PROGRAMA MACROECONOMICO

PERIODO

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

Fecha de Actualizacin :

20 de septiembre de 2012

2000

2002

2001

2003

Sector Real

20 de septiembre de 2012

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

1.95%

3.14%

2.87%

3.32%

0.02

0.03

0.03

0.03

2009
8.83%

15,152.95

18,661.68

20,287.67

21,482.78

23,714.84

23,290.04

16,895.72
1,474
15,422

14,426.49

15,135.88

15,295.75

15,719.60

16,232.93

16,514.24

15,633.36
1,983
13,516

4.92

1,382

1.06

1,668

2.77

1,780

3.27

1,853

2,014

1.73
-1.90
2.80
1,949

Inflacin
Inflacin (promedio del perodo )
Inflacin (fin de perodo)
Indice de Precios al Productor (anual)

35.8%
43.40%

-5.33
-8.90
-6.10
1,394
100
52.0%
52.0%
60.71%
186.9%

Mercado Laboral\*2
Poblacin miles de habitantes
Variacin Anual (%)
PEA NACIONAL URBANO RURAL miles de habitantes
Empleo NACIONAL URBANO RURAL adecuado fin de ao
Subempleo NACIONAL URBANO RURAL fin de ao
Desempleo NACIONAL URBANO RURAL fin de ao
Fuente: BCE, INEC

10,965

11,187

PIB Real y Crecimiento nueva mertodologa,; Deflactor y PIB Nominal Anterior proporcionados en octubre 2010
1993
1994
Monetario y Financiero

11,397

1995

11,591

1996

11,773

1997

Tasa de Inters Activa Bsica promedio anual, 2012 a marzo

Tasa de Inters Pasiva Bsica promedio anual, 2012 a marzo
RMLD (fin de perodo) 2012 al 2 de marzo
Depsitos a la vista 2012 al 24 de febrero
Cuasidinero 2012 al 24 de febrero
Crditos al Sector Privado 2012 al 24 de febrero
Fuente: BCE

38.9%
46.0%
15.1%

1998

1999
16.30%
10.09%
872.7

1,324
2.80
95.51%
91.00%
64.9%
95.5%
12,299
1.5%
3,709
39.8%
49.9%
10.3%

2000
15.17%
8.15%
1,179.7
1152.1
2893.8
4953.3

21,270.80
1,801.4
17,242.6
2,205.6
17,057.2
2,023.3
12,996.8
1,764.0
4.76
1.10
5.46
9.70
1,704

24,717.86
2,088.2
20,090.1
2,721.1
17,641.9
1,933.7
13,499.2
2,063.9
3.43
-4.43
3.87
17.00
1,952

28,409.46
2,767.5
23,082.9
2,785.6
18,219.4
2,063.4
13,976.4
2,082.5
3.27
6.71
3.54
0.90
2,212

5.34
40.26%
22.44%
-5.56%
40.3%
12,480
1.5%
4,124
57.0%
34.9%
8.1%

4.25
12.55%
9.36%
17.69%
12.6%
12,601
1.4%
3,801
61.6%
30.7%
7.7%

3.58
7.95%
6.07%
4.54%
8.0%
12,843
1.4%
3,992
44.9%
45.8%
9.3%

2001
15.32%
6.63%
1,073.8
1687.5
3192.5
5653.5

2002
14.19%
5.15%
1,008.0
2041.2
3749.7
5153.7

2003
12.38%
5.29%
1,160.4
2029.9
3731.0
5667.4

32,645.62
3,885.3
25,671.6
3,045.2
19,827.1
2,784.6
14,481.7
2,305.9
8.82
34.95
3.62
9.65
2,506
5.6
8.00
2.75%
1.95%
4.34%
2.8%
13,027
1.4%
4,221
46.1%
42.5%
9.9%

2004
10.38%
3.97%
1,437.3
2,574.4
4,447.9
6,895.5

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

-845.0
-5.6%
-34.3
-0.2%
592.0
3.9%
1,197.9

-911.6
-4.9%
194.1
1.0%
561.0
3.0%
1,227.0

-993.8
-4.9%
-15.1
-0.1%
324.0
1.6%
1,330.0

3.5
0.0%
149.7
0.7%
1,193.0
5.6%
1,627.0

-426.7
-1.8%
-2.0
0.0%
598.0
2.5%
1,178.0

-2001.3
-8.6%
1,459.4
6.3%
-995.0
-4.3%
650.0

876.8
5.2%
-1,342.2
-7.9%
1,665.2
9.9%
1,280.2

920.5
5.7%
-6,607.4
-40.6%
1,458.0
9.0%
2,186.5

-665.3
-3.1%
967.7
4.5%
-302.1
-1.4%
1,650.4

-1,218.3
-4.9%
1,389.1
5.6%
-969.5
-3.9%
1,822.6

-386.9
-1.4%
233.5
0.8%
99.3
0.3%
1,874.0

-479.2
-1.5%
-98.1
-0.3%
177.7
0.5%
3,238.9

-666.0

-1,006.0

-580.0

-1,645.0

385.0

-728.5

-1,952.5

-2,792.0

-1,905.6

-3,061.2

-605.9

Total de Exportaciones FOB

Exportaciones FOB en % del PIB
Total de Exportaciones Petroleras FOB
Total de Exportaciones No Petroleras FOB
Total de Importaciones FOB millones de dlares
Importaciones FOB en % del PIB
Total de Importaciones petroleras FOB millones de dlares
Total de Importaciones no petroleras FOB millones de dlares
Inversin Extrajera Directa 2011 III trimestre
Remesas de emigrantes 2011 III trimestre
Fuente: BCE (e: estimado; p: proyectado)
p: proyeccin

Fiscal

12,121

36.4%
51.8%
11.8%

13.41
9.75

Sector Externo\*1 millones de dlares

Cuenta Corriente 2011 III trimestre
Cuenta Corriente en % del PIB
Cuenta de Capitales Y Financiera
Cuenta de Capitales en % del PIB
Balanza Comercial,
Balanza Comercial en % del PIB
Balanza Petroleras, proyeccin 2011-2014
Balanza Petrolera en % del PIB
Balanza No petroleras, proyeccin 2011-2014
Balanza No Petrolera en % del PIB

11,430

16,282.91
2,001.21
12,324.45
1,608.01
16,283
2,001.21
12,324.45
1,608.01
4.15
0.90
3.10

(millones de dlares)

3,066.0

3,843.0

4,381.0

4,873.0

5,264.0

4,203.0

4,451.1

4,926.6

4,678.4

5,036.1

6,222.7

7,752.9

1257.0
1809.0
2474.0

1305.0
2538.0
3282.0

1530.0
2851.0
4057.0

1749.0
3124.0
3680.0

1557.0
3707.0
4666.0

923.0
3280.0
5198.0

1479.7
2971.4
2785.9

2,442.4
2,484.2
3,468.6

1,900.0
2,778.4
4,980.6

2,055.0
2,981.1
6,005.6

2,606.8
3,615.9
6,254.2

4,234.0
3,518.9
7,575.2

59.1
2414.9
473.7
200.9

78.0
3204.0
576.3
273.2

200.0
3857.0
452.5
382.1

122.0
3558.0
499.7
485.0

379.0
4287.0
723.9
643.7

273.0
4925.0
870.0
793.7

199.5
2586.4
648.4
1084.3

255.9
3212.7
-46.9
1316.7

249.6
4731.0
1077.1
1414.5

232.4
5773.2
783.3
1432.0

732.8
5,521.4
871.5
1627.4

995.1
6,580.1
836.9
1,832.0

1993

Global SPNF
Global SPNF como % del PIB
Resultado Primario del SPNF
Resultado Primario del SPNF como % del PIB
Global GC
Global GC como % del PIB
Resultado Primario GC
Resultado Primario del GC como % del PIB
1993
Deuda Pblica (millones de dlares)
Deuda Pblica Total 2012 al 31 de enero
14,238.1
Coeficiente Deuda Pblica/PIB
93.96%
Deuda Externa Pblica 2012 al 31 de enero
13,025.0
Coeficiente Deuda Externa Pblica /PIB
85.96%
% de la Deuda Externa en la Deuda Pblica
91.48%
Deuda Interna Pblica 2012 al 31 de enero
1,213.1
Coeficiente Deuda Interna Pblica/ PIB
8.01%
% de la Deuda Interna en la Deuda Pblica
8.52%
Deuda Externa Privada 2012 al 31 de enero
Coeficiente Deuda Externa Privada/PIB
Deuda per cpita USD
1,298.5
Fuente: Ministerio de Finanzas
\*6 Fuente: Subsecretaria de Financiamiento Pblico incluyen inters por mora y atrasos saldos a fin de ao
p: proyeccin, e: estimado

Elaborado por: Subsecretara de Consistencia Macrofiscal

-434.0

2004

1994

1995

99.7

1996

-204.6
0.5%
765.49
4.1%

-21.4

-289.4
-0.1%
548.32

2.9%

1,338.7

-2.6%
265.73
1.2%
-504.6

-1.4%
332.20
1.6%

1994
14,975.5
80.25%
13,757.8
73.72%
91.87%
1,217.7
6.53%
8.13%

1997

-565.6
-1.0%
581.15
2.9%

-2.3%
267.87
1.2%

1995
13,631.2
67.19%
12,378.9
61.02%
90.81%
1,252.3
6.17%
9.19%

1,196.1

1996
14,100.6
65.64%
12,629.9
58.79%
89.57%
1,470.7
6.85%
10.43%

1,216.5

-569.7
-2.4%
424.92
1.8%
-341.6
-1.4%
597.84
2.5%
1997
13,905.5
58.64%
12,583.8
53.06%
90.50%
1,321.7
5.57%
9.50%

1,181.1

1998
-1,118.0
-4.8%
-131.18
-0.6%
-959.1
-4.1%
-17.81
-0.1%
1998
#########
67.16%
#########
56.61%
84.30%
########
10.54%
15.70%
########
13.57%
1,368.4

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

-687.8
-4.1%
495.42
2.9%
-538.6
-3.2%
582.77
3.4%

237.1
1.5%
1,289.54
7.9%
35.6
0.2%
1,044.92
6.4%

17.9
0.1%
1,007.8
4.7%
-198.4
-0.9%
739.11
3.5%

215.8
0.9%
1,057.1
4.3%
-650.6
-2.6%
172.88
0.7%

453.7
1.6%
1,273.0
4.5%
-108.8
-0.4%
718.41
2.5%

1999
#########
99.34%
#########
81.44%
81.99%
3,023.5
17.90%
18.01%
2,529.9
14.97%
1,384.7

2000
14,052.7
86.30%
11,228.8
68.96%
79.90%
2,823.9
17.34%
20.10%
2,529.9
15.54%
1,142.6

2001
#########
66.61%
#########
53.44%
80.23%
2,801.4
13.17%
19.77%
2,229.1
10.48%
1,135.3

2002
14,148.4
57.24%
11,377.4
46.03%
80.41%
2,771.0
11.21%
19.59%
3,038.0
12.29%
1,122.8

2003
4,165.1
14.66%
1,149.1
4.04%
27.59%
3,016.0
10.62%
72.41%
4,899.4
17.25%
324.3

36,942.38
5,304.1
28,439.1
3,444.2
20,965.9
2,779.3
15,320.2
2,647.6
5.74
-0.19
5.79
8.03
2,795
6.7
6.00
2.12%
3.14%
21.34%
2.1%
13,215
1.4%
4,225
41.5%
49.23%
9.3%

2005

2005

45,503.56
7,381.6
35,108.8
3,299.1
22,409.7
2,375.2
16,932.4
2,782.6
2.04
-10.00
4.00
5.90
3,345
5.80

54,208.52
11,129.2
40,908.6
2,170.8
24,032.5
3,433.5
18,424.5
2,174.5
7.24
0.83
8.81
11.55
3,927
10.90

3.30%
2.87%
2.10%
3.3%
13,408
1.5%
4,373
45.9%
45.0%
9.0%

2.28%
3.32%
10.10%
2.3%
13,605
1.5%
6,548
42.6%
50.2%
6.1%

8.39%
8.83%
8.28%
8.4%
13,805
1.5%
6,536
43.6%
48.8%
7.3%

2006

2007
8.85%
4.35%
2,023.0
3,759.2
6,182.4
9,965.8

2006

10.09%
5.33%
3,520.8
4,466.9
7,316.2
11,395.1

2007

2008
9.77%
5.53%
4,473.1
5,797.1
8,594.2
14,229.2

2008

52,021.86
7,293.2
41,596.3
3,132.4
24,119.5
3,344.9
18,592.8
2,181.7
0.36
-2.58
0.91
0.33
3,715
-6.90
3.15
5.20%
4.31%
1.42%
14,005
1.5%
6,685
38.8%
50.5%
7.9%

2009
9.20%
5.40%
3,792.1
5,731.1
8,989.5
14,311.4

2009

0.04
57,978.12
9,385.8
45,470.6
3,121.7
24,983.32
3,256.5
19,423.9
2,302.9
3.58
-2.65
4.47
5.6
4,082
5.60

-3.40

2012p

2,747.00
65,945.43
12,218.0
50,292.0
3,435.4
26,607.84
3,434.4
20,717.5
2,455.9
6.50
5.46
6.66
6.6
4,578
6.80

34.02
71,625.40
10,164.9
57,565.4
3,895.1
28,031.23
3,444.0
22,007.1
2,580.1
5.35
0.28
6.22
5.1
4,905
3.10

3.33%
3.33%
6.67%

4.47%
n/d
n/d

5.14%
n/d
n/d

14,205
1.5%
6,535
45.6%
47.1%
6.1%

14,404
1.5%
6,647
40.5%
54.7%
4.2%

14,602
n/d
n/d
n/d
n/d
n/d

2010
9.03%
4.57%
2,622.1
7,121.9
11,703.7
17,927.1

2010

2011
8.35%
4.56%
2,957.6
7,854.6
14,556.0
21,152.6

2011p

2012p
8.17%
4.53%
3,200.9
8,341.8
14,600.9
21,285.8

2012p

474.5
1.3%
-775.4
-2.1%
531.7
1.4%
4,154.9
11.2%
-3,623.2
-9.8%

1,739.1
4.2%
-1,953.3
-4.7%
1,448.8
3.5%
5,163.6
12.4%
-3,714.9
-8.9%

1,690.2
3.7%
-1,633.9
-3.6%
1,414.2
3.1%
5,750.2
12.6%
-4,336.0
-9.5%

1,466.6
2.7%
-1,381.7
-2.5%
1,081.0
2.0%
8,362.8
15.4%
-7,281.7
-13.4%

-80.7
-0.2%
221.7
0.4%
-233.8
-0.4%
4,626.3
8.9%
-4,860.2
-9.3%

-1,794.5
-3.1%
1,771.9
3.1%
-1,978.7
-3.4%
5,630.4
9.7%
-7,609.1
-13.1%

-627.6
-1.0%
521.1
0.8%
-664.3
-1.0%
7,826.5
11.9%
-8,490.8
-12.9%

n/d
n/d
n/d
n/d
-1,839.7
-2.6%
7,031.2
9.8%
-8,870.8
-12.4%

10,100.0
27.3%
5,869.8
4,230.2
9,568.4
25.9%
1,715.0
7,853.4
493.4
2,453.5

12,728.2
30.5%
7,544.5
5,183.7
11,279.5
27.0%
2,380.9
8,898.6
271.4
2,927.6

14,321.3
31.5%
8,328.6
5,992.7
12,907.1
28.4%
2,578.3
10,328.8
194.2
3,087.8

18,818.3
34.7%
11,720.6
7,097.7
17,737.3
32.7%
3,357.8
14,379.5
1,005.8
2,821.6

13,863.1
26.6%
6,964.6
6,898.4
14,096.9
27.1%
2,338.3
11,758.6
321.0
2,495.1

17,489.9
30.2%
9,673.2
7,816.7
19,468.7
33.6%
4,042.8
15,425.8
157.4
2,324.0

22,345.2
33.9%
12,913.0
9,432.2
23,009.5
34.9%
5,086.5
17,923.0
385.6
1,813.3

20,855.2
29.1%
11,113.3
9,741.8
22,694.9
31.7%
4,082.2
18,612.7
n/d
n/d

2004

2005

707.13
2.2%
1,503.42
4.6%
-319.39
-1.0%
494.31
1.5%

266.19
0.7%
1,072.88
2.9%
-180.44
-0.5%
674.80
1.8%

2004
14,549.4
44.57%
11,060.4
33.88%
76.02%
3,489.0
10.69%
23.98%
5,272.0
16.15%
1,116.9

41,705.01
6,441.8
32,277.1
3,044.3
21,962.1
2,640.5
16,284.0
2,628.8
4.75
-5.00
6.30
6.60
3,110
7.4

8.89%
4.30%
2,147.0
3,148.2
5,339.4
8,496.8

2011p

0.04

Producto Interno Bruto (PIB)

PIB en millones de dlares (nominal)
PIB Petrolero en millones de dlares (nominal)
PIB No Petrolero en millones de dlares (nominal)
Otros elementos del PIB
PIB en millones de dlares del 2000
PIB Petrolero en millones del dlares del 2000
PIB No Petrolero en millones del dlares del 2000
Otros elementos del PIB del 2000
Tasa de Crecimiento real del PIB
Tasa de Crecimiento real del PIB Petrolero
Tasa de Crecimiento real del PIB No Petrolero
Tasa de Crecimiento real de Otros elementos del PIB
PIB per cpita en trminos corrientes
Deflactor Implcito

2010

3.12%

2005
14,536.5
39.35%
10,850.3
29.37%
74.64%
3,686.2
9.98%
25.36%
6,151.3
16.65%
1,100.0

2006
1,510.12
3.6%
2,406.53
5.8%
-201.40
-0.5%
739.91
1.8%
2006
13,492.5
32.35%
10,214.9
24.49%
75.71%
3,277.6
7.86%
24.29%
6,386.7
15.31%
1,006.3

2007

2008

1,065.34
2.3%
1,926.16
4.2%
-61.53
-0.1%
853.03
1.9%

299.57
0.6%
1,004.05
1.9%
-590.00
-1.1%
182.06
0.3%

2007
13,872.6
30.49%
10,632.7
23.37%
76.65%
3,239.9
7.12%
23.35%
7,058.1
15.51%
1,019.7

2008
13,734.0
25.34%
10,088.9
18.61%
73.46%
3,645.1
6.72%
26.54%
6,728.2
12.41%
994.9

2009
-2,232.50
-4.3%
-1,883.40
-3.6%
-2,635.03
-5.1%
-2,161.30
-4.2%
2009
10,234.7
19.67%
7,392.5
14.21%
72.23%
2,842.2
5.46%
27.77%
6,681.5
12.84%
730.8

2010
-950.70
-1.6%
-537.90
-0.9%
-1,121.55
-1.9%
-591.77
-1.0%
2010
13,336.8
23.00%
8,671.7
14.96%
65.02%
4,665.1
8.05%
34.98%
5,182.0
8.94%
938.9

2011p
-674.71
-1.0%
-161.58
-0.2%
-1,768.00
-2.7%
-1,138.61
-1138.6%
2011
14,561.8
22.08%
10,055.3
15.25%
69.05%
4,506.5
6.83%
30.95%
5,186.1
7.86%
1,011.0

2012p
-3,669.00
-5.1%
-3,160.00
-4.4%
-3,434.50
-4.8%
-2,603.30
-3.6%
2012 p
14,451.7
20.18%
9,948.3
13.89%
68.84%
4,503.4
6.29%
31.16%
5,086.6
7.10%
989.7

ao
poblacion (en miles)

1994
3.00%

1995
1.60%

1996
5.60%

1997
2.50%

1998
-4.30%

1999
3.90%

#############

poblacion (en miles)

2009 2010
2008
-0,4% -3,4%
2007 2%
3,1%

2011p
-1%
1996
3,6%

2006
3,5%

2004
1%

2002
-9%

2005
1,4%
2003
0,5%

2001
-0,3%

2000
3%

1999
3,9%

1995
1,6%

1998
-4,3%

2000
3.00%

miles)

1994
3%
1995
1,6%

1998
4,3%

1997
2,5%

2001
-1.40%

2002
-3.90%

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

0.30%

0.50%

1.40%

3.50%

3.10%

2008

2009

2.00%

-0.40%

2010 2011p
-3.40%

2012p
-1.00%

14,602

Mestizos
71.9%

ao
tasa

Montubios
7.4%

1998
11.8%

Afroecuatoria
Indgenas
nos
7.2%
7.0%

1999
15.1%

Blancos

otros

6.1%

0.4%

2000

2001

2002

2003

10.3%

8.1%

7.7%

9.3%

2008
6%

2011p
3%
2010
2009 5%

Chart Title

7%

1998
10%

2007
5%

2004
8%

2006
7%
2005
8%

2003
8%

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010 2011p

9.9%

9.3%

9.0%

6.1%

7.3%

7.9%

6.1%

hart Title
1998
10%

1999
15,1%
2000
8%

2003
8%
2002
6%

2001
7%

4.2%

2012p
n/d