Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
FACULTAD DE INGENIERIA
ESCUELA ACADEMICO PROFESIONAL DE INGENIERIA CIVIL
AO ACADMICO: 2014
CICLO: VACACIONAL
ALUMNA:
PRACTICA DOMICILIARIA
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
Q
(m3/s)
83.1
82.8
60.3
65
60.5
57
66.7
58.5
50.9
Ao
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
Q
(m3/s)
65.3
71.5
96.2
88
91.2
56.6
37.5
51.9
88.1
SOLUCION:
a) Distribucin Normal:
AO
198
4
198
5
198
6
198
7
198
8
198
9
199
0
199
1
199
2
199
3
199
4
199
5
Q
37.5
50.9
51.9
56.6
57
58.5
60.3
60.5
65
65.3
66.7
71.5
MEDIA
Q DESV.EST.
F(x)
ORDENADO
S
0.029
37.50
5
0.142
50.90
5
0.156
51.90
7
0.235
56.60
5
0.243
57.00
1
0.272
58.50
7
0.310
60.30
4
0.314
60.50
7
0.417
65.00
8
0.425
65.30
0
0.458
66.70
8
0.575
71.50
3
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
f(x)
0.00410
0
0.01376
7
0.01466
9
0.01880
4
0.01913
3
0.02030
9
0.02157
5
0.02170
4
0.02386
5
0.02395
2
0.02425
3
0.02394
8
68.39
16.36
199
6
199
7
199
8
199
9
200
0
200
1
82.8
82.80
83.1
83.10
88
88.00
88.1
88.10
91.2
91.20
96.2
96.20
0.810
7
0.815
6
0.884
6
0.885
8
0.918
3
0.955
4
0.01654
8
0.01628
1
0.01189
3
0.01180
6
0.00923
0
0.00575
3
Para Tr = 25 aos:
Sabiendo que:
Tr=
1
Pexc .
1
=0.04
25
Pexc . =
z = f ( Pno
exc) =
DISTR.NORM.ESTAND.IN
V(0,96)
z = 1.750686071
y = + z*
68.39 + 1.750686 *
y = 16.36
y = Q = 97.04 m3/seg
-
Para Tr = 50 aos:
Sabiendo que:
Tr=
Pexc . =
1
=0.02
50
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
1
Pexc .
n
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Q
37.5
50.9
51.9
56.6
57
58.5
60.3
60.5
65
65.3
66.7
71.5
82.8
83.1
88
88.1
91.2
96.2
Emprica
0.0526
0.1053
0.1579
0.2105
0.2632
0.3158
0.3684
0.4211
0.4737
0.5263
0.5789
0.6316
0.6842
0.7368
0.7895
0.8421
0.8947
0.9474
F(x)
0.0295
0.1425
0.1567
0.2355
0.2431
0.2727
0.3104
0.3147
0.4178
0.4250
0.4588
0.5753
0.8107
0.8156
0.8846
0.8858
0.9183
0.9554
Delta
0.0231
0.0372
0.0012
0.0250
0.0201
0.0431
0.0580
0.1064
0.0559
0.1013
0.1201
0.0563
0.1265
0.0788
0.0951
0.0437
0.0236
0.0080
DISTR.NORM.ESTAND.IN
V(0,98)
z = 2.053749
y = + z*
68.39 + 2.053749 *
y = 16.36
y = Q = 102.00 m3/seg
Probabilidad de excedencia:
Sabiendo que:
n = 18
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
Clculos:
Emprica: n+1
1.36 1.36
=
=0.3206
n 18
0=
=max|F x P X|=0.68420.8107=0.1265
Respuesta:
AO
1984
1985
1986
Q
37.5
0
50.9
0
51.9
Q
ORDENADOS
y = ln
(x)
37.5
3.6243
50.9
51.9
3.9299
3.9493
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
F(x)
0.010
4
0.140
3
0.158
f(x)
0.111
2
0.899
8
0.976
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
MEDIA
0
56.60
57.00
58.50
60.30
60.50
65.00
65.30
66.70
71.50
82.80
83.10
88.00
88.10
91.20
96.20
56.6
57
4.0360
4.0431
6
0.2577
0.2670
4
1.3033
1.3271
58.5
60.3
60.5
65
65.3
66.7
71.5
82.8
83.1
88
88.1
91.2
96.2
4.0690
0.3025
4.0993
0.3465
4.1026
0.3514
4.1744
0.4634
4.1790
0.4708
4.2002
0.5049
4.2697
0.6152
4.4164
0.8120
4.4200
0.8159
4.4773
0.8710
4.4785
0.8719
4.5131
0.8989
4.5664 4.1971
0.9320
0.2477
1.4088
1.4896
1.4974
1.6036
1.6061
1.6103
1.5428
1.0884
1.0743
0.8495
0.8451
0.7142
0.5302
DESV.EST.
-
Para Tr = 25 aos:
Sabiendo que:
z = f ( Pno
exc) =
DISTR.NORM.ESTAND.INV(0,
96)
z = 1.75068607
y = + z*
y = 4.1971 + 1.750686 * 0.2477
y = 4.6308
y = ln (x)
x = e (y)
x = Q = 102.6 m3/seg
Pexc . =
1
=0.04
25
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
Tr=
1
Pexc .
Para Tr = 50 aos:
Sabiendo que:
Tr=
1
Pexc .
1
=0.02
50
Pexc . =
DISTR.NORM.ESTAND.INV(0,
98)
z = 2.053749
y = + z*
y = 4.1971 + 2.053749 * 0.2477
y = 4.7059
y = ln (x)
x = e (y)
x = Q = 102.6 m3/seg
-
Probabilidad de excedencia:
Sabiendo que:
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
37.5
0
50.9
0
51.9
0
56.6
0
57.0
0
58.5
0
60.3
0
60.5
0
65.0
0
65.3
0
66.7
0
71.5
0
82.8
0
83.1
0
88.0
0
88.1
0
91.2
0
96.2
0
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Empric
a
0.0526
F(x)
delta
0.0422
0.0104
0.1053
0.0350
0.1403
0.1579
0.0007
0.1586
0.2105
0.0472
0.2577
0.2632
0.0038
0.2670
0.3158
0.0133
0.3025
0.3684
0.0219
0.3465
0.4211
0.0696
0.3514
0.4737
0.0103
0.4634
0.5263
0.0555
0.4708
0.5789
0.0740
0.5049
0.6316
0.0164
0.6152
0.6842
0.1278
0.8120
0.7368
0.0790
0.8159
0.7895
0.8710
0.8421
0.0298
0.8719
0.8947
0.0041
0.8989
0.9474
0.0154
0.9320
1.36 1.36
=
=0.3206
n 18
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
Clculos:
Emprica:
0.0815
0=
Respuesta:
n = 18
1
n+1
37.5
0
50.9
0
51.9
0
56.6
0
57.0
0
58.5
0
60.3
0
60.5
0
65.0
0
65.3
0
66.7
0
71.5
0
82.8
0
83.1
0
88.0
0
88.1
0
91.2
0
96.2
0
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
3
1
4
1
5
1
6
1
7
1
8
Empri
ca
0.0526
0.1053
0.1579
0.2105
0.2632
0.3158
0.3684
0.4211
0.4737
0.5263
0.5789
0.6316
0.6842
0.7368
0.7895
0.8421
0.8947
0.9474
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
n
Q
Z
F(Z)
1
37.50 -2.0421 0.0206
2
50.90
-1.11
0.1335
3
51.90 -1.0425 0.1486
4
56.60 -0.7293 0.2329
5
57.00 -0.7029 0.2411
6
58.50 -0.6043 0.2728
F(Z)
7
60.30Delta
-0.4868 0.3132
8
60.50 -0.4738 0.3178
0.020
0.0321
9
65.00
-0.1841
0.427
106 65.30
-0.165
0.4345
0.133
0.0282
11 66.70
-0.076
0.4697
125 71.50
0.2254
0.5892
13 82.80
0.9135
0.8195
0.148
0.0093
146 83.10
0.9314
0.8242
15
88.00
1.2205
0.8889
0.232
0.0224
169 88.10
1.2264
0.89
17
91.20
1.4066
0.9202
0.241
0.0221
181 96.20
1.6931
0.9548
0.272
0.043
8
- Para Tr = 25 aos:
0.313
0.0552
2
Q=97.22 m 3/seg
0.317
0.1032
8
- Para Tr = 50 aos:
0.427
0.0467
0.434
5
0.469
7
0.589
2
0.819
5
0.824
2
0.888
9
0.89
0.0918
0.920
2
0.954
8
0.0255
0.1092
0.0424
0.1353
0.0873
0.0994
0.0479
0.0074
Q=102.63 m3 /seg
-
Probabilidad de excedencia:
Sabiendo que:
n = 18
n
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Clculos:
0=
Q
37.50
50.90
51.90
56.60
57.00
58.50
60.30
60.50
65.00
65.30
66.70
71.50
82.80
83.10
88.00
88.10
91.20
96.20
G(Y)
0.0018
0.1094
0.1293
0.2428
0.2537
0.2954
0.3468
0.3526
0.4806
0.4889
0.5267
0.6439
0.834
0.8375
0.8863
0.8871
0.9103
0.9385
Emprica: n+1
1.36 1.36
=
=0.3206
n 18
Respuesta:
d)
Distribucin Gumbel:
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
Para Tr
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
37.50
50.90
51.90
56.60
57.00
58.50
60.30
60.50
65.00
65.30
66.70
71.50
82.80
83.10
88.00
88.10
91.20
96.20
Empric
a
0.0526
0.1053
0.1579
0.2105
0.2632
0.3158
0.3684
0.4211
0.4737
0.5263
0.5789
0.6316
0.6842
0.7368
0.7895
0.8421
0.8947
0.9474
Q=101.83 m3 /seg
-
Para Tr = 50 aos:
Q=110.81 m 3/seg
Probabilidad de excedencia:
Sabiendo que:
n = 18
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
G(Y)
Delta
0.0018
0.1094
0.1293
0.2428
0.2537
0.2954
0.3468
0.3526
0.4806
0.4889
0.5267
0.6439
0.8340
0.8375
0.8863
0.8871
0.9103
0.9385
0.0508
0.0041
0.0286
0.0323
0.0095
0.0204
0.0216
0.0685
0.007
0.0374
0.0523
0.0124
0.1498
0.1007
0.0968
0.045
0.0156
0.0089
= 25 aos:
200
555
540
580
530
Clculos:
480
370
400
520
570
430
695
250
550
450
880
690
420
610
650
470
730
750
590
320
350
340
780
536
680
630
800
360
690
610
765
420
530
548
290
Emprica: n+1
1.36 1.36
=
=0.3206
n 18
0=
Respuesta:
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
200
250
3
4
290
320
340
350
360
370
9
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
3
1
4
1
5
1
6
1
7
1
8
1
9
2
0
400
420
420
430
450
470
480
520
530
530
536
540
F(Z)
0.018
1
0.037
1
0.062
0
0.088
0.109
4
0.121
4
0.134
4
0.148
2
0.195
2
0.231
1
0.231
1
0.250
3
0.291
2
0.335
0.357
8
0.453
3
0.477
9
0.477
9
0.492
7
0.502
5
2
1
2
2
2
3
2
4
2
5
2
6
2
7
2
8
2
9
3
0
3
1
3
2
3
3
3
4
3
5
3
6
3
7
3
8
3
9
4
0
P=12.14
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
548
550
555
570
580
590
610
610
630
650
680
690
690
695
730
750
765
780
800
880
215
59
0.522
2
0.527
2
0.539
4
0.576
0
0.600
1
0.623
7
0.669
6
0.669
6
0.713
1
0.753
7
0.808
2
0.824
7
0.824
7
0.832
5
0.881
1
0.903
9
0.918
8
0.931
8
0.946
6
0.982
5
1 Q 1 ( 21559 )=538.975 m
Q=
N i=1 i= 40
s
Sabiendo que:
s=161.83
Q=800
m3
s
Calculo de z:
z=
QQ
s
z=
800538.975
=1.612 9
161.83
Interpolando:
1.6100 ----------0.94630
1.6129 ---------- X
1.6200 ----------0.94738
X =0.9466=94.66
Probabilidad de excedencia:
Sabiendo que:
n = 40
n
1
2
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
Q
200
250
EMPIRIC
A
0.0244
0.0488
F(Z)
0.0181
0.0371
Delta
0.0063
0.0117
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
Clculos:
290
320
340
350
360
370
400
420
420
430
450
470
480
520
530
530
536
540
548
550
555
570
580
590
610
610
630
650
680
690
690
695
730
750
765
780
800
880
0.0732
0.0976
0.122
0.1463
0.1707
0.1951
0.2195
0.2439
0.2683
0.2927
0.3171
0.3415
0.3659
0.3902
0.4146
0.439
0.4634
0.4878
0.5122
0.5366
0.561
0.5854
0.6098
0.6341
0.6585
0.6829
0.7073
0.7317
0.7561
0.7805
0.8049
0.8293
0.8537
0.878
0.9024
0.9268
0.9512
0.9756
Emprica: n+1
0=
1.36 1.36
=
=0.2150
n 40
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
0.062
0.088
0.1094
0.1214
0.1344
0.1482
0.1952
0.2311
0.2311
0.2503
0.2912
0.335
0.3578
0.4533
0.4779
0.4779
0.4927
0.5025
0.5222
0.5272
0.5394
0.576
0.6001
0.6237
0.6696
0.6696
0.7131
0.7537
0.8082
0.8247
0.8247
0.8325
0.8811
0.9039
0.9188
0.9318
0.9466
0.9825
0.0112
0.0096
0.0125
0.0249
0.0364
0.0469
0.0243
0.0128
0.0372
0.0423
0.0259
0.0065
0.0081
0.0631
0.0633
0.0389
0.0293
0.0147
0.01
0.0094
0.0215
0.0093
0.0097
0.0104
0.0111
0.0133
0.0058
0.022
0.0522
0.0442
0.0198
0.0032
0.0274
0.0258
0.0163
0.005
0.0046
0.0068
=max|F x P X|=0.41460.4779=0.0633
Respuesta:
1 Q 1 ( 21559 )=538.975 m
Q=
N i=1 i= 40
s
Sabiendo que:
s=161.83
Q=85 0
m
s
Calculo de z:
z=
QQ
s
z=
85 0538.975
=1.923
161.83
Interpolando:
1.920 ----------0.97257
1.923 ---------- X
1.940 ----------0.97320
X =0.97275=97.27
El caudal anual que ocurre con un perodo de retorno de 80 aos.
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
P (Q q ) =1
1
T
P (Q q ) =1
1
80
P (Q q ) =0.9875=F (Z)
Z =2.2415
Pero:
z=
QQ
s
Despejando:
SZ=538.975+161.832.2415=901.72
Q=Q+
m3
s
b) Distribucin Gumbel:
La probabilidad de que un caudal anual, este comprendido entre 350
m3/s y 800 m3/s.
n
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
Q
200
250
290
320
340
350
360
370
400
420
420
430
450
470
480
520
530
530
536
G(Y)
0.0003
0.0039
0.0176
0.0414
0.066
0.0812
0.0983
0.1174
0.1847
0.2366
0.2366
0.264
0.3209
0.3791
0.4082
0.5207
0.5472
0.5472
0.5628
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
540
548
550
555
570
580
590
610
610
630
650
680
690
690
695
730
750
765
780
800
880
0.573
0.5929
0.5978
0.6099
0.6446
0.6666
0.6875
0.7263
0.7263
0.7612
0.7922
0.8323
0.844
0.844
0.8496
0.8838
0.8999
0.9106
0.9202
0.9315
0.9631
ESTRUCTURAS HIDRAULICAS
Probabilidad de excedencia:
P=8.12
P=93.15
Sabiendo que:
n = 40
n
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
Q
200
250
290
320
340
350
360
370
400
420
420
430
450
470
480
520
530
530
536
540
548
550
555
570
580
590
610
610
630
EMPIRIC
A
0.0244
0.0488
0.0732
0.0976
0.122
0.1463
0.1707
0.1951
0.2195
0.2439
0.2683
0.2927
0.3171
0.3415
0.3659
0.3902
0.4146
0.439
0.4634
0.4878
0.5122
0.5366
0.561
0.5854
0.6098
0.6341
0.6585
0.6829
0.7073
G(Y)
0.0003
0.0039
0.0176
0.0414
0.066
0.0812
0.0983
0.1174
0.1847
0.2366
0.2366
0.264
0.3209
0.3791
0.4082
0.5207
0.5472
0.5472
0.5628
0.573
0.5929
0.5978
0.6099
0.6446
0.6666
0.6875
0.7263
0.7263
0.7612
Delta
0.0241
0.0449
0.0556
0.0562
0.0559
0.0651
0.0724
0.0778
0.0348
0.0073
0.0317
0.0287
0.0039
0.0377
0.0423
0.1305
0.1326
0.1082
0.0994
0.0852
0.0807
0.0612
0.0489
0.0593
0.0568
0.0533
0.0678
0.0434
0.0538
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
Clculos:
650
680
690
690
695
730
750
765
780
800
880
0.7317
0.7561
0.7805
0.8049
0.8293
0.8537
0.878
0.9024
0.9268
0.9512
0.9756
0.7922
0.8323
0.844
0.844
0.8496
0.8838
0.8999
0.9106
0.9202
0.9315
0.9631
0.0605
0.0762
0.0635
0.0391
0.0203
0.0301
0.0219
0.0082
0.0066
0.0197
0.0125
Emprica: n+1
1.36 1.36
=
=0.2150
n 40
0=
Respuesta: