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LECTURE PLANNING FACULTY OF CIVIL ENGINEERING SUBJECT : STATISTICAL HYDROLOGY (MAL1303) LECTURE HOURS : 42 HOURS Page : 1 of 3
WEEKLY SCHEDULE Week 1 Lecture Zalina Mohd Daud ZMD Topic / Content
Introduction and Summarizing Data: Mean, median, spread, skewness, outliers, resistance, transformation.
ZMD
Graphical Data Analysis: Histogram, Quantile Plots, Box-Plot, Q-Q Plots, Scatter Plot, enhancement, multivariate data.
ZMD
Uncertainty: Interval Estimates, Confidence Intervals for Median, Confidence Intervals for Mean, Nonparametric Prediction Intervals, Parametric Prediction Intervals, Confidence Interval for Quantiles.
ZMD
Hypothesis Test: Classification of Hypothesis Tests, Structure of Hypothesis Tests, Rank Sum Tests, Test of Normality.
ZMD
Linear Regression: Linear Regression Model, Building Good Regression Model, Hypothesis Testing, Regression Diagnostics, Transformations of the Response Variable
SBH
Alternative Methods to Regression: Kendall-Theil Robust Line, Alternative Parametric Linear Equations, Least Squares Smoothing.
LECTURE PLAN
LECTURE PLANNING FACULTY OF CIVIL ENGINEERING SUBJECT : STATISTICAL HYDROLOGY (MAL1303) LECTURE HOURS : 42 HOURS Page : 2 of 3
Multiple Regression: hypothesis tests, confidence interval, regression diagnostics, choosing best MLR model.
10
SBH
Trend Analysis: general structure of trend tests, trend test with non exogenous variable, accounting for exogenous variables, dealing with seasonality, transformation. Fitting Distribution, Parameter Estimation and Frequency Analysis: Bernoulli process, Gamma, Normal, Log Normal, Pearson, Binomial, Geometric, Extreme Gumbel, Poisson.
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11
ZMD
12
ZMD
13
SBH
Time Series Modelling: Forecasting model using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average ARIMA Model, and Exponential Smoothing model.
14
SBH
Time Series Modelling: stochastic hydrologic models using Periodic Autoregressive Thomas Fiering model, Markov models.
15
ZMD
16-18
LECTURE PLAN
LECTURE PLANNING FACULTY OF CIVIL ENGINEERING SUBJECT : STATISTICAL HYDROLOGY (MAL1303) LECTURE HOURS : 42 HOURS Page : 3 of 3
REFERENCES
BASIC REFERENCES 1. 2. 3. R.T. Clarke (1994), Statistical Modelling in Hydrology. John Wiley & Sons V.T. Chow, D.R. Maidment, L.W. Mays (1988) Applied Hydrology. McGraw-Hill Inc. K.W. Hipel and A. I. McLeod (1994) Time Series Modelling of Water Resources and Environmental Systems. Elsevier Science 4. M. Shahin, H.J.L. Van Oorschot, S.J. De Lange (1993) Statistical Analysis in Water Resources Engineering. A.A. Balkema Publishers, Netherlands 5. 6. 7. D.R. Helsel and R.M. Hirsch (1992) Statistical Methods in Water Resources. Elsevier Chin, David (2000). WATER RESOURCES ENGINEERING. Prentice-Hall Publishers C.T. Haan (2002) Statistical Methods in Hydrology. The Iowa State University Press. 2nd Edition 8. R. H. McCuen (2004) Hydrologic Analysis and Design. Prentice Hall. 3rd Edition
GRADING No. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Assessment Assignments & Quiz Project Presentation Test Final Exam Overall Total ATTENDANCE The student should adhere to the rules of attendance as stated in the University Academic Regulation :1. Student must attend not less than 80% of lecture hours as required for the subject. The student will be prohibited from attending any lecture and assessment activities upon failure to comply the above requirement. Zero mark will be given to the subject. 4 10 40 100% Number % each % total Dates
8 2
5% 10%
40 20
2.