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NEWEUROPE
Gazprom to become a competitor to European energy suppliers |Page 16
www.neurope.eu
BLACK SEA
Tzvetan Vassilev, Chairman of the Supervisory Board, Corporate Commercial Bank, tells NE that co-operation within the Black Sea region can be a driver of economic growth and development
INTERVIEW
Bulgarian Transport Minister Ivaylo Moskovski answers NE's questions on current policy in the country, as well as Bulgaria's role in Europe's wider transport ambitions
EUROZONE
More than one member of ECB's governing council say that the European Central Bank will do whatever it takes to save the money zone's nancial markets from running out of cash
EU WORLD
For the EU the APEC meeting sent a clear signal. The US was turning full speed towards the Asia-Pacic region which Obama described as absolutely critical to America's prosperity Page 13
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IN THIS ISSUE
EU Policy Against odds, Eurozone economy expands|Page 5 Parliament approves law for taming CDS|Page 13 EU-World EU-US urge Israel to scrap legislation against civil society|Page 13 Putin: Russia ready to help the eurozone|Page 14 Energy & Climate EU pushes for transporting Central Asia gas to Europe|Page 15 Turkmenistan, Pakistan agree to speed up TAPI pipeline|Page 16 Russia to meet APEC energy market demand|Page 17 Country news Sarkozy launches war on French sick leave syndrome|Page 23 New Italian government to focus on eliminating budget deficit|Page 25 New Greek government resumes talks with international creditors|Page 31 Committee recommends EP speaks out for Tymoshenko|Page 36 Russias GDP increases 4.8% in Q3|Page 39 Editorial & Opinion Eurozone is a dangerous place unless|Page 2 The last tango in Rome|Page 8 Is the West broke?|Page 9 Is this the final count down to a global financial calamity ?|Page 10 Should we ban cigarettes?|Page 11
Russias Energy Minister Sergey Shmatko smiles with satisfaction as he won the support of the Gas Exporting Countries Forum summit in Doha. |EPA/STR
Gaultier with an L
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On 16 November in Doha, Russias Energy Minister Sergey Shmatko won the support of the powerful Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) over the need to co-operate in developing projects for production and sale of the blue fuel to raise prices and boost supply. In a declaration, the worlds 12 largest natural-gas exporters expressed the need to reach a fair price for natural gas based on gas-to- oil prices indexation. Given that Gazprom and China disagree over the price for a potential long-term gas supply agreement and Gazprom and EU consumers disagree over the existing long-term contracts, it was
important for Russia to gain support from other members of the GECF. But talks in Qatars capital stayed away from the creation of a Gas-OPEC. This is just talk about the potential formation of the gas prices but it is not a settled formula for global price formation, Moscow-based oil & gas analyst at Alfa Bank Maria Yegikyan told New Europe on 16 November. She said that Gazprom does not necessarily want to have a global gas price. That would make it necessary for the company to basically take away its monopoly for the pricing because currently Gazproms price is
much higher than prices on the global market, Yegikyan said. A worrying development for the European Commission, although it had no specific comment, could be an agreement between gas-producing majors Russia, Qatar and Algeria to co-operate in the European natural-gas market. The EU has looked at Qatar and Algeria as part of its diversification efforts. Meanwhile, the EUs reliance on Russia gas will increase even more as the second line of the Nord Stream natural gas pipeline between Russia and Germany is going faster than planned.
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NEW EUROPE
ANALYSIS
Is it safe?|
NE
15 YEARS AGO
In November 1996, Bill Clinton won a second term in the White House, while in Russia the star of Boris Yeltsin had already lost its glow, thus leaving the American leader as indisputable world supremo. This was the main fuel that Wall Street used to record a straight ten days continued rise of its basic indexes. The US leadership in the world was not threatened in any way. It must have been this sense of absolute supremacy that led the only super power of the world to a series of blunders like the futile invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq. Their immense cost, together with the twin American deficits in the foreign trade and the federal and states budgets, led the US to be over indebted to China.
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NEWEUROPE
Dennis Kefalakos dkefalakos@neurope.eu SENIOR EDITORIAL TEAM Kostis Geropoulos (Energy & Russian Affairs) kgeropoulos@neurope.eu Andy Carling (EU Affairs) acarling@neurope.eu Cillian Donnelly (EU Affairs) cdonnelly@neurope.eu Ariti Alamanou (Legal Affairs) aalamanou@neurope.eu Alexandra Coronakis (Columnist) acoronaki@neurope.eu Louise Kissa (Fashion) lkissa@neurope.eu ONLINE EDITOR James Drew jdrew@neurope.eu
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2011 New Europe all rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form by any means, electronic or otherwise, without the permission of New Europe.
NEW EUROPE
ANALYSIS
BLACK SEA REGION|ECONOMY
Energy, economic co-operation within the Black Sea region to boost growth
All countries in the Black Sea region need state and private investments in energy infrastructure to solve a number of problems such as the need to increase energy production in response to growing energy demand, overcoming external energy dependence, diversification of energy supplies, and environmental protection, Tzvetan Vassilev, Chairman of the Supervisory Board, Corporate Commercial Bank told New Europe. The top banker, who later took part in the Black Sea Energy and Economic Forum in Istanbul on 17-18 November was organised by the Atlantic Councils Patriciu Eurasia Center, noted that in times of global hardship, co-operation within the Black Sea region can be a driver of economic growth and development. Asked by New Europe in which areas opportunities lie, the banker called for efforts to build a single energy market, which will result in growing energy production, diversification of energy supply and transport routes, increasing revenues, attracting higher investments, and enhancing the competitiveness of the energy sectors in the Black Sea region. All this would inevitably lead to increased economic growth. He also highlighted harmonisation of national energy laws and strengthening trade relations between countries, as well as the elimination of barriers to trade; cooperation in the field of security to create favourable investment conditions; preventing or limiting capital outflows from the region and fostering banking sector integration; co-operation in the field of environmental protection; and building an institutional framework which provides incentives for intraregional investments and strengthens the power of the Organisation of the Black Sea Economic Co-operation and the Black Sea Trade and Development Bank. Vassilev also said that unresolved war conflicts, efforts of some countries in the region to reinforce their role as monopolists on the energy market, and concerns of some countries that deeper integration could threaten their national sovereignty are the main challenges to cooperation and integration in the region. Vassilev stressed that the active role of the state entails providing tax reliefs, funding and other legal and political initiatives regarding the energy sector. There is growing consensus among the Black Sea countries that these problems can be solved effectively only through the establishment of a stable, integrated energy market. The first step towards the creation of such a market is the investment in joint infrastructure projects, he said. Vassilev noted that the main challenge make the creation of alternative crude oil transportation routes their main priority. Among them, Turkey intends to become a key regional energy hub and invests heavily in transportation and shipment of crude oil, as well as in the construction of new petroleum refineries (as in the case with Ceyhan). This in turn will boost domestic production and decrease import dependence. Vassilev said that the growing demand for natural gas, combined with the increasing importance of the resource for the countries from the Black Sea region, will attract more and more investments in the gas market over the coming years, distributed in two directions exploration and development of new gas fields and construction of transport infrastructure, such as the EU Southern Gas Corridor and South Stream Pipeline. The majority of these investments will be concentrated in Russia and Azerbaijan the main producers and exporters of natural gas in the region. While Russia invests heavily in keeping its leading position, the EU perceives Azerbaijan as the main alternative to Russian gas supplies for the European market and large investments will be made in the development of gas reserves in the country. In view of the substantial coal reserves available in the Black Sea region, the main priorities of the countries are the following: encouraging investment in the mining sector in order to increase production and the share of coal in the energy mix, reducing dependence on imports, improving quality and implementing technologies for environmental protection. Main investments are expected in Ukraine, Russia and Turkey, Vassilev said. In response to growing electricity demand, net electricity generation has been rising, both at regional and international level. In order to meet domestic demand for energy at reasonable prices, ensure sustainable development of the electricity market, and fulfil their environmental commitments, prompted by climate change, countries from the region have to improve security of domestic power generation and open up energy markets to competition. It is only through the liberalization of energy markets that the Black Sea states can attract the investments necessary for the modernization and refurbishment of the inefficient and, in many cases, obsolete power infrastructure. It is expected that the share of nuclear power in the total power mix of the Black Sea countries will increase in the long term, as at least half of the countries in the region are planning to refurbish the existing power plants or to build new ones (Russia, Ukraine, Bulgaria, Romania, Armenia and Turkey). The Black Sea countries have great potential for development of renewable energy sources (RES), Vassilev said. Government incentives promoting renewable power generation, such as preferential tariffs and guaranteed purchase of renewable electricity, are among the key drivers of investor interest of both local and foreign companies on the RES market. The countries with the greatest potential for attracting investments in the field of hydropower are Turkey and Georgia; in solar energy Greece and Bulgaria; in biomass Ukraine, Bulgaria, Russia and Romania; in wind energy Turkey, Greece, Bulgaria and Romania. The strategic geographic location of Bulgaria makes it one of the key players in the realization of a number of largescale energy projects in the Black Sea region. The country has the potential to become an energy corridor for the European market and an important energy hub of the Balkan Peninsula, by virtue of the oil and gas pipelines which are projected (the EU Southern Gas Corridor, South Stream Pipeline), Vassilev said. Some of the main prospects for investments in Bulgarias energy sector include construction of Belene Nuclear Power Plant, implementation of clean coal technologies and RES development. The growing interdependence between producing, consuming and transit countries in the Black Sea region requires sharing of responsibilities and strengthening partnerships among them. The concept of economic integration of the countries in the region is attractive and widely supported by the Black Sea countries themselves, and by the European Union and the United States, as well. A possible future integration of the energy markets in the region would have positive multidimensional consequences, such as rising energy production, diversification of energy supply and transport routes, increasing revenues, attracting higher investments, and enhancing the competitiveness of the energy sectors in the Black Sea region. All this would inevitably lead to increased economic growth. The creation of a single energy market in the region entails harmonization of national energy laws, strengthening trade relations between the countries, identifying existing barriers to trade and investment in the sector and seeking opportunities to remove or reduce them. The implementation of large-scale energy projects and the establishment of a common energy market will play a crucial role for the achievement of social cohesion and economic integration of the Black Sea region.
facing the countries from the Black Sea region is growing energy consumption, which is at the core of an ever increasing need for investments in their energy sectors. Investments in all levels of the supply chain are critical for ensuring sustainable energy supply. As concerns the petroleum industry, in particular, this includes exploration, extraction, transportation, refining and distribution of the refined products to the end users. Russia and Azerbaijan are the driving forces of the Black Sea region petroleum industry. They act as a magnet for foreign investments in this area as they are the leading producers and the main exporters of crude oil in the region, Vassilev said. The investment climate improvements in Russia since 2000, achieved mainly through new regulatory instruments and fixed tax rates, have brought to the country international investors such as ExxonMobil, British Petroleum, and Conoco Philips. What is more, Russia is one of the few countries in the Black Sea region which continues to implement substantial investment programmes in its oil and petrochemical industries. The significant investments in Azerbaijans oil sector have boosted the economy of the country. The Contract of the Century, allowing major international companies to develop of the Azeri, Chirag, Guneshli oil fields, resulted in double-digit growth of Azerbaijani gross domestic product. This illustrates how the combination of natural resource endowments of a country and significant investments in its energy production sector can foster economic growth, even in a relatively small economy, Vassilev said. The other countries in the region are highly dependent on oil imports, which
NEW EUROPE
ANALYSIS
ECB can save the Eurozone
By Dionyssis Kefalakos
Despite the ongoing confrontation between France and Germany about the role that the ECB can and should play in Eurozone's efforts to save face to its sovereign debt crisis, more than one member of ECB's governing council say that the European Central Bank will do what ever it takes to save the money zone's financial markets from running out of cash. The last to say so was Jozef Makuch, governor of the Bank of Slovakia and member of ECB's council. And despite the fact that he represents only a tiny Eurozone member state, Makuch is expressing a widespread opinion within ECB's governing council, insisting that the central bank cannot let Eurozone's banks and governments go penniless, a view seemingly shared by its new president, the Italian Mario Draghi. Jean-Claude Trichet, the until some weeks ago governor of ECB, despite the fact that he was adamant that central bank's role is not to bailout governments, he did not hesitate to intervene in secondary bond markets and bought back Greek, Italian and Spanish paper in order to support their prices, but refused to directly finance those governments. However ECB indirectly finances the Greek government through the country's banks, by accepting as collateral their bonds guaranteed by the Greek treasury. In no case though the ECB will act as lender of last resort for Eurozone governments. In view of the latest problems in Eurozone's bond markets, with all but the German bonds, the bunds, being under pressure in a clear cut message that investors are very worried about the zone's future, Berlin leaked a document which appeared in the British newspaper Daily Telegraph, only hours before Angela Merkel was to meet David Cameron last Friday, 18 November. The document contains a broad planning for the future of the EU, under a title, The future of the EU: Necessary integration policies for progress towards establishing a Stability union. The text does not contain any major new information about the way Germany sees the future of Eurozone. It states: To overcome the current debt crisis in the euro area permanently we need to meet four challenges: Firstly, more short-term crisis management is inevitable in order to deal with the situation in Greece above all, and the prevention to the contagion... Secondly, we must take decisive steps towards forging a real union of stability... This is the issue that we have to address in the coming days and weeks... Thirdly, with the construction of an economic and fiscal union of stability, questions about the political constitution of Europe will be posed in a new light. We will need to think about the functioning and democratic legitimacy of the European Union anew. Therefore in the longer term we need a debate about the way in which the EU will develop into a political union...we need to give Europe the financial constitution... Fourthly, for a permanent culture of stability to be useful corresponding economic growth is required... In short the document plans for an more political European Union, where sinners will be loosing their financial sovereignty every time they need to be saved by the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) which will develop into a European monetary fund. All that will demand only minor changes in the EU Treaty, which may be realised without conducting any referendums, says Berlin. It does not clarify however how the Greek problem is to be solved in the short run. There is phrase though saying that more short-term crisis management is inevitable.This may entail more ECB intervention in the current bond crisis. And this has to be done rather sooner than later. No doubt the Eurozone as a financial unit has the means to save Greece and Italy together in order to avoid later save also Spain, Belgium, Ireland and probably France, in a rather impossible effort.
ECONOMY
Italy's new Prime Minister Mario Monti is given the bell by outgoing Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi (not pictured) marking the moment he takes office at Palazzo Chigi, in Rome, Italy, 16 November 2011. |EPA/MAURIZIO BRAMBATTI
ment as the effectiveness of business services is a key factor in the location of multinational enterprises. Monti, it should be recalled, was a member of the Commission team which formally proposed the services directive (though it is usually associated with his Dutch colleague Frits Bolkestein). That legal measure was designed to open up the services sector generally to competition; its original draft contained no real guarantees that the essential purpose of healthcare would be to cure the sick, not to line the pockets of pharmaceutical or insurance executives. It also contained clauses aimed at making sure that firms are subject to the laws of their country of origin. As a result, an employee hired by a firm in an EU state with inadequate worker protection law would still be subject to that law if he or she was transferred to work in another EU state with higher protection standards. Just as the term technocrat baffled me, I have to confess that I used to be under false illusions about think tanks. Like many journalists, I have often phoned think tank representatives for quotes when writing news stories or features. Because they tend to have titles like research fellow, I was led to believe that they were akin to academics, who could be relied on to think independently. Now, I realise that think tanks are corporate cheerleaders in disguise. They are engaged in what Noam Chomsky and Edward Herman called manufacturing consent. The papers they pump out diligently are presented as contributions to public debates. In reality, those pithy pamphlets are furthering an agenda that
will only benefit the affluent. The European Policy Centre, for example, hosts discussions on the future of healthcare every so often. Yet the very notion that the EPC has altruistic motives falls asunder when you learn of its strong links to the tobacco industry. A 2010 report by the organisation Action on Smoking and Health detailed how the EPCs founder, the recently deceased Stanley Crossick, was a lobbyist for British American Tobacco (BAT). That firm was one of the main players in the EPCs risk forum. In 2003, the Commission bowed to pressure from the forum to agree that it would consult cigarette makers about any measures affecting their industry. Firms that sell cancer in a box merit contempt, not consultation. Indeed, the only industry that rivals tobacco in causing human misery is the arms trade, which also has think tank experts championing its bloody cause. A few weeks ago, the European Council on Foreign Relations published a paper lamenting how military budgets are shrinking. The paper was written by Nick Witney, former head of the European Defence Agency, an institution set up at the behest of weapons manufacturers. Unless steps are taken rapidly to improve Europes military capabilities, the EUs defence policy will by the end of 2012 be ready for its final obsequies, Witney warned. We should take Witneys warning seriously, albeit not for the reason he advocates. The militarisation of Europe is obscene and it must stop. Our political masters must be pressurised into combating poverty, instead, and to stop pretending that technocrats have the solutions.
NEW EUROPE
ANALYSIS
ECONOMY
New Europe content partner
The DAX index curve shows considerable losses in the trading room of the stock exchange in Frankfurt/Main, Germany, 09 November 2011. |EPA/ARNE DEDERT
The Eurozone's fundamental macroeconomic variables give evidence of a healthy economic conjuncture. According to the latest Eurostat announcements, external trade in September reached a robust 2.9 billion surplus, while inflation remained in October unchanged at 3%, with price increase excluding energy at the even lower of 2%. Given that a recent Eurostat press release on growth showed that Germany and France had a rather good third quarter this year, the overall image is not at all bad.
EXTERNAL TRADE
According to the same source, the September 2011 Euro area external trade surplus was 2.9bn, compared with 0.5bn in September 2010. In September 2011, compared with August 2011, seasonally adjusted exports fell by 1.0%, and imports by 3.2%. The EU27 trade surplus increased
with the USA (48.5 in January-August 2011 compared with 44.8bn in January-August 2010), Switzerland (17.2bn compared with 12.2bn) and Turkey (16.8bn compared with 10.7bn). The EU27 trade deficit increased with Russia (-62.2bn compared with -50.7bn) and Norway (-31.5 bn compared with -24.8bn), remained nearly stable with China (103.0bn compared with -104.2bn) and Japan (-13.7bn compared with -14.8bn), but fell with South Korea (-2.8bn compared with -8.2bn). Concerning the total trade of Member States, the largest surplus was observed in Germany (100.6bn in January-August 2011), followed by the Netherlands (28.8bn) and Ireland (28.2bn). The United Kingdom (-76.3bn) registered the largest deficit, followed by France (58.0bn), Spain (-31.5bn), Italy (23.4bn), Greece (-11.9bn) and Portugal (-11.1bn).
INFLATION
In October 2011 Euro area annual inflation was stable at 3.0%, unchanged compared with September, according to Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. The lowest annual inflation rates in the EU member states in October 2011 was recorded in Sweden (1.1%), Ireland (1.5%) and Malta (2.4%), and the highest in the United Kingdom (5.0%), Estonia (4.7%) and Slovakia (4.6%). In the Eurozone the main components with the highest annual rates in October 2011 were transport (5.8%), housing (5.1%) and alcohol & tobacco (4.4%), while the lowest annual rates were observed for communications (-1.9%), recreation & culture (0.3%) and education (0.9%). The main components with the highest monthly rates were clothing (2.6%), alcohol & tobacco (0.9%) and housing (0.5%), while the lowest were education (-0.3%) and communications (-0.2%).
EUROZONE
NEW EUROPE
ANALYSIS
INTERVIEW WITH IVAYLO MOSKOVSKI MINISTER FOR TRANSPORT
a good chance for our country to receive EU funding for them. The transport objects part of core network, should be completed until 2030 with the necessary European parameters and quality. An application of a corridor concept will contribute to the coordinated planning of investments, interoperability and better synchronization of actions between the different countries situated on the corridor. We consider that the construction of the Bulgarian part of the TEN-T will be one of the biggest challenges for the team of the Ministry of Transport, information Technology and Communications in a long-term plan. What is the governments policy on low carbon transport? What efforts have been made so far to ensure greener transport on land, in the air and on sea? The Governmental policy in the field of environment and climate protection is responsible, committed and adequate to the common European policy in this direction.
This is clearly stated in the Strategy for the Development of the Transport System of Republic of Bulgaria until 2020, approved by the Council of the Ministers in April 2010. One of the eight main priorities formulated in the Strategy is as follows: reduction of the transport sector negative impact on the environment and human health. This surely does not mean that before the approval of the strategic document nothing is done regarding this issue. In the field of the land transport in the last years the efforts are dedicated mainly to the improvement of the railway and road infrastructure which should ensure possibilities for optimal speeds of the vehicles and rolling stock and from the other hand should improve the energy efficiency of the transport and should lead to the greenhouse gas emissions reduction from the transport performance. The policy for the encouragement of the rolling stock renovation is implemented jointly with the abovementioned efforts, but this process is going with insufficient rapid rate
EUROZONE
NEW EUROPE
ANALYSIS
New Europe content partner
in Bulgaria is crucial
due to economic reasons. The development of a system for state stimulation of the delivery and exploitation of the electric cars and hybrids is ongoing and is the main topic of the activity of especially assigned joint working group with the participation of experts from different ministries as well as producers and distributors of transport equipment. The air transport policy was directed to the encouragement of the rapid renewal of the operated aircraft fleet which aimed the replacement of older, Soviet production aircraft with some newer and less energy-consuming Boeing and Airbus passenger aircraft. So if in January 2004, the average age of operating passenger fleet in the country was 20 years, in January 2010 it decreased to 14 years and four months, which means relatively lower consumption of aviation fuel and a significant reduction of greenhouse gas emissions from the air transport. Furthermore, regarding the fulfilment of the obligations of implementing Directive 2008/101/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council amending Directive 2003/87/EC so as to include aviation activities in the scheme for greenhouse gas emission allowance trading within the Community, was created Permanent expert working group with the task to assist the Ministry of Environment and Water within its competence in the implementation process of the above mentioned Directives, in terms of the authorized Bulgarian aviation operators by the Republic of Bulgaria, respectively the Ministry of Environment and Water. Thus, from January 2012 our country will join its civil aviation in the European green house gas emission market. In the field of maritime transport, since 2005 Bulgaria has implemented Annex 6 of the International Convention for the Prevention of Pollution from Ships (MARPOL), restricting the use of shipping fuel more than 4% sulphur when sailing the high seas and no more than 1.5% sulphur for emissions controlled areas. This is a contribution in reducing the component of the sulphur compounds in the total emissions of greenhouse gases. We have certain achievements in increasing the relative weight of inland freight transport in total realized amount of transport performance (tonnes-km), from 2.6% in 2000 this share reached 20.7% in 2009. The general result of all these efforts can be illustrated by the fact that by 2009 the final energy consumption in our transport has increased by 16% compared to the reported in 1990, as against 30.6% average for the EU countries, and the greenhouse gas emissions from transport during the same period increased by 21% at 20.7% average growth for the member states. How are projects co-financed with the EU progressing generally? What are the states financial commitments? Also, are public-private partnerships being deployed, and if so are private investments hard to come by? Two years ago the absorption of the EU funds through the Operational Programme on Transport was delayed and the programme itself was poorly implemented. The contracted budget was a little over 440 million BGN and only 14 million BGN were paid. The team of The Ministry of Transport, Information Technology and Communications made great efforts in implementing numerous steps. First results are as follows currently the committed funds are over 2.828 billion BGN. The amount of the funds paid is also going up and currently theyre more than 722 million BGN. According to the analyses this number will reach over 1 billion BGN. Ten major (over 50m) infrastructure projects which are of great importance for the development and modernization of the Bulgarian transport infrastructure are currently under implementation. Of all ongoing EU-national transport programmes, which are on-track? Are there any programmes that are not on schedule or are delayed, at this point? If so, how are these being addressed? One of the implemented measures against the delay in the absorption of the EU funds is advanced selection and prioritization of an indicative list of infrastructure projects envisaged for financing under the programme. The operational programme is focused on several strategic priorities, and projects which were able to start in the shortest deadlines. Currently over 90% of the expected railway project funds are committed. The same ratio for the road infrastructure is 65% and for the intermodal projects around 85% committed funds along the budgets of the certain axes. We consider about the waterway projects because of the only one approved application form. Further analyses are to be made and I believe that we shall find the best way of absorbing these funds, as well. In general I consider that the implementation of Operational Programme on Transport is going well on time and if we succeed to keep this working schedule in short time Bulgaria could benefit from community financing. Are there any plans to expedite Community funding? The efficient absorption of EU funds is both a main priority outlined in the Strategy for the Development of the Transport System of the Republic of Bulgaria until 2020 and a prime task for our team. The ambition of the MTITC is to make the best use of the Community funding. Therefore we make every effort to achieve maximum efficiency in the preparation process, to ensure the transparency of the tender procedures and to implement every project stage with high quality and on time. Special attention is given to the improvement of the administrative capacity of the structures responsible for the projects planning and execution. The Pan-European Transport Corridors passing through the Bulgarian territory give a great opportunity for the development of the transport infrastructure with the support of EU funds. It is also a big responsibility because we should ensure modern lines and roads available on these international directions. Since the construction of the infrastructure is a sourceintensive process we rely a lot on the EU financing for modernization of the still underdeveloped Bulgarian network. In this respect we shall try to accelerate additionally the absorption of the funds (because this process started 2 years ago) to such a degree that will guarantee an optimal balance between the effectiveness, quality and rapid implementation. Finally, it has been suggested that there may be plans to resurrect the old route of the Oriental Express through to Turkey. Can you say something about this plan - if, and when, it will be completed, how much will it cost, how will it be financed, etc? Bulgarian Railways have no direct bearing on plans to resurrect the old route of the Oriental Express. It is only within the rights of the trademark owners to trace the route of the legendary train. The Bulgarian carrier company Holding BDZ EAD and the infrastructure operator National Railway Infrastructure Company will always co-operatate for the Oriental Express to cross smoothly through the territory of our country.
bankrupt on its exposure to European debt paper. The big New York banks said that they have insured a large part of their exposure to Eurozone, but investors doubt it if those Credit Default Swaps will be honoured in a case of a widespread crisis. In reality, the Western financial system risks to return again to a conjuncture similar to the winter of 2008 and spring of 2009, when nobody believed anybody and banks stopped lending to each other, thus destroying the interbank capital market. It took two years to rebuilt this inter-
bank market and now again this autumn the five major central banks, Fed, ECB, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan and the Swiss National Banks, had to intervene and guarantee the dollar liquidity of Eurozone banks. In total, the developed world financial system on its both crucial facets, liquidity and equity, is always under the protection of central banks and governments. If the Eurozone does not manage to quickly settle the Greek and Italian problems, a new and surely more severe credit crisis is to take hold of the world economy.
With the repercussions of credit melt down of 2008 still in the balance sheets of all markets agents, the new crisis will be much more powerful because everybody is now much wicker than three years ago. In short, if Greece and Italy helped by the Eurozone do not solidly prove that they can effectively heal their problems in the short- and long-term, then the financial stability will be at great risk. And this has to be done soon and in a clear cut way so as to convince everyone. As we said, markets follow the main news streams.
ANALYSIS
New Europe content partner
NEW EUROPE
ENVIRONMENT
Seeming Green
Sun rises over a group of wind turbines, part of the Smoky Hills Wind Project in a pasture. The Smoky Hills Wind Project consists of hundreds of Vestas V80 1.8-megawatt wind turbines. | EPA/LARRY W. SMITH
By Bjrn Lomborg
COPENHAGEN When Denmarks new government ministers presented themselves to Queen Margrethe II last month, the incoming development minister established his green credentials by rolling up to the palace in a tiny, threewheeled, electric-powered vehicle. The photo opportunity made a powerful statement about the ministers commitment to the environment but probably not the one he intended. Christian Friis Bachs electric-powered vehicle was incapable of covering the 30 kilometers from his house to the palace without running out of power. So he put the electric mini-car inside a horse trailer and dragged it behind his petrol-powered Citron for three-quarters of the trip, switching back to the mini-car when he neared the television cameras. The stunt produced more carbon emissions than if he had ditched the electric car and horse trailer and driven a regular car the entire distance. Unfortunately, the story is not unique. Under the United Kingdoms Labour government in 2006, Conservative party leader David Cameron attracted attention for trying to green his credentials by cycling to work; the tactic went awry when it emerged that a car trailed him carrying his briefcase. But environmental hypocrisy in current politics runs deeper than photo opportunities. In Denmark, as across the developed world, politicians are promising to fix the globes financial mess by overseeing a transition to a greener economy. In the United States, President Barack Obama touts green jobs. Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard has introduced a carbon tax to enable economic growth without increases in carbon pollution. And David Cameron was elected Prime Minister on a promise to lead the UKs greenest government ever. Denmark serves as a useful test of whether these leaders preferred policies yield the environmental and economic
benefits that they promise. In tune with international enthusiasm for green energy investment, the Danish government intends to expand wind power dramatically by 2020. That is a significant gesture, but, since the country is part of the European Unions emissions-trading scheme, it will mean absolutely nothing for global CO2 emissions. It will simply make coal power cheaper in other EU countries. Indeed, costly emission cuts in Denmark and elsewhere are likely to lead to a partial relocation of CO2 emissions to more lenient countries, such as China (where production is less climate-efficient), and thus to an overall increase in global CO2 emissions. The EU has reduced its emissions since 1990, but, at the same time, it has increased imports from China, which alone has produced enough emissions to offset those reductions. Some will argue that we must implement a comprehensive Kyoto-style agreement to cut emissions globally. But, as we saw at the farcical Copenhagen climate summit in 2009, such an agreement is impossible. Nobody expects a deal to emerge from next months summit in Durban, South Africa, and with good reason: even with Democrats in the White House and controlling Congress, the US could not implement an agreement on climate change, while emerging economies, led by China and India, are unwilling to implement measures that would impede growth. Danish politicians like politicians elsewhere claim that a green economy will cost nothing, or may even be a source of new growth. Unfortunately, this is not true. Globally, there is a clear correlation between higher growth rates and higher CO2 emissions. Furthermore, nearly every green energy source is still more expensive than fossil fuels, even when calculating pollution costs. We do not burn fossil fuels simply to annoy environmentalists. We burn them because fossil fuels have facilitated virtually all of the material advances that civilization has achieved
over the last few hundred years. Politicians in Denmark and elsewhere argue as if this were no longer true: a transition to a green economy will create millions of new green jobs. But, while green-energy subsidies generate more jobs in green-energy sectors, they also displace similar numbers of jobs elsewhere. This is not surprising: either customers or taxpayers must finance subsidies. Electricity prices will increase, implying a drag on private-sector job creation. If the goal is to create jobs, public investment in other areas such as the health care generates stronger, faster employment growth. To bring the point home, for years Danish politicians have insisted on subsidizing the worlds largest, Danishbased, wind-turbine producer, Vestas, arguing that Denmark wins when other countries spend subsidies on Danish wind-farm technology. But when the Danish Economic Council examined the situation in 2004, it concluded that the country had lost money overall from expenditures on subsidies. More seriously, in todays tough financial times, the solar and wind industries are downsizing production in expensive countries and shifting employment to cheaper economies. Last year, Vestas dismissed 3,000 employees in Denmark and Sweden. Many politicians are drawn to photo opportunities and lofty rhetoric about building a green economy. Unfortunately, the green-energy policies currently being pursued are not helping the environment or the economy. More likely, they will lead to greater emissions in China, more outsourcing to India, and lower growth rates for the well-intentioned green countries. Bjrn Lomborg is the author of The Skeptical Environmentalist and Cool It, head of the Copenhagen Consensus Center, and an adjunct professor at Copenhagen Business School. Copyright: Project Syndicate, 2011. www.project-syndicate.org
NEW EUROPE
ANALYSIS
POLITICS
EVERYTHING BUT ARMS
A symbolic tombstone with an inscription in German meaning: 'R.I.P. Greed of Gain' is set up on the grounds of the protest camp next to the Euro symbol outside the European Central Bank ECB in Frankfurt am Main, Germany, 08 November 2011. |EPA/MARC TIRL
tanker running aground, the euro is just grindin on across the land, disintegrating in slow motion. Stocks crater in minutes but when they crash it is like a bar brawl - short and brutal. A currency crashing is like a war -with a prelude, unfolding conflicts and final, ghastly resolution. The sovereign markets could be just too big to crash and burn fast; this drawn out torture could just be a function of giant scale. The last option is that the market thinks the weak European countries will simply flunk out of the euro and the frontier of the currency will pull back into the states that have their economies in order. This contraction will automatically strengthen the euro as its membership gets smaller. The euro will retract to an imperial guard of countries. Under this model, the ECB would end up with a lot of cheap euro bonds from satellite countries who had reserves outside of the Eurozone. Once back within their own inflating currencies, the weak EU countries could talk debt hair cuts or deferral, keeping the debts technically alive. The ECB prints its own money. It can lose euros and then print them again. Money would flow from the solid core to the flaky EU periphery, but few would notice or care. Chronic economics always win out in a paycheck to paycheck world. The excess euros in the system, after various exits, would help juice the new smaller eurozone with money supply. Then, when the bear market finally reversed, the ECB could end up with an appreciating cache of once-questionable bonds and normality would have resumed. This would be a tortuous process; one so radical that the euros current
value still seems way too high. So, the mystery is unresolved - why is the euro still too high? Im tempted to imagine the real Occams razor answer is that China has huge reserves stashed in euros and is scrabbling to keep this position whole. That would be ironic, indeed. Based on obscure technical insights, a year ago I argued the market was about to experience a new era. At the time, I said I had no idea whether the new era would be for the better or worse, however the signs said a financial cycle was concluding and a new economic episode was about to begin. I hoped for the best, but it turns out that optimism was the wrong call, at least for the initial phase of this new economic dynamic. This crash will not only reshape the world economy it will also reshape our society. Already two European Prime ministers have fallen: Papandreou and Berlusconi. More will follow, with even Obamas second term now in doubt. The West is broke. Two decades ago, Western social capitalists finally conquered Eastern communists. Now Eastern capitalists are destroying Western socialists. The wealth of the West has gone East. The trillions of surplus in the East is basically equivalent to the trillions of deficit in the West. Until that flow is rebalanced or the drain at least dramatically slowed, chaos will reign. The saga of the euro is the beginning and it seems that time has run out for the old order: period. Only the value of the euro gives me any doubt. That final thread could snap at any moment. Clem Chambers is CEO of ADVFN, Europe and South Americas leading financial website (www.advfn.com).
NEW EUROPE
EU WORLD
WORLD ECONOMY
President of the Euro group Luxembourg's Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker (L), German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble (C) and Greek Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos (R) chat at the start of a Euro Group European finance ministers meeting at the European council headquarters in Brussels, Belgium, 07 November 2011. To prevent contagion, eurozone leaders had agreed last month to boost their bailout fund's firepower to 1 trillion euros (1.37 trillion dollars). |EPA/OLIVIER HOSLET
those investors already are eyeing the exits. Interbank lending to Europes biggest institutions dried up this week, just as it did here in the days before Lehman sank. And interest rates on Italian bonds are now so high that, according to the industrys financial models, Rome will be unable to service its debt much longer. All of this means that neither global investors nor European taxpayers are prepared to bail out the Eurozone. Even at this very late date, however, there are ways out of this mess: Under the least bad of the options left, the European Central Bank (ECB) would become the Eurozones bond buyer of last resort. The ECB could pay for them by printing enough Euros, for starters, to stabilize Italian bond markets. It wouldnt be pretty. The Euro would weaken. European interest rates might edge up as Europe slowed. And the ECB would have to come up with another credible plan to withdraw the excess Euros once the crisis passed. But the alternative is much worse. In a period of worst case scenarios, heres what could well happen later this month. Start with the fact that Italy alone has $2 trillion in outstanding government debt. Most of those bonds are held by Italian, French and German banks, including the biggest banks in the world. Anything approaching an Italian default would wipe out the capital of those banks, leaving them insolvent; and most of the Eurozone economies would grind to a halt. It gets worse, because a financial meltdown centered on sovereign debt is much more dangerous than one triggered by mortgage-backed securities. In effect, a sovereign debt crisis strips sovereigns of
their ability to act to contain the crisis. With Italy and Greece in default, for example, who will believe those governments as they move to head off general bank runs by, say, guaranteeing money market balances as the United States did successfully in the days after Lehman? And if the biggest banks in France and Germany go down, Sarkozy and Merkel wouldnt have the credibility to do much about it either. The bad news doesnt end with Europe. Our own big financial institutions, along with those in Britain and Japan, have thousands of deals going that involve the major banks in Germany, France and Italy. Overnight, all of those deals become suspect, which could spread financial panic beyond the Eurozone. And remember the credit default swaps that destroyed AIG? No one knows precisely how many of those guarantees are out today against Italian government bonds and the commercial paper of French, German and Italian banks. The fact that no one knows could be a big problem in itself, since that, too, could breed a broader financial panic. In any case, theres little doubt that those credit default swaps involve, at a minimum, hundreds of billions of dollars, Euros and pounds. That would leave American, European and Japanese financial institutions on the hook for those losses. And if they cant make good on them, they could go down as well. Their only hope would be another bailout if Congress could approve one before the Tea Party and Occupy Wall Street folks pick up their pitchforks. All this is not yet inevitable. But much of it might well unfold, and probably in a
matter of weeks, unless the Eurozones leaders face the grim music and finally find their way to a real program to head it off. Dr. Robert J. Shapiro is Co-founder and Chairman of Sonecon, llc. In addition to chairing Sonecon, Dr. Shapiro is also a Senior Fellow of the Georgetown University School of Business, advisor to the International Monetary Fund, director of the Globalization Center at NDN, chairman of the U.S. Climate Task Force, co-chair of America Task Force Argentina, and a director member of the Ax:son-Johnson Foundation in Sweden. From 1997 to 2001, Dr. Shapiro was U.S. Under Secretary of Commerce for Economic Affairs. In that position, he directed economic policy for the Commerce Department and oversaw the Nation's major statistical agencies, including the Census Bureau while it planned and carried out the 2000 decennial census. Prior to that appointment, he was co-founder and Vice President of the Progressive Policy Institute and the Progressive Foundation. He also served as principal economic advisor to Bill Clinton in his 1991-1992 presidential campaign and senior economic advisor to Al Gore and John Kerry in their presidential campaigns. In 2008, he advised the campaign and transition of Barack Obama. Dr. Shapiro also was as Legislative Director for Senator Daniel P. Moynihan and Associate Editor of U.S. News & World Report. He has been a Fellow of Harvard University, the Brookings Institution, and the National Bureau of Economic Research. Dr. Shapiro holds a Ph.D. and M.A. from Harvard, a M.Sc. from the London School of Economics, and an A.B. from the University of Chicago. He is widely published, and his most recent book is Futurecast: How Superpowers, Populations and Demographics Will Change the You Live and Work (St Martins' Press, 2008).
NEW EUROPE
ANALYSIS
HEALTH
CONSTRUCTIVE AMBIGUITY
An Indonesia man holds a cigarette during break time inside a building in Jakarta, Malaysia, 29 May 2009. |EPA/MAST IRHAM
find it easier to do so. Second, the FDA should bear history in mind. The first smokers did not inhale tobacco smoke; that became possible only in the nineteenth century, when a new way of curing tobacco made the smoke less alkaline. That tragic discovery is already responsible for about 150 million deaths, with many times that toll still to come, unless something drastic is done. The FDA should therefore require that cigarette smoke be more alkaline, which would make it less easily inhaled, and so make it harder for cigarette smoke to reach the lungs. Much of Proctors book, which will be published in January, is based on a vast archive of tobacco-industry documents, released during litigation. More than 70 million pages of industry documents are now available online. The documents show that, as early as the 1940s, the industry had evidence suggesting that smoking causes cancer. In 1953, however, a meeting of the chief executives of major American tobacco companies took a joint decision to deny that cigarettes are harmful. Moreover, once the scientific evidence that smoking causes cancer became public, the industry tried to create the impression that the science was inconclusive, in much the same way that those who deny that human activities are causing climate change deliberately distort the science today. As Proctor says, cigarettes, not guns or bombs, are the deadliest artifacts in the history of civilization. If we want to save lives and improve health, nothing else that is readily achievable would be as effective as an international ban on the sale of cigarettes. (Eliminating extreme poverty worldwide is about the only strategy that might save more lives, but it would be far more difficult to accomplish.)
For those who recognize the states right to ban recreational drugs like marijuana and ecstasy, a ban on cigarettes should be easy to accept. Tobacco kills far more people than these drugs. Some argue that as long as a drug harms only those who choose to use it, the state should let individuals make their own decisions, limiting its role to ensuring that users are informed of the risks that they are running. But tobacco is not such a drug, given the dangers posed by secondhand smoke, especially when adults smoke in a home with young children. Even setting aside the harm that smokers inflict on nonsmokers, the free-to-choose argument is unconvincing with a drug as highly addictive as tobacco, and it becomes even more dubious when we consider that most smokers take up the habit as teenagers and later want to quit. Reducing the amount of nicotine in cigarette smoke to a level that was not addictive might meet this objection. The other argument for the status quo is that a ban on tobacco might result in the same kind of fiasco as occurred during Prohibition in the US. That is, like the effort to ban alcohol, prohibiting the sale of tobacco would funnel billions of dollars into organized crime and fuel corruption in lawenforcement agencies, while doing little to reduce smoking. But that may well be a false comparison. After all, many smokers would actually like to see cigarettes banned because, like Obama, they want to quit. Peter Singer is a professor of bioethics at Princeton University and Laureate Professor at the University of Melbourne. His books include Animal Liberation, Practical Ethics, and The Life You Can Save. Copyright: Project Syndicate, 2011. www.project-syndicate.org
NEW EUROPE
EU WORLD
POLITICS
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at a weekly cabinet meeting in his Jerusalem office. |EPA/SEBASTIEN SCHEINER POOL
TRADE
EU WORLD
DEVELOPMENT
NEW EUROPE
Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi (R) with US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (L) during their bilateral meeting at the 44th Asean Ministerial Meeting in Nusadua, Bali, Indonesia on 22 July 2011. |EPA/MADE NAGI
of increased tensions Europe will have to do more on the defence front. The US is increasing defence ties with Australia in what many experts view as a containment policy towards China. Clinton rejected such a view stating in Honolulu that Chinas economic, diplomatic and military rise should not be seen as a threat. We believe a thriving China is good for China and good for America, she said. Third, Europe will have to become more engaged in Asia. Speaking in Zurich recently, EU President Herman Van Rompuy warned that the Asia-Pacific region was showing signs of militarisation that could lead to an arms race. He pointed to the significant arms build-up and confrontational psychology in Asia. The EU, as a key trading partner to Asian countries had a significant stake in regional stability and through increased ties could contribute to promoting stability. Mr van Rompuy may have been exaggerating slightly but he had the right message the EU needed to increase its engagement with Asia and not just on the trade front. Hillary Clinton made a point of attending the ASEAN regional Forum (ARF) meeting in Bali in July. Regrettably Catherine Ashton was not there. Fourth, the EU must view Asia as wider than China. Too many ministers and Commissioners only visit China on their Asian trips. At least Ashton, after her recent visit to China, also visited Australia and Japan. But the EU needs to beef up not only its presence in Asia but also its bilateral relations with growing powers such as Korea, Indonesia, Vietnam and Malaysia, not to forget India. It was unfortunate that this years EU-India summit had to be postponed until next February due to lack of progress in the
FTA negotiations. But David OSullivan, the Chief Executive of the EEAS, was in India this week seeking to accelerate progress on a range of issues. There are some signs that EU leaders and senior officials are waking up to the importance of Asia. The next step is de-
veloping a strategy to deepen relations with the region that could soon account for half of global trade, GDP and investment. The EU has no time to waste. Fraser Cameron is Director of the new EU-Asia Centre, www.eu-asiacentre.eu
NEW EUROPE
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NEW EUROPE
EU WORLD
EU-RUSSIA|ENERGY
countries to a near-total halt in 2006 and 2009. The 2009 gas crisis led to a deal between Kiev and Moscow which the present Ukrainian leadership says burdened the country with an exorbitant price for Russian gas. Moscow-based Alfa Bank oil and gas analyst Maria Yegikyan told New Europe on 16 November that the fact that Nord Stream has been launched has significantly reduced Ukraines leverage power in negotiations with Gazprom. Moreover, the fact that line two of the Nord Stream pipeline is going faster than planned is even more pressure on Ukraine with Gazprom negotiations, she added. Talks to renegotiate the 2009 gas deal between Russia and Ukraine are in progress.
Kiev aims to significantly reduce the price from the current level of about $400 per 1,000 cubic metres to $220-$230. The Ukrainian press speculates that the new contract will be signed by the end of the year. However, Gazprom has not confirmed any agreement yet. Ukraine hopes that a lower Russian gas price will allow it to cut its budget deficit without raising gas and heating prices for households, something the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has insisted should happen. Gazprom has said it would be willing to reduce the price of gas sold to Ukraine if Kiev agrees to sell a controlling stake in Ukraine's state-owned gas transportation network but Ukrainian President Viktor
Yanukovych has said it is not for sale. Yegikyan said that there will probably be some trade off involved between Russia and Ukraine. Essentially Gazprom has no other reasoning to lower the price for Ukraine unless the country provides some benefits or preferential treatment for acquisition of Ukraines gas transit system so I think thats one of the quotas for the price reduction for Ukraine especially in line with the fact that Nord Stream has launched and Ukraines leverage power and negotiations with Gazprom are significantly down, she said. Meanwhile, Russia is working to construct the South Stream gas pipeline which also bypasses Ukraine and it is meant to transport Russian gas to Europe under the Black Sea beginning in 2015.
EU-RUSSIA|ECONOMY
Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin attends an International Financial conference dedicated to 170 years anniversary of Russian Sberbank generation in Moscow, Russia, 12 November 2011. |EPA/SERGEI ILNITSKY
the general market, Putin said. Russias situation is quite stable, al-
NEW EUROPE
German Foreign Minister Guido Westerwelle, left, and Turkmen Minister of Oil and Gas Industry and Mineral Resources Bairamgeldi Nedirov view a map indicating raw material reserves of Turkmenistan during the international fair Oil and Gas of Turkmenistan in Ashgabat, Turkmenistan, 17 November 2011. |EPA/MICHAEL KAPPELER/POOL
tions of the pipeline," he said. Meanwhile, Azerbaijan and Turkey have started work on a trans-Anatolian gas pipeline project costing some $5-6bn, Azeri state oil company SOCAR said on 17 November, adding to an array of planned energy projects crossing Turkey. "Azerbaijan and Turkey have started work on a Trans-Anatolian gas pipeline project from Anatolia's east-
ern border to its western border," SOCAR President Rovnag Abdullayev said at the Third Black Sea Energy and Economic Forum on 17 November. He said this did not mean the end of the Nabucco projects. Abdullayev also said a decision would be made soon on whether gas from the Shah Deniz II project would be supplied to Nabucco, the Interconnector Turkey-GreeceADVERTISEMENT
CLIMATE|CO2
ENERGY|NUCLEAR
NEW EUROPE
The company logo of Gazprom Germania headquarters in Berlin, Germany. Russian gas giant Gazprom is seeking greater exposure to the final consumer. |EPA/HANNIBAL HANSCHKE
The first step in the short term is obviously to ensure the existing business the supply of power to end consumers is solid and it is sound and that we turn around the customerservice levels and we used to have some issues so we are making a completely fresh start there, Garcia told New Europe. We are really focusing on customer service and, of course, taking a good look at our processes and our systems and our stuff and stuff training to make sure that we invest in the right places and also use the business to grow. Gazprom Marketing & Trading bought 100% of Envacom in a friendly deal. This isnt a hostile takeover. Its entirely amicable and weve been discussing the deal with them for quite some time now on and off, Garcia said. Gazproms interest in the purchase of Envacom is an image-strengthening step, experts say.
Assets like Envacom may characterise Gazprom as an environment-friendly innovative company in the area of energy production and IT. Envacom does not sell natural gas. Envacom, which was founded in 1999 and has 500,000 customers, was not acquired by Gazprom Export or Gazprom Germania but by Gazprom Marketing and Trading, a UK company that is not necessarily controlled out of Moscow. Nevertheless, Gazprom Marketing and Trading is part of the same group and analysts say the acquisition strengthens the Russian gas giants foothold in the power market of Germany, which is Europe's largest economy. According to reports last month, Gazprom and German power utility RWE and BASF have been in negotiations on setting up an energy-producing joint venture to service Ger-
ENERGY|GAS PIPELINE
ENERGY|OIL
NEW EUROPE
ENERGY INSIDER
Left to right, Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper, Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and US President Barack Obama; back row, left to right, New Zealand's Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Bill English, Prime Minister of Malaysia Najib Tun Razak, President of South Korea Lee Myung-bak and Mexico's Secretary of the Economy Bruno Ferrari at the APEC summit in Honolulu, Hawaii, US, 13 November 2011. |EPA/MIKHAIL KLIMENTYEV/RIA NOVOSTI/KREMLIN POOL
Planning to extend its global operations, Russian gas monopoly Gazprom said it is ready to meet the growing energy demand of the Asia-Pacic Economic Cooperation (APEC) member states. Gazproms CEO Alexei Miller told journalists on the sidelines of the APEC-2011 summit in Hawaii that talks which have taken place during the summit might become a platform for international energy integration. Gazprom wants to strengthen its international image as a reliable innovative global partner. The implementation of Russias gas projects in the east would ensure sufficient deliveries to the region, Miller said. "Gazprom has rm plans for long-term co-operation with countries in this region and the implementation of the Eastern Gas Programme will create the export capacity needed for this," Miller said. "The main priority in the creation of our eastern export corridor is the production of LNG
(liqueed natural gas) and the APEC countries will become a consumer. It can be condently stated today that the meetings and negotiations taking place during the summit will be a basis for inter-regional energy integration," he added. Participating as a member of the Russian delegation, Miller took part in the meetings of Russian President Dmitry Medvedev with Vietnam President Truong Tan Sang, Indonesian President Susilo Bambang, Malaysian President Najib Razak, and Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda. Miller predicted an 80% increase in the use of fuel in APEC countries by 2030. The consumption of fossil fuels in APEC countries is expected to surge 80% by 2030 and Gazprom is already preparing to meet Asia's growing demand for energy resources," Miller said. APEC is a forum for 21 Asia-Pacic countries with about 40% of global population.
Meanwhile, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said on 13 November that Russia expects to supply as much natural gas to China in the future as it currently supplies to Europe. "It is obvious that the Chinese market can consume a considerably greater volume of energy products. This is what we are currently agreeing with our Chinese partners," Medvedev said at the APEC summit. Russia can supply natural gas to China via the western and eastern routes, Medvedev said. "Now we are continuing talks with our Chinese partners on the terms of natural gas supplies. As soon as they are over and the price is always the main issue, all the obstacles will be removed and gas will be supplied in large volumes," Medvedev said. "I believe that the potential of pipeline gas supplies to China is comparable with the volumes we supply to the European part of our continent, to West European countries," he said.
ENERGY|BUSINESS
ENERGY|GAS
NEW EUROPE
The Netherlands - Amsterdam- Galerie Alex Daniels / Reflex Amsterdam - until 12 December 2011 Roger Ballen is regarded as one of the world's foremost practitioner's of black and white photography. He has been shooting in monochrome for nearly half a century, from his renowned documentary images of South African villagers to his recent extraordinary explorations of the psyche and its aesthetic. Ballen's work has been exhibited across the globe, and is widely collected by the world's important art institutions, from Moma in New York, to the Centre Georges Pompidou in Paris to the Stedelijk Museum in Amsterdam. The Reflex Gallery, Amsterdam, presents a rare opportunity to view a selection of Ballen's work from over the past 20 years.
Germany - Hamburg - Hamburger Kunsthalle -15 January 2012 An exhibition showing the private collection of one-time Hamburger Kunsthalle employee Wilhelm Werner will offer a first insight into one of the most unusual private collections of modern art from Hamburg in the 20th century. Werner began his employment as an assistant attendant on July 5, 1914 and retired as a groundkeeper in 1952. As head of the general maintenance staff he was always in direct contact with the artists that exhibited in the Hamburger Kunsthalle. He was responsible for both handling and hanging the artworks and very often made frames at the
artists' request. When the National Socialists began their purge of "degenerate" art in the summer of 1937, it was Werner who saved the work of Jewish artist Anita Re from seizure from among the Kunsthalle's holdings. In a unique and courageous act of moral courage, he hid paintings by Re who had committed suicide in 1933 - in his apartment at the Kunsthalle. It is also thanks to Werner and his fellow custodian colleague - both of whom had not been drafted into the Second World War - that the Kunsthalle building survived the Hamburg bombardment with relatively mild damage.
United kingdom - London - Ambika P3, University of Westminster- 11t 22 January 2012 Nunzia Perrone is pleased to announce the forthcoming solo show by the artist Eva Caridi that will be hosted by Ambika P3, University of Westminster,
London. The exhibition, curated by Francesca Nannini, will open its doors to the public on January 11th, 2012. A monumental, interactive labyrinth that unfolds over a surface of 14000 sq ft, stages a representation of time as human condition. There are no dead ends, no
arts@neurope.eu
NEW EUROPE
Gaultier with an L
persona was staged in his advertising campaigns while his spirit of fun, youth, diversity and pop culture were promoted worldwide. Once described as being: More French than French, Jean Paul Gaultiers muse is definitely Paris: The City of Lights of his fantasy world where one meets Existentialists, Dadaists, demi-monde artists, cocottes, bourgeoises, cabaret folk, Toulouse-Lautrec Cancan dancers, accordionists, Latin lovers and concierges, while dresses are named after Parisian neighborhoods: Place Pigalle, Jardin de Montmartre, Rue Fontaine or Barbs. His Parisienne usually has a long, lean silhouette, wears berets, polka-dotted scarves, turbans, black trench coats, stilettos, red lipstick and nails, with a cigarette holder in hand and a sensual, slightly provocative but ever elegant allure. Gaultier humorously reworks clichs of pre and post war French cinema. Sexuality has always been a central theme in Gaultiers work, as he likes to question the androgynous side in women and the feminine one in men and notoriously uses models with unconventional physical types to reflect the infinite complexity and diversity of human nature, the variety of tastes and possibilities. His emblematic coneshaped corset and girdle, lingerie worn as outer clothing, gay culture symbols, bondage and fetishistic references as well as the skirt and cosmetics line for men all challenge gender boundaries. Diversity can also be found in the
he Montreal Museum of Fine Arts organized an impressive exhibition that pays tribute to one of the last monstres sacrs of contemporary fashion, French Couturier Jean Paul Gaultier. The Fashion World of Jean Paul Gaultier: From the Sidewalk to the Catwalk which showcases as many as 130 accessorized ensembles for men and women, is currently hosted at the Dallas Museum of Art (November 13th February 12th, 2012) before stopping by San Francisco, Madrid and Rotterdam. Throughout his 35-year career to date, this quietly ironic observer has long been credited for finding beauty in the shady corners of Parisian nightlife, the fierce looks of London-
ian punks, the suburban melting pot, or the peculiarities of underground misfits and sexual minorities. Despite his anti-establishment disposition and being a true autodidact (even though he had two mentors, modernist Pierre Cardin and Jean Patou), Gaultier never hid his admiration for the great French Couture tradition and his love of rare crafts, luxurious materials, impeccable cuts and perfect finishings. In 2002, he fulfilled his dream of a lifetime by creating his very own Haute Couture collection or classicism revisited . Recognizable in the 80s for his peroxide blond hair, trademark sailor shirt, Scottish kilt, Doc Martens and pidgin English, and with his very own sense of disguise, Jean Paul Gaultiers comics
JEAN PAUL GAULTIER Barbs collection Women's prt--porter fall/winter 1984-1985 30th Anniversary Retrospective Runway Show, 2006 Patrice Stable/Jean Paul Gaultier
JEAN PAUL GAULTIER Les Indes galantes [Romantic India] collection, Lascar dress Haute couture spring/summer 2000 Patrice Stable/Jean Paul Gaultier
street, where Gaultier observes the cultural and racial mingling of urban tribes: leather and lace biker jackets, tattoos, piercings, ripped jeans, latex, boxing-glove red accessories, utility work clothes and protection gear with lingerie, military khaki outfits, sports shoes and shorts, beaded necklaces, large earrings, and his well-known tin-can bracelets are all involved in a punk parody of kitsch collage and recycling. Ever present in Gaultiers collections are exotic elements, tales of journeys to far-away places. Inspired by Asia, Russia, Africa, and more recently the Caribbean islands and Latin America,
Gaultier seems to flip through the pages of a picture book with a childs curiosity for the wonders of the world. More exotic than religious were also his Chic Rabbis collection (1993-94) inspired by the traditional costume of Hassidic Jews and his Virgins collection (2007) reminiscent of popular Catholic imagery. All in all, Gaultiers most remarkable quality is undoubtedly the syncretism of his work: layers of condensed meaning, historical, cultural, social, real or imaginary references and connotations that often coexist in a single item of clothing. Louise Kissa lkissa@neurope.eu
JEAN PAUL GAULTIER Mexico collection, Wedding dress Haute Couture spring/summer 2010 Patrice Stable/Jean Paul Gaultier
JEAN PAUL GAULTIER Les Vierges [Virgins] collection, Apparitions dress Haute couture spring/summer 2007 Patrice Stable/Jean Paul Gaultier
JEAN PAUL GAULTIER Parisiennes collection, Les Particules lmentaires dress Haute couture fall/winter 2010-2011 Patrice Stable/Jean Paul Gaultier
JEAN PAUL GAULTIER First collection Women's prt--porter spring/summer 1977 30th anniversary retrospective runway show, 2006 Patrice Stable/Jean Paul Gaultier
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Just in Town
Justin Townes Earle 27 November, Ancienne Belgique The New Country movement has reviatalised a traditional musical form, putting the singer songwriter at the fore with a harder edge more obvious, rather than hidden between sweet tunes, but theres always a place for a talent with a family background in Nashville and beyond. Justin is the son of hellraiser Steve Earle and his middle name comes from a legend, Townes Van Zandt, who influenced father and son. Townes was also a hard living musician and the young Justin has embraced the wild side, taking drugs since the age of 12 and having several periods of incarceration and rehab since. But it is his talent that shines. Last month, he won the award for Song of the Year for Harlem River Blues from the album of the same title. Released in late 2010, Harlem River Blues was also nominated for Album of the Year at the years honors ceremony. I love touring, too. I mean I don't love it as much as I did in the past when I would sleep in the van....and shower at the truck stop, if I even showered, and live off popcorn. I wouldn't go that far anymore, he said before embarking on his latest tour, this time also crossing the Atlantic and visiting Europe. Guitar Aficionado said of him, Earle sings like a honky-tonk hero and thinks like a 21st century man. Hes sharp and young, and has soul to burna traditionalist that is not afraid to play ragtime and cover the Replacements punk anthem Cant Hardly Wait. If thats not enough, Earle combines a hard work ethic with a touch of style, being named by GQ magazine as one of the 25 most stylish people in 2010. The evening is going to take Brussels to the south of the Mason Dixon line to see the finest performer of the latest generation to make their mark in what is called, the true American music.
Brussels Agenda
21 Nov Latin America's New Dynamic 11:00 19:30, Friends of Europe, Bibliothque Solvay Latin America has leapt to centre stage of late. Brazils growing political selfconfidence and economic muscle is being repeated in various degrees throughout Latin America by an assertive new spirit of industrial innovation and social progress. What are the global implications of a more dynamic Latin America in areas ranging from the battle against climate change to the G20s search for a fairer international rulebook governing financial services and investment? 21 Nov The New NATO Strategic Concept: An American View 13:15 - 14:30, Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), Place du Congrs 1 H.E. Ivo Daalder, Ambassador of the United States to the NATO gives his views. 22 Nov Second EU Russia International Conference 09:00 17:00, Permanent Representation of the Czech Republic to the EU, Rue Caroly, 15 This second meeting will focus on the prospects for a new strategic partnership between the EU and Russia. The aim will be to explore concrete steps which the Russian and European policy communities might take in order to build a more durable and meaningful partnership. 22 Nov Science Diplomacy with the Arab Peninsula 11:00 - 13:00, European Parliament, ASP 5E-2 The purpose of the meeting is to identify an adequate format for scientific dialogue and cooperation between the Arab Peninsula and the EU within the context of the broader EU-GCC cooperation. 23 Nov - Europes Uncertain Energy Future 9:00 15:30, Friends of Europe, Bibliothque Solvay,
21-30 November
In the wake of the Arab spring, the Eurozone crisis and Fukishima, Europes transition to a low-carbon energy system has undergone a dramatic change due to the rise of oil prices and nuclear scepticism. So what new trends will be highlighted in the International Energy Agencys World Energy Outlook (WEO) 2011 and what are the implications for EU and national policymakers? 25 Nov -Which Challenges For The EU Budget? 12:25 14:30, International Trade Union House, Room B, Boulevard du Roi Albert II, 5 According to the Commission, the draft EU budget has undergone a substantial reform so that it can contribute to increasing growth and jobs in Europe, encourage greener agriculture, and establish a more environment-conscious and internationally prominent Europe. At this Monthly Forum the ETUI will provide the opportunity to discuss these ambitious targets. 30 Nov - Publishing On The Move 9:30 13:00, EESC, Rue Van Maerlant 2 As the largest cultural industry in Europe, book publishing is a crucial player in the economic and social development of Europe. It produces a market value of over 40 billion, employs hundreds of thousands of people and enriches Europes cultural diversity with half a million new titles per year. As it enters the digital switch, the publishing industry is undergoing a process of modernisation that carries important consequences. For more info on events in Brussels, visit www.agenda.be 23 Nov Jan Verwoert Weils How to speak with a mouthful of ghosts? is the latest lecture on Alina Szapocznikow. Jan Verwoert is a critic and writer on contemporary art and cultural theory, based in Berlin. He asks, with her art being strongly overshadowed by the story of her life, crucial questions we have to face when we look at Alina Szapocznikow's work are: How can we speak about the pain in her lifeher suffering in the concentration camps and death of cancerwithout reducing her to a victim and her work to a mere symptom 25 Nov Lunchtime concert 12:30 13:30, La Monnaie Every Friday from early October to midJune, the atmospheric Main Bar at La Monnaie is the setting for the lunchtime Concertini, forty-five minutes of chamber music closely or loosely related to the main themes of the opera, concert and recital programme. 26 Nov Scorpions 20:30, Forest National The Teutonic kings of heavy metal are going to blast the roof off Brussels as their latest tour swings into town. Theyre also planning a 3D documentary of this tour, after over 40 years on the stage. 27 Nov Justin Townes Earle 20:00, Ancienne Belgique The highly acclaimed son of Steve Earle has won awards for his songs, find out why. 30 Nov Bombay Bicycle Club 20:00, Botanique The London indie rock quartet have a rapidly rising reputation as one of the most interesting and accomplished bands around.
WORK
TAKE A LOOK
Boy Wonder
PLAY
suitable project, Kubric remembered a novel that had already been turned down by every major studio. Kubrick eventually got Kirk Douglas interested and that led to backing for the film. It was controversial on release, especially in Brussels. After the showing many criticized the poor light it cast on the French army, but the most offended was the Spanish dictator, Franco and it was banned in Spain until 1986, over a decade after Francos passing. Kubricks notorious control over every aspect and his demands for perfection were recalled by Kirk Douglas, He made the veteran actor Adolphe Menjou do the same scene 17 times. "That was my best reading." Menjou announced. "I think we can break for lunch now." It was well past the usual lunch time but
Kubrick said he wanted another take. Menjou went into an absolute fury. In front of Douglas and the entire crew he blasted off on what he claimed was Kubrick's dubious parentage, and made several other unprintable references to Kubrick's relative greenness in the art of directing actors. Kubrick merely listened calmly, and, after Menjou had spluttered to an uncomplimentary conclusion, said quietly: "All right, let's try the scene once more." With utter docility, Menjou went back to work. "Stanley instinctively knew what to do. But there was some brightness for the director. The only female role in the film was played by Christiane Harlan, who later became Mrs Kubrick, staying with him until his death in 1999.
RESTO
Yes, hes the most recognized symbol of Brussels and his story is that of legend, but the little chap does represent something of the anarchic spirit of the city. The real thing is a copy from 1965, after the last in a long line of thefts, but he can be seen in many places, not least a station in Tokyo, where the proud workers continue the tradition of dressing him up in costumes for special events. A football team in Rio de Janeiro also has a statue and made him a team mascot. And, of course, visitors to Brussels can buy him in many forms as a souvenir. La Cantina Cubana 6 rue des Grands Carmes, Brussels Tel 02 502 6540 Would you like to escape the bitter weather and step into another world without airline fares? Look no further than the intimate and sizzling world of La Cantina Cubana. A few steps off Blvd Anspache or from the Manneken Pis, this gem will delight at first sight. The dcor (complete with digital scenes from Cuba and a glass case of rums and other Cuban specialties), music and meals will transport you into Cuba at its finest. Start with one of the many cocktails offered; they use their own mojito recipe, which will surly impress. Entres are between 7-9 and include Ensaladita (salad with goat cheese and Cuban dressing), Rellenitos (banana, herb and goat cheese-filled dough), and Sopa de Frijoles (black been soup). Main dishes range from the national dish, Ropa Vieja (pork with garlic sauce, rice, and various sides), to Pollo Al Chocolate (chicken fillet with a wine and cacao sauce), to varios fish and vegetarian dishes. The fried plantains and African potatoes, which are included as sides in many dishes, should not be missed. The typical main dish is a steal at around 15. No trip to Cuba would be complete without a flan or a banana, coffee and rum dessert. So remember, when you need to escape life in Brussels, La Cantina Cubana is there to spice up your evening.
Tickets for half price for performances and concerts on the same day. Arsne 50 offers you every day a wide range of performances, advises you in your choices and takes care of your reservation.
Ticket sale: - At BIP, 2-4 rue Royale (Place Royale) 1000 Bruxelles Tuesday to Saturday, from 12.30 pm to 5.30 pm - Online on www.arsene50.be Tuesday to Saturday, from 2 pm to 5.30 pm
Salle ltage Banquets - runions - Terrase en t Cosmo Cuisine Av. de Tervueren,105 1040 Etterbeek - Bruxelles Tel: 02/ 732 43 31 Fax: 02/ 733 61 17
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ANALYSIS
@Queen_UK Elizabeth Windsor In response to the ongoing crisis in Europe, one is having a latenight constitutional gin. 8 November The Queen dealing with her frustrations over the euro crisis.
@Queen_UK Elizabeth Windsor One can confirm that the Olympic Torch will visit Clarence House, where it will be used to light a cigarette for the Duchess of Cornwall. 7 November The Queen prepares for the London Olympic festivities
@Angela_D_Merkel Angela Merkel Text from Papademos: "OMG WTF". Sending him a crate of Dortmunder Export and some cigarettes. #greece 14 November Merkel providing support to her fellow eurozone colleague.
FRANCE GERMANY
FRANCE GOVERNMENT FRANCE|BUDGET
FRANCE|BANKING
French President Nicolas Sarkozy shakes hand with people as he arrives to deliver a speech in Bordeaux, southwestern France, 15 November 2011. |EPA/PIERRE ANDRIEU/POOL
would save the state 200 million ($271 million) a year, Sarkozy announced in Bordeaux. As for civil servants, whose sick leave is entirely covered by the state, they will not be paid for the first day's absence, Sarkozy said. That part of the measure would require a new law, the government said.
Opposition parties and trade unions accused the government of "punishing the sick." The national secretary of the CFDT union, Veronique Desacq, said it was "unacceptable" to "designate all employees potential fraudsters." Force Ouvriere, another trade union, pointed out that "sick people do not auto-prescribe their sick leave."
FRANCE|AIRLINES INDUSTRY
FRANCE ECONOMY
GERMANY PHARMACEUTICALS
GERMANY|BANKING
Coldplay arrives at the 2011 MTV Europe Music Awards in November. | EPA/Ian West.
IRELAND | JOBS
Katy Perry, Coldplay and Pink Floyd are getting a new boss - Universal Music, the worlds largest record company, said it had joined up with Sony Music to buy legendary record company EMI in a $ 4.1-billion deal, DPA reported. Under the terms of the sale Universal will pay EMIs owner Citigroup $ 1.9 billion for the companys recorded music division, while Sony will splash out $ 2.2 billion for EMIs publishing division. The transaction came during a tumultuous period for the music industry which has seen sales tank over the last
decade as sales of CDs tumble due to the spread of downloadable music over the internet. Citigroup snapped up EMI in February when previous owner, the private equity firm Terra Firma, which had paid $ 6.8 billion for the company in 2007, defaulted on its loan. Universal Music CEO Lucian Grainge said the new deal would ensure the legacy of the record company, which counts stars such as the Beatles, Perry, Norah Jones and Coldplay on its roster. "EMI was the pre-eminent music
company that I grew up with," said Grainge in a media release. The deal, which still must be approved by European and US regulators, will cement Universals status as the worlds largest record company, with some 35% of industry sales. EMIs back catalogue, which includes such classics as Singing in the Rain and Over the Rainbow will bolster Sony ATV, which is co-owned by the Michael Jackson Family Trust and which holds the rights to the songs of the Beatles, Elvis Presley, Eminem and Bob Dylan.
IRELAND | ENVIRONMENT
SPAIN|ECONOMY
New Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti, centre, during the reading of his Government's program in the Italian Senate, Rome, Italy, 17 November 2011. |EPA/CLAUDIO ONORATI
by their expectations on what (the economy) of Italy will be like in 10 and 20 years time." Monti was referring to the recent spike in Italy's borrowing costs and market doubts over the country's credit-worthiness. These already had pushed to more than 500 basis points the spread between the premium demanded by investors for Italian government bonds compared to Germany's. Monti said sacrifices would be necessary but that the "distribution of sacrifices would be a fair one." At one stage the new premier
was interrupted by applause. "Don't applaud, listen!" Monti said. He explained that his government would aim to eliminate Italy's budget deficit by 2013, a pledge first made in recent months by former prime minister Silvio Berlusconi. To achieve this, Monti indicated that further cuts to state spending would be required. These would include cuts to public administration costs, which the premier said would result in the scrapping of the country's more than 100 provincial government entities -- an un-kept election promise made by Berlusconi.
SPAIN TAXES
SPAIN|AUTO INDUSTRY
PORTUGAL LOANS
PORTUGAL|LABOUR
AUSTRIA TRANSPORT
AUSTRIA|BANKING
Hundreds of jobs may be at risk if the Viennese government refuses to give the go-ahead for a 66-million assignment, according Bombardier Austria head Germar Wacker, Austrian Independent reported on 15 November. The Viennese government coalition of Social Democrats (SP) and Greens puts the order for 20 underground trains on hold to evaluate the assignment again due to empty city coffers. The federal capitals debts soared by 1.87 billion to 3.07 billion in 2010. Now the head of the Austrian representation of Canadian company Bombardier said 300 of the 600 jobs at its plant in Vienna-Donaustadt could be endangered by the end of 2012 if the city abstained from giving the green light to the construction of 20 U-Bahn trains in the remainder of this year. Asked by the Kurier newspaper why an assignment of 66 million could have such immense effects on an enterprise with more than 65,000 employees and a two-digit million-Euro turnover, Wacker made aware of the research department at Bombardier Austrias Viennese factory. He argued its operations were strongly linked to the manufacturing branch as staff developed public transport solutions for cities all over the world there. "Public budgets shrank because of the crisis. Many invest-
ments were delayed," he said about the general situation. Wacker refused to reveal whether his company could allow the city of Vienna to cough up the full sum for the assignment with some delay. However, he underlined that the "signals are positive" that Bombardier Austria finds a solution in cooperation with the city government to get the order on track. The company serves 2.2 million passengers a day. It had 839 million passengers last year, up from 612 million in 1990. Wiener Liniens U6 trains differ in size from the wagons used on its other U-Bahn connections. The U6 is Viennas busiest and, according to a recent poll, least popular underground line. Wiener Linien officials recently admitted that coping with the effects of the shutdown of the U1 underground line next summer "will certainly be a challenge." The service will be put out of business between Reumannplatz station in the south and Stephansplatz station in the city centre for around seven weeks. A Wiener Linien expert explained the repairs of the services outdated electronic appliances and train tracks made a total closure in both directions necessary. Company managers are currently checking whether a motorised traffic collapse could be rather avoided by increasing the servicing of buses or if setting up an additional tramway link would be the better alternative.
SLOVENIA BUSINESS
SLOVENIA|BUSINESS
MALTA CRIME
protection against cybercrime. The attack methods of the digital spy have become more sophisticated, with increasing reports of very specific and targeted attacks. Traditional protective equipment such as intrusion detection systems, firewalls, virus scanners, and log analyzers offer inadequate protection. The purpose of the CAD project is to develop a sensor that enables organizations to determine in their Information and Communications Technology networks whether they are
victims of espionage. Early detection of infiltration means that espionage or an attack can be prevented or stopped. To facilitate this, a number of cybercrime indicators are combined intelligently in the CAD. A cyber espionage attack follows in practice a fixed pattern: entice, contaminate, collect and exfiltrate. The CAD lays down tripwires for each step. Every feature in itself does not have to be a sign of a digital attack, but the combination of characteristic features can be.
LUXEMBOURG|MEDIA
ASTRA offers 3D TV
SES, Luxembourg-based Europe's premier direct-to-home (DTH) satellite operator, announced that it has signed a capacity agreement with High TV 3D, a worldwide 3D general entertainment channel, primarily for cable distribution. High TV 3D will be distributed via the ASTRA 23.5 degrees East orbital position (11778.00 MHz, vertical), benefiting from its optimal European footprint coverage and household reach. ASTRA 23.5 degrees East is the home of various international 3D channels such as Brava 3D, Penthouse 3D and the ASTRA 3D demo channel. "The sales of 3D enabled TV sets is expected to significantly grow over the next years," says Ferdinand Kayser, Chief Commercial Officer of SES. "The availability of compelling, high quality 3D content is of key importance to further drive the development of 3D. High TV 3D is a very valuable addition to our growing 3D line-up, and we look very much forward to a successful cooperation."
LUXEMBOURG FINANCE
BELGIUM|TELECOMS
BELGIUM PHARMA
CZECH REPUBLIC|ECONOMY
Taking the PiS? Leader of Law and Justice Jaroslaw Kaczynski delivers a speech.| EPA/JACEK TURCZYK
Poland's right-wing opposition Law and Justice party looked set to split Tuesday after it expelled 17 party members from its ranks when they formed a separate political club in parliament. Law and Justice's governing body decided Monday night to expel 16 members of parliament and one senator after they formed a new political club called Solidarna Polska (Solidarity Poland.) The politicians had held back from declaring a new political party, however, and said they wanted to remain members of Law and Justice.
The politicians had received an ultimatum that they must leave Solidarna Polska or be excluded from Law and Justice. One of the grouping, parliamentarian Andrzej Dera, called that move a bad attempt to break our solidarity, speaking to broadcaster TVN24 on Tuesday. Dera added that the members would not return to Law and Justice, and were set to form a new rightwing political party. There will be more of us, he said. If Law and Justice could not be changed from the inside, maybe our
group will make those changes happen anyway. Law and Justice has been criticized for its harsh attitudes to Russia and Germany, Poland's historical foes. It has also been accused of using last year's plane crash, which killed thenpresident Lech Kaczynski of Law and Justice, and 95 others, for political gains. The Solidarna Polska club is loosely centred around Zbigniew Ziobro, a former justice minister who is considered a main rival to Law and Justice leader Jaroslaw Kaczynski.
HUNGARY BUSINESS
FINLAND|JOBS
SWEDEN|AVIATION
SWEDEN|RETAIL
FINLAND SAFETY
DENMARK ENERGY
Online home-delivery grocery bags are likely to be the topselling Christmas gift in Sweden this year, a Swedish institute said, DPA reportred. The grocery bags offer several services for the customer including a weekly food menu, delivery to customers' doorsteps, and simple recipe lists, the Swedish Research Institute of Trade said. The institute, which tracks retail and wholesale sales, said sales of homedelivered grocery bags were a recent offshoot of online retailing. A combination of greater purchasing power and time constraints makes households willing to pay for convenience in their daily lives," the institute's chief executive Lena Larsson said. The institute has since 1988 predicted top-selling Christmas gifts as part of its projections for sales in the holiday season. In recent years, the institute's list has included items such as global positioning systems (GPS) devices, audio books and poker sets. Overall retail sales during the upcoming holiday season are estimated to be 65.2 billion Swedish crowns ($9.67 billion), a slight increase on 2010, the institute said. On average, that sum translates to about 6,900 crowns ($1,000) per person, of which 2,900 crowns was for everyday commodities.
FINLAND|ECONOMY
SWEDEN SPORT
SWEDEN|BUSINESS
SLOVAKIA|LABOUR
The Latvian construction sector ramped up notably in the third quarter with the construction volume having increased by 19.6% year-on-year, data from Latvias Central Statistical Bureau informed last week. The breakdowns of the calendar adjusted data showed construction volume of buildings surged up by 25.3% in the quarter and construction of civil engineering structures, by 16.0%. In value terms, Latvian construction
volume comprised 301.8 million lats in the three months to September. In comparison to the first nine months of 2010, Latvian construction volume in the first nine months of 2011 at constant prices increased by 6.1%, of which construction of buildings by 8.9% and civil engineering structures by 4.0%. Compared to the preceding quarter, construction volume in the third quarter increased by 15.1% of which, construction of buildings ad-
vanced by 13.4% and construction of civil engineering structures were up by 15.5%. In comparison to the corresponding period of the previous year, the most notable increase in construction works and repairs was recorded in the construction of local pipe line and cable lines, and production buildings and warehouses by 144.3% and 106.9% respectively. In its turn, construction decline of 39.6% was recorded in construction of bridges and tunnels.
LATVIA ENERGY
SLOVAKIA|MANUFACTURING
LITHUANIA BANKING
ESTONIA ECONOMY
GREECE CYPRUS
GREECE ECONOMY CYPRUS|ECONOMY
Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos, right, talks with Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos at the Greek Parliament, Athens, Greece, 18 November 2011. |EPA/SIMELA PANTZARTZI
On 18 November, Greece's new coalition government was to resume talks with its international creditors, who were due in Athens to assess ongoing efforts by the country to reduce its massive public debt. Envoys from the European Union, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the European Central Bank were expected to arrive in the Greek capital. In Brussels, officials said that Prime Minister Lucas Papademos would travel to the European capital on 21 November to meet European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso and EU President Herman Van Rompuy. Greece's creditors have demanded broad political support for the debt deal, which envisages tough austerity measures, before they approve further loans under a 110-billion bailout programme. Without the next tranche of 8bn in emergency funding, Athens will default by mid-December, experts say. Greece is also in talks about a second EU/IMF bailout worth 130bn, on condition that banks and insurance funds accept a 50% loss on their existing loans to Greece. On 18 November, the 2012 state
budget was handed to the President of the Greek Parliament Philippos Petsalnikos, after it was approved at a Cabinet meeting. The budget will be debated by the parliament plenary on 3 December. The 2012 budget envisages cutting the country's budget deficit from 9% of gross domestic product this year to 5.4% in 2012. According to the budget, which was presented to journalists by Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos, the country is expected to endure a long recession, with unemployment climbing to 17.1 next year. He added that the draft budget also foresees an additional 3.6 billion in tax collection. "For the first time in the last decades, the Greek parliament is called upon to discuss and ratify the budget under conditions of acute crisis and pressure," Venizelos said. Venizelos presented two possible scenarios affecting the budget deficit, one taking into account a bond swap foreseen in the latest European debt deal for Greece. The other disregards the swap. In the first case, the deficit would be reduced to 5.4% of GDP from the 6.8% foreseen in the budget. In the second scenario, the deficit would
drop to 6.7%. The finance minister insisted that the 2012 budget, which will be voted on in parliament on 7 December, constituted a "tool to exit the crisis that would help Greece move from the state of pessimism to a new beginning." Venizelos said no new austerity measures are needed to cover this year's budget shortfall. On 16 November, Greece's new coalition government, headed by Papademos, won a confidence vote in parliament with a comfortable majority. A total of 255 lawmakers in the 300-seat parliament voted in favour of the new government formed last week by the majority Socialists, main opposition conservatives and a small right-wing party. Only 38 voted against, while the remaining seven were absent. Papademos has been given a three-month mandate to fulfil the obligations of the debt-ridden nation under the bailout programme as well as to speed up long-term reforms. The new prime minister will also push forward a series of austerity measures already passed, including increased taxes and the layoff of 30,000 civil servants on partial pay.
CYPRUS|ENERGY
CYPRUS|PROPERTY
GREECE ENERGY
BULGARIA ROMANIA
BULGARIA|ENERGY BULGARIA ECONOMY
BULGARIA|AUTO INDUSTRY
Bulgarian Prime Minister Boyko Borisov speaks at the Parliament in Sofia. Bulgaria's 2012 state budget was approved by the countrys parliament on 16 November. |EPA/VASSIL DONEV
ROMANIA|RETAIL
ued to increase. It is encouraging that rate of increase has slowed compared with at the start of the crisis," it added. According to Fitch, foreign ownership of Bulgarian banks represents "another challenge." Meanwhile, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) said that key priorities for Bulgaria in 2012 should include maintaining fiscal discipline. "Successive governments have pursued over the years strong fiscal discipline and it is vital that this is maintained, particularly given the strong commitment to maintaining the currency board," the EBRD said in its Transition 2011 report. A timely implementation of the Fiscal Stability Pact
and further progress on key structural reforms to the health care and pension systems would further support this, the report said. Another key priority for 2012, according to the EBRD, was for Bulgaria to make further progress towards increasing energy tariffs and improving the predictability of the process of deciding tariffs. "Regulated prices have been used to cross-subsidise certain groups (primarily retail buyers) and to keep prices below long-term sustainable levels; reversing this practice would lead to higher investment and a more effective operation of the market." Business environment improvements were needed, the EBRD said.
ROMANIA PHARMACEUTICALS
ROMANIA|FOOD
ROMANIA CLOTHING
PARTNERS
SWITZERLAND BUSINESS
NORWAY|TERRORISM
ICELAND CLIMATE
NORWAY ENERGY
SWITZERLAND|ENERGY
CANDIDATES
Losing purchase
Out of the 42 European countries surveyed, Croatia gained 31st position among the countries whose purchasing power is less than half of the European Union average or 5,011, Javno reported. The European Union average is 12,774. Amongst European Union candidates, Croatia is placed third, behind Iceland and Turkey. Compared to the last two years, Croatia witnessed a decline several places, from 27th in 2007 and 29th in 2009. The people of Zagreb have the highest purchasing power in the country or 6,507, 30% above average.
SERBIA|ECONOMY
Croatian Prime Minister Jadranka Kosor shows a copy of the draft of the accession agreement between the European Union and Croatia.| EPA/ANTONIO BAT
SERBIA ECONOMY
ALBANIA|ECONOMY
BOSNIA EU
CANDIDATES
MONTENEGRO|METALS
The Bosporus bridge in Istanbul. Turkey will be one of the few economies to witness a rapid economic recovery. |EPA/KERIM OKTEN
Experts recently claimed that Turkey with its strong public finances, low budget deficit and political stability can tackle any fresh wave of economic crisis. Compared to other economies, Turkey will be one of the few economies to witness a rapid economic recovery, Zaman reported. Just like other countries, Turkey will also feel the turmoil for a short term but will resume its strong economic growth soon. In the past decade Turkey has already proved its resilience against the crisis by strengthening its public finances and reducing the budget deficit. The countrys gross domestic product (GDP) managed to witness a rise by 9% in 2010 after it contracted by nearly 5% a year earlier due to global economic turmoil triggered by the US credit crunch. It was declared as the fastest growing economy across the globe with
10.2% in first half of this year. Mediumterm Economic Programme (OVP) of the Justice and Development Party (AK Party) government expects the Turkish economy is expected to produce a lower public debt to GDP ratio and lower budget and current account deficit (CAD). A recent prognosis states that Turkeys CAD, one of the few issues the country faces in the eyes of most observers, is expected to be 8% of the GDP next year, and the CAD to domestic output ratio will drop to 7.5% in 2013 and to 7% in 2014. OVP also states that public debt to GDP ratio will retreat until 2015. The programme expects a positive CAD in next three years. It expects 8% of the GDP next year the CAD to domestic output ratio will drop to 7.5% in 2013 and to 7% in 2014. Regarding exports, Turkey ex-
pects to earn $135 billion this year. According to the latest statistics of the Turkish Exporters Assembly (T?M), Turkey earned 47% of its exports revenue from the merchandise it sold to European countries this year. Despite such a rise in export revenue, its CAD spiked to nearly 9% of the GDP due to the rising energy bill and industrys dependence on foreign intermediate goods to produce merchandise to be sold overseas. According to former vice-president of the countrys Privatisation Administration (OIB), Suleyman Yasar, Turkeys CAD was due to its high public debt, but presently it has a gap due to private indebtedness. Even if they default on their debt, there will be no direct impact on the countrys balance of payments since there is no state guarantee over those private debts, he added.
MONTENEGRO|BUDGET
FYROM|LOANS
NEIGHBOURHOOD
BELARUS|ENERGY
UKRAINE EU AFFAIRS
Former Ukrainian prime minister and opposition leader Yulia Tymoshenko was sentenced to seven years in prison in October for illegally ordering the signature of a 2009 natural gas deal with Russia. |EPA/SERGEY DOLZHENKO
MOLDOVA|EU AFFAIRS
The committee proposes to urge the Ukrainian president and government to establish a political, legal and administrative system in the country that is in compliance with the agenda of the association, and support the proper governing and respect to the rule of law as a fundamental principle in relations between Ukraine and the European Union. The document urges the European Parliament "to insist that Tymoshenko and the other leaders of the opposition be allowed to exercise their right to participate fully in the political process, both as of now and in the forthcoming elections in Ukraine." On 15 November, Ukrainian prosecutors were interrogating Tymoshenko although she was too ill to move from a prison bed, said Serhy Sobolyev, a member of Tymoshenko's Baktyvshchina (Motherland) party. Defence lawyers were at the same time unable to meet with Tymoshenko, who is being held in a Kiev prison, because wardens have declared her too
sick to receive personal visitors, said Serhy Sobolyev, a member of Tymoshenko's Baktyvshchina (Motherland) party. "When it's necessary to interrogate her, then the so-called doctors at the prison are happy to forget the Hippocratic oath and give the OK," Sobolyev said, according to Channel 5, an independent television news station. "Questioning without the presence of a lawyer, that's fine. But she can't talk with her lawyer," he continued. The ban on lawyers meeting with Tymoshenko has been in effect "for a week," he said. On 11 November, prosecutors formally charged her with four counts of tax evasion, alleging she concealed more than $165 million of corporate income while running a natural gas import company in the mid-1990s. Tymoshenko has denied all wrongdoing and said she intends to appeal her October sentence. She has said she believes herself to be the victim of a government campaign to eliminate political opponents of president Viktor Yanukovych.
UKRAINE ENERGY
MOLDOVA|POLITICS
NEIGHBOURHOOD
time in nine post-Soviet countries including Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Ukraine and Uzbekistan. The programe is dedicated to train employees from local financial institutions to reduce vulnerabilities of local institutions to future financial shocks, Odinayeva noted. He added that the programme will help participants identify and mitigate financial risks such as credit, market, and operational risks. Odinayeva, said, IFC is helping build the capacity of
financial intermediaries to better manage risk. She stressed that joint collaboration between IFC, GARP and local training partners in bringing this Risk Certification Program to the region will provide risk managers and other financial professionals with an opportunity to prepare and take exams under the auspices of an internationally recognized certification programme in their own countries. This in turn will deepen the financial risk management culture and climate in the region.
TAJIKISTAN|RELATIONS
TURKMENISTAN RELATIONS
KAZAKHSTAN ECONOMY
NEIGHBOURHOOD
AZERBAIJAN|DIPLOMACY
tacts between peoples. The Hungarian head-of-state stressed that the aim of his country is diversification of sources and routes for energy resources, especially gas. Azerbaijan may play the key role in the issue. Hungary supports Azerbaijan in its European and Euro-Atlantic integration. Hungary welcomes Azerbaijani talks on EU association
and co-operation with NATO. Concerning the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, Hungary sees need for progress in the peace process basing on the international law. Sustainable settlement of the issue may be achieved via peaceful means with account of territorial unity and sovereignty of interested states, Pal Schmitt concludes.
UZBEKISTAN ECONOMY
AZERBAIJAN| TECHNOLOGY
KYRGYZSTAN PRIVATISATIONS
NEIGHBOURHOOD
Tverskaya Street in downtown Moscow. Russia's GDP grew 4.8 percent in the third quarter this year.
whole, while the IMF is more optimistic with its 4.3% forecast. Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, who will run for president next year, is seeking annual growth of between 6% and 7% and turn the economy into one of the worlds five largest. Agriculture also made a substantial contribution to growth last quarter, according to Tsepliaeva. Russian farmers harvested 95 million metric tonnes of grain as of 25 October, according to the
Agriculture Ministry. Thats about 50% more than in the same period of 2010 and bolsters the industry following the countrys worst drought in at least a half century last year. The sovereign-debt crisis in Europe, Russias most important export market, is hurting demand for manufactured goods. Industrial production grew 3.9% in September from a year earlier, the slowest pace since it began expanding in October 2009.
GEORGIA|HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
RUSSIA DIPLOMACY
ARMENIA|INDUSTRY
RUSSIA DIPLOMACY
Kassandra@NEurope.eu
KASSANDRA
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Heading towards the EFD? Filip Dewinter of Belgian right wing party Vlaams Belang, and Heinz-Christian Strache, of Austrian right-wing party FPO (Freedom Party of Austria)|BELGA/JORGE DIRKX
The debate went on for some time until Godfrey Bloom, UKIPs intellectual powerhouse, interrupted with a cry of Israel, Palestine. Who gives a shit? When it came to joining the group, there was considerable resistance throughout the room. However, there are two interesting points. Despite the UKIP members voting against joining a pan-European party, Mr Bloom is ac-
tually the President of one, the European Alliance for Freedom, where he presides over a motley crew of the far right, including the Vlaams Belang, the Lithuanian Order and Justice, Sweden Democrats, and of course, Andreas Mozler and his fellow Freedom party MEP, Franz Obermayr. The latter is also Treasurer. But there is another problem that isnt going
away, Mario Borghezio the Lega Nord ufo enthusiast and conspiracy nut. Beyond that, the Italian MEP has praised Norwegian mass killer, Anders Breivik, saying his ideas were just fantastic. Farage wants Borghezio out, and tried to claim to UKIP members that he had been thrown out of the group. But Borghezio remains, unrepentant. Its not as though he has done much about it. When asked to speak directly with the leader of Borghezios Lega Nord, Farage refused, on the entirely reasonable grounds that Umberto Bossi didnt speak English! It may be that the meeting was a chance to politely kill off the Austrian dream of joining the group. Nigel Farage is positioning UKIP, who are more active in UK politics than EU affairs, to attract disaffected Tory supporters, who feel that David Cameron is too Brussels friendly for their taste. It is also a time when the skeptics have been shown to be right with the crisis in the Eurozone and moving to the far right will endanger that. New Europe contacted the EFD and UKIP on their approach to the Austrian far right party but their normally garrulous spokesmen have gone deathly quiet!
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