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Teacher
Students
StatsLesson2:CollectingandAnalyzingData
Age/GradeLevel:5th
ContentArea:Mathematics
Objective:Studentswillcreateabargraphusingrandomizedprobabilityusingaspinner
simulation.
INStandard:
7.DSP.6:
Approximate the probability of a chance event by collecting data on the chance
process that produces it and observing its relative frequency from a large sample.
Materials:Excel,spinner,gizmos,andEdmodoforfileupload.
I.
Launch:
Todaywearegoingtocollectandanalyzedataaswespinonaspinner.Once
everyonegatherstheirdata,wewillcompareandseewhateveryoneelsegot.Beforeweget
started,wearegoingtotakealookatafewtermsthatmightbehelpfulfortodayslesson.
CananyonetellmewhatTheoreticalprobabilityis?
Itisthepossibilityofsomethinghappening.
Doyouknowhowtocalculateit?
No,Maybe
Astudentmightcomeupwith(a),butifnotexplainit.
a. Theoreticalprobability
:Ameasureofhowlikelyaneventis.Youcanfindprobability
bydividingthenumberofwaysaneventcanoccurbythetotalnumberofpossible
outcomes.
CananyonetellmewhatExperimentalprobabilityis?
Isitwhenyoudoanexperimentandusetheresults?
Yes,No,Maybe
Astudentmightcomeupwith(b),butifnotexplainit.
b. Experimentalprobability
:Theprobabilitydeterminedbytheresultsfroman
experiment.
Cananyoneremindmewhatfrequencyis?
c. Frequency
:
isthenumberofoccurrencesofarepeatingeventperunit
time
.
II.
Procedure:
Todaywearegoingtobothtypesofprobability.
Wearegoingtousespinnerstoday!
Takeaminuteandlookatthespinners.
Whatdoyouthinktheresultswillbeifwespinthespinner30times?
10ofeachsection
Isthatwhathappened?
No?
Interesting,whydoyouthinkitdidnothappenthatway?
Idontknow?
Well,itgoesbacktothetwotypesofprobabilityweweretalkingabout.Weuseoneto
estimatewhatwethinkwillhappenwhenwehavenodataandweusetheotherwhenwe
havedata.
Splitthestudentsintopairedgroupsandhaveeachgrouprecordtheirresultsusing
highervaluesforeachrunonthespinner.(20,100,200).
StudentswillhaveaworksheettoworkthroughNextsection.
Onceeveryonehascollectedtheirdata,havethestudentscomparetheirresultsand
seehoweachofthedifferentoutcomeswere.Discussasaclass.(Showhowtofusethe
iconstogethertoformabargraph)
Studentswillanswerthefollowingquestions:
1. Whatfractiondoeseachsectionrepresent?
2. WhatshouldtheresultsbewhenIspin30times?
3. Havethespinnerspin30timesusingthe"slow"speedontheslidebaratthe
top.Youwillhavetoholdyourmousebuttondowninorderforthespinnerto
continuetorun.Recordyourresultsandobservethespinnerasitcompletes
the30spins.
4. Isthatwhathappened?
5. Changethenumberofspinsto100clickruntogetanothersetfor100spins.
6. Aretheresultsthesame?
7. clickthe100andseewhathappens.Recordyourresults.
8. clickrunagainfor200to1000andseewhathappens.Recordyourresults
9. Createagraphfor1000spins.
Usingexcelcreatebargraphsasagrouptoshowtheresultsforeachtrialrun.
Comparethegraphresultswhencomparedtoeachother.
Studentexamples:
30spins:
100spins:
200spins:
1000spins:
BarGraph:
Studentswilldiscusshowtheirpredictionscomparetotheiractualfindings.Theywill
discusshowthedifferencesinthenumberofspinsaffecttheamountoftimesthatthespecific
colorischosen.
1. Whyareyourresultsdifferentfromoneanothers?
a. Answer:Theresultsaredifferentfromeachotherbecausetheresults
arerandomized.Notwoanswerswillbethesame.
2. Howdotheseresultscomparetoyourfirstpredictions?
a. Answer:*Studentswillcomparetheirnumberstootherstudents*.The
amountoftimeseachcolorisspunwillonlybeconnectedtotheamount
oftimesthestudentspinsthespinner.
3. Doyouthinkitispossibletobeabletoaccuratelypredicthowmanytimesthe
spinnerwilllandonaspecificcolor?
III.
Assessment:Sametypeofquestionasactivity,butdatahasalreadybeencollected.
A. Studentswillthentakethisdatasetandcreateabargraphusingthenewdata
toseehowoftenacertainprizeisspunwithatotalof100spins.
1. StudentswillsavetheirfilesanduploadthemtoEdmodoforteacher
review.
2. Studentwillcompleteassessmentonexplorelearningwebsite,butwill
emailquestion6totheteacher.
IV.
Extension:Ifthestudentshavemoretimeaftercompletingtheassessment,the
studentswillmakepredictionsofhowofteneachnumberwouldgetpickediftheywere
torollthedice.Thestudentswillthenrollthedice20times,andwillrecordthe
amountoftimesthedicefellonacertainnumber.
V.
Closure:
Todaywehavepredicted,collected,andanalyzedorownsetofdatausingaspinner
tocreateabargraph.Wealsolearnedabouttheoreticalandexperimentalprobabilityand
howtheyrelatetooneanother.Theyarebothcalculatedthesamewayandasmoretrials
andconductedtheresultstendtogetclosertobeingequal.ThisisknownastheLawof
LargeNumberswhichis
theideathatasthenumberoftrialsofarandomprocessincreases,
thepercentagedifferencebetweentheexpectedandactualvaluesgoestozero.
This
probabilityprocedurecanbedoneformanythingsinlife.Howcanyouapplyrandom
probabilitytoyourdaytodaylives?
Rollingdice
Flippingacoin