Tropical Storm/Hurricane Sandy Briefing Overview Updated 300 pm October 27, 2012 Information Sources Used in this Overview

Sandy Overview Rainfall Forecasts Winds

Storm Surge/ Coastal Flooding Sandy Briefing Page HURREVAC Hourly Forecasts Forecast Maps 5 day total rainfall Forecast Winds NWS Wakefield Rainfall forecasts NHC Wind Probabilities

NWS Wakefield Tides and Coastal Flooding Page

Locations
Coastal NE NC Inland NE NC Southside Hampton Roads Va Peninsula Middle Peninsula

Rainfall
(thru Wed)

Winds
Sus: 45 mph Gusts: 60+ mph Sus: 35 mph Gusts: 55 mph Sus: 40-45 mph Gusts: 60+ mph Sus: 40-45 mph Gusts: 50-60+ mph Sus: 40-45 mph Gusts: 50-60+ mph highest near Bay Sus: 35-40 mph Gusts: 45-55 mph highest near Bay Sus: 30 mph Gusts: 45-55 mph Sus: 30-35 mph Gusts: 50 mph Sus: 40-45 mph Gusts: 55-60+ mph Sus: 40-45 mph Gusts: 55-60+ mph

Storm Surge
Ocean: 4ft Record Sound: 2ft Mod 2ft Moderate Ocean: 4ft Major Bay: 2-4ft Mod+ 2-3 ft Mod+ 2 ft Moderate

(Coastal Flood)

Timing (peak)
Wind: Sun-Mon Surge: Sun-Mon Wind: Sun-Mon Surge: Sun-Mon Wind: Sun-Mon Surge: Sun-Mon Wind: Sun-Mon Surge: Sun-Mon Wind: Sun-Tue Surge: Sun-Mon; blowout byTue Wind: Sun-Tue Surge: Sun-Mon; blowout byTue Wind: Late Sun-Tue Wind: Sun -Tue Wind: Sun-Tue Surge: Sun-Tue Wind: Sun-Tue Surge: late Sun-Tue

Waves
Ocean: 15 ft+ Currituck 3-4 ft Albemarle: 5 ft

5" - 7"+ 4" - 6" 5" - 7" 5" - 8" 5" - 8"

Ocean: 15 ft+ Bay: 6 - 9 ft 6 ft - 8+ ft 6 ft - 8 ft

Northern Neck I-95 Corridor West Interior SE VA VA Eastern Shore

6" - 8" 3" - 6"

highest RIC north

2 ft Moderate None None Ocean: 4ft Major

Bay: 2-3ft Major (S)

6 ft - 8 ft N/A N/A Ocean: 15 ft+ Bay: 6 ft - 9 ft Ocean: 15 ft+ Bay: 6 - 7 ft

3" - 6" 8" - 10"

Lower MD Eastern Ocean: 4ft Major 8" - 10"+ Shore Bay: 2ft Mod General Impacts: Rainfall - Significant flooding from rainfall is expected in coastal areas and areas inland from the Bay/coast. Mostly minor flooding expected along the I-95 corridor. Winds - Forecast wind gusts 50-60+ along the coast and Bay, and 40-45 mph along I-95. Areas along and even inland from the coast could experience significant trees and power lines down Sun-Tue, resulting in power outages. Winds will remain strong well into Tue. Storm Surge - Surge potential of 2-4 feet across the lower Bay, or 1.0-1.5 ft. below Hurricane Irene, but close to the Ash Wed Storm of 1962. Major coastal flooding LIKELY along the entire coast from NC to MD with a 4-4.5 ft surge (rivals Isabel south/Gloria on MD coast). Moderate flooding is expected along the Peninsulas and Northern Neck. MD Bay counties & bay side Accomack could experience a period of moderate to major flooding. Highest potential is from SunTue. Waves - 15 ft+ waves (coast) and 6-9ft (Bay) will result in significant beach erosion.