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Componentele Financiar - Monetare
Componentele Financiar - Monetare
financiar-monetare.
7HQGLQ D GH FXDQWLILFDUH D IHQRPHQHORU úL SURFHVHORU
HFRQRPLFH FD úL GH IRUPDOL]DUH D FRUHOD LLORU GH WLS FDX] -efect
(factori-IHQRPHQSURFHVSRDWHILLGHQWLILFDW ODFHOHPDLYHFKLúFROL
economice.
/HJ WXUD vQWUH EDQLPRQHG H[SULPD L FD PDV PRQHWDU
EDQLORU FUHúWH DWXQFL PDVD PRQHWDU VH PLFúRUHD] úL LPSOLFLW VH
FRQH[LXQL DX DVW ]L vQ WHRULD HFRQRPLF úL ILQDQFLDU PRGHUQ
economic.
ÌQ DFHHDúL PDQLHU GH DERUGDUH FX PLMORDFHOH DFWXDOH GH
SURSRU LRQDOFXHODVWLFLWDWHDDFHVWXLYHQLWvQUDSRUWFXUHQWDúLLQYHUV
SURSRU LRQDO FX SR nderea rentei în total venit. Cu cât venitul social
total este mai ″inelastic″ în raport cu renta, iar ponderea acesteia
HVWH PDL PDUH vQ WRWDOXO DFHVWXL YHQLW FX DWkW ULWPXO GH FUHúWHUH DO
HFRQRPLHL vQ VSH DO YHQLWXOXL VRFLDO WRWDO HVWH PDL PLF /D
lLPLW GDF YHQLWXO VRFLDO WRWDO HVWH SHUIHFW LQHODVWLF vQ UDSRUW FX
UHQWDDWXQFLULWPXOFUHúWHULLHFRQRPLFHHVWHQXO
″
ùFRDOD HFRQRPLF D VHFROXOXL ;,; FODVLF ″ UHSUH]HQWDW
prin Jean Baptiste Say, David Ricardo, John Stuart Mill, Irwing
)LVKHUúDPGFRQVLGHU F HFKLOLEUXOHFRQRPLFHVWHUHJOHPHQWDW
EXQXULORU vQ H[FHV OH VFDGH SUH XO P ULQG FHUHUHD JOREDO úL
UHDOL]kQGDVWIHOHFKLOLEUXO%DQLLVXQWFRQVLGHUD LQHXWULvQUDSRUWFX
DOH HFRQRPLHL ID GH FDUH SUH]LQW WRWXúL R OHJ WXU GH QDWXU
v-YLWH]DGHURWD LHDEDQLORU,
P-SUH XOXQLW LLGHWUDQ]DF LH
T- YROXPXOWUDQ]DF LLORU
S VWUHD] OHJ WXUD FDQWLWDWLY EDQL HFRQRPLH UHDO UHOD LD OXL
-
)LVKHU HFKLOLEUXO DXWRPDW DO SLH HL JUD LH IOH[LELOLW LL SHUIHFWH D
HFRQRPLFDOF UXLVFRSHVWH
SHQWUXDJHQWXOSURGXF WRU
− PD[LPL]DUHDXWLOLW LLFRQVXPXOXLSHQWUXDJHQWXOFRQVXPDWRU
HFRQRPLFL H[LVWHQ D XQHL IXQF LL GH SURGXF LH JOREDOH XQLIDFWRULDOH
(factorXO GH SURGXF LH HVWH PXQFD H[LVWHQ D FD PHGLX HFRQRPLF
DFWLY D XQXL VWRF GH FDSLWDO úL GH FXQRúWLQ H LQVHSDUDELO GH PXQF
IXQF LD RIHUWHL GH PXQF IXQF LD GH LQYHVWL LL IXQF LD GH HFRQRPLL
úL FRQGL LLOH GH HFKLOLEUX JHQHUDO DO VHFWRUXOXL PRQHWDU úL DO SLH HL
muncii.
)XQF LDGHSURGXF LH
Y = Y(N), (3.1)
XQGH < HVWH SURGXF LD IL]LF úL 1 IDFWRUXO PXQF vQ HOHV vQ DFHVW
FRQWH[WFDFHUHUHGHPXQF 1D ).
)XQF LD GH SURGXF LH DUH SURSULHW LOH FXQRVFXWH < ′> úL
Y″< úL SH ED]D HL VH SRDWH IRUPDOL]D FRPSRUWDPHQWXO UD LRQDO DO
SURGXF WRUXOX i:
max Π = max (P ∗ Y - w ∗ N), (3.2)
XQGH 3 HVWH SUH XO XQLW LL IL]LFH GH SURGXF LH LDU Z HVWH VDODULXO
nominal unitar.
'LQ úL VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD FX DMXWRUXO IXQF LHL
VDODULXO UHDO 3H ED]D DFHVWHL UHOD LL VH SRDWH IRUPXOD IXQF LD GH
FHUHUHGHPXQF
−1 w
ND = [Y ′] (3.4)
P
FDIXQF LHGHVFUHVF WRUHDFHUHULLGHPXQF vQUDSRUWFXVDODULXOUHDO
ND′< 0. (3.5)
ÌQIXQF LDGHSURGXF LHLQGLFDWRUXO1DUHvQPRGFODUVHQVXO
XUPHD]
)XQF LDRIHUWHLGHPXQF
LQYHUVXO YLWH]HL GH URWD LH D EDQLORU PDVD PRQHWDU VH FRQVLGHU
UHSUH]LQW RIHUWD GH EDQL H[SUHVLD GLQ SDUWHD GUHDSW D UHOD LHL
UHSUH]LQW FHUHUHDGHEDQL
'LQ FRQGL LD GH HFKLOLEUX D SLH HL PXQFLL FRUHODW FX
úL VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD QLYHOXO GH HFKLOLEUX DO VDODULXOXL
[Y ′]−1 (w / P) = N S (w / P) (3.12)
Cu ajutorul salariului real de echilibru, (w/P)*, se poate
GHWHUPLQD GLQ UHOD LD VDX QLYHOXO GH HFKLOLEUX DO IRU HL
GH PXQF 1 úL DSRL GLQ UHOD LD QLYHOXO GH HFKLOLEUX DO
SURGXF LHL<
&X 0 GHWHUPLQDW H[RJHQ úL FX < VH SRDWH RE LQH GLQ
P* = M/k ∗ Y* (3.13)
úLDSRLQLYHOXOVDODULXOXLQRPLQDOGHHFKLOLEUX
W* = (w/P)* ∗ P* (3.14)
5HOD LDHFKLOLEUXOXLJHQHUDOHVWHGHIDSWRHFXD LHv n i,
SULQ D F UHL UH]ROYDUH VH RE LQH QLYHOXO GH HFKLOLEUX DO GREkQ]LL L
úL DSRL QLYHOXO GH HFKLOLEUX DO LQYHVWL LLORU , GLQ úL DO
Salariul Salariul
real nominal
Gradul de Cererea/Oferta
ocupare
cererii de
bani
Echilibrul
sectorului
monetar
Consumul Oferta de
bani
Economii
Echilibrul
sectorului Rata dobânzii
monetar
economii
salariul reDO UDWD GREkQ]LL úL GRX QRPLQDOH QLYHOXO SUH XULORU úL
FRQGL LLGHHFKLOLEUX
ED]DYROXPXOXLGHHFKLOLEUXDOSURGXF LHL
″grad de ocupare″ UHIHULWRU OD IRU D GH PXQF SULQ FDUH VH GRUHúWH
H[SULPDUHD P VXULL vQ FDUH HVWH XWLOL]DW SRWHQ LDOXO GH PXQF
ModHOXO QX XWLOL]HD] vQ PRG H[SUHV DFHVW LQGLFDWRU HO SRDWH IL
SHUPLWH RE LQHUHD QLYHOXOXL GH HFKLOLEUX DO IRU HL GH PXQF úL D
FRPSRQHQWHOHúLSROLWLFLOHILQDQFLDU -monetare:
(i) sectorul financiar-monetar este ″lipit″, nu este integrat efectiv în
PRGHOOHJ WXULOHVDOHFXUHVWXO economiei fiind limitate strict la
YROXPXO SURGXF LHL DVWIHO F SLD D ILQDQFLDU DSDUH FD R SLD
LQYHVWL LLORU SXEOLFH QX GXFH OD FUHúWHUHD SURGXF LHL FL GRDU OD
PRGLILFDUHD VWUXFWXULL HL DVWIHO vQ FRQGL LLOH vQ FDUH ILVFDOLWD tea
HVWH GDW úL QX VH PRGLILF YHQLWXULOH VWDWXOXL VXQW GHWHUPLQDWH
FD XUPDUH UDWD GREkQ]LL FUHúWH úL VH DFFHQWXHD] WHQGLQ D spre
HFRQRPLL úL LPSOLFLW GH GLPLQXDUH D FRQVXPXOXL vQWUXFkW
FRQVXPXO JXYHUQDPHQWDO FUHúWH VH SURGXFH GRDU R FRPSHQVDUH
vQWUH XQD úL DOWD GLQWUH FRPSRQHQWHOH FRQVXPXOXL FHO SULYDW úL
global vQ VHQVXO FUHúWHULL SRQGHULL FHOXL SXEOLF úL DO UHGXFHULL
ponderii celui privat.
(iv) SROLWLFD PRQHWDU QX HVWH HILFLHQW GHRDUHFH DIHFWHD]
SUH XULORU LPSOLFLW D VDODULLORU QRPLQDOH FD SUH DO IRU HL GH
PXQF vQ YHGHUHD S VWU ULL VDODULLORU UHDOH vQ FD] F DFHVWHD
VFDG VH YD GLPLQXD úL FHUHUHD GH PXQF úL DWXQFL SURGXF LD VH
FRQGL LLOH XQHL SURGXF LL GDWH SUH XULOH VH PLFúRUHD] LPSOLFLW
SUH XO PXQFLL FX DWkW PDL PXOW GDF VH FRQVLGHU GDWIL[DW
VDODULXO QXO DVWIHO vQFkW JUDGXO GH RFXSDUH VH S VWUHD] úL vQ
(v) FD R FRQVHFLQ D SROLWLFLL PRQHWDUH LQHILFLHQWH VH SRW SXQH vQ
HYLGHQ HIHFWHOH QHGRULWH vQ FH SULYHúWH SURGXF LD DVWIHO GDF
VDODULXOQRPLQDOFUHúWHPDLOHQWGHFkWSUH XULOHDWXQFLVHUHGXFH
VDODULXO UHDO úL RIHUWD GH PXQF FX HIHFWH vQ GLPLQXDUHD
SURGXF LHL QRLOH FRQGL LL GH SH SLD D PXQFLL RIHUWD PDL PLF
GXF OD FUHúWHUHD UHODWLY D FHUHULL GH PXQF FX HIHFWH vQ
FUHúWHUHD SUH XOXL PXQFLL úL D FRVWXOXL SURGXF LHL FHHD FH vL
MRGHOXO SUH]LQW úL DOWH SURSULHW L SULYLQG IRORVLUHD IRU HL
GH PXQF úL VHQVLWLYLWDWHD SURGXF LHL QXPDL OD ″stimulii reali″,
DVXSUD F URUD QX LQVLVW P GHRDUHFH FRPSRQHQWHOH GH QDWXU
QHRFODVLFH úL SH YDORULILFDUHD XQRUD GLQ FULWLFLOH DGXVH DFHVWXLD GH
F WUH HFRQRPLúWLL ″QHRUWRGRFúL″ FHL FH VXQW vQ FRQWUDGLF LH FX
DGRSWDWH GH .H\QHV GH OD DFHúWL ″QHRUWRGRFúL″ vQ VSH GH OD
F LSRWH]D HJDOLW LL ORU SRDWH IL DFFHSWDW GRDU FD R LSRWH]
GLIHUHQ vQWUH YDORDUHD SURGXF LHL úL FRVWXO V X IRUPDW GLQ
IDFWRUXOXL PXQF úL SURILW &HOH PDL FRQVLVWHQWH REVHUYD LL FULWLFH ,
DGDSWDWH GH .H\QHV VH UHIHU OD PHFDQLVPXO UHOD LHL FRQVXP -
SURGXF LH vQ FDUH UROXO SULPRUGLDO HVWH DWULEXLW FHOXL GLQWkL
LGHQWLILFDW FX UDWD GREkQ]LL REVHUYD LD FRUHFW vQ IRQG úL TXDVL -
XQDQLP DFFHSWDW D]L HVWH PRWLYDW vQV GH *HVHO vQ PRG OLPLWDW
doar prin factori psihologiFL 'LIHUHQ LHUHD HVWH IRUPXODW GH *HVHO
OG = OG(N) (4.1.1)
CG = CG(N) (4.1.2)
0 ULPHD RIHUWHL JOREDOH HVWH SURGXVXO DúWHSWDWGRULW GH
SURGXF LHL úL SH FDUH DFHúWLD vO SRW SXQH vQ IXQF LXQH vQ WHUPHQLL
XQXL UDQGDPHQW SULQ FDUH V SRDW DFFHGH OD XQ SURILW PD[LP vQ
FRQGL LLOHUHVSHFWLYHLSLH H
vQWUHSULQ] WRULL VSHU V -O RE LQ vQ FRQGL LL GDWH GH SLD DVWIHO
ÌQ PRG RELúQXLW XQ SURGXF WRU QX SURGXFH ″pe stoc″ úL GLQ
acest motiv GHUD LRQDOLWDWHSURGXF LDHVWHHJDO FXRIHUWD9ROXPXO
SURGXF LHL DSUR[LPHD] ELQH SURGXVXO RE LQXW GH vQWUHSULQ] WRU FD
úL YHQLWXULOH RE LQXWH GH DJHQ LL HFRQRPLFL vQ JHQHUDO DVWIHO F VH
venit (Y):
C = C(Y) (4.3)
Dintre factorii obiectivi (patrimoniul, fiscalitatea, rata
GREkQ]LL ú D P G úL VXELHFWLYL SVLKRORJLFL FDUH SRW IL
TXDVLFRQVWDQ DSHWHUPHQVFXUWDIDFWRULORUVXELHFWLYL
DWXQFL FUHúWH úL FRQVXPXO vQWUH FHOH GRX FUHúWHUL S VWUkQGX -se
UHOD LDGHRUGLQH
DWXQFL FUHVF úL YHQLWXULOH LDU vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO VSUH FRQVXP
VHGLPLQXHD]
(iii) XWLOL]DUHD YHQLWXOXL SUHVXSXQH XQ SURFHV GH FRQVXP úL XQXO GH
HFRQRPLVLUH GH]HFRQRPLVLUHD HVWH VLWXD LD vQ FDUH FRQVXPXO
este mai mare decât veQLWXO úL DSDUH SH IRQGXO GLPLQX ULL
VFDG
∆Y − ∆C ∆S
s = 1− c = = , (4.6)
∆Y ∆Y
XQGH6UHSUH]LQW HFRQRPLLOH< &6úL ∆Y = ∆C+∆S (4.7)
*UDGXO GH RFXSDUH QX SRDWH FUHúWH GHFkW vQ FRUHOD LH FX
crHúWHUHD LQYHVWL LLORU GDF DFHVWHD GLQ XUP QX FUHVF vQVHDPQ F
DFHODúLFDSLWDOVHSXQHvQPLúFDUHFXXQYROXPGHPXQF PDLPDUH
PRGLILF
)DFWRUXO FDUH UHJOHD] FRUHOD LD vQWUH YDULD LD JUDGXOXL GH
RFXSDUH úL YDULD LD LQYHVWL LLORU SUHFXP úL HIHFWHOH DFHVWHL FRUHOD LL
D JUDGXOXL GH RFXSDUH úL LPSOLFLW D YHQLWXOXL DFHDVW vQFOLQD LH QX
VH PRGLILF QX VFDGH DWXQFL FRQVXPXO FD úL HFRQRPLLOH FUHVF vQ
DFHODúL ULWP FX YHQLWXO 6SRUXO GH HFRQRPLL QX HVWH vQ P VXU V
DVLJXUH XQ VSRU VXILFLHQW LQYHVWL LLORU DFHVWHD QX SRW JHQHUD R
SURGXF WRUL vúL GLPLQXHD] FHUHUHD GH PXQF úL VFDGH LPSOLFLW
gradul de ocupare.
3H GH DOW SDUWH GDF vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO VSUH FRQVXP
scDGH SUHD PXOW FRQVXPXO YD FUHúWH vQ SUHD PLF P VXU vQ UDSRUW
FX HFRQRPLLOH DVWIHO vQFkW OD LQYHVWL LL FUHVFkQGH úL LPSOLFLW OD R
SURGXF LH FUHVFkQG VH YD IRUPXOD SH SLD R FHUHUH LQVXILFLHQW
ÌQ WHUPHQLL OHJ WXULL H[SULPDWH GH UHOD LD YDULD LD
∆C
C Y ′ = lim =c (4.8)
∆Y→ 0 ∆Y
úLGDF LQHPFRQWGHUHOD LDSXWHPDILUPDF
&
′ > 0 úL & ′ ∈ (01) , (4.9)
1
k= cu kc′>úLN> 1, (4.11)
1− c
XQGHN G<G, PXOWLSOLFDWRUXOLQYHVWL LLORU
FX FkW vQFOLQD LD HVWH PDL PDUH FX DWkW FUHúWHUHD HVWH PDL
YDORUL PLFL DOH vQFOLQD LHL VSUH FRQVXP DJHQ LL HFRQRPLFL vúL
)XQF LD GH LQYHVWL LL H[SULP OHJ WXUD GLQWUH LQYHVWL LL úL
dobânzii (i):
I = I(Y,i) cu IY′>úL,i′< 0 (4.12)
,QWURGXFHUHD UDWHL GREkQ]LL FD IDFWRU DO LQYHVWL LLORU HVWH
marginale a capitaOXOXL úL FDUH VH DWLQJH QXPDL vQ FRQGL LLOH vQ FDUH
SURILWXO HVWH PD[LP ÌQ DFHVWH FRQGL LL GDF HILFLHQ D PDUJLQDO D
FHUHUHRIHUW YD GXFH OD GLPLQXDUHD SUH XULORU GH YkQ]DUH úL
UDSRUWXO FHUHUHRIHUW YD GXFH OD FUHúWHUHD SUH XULORU GH YkQ]DUH úL
,QYHVWL LD SRDWH IL FRQVLGHUDW FD ILLQG SUH XO FDSLWDOXOXL
d .v .e. −t
pK = ∑ rk t (1 + i) ,
t =1
(4.14)
unde t este indice de timp, iar rkt este efectul produs de utilizarea
capitalului în anul t. Acest efect este echivalent cu randamentul
capitalului.
)DFWRUXO L HVWH HILFLHQ D PDUJLQDO D FDSLWDOXOXL úL HVWH SULQ
FRQ LQXW DFHD UDW GH GREkQG FDUH DSOLFDW VXFFHVLXQLL GH
FD IDFWRU DO LQYHVWL LHL GH FDUH VH OHDJ PLMORFLW SULQ LQWHUPHGLXO
LQYHUV vQWUH SUH XO FDSLWDOXOXL HFKLYDOHQWXO LQYHVWL LHL úL UDWD
dobânzii.
)XQF LD FHUHULL GH EDQL HVWH R IXQF LHFHIDFH OHJ WXUD vQWUH
FHUHUHD GH EDQL 0G SH GH R SDUWH úL YROXPXO GH DFWLYLWDWH
úL LPSOLFLW QLYHOXO YHQLWXULORU VRFLDOH UH]XOWDWH FX DWkW DJHQ LL
− PRWLYXO SUHFDX LHL FX FkW YROXPXO GH WUDQ]DF LL HVWH PDL PDUH
úLLPSOLFLWYROXPXOYHQLWXULORUVRFLDOHUHDOL]DWHFXDWkWUH]HUYD
FX DWkW WHQGLQ D DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GH WLS 8&( úL 8&6 YH]L
FDSLWROXO GH D VSHFXOD GLVSRQLELOLW LOH ORU HVWH PDL PLF
PDLPLF
ILLQG GHWHUPLQDW FHO SX LQ vQ HJDO P VXU GH DWUDF LD VDX
DYHUVLXQHD ID GH ULVF D DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL DGLF GH XQ IDFWRU
VXELHFWLY 'LQ DFHVW PRWLY FHUHUHD GH EDQL SHQWUX SUHFDX LH SRDWH
FHUHUHD WRWDO GH EDQL 0G FL FX GLIHUHQ D GLQWUH DFHDVWD úL
&HUHUHDWRWDO GHEDQLHVWHDVWIHO
factorial:
Md = f(Y) + g(i), cu MdY′>úL0Gi′< 0 (4.19)
ÌQ FHHD FH SULYHúWH RIHUWD GH EDQL 0V DFHDVWD HVWH
Ms = dat (4.20)
Modelul lui Keynes include:
− IXQF LDFHUHULLGHEDQL
− FRQGL LD GH RSWLP SHQWUX SURGXF WRU GH IRUPD LGHQWLF
ù 3'- N* , (4.22)
XQGH ù HVWH P ULPHD úRPDMXOXL 3' HVWH SRSXOD LD GLVSRQLELO
RIHUWD GH PXQF úL 1 HVWH FHUHUHD GH PXQF vQ FRQGL LL GH
ND = [h ] (Y )
−1
(4.23)
Y=C+S (4.24)
− HFXD LD GH HFKLOLEUX PDFURHFRQRPLF vQ DEVHQ D UHOD LLORU
economice externe:
S=I (4.25)
'LQUHOD LLOHVHRE LQH
i = [g] (Ms − f (Y)) ,
−1
(4.26)
unde []
⋅
−1
VHPQLILF LQYHUVDIXQF LHL []
⋅ .
)XQF LD GH LQYHVWL LL VH UHVFULH FD R IXQF LH GH R VLQJXU
YDULDELO UHVSHFWLY<DGLF
(
I = I Y, [ g ]
−1
(Ms − f (Y))) .
3HED]DUHOD LLORUúLVHRE LQHRHFXD LHvQ
Y de forma:
(
C(Y)+I Y, [g]
−1
(Ms − f (Y))) = Y,
SULQ D F UHL UH]ROYDUH VH RE LQH QLYHOXO GH HFKLOLEUX DO YHQLWXULORU
fie Y*.
&X DMXWRUXO OXL <
VH RE LQ YDORULOH GH HFKLOLEUX SHQWUX
&X DMXWRUXO OXL < VH RE LQH GLQ IXQF LD FHUHULL GH PXQF
GH RSWLP D SURGXF WRUXOXL FX DMXWRUXO YDORULL 1D VH RE LQH
În fine, SH ED]D UHOD LHL VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD QLYHOXO
úRPDMXOXL vQ FRQGL LL GH HFKLOLEUX 3RSXOD LD GLVSRQLELO HVWH GH
GH QDWXU GHPRJUDILF ÌQWU R DQDOL] PDL FRPSOH[ SRW IL SXVH vQ
-
evidHQ GHSHQGHQ H DOH DFHVWXL LQGLFDWRU GH YDULDELOH HFRQRPLFH
FXPVXQWYHQLWXOVDODULXOUHDOúDPG
SHQWUXOLFKLGLWDWHúLGHFDQWLWDWHDGHEDQLGHWHUPLQ ODUkQGXOHL
LQYHVWL LLOH úL LQYHVWL LLOH GHWHUPLQDWH GH UDWD GREkQ]LL úL
Productivitatea
!
"
#
&
$
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1
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consum
3
2
&
Consumul Gradul de
Salariul real
&
ocupare
$
spre consum)
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Cerere
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"
#
-
(venitul)
.
/
1
#
.
+
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2
0
.
+
/
&
&
$
"
$
#
capitalului)
1
#
cererii de bani
*
&
&
"
"
#
2
!
pentru
lichiditate) Echilibrul
Rata dobânzii
monetare
Oferta de bani
GH SURGXF LH SULQ UDQGDPHQWXO FX FDUH SRWHQ HD] PXQFD
úL FHUHUHD GH PXQF úL ID GH FRQVXP SULQ vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO
spre consuP FD úL VWUXFWXUD VRFLDO FH JXYHUQHD] UHSDUWL LD
venitului.