.1
9.7
11.3
11.2
4.0
18.0
12.7
26.9
10.6
5.4
9.3
5.1
26.5
18.8
16.7
8.1
8.0
28.8
28.0
10.7
13.5
3.8
11.2
17.9
0.7 0.61596452 0.197599751 6.40335494
736.5
274.5
277.8
211.3
494.0
27.2777778 10.1666667 10.2888889 7.825925926 18.2962963

promedio
OCTUBRE NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE
28.50
26.7
28.50
36.10
24.4
36.10
56.40
27.8
56.40
33.30
33.0
33.30
33.70
65.3
33.70
65.00
34.2
65.00
46.50
9.0
46.50
15.20
30.6
15.20
45.00
26.4
45.00
32.00
25.5
32.00
61.48
12.6
61.48
25.16
14.6
25.16
24.35
14.6
24.35
43.24
1.0
43.24
29.86
18.7
29.86
61.80
44.7
61.80
41.85
20.0
41.85
42.50
35.3
42.50
0.00
0.0
0.00
53.50
48.8
53.50
10.10
19.7
10.10
2.10
35.8
2.10
7.60
37.7
7.60
27.40
62.3
27.40
38.00
18.0
38.00
34.00
35.7
34.00
33.10
27.8
33.10
11.05
26.0400781
11.05
927.7
750.2
927.7
34.3604938 27.7851852 34.3604938

39.4
32.7
61.5
30.1
44.0
38.6
53.8
39.5
55.6
35.9
46.9
40.7
55.2
25.9
49.1
33.0
49.0
35.0
34.9
46.3
29.3
44.4
37.3
45.7
59.3
43.0
36.7
33.6

Anlisis de Consistencia
a) Anlisis Grafico
1. ANALISIS VISUAL
GRAFICO
aos
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

precipitacion
39.4
32.7
61.5
30.1
44.0
38.6
53.8
39.5
55.6
35.9
46.9
40.7
55.2
25.9
49.1
33.0
49.0
35.0
34.9
46.3
29.3
44.4
37.3
45.7
59.3
43.0
36.7
33.6

ESTACION LLAGATEN PRECIPITACION VS AOS

Anlisis de Consistencia
b) Anlisis de Doble masa
2. Analisis doble masa
Est.weberbawer
Aos

Precipitacion
64.81
50.49
35.71
55.37
42.42
56.23
44.45
64.32
36.47
56.13
55.33
76.93
46.73
57.87
29.90
44.56
46.16
61.34
59.77
63.08
75.48
31.18
45.37
44.62
50.24
58.27
53.61
41.87

1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

preci.
Acum
64.81
115.30
151.01
206.38
248.79
305.02
349.47
413.78
450.25
506.38
561.70
638.63
685.37
743.23
773.13
817.69
863.85
925.19
984.96
1048.03
1123.52
1154.69
1200.06
1244.68
1294.92
1353.18
1406.79
1448.66

Est
Llagaden
Precipitacion

Preci.Acum

39.4
32.7
61.5
30.1
44.0
38.6
53.8
39.5
55.6
35.9
46.9
40.7
55.2
25.9
49.1
33.0
49.0
35.0
34.9
46.3
29.3
44.4
37.3
45.7
59.3
43.0
36.7
33.6

39.4
72.1
133.6
163.7
207.7
246.3
300.1
339.7
395.2
431.2
478.1
518.8
573.9
599.9
648.9
681.9
731.0
766.0
800.9
847.3
876.5
920.9
958.3
1004.0
1063.3
1106.3
1143.0
1176.6

ACUMULACION DE ESTACION EN ESTUDIO


1,400
1,200
1,000
800
Series1

600
400
200
00
0.00

500.00

1000.00

1500.00

2000.00

Anlisis de Consistencia
ACUMULACION DE ESTACION BASE

c) Anlisis estadstico
Anlisis de saltos
- Anlisis de tramo 1 y 2

Tramo 1
ao

Tramo 2
ao

dato
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974

39.4
32.7
61.5
30.1
44.0
38.6
53.8
39.5
55.6
35.9
46.9

n1=11

40.7
55.2
25.9
49.1
33.0
49.0
35.0
34.9
46.3

n2= 9

Consistencia de masa
a) Clculo de la media y de la desviacin estndar para las submuestras,
segn:
- Tramo 1
43.5

9.98175681

Tramo2
41.0

9.49947966

b)Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:


Sp=

9.77035084
4.39144613

tc=

dato
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983

0.55615671

Anlisis de Consistencia
b) Clculo del t tabular tt:
G.L.= n1 + n2 - 2 =
/2=

18

0.025

se obtiene de la tabla t de Student


tt=

tc

2.1

<
0.26

tt
2.1

<

no se debe corregir
3. Consistencia de desviacion estndar
a. Clculo de las varianzas de ambos perodos

99.6354689

90.2401138

Anlisis de Consistencia

Fc=
1.10411506
c) Clculo del F tabular

G.L.N=
G.L.D.=
Ft

Fc

<
1.56 <

no se debe corregir

10
8
2.538

Ft
2.538

Anlisis de Consistencia
ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2 CON EL TRAMO 3

1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983

n1=

tramo 1 y 2
39.4
32.7
61.5
30.1
44.0
38.6
53.8
39.5
55.6
35.9
46.9
40.7
55.2
25.9
49.1
33.0
49.0
35.0
34.9
46.3

tramo 3
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

20

n2=
8
1. Consistencia media
a) Clculo de la media y de la desviacin estndar para las submuestras, segn:
TRAMO1

42.4
9.59112057

TRAMO2

41.2
9.25291897

b) Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:


Sp=

9.50125063

3.9746583

29.3
44.4
37.3
45.7
59.3
43.0
36.7
33.6

Anlisis de Consistencia

tc=

0.30131982
c) Clculo del t tabular tt:

G.L.= n1 + n2 - 2 =
/2= 0.025
tt=
2.145

tc

<

14

tt

no se debe
corregir

2.

Consistencia de la Desviacin
Estndar
a. Clculo de las varianzas de ambos
perodos

91.9895939

85.6165095

Anlisis de Consistencia

1.07443756

c) Clculo del F tabular

G.N.N.=

19

G.N.D.=

7
2.601

Ft=

fc

<

ft

no se debe
corregir

Datos finales
Est.weberbawer
Aos

Precipitacion
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978

64.81
50.49
35.71
55.37
42.42
56.23
44.45
64.32
36.47
56.13
55.33
76.93
46.73
57.87
29.90

preci.
Acum
64.81
115.30
151.01
206.38
248.79
305.02
349.47
413.78
450.25
506.38
561.70
638.63
685.37
743.23
773.13

Est
Llagaden
Precipitacion

Preci.Acum

39.4
32.7
61.5
30.1
44.0
38.6
53.8
39.5
55.6
35.9
46.9
40.7
55.2
25.9
49.1

39.4
72.1
133.6
163.7
207.7
246.3
300.1
339.7
395.2
431.2
478.1
518.8
573.9
599.9
648.9

Anlisis de Consistencia
1979
44.56
817.69
1980
46.16
863.85
1981
61.34
925.19
1982
59.77
984.96
1983
63.08
1048.03
1984
75.48
1123.52
1985
31.18
1154.69
1986
45.37
1200.06
1987
44.62
1244.68
1988
50.24
1294.92
1989
58.27
1353.18
1990
53.61
1406.79
1991
41.87
1448.66
ACUMULADO DE LA ESTACION BASE

33.0
49.0
35.0
34.9
46.3
29.3
44.4
37.3
45.7
59.3
43.0
36.7
33.6

681.9
731.0
766.0
800.9
847.3
876.5
920.9
958.3
1004.0
1063.3
1106.3
1143.0
1176.6

1,400
1,200
1,000
800
Series1
600
400
200
00
0.00
500.00
1000.00
Curva de doble con datos analizados

1500.00

2000.00

3. Anlisis de Tendencias
1.Tendencia en la Media

a.Clculo de los parmetros de la ecuacin de simple regresin lineal.

Anlisis de Consistencia

t1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

14.5

39.4
32.7
61.5
30.1
44.0
38.6
53.8
39.5
55.6
35.9
46.9
40.7
55.2
25.9
49.1
33.0
49.0
35.0
34.9
46.3
29.3
44.4
37.3
45.7
59.3
43.0
36.7
33.6

42.020594

39.4166667
65.3666667
184.45
120.566667
219.833333
231.75
376.775
316.2
500.175
359.421333
515.859301
488.611225
716.95695
363.035087
735.907634
527.863367
833.412622
630.3
663.891667
926.833333
614.6
977.38352
858.788706
1096.74502
1483.64344
1118.16512
990.49723
939.522234

2.45026844
68.8678684
420.304668
117.512827
8.90823511
5.555449
164.942649
2.122849
212.955649
25.4002568
34.9789457
0.06990627
200.747373
226.530263
65.2623064
63.8487228
64.6781366
35.5852018
36.4856268
28.7260268
137.249035
11.8647432
13.2740765
22.2379143
337.226853
4.09799677
18.4634993
55.1697543

603.42754 85.1970393

40.89

14.5

585.89

182.25
156.25
132.25
110.25
90.25
72.25
56.25
42.25
30.25
20.25
12.25
6.25
2.25
0.25
0.25
2.25
6.25
12.25
20.25
30.25
42.25
56.25
72.25
90.25
110.25
132.25
156.25
182.25

65.25

Anlisis de Consistencia
16.3961779

12.5573684

0.05110688

39.9224101

0.06673034

41.535+t*0.044

b. Evaluacin de la tendencia Tm
1. Clculo del
estadstico t segn:

-0.1932

2. Clculo de tt

Anlisis de Consistencia
G.L.=
tt=

26
2.0555

NO SE DEBE CORREGIR DATOS

Anlisis de Consistencia
Mes Enero
AOS
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

ENERO
43
33.9
185
52.6
13.1
73
48.7
53.4
115
35
71.5
179.9
161.3
38.8
34.5
78
61.2
55.7
50
36.9
17.9
54.3
190.8
113.7
195.5
69.3
42.5
43.5290423

Llagaten analisis grafico


250
200
150
100
50
0
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995

Llagaten analisis
grafico

Anlisis de Consistencia
2. ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA

MES :

febrero

EST. WEBERBAWER

AOS

PRECIPITACION

1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

PRECIP. ACUM.

30.3
121.1
62.7
120.9
58
42
71
58.4
55.5
95.3
76.8
137.6
130.4
129.9
12.7
84.1
34.9
78.2
71.8
116.6
24.7
24.6
84.4
98
109.7
87
101
43.8

EST. CHETILLA.
PRECIPITACION

PRECIP. ACUM.

30.3
43
43
151.4
33.9
76.9
214.1
185
261.9
335
52.6
314.5
393
13.1
327.6
435
73
400.6
506
48.7
449.3
564.4
53.4
502.7
619.9
115
617.7
715.2
35
652.7
792
71.5
724.2
929.6
179.9
904.1
1060
161.3
1065.4
1189.9
38.8
1104.2
1202.6
34.5
1138.7
1286.7
78
1216.7
1321.6
61.2
1277.9
1399.8
55.7
1333.6
1471.6
50
1383.6
1588.2
36.9
1420.5
1612.9
17.9
1438.4
1637.5
54.3
1492.7
1721.9
190.8
1683.5
1819.9
113.7
1797.2
1929.6
195.5
1992.7
2016.6
69.3
2062
2117.6
42.5
2104.5
2161.4 43.5290423 2148.02904

grafico doble masa


2500
2000
1500
grafico doble masa

1000
500
0
0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Anlisis de Consistencia
2.

ANALISIS ESTADISTICO
2.1. Anlisis de Saltos
ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2

TRAMO 1
AO
DATO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976

43
33.9
185
52.6
13.1
73
48.7
53.4
115
35
71.5
179.9
161.3

TRAMO 2
AO
DATO
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

38.8
34.5
78
61.2
55.7
50
36.9
17.9
54.3

n1=

13

n2=

1. Consistencia de la Media
a)Clculo de la media y de la desviacin estndar para las submuestras, segn:
TRAMO1
81.9538462
58.69707

TRAMO2
47.4777778

Anlisis de Consistencia
17.5743974

b)Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:


Sp=

44.6272582

19.3516774

tc=

1.78155452

c)Clculo del t tabular


tt:
20
0.025

G.L.= n1 + n2 - 2 =
/2=
se obtiene de la tabla t de Student
tt=

tc

2.086

<

tt

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar


a. Clculo de las varianzas de ambos perodos

NO SE DEBE
CORREGIR

Anlisis de Consistencia

3445.34603

308.859444

11.1550613

c) Clculo del F tabular

G.L.N.=

13

G.L.D.=

Anlisis de Consistencia

ft=

2.364
fc

>

CORRECCION DE DATOS

38.8
34.5
78
61.2
55.7
50
36.9
17.9
54.3

52.9707682
38.609115
183.895607
127.784962
109.415405
90.377865
46.6249215
16.83
104.739518

ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2 CON EL TRAMO 3

TRAMO 1 Y 2
AO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977

DATO
43
33.9
185
52.6
13.1
73
48.7
53.4
115
35
71.5
179.9
161.3
52.9707682

ft

SE DEBE CORREJIR

Anlisis de Consistencia
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

38.609115
183.895607
127.784962
109.415405
90.377865
46.6249215
16.8335462
104.739518

TRAMO 3
AO
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

DATO
190.8
113.7
195.5
69.3
42.5
43.5290423

n1=
n2=

22
6

1. Consistencia de la Media

a)Clculo de la media y de la desviacin estndar para las submuestras, segn:

TRAMO 1
81.9538462
57.2824749

TRAMO 2
109.221507
69.9715255

b)Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:


Sp=

59.9316895

27.6025097

Anlisis de Consistencia

tc=

-0.9878689

c)Clculo del t tabular tt:


26

G.L.= n1 + n2 - 2 =
0.025

/2=

se obtiene de la tabla t de Student

Tt=

2.0555

tc

<

tt

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar


a. Clculo de las varianzas de ambos perodos

3281.28193

4896.01438

NO SE DEBE
CORREGIR

Anlisis de Consistencia

1.49210415

c) Clculo del F tabular

G.L.N.=

G.L.D.=

22
2.06

Ft=

fc

<

ft

NO SE DEBE
CORREGIR

Anlisis de Consistencia
DATOS FINALES CORREGIDOS
AOS

EST. WEBERBAWER
PRECIPITACION PRECIP.
ACUM.

1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

30.3
121.1
62.7
120.9
58
42
71
58.4
55.5
95.3
76.8
137.6
130.4
129.9
12.7
84.1
34.9
78.2
71.8
116.6
24.7
24.6
84.4
98
109.7
87
101
43.8

EST. Lladem.
PRECIPITACION
PRECIP.
ACUM.

30.3
151.4
214.1
335
393
435
506
564.4
619.9
715.2
792
929.6
1060
1189.9
1202.6
1286.7
1321.6
1399.8
1471.6
1588.2
1612.9
1637.5
1721.9
1819.9
1929.6
2016.6
2117.6
2161.4

43
33.9
185
52.6
13.1
73
48.7
53.4
115
35
71.5
179.9
161.3
52.9707682
38.609115
183.895607
127.784962
109.415405
90.377865
46.6249215
16.8335462
104.739518
190.8
113.7
195.5
69.3
42.5
43.5290423

43
76.9
261.9
314.5
327.6
400.6
449.3
502.7
617.7
652.7
724.2
904.1
1065.4
1118.37077
1156.97988
1340.87549
1468.66045
1578.07586
1668.45372
1715.07864
1698.2451
1802.98462
1993.78462
2107.48462
2302.98462
2372.28462
2414.78462
2458.31366

analisis de doble masa corregidos


3000
2500
2000
1500

analisis de doble masa


corregidos

1000
500
0
0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Anlisis de Consistencia
MES FEBRERO
AOS

febrero

1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

55
87.2
223.1
56.1
146.4
31.5
57.2
96.5
107.7
126.7
110.5
16.4
202.2
55.8
94.5
5.6
257.5
79.4
75.7
107.9
73
50.6
76.3
112.5
189.2
104.9
55.1
92.919373

Llagaten analisi grafico visual


300
250
200
150

Llagaten analisi grafico


visual

100
50
0
1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

Anlisis de Consistencia
2. ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA

AOS
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

EST. WEBERBAWER
PRECIPITACION

PRECIP. ACUM.

50.4
81.4
45.9
139.5
81
73.7
41.8
97.8
67.6
70.7
128.2
181.8
62.9
146.4
34.4
81.6
42.4
186.5
102.9
75.7
233.6
42.4
47.7
95.2
105.5
158.8
95.3
90

50.4
131.8
177.7
317.2
398.2
471.9
513.7
611.5
679.1
749.8
878
1059.8
1122.7
1269.1
1303.5
1385.1
1427.5
1614
1716.9
1792.6
2026.2
2068.6
2116.3
2211.5
2317
2475.8
2571.1
2661.1

EST. LLAGADEM.
PRECIPITACION

PRECIP. ACUM.

55
55
87.2
142.2
223.1
365.3
56.1
421.4
146.4
567.8
31.5
599.3
57.2
656.5
96.5
753
107.7
860.7
126.7
987.4
110.5
1097.9
16.4
1114.3
202.2
1316.5
55.8
1372.3
94.5
1466.8
5.6
1472.4
257.5
1729.9
79.4
1809.3
75.7
1885
107.9
1992.9
73
2065.9
50.6
2116.5
76.3
2192.8
112.5
2305.3
189.2
2494.5
104.9
2599.4
55.1
2654.5
92.919373 2747.41937

Acumulado estacion en estudio

analisi de doble masa


3000
2500
2000
1500

analisi de doble masa

1000
500
0
0

1000

2000

3000

Anlisis de Consistencia
3. ANALISIS ESTADISTICO
3.1. Anlisis de Saltos
ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2
TRAMO 1
AO
DATO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974

55
87.2
223.1
56.1
146.4
31.5
57.2
96.5
107.7
126.7
110.5

TRAMO 2
AO
DATO
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983

n1=
n2=

16.4
202.2
55.8
94.5
5.6
257.5
79.4
75.7
107.9

11
9

1. Consistencia de la Media
a)Clculo de la media y de la desviacin estndar para las submuestras, segn:
TRAMO1
99.8090909

53.7038072

TRAMO2
99.4444444

Anlisis de Consistencia
82.3178157

b)Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:

Sp=

67.9259283

30.5304344

tc=

0.0119437

c)Clculo del t tabular tt:


18
0.025

G.L.= n1 + n2 - 2 =
/2=

se obtiene de la tabla t de Student

tt=

tc

2.1

<

tt

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar

a. Clculo de las varianzas de ambos perodos

NO SE
CORRIGE

Anlisis de Consistencia

2884.09891

6776.22278

2.34951123

c) Clculo del F tabular

G.L.N.=

G.L.D.=

11

Anlisis de Consistencia

ft=
fc

>

ft
SE DEBE CORREGIR

CORRECCION DE DATOS

16.4
202.2
55.8
94.5
5.6
257.5
79.4
75.7
107.9

45.6312341
166.846396
71.3356334
96.5833555
38.5853581
202.923891
86.7321771
84.3183122
105.325461

ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2 CON EL TRAMO 3

TRAMO 1 Y 2
AO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973

DATO
55
87.2
223.1
56.1
146.4
31.5
57.2
96.5
107.7
126.7

2.274

Anlisis de Consistencia
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983

110.5
45.6312341
166.846396
71.3356334
96.5833555
38.5853581
202.923891
86.7321771
84.3183122
105.325461

TRAMO 3
AO
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

n1=
n2=

DATO
73
50.6
76.3
112.5
189.2
104.9
55.1
92.919373

20
8

1. Consistencia de la Media
a)Clculo de la media y de la desviacin estndar para las submuestras, segn:

TRAMO 1
99.8090909
52.2714476

TRAMO 2
94.3149216
44.2000878

b)Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:


Sp=

50.2261481

21.0111052

Anlisis de Consistencia

tc=

0.26148883

c)Clculo del t tabular tt:


26

G.L.= n1 + n2 - 2 =

0.025

/2=
se obtiene de la tabla t de Student

Tt=

2.0555

tc

<

tt

NO SE DEBE
CORREGIR

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar


a. Clculo de las varianzas de ambos perodos

2732.30423

Anlisis de Consistencia

1953.64776

1.39856543

c) Clculo del F tabular

G.L.N.=

20

G.L.D.=

Ft=

2.425

Anlisis de Consistencia

fc

<

ft

NO SE DEBE
CORREGIR

DATOS FINALES CORREGIDOS


AOS

EST. WEBERBAWER
PRECIPITACION PRECIP.
ACUM.

1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

50.4
81.4
45.9
139.5
81
73.7
41.8
97.8
67.6
70.7
128.2
181.8
62.9
146.4
34.4
81.6
42.4
186.5
102.9
75.7
233.6
42.4
47.7
95.2
105.5
158.8
95.3
90

EST. Lladem.
PRECIPITACION

50.4
131.8
177.7
317.2
398.2
471.9
513.7
611.5
679.1
749.8
878
1059.8
1122.7
1269.1
1303.5
1385.1
1427.5
1614
1716.9
1792.6
2026.2
2068.6
2116.3
2211.5
2317
2475.8
2571.1
2661.1

55
87.2
223.1
56.1
146.4
31.5
57.2
96.5
107.7
126.7
110.5
45.6312341
166.846396
71.3356334
96.5833555
38.5853581
202.923891
86.7321771
84.3183122
105.325461
73
50.6
76.3
112.5
189.2
104.9
55.1
92.919373

PRECIP.
ACUM.
55
142.2
365.3
421.4
567.8
599.3
656.5
753
860.7
987.4
1097.9
1143.53123
1310.37763
1381.71326
1478.29662
1516.88198
1719.80587
1806.53805
1890.85636
1996.18182
2069.18182
2119.78182
2196.08182
2308.58182
2497.78182
2602.68182
2657.78182
2750.70119

Analisisde doble masa


corregidos
3000
2000
Analisisde doble
masa corregidos

1000
0
0

1000

2000

3000

Anlisis de Consistencia

MES MARZO
AOS
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

marzo
182.3
75.5
84.3
37.5
111.7
92.2
234.5
175.2
132.2
45.4
144.0
71.2
72.3
51.1
275.6
71.0
112.3
25.5
125.0
101.4
51.4
26.6
23.0
22.3
57.6
79.8
103.3
116.179946

marzo
300
250
200
150

marzo

100
50
00
1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Anlisis de Consistencia
2. ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA

MES :
AOS

marzo
EST.
WEBERBAWER
PRECIPITACION

1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

357.30
121.10
54.50
109.10
67.70
83.50
79.90
275.70
11.80
91.60
95.20
238.50
81.30
141.90
48.80
159.70
65.00
105.70
75.70
152.80
123.80
37.20
96.80
39.20
44.80
113.50
101.80
133.70

EST. LLAGADEM.
PRECIP.
ACUM.

PRECIPITACION

PRECIP. ACUM.

357.30
478.40
532.90
642.00
709.70
793.20
873.10
1148.80
1160.60
1252.20
1347.40
1585.90
1667.20
1809.10
1857.90
2017.60
2082.60
2188.30
2264.00
2416.80
2540.60
2577.80
2674.60
2713.80
2758.60
2872.10
2973.90
3107.60

182.3
75.5
84.3
37.5
111.7
92.2
234.5
175.2
132.2
45.4
144
71.2
72.3
51.1
275.6
71
112.3
25.5
125
101.4
51.4
26.6
23
22.3
57.6
79.8
103.3
116.179946

182.3
257.8
342.1
379.6
491.3
583.5
818
993.2
1125.4
1170.8
1314.8
1386
1458.3
1509.4
1785
1856
1968.3
1993.8
2118.8
2220.2
2271.6
2298.2
2321.2
2343.5
2401.1
2480.9
2584.2
2700.37995

Anlisis de Consistencia

analisi de doble maa


3000
2500
2000
1500

analisi de doble maa

1000
500
0
0.00

1000.00

2000.00

3000.00

4000.00

3. ANALISIS ESTADISTICO
3.1. Anlisis de Saltos
ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2

TRAMO 1
AO
DATO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969

182.3
75.5
84.3
37.5
111.7
92.2

TRAMO 2
AO
DATO
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977

n1=
n2=

234.5
175.2
132.2
45.4
144
71.2
72.3
51.1

6
8

Anlisis de Consistencia
1. Consistencia de la Media
a)Clculo de la media y de la desviacin estndar para las submuestras, segn:
TRAMO1
97.25

48.3293596
TRAMO2

115.7375

67.3009008

b)Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:

Sp=

60.127998

32.4728303

tc=

-0.5693221

c)Clculo del t tabular tt:

G.L.= n1 + n2 - 2 =
/2=

12
0.025

se obtiene de la tabla t de Student


tt=

2.178

Anlisis de Consistencia

tc

<

tt

NO SE
CORRIGE

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar


a. Clculo de las varianzas de ambos perodos

2335.727

4529.41125

1.93918692

c) Clculo del F
tabular

Anlisis de Consistencia

G.L.N.=

G.L.D.=

ft=
fc

ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2 CON EL TRAMO 3

TRAMO 1 Y 2
AO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977

DATO
182.3
75.5
84.3
37.5
111.7
92.2
234.5
175.2
132.2
45.4
144
71.2
72.3
51.1

TRAMO 3
AO
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983

DATO
275.6
71
112.3
25.5
125
101.4

<

3.368
ft

no se corrige

Anlisis de Consistencia
1984
51.4
1985
26.6
1986
23
1987
22.3
1988
57.6
1989
79.8
1990
103.3
1991 116.179946

n1=
n2=

14
14

1. Consistencia de la Media
a)Clculo de la media y de la desviacin estndar para las submuestras, segn:

TRAMO 1
107.814286
58.5441038

TRAMO 2
85.0699961
66.2619977

b)Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:


Sp=

62.5222537
23.6311907

tc=

0.96246905

c)Clculo del t tabular tt:

G.L.= n1 + n2 - 2 =
/2=

26
0.025

Anlisis de Consistencia
se obtiene de la tabla t de Student

tc

Tt=

2.0555

<

tt

NO SE DEBE
CORREGIR

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar


a. Clculo de las varianzas de ambos perodos

3427.41209

4390.65234

Anlisis de Consistencia

1.2810401

c) Clculo del F tabular

G.L.N.=

13

G.L.D.=

13
2.08

Ft=

fc

<

ft

NO SE DEBE CORREGIR

DATOS FINALES CORREGIDOS


AOS

1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980

EST. WEBERBAWER
PRECIPITACION PRECIP.
ACUM.
357.30
121.10
54.50
109.10
67.70
83.50
79.90
275.70
11.80
91.60
95.20
238.50
81.30
141.90
48.80
159.70
65.00

357.30
478.40
532.90
642.00
709.70
793.20
873.10
1148.80
1160.60
1252.20
1347.40
1585.90
1667.20
1809.10
1857.90
2017.60
2082.60

EST. Lladem.
PRECIPITACION
PRECIP.
ACUM.
182.3
75.5
84.3
37.5
111.7
92.2
234.5
175.2
132.2
45.4
144
71.2
72.3
51.1
275.6
71
112.3

182.3
257.8
342.1
379.6
491.3
583.5
818
993.2
1125.4
1170.8
1314.8
1386
1458.3
1509.4
1785
1856
1968.3

Anlisis de Consistencia
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

105.70
75.70
152.80
123.80
37.20
96.80
39.20
44.80
113.50
101.80
133.70

2188.30
2264.00
2416.80
2540.60
2577.80
2674.60
2713.80
2758.60
2872.10
2973.90
3107.60

25.5
125
101.4
51.4
26.6
23
22.3
57.6
79.8
103.3
116.179946

1993.8
2118.8
2220.2
2271.6
2298.2
2321.2
2343.5
2401.1
2480.9
2584.2
2700.37995

Analisi de doble maa corregidos


3000
2000
Analisi de doble maa
corregidos

1000
0
0.00

1000.00 2000.00 3000.00 4000.00

Anlisis de Consistencia
MES ABRIL
1. ANALISIS VISUAL GRAFICO

AOS
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

ABRIL
67.5
40.4
29.5
25.4
73.7
61.2
118.8
33.5
110.3
40.8
14.5
52.0
62.3
14.4
13.7
23.4
22.5
71.7
77.8
62.9
44.9
187.8
35.6
74.7
80.9
52.6
52.7
51.3

Anlisis de Consistencia
ESTACION LLANGODEN : P(mm/mes) vs T(aos)
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
00
1960

1965

1970

1975

2. ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA


MES :
AOS
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

1980

1985

1990

1995

ABRIL

EST. WEBERBAWER

EST. LLAGADEN

PRECIPITACION

PRECIP. ACUM.

PRECIPITACION

PRECIP. ACUM.

56.20
41.70
41.90
32.30
26.20
85.70
54.50
54.70
76.20
98.40
58.50
70.70
55.20
42.60
37.00
37.10
29.30
33.70
88.70
105.70
80.00

56.20
97.90
139.80
172.10
198.30
284.00
338.50
393.20
469.40
567.80
626.30
697.00
752.20
794.80
831.80
868.90
898.20
931.90
1020.60
1126.30
1206.30

67.50
40.40
29.50
25.40
73.70
61.20
118.80
33.50
110.30
40.80
14.50
52.00
62.30
14.40
13.70
23.40
22.50
71.70
77.80
62.90
44.90

67.50
107.90
137.40
162.80
236.50
297.70
416.50
450.00
560.30
601.10
615.60
667.60
729.90
744.30
758.00
781.40
803.90
875.60
953.40
1016.30
1061.20

Anlisis de Consistencia
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

41.90
120.20
52.20
95.60
85.40
62.00
55.20

1248.20
1368.40
1420.60
1516.20
1601.60
1663.60
1718.80

187.80
35.60
74.70
80.90
52.60
52.70
51.28

1249.00
1284.60
1359.30
1440.20
1492.80
1545.50
1596.78

1800.00

Acumulado de estacion en
1600.00 estudio
1400.00
1200.00
1000.00
800.00
600.00
400.00
200.00

Acumulado de estacion

0.00
0.00

400.00

3. ANALISIS ESTADISTICO
3.1. Anlisis de Saltos
ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2

AO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972

TRAMO 1
DATO
67.50
40.40
29.50
25.40
73.70
61.20
118.80
33.50
110.30

800.00

1200.00

1600.00

2000.00

Anlisis de Consistencia
TRAMO 2
AO
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

DATO
40.80
14.50
52.00
62.30
14.40
13.70
23.40
22.50
71.70
77.80
62.90
44.90

n1=
n2=

9.00
12.00

1. Consistencia de la Media
a)Clculo de la media y de la desviacin estndar para las submuestras, segn:

TRAMO 1

62.26
34.28
TRAMO 2
41.74
23.68
b)Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:
Sp=

28.62

12.62

Anlisis de Consistencia

Tc=

1.625

c)Clculo del t tabular tt:


G.L.= n1 + n2 - 2 =
/2=

19.00
0.025

se obtiene de la tabla t de Student

Tt=

2.093

Tc=

<

Tt

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar


a. Clculo de las varianzas de ambos perodos

1175.118

560.617

NO SE DEBE COR

Anlisis de Consistencia

2.096

c) Clculo del F tabular

G.N.N.=

8.00

G.N.D.=

11.00

Ft=

2.304

Fc
CORRECCION DE DATOS

<

Ft

NO SE DEBE COR

Anlisis de Consistencia

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

1.82
1.82
1.82
1.82
1.82
1.82
1.82
1.82
1.82
1.82

ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2 CON EL TRAMO 3

AO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

TRAMO 1 Y 2
DATO
67.50
40.40
29.50
25.40
73.70
61.20
118.80
33.50
110.30
40.80
14.50
52.00
62.30
14.40
13.70
23.40
22.50
71.70
77.80
62.90
44.90

TRAMO 3
1
2
3
4
5
6
7

AO
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

DATO
187.80
35.60
74.70
80.90
52.60
52.70
51.28

Anlisis de Consistencia
n1=

21.00

n2=

1. Consistencia de la Media
a)Clculo de la media y de la desviacin estndar para las submuestras, segn:
TRAMO 1

50.53
29.78
TRAMO 2
76.51
51.41
b)Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:
Sp=

35.94

15.69

Tc=

1.656

c)Clculo del t tabular tt:


G.L.= n1 + n2 - 2 =
/2=

26.00
0.025

se obtiene de la tabla t de Student

Tt=

2.0555

7.00

Anlisis de Consistencia

Tc=

<
NOSE DEBE
CORREGIR

Tt=

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar


a. Clculo de las varianzas de ambos perodos

886.597

2642.788

2.981

c) Clculo del F tabular

Anlisis de Consistencia

G.N.N.=

21.00

G.N.D.=

7.00

Ft=

2.589

Fc
SE DEBE
CORREGIR

CORRECCION DE DATOS

187.80
35.60
74.70
80.90
52.60
52.70
51.28

273.72
53.36
109.97
118.95
77.98
78.12
76.07

>

Ft

Anlisis de Consistencia
DATOS FINALES CORREGIDOS

AOS
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

EST. WEBERBAWER
PRECIPITACION
56.20
41.70
41.90
32.30
26.20
85.70
54.50
54.70
76.20
98.40
58.50
70.70
55.20
42.60
37.00
37.10
29.30
33.70
88.70
105.70
80.00
41.90
120.20
52.20
95.60
85.40
62.00
55.20

PRECIP. ACUM.
56.20
97.90
139.80
172.10
198.30
284.00
338.50
393.20
469.40
567.80
626.30
697.00
752.20
794.80
831.80
868.90
898.20
931.90
1020.60
1126.30
1206.30
1248.20
1368.40
1420.60
1516.20
1601.60
1663.60
1718.80

EST. CHETILLA.
PRECIPITACION
67.50
40.40
29.50
25.40
73.70
61.20
118.80
33.50
110.30
40.80
14.50
52.00
62.30
14.40
13.70
23.40
22.50
71.70
77.80
62.90
44.90
273.72
53.36
109.97
118.95
77.98
78.12
76.07

PRECIP. ACUM.
67.50
107.90
137.40
162.80
236.50
297.70
416.50
450.00
560.30
601.10
615.60
667.60
729.90
744.30
758.00
781.40
803.90
875.60
953.40
1016.30
1061.20
1334.92
1388.28
1498.25
1617.20
1695.18
1773.30
1849.37

Anlisis de Consistencia

ACUMULADS ESTACION EN ESTUDIO

2000.00
1800.00
1600.00
1400.00
1200.00
1000.00
800.00
600.00
400.00
200.00
0.00
0.00

200.00 400.00 600.00 800.00 1000.00 1200.00 1400.00 1600.00 1800.00 2000.00

ACUMULACION DE ESTACION BASE

MES:
1. ANALISIS VISUAL
GRAFICO
AOS
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983

MAYO
10.40
8.10
19.60
4.10
2.30
13.20
8.60
8.30
19.20
6.60
12.10
5.30
12.30
45.50
6.80
3.10
11.20
18.50
15.00
13.30

MAYO

Anlisis de Consistencia
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

31.00
7.70
7.90
4.80
7.30
18.50
18.10
8.23

ESTACION LLAGATEN : P(mm/mes) vs T(aos)


50.00
45.00
40.00
35.00
30.00
25.00
20.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2. ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA


MES :
AOS
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973

MAYO
EST. WEBERBAWER

EST. CHETILLA.

PRECIPITACION

PRECIP. ACUM.

PRECIPITACION

PRECIP. ACUM.

12.30
12.10
44.00
44.10
14.90
1.50
33.80
8.00
18.10
27.90

12.30
24.40
68.40
112.50
127.40
128.90
162.70
170.70
188.80
216.70

10.40
8.10
19.60
4.10
2.30
13.20
8.60
8.30
19.20
6.60

10.40
18.50
38.10
42.20
44.50
57.70
66.30
74.60
93.80
100.40

Anlisis de Consistencia
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

4.60
66.80
43.00
25.50
65.60
16.30
6.90
14.70
38.20
31.10
69.50
53.00
16.00
11.20
10.60
18.80
28.00
17.90

221.30
288.10
331.10
356.60
422.20
438.50
445.40
460.10
498.30
529.40
598.90
651.90
667.90
679.10
689.70
708.50
736.50
754.40

12.10
5.30
12.30
45.50
6.80
3.10
11.20
18.50
15.00
13.30
31.00
7.70
7.90
4.80
7.30
18.50
18.10
8.23

112.50
117.80
130.10
175.60
182.40
185.50
196.70
215.20
230.20
243.50
274.50
282.20
290.10
294.90
302.20
320.70
338.80
347.03

400.00

Acumulado de estacion
350.00 base
300.00
250.00
200.00
150.00
100.00
50.00

Acumulado de estacion

0.00
0.00

400.00

3. ANALISIS ESTADISTICO

3.1. Anlisis de Saltos


ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2

800.00

Anlisis de Consistencia
AO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975

TRAMO 1
DATO
10.40
8.10
19.60
4.10
2.30
13.20
8.60
8.30
19.20
6.60
12.10
5.30

n1=

TRAMO 2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

12.00

AO
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

DATO
12.30
45.50
6.80
3.10
11.20
18.50
15.00
13.30
31.00

n2=

1. Consistencia de la Media
a)Clculo de la media y de la desviacin estndar para las submuestras, segn:

TRAMO 1

9.82
5.46
TRAMO 2
17.41
13.13

b)Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:


Sp=

9.48

4.18

Tc=

1.817

9.00

Anlisis de Consistencia
c)Clculo del t tabular tt:
G.L.= n1 + n2 - 2 =
/2=

19.00
0.025

se obtiene de la tabla t de Student

Tt=

2.093

Tc=
NO SE DEBE
CORREGIR

<

Tt

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar


a. Clculo de las varianzas de ambos perodos

29.765

172.456

Anlisis de Consistencia

0.173

c) Clculo del F tabular

G.N.N.=

11.00

G.N.D.=

8.00

Ft=

2.519

Fc
NO SE DEBE
CORREGIR

CORRECCION DE DATOS

<

Ft

Anlisis de Consistencia

12.30
45.50
6.80
3.10
11.20
18.50
15.00
13.30
31.00
0.00

7.69
21.49
5.41
3.87
7.24
10.27
8.81
8.11
15.46
2.58

ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2 CON EL TRAMO 3

AO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

TRAMO 1 Y 2
DATO
10.40
8.10
19.60
4.10
2.30
13.20
8.60
8.30
19.20
6.60
12.10
5.30
12.30
45.50
6.80
3.10
11.20
18.50
15.00
13.30
31.00

TRAMO 3
AO
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

DATO
7.70
7.90
4.80
7.30
18.50
18.10
8.23

Anlisis de Consistencia
n1=

21.00

n2=

1. Consistencia de la Media
a)Clculo de la media y de la desviacin estndar para las submuestras, segn:

TRAMO 1

13.07
10.01
TRAMO 2
10.36
5.54

b)Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:


Sp=

9.17

4.00

Tc=

0.677

c)Clculo del t tabular tt:


G.L.= n1 + n2 - 2 =
/2=

26.00
0.025

se obtiene de la tabla t de Student

Tt=

2.0555

7.00

Anlisis de Consistencia

Tc=
NO SE DEBE
CORREGIR

<

Tt=

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar


a. Clculo de las varianzas de ambos perodos

100.184

30.682

0.306

c) Clculo del F tabular

Anlisis de Consistencia

G.N.N.=

21.00

G.N.D.=

7.00

Ft=

2.589

Fc
NO SE DEBE
CORREGIR

<

Ft

CORRECCION DE DATOS

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

2.58
2.58
2.58
2.58
2.58
2.58
2.58
2.58

Anlisis de Consistencia
DATOS FINALES CORREGIDOS
AOS
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

EST. WEBERBAWER
PRECIPITACION PRECIP. ACUM.
12.30
12.30
12.10
24.40
44.00
68.40
44.10
112.50
14.90
127.40
1.50
128.90
33.80
162.70
8.00
170.70
18.10
188.80
27.90
216.70
4.60
221.30
66.80
288.10
43.00
331.10
25.50
356.60
65.60
422.20
16.30
438.50
6.90
445.40
14.70
460.10
38.20
498.30
31.10
529.40
69.50
598.90
53.00
651.90
16.00
667.90
11.20
679.10
10.60
689.70
18.80
708.50
28.00
736.50
17.90
754.40

EST. CHETILLA.
PRECIPITACION PRECIP. ACUM.
10.40
10.40
8.10
18.50
19.60
38.10
4.10
42.20
2.30
44.50
13.20
57.70
8.60
66.30
8.30
74.60
19.20
93.80
6.60
100.40
12.10
112.50
5.30
117.80
12.30
130.10
45.50
175.60
6.80
182.40
3.10
185.50
11.20
196.70
18.50
215.20
15.00
230.20
13.30
243.50
31.00
274.50
7.70
282.20
7.90
290.10
4.80
294.90
7.30
302.20
18.50
320.70
18.10
338.80
8.23
347.03

Anlisis de Consistencia

ACUMULADS ESTACION EN ESTUDIO

400.00
350.00
300.00
250.00
200.00
150.00
100.00
50.00
0.00
0.00

100.00

200.00

300.00

400.00

500.00

600.00

700.00

800.00

ACUMULACION DE ESTACION BASE

MES:

JUNIO

1. ANALISIS VISUAL
GRAFICO
AOS
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980

JUNIO
13.30
13.10
1.00
6.10
6.20
15.10
13.60
1.50
11.70
7.60
15.10
9.70
7.00
13.00
10.60
12.20
6.80

Anlisis de Consistencia
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

10.80
11.30
9.80
9.10
13.00
5.70
4.40
13.90
4.40
6.70
0.64

ESTACION LLAGADEM: P(mm/mes) vs T(aos)


16.00
14.00
12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2. ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA


MES :
AOS
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970

JUNIO
EST. WEBERBAWER

EST. CHETILLA.

PRECIPITACION

PRECIP. ACUM.

PRECIPITACION

PRECIP. ACUM.

6.60
11.10
0.00
3.90
1.60
19.60
19.90

6.60
17.70
17.70
21.60
23.20
42.80
62.70

13.30
13.10
1.00
6.10
6.20
15.10
13.60

13.30
26.40
27.40
33.50
39.70
54.80
68.40

Anlisis de Consistencia
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

300.00

12.20
4.40
28.70
17.30
10.00
23.00
8.00
3.90
1.80
15.10
6.60
7.80
10.10
25.10
0.40
0.60
4.00
5.40
16.70
10.70
0.70

74.90
79.30
108.00
125.30
135.30
158.30
166.30
170.20
172.00
187.10
193.70
201.50
211.60
236.70
237.10
237.70
241.70
247.10
263.80
274.50
275.20

1.50
11.70
7.60
15.10
9.70
7.00
13.00
10.60
12.20
6.80
10.80
11.30
9.80
9.10
13.00
5.70
4.40
13.90
4.40
6.70
0.64

69.90
81.60
89.20
104.30
114.00
121.00
134.00
144.60
156.80
163.60
174.40
185.70
195.50
204.60
217.60
223.30
227.70
241.60
246.00
252.70
253.34

Acumulado de estacion
base

250.00

200.00

150.00

100.00

50.00

Acumulado de estacion

0.00
0.00

400.00

Anlisis de Consistencia
3. ANALISIS ESTADISTICO

3.1. Anlisis de Saltos


ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2

AO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974

TRAMO 1
DATO
13.30
13.10
1.00
6.10
6.20
15.10
13.60
1.50
11.70
7.60
15.10

n1=

TRAMO 2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

11.00

AO
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982

DATO
9.70
7.00
13.00
10.60
12.20
6.80
10.80
11.30

n2=

1. Consistencia de la Media
a)Clculo de la media y de la desviacin estndar para las submuestras, segn:

TRAMO 1

9.48
5.24
TRAMO 2
10.18
2.26

b)Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:


Sp=

4.27

8.00

Anlisis de Consistencia

1.98

Tc=

0.350

c)Clculo del t tabular tt:


G.L.= n1 + n2 - 2 =
/2=

17.00
0.025

se obtiene de la tabla t de Student

Tt=

2.1098

Tc=

<

Tt

NO SE DEBE
CORREIGIR

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar


a. Clculo de las varianzas de ambos perodos

27.408

Anlisis de Consistencia
5.088

5.387

c) Clculo del F tabular

G.N.N.=

10.00

G.N.D.=

7.00

Ft=

2.703

Fc

>

Ft

Anlisis de Consistencia
Se debe corregir

CORRECCION DE DATOS

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

9.70
7.00
13.00
10.60
12.20
6.80
10.80
11.30

8.38
2.11
16.04
10.47
14.18
1.65
10.93
12.09

ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2 CON EL TRAMO 3

AO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978

TRAMO 1 Y 2
DATO
13.30
13.10
1.00
6.10
6.20
15.10
13.60
1.50
11.70
7.60
15.10
9.70
7.00
13.00
10.60

TRAMO 3
AO
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

DATO
9.80
9.10
13.00
5.70
4.40
13.90
4.40
6.70
0.64

Anlisis de Consistencia
1979
1980
1981
1982

12.20
6.80
10.80
11.30

n1=

19.00

n2=

1. Consistencia de la Media
a)Clculo de la media y de la desviacin estndar para las submuestras, segn:

TRAMO 1

9.77
4.16
TRAMO 2
7.52
4.32

b)Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:


Sp=

4.21

1.70

Tc=

1.325

c)Clculo del t tabular tt:


G.L.= n1 + n2 - 2 =
/2=

26.00
0.025

se obtiene de la tabla t de Student

Tt=

2.0555

9.00

Anlisis de Consistencia

Tc=

<
Se debe corregir

Tt=

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar


a. Clculo de las varianzas de ambos perodos

17.329

18.645

Anlisis de Consistencia
1.076

c) Clculo del F tabular

G.N.N.=

19.00

G.N.D.=

9.00

Ft=

2.305

Fc
Se debe corregir

<

Ft

CORRECCION DE DATOS

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

-14.13
-14.13
-14.13
-14.13
-14.13

Anlisis de Consistencia
0.00
0.00

-14.13
-14.13

DATOS FINALES CORREGIDOS

AOS
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

EST. WEBERBAWER
PRECIPITACION PRECIP. ACUM.
6.60
6.60
11.10
17.70
0.00
17.70
3.90
21.60
1.60
23.20
19.60
42.80
19.90
62.70
12.20
74.90
4.40
79.30
28.70
108.00
17.30
125.30
10.00
135.30
23.00
158.30
8.00
166.30
3.90
170.20
1.80
172.00
15.10
187.10
6.60
193.70
7.80
201.50
10.10
211.60
25.10
236.70
0.40
237.10
0.60
237.70
4.00
241.70
5.40
247.10
16.70
263.80
10.70
274.50
0.70
275.20

EST. CHETILLA.
PRECIPITACION PRECIP. ACUM.
13.30
13.30
13.10
26.40
1.00
27.40
6.10
33.50
6.20
39.70
15.10
54.80
13.60
68.40
1.50
69.90
11.70
81.60
7.60
89.20
15.10
104.30
8.38
112.68
2.11
114.79
16.04
130.83
10.47
141.30
14.18
155.48
1.65
157.13
10.93
168.06
12.09
180.15
9.80
189.95
9.10
199.05
13.00
212.05
5.70
217.75
4.40
222.15
13.90
236.05
4.40
240.45
6.70
247.15
0.64
247.80

Anlisis de Consistencia

ACUMULADS ESTACION EN ESTUDIO

300.00

250.00

200.00

150.00

100.00

50.00

0.00
0.00

50.00

MES:
OCTUBRE
1. ANALISIS VISUAL GRAFICO
AO
OCTUBRE
1964
28.5
1965
36.1
1966
56.4
1967
33.3
1968
33.7
1969
65
1970
46.5
1971
15.2
1972
45
1973
21.4
1974
76.5
1975
8.6
1976
7.1
1977
42.4
1978
17.4
1979
77.1
1980
39.8
1981
42.5
1982
0

100.00

150.00

200.00

250.00

300.00

ACUMULACION DE ESTACION BASE

Anlisis de Consistencia
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

53.5
10.1
2.1
7.6
27.4
38
34
33.1
11.05

OCTUBRE
90
80
70
60
50
OCTUBRE

40
30
20
10
0
1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

2. ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA


MES :
AOS
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975

OCTUBRE
EST. LLEGADEM

EST. WEBERVAWER

PRECIPITACION

PRECIP. ACUM.

PRECIPITACION

PRECIP. ACUM.

28.5
36.1
56.4
33.3
33.7
65
46.5
15.2
45
21.4
76.5
8.6

28.50
64.6
121.0
154.3
188.0
253.0
299.5
314.7
359.7
381.1
457.6
466.2

52.60
98.00
76.80
101.00
66.40
73.80
103.00
89.80
31.40
5.50
71.00
80.20

52.60
150.60
227.40
328.40
394.80
468.60
571.60
661.40
692.80
698.30
769.30
849.50

1995

Anlisis de Consistencia
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

7.1
42.4
17.4
77.1
39.8
42.5
0
53.5
10.1
2.1
7.6
27.4
38
34
33.1
11.05

473.3
515.7
533.1
610.2
650.0
692.5
692.5
746.0
756.1
758.2
765.8
793.2
831.2
865.2
898.3
909.4

32.20
53.40
24.40
24.40
130.40
111.90
124.80
86.90
68.60
50.00
43.60
37.20
69.40
106.60
73.30
23.20

881.70
935.10
959.50
983.90
1114.30
1226.20
1351.00
1437.90
1506.50
1556.50
1600.10
1637.30
1706.70
1813.30
1886.60
1909.80

PRECIP. ACUM.
2500.00

2000.00

1500.00
PRECIP. ACUM.
1000.00

500.00

0.00
0.00

200.00

400.00

600.00

800.00

1000.00

3. ANALISIS ESTADISTICO

3.1. Anlisis de Saltos


ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2

Anlisis de Consistencia
TRAMO 1
AO

DATO

1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972

28.5
36.1
56.4
33.3
33.7
65
46.5
15.2
45

TRAMO 2
AO
DATO
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980

n1= 9

21.4
76.5
8.6
7.1
42.4
17.4
77.1
39.8

n2= 8

1. Consistencia de la Media
TRAMO 1

TRAMO 2
39.9666667

36.2875

15.0344604

28.10513108

Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:


Sp= 22.1172161
Sd= 10.7470353
Tc= 0.34234248

Clculo del t tabular tt:


G.L.=n1+n22
/2=

15
0.025

se obtiene de la tabla t de Student


Tt=

2.1315 NO SE DEBE CORREGIR

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar

226.035

789.898393

Anlisis de Consistencia

Fc= 3.494584435

c) Clculo del F tabular

G.N.N= 8
G.N.D= 7
Ft= 2.752

Fc

>

Ft

SE DEBE CORREGIR

CORRECCION DE DATOS

21.4
76.5
8.6
7.1
42.4
17.4
77.1
39.8

32.00
61.48
25.16
24.35
43.24
29.86
61.80
41.85

ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2 CON EL TRAMO 3


TRAMO 1 Y 2
AO
DATO
1964
28.50

TRAMO 3
AO
DATO
1981
42.50

Anlisis de Consistencia
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

36.10
56.40
33.30
33.70
65.00
46.50
15.20
45.00

32.00
61.48
25.16
24.35
43.24
29.86
61.80
41.85
n1= 17

0.00
53.50
10.10
2.10
7.60
27.40
38.00
34.00
33.10
11.05

n2= 11

1. Consistencia de la Media
TRAMO 1

TRAMO 2
39.97

23.58

14.5570537

18.12839435

Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:


Sp= 16.0251147
Sd= 6.20096612
Tc= 2.64303878

Clculo del t tabular tt:


G.L.=n1+n22
/2=

26
0.025

se obtiene de la tabla t de Student


Tt=

Tc=

2.0555

<

Tt=

NO SE DEBE CORREGIR

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar

Anlisis de Consistencia
211.907813

328.638682

Fc= 1.550856846

c) Clculo del F tabular

G.N.N= 16
G.N.D= 10
Ft= 2.233

Fc

AO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983

<

Ft

NO SE DEBE CORREGIR

EST. LLEGADEM

EST. WEBERVAWER

PRECIP. PREC.ACUM
28.50
28.50
36.10
64.60
56.40
121.00
33.30
154.30
33.70
188.00
65.00
253.00
46.50
299.50
15.20
314.70
45.00
359.70
32.00
391.70
61.48
453.18
25.16
478.34
24.35
502.69
43.24
545.93
29.86
575.79
61.80
637.59
41.85
679.43
42.50
721.93
0.00
721.93
53.50
775.43

PRECIP. PREC.ACUM
52.60
52.60
98.00
150.60
76.80
227.40
101.00
328.40
66.40
394.80
73.80
468.60
103.00
571.60
89.80
661.40
100.00
761.40
5.50
766.90
71.00
837.90
80.20
918.10
32.20
950.30
53.40
1003.70
100.00
1103.70
80.00
1183.70
130.40
1314.10
170.99
1485.09
50.00
1535.09
86.90
1621.99

Anlisis de Consistencia
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

10.10
2.10
7.60
27.40
38.00
34.00
33.10
11.05

785.53
787.63
795.23
822.63
860.63
894.63
927.73
938.78

68.60
50.00
43.60
37.20
69.40
106.60
73.30
23.20

1690.59
1740.59
1784.19
1821.39
1890.79
1997.39
2070.69
2093.89

2500.00

2000.00

1500.00
Series1
1000.00

500.00

0.00
0.00

200.00

400.00

MES:
NOVIEMBRE
1. ANALISIS VISUAL GRAFICO

AO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976

NOVIEMBRE
26.7
24.4
27.8
33
65.3
34.2
9
30.6
26.4
25.5
12.6
14.6
14.6

600.00

800.00

1000.00

Anlisis de Consistencia
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

1
18.7
44.7
20
35.3
0
48.8
19.7
35.8
37.7
62.3
18
35.7
27.8
26.04

NOVIEMBRE
70
60
50
40
NOVIEMBRE

30
20
10
0
1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Anlisis de Consistencia
2. ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA

MES :
AOS
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

OCTUBRE

EST. LLEGADEM
PRECIPITACION

26.7
24.4
27.8
33
65.3
34.2
9
30.6
26.4
25.5
12.6
14.6
14.6
1
18.7
44.7
20
35.3
0
48.8
19.7
35.8
37.7
62.3
18
35.7
27.8
26.04

EST. WEBERVAWER

PRECIP. ACUM.

PRECIPITACION

PRECIP. ACUM.

26.70
51.1
78.9
111.9
177.2
211.4
220.4
251.0
277.4
302.9
315.5
330.1
344.7
345.7
364.4
409.1
429.1
464.4
464.4
513.2
532.9
568.7
606.4
668.7
686.7
722.4
750.2
776.2

58.80
40.70
62.70
17.80
54.60
106.40
51.50
45.80
66.50
68.20
55.10
65.10
71.60
54.80
54.00
26.30
111.00
45.60
67.30
28.10
97.60
23.90
66.20
74.30
65.20
47.10
61.20
55.10

58.80
99.50
162.20
180.00
234.60
341.00
392.50
438.30
504.80
573.00
628.10
693.20
764.80
819.60
873.60
899.90
1010.90
1056.50
1123.80
1151.90
1249.50
1273.40
1339.60
1413.90
1479.10
1526.20
1587.40
1642.50

1800.00
1600.00
1400.00
1200.00
1000.00
Series1

800.00
600.00
400.00
200.00
0.00
0.00 200.00 400.00 600.00 800.001000.00

Anlisis de Consistencia
3. ANALISIS ESTADISTICO

3.1. Anlisis de Saltos


ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2
TRAMO 2
AO
DATO

TRAMO 1
AO

DATO

1964
1965
1966
1967
1968

26.70
24.40
27.80
33.00
65.30

n1= 5

1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980

n2= 12

1. Consistencia de la Media
TRAMO 1

TRAMO 2
35.44

21.0

16.98684785

11.9858597

Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:


Sp= 13.50180523
Sd= 7.186884647
Tc= 2.010375016

Clculo del t tabular tt:


G.L.=n1+n22
/2=

15
0.025

se obtiene de la tabla t de Student


Tt=

2.1315 NO SE DEBE CORREGIR

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar

34.2
9.0
30.6
26.4
25.5
12.6
14.6
14.6
1.0
18.7
44.7
20.0

Anlisis de Consistencia

288.553

143.6608333

Fc= 0.49786637

c) Clculo del F tabular

G.N.N= 4
G.N.D= 11
Ft= 2.752

Fc

>

Ft

SE DEBE CORREGIR

Anlisis de Consistencia
CORRECCION DE DATOS

54.16
18.44
49.06
43.10
41.83
23.55
26.38
26.38
7.11
32.19
69.04

34.2
9.0
30.6
26.4
25.5
12.6
14.6
14.6
1.0
18.7
44.7
20.0

34.03

ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2 CON EL TRAMO 3


TRAMO 1 Y 2
AO
DATO
1964
26.70
1965
24.40
1966
27.80
1967
33.00
1968
65.30
1969
54.16
1970
18.44
1971
49.06
1972
43.10
1973
41.83
1974
23.55
1975
26.38
1976
26.38
1977
7.11
1978
32.19
1979
69.04
1980
34.03

TRAMO 3
AO
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

DATO
35.30
0.00
48.80
19.70
35.80
37.70
62.30
18.00
35.70
27.80
26.04

Anlisis de Consistencia
n1= 17

n2= 11

1. Consistencia de la Media
TRAMO 1

TRAMO 2
35.44

31.56

16.44744471

16.4138489

Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:


Sp= 16.43453138
Sd= 6.359391138
Tc= 0.610407207

Clculo del t tabular tt:


G.L.=n1+n22
/2=

26
0.025

se obtiene de la tabla t de Student


Tt=

Tc=

2.0555

<

Tt=

NO SE DEBE CORREGIR

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar

270.5184375

269.4144364

Fc= 0.99591894

c) Clculo del F tabular

Anlisis de Consistencia

G.N.N= 16
G.N.D= 10
Ft= 2.233

Fc

AO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

<

Ft

NO SE DEBE CORREGIR

EST. LLEGADEM

EST. WEBERVAWER

PRECIP. PREC.ACUM
26.70
26.70
24.40
51.10
27.80
78.90
33.00
111.90
65.30
177.20
54.16
231.36
18.44
249.80
49.06
298.86
43.10
341.97
41.83
383.80
23.55
407.34
26.38
433.72
26.38
460.11
7.11
467.21
32.19
499.41
69.04
568.45
34.03
602.48
35.30
637.78
0.00
637.78
48.80
686.58
19.70
706.28
35.80
742.08
37.70
779.78
62.30
842.08
18.00
860.08
35.70
895.78
27.80
923.58
26.04
949.62

PRECIP. PREC.ACUM
58.80
58.80
40.70
99.50
62.70
162.20
17.80
180.00
54.60
234.60
106.40
341.00
51.50
392.50
45.80
438.30
100.00
538.30
68.20
606.50
55.10
661.60
65.10
726.70
71.60
798.30
54.80
853.10
100.00
953.10
80.00
1033.10
111.00
1144.10
170.99
1315.09
50.00
1365.09
28.10
1393.19
97.60
1490.79
23.90
1514.69
66.20
1580.89
74.30
1655.19
65.20
1720.39
47.10
1767.49
61.20
1828.69
55.10
1883.79

Anlisis de Consistencia
2000.00
1500.00
1000.00

Series1

500.00
0.00
0.00

200.00 400.00 600.00 800.00 1000.00

MES:
DICIEMBRE
1. ANALISIS VISUAL GRAFICO

AO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

DICIEMBRE
56.2
11.5
20.6
23.7
67.8
17.2
40.5
64.3
70.2
32.2
14
41.5
84.9
40.6
2.2
52.5
74.4
93.5
126.8
19.6
56.6
100.9
24.2
15.8
5.1
20

Anlisis de Consistencia
1990
1991

44.9
49.28

DICIEMBRE
140
120
100
80
DICIEMBRE

60
40
20
0
1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2. ANALISIS DE DOBLE MASA


MES :
AOS
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983

OCTUBRE
EST. LLEGADEM

PRECIPITACION

56.2
11.5
20.6
23.7
67.8
17.2
40.5
64.3
70.2
32.2
14
41.5
84.9
40.6
2.2
52.5
74.4
93.5
126.8
19.6

EST. WEBERVAWER

PRECIP. ACUM.

PRECIPITACION

PRECIP. ACUM.

28.50
64.6
121.0
154.3
188.0
253.0
299.5
314.7
359.7
381.1
457.6
466.2
473.3
515.7
533.1
610.2
650.0
692.5
692.5
746.0

115.20
34.40
18.70
36.70
70.80
162.00
54.10
66.50
50.20
72.30
84.60
0.90
44.40
68.20
44.80
46.60
106.70
111.30
87.40
118.40

115.20
149.60
168.30
205.00
275.80
437.80
491.90
558.40
608.60
680.90
765.50
766.40
810.80
879.00
923.80
970.40
1077.10
1188.40
1275.80
1394.20

Anlisis de Consistencia
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

56.6
100.9
24.2
15.8
5.1
20
44.9
49.28

756.1
758.2
765.8
793.2
831.2
865.2
898.3
909.4

104.10
40.30
51.80
61.50
63.40
2.70
64.20
71.90

1498.30
1538.60
1590.40
1651.90
1715.30
1718.00
1782.20
1854.10

2000.00
1800.00
1600.00
1400.00
1200.00
1000.00

Series1

800.00
600.00
400.00
200.00
0.00
0.00

200.00

400.00

600.00

800.00

1000.00

3. ANALISIS ESTADISTICO

3.1. Anlisis de Saltos


ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2
TRAMO 1
AO

DATO

1964
1965
1966
1967
1968

56.2
11.5
20.6
23.7
67.8

TRAMO 2
AO
DATO
1969
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980

Anlisis de Consistencia
n1= 9

n2= 8

1. Consistencia de la Media
TRAMO 1

TRAMO 2
39.9666667

36.2875

15.0344604

28.1051311

Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:


Sp= 22.1172161
Sd= 10.7470353
Tc= 0.34234248

Clculo del t tabular tt:


G.L.=n1+n22
/2=

15
0.025

se obtiene de la tabla t de Student


Tt=

2.1315 NO SE DEBE CORREGIR

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar

226.035

789.898393

Fc= 3.49458444

c) Clculo del F tabular

Anlisis de Consistencia

G.N.N= 8
G.N.D= 7
Ft= 2.752

Fc

>

Ft

SE DEBE CORREGIR

CORRECCION DE DATOS

21.4
76.5
8.6
7.1
42.4
17.4
77.1
39.8

32.00
61.48
25.16
24.35
43.24
29.86
61.80
41.85

ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2 CON EL TRAMO 3


TRAMO 1 Y 2
AO
DATO
1964
28.50
1965
36.10
1966
56.40
1967
33.30
1968
33.70
1969
65.00
1970
46.50
1971
15.20
1972
45.00
1973
32.00
1974
61.48
1975
25.16

TRAMO 3
AO
DATO
1981
42.50
1982
0.00
1983
53.50
1984
10.10
1985
2.10
1986
7.60
1987
27.40
1988
38.00
1989
34.00
1990
33.10
1991
11.05

Anlisis de Consistencia
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980

24.35
43.24
29.86
61.80
41.85

n1= 17

n2= 11

1. Consistencia de la Media
TRAMO 1

TRAMO 2
39.97

23.58

14.5570537

18.1283944

Clculo del (tc) calculado segn:


Sp= 16.0251147
Sd= 6.20096612
Tc= 2.64303878

Clculo del t tabular tt:


G.L.=n1+n22
/2=

26
0.025

se obtiene de la tabla t de Student


Tt=

Tc=

2.0555

<

Tt=

NO SE DEBE CORREGIR

2. Consistencia de la Desviacin Estndar

211.907813

328.638682

Fc= 1.55085685

Anlisis de Consistencia

c) Clculo del F tabular

G.N.N= 16
G.N.D= 10
Ft= 2.233

Fc

AO
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

<

Ft

NO SE DEBE CORREGIR

EST. LLEGADEM

EST. WEBERVAWER

PRECIP. PREC.ACUM
28.50
28.50
36.10
64.60
56.40
121.00
33.30
154.30
33.70
188.00
65.00
253.00
46.50
299.50
15.20
314.70
45.00
359.70
32.00
391.70
61.48
453.18
25.16
478.34
24.35
502.69
43.24
545.93
29.86
575.79
61.80
637.59
41.85
679.43
42.50
721.93
0.00
721.93
53.50
775.43
10.10
785.53
2.10
787.63
7.60
795.23
27.40
822.63
38.00
860.63
34.00
894.63
33.10
927.73
11.05
938.78

PRECIP. PREC.ACUM
52.60
52.60
98.00
150.60
76.80
227.40
101.00
328.40
66.40
394.80
73.80
468.60
103.00
571.60
89.80
661.40
100.00
761.40
5.50
766.90
71.00
837.90
80.20
918.10
32.20
950.30
53.40
1003.70
100.00
1103.70
80.00
1183.70
130.40
1314.10
170.99
1485.09
50.00
1535.09
86.90
1621.99
68.60
1690.59
50.00
1740.59
43.60
1784.19
37.20
1821.39
69.40
1890.79
106.60
1997.39
73.30
2070.69
23.20
2093.89

Anlisis de Consistencia
2500.00

2000.00

1500.00
Series1
1000.00

500.00

0.00
0.00

200.00

400.00

600.00

800.00

1000.00

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