Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
1999
2000
2001
2002
$ 48.5
$ 49.1
$ 53.7
$ 54.8
$ 55.3
32.6
33.1
35.9
37.2
37.9
10.7
11.1
11.5
11.9
12.3
2.0
2.3
2.4
2.3
2.1
Operations
Sales
Cost of Goods
Selling, General and
Administrative Costs
Depreciation Expense
Interest Expense
.4
.7
.8
.8
.8
2.8
1.9
3.1
2.6
2.2
Taxes
1.1
.8
1.2
1.0
.9
Net Income
$1.7
$1.1
$1.9
$1.6
$1.3
O/P Income
3.201
2.6023
3.9201
3.3976
2.9862
Cost of Goods
67%
67%
67%
68%
69%
22%
23%
21%
22%
22%
Operating Income
6.6%
5.3%
7.3%
6.2%
5.4%
$ 2.91
$ 1.88
$ 3.25
$ 2.74
$ 2.23
Percentage of Sales
Stockholder Information
Earnings Per Share
Dividends Per Share
1.60
1.60
1.60
1.60
1.60
49.40
49.68
51.33
52.47
53.10
Market Price
33-46
35-48
29-41
25-33
23-32
Price/Earnings Ratio
11-16
10-26
9-13
9-12
10-14
Shares Outstanding
584,000
584,000
584,000
584,000
584,000
68.54%
22.24%
3.80%
1.45%
3.98%
1.63%
2.35%
(millions of dollars)
Cash
$ 1
Accounts Receivable
Inventories
Other
Other
18
1
Current Assets
28
19
Total Assets
Accounts Payable
$ 47
53
173
Sales/Total Assets
1.18
$ 2
2
Current Liabilities
Long-term Debt
12
Net Worth
31
Total
$ 47
Debt as % Capital
28%
1.52
1999
2000
2001
2002
Sales
$ 45
$ 97
$ 99
$ 98
$ 100
Net Income
1.97
3.20
3.20
1.13
2.98
$ 25
$ 46
$ 49
$ 41
$ 46
11
15
10
13
19
35
34
31
33
Long-term Debt
10
18
16
15
17
Shareholders Equity
21
36
40
41
41
$ .78
$ .61
$ .59
$ .21
$ .54
0.20
8.31
6.86
7.37
7.38
7.45
Market Price
6-17
10-18
7-18
4-10
5-8
Price/Earnings Ratio
8-22
16-30
12-31
19-48
9-15
Shares Outstanding
2,525,600
5,245,900
5,430,100
5,510,000
5,501,000
Operations
Financial Position
Current Assets
Current Liabilities
Stockholders Information
Earnings Per Share
Dividends Per Share
Forecasts
2002
Sales
2003
2004
2005
2006
$ 55.3
$ 58.6
$ 62.1
$ 65.9
$ 69.8
Cost of Goods
37.9
39.8
41.6
43.5
45.4
Gross Profit
17.4
18.8
20.5
22.4
24.4
12.3
12.3
12.4
12.5
13.3
Depreciation
2.1
2.3
2.5
2.7
2.9
EBIT
3.0
4.2
5.6
7.2
8.2
Tax @ 40%
1.2
1.7
2.2
2.9
3.3
EBIAT
$ 1.8
$ 2.5
$ 3.4
$ 4.3
$ 4.9
CoGS % Sales
69%
68%
67%
66%
65%
22%
21%
20%
19%
19%
$ 19.0
$ 20.7
$ 21.7
$ 22.6
(4.0)
(3.5)
(3.6)
(3.8)
2.3
2.5
2.7
2.9
$ 20.7
$ 21.7
$ 22.6
$ 23.5
2007 to Infinity
$ 69.8
45.4
24.4
13.3
2.9
8.2
3.3
$ 4.9
65%
19%
$ 23.5
(2.9)
2.9
$ 23.5
Net Income
Shares Outstanding (mil)
Earnings Per Share
(millions of dollars
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
$ 11.0
$ 11.9
$ 12.8
$ 13.8
$ 15.0
4.21
4.21
4.21
4.21
4.21
$ 2.61
$ 2.83
$ 3.04
$ 3.27
$ 3.56
Idex Corp.
Lincoln Electric
Snap On Inc.
Stanley Works
55
77
47
61
96
77
53
Inventory % Sales
12%
18%
13%
17%
18%
16%
33%
17%
13%
20%
15%
10%
15%
5%
Return on Capital
21%
9%
10%
12%
11%
14%
4%
3.8
3.2
7.1
11.5
7.8
9.3
3.5
28%
D/E
Equity%cap.
0.388889
0.37 0.587302
0.63
98%
52%
30%
27%
29%
40%
market values
29%
37%
20%
17%
19%
24%
BB-
BB+
BBB
A+
$ 712
$ 1,443
$ 1,191
$ 1,145
$ 1,861
$ 3,014
$ 29
55
119
98
90
129
234
1.80
EBIAT Multiple
12.8
12.1
12.2
12.7
14.4
12.9
16.1
Share Price
$ 42
$ 42
$ 29
$ 22
$ 26
$ 27
$ 30
2.80
3.20
2.00
1.78
1.80
2.32
2.32
Price/Earnings
15.0
13.1
14.5
12.4
14.4
11.6
13.5
Equity Beta
1.00
1.00
1.00
.75
1.05
.95
Tax
Asset Beta
.71
.63
.80
.63
.85
.73
Bond Rating
Value of Firm ($ mil)
EBIAT ($ mil)
40%
0.98047619
Treasury Bonds
4.10%
AA
BBB
BB
4.52%
5.07%
6.07%
7.96%
Re
II. Estimated Market Risk Premium = 5.5% over 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bonds
NN
Rd
Rwacc
III. Median Values of Key Ratios by Standard & Poors Rating Category
AAA
AA
BBB
BB
B BBB
Robertson
Times Interest Earned (X)
27.3
18.0
10.4
5.9
3.4
31.0
25.2
21.4
25.4
12.8
19.7
7.6
15.1
4.6
12.5
12.6
6
36.1
15
38.4
118
43.7
213
51.9
297
IV. Debt and Times Interest Earned Ratios for Selected Industries
AAA
AA
BBB
BB
Food Processing
Debt % Capital
Times Interest Earned
44%
7.9
51%
6.7
54%
4.3
53%
2.9
Electrical Equipment
Debt % Capital
Times Interest Earned
36%
7.3
48%
3.2
72%
1.6
Electric Utilities
Debt % Capital
46%
54%
57%
73%
4.0
3.4
2.7
2.0
1.5 3.5
2.3 6.375
8.8
74.9 37%
345
Rf
=
=
=
Robertson Corporation
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
Operating Scenario
1
Mid Year Convention
Y
Sales
% Growth
Cost of Goods
Gross Profit
% Margin
Selling, General and
EBITDA
%Margin
Depreciation Expense
EBIT
%Margin
Taxes
EBIAT
Plus:Depreciation and amort.
Historical Period
1998
1999
2000
$ 48.5
$ 49.1
$ 53.7
NA
1.24%
9.37%
32.6
33.1
35.9
$ 15.90 $ 16.00 $ 17.80
32.78%
32.59%
33.15%
10.7
11.1
11.5
5.2
4.9
6.3
10.7%
10.0%
11.7%
2
2.3
2.4
3.2
2.6
3.9
6.6%
5.3%
7.3%
1.28
1.04
1.56
1.92
1.56
2.34
2
2.3
2.4
Less:Inc.(dec.) in NWC
Unlevered FCF
WACC
8.97%
Discount Period
Discount Factor
PV of FCF
Enterprise Value
Cumulative PV of FCF
Terminal Value
Terminal Year EBITDA
Exit Multiple
Terminal Value
Discount Factor
PV of terminal Value
% of Enterprize Value
11.1
2.86x
31.746
0.650827
$ 20.66
72%
Enterprise Value
$ 28.90
$
WACC
8.23
28.90
1.9x
Enterprise Value
Exit Multiple
2.4x
2.9x
WACC
8.0%
8.5%
9.0%
9.5%
10.0%
WACC
28.93
8.0%
8.5%
9.0%
9.5%
10.0%
1.9x
Period
CAGR
2001 ('98-'01)
$ 54.8
3.10%
2.05%
37.2
$ 17.60 2.57%
32.12%
11.9
###
2.32%
10.4%
2.3
###
1.53%
6.2%
1.36
2.04
1.53%
2.3
2002
2003
$ 55.3
$ 58.6
0.91%
5.97%
37.9
39.8
17.4
$ 18.80
31.46%
32.08%
12.3
12.3
5.1
6.5
9.2%
11.1%
2.1
2.3
3
4.2
5.4%
7.2%
1.2
1.68
1.8
2.52
2.1
2.3
-4
$
Projection Period
CAGR
2004
2005
2006
$ 62.1
$ 65.9
$ 69.8 4.47%
5.97%
6.12%
5.92%
41.6
43.5
45.4
$ 20.50 $ 22.40 $ 24.40 6.74%
33.01%
33.99%
34.96%
12.4
12.5
13.3
8.1
###
11.1
14.31%
13.0%
15.0%
15.9%
2.5
2.7
2.9
5.6
###
8.2
18.21%
9.0%
10.9%
11.7%
2.24
2.88
3.28
3.36
4.32
4.92
18.21%
2.5
2.7
2.9
-3.5
-3.6
-3.8
0.82 $
2.36 $
3.42
4.02
1
2
3
4
5
0.917684 0.84214349 0.772821 0.709206 0.6508265
$
0.75 $
1.99 $
2.64 $
2.85
Enterprize Value
Less:Total Debt
Less: Preferred Stock
Less: Non Controlling Interest
Plus: Cash and Cash Equivalents
28.90
-12
$ 1
Implied Perpetuity
Growth Rate
16.90
0.5840
28.93
Value
tiple
3.9x
-0.01%
WACC
3.4x
Implied EV/EBITDA
Enterprize Value
LTM EBITDA
Implied EV/EBITDA
Implied Perpetuity Growth Rate
Exit Multiple
1.9x
2.4x
2.9x
WACC
re Price
tiple
3.4x
3.9x
8.0%
8.5%
9.0%
9.5%
10.0%
Perpetuity Growth
2.85
9%
31.746
-0.01%
ed EV/EBITDA
$ 28.90
$
5.10
5.666x
Growth Rate
ple
3.4x
3.9x