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20.08.

2012

Company Analysis - Overview


Ticker:

MC FP

Lonmin PLC

LMI LN

Currency:
Sector: Materials

Industry: Metals & Mining

Year:

Telephone
44-20-7201-6000
Revenue (M)
Website
www.lonmin.com
No of Employees
Address
4 Grosvenor Place London, SW1X 7YL United Kingdom
Share Price Performance in GBp
Price
618.50
1M Return
52 Week High
1328.00
6M Return
52 Week Low
592.50
52 Wk Return
52 Wk Beta
1.75
YTD Return
Credit Ratings
Bloomberg
S&P
Moody's
Fitch

Lonmin PLC is a mineral resources group. The Group produces Platinum and other
Platinum group metals such as Palladium and Rhodium. The Company's operations are
located in the district of Marikana, near Rustenberg, in the North West Province of
South Africa.

Benchmark:
FTSE 100 INDEX (UKX)

London: LMI, Currency: GBp

124'097
25'097
-12.6%
-40.7%
-44.1%
-36.2%

IG2
-

Date
Date
Date

9/08
13.9x
7.4x
6.7x
2.8x
2.9x
1.5%

9/09
2'841.6x
4.4x
2.2x
0.0%

9/10
46.1x
24.3x
15.8x
3.3x
2.0x
0.6%

9/11
12.2x
14.0x
9.7x
1.7x
1.1x
0.9%

9/12E
39.5x
13.3x
1.2x
0.7x
1.4%

9/13E
20.2x
9.6x
1.0x
0.6x
1.5%

9/14E
10.3x
6.7x
0.9x
0.6x
2.1%

9/08
Gross Margin
46.3
EBITDA Margin
46.9
Operating Margin
42.6
Profit Margin
20.4
Return on Assets
11.3
Return on Equity
22.1
Leverage and Coverage Ratios
9/08
Current Ratio
2.2
Quick Ratio
1.2
EBIT/Interest
158.3
Tot Debt/Capital
0.2
Tot Debt/Equity
0.2
Eff Tax Rate %
27.3

9/09
-2.4
0.2
-8.7
-26.8
-6.8
-12.7

9/10
22.0
24.2
15.7
7.1
2.5
4.4

9/11
20.5
14.3
13.7
5.6
9.7

9/12E
14.8
12.0
5.3
2.1
0.7
1.6

9/13E
30.8
15.1
7.2
4.2
1.8
3.3

9/14E
20.6
19.0
9.9
6.9
1.8
5.3

9/09
2.1
1.1
-1.8
0.1
0.1
-

9/10
2.1
1.0
4.8
0.1
0.2
49.2

9/11
1.7
0.4
5.1
0.1
0.1
-

04.12.2000
-

Outlook
Outlook
Outlook

Business Segments in GBp


Platinum
Palladium
Rhodium
Nickel
Ruthenium
Iridium
Gold

Sales (M)
79430
17443
13706
5482
1994
1994
1807

Geographic Segments in GBp


Europe
Asia
The Americas
South Africa
Zimbabwe

0%
1%
2%
4% 2%

Sales (M)
38375
34700
25791
25231

20%
31%

11%

Valuation Ratios
P/E
EV/EBIT
EV/EBITDA
P/S
P/B
Div Yield
Profitability Ratios %

14%
66%

21%

28%

Platinum

Palladium

Rhodium

Nickel

Ruthenium

Iridium

Gold

Current Capitalization in GBp


Common Shares Outstanding (M)
Market Capitalization (M)
Cash and ST Investments (M)
Total Debt (M)
Preferred Equity (M)
LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M)
Investments (M)
Enterprise Value (M)

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |

Europe

Asia

The Americas

South Africa

202.7
125343.6
9818.0
32080.5
0.0
0.0
25139.1
172745.2

Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings


Lonmin PLC

20%

46%

48%

48%

48%

46%

50%

16%

13%

9%

9%

13%

13%

17%

17%

13%

nov.11

dc.11

janv.12

fvr.12

mars.12

avr.12

mai.12

juin.12

juil.12

0%
sept.11

oct.11

1950

1'000
500
500

33%
22%

aot.11

48%

46%

Buy

Hold

Sell

0
Price

Target Price

Date

Buy

Hold

Sell

Date

31-Jul-12
29-Jun-12
31-May-12
30-Apr-12
30-Mar-12
29-Feb-12
31-Jan-12
30-Dec-11
30-Nov-11
31-Oct-11
30-Sep-11
31-Aug-11

13%
17%
17%
13%
13%
9%
9%
13%
16%
22%
33%
32%

50%
46%
46%
48%
48%
48%
48%
46%
44%
52%
48%
50%

38%
38%
38%
39%
39%
43%
43%
42%
40%
26%
19%
18%

20-Aug-12
17-Aug-12
16-Aug-12
15-Aug-12
14-Aug-12
13-Aug-12
10-Aug-12
9-Aug-12
8-Aug-12
7-Aug-12
6-Aug-12
3-Aug-12
2-Aug-12
1-Aug-12
31-Jul-12
30-Jul-12
27-Jul-12
26-Jul-12
25-Jul-12
24-Jul-12
23-Jul-12
20-Jul-12
19-Jul-12
18-Jul-12
17-Jul-12
16-Jul-12
13-Jul-12

Price Target Price


618.50
639.50
648.00
695.00
708.50
741.00
753.00
746.00
759.00
774.50
735.00
726.00
703.50
719.00
698.00
710.00
699.50
694.00
668.00
662.50
663.00
707.50
728.50
707.50
697.00
707.50
713.00

627.28
651.03
680.41
702.28
738.91
738.91
738.59
738.59
738.59
762.25
762.25
781.32
783.19
783.19
783.19
783.19
783.58
820.33
844.71
844.71
844.71
845.77
845.77
845.77
845.77
845.77
858.20

615

44%

32%

1063

1500
1000

52%

40%

1325

1'500

48%

2000
1240

2'000

911

38%

945

38%

640

38%

620

39%

360

39%

971

43%

859

43%

500

50%

42%

145

60%

40%

740

26%

470

19%

0
Deutsche
Bank
BMO Capital
Markets
Societe
Generale
Panmure
Gordon &
Barclays
Goldman
Sachs
Credit
Suisse
AlphaValue
SBG
Securities
Nomura
CIBC World
Markets
Exane BNP
Paribas
Morgan
Stanley
Redburn
Partners
BNP Paribas
Cadiz
Day by Day
RBC Capital
Markets
JPMorgan
EVA
Dimensions
Renaissance
Capital
Canaccord
Genuity
Fairfax I.S.
Limited
Equita SIM
SpA

18%

80%

Brokers' Target Price


2500

300

2'500

100%

1186

Buy and Sell Recommendations vs Price and Target Price

Price

Broker Recommendation

Target price in GBp

Broker

Analyst

Deutsche Bank
BMO Capital Markets
Societe Generale
Panmure Gordon & Co Limited
Barclays
Goldman Sachs
Credit Suisse
AlphaValue
SBG Securities
Nomura
CIBC World Markets
Exane BNP Paribas
Morgan Stanley
Redburn Partners
BNP Paribas Cadiz Securities
Day by Day
RBC Capital Markets
JPMorgan
EVA Dimensions
Renaissance Capital
Canaccord Genuity Corp
Fairfax I.S. Limited
Equita SIM SpA

GRANT SPORRE
sell
EDWARD STERCK
underperform
ABHISHEK SHUKLA
sell
ALISON TURNER
buy
ANDREW BYRNE
equalweight
EUGENE KING
sell/attractive
NIHAL SHAH
underperform
SACHIN KUMAR
buy
JUSTIN FRONEMAN
hold
PATRICK JONES
reduce
LEON ESTERHUIZEN
sector perform
ROMY KRUGER
underperform
CHRISTOPHER NICHOLSONEqualwt/In-Line
SIMON TOYNE
sell
NIC DINHAM
hold
VALERIE GASTALDY
hold
TIMOTHY HUFF
outperform
STEVE SHEPHERD
neutral
TEAM COVERAGE
sell
EMMA TOWNSHEND
hold
DMITRY KALACHEV
hold
JOHN MEYER
sell
MASSIMO BONISOLI
not rated

Recommendation

Target

Date

470.00
500.00
145.00
1186.00
615.00
300.00
740.00
971.00
859.30
360.00
640.00
620.00
945.00

20-Aug-12
17-Aug-12
17-Aug-12
17-Aug-12
17-Aug-12
16-Aug-12
16-Aug-12
16-Aug-12
13-Aug-12
8-Aug-12
3-Aug-12
27-Jul-12
26-Jul-12
24-Jul-12
5-Jul-12
31-May-12
14-May-12
9-May-12
30-Nov-11
10-Nov-11
11-Oct-11
8-Aug-11
18-Nov-10

911.23
1325.00
1240.00
1950.00
1063.00

Lonmin PLC

Company Analysis - Ownership


Ownership Type

Ownership Statistics
Shares Outstanding (M)
Float
Short Interest (M)
Short Interest as % of Float
Days to Cover Shorts
Institutional Ownership
Retail Ownership
Insider Ownership

50.65%
49.22%
0.13%

49%

Switzerland
Britain
South Africa
United States
Norway
Netherlands
Japan
Others

51%

Institutional Ownership

Retail Ownership

Holder Name
XSTRATA PLC
OLD MUTUAL LIFE ASSU
OLD MUTUAL INVESTMEN
PRUDENTIAL PLC
LEGAL & GENERAL INV
NORGES BANK
AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL
OLD MUTUAL ASSET MAN
BLACKROCK INV MANAGE
UNITED SERVICES AUTO
ROBECO FUND MANAGEME
NEDCOR BANK MGMT CO
CREDIT SUISSE PRIVAT
FIDELITY INTERNATION
VANGUARD GROUP INC
FIDELITY INVESTMENTS
BOSTON COMPANY ASSET
VANGUARD GROUP INC
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV
GUARDIAN INVESTOR SE

34.44%
24.10%
15.30%
13.67%
4.13%
1.58%
1.24%
5.56%

Institutional Ownership Distribution


Investment Advisor
Corporation
Government
Bank
Others

Insider Ownership

Pricing data is in GBp


Top 20 Owners:

FARMER IAN P
SEEDAT MOHAMED
PHILLIMORE J ROGER B
MUNRO DAVID J C
LESLIE JONATHAN

2% 1% 6%
4%
34%
14%

24%

15%
50.09%
32.74%
6.63%
3.61%
6.93%

Switzerland

Britain

South Africa

United States

Norway

Netherlands

Japan

Others

TOP 20 ALL

Position
49'826'225
18'670'841
18'670'841
15'394'864
7'297'784
6'268'918
6'158'652
3'677'178
2'585'179
2'130'000
2'005'362
1'936'380
1'920'800
1'918'256
1'913'253
1'512'592
1'496'918
1'465'027
1'279'553
1'242'578

Position Change
0
0
0
-1'927'768
-149'370
0
0
1'235'544
-509'111
130'000
35'362
46'772
-1'185
-6'672'913
100'851
-1'169'513
-275'265
60'473
464'431
-105'800

Market Value
30'817'520'163
11'547'915'159
11'547'915'159
9'521'723'384
4'513'679'404
3'877'325'783
3'809'126'262
2'274'334'593
1'598'933'212
1'317'405'000
1'240'316'397
1'197'651'030
1'188'014'800
1'186'441'336
1'183'346'981
935'538'152
925'843'783
906'119'200
791'403'531
768'534'493

% of Ownership
24.59%
9.21%
9.21%
7.60%
3.60%
3.09%
3.04%
1.81%
1.28%
1.05%
0.99%
0.96%
0.95%
0.95%
0.94%
0.75%
0.74%
0.72%
0.63%
0.61%

Report Date

Position

Position Change

Market Value

% of Ownership

Report Date

01.03.2012
01.03.2012
02.12.2011
15.05.2012
01.03.2012
01.08.2012
11.11.2011
31.03.2012
01.03.2012
31.05.2012
01.03.2012
30.06.2012
01.03.2012
29.02.2012
30.06.2012
01.03.2012
01.03.2012
01.03.2012
01.03.2012
31.03.2012

Source
REG
REG
RNS-MAJ
RNS-MAJ
REG
RNS-MAJ
Co File
MF-AGG
REG
MF-AGG
REG
MF-AGG
REG
MF-AGG
MF-AGG
REG
REG
REG
REG
MF-AGG

Top 5 Insiders:
Holder Name

Geographic Ownership

Geographic Ownership Distribution

0%

202.7
72.2%

79'712
30'621
22'750
7'700
4'900

49'301'872
18'939'089
14'070'875
4'762'450
3'030'650

0.04%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%

Source
11.11.2011
11.11.2011
11.11.2011
11.11.2011
11.11.2011

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |

Co File
Co File
Co File
Co File
Co File

Country
SWITZERLAND
SOUTH AFRICA
SOUTH AFRICA
BRITAIN
BRITAIN
NORWAY
UNITED STATES
BRITAIN
BRITAIN
UNITED STATES
NETHERLANDS
SOUTH AFRICA
SWITZERLAND
BERMUDA
UNITED STATES
BRITAIN
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES

Institutional Ownership
7%
4%
7%
49%

33%

Investment Advisor

Corporation

Government

Bank

Others

Company Analysis - Financials I/IV


Lonmin PLC
Financial information is in GBp (M)
Periodicity:

Fiscal Year

Equivalent Estimates
9/01

9/02

9/03

9/04

9/05

9/06

9/07

9/08

9/09

9/10

9/11

9/12E

9/13E

9/14E

Revenue
- Cost of Goods Sold

60'107
23'113

47'449
22'874

48'677
28'744

57'520
37'974

61'053
40'648

103'109
52'750

98'615

113'334
60'807

68'796
70'480

101'813
79'395

124'097

108'537

119'698

135'251

Gross Income
- Selling, General & Admin Expenses
(Research & Dev Costs)

36'994
1'596
0

24'575
2'315
0

19'933
1'625
0

19'546
2'569

20'405
812

50'360
3'446

52'527
4'267

-1'684
4'275

22'418
6'424

16'099

36'867

27'817

58'377

106'342

Operating Income
- Interest Expense
- Foreign Exchange Losses (Gains)
- Net Non-Operating Losses (Gains)

35'398
347
1'388
-2'637

22'261
340

16'977
1'173

19'593
1'948

48'259
305
-660
9'042

-5'960
1'814
-194
10'041

15'995
578
1'863
-1'863

17'755
623
-1'744
623

13'425

379

40'239
1'423
-356
3'353

8'616

-4'300

46'913
1'001
111
10'617

5'751

-681

18'309
750
375
-1'000

Pretax Income
- Income Tax Expense

36'300
10'411

22'601
5'106

18'184
11'435

20'104
6'310

17'266
6'387

35'185
11'228

35'819
15'089

39'573
10'820

-17'620
3'304

15'416
7'580

18'253
-1'744

4'825

8'767

16'009

Income Before XO Items


- Extraordinary Loss Net of Tax
- Minority Interests

25'889
0
6'871

17'496
0
4'901

6'749
0
2'125

13'794

23'957
0
6'559

20'729
0
4'776

28'752
0
5'639

-20'924
0
-2'462

7'837

2'904

10'879
0
2'327

642

19'998
0
2'990

19'018
121.18
50.46
40.1

12'594
78.92
46.77
54.6

3'812
25.82
42.93
136.5

7'204
22.23
38.37
52.3

8'822
65.59
37.19
64.3

23'846
159.57
53.04
45.6

23'016
143.45
55.75
57.2

27'941
170.58
28.60
20.2

-7'401
(38.35)
0.00

8'864
45.09
9.64
27.1

14'080
69.52
9.34
11.0

2'243
15.68
8.67
0.55

4'990
30.69
9.16
0.30

9'335
60.04
13.19
0.22

156
158

148
160

148
148

148
160

149
149

150
152

164
162

164
164

193
174

202
197

203
203

38'938

24'916

21'183

19'936

23'219

51'416

44'659

53'136

-130

24'602

25'480

13'036

18'056

25'744

Income Statement

Diluted EPS Before XO Items


Net Income Adjusted*
EPS Adjusted
Dividends Per Share
Payout Ratio %
Total Shares Outstanding
Diluted Shares Outstanding
EBITDA

*Net income excludes extraordinary gains and losses and one-time charges.

Company Analysis - Financials II/IV


Periodicity:

9/01

9/02

9/03

9/04

9/05

9/06

9/07

9/08

9/09

9/10

9/11

44743.6421 11593.8336 19734.0714 12694.5579


35'904
2'166
3'971
1'104
68
127
180
276
5'984
5'351
7'460
5'354
2'040
2'612
6'016
4'471
748
1'338
2'106
1'490

16314
623
0
6'684
6'231
2'776

32108
3'259
0
19'340
7'212
2'297

37442
10'880
392
14'065
9'115
2'989

50671
12'696
1'124
13'988
17'920
4'944

52944
17'606
0
10'801
16'920
7'617

60910
9'410
0
20'092
25'178
6'231

39302
4'857
0
5'240
24'540
4'665

9/12E

9/13E

9/14E

933.86

968.80

1'014.68

Balance Sheet
Total Current Assets
+ Cash & Near Cash Items
+ Short Term Investments
+ Accounts & Notes Receivable
+ Inventories
+ Other Current Assets
Total Long-Term Assets
+ Long Term Investments
Gross Fixed Assets
Accumulated Depreciation
+ Net Fixed Assets
+ Other Long Term Assets

67'795
14'824
67'319
14'688
52'632
340

75'233
18'219
72'748
16'244
56'504
510

76'530
17'147
75'447
16'305
59'142
241

82'956
2'373
93'498
17'883
75'615
4'967

107'511
2'096
97'145
21'298
75'847
29'568

114'328
6'251
101'934
23'774
78'160
29'918

155'550
12'154
106'739
24'749
81'990
61'407

181'619
6'460
144'205
37'863
106'342
68'816

210'089
5'806
174'003
46'888
127'115
77'168

245'804
25'687
195'575
55'760
139'814
80'303

271'408
25'498
227'186
63'139
164'047
81'863

Total Current Liabilities


+ Accounts Payable
+ Short Term Borrowings
+ Other Short Term Liabilities

17'272
952
136
16'184

11'976
1'083
3'631
7'262

14'981
2'046
2'768
10'168

11'977
1'380
1'269
9'328

14'048
2'209
4'928
6'911

17'203
4'488
962
11'753

27'640
5'097
11'615
10'929

22'527
8'370
0
14'157

25'286
10'614
3'621
11'051

28'866
10'554
4'196
14'115

23'709
11'439
639
11'631

Total Long Term Liabilities


+ Long Term Borrowings
+ Other Long Term Borrowings

10'608
204
10'404

18'792
8'409
10'383

29'601
12'755
16'846

34'275
14'792
19'483

52'906
28'662
24'244

59'141
26'659
32'482

49'694
17'594
32'100

64'041
29'717
34'324

66'804
21'789
45'015

81'892
29'056
52'836

73'492
19'172
54'320

Total Liabilities
+ Long Preferred Equity
+ Minority Interest
+ Share Capital & APIC
+ Retained Earnings & Other Equity

27'880
0
11'424
45'900
27'336

30'768
0
13'059
14'652
28'348

44'582
0
12'875
13'838
24'968

46'252
8'334
13'026
28'038

66'954
0
9'403
8'723
38'745

76'344
0
11'914
9'029
49'151

77'334
0
19'211
22'298
74'148

86'568
0
25'111
25'897
94'714

92'090
0
23'850
60'498
86'595

110'758
0
23'716
76'233
96'007

97'201
0
26'265
76'687
110'557

Total Shareholders Equity

84'659

56'058

51'682

49'398

56'871

70'093

115'658

145'722

170'943

195'956

213'510

112'539

86'826

96'264

95'651

123'825

146'437

192'992

232'290

263'033

306'714

310'711

468.96
468.96

291.06
291.06

262.57
262.57

276.69

318.83
159.41

388.45
231.14

589.36
253.35

735.93
371.91

761.93
413.63

851.44
508.54

923.95
575.18

Total Liabilities & Equity


Book Value Per Share
Tangible Book Value Per Share

Company Analysis - Financials III/IV


Periodicity:

9/01

9/02

9/03

9/04

9/05

9/06

9/07

9/08

9/09

9/10

9/11

9/12E

9/13E

9/14E

Net Income
+ Depreciation & Amortization
+ Other Non-Cash Adjustments
+ Changes in Non-Cash Capital

34'010
3'540
-4'928
-2'568

22'669
2'655
-12'118
-885

18'621
2'874
-3'937
-3'374

10'890
2'960
-223
2'178

8'552
3'626
5'467
-2'544

17'398
4'502
17'342
-11'117

15'953
4'420
10'873
3'912

23'114
4'877
12'141
-4'267

-18'462
6'089
5'182
6'348

7'194
8'608
3'661
-14'324

17'007
7'725
-748
15'263

1'972

5'332

9'378

Cash From Operating Activities


+ Disposal of Fixed Assets
+ Capital Expenditures
+ Increase in Investments
+ Decrease in Investments
+ Other Investing Activities

30'054
0
-7'982
-833
0
-7'149

12'322
0
-10'348
-5'242
0
29'409

14'184
1'562
-10'060
0
62
562

15'804

15'101
0
-9'634
-108
0
-11'962

28'126
0
-8'949
-2'001
1'556
-1'945

35'158
254
-13'718
-3'658
2'591
-20'272

35'864
0
-17'983
-864
51
-1'067

-842
0
-14'316
0
0
-1'166

5'139
0
-16'637
0
0
-18'628

39'248
0
-25'418
0
0
-2'118

-27'554

-19'753

-19'935

Cash From Investing Activities


+ Dividends Paid
+ Change in Short Term Borrowings
+ Increase in Long Term Borrowings
+ Decrease in Long Term Borrowings
+ Increase in Capital Stocks
+ Decrease in Capital Stocks
+ Other Financing Activities

-15'964
-7'635
-139
0
0
278
-1'319
-6'108

13'819
-7'420
-68
8'850
0
204
-33'221
-2'451

-7'873
-6'311
0
13'497
-8'186
0
0
-1'437

-12'565
-5'696
3'016

-2'066

-21'704
-5'521
4'601
11'041
-1'407
325
0
-1'786

-11'339
-6'892
-4'780
16'008
-16'453
834
0
-3'446

-34'802
-8'688
12'041
3'607
0
3'455
0
-2'083

-19'863
-9'449
-12'039
8'636
0
305
0
-3'200

-15'482
0
3'757
14'575
-26'236
33'102
0
-5'247

-35'265
0
835
7'259
0
14'774
0
-1'349

-27'536
-1'869
-3'800
18'689
-28'283
62
0
-997

Cash From Financing Activities

-14'923

-34'106

-2'437

-4'412

7'253

-14'730

8'332

-15'748

19'952

21'519

-16'197

-833

-7'965

3'874

-1'173

649

2'057

8'688

254

3'628

-8'608

-4'485

Free Cash Flow (CFO-CAPEX)

22'072

1'974

4'124

5'361

5'467

19'177

21'440

17'881

-15'158

-11'498

13'830

-12'719

-6'401

-5'228

Free Cash Flow To Firm


Free Cash Flow To Equity
Free Cash Flow per Share

22'319
21'933
140.65

2'238
10'756
12.37

4'402
10'998
27.91

6'166

6'694

19'858
13'952
128.33

22'264
37'343
133.63

18'103
14'478
109.16

-23'061
-87.06

-11'204
-3'404
-58.46

436
68.31

Cash Flows

Net Changes in Cash

-10'443
-223
21'779
-23'678

335

36.18

36.80

Company Analysis - Financials IV/IV


Periodicity:

9/01

9/02

9/03

9/04

9/05

9/06

9/07

9/08

9/09

9/10

9/11

9/12E

9/13E

9/14E

8.0x
3.6x
3.3x
2.5x
2.0x
5.2%

11.0x
6.8x
6.1x
2.9x
2.8x
5.4%

29.5x
8.8x
7.6x
2.8x
3.4x
4.6%

22.4x
10.6x
9.0x
2.7x
3.8x
3.6%

20.5x
11.0x
9.3x
2.9x
3.9x
3.1%

21.8x
8.9x
8.1x
3.7x
6.3x
2.1%

36.3x
15.6x
14.1x
5.9x
5.9x
1.5%

13.9x
7.4x
6.7x
2.8x
2.9x
1.5%

12.2x
14.0x
9.7x
1.7x
1.1x
0.9%

39.5x

20.2x

10.3x

2'841.6x
4.4x
2.2x
0.0%

46.1x
24.3x
15.8x
3.3x
2.0x
0.6%

13.3x
1.2x
0.7x
1.4%

9.6x
1.0x
0.6x
1.5%

6.7x
0.9x
0.6x
2.1%

Profitability Ratios
Gross Margin
EBITDA Margin
Operating Margin
Profit Margin
Return on Assets
Return on Equity

61.5%
64.8%
58.9%
31.6%
17.4%
27.4%

51.8%
52.5%
46.9%
26.5%
12.3%
21.1%

40.9%
43.5%
37.6%
9.5%
5.0%
11.2%

34.0%
34.7%
29.5%
18.9%
11.7%
28.1%

33.4%
38.0%
32.1%
14.0%
8.1%
20.0%

48.8%
49.9%
45.5%
16.9%
12.7%
32.5%

45.3%
40.8%
16.2%
9.4%
20.5%

46.3%
46.9%
42.6%
20.4%
11.3%
22.1%

-2.4%
0.2%
-8.7%
-26.8%
-6.8%
-12.7%

22.0%
24.2%
15.7%
7.1%
2.5%
4.4%

20.5%
14.3%
13.7%
5.6%
9.7%

14.8%
12.0%
5.3%
2.1%
0.7%
1.6%

30.8%
15.1%
7.2%
4.2%
1.8%
3.3%

20.6%
19.0%
9.9%
6.9%
1.8%
5.3%

Leverage & Coverage Ratios


Current Ratio
Quick Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio (EBIT/I)
Tot Debt/Capital
Tot Debt/Equity

2.59
2.43
102.00
0.00
0.00

0.97
0.64
65.40
0.18
0.21

1.32
0.78
22.54
0.23
0.30

1.06
0.56
14.48
0.25
0.33

1.16
0.52
9.78
0.37
0.59

1.87
1.31
24.82
0.28
0.39

1.35
0.92
15.53
0.20
0.25

2.25
1.23
158.33
0.17
0.20

2.09
1.12
-1.80
0.13
0.15

2.11
1.02
4.79
0.15
0.17

1.66
0.43
5.09
0.08
0.09

Others
Asset Turnover
Accounts Receivable Turnover
Accounts Payable Turnover
Inventory Turnover

0.55
9.52
16.29
13.06

0.46
8.10
22.39
9.46

0.53
7.49
20.35
6.52

0.62
9.32
22.41
7.51

0.58
10.49
24.38
7.86

0.75
7.73
15.84
7.75

0.58
5.98

0.55
8.32
10.51
4.74

0.25
5.03
6.52
3.69

0.35
6.48
8.10
3.71

0.41
10.01

28.7%

22.6%

62.9%

31.4%

37.0%

31.9%

42.1%

27.3%

Ratio Analysis
Valuation Ratios
Price Earnings
EV to EBIT
EV to EBITDA
Price to Sales
Price to Book
Dividend Yield

Effective Tax Rate

49.2%

Company Analysis - Peers Comparision


AQUARIUS
PLATINU

LONMIN PLC
Latest Fiscal Year:

09/2011
1'328.00
31.08.2011
592.50
17.08.2012
741'345

52-Week High
52-Week High Date
52-Week Low
52-Week Low Date
Daily Volume

Current Price (8/dd/yy)


52-Week High % Change
52-Week Low % Change
Total Common Shares (M)

Market Capitalization

IMPALA
PLATINUM

ANGLO
AMERICAN P

AFRICAN
RAINBOW

XSTRATA PLC

06/2012
3.88
30.08.2011
0.48
02.08.2012
2'920'796

06/2011
18'950.00
16.11.2011
12'402.00
12.07.2012
148'783

12/2011
60'950.00
22.09.2011
40'006.00
24.07.2012
15'055

06/2011
19'821.00
15.09.2011
15'133.00
06.08.2012
45'048

12/2011
1'268.73
06.02.2012
705.22
04.10.2011
584'925

618.50

0.56

13'252.00

41'953.00

15'867.00

-53.4%
4.4%
202.7

-85.6%
17.9%
467.3

-30.1%
6.9%
601.0

-31.2%
4.9%
269.7

-19.9%
4.9%
213.1

BARRICK GOLD
CRP

NORILSK NICKEL

STILLWATER
MININ

12/2011
55.36
09.09.2011
31.17
26.07.2012
3'999'492

12/2011
7'855.00
15.09.2011
4'047.00
27.12.2011
54'003

12/2011
15.95
30.08.2011
7.31
04.10.2011
3'165'432

924.30

35.60

4'935.00

10.05

-27.1%
31.1%
2'964.7

-35.7%
14.2%
1'000.4

-37.2%
21.9%
190.6

-37.0%
37.5%
115.4

NORTH AMER
PALLA

RIO TINTO LTD

12/2011
3.94
31.08.2011
1.46
10.08.2012
1'039'311

ANGLO AMER PLC

ANTOFAGASTA
PLC

VEDANTA
RESOURCE

RIO TINTO PLC

12/2011
73.81
01.09.2011
50.22
26.07.2012
1'723'330

12/2011
2'927.00
08.02.2012
1'850.50
02.08.2012
225'341

12/2011
1'400.28
26.01.2012
851.40
04.10.2011
82'623

03/2012
1'564.00
27.02.2012
821.00
26.07.2012
51'455

12/2011
4'029.00
02.02.2012
2'636.50
04.10.2011
627'479

1.81

54.50

1'921.50

1'100.00

948.00

3'019.00

-54.1%
23.9%
162.9

-26.2%
8.5%
1'874.1

-34.4%
3.8%
1'323.4

-21.4%
29.2%
985.9

-39.4%
15.5%
296.9

-25.1%
14.5%
1'872.3

1'253.4

264.8

83'714.7

113'139.6

34'090.6

27'753.9

35'621.1

940'747.9

1'165.7

315.6

87'716.4

26'712.3

10'844.4

2'814.7

58'414.3

Minority Interest
Cash and Equivalents

310.0
411.0
76.0

292.0
328.1

1'842.0
2'047.0
4'542.0

5'958.0
381.0
2'296.0

3'069.0
958.0
3'668.0

10'370.0
2'037.0
1'948.0

13'369.0
2'191.0
2'745.0

5'155.0
120.0
1'627.0

196.0
158.6

70.2
50.9

21'804.0
6'669.0
10'014.0

12'873.0
4'097.0
11'732.0

2'140.3
1'611.2
3'280.0

17'361.4
13'768.9
6'885.3

21'804.0
6'669.0
10'255.0

Enterprise Value

2'726.4

343.9

85'336.7

123'053.6

35'482.5

57'421.7

50'070.1
Valuation

33'006.5

1'165.7

390.0

115'035.8

44'469.0

17'501.6

28'665.2

115'035.8

Total Debt
Preferred Stock

Total Revenue

EV/Total Revenue

EBITDA

EV/EBITDA

EPS

P/E

Revenue Growth
EBITDA Growth
EBITDA Margin

LFY
LTM
CY+1
CY+2
LFY
LTM
CY+1
CY+2
LFY
LTM
CY+1
CY+2
LFY
LTM
CY+1
CY+2
LFY
LTM
CY+1
CY+2
LFY
LTM
CY+1
CY+2
1 Year
5 Year
1 Year
5 Year
LTM
CY+1
CY+2

1'992.0
1'805.0
1'703.3
1'878.4
2.0x
2.3x
1.7x
1.6x
409.0
276.0
204.6
283.4
10.0x
14.7x
14.0x
10.6x
1.43
0.79
0.25
0.48
12.4x
11.0x
39.5x
20.2x
25.7%
13.1%
6.8%
(15.1%)
20.5%
12.0%
15.1%

485.7
506.8
460.1
511.7
2.5x
1.9x
0.9x
0.8x
200.5
84.5
128.9
6.0x
5.1x
3.2x
0.19
-0.34
0.02
0.08
36.6x
7.1x
(27.2%)
4.5%
(1.4%)
30.0%
18.4%
25.2%

33'132.0
33'229.0
27'945.5
33'713.9
3.1x
3.1x
3.1x
2.6x
11'565.0
6'870.8
8'464.4
8.9x
12.4x
10.4x
11.05
13.33
6.72
7.70
9.9x
7.9x
19.7x
17.2x
30.2%
3.2%
42.5%
9.2%
34.9%
24.6%
25.1%

51'117.0
45'722.0
47'979.2
55'247.5
2.7x
3.0x
2.5x
2.2x
12'753.0
8'450.5
10'333.5
10.7x
14.4x
11.9x
17.71
4.02
7.42
14.15
104.4x
51.5x
56.5x
29.7x
11.1%
(0.3%)
7.6%
(7.7%)
24.9%
17.6%
18.7%

14'893.0
16'900.0
16'708.3
18'525.3
2.5x
2.2x
2.1x
1.8x
6'556.0
7'088.0
6'712.4
7'805.1
5.8x
5.4x
5.3x
4.3x
15.53
17.37
16.47
19.72
9.1x
6.4x
9.6x
8.0x
35.1%
33.8%
75.1%
35.1%
44.0%
40.2%
42.1%

33'877.0
32'650.0
31'558.9
35'884.4
1.5x
1.6x
1.8x
1.6x
11'648.0
9'835.0
8'630.9
10'979.8
4.4x
5.2x
6.7x
5.3x
1.99
1.63
1.31
1.63
8.9x
8.2x
11.1x
8.9x
11.1%
6.2%
12.2%
17.6%
34.4%
27.3%
30.6%

10.6%
8.5%
0.758x
0.572x
7.304x

34.3%
25.5%
1.456x
-0.180x
9.885x

3.9%
3.6%
0.159x
-0.233x
21.780x

10.6%
9.5%
0.467x
0.287x
59.042x

14.5%
12.2%
0.468x
-0.091x
28.754x

23.7%
18.5%
0.890x
0.723x
25.770x

BBB+
18.04.2011
-

14'312.0
14'718.0
14'635.3
16'858.3
3.6x
3.5x
3.4x
2.8x
8'327.0
8'109.0
7'975.2
9'416.4
6.2x
6.4x
6.2x
5.1x
4.65
4.29
4.17
4.93
8.4x
8.4x
8.6x
7.3x
30.1%
15.9%
34.1%
30.0%
58.2%
54.5%
55.9%

14'122.0
14'122.0
12'469.5
12'985.0
2.3x
2.3x
2.5x
2.4x
6'507.0
7'738.0
5'740.9
5'919.6
5.0x
6.4x
5.4x
5.2x
23.63
19.41
20.36
6.5x
7.9x
7.6x
10.5%
2.6%
(11.7%)
(3.8%)
46.1%
46.0%
45.6%

906.0
929.1
823.5
983.5
1.1x
1.1x
1.4x
1.2x
218.1
141.3
115.3
176.5
4.5x
7.0x
10.3x
6.8x
1.30
0.75
0.29
0.54
13.4x
13.4x
35.1x
18.7x
63.0%
16.4%
72.0%
18.9%
24.1%
14.0%
17.9%

170.5
167.5
163.4
229.8
2.6x
2.6x
2.2x
1.8x
3.8
3.4
17.7
70.7
114.0x
127.5x
20.0x
5.8x
-0.19
-0.20
(0.04)
0.12
15.0x
59.2%
2.2%
10.8%
30.8%

60'537.0
56'817.0
55'464.2
62'167.3
2.2x
2.3x
2.1x
1.8x
26'304.0
21'790.0
21'627.2
25'764.3
5.0x
6.0x
5.3x
4.4x
6.45
2.50
6.14
7.18
22.8x
9.3x
7.9x
9.7%
26.1%
17.1%
21.3%
43.5%
39.0%
41.4%

30'580.0
29'021.0
32'275.6
36'780.8
1.6x
1.7x
1.7x
1.5x
11'889.0
10'104.0
10'106.5
12'550.2
4.1x
4.8x
5.4x
4.3x
5.06
2.78
2.97
3.84
10.8x
7.5x
10.2x
7.9x
9.4%
4.6%
15.4%
4.2%
38.9%
31.3%
34.1%

6'076.0
6'076.0
6'660.0
6'880.4
3.1x
3.1x
2.5x
2.4x
3'519.3
3'519.3
3'831.0
3'999.0
5.4x
5.4x
4.4x
4.1x
1.37
1.25
1.41
1.55
13.8x
13.8x
12.2x
11.1x
32.7%
18.9%
22.2%
3.5%
57.9%
57.5%
58.1%

14'005.3
14'005.3
16'633.9
20'424.6
2.1x
2.1x
1.7x
1.3x
4'465.0
4'465.0
5'728.2
6'900.8
6.7x
6.7x
5.0x
3.9x
0.80
0.22
2.73
3.76
67.9x
18.6x
5.5x
4.0x
22.6%
24.2%
27.9%
10.6%
31.9%
34.4%
33.8%

60'537.0
56'817.0
55'464.2
62'167.3
1.8x
2.0x
2.1x
1.8x
26'657.0
22'143.0
21'627.2
25'764.3
4.2x
5.0x
5.3x
4.4x
6.42
2.31
6.14
7.18
20.6x
8.5x
7.7x
6.6x
9.7%
26.1%
17.2%
21.6%
44.0%
39.0%
41.4%

46.4%
31.5%
0.792x
0.542x
43.093x

23.2%
18.9%
0.899x
0.172x
33.301x

26.1%
20.7%
18.322x
5.034x
1.489x

41.5%
26.9%
0.829x
0.448x
26.570x

32.9%
23.0%
1.083x
0.096x
11.443x

34.5%
21.5%
0.608x
-0.324x
79.085x

373.3%
48.5%
3.888x
2.346x
3.815x

41.5%
26.9%
0.818x
0.433x
19.849x

BBB26.09.2011
-

B
07.12.2009
WR
05.10.2011

A18.04.2011
-

BBB+
18.04.2011
Baa1
23.02.2009

Ba3
12.01.2012

A18.04.2011
-

Leverage/Coverage Ratios
Total Debt / Equity %
Total Debt / Capital %
Total Debt / EBITDA
Net Debt / EBITDA
EBITDA / Int. Expense

57.2%
34.3%
1.606x
1.276x
13.718x

Credit Ratings
S&P LT Credit Rating
S&P LT Credit Rating Date
Moody's LT Credit Rating
Moody's LT Credit Rating Date

BBB+
30.07.2012
Baa1
17.05.2011

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