Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Study #2129
November 15-17, 2015
Weighted by age and race
Poll Questions
Nov-15
Sep-15
Apr-15
Dec-14
Jun-14
Mar-14
Dec-13
Sep-13
Jun-13
Feb-13
Dec-12
Sep-12
Jun-12
Mar-12
Sep-11
Jun-11
Mar-11
Dec-10
Oct-10
Jul-10
Mar-10
Dec-09
Sep-09
Right
direction
Wrong
track
23
69
24
31
24
26
30
27
25
32
37
38
33
31
31
20
26
28
27
32
31
34
32
40
66
61
65
64
62
67
68
60
54
55
60
62
61
72
66
63
66
62
63
58
59
52
10
8
11
10
8
6
7
8
9
7
7
7
8
8
8
9
7
6
6
8
9
8
Not sure
Health care
Terrorism
Taxes
A decline in real
income for
American workers
Climate change
Unemployment and
jobs
Other (VOL)
(specify:)
None of these
(VOL)
Not sure
Nov-15
Sep-15
Apr-15
Dec-14
Immigration
Which of the following do you see as the most important issue facing the country right now? (Read list.
Rotate.)
10
14
14
21
11
7
6
11
11
12
14
10
10
9
7
9
4
4
4
3
14
12
15
11
13
7
6
7
5
20
18
21
3
2
4
1
2
1
6
5
6
[Note changes in answer options. Percentages given for reference, but not valid for direct comparison.]
Gas prices
Gay marriage
Climate change
4
7
4
4
3
2
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
4
2
3
3
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
28
37
43
45
42
46
42
43
50
49
41
n/a
5
6
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
7
4
11
n/a
4
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
3
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
13
5
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
5
5
7
7
7
7
16
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
3
3
4
2
4
2
2
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Not sure
29
25
24
26
n/a
11
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Terrorism
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
18
17
Taxes
13
19
14
18
21
12
13
Entitlement spendin on
Social Security and
Medicare
17
9
11
13
10
10
10
12
9
12
9
Government spending
6
4
3
4
4
3
3
3
5
5
n/a
Health care
Jun-14
Dec-12
Sep-12
Jun-12
Mar-12
Sept-11
Jun-11
Mar-11
Dec-10
Oct-10
Jul-10
Immigration
Which of the following do you see as the most important issue facing the country right now?
(Read list. Rotate.)
3
5
4
3
3
2
3
2
3
2
3
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing: [ITEM FROM LIST]?
(Begin with as president. Rotate all other options.)
As president
Approve
Disapprove
Not Sure
Nov-15
Sep-15
Apr-15
Dec-14
Jun-14
Mar-14
Dec-13
Sep-13
Jun-13
Feb-13
Dec-12
Sep-12
Jun-12
Mar-12
Sep-11
Jun-11
Mar-11
Dec-10
Oct-10
Jul-10
Mar-10
Dec-09
Sep-09
44
51
46
47
39
43
48
42
45
49
55
53
49
53
48
45
49
51
47
48
52
50
54
56
47
46
52
53
48
55
49
46
40
44
46
44
47
49
44
43
48
45
44
45
41
37
7
7
9
4
4
3
6
5
5
3
5
3
5
6
7
6
5
7
4
5
5
7
Nov-15
Sep-15
Apr-15
Dec-14
Jun-14
Mar-14
Dec-13
Sep-13
Jun-13
Feb-13
Dec-12
Sep-12
Jun-12
Mar-12
Sep-11
Jun-11
Mar-11
Dec-10
Oct-10
Jul-10
Mar-10
Dec-09
Sep-09
44
51
47
49
42
38
43
38
38
42
47
48
41
43
41
33
39
43
41
44
44
44
45
50
48
46
53
57
53
58
56
53
49
48
53
53
56
62
57
52
54
51
52
51
50
45
5
5
5
5
4
4
6
5
4
4
6
4
3
5
4
5
5
5
4
5
5
5
Approve
Disapprove
Nov-15
Sep-15
Apr-15
Dec-14
Jun-14
Mar-14
Dec-13
Sep-13
Jun-13
Jun-12
Mar-12
Sep-11
Jun-11
Mar-11
Dec-10
Oct-10
Jul-10
Mar-10
Dec-09
Sep-09
40
56
44
43
41
38
40
37
39
40
43
40
39
45
44
44
51
46
43
40
47
51
53
55
58
54
60
54
56
52
54
53
50
50
51
45
51
52
53
48
5
4
4
4
6
3
7
4
5
6
8
5
6
5
4
3
5
7
5
Nov-15
Sep-15
Apr-15
35
54
11
35
35
52
54
13
11
[Note change in question language. Percentages given for reference, but not valid for direct comparison.]
With negotiating with the Republican majority in the
Dec-14
32
56
U.S. House of Representatives
Jun-14
33
55
Mar-14
37
51
Dec-13
34
55
Sep-13
39
46
Jun-13
38
49
Feb-13
42
44
Dec-12
45
45
Mar-12
41
48
Sep-11
37
52
Sep-15
Feb-13
Dec-12
Sep-12
Mar-12*
Dec-10
Oct-10
Mar-10
Dec-09
Sep-09
Not Sure
12
12
12
11
15
13
14
10
11
11
44
50
52
54
45
54
56
54
58
59
60
35
39
47
40
37
36
35
35
32
13
7
8
6
7
10
7
6
8
Now, Im going to mention some people and groups in the news recently. [Previous wording: Now, I'd like to
mention some major economic and political figures and groups.] For each, please tell me if your feelings are very
favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable. If you dont know enough to
answer, just say so. (Record dont know as not sure. Rotate list.)
Net
Net
Very
Mostly
Mostly
Very
Favorable Unfavorable Favorable Favorable Unfavorable Unfavorable
George W. Bush,
former president of
the United States
Not
Sure
Nov-15
Apr-15
Sep-12
Jun-12
Mar-12
Dec-10
Oct-10
45
50
12
33
24
26
46
46
44
45
39
39
46
49
51
50
57
55
15
17
14
14
12
9
31
29
30
31
27
30
24
19
24
22
28
26
22
30
27
28
29
29
8
5
5
5
4
6
Nov-15
32
50
24
30
20
17
Dec-14
43
44
15
28
24
20
13
Sep-12
Jun-12
Mar-12
43
39
42
50
48
48
19
13
11
24
26
31
19
25
26
31
23
22
7
13
10
Sep-11
42
38
10
32
23
15
20
Jun-11
37
31
29
20
11
32
Mar-10
31
26
24
16
10
43
Nov-15
40
30
11
29
15
15
30
Sep-12
41
41
20
21
17
24
18
Jun-11
23
26
15
16
10
51
Nov-15
34
61
11
23
21
40
Sep-15
31
61
10
20
20
41
Jun-12
33
55
25
26
29
12
Mar-11
37
43
10
27
24
19
20
Net
Net
Very
Mostly
Mostly
Very
Favorable Unfavorable Favorable Favorable Unfavorable Unfavorable
Not
Sure
The Republican
Party
Nov-15
Sep-15
Apr-15
Dec-14
Mar-14
Dec-13
Sep-13
Feb-13
Dec-12
Sep-12
Jun-12
Mar-12
Sep-11
Jun-11
Mar-11
Dec-10
Oct-10
Jul-10
Mar-10
Dec-09
Sep-09
36
54
29
32
22
10
33
38
45
37
37
34
35
38
41
41
44
37
42
41
43
42
42
39
42
38
54
53
47
54
53
56
55
51
49
50
49
53
47
47
48
46
46
48
47
52
8
11
11
8
10
8
7
10
14
13
14
9
12
11
10
11
9
7
9
8
25
27
34
29
27
26
28
28
27
28
30
28
30
30
33
31
33
32
33
30
31
31
28
30
32
30
30
28
25
26
28
27
31
27
29
27
28
28
30
31
23
22
19
24
21
26
25
23
24
24
21
26
16
20
19
19
18
20
17
21
13
9
8
9
10
10
10
11
10
9
7
10
11
12
9
12
12
13
11
10
Nov-15
Sep-15
Apr-15
27
62
23
38
24
12
26
34
63
54
6
6
20
28
34
33
29
21
11
12
Nov-15
50
37
25
25
12
25
14
Planned Parenthood
*See below for results among only party members and leaners.
Among registered Republicans and Republican leaners; n=379. Margin of error: +/- 5.0 percentage points.
Net
Net
Very
Mostly
Mostly
Very
Favorable Unfavorable Favorable Favorable Unfavorable Unfavorable
Not
Sure
George W. Bush,
former president of
the United States
Nov-15
77
20
23
54
14
Nov-15
60
26
18
42
19
14
Nov-15
64
12
21
43
24
Nov-15
55
42
21
35
22
20
Sep-15
51
40
19
32
21
19
Nov-15
Sep-15
47
41
40
26
15
13
57
31
49
21
10
12
Nov-15
Sep-15
67
21
26
41
15
11
68
10
32
36
21
Chris Christie,
governor of New
Jersey
Nov-15
53
35
11
43
22
13
11
Sep-15
49
32
10
38
21
11
19
Nov-15
Sep-15
57
22
23
34
17
21
52
26
20
32
17
10
22
Nov-15
54
26
13
40
18
20
Sep-15
57
17
20
37
11
26
Donald Trump, a
businessman from
New York
Net
Net
Very
Mostly
Mostly
Very
Favorable Unfavorable Favorable Favorable Unfavorable Unfavorable
Not
Sure
John Kasich,
governor of Ohio
Nov-15
Sep-15
29
34
25
23
11
37
34
17
26
14
49
Nov-15
38
39
29
25
14
23
Sep-15
36
42
28
29
12
23
Nov-15
Sep-15
67
17
22
45
12
16
60
14
22
38
11
26
Which one of the following Republicans would be your first choice for president? (Read list and rotate.)
And who would your second choice be? (If Uncommitted or Not sure in first choice question, code
second choice as No first choice and do not ask. Read list only if necessary.)
Among registered Republicans and leaners only; n=379. MoE:
5.0% pts.
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal (dropped out, so first choice votes reallocated)
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Uncommitted (VOLonly if respondent says the word
uncommitted.)
Not sure
No first choice
First
(with Jindal reallocated)
Second
6
20
4
9
3
1
3
3
1
3
12
1
24
5
8
17
5
10
6
1
3
1
3
2
14
1
10
1
6
11
Which one of the following Republicans would be your first choice for president? (Read list and rotate.)
And who would your second choice be? (If Uncommitted or Not sure in first choice question, code
second choice as No first choice and do not ask. Read list only if necessary.)
Among registered Republicans and leaners
only; n=379. MoE: 5.0% pts.
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal (dropped out, so first choice
votes reallocated)
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Uncommitted (VOLonly if
respondent says the word
uncommitted.)
Not sure
No first choice
First
Nov-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Second
13
10
n/a
n/a
20
17
16
5
n/a
n/a
4
4
n/a
n/a
10
5
4
n/a
n/a
11
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
3
7
n/a
n/a
1
1
n/a
n/a
4
4
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
2
5
n/a
n/a
12
14
8
6
n/a
n/a
1
2
n/a
n/a
24
10
21
21
n/a
n/a
5
6
n/a
n/a
7
5
12
Nov-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
6
n/a
n/a
11
n/a
n/a
Im going to mention the candidates who are not your first or second choice. For each, please tell me if you
think you could ever support the person for president or would never support the person for president.
(Read appropriate names. Use same rotation as first choice question. If selected as first or second
choice, code as such and do not ask.)
Among registered Republicans and leaners only;
n=379. MoE: 5.0% pts.
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Nov-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Aug-15
Not sure
1st or 2nd
choice
Ever
Never
51
32
39
32
20
40
21
37
40
28
23
52
35
14
34
43
14
44
27
11
19
37
34
19
47
35
34
36
28
24
58
16
23
55
21
45
43
48
30
11
11
30
48
20
37
37
24
26
52
16
26
38
30
18
62
19
19
52
28
41
47
38
38
14
10
46
22
26
47
25
15
12
38
50
10
39
38
18
27
36
34
27
37
29
I have some questions comparing just [BEN CARSON] and [DONALD TRUMP]. Which one do you think:
Among registered Republicans and leaners only;
n=379. MoE: 5.0% pts.
Carson
Trump
Both (VOL)
Not sure
68
25
38
62
52
30
1
2
9
6
32
50
14
20
65
61
24
73
23
26
72
2
2
5
1
6
10
7
3
26
61
29
66
25
55
1
3
2
7
11
14
I have some questions comparing just [TED CRUZ] and [MARCO RUBIO]. Which one do you think:
Among registered Republicans and leaners only; n=379.
MoE: 5.0% pts.
Cruz
Rubio
Both (VOL)
Not sure
28
33
29
47
39
46
4
3
3
20
25
21
36
35
30
31
36
35
36
41
41
36
6
6
6
8
4
23
22
23
20
24
44
36
35
33
2
5
19
26
For each of the following potential candidate concerns, please tell me if this is something that makes you
less supportive of the candidate or does not bother you. (Read list. Rotate.)
Among registered Republicans and leaners only; n=379. MoE: 5.0%
pts.
Less
supportive
Does not
bother
Not
sure
40
57
30
65
27
71
33
66
41
45
4
11
Establishment
Anti-establishment
Neither (VOL)
Not sure
Which ONE of the following factions of the Republican party describes you best as you think about which
candidate to support: (Rotate list.) Among registered Republicans and leaners only; n=379. MoE: 5.0% pts.
10
33
22
14
15
6
Tea party
Christian conservative
Mainstream Republican
Libertarian
National security conservative
Not sure
Questions on Islamic State, Islam, refugees, and terrorism based on interviews on Nov. 16-17; n=628.
Turning now to the conflict involving ISIS, the Islamic State. Do you think the U.S. should or should not
send American troops to Iraq or Syria to fight the Islamic State?
All
n=628
3.9% pts.
44
45
11
Reps
n=230
6.5% pts.
Dems
n=245
6.3% pts.
64
27
9
31
59
11
Should send
Should not send
Not sure
When it comes to the Islamic faith, which of the following is closer to your view? (Rotate options.)
All
n=628
3.9% pts.
Reps
n=230
6.5% pts.
Dems
n=245
6.3% pts.
28
32
17
64
61
76
Which of the following do you think is the best approach for the U.S. to take with refugees fleeing the civil
war in Syria? (Read list. Do not rotate.)
All
n=628
3.9% pts.
Reps
n=230
6.5% pts.
Dems
n=245
6.3% pts.
28
12
46
11
53
8
11
69
7
9
36
9
Given the history between the two nations, do you think it is a good idea or bad idea for the U.S. to enter
into a military coalition with Russia to combat Islamic terrorism?
All
n=628
3.9% pts.
Reps
n=230
6.5% pts.
Dems
n=245
6.3% pts.
53
35
12
59
31
10
50
40
10
Good idea
Bad idea
Not sure
Are you mostly confident or mostly not confident the U.S. has done enough to protect the homeland against
an attack similar to what happened in Paris?
All
n=628
3.9% pts.
Reps
n=230
6.5% pts.
Dems
n=245
6.3% pts.
48
46
6
32
63
6
62
34
4
Mostly confident
Mostly not confident
Not sure
Do you think the unemployment rate is higher or lower than when President Obama took office in 2009?
All
n=1,002
3.1% pts.
Reps
n=379
5.0% pts.
Dems
n=385
5.0% pts.
34
56
10
53
38
9
18
76
6
Higher
Lower
Not sure
President Obama halted the deportion of some immigrants living in the country illegally if they came here
before age 16, have been in the country for five years, have no criminal record, are in school or have a
high school diploma or have been honorably discharged from the military. Do you think this policy should
or should not continue?
All
n=1,002
3.1% pts.
Reps
n=379
5.0% pts.
Dems
n=385
5.0% pts.
63
30
7
50
43
7
77
18
5
Continue
Not continue
Not sure
Some candidates favor rounding up 11 million immigrants in the U.S. illegally and sending them to their
home country. Do you think this is the right way or the wrong way to address the situation?
All
n=1,002
3.1% pts.
Reps
n=379
5.0% pts.
Dems
n=385
5.0% pts.
27
63
10
37
54
9
17
73
9
Right way
Wrong way
Not sure
Compared to:
SELZER & COMPANY
1,001 general population age 18 and over
Margin of error: 3.1 percentage points
Study #2126
September 18-21, 2015
Weighted by age and race
Methodology
Nov 19 (Bloomberg) -- The Bloomberg Politics Poll, conducted November 15-17 for Bloomberg Politics by
Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, IA, is based on interviews with 1,002 U.S. adults ages 18 or older.
Interviewers with Quantel Research contacted households with randomly selected landline and cell phone telephone
numbers supplied by Survey Sampling International. Interviews were administered in English.
Percentages based on the full probability sample may have a maximum margin of error of plus or minus 3.1
percentage points. This means that if this survey were repeated using the same questions and the same methodology,
19 times out of 20, the findings would not vary from the percentages shown here by more than plus or minus 3.1
percentage points. Results based on smaller samples of respondentssuch as by gender or agehave a larger
margin of error. Responses were weighted by age and race to reflect the general population based on recent census
data.
For media inquiries, contact Vidhya Murugesan at vmurugesan@bloomberg.com.
For additional technical information about this study, contact Michelle Yeoman at myeoman@selzerco.com.
Republishing the copyrighted Bloomberg Politics Poll without credit to Bloomberg Politics is prohibited.