Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Iowa
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
5.3%
1. Do you feel America is generally becoming a safer and more secure country, or a more
dangerous and insecure country?
Safer and more secure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
More dangerous and insecure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
2. Do you feel the American economy is moving more toward a system that benefits you, or
more toward a system that makes things harder for you?
Benefits you . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Makes things harder for you . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .66%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
3. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential caucus in Iowa?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .53%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
4. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential caucus?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Lindsey Graham . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
George Pataki . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%
6. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Iowa Democratic Presidential caucus
in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
7. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters
9. Are you discussing the Presidential race with friends and family these days, either in person
or online?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Yes, and Im telling people why they should vote for [Candidate Name] too 42%
Yes, but I dont always mention my support for [Candidate Name] . . . . . . . .46%
No, not discussing it much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
10. For each candidate, please check the box if the phrase describes them. Check all that
apply.
Asked of Republican primary voters
Donald Trump
Ben Carson
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
Electable
41%
35%
50%
63%
Someone I
can relate to
28%
53%
32%
46%
Prepared
29%
22%
48%
61%
Effective
42%
25%
36%
55%
11. Which of these has impacted your vote choice recently? Check all that apply.
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters
13. Whether or not you agree, do the things Donald Trump says generally make you...
Asked of Republican primary voters
Glad someone says them, they need to be said and discussed . . . . . . . . . . 74%
Unhappy someone says them, they dont belong in a Presidential campaign
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Dont care either way . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
14. Even though you are supporting Hillary Clinton, how would you describe your view of what
Bernie Sanders is saying in the campaign?
Asked of Clinton supporters
I generally like what Bernie Sanders is saying, but I like Hillary Clinton better
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78%
I generally do not like what Bernie Sanders is saying . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
I havent heard enough from Bernie Sanders yet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
15. Even though you are supporting Bernie Sanders, how would you describe your view of
what Hillary Clinton is saying in the campaign?
Asked of Sanders supporters
I generally like what Hillary Clinton is saying, but I like Bernie Sanders better
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74%
I generally do not like what Hillary Clinton is saying . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
I havent heard enough from Hillary Clinton yet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
17. Do you think Hillary Clinton has been too critical of Bernie Sanders, not critical enough, or
has her approach been about right?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
18. Do you think the U.S. should temporarily ban Muslims from other countries from entering
the United States, or not?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters
Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.
Earlier responses were used where available.
24. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
6%
75%
19%
7%
71%
22%
4%
79%
17%
9%
76%
15%
5%
75%
21%
5%
73%
21%
4%
79%
17%
5%
76%
19%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,252)
(632)
(620)
(194)
(208)
(545)
(305)
(1,192)
(14)
(9)
(38)
2. Trend of Economy
Do you feel the American economy is moving more toward a system that benefits you, or more toward a system that makes things harder for you?
Gender
Benefits you
Makes things harder for you
Neither
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
12%
66%
22%
11%
67%
22%
12%
66%
22%
18%
64%
18%
10%
68%
23%
10%
68%
22%
12%
65%
23%
11%
67%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,249)
(630)
(619)
(194)
(208)
(544)
(303)
(1,189)
(14)
(9)
(38)
3. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential caucus in Iowa?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
53%
14%
8%
8%
12%
4%
52%
16%
10%
5%
15%
3%
54%
13%
7%
10%
10%
6%
50%
21%
10%
0%
14%
6%
44%
13%
18%
9%
5%
10%
56%
14%
6%
10%
13%
0%
57%
11%
5%
7%
15%
6%
53%
14%
8%
8%
12%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,252)
(632)
(620)
(194)
(208)
(545)
(305)
(1,192)
(14)
(9)
(38)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
33%
34%
19%
14%
29%
38%
18%
16%
37%
31%
20%
12%
30%
31%
16%
23%
29%
36%
12%
23%
33%
34%
20%
12%
36%
35%
23%
6%
33%
34%
20%
14%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,252)
(632)
(620)
(194)
(208)
(545)
(305)
(1,192)
(14)
(9)
(38)
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
2%
6%
1%
40%
2%
0%
0%
2%
1%
0%
2%
12%
1%
31%
0%
2%
5%
0%
43%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
15%
1%
29%
1%
3%
8%
1%
36%
3%
0%
0%
4%
1%
0%
3%
8%
0%
32%
1%
3%
5%
0%
42%
1%
0%
0%
0%
6%
0%
4%
10%
0%
28%
1%
3%
14%
0%
37%
5%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
6%
1%
30%
1%
3%
7%
1%
36%
1%
0%
0%
4%
0%
0%
2%
13%
0%
32%
1%
1%
2%
0%
49%
2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
13%
1%
30%
0%
3%
6%
1%
41%
2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
2%
12%
1%
31%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(533)
(305)
(228)
(56)
(89)
(245)
(143)
(504)
(0)
(11)
(18)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
50%
4%
45%
1%
44%
8%
47%
1%
54%
2%
44%
1%
28%
1%
71%
0%
54%
0%
46%
0%
50%
5%
44%
1%
59%
7%
33%
1%
49%
4%
46%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(456)
(182)
(275)
(67)
(71)
(197)
(121)
(439)
(11)
(0)
(5)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
31%
42%
25%
2%
35%
39%
22%
4%
25%
45%
28%
2%
14%
50%
15%
20%
33%
49%
17%
0%
32%
39%
28%
1%
33%
37%
27%
2%
31%
43%
22%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(528)
(303)
(225)
(55)
(88)
(243)
(142)
(499)
(0)
(11)
(18)
Gender
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
57%
37%
5%
55%
39%
6%
59%
36%
5%
64%
25%
11%
68%
24%
8%
48%
48%
5%
63%
36%
1%
58%
38%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(453)
(180)
(273)
(67)
(71)
(195)
(120)
(436)
(11)
(0)
(5)
Gender
Yes, and Im telling people why they
should vote for [Candidate Name] too
Yes, but I dont always mention my
support for [Candidate Name]
No, not discussing it much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
42%
49%
32%
33%
43%
50%
29%
43%
46%
12%
43%
8%
51%
17%
63%
3%
47%
10%
40%
9%
50%
21%
45%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(526)
(303)
(224)
(55)
(88)
(242)
(142)
(497)
(0)
(11)
(18)
Gender
Electable
Someone I can relate to
Prepared
Effective
Totals
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
41%
28%
29%
42%
48%
33%
37%
46%
31%
23%
18%
37%
28%
6%
50%
38%
45%
24%
24%
45%
39%
31%
32%
48%
45%
36%
18%
32%
42%
29%
30%
42%
(534)
(305)
(229)
(56)
(89)
(246)
(143)
(505)
(0)
(11)
(18)
10
Gender
Electable
Someone I can relate to
Prepared
Effective
Totals
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
35%
53%
22%
25%
38%
56%
21%
25%
32%
48%
24%
25%
44%
54%
41%
35%
47%
46%
24%
29%
35%
51%
21%
20%
27%
58%
16%
27%
36%
53%
23%
25%
(534)
(305)
(229)
(56)
(89)
(246)
(143)
(505)
(0)
(11)
(18)
11
Gender
Electable
Someone I can relate to
Prepared
Effective
Totals
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
50%
32%
48%
36%
53%
32%
51%
35%
47%
33%
45%
36%
44%
32%
66%
50%
48%
19%
34%
20%
51%
38%
48%
35%
54%
30%
51%
41%
51%
33%
50%
37%
(534)
(305)
(229)
(56)
(89)
(246)
(143)
(505)
(0)
(11)
(18)
12
Gender
Electable
Someone I can relate to
Prepared
Effective
Totals
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
63%
46%
61%
55%
70%
50%
64%
58%
54%
41%
56%
50%
66%
49%
84%
73%
75%
38%
64%
52%
56%
53%
64%
56%
67%
38%
44%
49%
65%
45%
60%
54%
(534)
(305)
(229)
(56)
(89)
(246)
(143)
(505)
(0)
(11)
(18)
13
Gender
How candidates performed at debates
How candidates reacted to news
events
How candidates handled interviews,
speeches, and TV appearances
Seeing or meeting the candidates in
person in [state]
Totals
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
48%
51%
46%
54%
50%
51%
39%
47%
54%
57%
51%
67%
57%
53%
49%
55%
75%
77%
73%
80%
69%
78%
72%
76%
25%
25%
25%
34%
20%
28%
18%
25%
(993)
(487)
(506)
(124)
(160)
(443)
(266)
(947)
(11)
(11)
(23)
14
Gender
The economy and jobs
National security and terrorism
Matters of faith and religious values
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
18%
61%
21%
23%
59%
18%
10%
64%
26%
15%
36%
50%
22%
53%
25%
20%
60%
19%
12%
77%
11%
18%
62%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(534)
(305)
(229)
(56)
(89)
(246)
(143)
(505)
(0)
(11)
(18)
15
Gender
Glad someone says them, they need
to be said and discussed
Unhappy someone says them, they
dont belong in a Presidential
campaign
Dont care either way
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
74%
79%
68%
40%
69%
78%
85%
75%
21%
5%
16%
4%
27%
6%
58%
2%
18%
13%
17%
6%
14%
0%
20%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(534)
(305)
(229)
(56)
(89)
(246)
(143)
(505)
(0)
(11)
(18)
16
Gender
I generally like what Bernie Sanders is
saying, but I like Hillary Clinton better
I generally do not like what Bernie
Sanders is saying
I havent heard enough from Bernie
Sanders yet
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
78%
86%
74%
87%
78%
79%
12%
3%
16%
6%
20%
12%
10%
11%
10%
7%
2%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(80)
(147)
100%
(228)
(99)
(71)
(215)
(19)
(38)
(10)
(0)
(3)
17
Gender
I generally like what Hillary Clinton is
saying, but I like Bernie Sanders
better
I generally do not like what Hillary
Clinton is saying
I havent heard enough from Hillary
Clinton yet
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
74%
77%
73%
66%
74%
21%
14%
27%
28%
22%
4%
10%
0%
7%
4%
100%
100%
100%
(121)
100%
(86)
100%
(207)
(48)
(32)
(86)
(40)
(203)
(2)
(0)
(2)
18
Gender
Too critical
Not critical enough
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
10%
9%
81%
5%
13%
82%
13%
6%
81%
7%
11%
83%
12%
6%
82%
11%
11%
77%
8%
5%
87%
10%
8%
82%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(456)
(181)
(275)
(67)
(71)
(196)
(121)
(439)
(11)
(0)
(5)
19
Gender
Too critical
Not critical enough
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
12%
4%
84%
10%
4%
86%
14%
3%
83%
23%
1%
76%
11%
4%
86%
14%
5%
81%
4%
3%
93%
13%
4%
84%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(450)
(176)
(274)
(67)
(71)
(192)
(119)
(433)
(11)
(0)
(5)
20
Gender
Should ban
Should not ban
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
50%
50%
55%
45%
45%
55%
23%
77%
50%
50%
56%
44%
54%
46%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(978)
(482)
(496)
(121)
(160)
(431)
(266)
(933)
(11)
(11)
(22)
21
6.9%
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
1%
95%
4%
0%
96%
4%
1%
95%
4%
1%
97%
2%
2%
93%
6%
1%
95%
5%
2%
95%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(146)
(250)
100%
(534)
(245)
(261)
(285)
(189)
(37)
Gender
Safer and more secure
More dangerous and insecure
Neither
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
1%
95%
4%
1%
94%
5%
1%
96%
3%
5%
93%
2%
0%
94%
6%
1%
94%
5%
0%
98%
2%
1%
95%
4%
2%
94%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(534)
(305)
(229)
(56)
(89)
(246)
(143)
(419)
(100)
2. Trend of Economy
Do you feel the American economy is moving more toward a system that benefits you, or more toward a system that makes things harder for you?
Ideology
Benefits you
Makes things harder for you
Neither
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
2%
88%
10%
1%
94%
5%
0%
87%
13%
0%
91%
9%
2%
86%
11%
1%
90%
9%
3%
85%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(145)
(248)
100%
(531)
(242)
(261)
(284)
(187)
(37)
Gender
Benefits you
Makes things harder for you
Neither
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
2%
88%
10%
3%
85%
13%
0%
93%
7%
5%
72%
23%
2%
92%
6%
0%
91%
8%
2%
86%
11%
2%
87%
12%
1%
92%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(531)
(303)
(228)
(56)
(89)
(245)
(141)
(416)
(100)
Ideology
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
2%
6%
1%
40%
2%
0%
0%
2%
1%
0%
2%
12%
1%
31%
0%
0%
5%
0%
66%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
10%
1%
16%
1%
3%
6%
1%
34%
2%
0%
0%
4%
0%
0%
2%
12%
1%
35%
1%
2%
7%
0%
52%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
6%
0%
28%
1%
2%
6%
1%
30%
3%
0%
0%
4%
1%
0%
3%
16%
1%
33%
1%
2%
7%
1%
47%
2%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
2%
8%
1%
24%
1%
3%
5%
1%
28%
2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
2%
17%
0%
38%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(146)
(250)
100%
(533)
(245)
(261)
(285)
(189)
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Tea Party
(37)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
2%
6%
1%
40%
2%
0%
0%
2%
1%
0%
2%
12%
2%
5%
0%
43%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
15%
3%
8%
1%
36%
3%
0%
0%
4%
1%
0%
3%
8%
3%
5%
0%
42%
1%
0%
0%
0%
6%
0%
4%
10%
3%
14%
0%
37%
5%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
6%
3%
7%
1%
36%
1%
0%
0%
4%
0%
0%
2%
13%
1%
2%
0%
49%
2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
13%
2%
6%
1%
42%
2%
0%
0%
2%
1%
0%
2%
14%
4%
9%
0%
34%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
3%
4%
Gender
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
1%
31%
0%
1%
29%
1%
0%
32%
1%
0%
28%
2%
1%
30%
1%
0%
32%
1%
1%
30%
0%
1%
27%
1%
0%
41%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(533)
(305)
(228)
(56)
(89)
(245)
(143)
(418)
(100)
Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
31%
42%
25%
2%
38%
49%
13%
0%
23%
37%
35%
5%
38%
43%
18%
1%
23%
41%
31%
5%
33%
40%
23%
5%
30%
42%
27%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(145)
(249)
100%
(528)
(242)
(258)
(282)
(186)
(37)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
31%
42%
25%
2%
35%
39%
22%
4%
25%
45%
28%
2%
14%
50%
15%
20%
33%
49%
17%
0%
32%
39%
28%
1%
33%
37%
27%
2%
28%
43%
26%
4%
41%
40%
17%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(528)
(303)
(225)
(55)
(88)
(243)
(142)
(414)
(100)
Ideology
Yes, and Im telling people why they
should vote for [Candidate Name] too
Yes, but I dont always mention my
support for [Candidate Name]
No, not discussing it much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
42%
52%
35%
47%
37%
42%
40%
46%
12%
39%
9%
55%
10%
45%
8%
47%
16%
45%
13%
49%
11%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(145)
(247)
100%
(526)
(241)
(258)
(282)
(185)
(37)
Gender
Yes, and Im telling people why they
should vote for [Candidate Name] too
Yes, but I dont always mention my
support for [Candidate Name]
No, not discussing it much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
42%
49%
32%
33%
43%
50%
29%
42%
43%
46%
12%
43%
8%
51%
17%
63%
3%
47%
10%
40%
9%
50%
21%
45%
13%
50%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(526)
(303)
(224)
(55)
(88)
(242)
(142)
(412)
(100)
Ideology
Electable
Someone I can relate to
Prepared
Effective
Totals
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
41%
28%
29%
42%
46%
31%
39%
46%
36%
24%
27%
41%
55%
34%
38%
55%
27%
22%
21%
31%
39%
26%
28%
41%
36%
30%
23%
42%
(534)
(146)
(250)
(245)
(261)
(285)
(189)
(37)
Gender
Electable
Someone I can relate to
Prepared
Effective
Totals
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
41%
28%
29%
42%
48%
33%
37%
46%
31%
23%
18%
37%
28%
6%
50%
38%
45%
24%
24%
45%
39%
31%
32%
48%
45%
36%
18%
32%
37%
29%
28%
41%
56%
27%
32%
42%
(534)
(305)
(229)
(56)
(89)
(246)
(143)
(419)
(100)
Ideology
Electable
Someone I can relate to
Prepared
Effective
Totals
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
35%
53%
22%
25%
33%
61%
19%
27%
36%
51%
22%
22%
42%
54%
25%
28%
29%
52%
19%
21%
41%
55%
24%
29%
27%
52%
18%
20%
(534)
(146)
(250)
(245)
(261)
(285)
(189)
(37)
Gender
Electable
Someone I can relate to
Prepared
Effective
Totals
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
35%
53%
22%
25%
38%
56%
21%
25%
32%
48%
24%
25%
44%
54%
41%
35%
47%
46%
24%
29%
35%
51%
21%
20%
27%
58%
16%
27%
36%
52%
23%
25%
37%
61%
22%
25%
(534)
(305)
(229)
(56)
(89)
(246)
(143)
(419)
(100)
Ideology
Electable
Someone I can relate to
Prepared
Effective
Totals
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
50%
32%
48%
36%
49%
26%
55%
33%
50%
33%
46%
39%
53%
30%
49%
36%
47%
33%
49%
35%
48%
34%
46%
34%
49%
27%
51%
36%
(534)
(146)
(250)
(245)
(261)
(285)
(189)
(37)
Gender
Electable
Someone I can relate to
Prepared
Effective
Totals
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
50%
32%
48%
36%
53%
32%
51%
35%
47%
33%
45%
36%
44%
32%
66%
50%
48%
19%
34%
20%
51%
38%
48%
35%
54%
30%
51%
41%
54%
37%
52%
41%
38%
14%
35%
14%
(534)
(305)
(229)
(56)
(89)
(246)
(143)
(419)
(100)
Ideology
Electable
Someone I can relate to
Prepared
Effective
Totals
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
63%
46%
61%
55%
82%
59%
66%
66%
58%
46%
62%
55%
77%
57%
71%
65%
50%
36%
53%
46%
69%
49%
63%
57%
54%
39%
59%
53%
(534)
(146)
(250)
(245)
(261)
(285)
(189)
(37)
Gender
Electable
Someone I can relate to
Prepared
Effective
Totals
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
63%
46%
61%
55%
70%
50%
64%
58%
54%
41%
56%
50%
66%
49%
84%
73%
75%
38%
64%
52%
56%
53%
64%
56%
67%
38%
44%
49%
64%
50%
62%
58%
60%
31%
55%
45%
(534)
(305)
(229)
(56)
(89)
(246)
(143)
(419)
(100)
10
Ideology
How candidates performed at debates
How candidates reacted to news
events
How candidates handled interviews,
speeches, and TV appearances
Seeing or meeting the candidates in
person in [state]
Totals
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
54%
66%
47%
56%
52%
54%
56%
60%
64%
62%
59%
64%
61%
65%
78%
82%
74%
76%
79%
78%
76%
23%
27%
24%
22%
26%
25%
24%
(534)
(146)
(250)
(245)
(261)
(285)
(189)
(37)
Gender
How candidates performed at debates
How candidates reacted to news
events
How candidates handled interviews,
speeches, and TV appearances
Seeing or meeting the candidates in
person in [state]
Totals
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
54%
54%
54%
50%
54%
60%
46%
57%
41%
60%
63%
56%
76%
64%
59%
54%
59%
61%
78%
83%
72%
77%
72%
82%
75%
77%
81%
23%
24%
23%
42%
22%
25%
13%
24%
20%
(534)
(305)
(229)
(56)
(89)
(246)
(143)
(419)
(100)
11
Ideology
The economy and jobs
National security and terrorism
Matters of faith and religious values
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
18%
61%
21%
13%
61%
26%
17%
65%
18%
16%
69%
15%
19%
56%
26%
12%
58%
29%
26%
66%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(146)
(250)
100%
(534)
(245)
(261)
(285)
(189)
(37)
Gender
The economy and jobs
National security and terrorism
Matters of faith and religious values
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
18%
61%
21%
23%
59%
18%
10%
64%
26%
15%
36%
50%
22%
53%
25%
20%
60%
19%
12%
77%
11%
17%
59%
24%
21%
69%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(534)
(305)
(229)
(56)
(89)
(246)
(143)
(419)
(100)
12
Ideology
Glad someone says them, they need
to be said and discussed
Unhappy someone says them, they
dont belong in a Presidential
campaign
Dont care either way
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
74%
75%
76%
90%
60%
69%
82%
21%
5%
21%
4%
19%
4%
5%
4%
35%
5%
24%
7%
16%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(146)
(250)
100%
(534)
(245)
(261)
(285)
(189)
(37)
Gender
Glad someone says them, they need
to be said and discussed
Unhappy someone says them, they
dont belong in a Presidential
campaign
Dont care either way
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
74%
79%
68%
40%
69%
78%
85%
70%
89%
21%
5%
16%
4%
27%
6%
58%
2%
18%
13%
17%
6%
14%
0%
24%
5%
6%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(534)
(305)
(229)
(56)
(89)
(246)
(143)
(419)
(100)
13
Ideology
Should ban
Should not ban
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
77%
23%
83%
17%
78%
22%
89%
11%
67%
33%
75%
25%
80%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(144)
(247)
100%
(526)
(242)
(256)
(281)
(186)
(36)
Gender
Should ban
Should not ban
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
77%
23%
77%
23%
78%
22%
43%
57%
73%
27%
80%
20%
88%
12%
74%
26%
90%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(526)
(300)
(226)
(54)
(89)
(241)
(143)
(412)
(100)
14
8.6%
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
15%
51%
34%
26%
41%
33%
16%
59%
25%
14%
41%
45%
18%
35%
47%
13%
62%
25%
22%
53%
25%
10%
63%
27%
16%
44%
40%
12%
56%
32%
17%
53%
30%
8%
43%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(459)
(98)
(95)
(133)
(182)
(277)
(67)
(71)
(197)
(123)
(357)
(96)
2. Trend of Economy
Do you feel the American economy is moving more toward a system that benefits you, or more toward a system that makes things harder for you?
Ideology
Benefits you
Makes things harder for you
Neither
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
24%
54%
22%
36%
48%
16%
28%
46%
26%
19%
54%
26%
22%
61%
17%
26%
49%
26%
34%
49%
17%
25%
51%
24%
23%
56%
22%
20%
54%
26%
29%
48%
22%
6%
72%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(459)
(98)
(95)
(133)
(182)
(277)
(67)
(71)
(197)
(123)
(357)
(95)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
50%
4%
45%
1%
44%
1%
55%
0%
50%
3%
46%
1%
60%
5%
35%
1%
44%
8%
47%
1%
54%
2%
44%
1%
28%
1%
71%
0%
54%
0%
46%
0%
50%
5%
44%
1%
59%
7%
33%
1%
53%
4%
42%
1%
40%
6%
54%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(456)
(98)
(95)
(133)
(182)
(275)
(67)
(71)
(197)
(121)
(354)
(96)
Ideology
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
57%
37%
5%
71%
23%
6%
61%
30%
9%
49%
50%
2%
55%
39%
6%
59%
36%
5%
64%
25%
11%
68%
24%
8%
48%
48%
5%
63%
36%
1%
60%
35%
4%
45%
48%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(453)
(97)
(93)
(132)
(180)
(273)
(67)
(71)
(195)
(120)
(352)
(95)
Ideology
How candidates performed at debates
How candidates reacted to news
events
How candidates handled interviews,
speeches, and TV appearances
Seeing or meeting the candidates in
person in [state]
Totals
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
41%
45%
54%
37%
45%
38%
58%
46%
41%
30%
43%
32%
48%
57%
63%
43%
47%
48%
60%
49%
45%
44%
45%
56%
72%
70%
83%
62%
68%
74%
82%
65%
72%
70%
70%
79%
26%
24%
35%
33%
26%
27%
27%
16%
31%
24%
30%
14%
(459)
(98)
(95)
(133)
(182)
(277)
(67)
(71)
(197)
(123)
(357)
(96)
Ideology
I generally like what Bernie Sanders is
saying, but I like Hillary Clinton better
I generally do not like what Bernie
Sanders is saying
I havent heard enough from Bernie
Sanders yet
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
78%
86%
86%
74%
87%
78%
76%
12%
10%
3%
16%
6%
20%
13%
10%
4%
11%
10%
7%
2%
11%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(80)
(147)
100%
(79)
(99)
(71)
(189)
100%
(228)
(43)
(48)
(19)
(38)
(38)
Ideology
I generally like what Hillary Clinton is
saying, but I like Bernie Sanders
better
I generally do not like what Hillary
Clinton is saying
I havent heard enough from Hillary
Clinton yet
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
74%
78%
77%
73%
66%
83%
57%
21%
18%
14%
27%
28%
13%
43%
4%
4%
10%
0%
7%
4%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(121)
100%
(86)
100%
(54)
100%
(207)
(150)
(51)
(43)
(47)
(48)
(32)
(86)
(40)
Ideology
Too critical
Not critical enough
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
10%
9%
81%
5%
11%
84%
8%
16%
76%
8%
6%
86%
5%
13%
82%
13%
6%
81%
7%
11%
83%
12%
6%
82%
11%
11%
77%
8%
5%
87%
11%
7%
81%
3%
13%
84%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(456)
(98)
(94)
(133)
(181)
(275)
(67)
(71)
(196)
(121)
(354)
(96)
Ideology
Too critical
Not critical enough
About right
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
12%
4%
84%
15%
1%
84%
7%
4%
89%
10%
0%
90%
10%
4%
86%
14%
3%
83%
23%
1%
76%
11%
4%
86%
14%
5%
81%
4%
3%
93%
11%
4%
85%
17%
3%
80%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(450)
(98)
(94)
(133)
(176)
(274)
(67)
(71)
(192)
(119)
(348)
(95)
Ideology
Should ban
Should not ban
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
18%
82%
11%
89%
5%
95%
20%
80%
19%
81%
18%
82%
7%
93%
20%
80%
24%
76%
14%
86%
18%
82%
23%
77%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(452)
(98)
(95)
(133)
(182)
(270)
(67)
(71)
(190)
(123)
(350)
(96)
10