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.............................. Trade Complementarity Index


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Southern Core

NAFTA

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Al-Atrash Hassan, Youssef Tarek (August ), " Intra Arab Trade: Is It too Little"

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Dummy Variables

(ASEAN, EU,GCC,AMU)

Expected

() Youssef Al-Atrash

Gravity Model

Normal

Tij = + yi + ni + nj + disij + i Regionij + i Language


ij + Border
ij + Open
i + i Arab
ij

..

..

..

(.

..

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)(Galal Land Hoekman,

) " (

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,
.

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(:
:

Trade Diversion

)( Krugman,

)(ASEAN

)(EU, NAFTA

..

(:

Trade Creation

): (Viner,

) (

)( ) (

Trade Diversion

)(

) (

..

) (

)( ) (

) ( )(

) (

): (Viner,

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) ( ) (

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):(De La Torre and Kelly,

.shallow

deep

): (Lawrence,

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)(

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)(

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)(

. (NAFTA, EU

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..

)(

)(

x hj i

C ij= -( | m hi-x hi | ) /


)(

)(

m hi

j i

Trade Complementarity Index

)(

Trade Complementarity Index

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).(

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.

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.(....

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- Limam Imed, Abdalla Adil (), "Inter Arab Trade and the Potential Success of
AFTA", API/WPS .
- Al-Atrash Hassan, Youssef Tarek (August ), " Intra Arab Trade: Is It too Little".
- Yeats Alexander (), "What can be expected from African Regional Trade
Arrangments".
-Intra Middle East Trade: An Empirical Assessment, Journal of Development and
Economic Policies, Vol - No , December .
-Fianancial Times, No , January , .
-Potential Consequences of War on Iraq, www.evworld.com, August , .

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