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CMP: Rs432
Key points
First-mover advantage in plumping solutions:,QDVKRUWVSDQRI\HDUV$VWUDO3RO\7HFKQLN$VWUDOKDVHPHUJHG
DVWKHOHDGLQJSOD\HULQWKHFKORULQDWHGSRO\YLQ\OFKORULGH&39&FDQKROGERWKKRWDQGFROGWHPSHUDWXUHSLSHV
PDUNHW ,WKDLOVDVWKH UVWOLFHQFHH RI/XEUL]RORI86$D:DUUHQ%XIIHWFRPSDQ\WRPDQXIDFWXUH DQGPDUNHW
WKH&39&SLSHVLQ,QGLD,WKDVDOVRVXFFHVVIXOO\FUHDWHGDXQLTXHEUDQGLQSLSHVWKURXJKFHOHEULW\HQGRUVHPHQWV
DQGZDVDOVRWKHUVWRQHWRGLUHFWO\FRQQHFWZLWKWKHSOXPEHUVWRFUHDWHDZDUHQHVVDERXWWKHLUDGYDQFHGSLSLQJ
V\VWHP &RQVHTXHQW WR LWV LQQRYDWLYH PDUNHWLQJ DQG KLJK TXDOLW\ SURGXFWV LW UHJLVWHUHG D FRPSRXQGHG DQQXDO
JURZWKUDWH&$*5RILQUHYHQXHVDVZHOODVHDUQLQJVRYHU)<
Recent acquisitions to boost growth momentum:7RDWWDLQWKHQH[WOHDSRIJURZWKLWDFTXLUHGWZRFRPSDQLHVLQ
WKHVHDODQWVDQGDGKHVLYHVVSDFHLQ)<5HVLQRYD&KHPLHRSHUDWLQJLQ,QGLDDQG6HDO,76HUYLFHVRSHUDWLQJ
LQWKH8.:LWKWKHVHDFTXLVLWLRQVWKHFRPSDQ\KDVZLGHQHGLWVSURGXFWRIIHULQJVJHRJUDSKLFDOSUHVHQFHDQGWKH
GLVWULEXWLRQQHWZRUN7KHFRPSDQ\LQWHQGVWRXVHWKHV\QHUJLVHGGLVWULEXWLRQQHWZRUNWRPDUNHWLQWKH5V
FURUHDGKHVLYHVDQGEXLOGLQJFKHPLFDOPDUNHWV:HDUHH[SHFWLQJLWVQRQSLSHVEXVLQHVVFRQWULEXWLRQWRJURZIURP
5VFURUHLQ)<WRPRUHWKDQ5VFURUHE\)<(ZLWKDPDUJLQLPSURYHPHQWRIPRUHWKDQEDVLV
SRLQWV%363LGLOLWH,QGXVWULHVLVKDYLQJDPRQRSRO\LQWKHDGKHVLYHVPDUNHWKHQFHZHIHHOWKDW$VWUDOZLWKLWV
LQQRYDWLYHPDUNHWLQJDSSURDFKDQGVWURQJGLVWULEXWLRQQHWZRUNFDQJUDEWKHVHFRQGSODFHHDVLO\
Swacch Bharat trends are in its favour:$VWUDOLVOLNHO\WREHQHWIURPWKHVFKHPHVOLNHKRXVLQJIRUDOOE\
GHYHORSPHQWRIVPDUWFLWLHV6ZDFFK%KDUDW$EKL\DQZKLFKZLOOGULYHJURZWKIRUWKHSLSLQJVHJPHQW)XUWKHU
WKHLPSOHPHQWDWLRQRI*67ZRXOGDOVRERRVWGHPDQGIRUWKHRUJDQLVHGSLSLQJSOD\HUV7KHFRPSDQ\DOVRH[SHFWV
WKDWWKHJDOYDQLVHGLURQ*,SLSHVD5VFURUHPDUNHWZRXOGEHUHSODFHGZLWK&39&SLSHVLQDIHZFRPLQJ
\HDUV$VWUDOKDVUHFHQWO\IRUD\HGLQDJULFXOWXUDOSLSHVUHVSULQNOHUVDQGSOXPSLQJDFFHVVRULHVVHJPHQWVZKLFK
also hold huge growth prospects.
Robust growth expected in the next few years:,QWKHODVWIHZTXDUWHUVWKHFRPSDQ\SRVWHGPXWHGHDUQLQJV
JURZWK RZLQJ WR XQSUHFHGHQWHG XFWXDWLRQV LQ FUXGH RLO SULFH ZKRVH GHULYDWLYHV DUH LPSRUWHG IURP /XEUL]RO
+RZHYHUWKHHPEHGGHGIRUHLJQH[FKDQJHIRUH[ULVNLVQRZODUJHO\PLWLJDWHGDVWKHFRPSDQ\KDVVWDUWHGVRXUFLQJ
UDZPDWHULDOIURPWKHQHZO\FRPPHQFHG/XEUL]RO,QGLDQIDFLOLW\,WZRXOGUHGXFHWUDQVSRUWFRVWDQGIRUH[YRODWLOLW\
ULVNDQGVDYHaDWOHDVWRIWKHUDZPDWHULDOFRVW2YHUDOODWWKHFRQVROLGDWHGOHYHOZHDUHH[SHFWLQJD
&$*5LQUHYHQXHDQG&$*5LQHDUQLQJVRYHU)<7KHVWRFNLVFXUUHQWO\WUDGLQJDW[LWV)<(
HDUQLQJVZKLFKLVOLWWOHEHORZWKDQLWVKLVWRULFIRUZDUGWUDGLQJPXOWLSOHRI[+HQFHZHDUHH[SHFWLQJD
XSVLGHIURPWKHFXUUHQWOHYHOV
Valuations (consolidated)
Particulars
5HYHQXHV
(%,7'$
(%,7'$PDUJLQ
$GMXVWHGQHWLQFRPH
<R<JURZWK
$GMXVWHG(36
Rs cr
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16E
FY17E
FY18E
13.2
201
30.3
6.0
5R&(
22.6
32.6
5R(
12.3
3(
'(
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
3%9
13.2
10.1
2.3
31
33
(9(%,7'$
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Company background
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0U6DQGHHS(QJLQHHU$VWUDOLVWKHUVWOLFHQFHHRI/XEUL]RO
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Investment arguments
Strategic tie-ups in place:,WLVWKHUVWFRPSDQ\WREULQJ
WKH FRQFHSW RI TXDOLW\ &39& SLSHV LQ ,QGLD E\ VRXUFLQJ
SDWHQWHG SRO\PHUV FlowGuard IURP /XEUL]RO IURP WKH
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TXDOLW\SURGXFWVLQLWVSRUWIROLRE\IRUPLQJDOOLDQFHVZLWK
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86$7RGD\LWLVWKHOHDGLQJSOD\HULQWKH5VFURUH
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70.0%
100000
60.0%
50.0%
80000
40.0%
60000
30.0%
40000
20.0%
20000
10.0%
0.0%
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
Total Installed capacity (MT)
Brands
from Lubrizol)
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PVC pipes
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Accessories
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Applications
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plates, etc
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UHGXFHLWVWUDQVSRUWDWLRQFRVWLQYHQWRU\F\FOHDQGIRUH[
XFWXDWLRQ ULVN ,QLWLDOO\ /XEUL]RO ZLOO IHWFK 07
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14.0%
13.0%
12.0%
11.0%
10.0%
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
Operating margin
Organised
market share
(%)
60
Rs crore
FY15
FY16E
FY17E
FY18E
Future
CAGR
(%)
5HYHQXHV5VFU
<R<JURZWK
30
30
Operating
H[SHQVHV
26
RIVDOHV
(%,7'$
16.6
36.3
0DUJLQ
11.0
12.0
3$7
62
0DUJLQ
26
$6732/VKDUH
11.2
30.1
62
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Product portfolio
,Q$XJXVW$VWUDODFTXLUHGHTXLW\VWDNHLQ6HDO
,7IRUDFRQVLGHUDWLRQRI5VFURUH
$GYDQFHG$GKHVLYHV/WG
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1 year forward PE multiple
300
250
6XEVLGLDULHVUHYHQXHV
<R<JURZWK
2,236
Consolidated
revenues
1,429
1,836
2,245
2,696
24
32
22
20
200
150
100
50
PAT
6WDQGDORQH3$7
<R<JURZWK
6XEVLGLDULHV3$7
<R<JURZWK
&RQVROLGDWHG3$7
113
62
201
32
11.6
<R<JURZWK
6XEVLGLDULHV
&RQVROLGDWHG
12.0
12.6
13.2
Particulars
CMP
Market
Cap (Rs
cr)
EPS
FY16E
FY17E
FY18E
EPS
CAGR
(%)
FY15
Jan-16
Mar-16
Nov-15
Jul-15
Sep-15
40.0 X
55.0 X
Valuation comparison
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EHHQHQMR\LQJSUHPLXPHYHQWRWKHOHDGLQJSODVWLFV
SLSLQJSOD\HUVOLNH6XSUHPH,QGXVWULHV:LWKWKHVHFRQG
OHDSRIJURZWKFRPLQJIURPWKHDGKHVLYHVEXVLQHVVDQG
PDUJLQXSWLFNWRWKHSDVWOHYHORIWKLVSUHPLXP
ORRNV OLNHO\ WR VXVWDLQ LQ WKH IXWXUH DOVR 7KH VWRFN LV
FXUUHQWO\WUDGLQJDW[LWV)<(HDUQLQJVZKLFKLV
OLWWOHEHORZWKDQLWVKLVWRULFIRUZDUGWUDGLQJPXOWLSOHRI
[ +HQFH ZH DUH H[SHFWLQJ D XSVLGH IURP
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$VWUDO3RO\7HFKQLN
6XSUHPH,QGXVWULHV
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10.0
3LGLOLWH
35.0 X
50.0 X
May-15
Jan-15
<R<JURZWK
603
350
Mar-15
Nov-14
20
Jul-14
Sep-14
400
May-14
Jan-14
450
Mar-14
1,366
500
Nov-13
CAGR
(%)
Jul-13
FY17E FY18E
Sep-13
<R<JURZWK
FY16E
Mar-13
6WDQGDORQHUHYHQXHV
FY15
May-13
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32.6
P/E
FY16E
FY17E
FY18E
FY15
31.6
23.3
33.0
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Income statement
Particulars
5HYHQXHV
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(%,7'$
'HSUHFLDWLRQ
(%,7
,QWHUHVW
Other income
(2LWHPV
3URWEHIRUHWD[
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$GMXVWHG(36
Balance sheet
Particulars
Liabilities
6KDUHFDSLWDO
5HVHUYHV
1HWZRUWK
1RQFXUUHQW
OLDELOLWLHV
7RWDOFXUUHQW
OLDELOLWLHV
Total liabilities
1HWEORFN
&DSLWDOZRUNLQ
progress
/RQJWHUPORDQVDQG
DGYDQFHV
,QYHQWRULHV
6XQGU\GHEWRUV
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Other current assets
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Total assets
viewpoint
FY14
31
22
2
22
0
FY15
32
36
10
110
2
31
110.1
FY16E
2
0
6
(Rs cr)
FY17E FY18E
22
20
60
2
2
0
0
220
10
201
FY14
FY15
FY16E
(Rs cr)
FY17E FY18E
11
12
12
130
12
122
12
694
1,166
1,298
1,506
1,793
606
10
22
1
0
694
266
233
12
2
1,165
211
26
2
622
1,298
2
1,506
303
103
2
1,793
Ratio analysis
Particulars
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(%,7'$PDUJLQ
1HWSURWPDUJLQ
Return ratios
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5HFHLYDEOHGD\V
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3D\DEOHGD\V
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Valuation ratios
(9(%,7'$
3(
Leverage ratios
Particulars
Debt-Equity ratio
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7RWDODVVHWV
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Working capital
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Particulars
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Inc/(dec) in cash
Cash at the
beginning
Cash at the end
(Rs cr)
FY17E FY18E
FY14
FY15
FY16E
13.2
22.6
12.3
32.6
63
63
1.6
23.6
FY14
0.3
FY15
0.2
FY16E
0.2
3.6
1.6
1.2
FY14
22
31
(Rs cr)
FY17E FY18E
0.1
0.1
(4)
11
11
1
14
12
13
26
26
23
262
51
52
12
26
52
103
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