Fast Facts

SOUTH AFRICAN INSTITUTE OF RACE RELATIONS

FOUNDED 1929 LEADERSHIP WITH FACTS

No 04/2012 / April 2012 Find us on-line @ http://www.sairr.org.za

Contents
The economy Africa is one of the fastest growing parts of the world yet South Africa will lag behind. 1 Media The Protection of State Information Bill of 2011 may now, as amended, genuect enough towards guaranteed rights to convince a majority of Constitutional Court judges that it passes constitutional muster. 2 Survey The Institute presents our South Africa in Brief statistical breakdown, based on the 2010/2011 South Africa Survey. 3-18 Fast Stats 19-24

The economy

A SHRINKING SLICE OF A GROWING PIE

A
S

frica is one of the fastest growing parts of the world yet South Africa will lag behind.

Editor-in-Chief John Kane-Berman Editor Lucy Holborn Typesetter Martin Matsokotere P O Box 291722, Melville, Johannesburg, 2109 South Africa

Visit the Institutes website for additional research and policy material

outh Africa is the third slowest growing economy in sub-Saharan Africa, growing faster than only Zimbabwe and Swaziland. At a brieng to Institute members last month, three prominent economists, Azar Jammine, Chris Hart, and Dawie Roodt, presented their outlooks for the South African economy in 2012 and beyond. All three said that South Africa was unlikely to experience the high growth being seen elsewhere on the continent. Dr Jammine said that just over 15 years ago South Africa accounted for almost half of sub-Saharan Africas GDP and more than three quarters of that of the Southern African Development Community (SADC). By 2030 South Africas share will have dropped to only a quarter of sub-Saharan GDP and half of SADC GDP. The countrys falling share of regional GDP can partly be explained by the fact that other countries are catching up in economic terms, but it is also because of South Africas relatively sluggish growth. The countrys average annual growth between 2012 and 2016 is projected to be 3.4%, compared to, for example, 7.8% in Mozambique and 7.5% in Zambia. Increasingly, South African companies and individuals are recognising the potential of growing consumer markets and investment opportunities on the continent. Direct investment by South African entities in Africa has grown nearly tenfold over the last decade, from R12.3bn in 2000 to R115.7bn in 2009. While the rest of the continent is set to benet from population and commodity booms, and growing investment, South Africa seems likely to lag behind.
SOUTH AFRICAS SHARE OF REGIONAL GDP, 1995-2030 1995 As a proportion of SADC As a proportion of sub-Saharan Africa 78.2% 47.3% 2009 60.6% 31.8% 2011 63.7% 34.6% 2030 49.7% 24.7%

Subscribers, MPs and MPLs are encouraged to make use of our

INFORMATION SERVICE
Contact Tamara Dimant, Head of Information (011) 482-7221 fax (011) 482-7920 or e-mail: tdimant@sairr.org.za

Source: Econometrix, based on IMF data, March 2012

Lucy Holborn
SAIRR internal reference: PD04/2012

ISSN 1019-2514

Published by the South African Institute of Race Relations with the nancial assistance of the Friedrich Naumann Foundation for Liberty, the International Republican Institute, and the National Endowment for Democracy.

MEDIA

Canny changes to the secrecy Bill

T
T

he Protection of State Information Bill of 2011 may now genuect enough towards guaranteed rights to convince a majority of Constitutional Court judges that it passes constitutional muster. However, this is not so. For the Bill still gives classication powers to hundreds of organs of state, bars independent or judicial review of classication decisions, and threatens journalists with imprisonment merely for accessing, receiving, obtaining or possessing classied information without communicating it at all.

he Government has been canny enough to change the Protection of State Information Bill of 2011 (the Bill) in ways that might persuade a majority of Constitutional Court judges that the measure now passes constitutional muster. The changes genuect towards the Constitutions guaranteed right to receive or impart information and could be seen as bringing the Bill into line with the Constitution. In practice, however, the safeguards are likely to prove meaningless, and the Bill remains in breach of guaranteed rights. The Bill now contains three key safeguards. First, it emphasises the importance of guaranteed rights to free speech and access to information. Second, it states that information may be classied only where demonstrable harm to national security would otherwise result, while national security is quite narrowly dened. Third, the Bill is emphatic that classication may not under any circumstances be used to conceal an unlawful act or omission, cover up incompetence or administrative error, or limit scrutiny [to] avoid criticism. But three key problems also remain. First, hundreds of organs of state will still be able to acquire the power to classify, increasing the likelihood of chronic over-classication. Second, classication decisions will not be open to independent review. Third, the right to appeal against such decisions will be severely circumscribed. In addition, the penalty clauses threaten journalists and other commentators with substantial periods of imprisonment not only for communicating classied information but also for merely possessing, obtaining, or receiving it. The Bill also indicates that a person who intentionally accessesany classied information without permission to do so is punishable by a prison term of up to ten years without the option of a ne. This penalty is as severe as that for intentionally hacking into a state computer. This clause suggests that any journalist, academic, MP, or other person who opens and reads an e-mail attachment that happens to contain classied information could immediately be vulnerable to imprisonment, merely for having perused it without knowing it be classied. Where information has been illegally classied for ulterior purposes, the State may nd it difcult to apply the various penalty provisions in the Bill. Classication decisions made to conceal incompetence or corruption are not only illegal but also invalid, as they lie beyond the classication powers conferred by the Bill. This means the material in question has never been lawfully classied at all and that people cannot be punished under the Bill for obtaining or communicating it. In practice, however, journalists and other commentators will need considerable courage to obtain or publish classied information, irrespective of how obvious the illegality and invalidity of the classication decision might seem. Few will want to run the risk of arrest and prosecution, even if they know they are likely to be vindicated in the end. Media companies, political parties, and civil society organisations will also need deep pockets to fund defences against such prosecutions and may soon ght shy of dealing with classied information at all. The Bills supposed support for free speech is welcome but is not to be taken at face value. There is too much devilry in the detail of the Bills provisions and in the disproportionate penalties it still lays down. The Government claims there is no need to introduce a public interest defence for journalists, but this is not so. The Government also says there is no precedent for such a public interest defence in the laws of other countries. This is not true. On the contrary, such defences are included in Canadian, Danish, and German law, and are endorsed by the United Nations and the Council of Europe. Anthea Jeffery

South African Institute of Race Relations

Fast Facts April 2012

NATIONAL PROFILE

South Africa in brief

DEMOGRAPHICS
THE KEY NUMBERS
Model ASSA 2008a Stats SA Total male (millions) ASSA 2008a Stats SA Total female (millions) ASSA 2008a Stats SA Life expectancy at birth in years ASSA 2008a Stats SA Infant mortality rateb ASSA 2008a Stats SA Birth ratec ASSA 2008a Stats SA Death rated ASSA 2008a Stats SA Total annual births (millions) ASSA 2008a Stats SA Total annual deaths (millions) ASSA 2008a Stats SA Number of AIDS-related deaths ASSA 2008a (thousands) Stats SA AIDS deaths as proportion of total ASSA 2008a Stats SA Cumulative AIDS deaths (millions) ASSA 2008a Stats SA HIV-positive population (millions) ASSA 2008a Stats SA Total population (millions) 1985 32.3 33.5 15.9 16.4 62.7 61.8 55.0 50.9 32.0 31.4 8.0 1.06 1.05 0.26 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1990 36.2 37.5 17.7 18.5 62.9 63.3 49.0 45.6 30.0 28.9 8.0 1.10 1.08 0.30 0.29 0 0 0.2% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1995 41.2 41.2 20.0 20.4 21.2 20.9 62.4 62.4 46.0 44.3 28.0 26.1 9.0 1.19 1.07 0.36 0.32 15 22 4.0% 6.8% 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.1 2000 45.3 44.5 21.9 23.3 58.3 55.6 52.0 44.6 25.0 25.6 11.0 1.15 1.14 0.50 0.46 118 158 23.8% 34.4% 0.2 0.5 3.0 3.1 2005 48.2 47.1 23.3 23.1 24.8 23.8 54.3 51.8 47.0 50.0 23.0 24.2 14.0 14.4 1.10 1.14 0.68 0.68 262 356 40.1% 52.5% 1.2 1.8 4.8 4.7 2011 50.8 50.6 24.3 24.5 26.0 26.1 58.2 57.1 34.0 37.9 21.0 21.0 12.0 11.7 1.06 1.06 0.59 0.59 189 258 31.3% 43.6% 2.6 5.5 5.4 2015 52.6 25.4 27.2 58.6 31.0 20.0 12.0 1.05 0.64 209 32.8% 3.4 6.0

Source: Actuarial Society of South Africa (ASSA), ASSA 2008 AIDS and Demographic Model, March 2011; Statistics South Africa (Stats SA), Mid-year population estimates, South Africa 2004, Statistical release P0302, 27 July 2004, Mid-year population estimates, South Africa, 2005, Statistical release P0302, 31 May 2005, Mid-year population estimates 2011, Statistical release P0302, 27 July 2011 a The Actuarial Society of South Africa (ASSA) 2008 estimates assume that all interventions such as prevention of mother-to-child transmission and provision of antiretrovirals are in place. b Deaths of infants under 1 year per 1 000 live births. c Number of live births in a year per 1 000 of population. d Number of deaths in a year per 1 000 of population.

POPULATION BY YEAR AND RACE OVER 100 YEARS

1911 2011

South African Institute of Race Relations

Fast Facts April 2012

NATIONAL PROFILE POPULATION BY RACE AND PROVINCE, 2012

African Coloured Indian White Total Province Number Proportion Number Proportion Number Proportion Number Proportion Number Proportion EC 5 961 149 87.2% 546 959 8.0% 19 773 0.3% 302 539 4.4% 6 830 420 100.0% FS 2 588 494 88.0% 96 506 3.3% 4 069 0.1% 253 285 8.6% 2 942 355 100.0% Gau 8 469 978 77.7% 389 703 3.6% 269 042 2.5% 1 773 009 16.3% 10 901 732 100.0% KZN 9 165 260 86.1% 150 424 1.4% 838 793 7.9% 487 190 4.6% 10 641 667 100.0% Limp 5 811 065 97.9% 8 195 0.2% 9 175 0.2% 107 547 1.8% 5 935 982 100.0% Mpu 3 631 899 93.4% 24 994 0.6% 11 305 0.3% 220 283 5.7% 3 888 480 100.0% NW 3 190 570 91.1% 57 427 1.6% 9 208 0.3% 244 258 7.0% 3 501 463 100.0% NC 553 537 48.0% 502 324 43.5% 1 861 0.2% 96 501 8.4% 1 154 229 100.0% WC 1 639 319 30.4% 2 812 636 52.1% 53 194 1.0% 893 485 16.6% 5 398 635 100.0% SA 41 075 284 80.1% 4 607 147 9.0% 1 216 013 2.4% 4 406 022 8.6% 51 304 466 100.0% Source: ASSA, ASSA 2008 AIDS and Demographic Model, March 2011 a Figures should add up horizontally but may not, due to rounding.

DEATH BY AGE AND YEAR OF DEATH, 19972009

70 000 60 000 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 10 000 0

1014

1519

2024

2529

3034

3539

4044

4549

5054

5559

6064

6569

7074

7579

8084

8589

04

59

1997 2004

1998 2005

1999 2006

2000 2007

2001 2008

2002 2009

2003

Source: Stats SA, Mortality and causes of death in South Africa 2009: Findings from death notication, Statistical Release P0309.3, 30 November 2011, p31

IMPACT OF HIV/AIDSa, 200015

Population Total HIV infections Non-AIDS deaths AIDS deaths Total deathsb AIDS deaths (proportion of totalb) Accumulated AIDS deaths Prevalence rate (total population) Life expectancy at birth 2000 45 255 262 2 977 995 378 769 118 037 496 806 23.8% 242 362 6.6% 58.3 2005 48 155 941 4 814 291 391 870 261 866 653 736 40.1% 1 180 127 10.0% 54.3 2010 50 371 512 5 467 182 407 735 188 828 596 563 31.7% 2 383 620 10.9% 58.2 2012c 51 304 465 5 685 424 415 419 191 170 606 589 31.5% 2 760 205 11.1% 58.5 2015c 52 633 955 5 967 061 427 905 208 795 636 700 32.8% 3 350 736 11.3% 58.6 Change 2000-15 16.3% 100.4% 13.0% 76.9% 28.2% 37.8% N/A 71.2% 0.5%

Source: ASSA, ASSA 2008 AIDS and Demographic Model, March 2011 a These gures are based on the change assumption in which there would be antiretroviral therapy (ART) provided, interventions to stem mother-to-child transmission, and changes in sexual behaviour. b SAIRR calculations. c Forecasts.

South African Institute of Race Relations

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90+

NATIONAL PROFILE

THE ECONOMY
LAST YEAR AT A GLANCE
2011 GDP (current basic prices) Real GDP growth at market prices Agriculture etca (2.4% of GDP) Mining etcb (9.8% of GDP) Secondary sector (20.8% of GDP) Manufacturing (13.4% of GDP) Tertiary sector (67.0% of GDP) GDP per head (current) Gross domestic saving as a proportion of GDP Saving as proportion of disposable income of households Household debt as proportion of disposable income of households Gross xed capital formation (GFCF) GFCF as proportion of GDP GFCF by public authorities (constant prices) by public corporations by private business Current account surplus/decit Capital account surplus Current account surplus/decit as proportion of GDP Ination rate Food ination rate Producer price rise Administered price rise Imported producer ination Value of merchandise exports (including gold) Value of merchandise imports (including oil and arms) Prime overdraft rate (average) Real prime overdraft rate (average) Average gold price Average exchange rate (R/) Average exchange rate (R/$) R2 671bn 3.1% -0.4% 0.2% 2.1% 2.4% 3.6% R58 549 16.4% -0.1% 75.8% R560bn 18.9% up 0.8% up 4.2% up 5.3% -R99bn R131bn -3.3% 5.0% 7.3% 8.4% 11.7% 9.9% R708bn R723bn 9.0% 3.8% 1 569 10.08 7.25

Source: South African Reserve Bank (SARB), Stats SA, South African Revenue Service (SARS) a Agriculture includes forestry and shing. b Mining includes quarrying.

South African Institute of Race Relations

Fast Facts April 2012

NATIONAL PROFILE KEY INDICATORS AND FORECASTS, 200814

Real growth: Final household consumption Final government consumption Gross xed capital formation Gross domestic expenditure Exports of goods and services Imports of goods and services Real GDP growth GDP at current prices (Rbn) GDP per head at current prices (R)a GDP per head at constant prices (R)a Real GDP growth per heada Headline ination (CPI) Current account balance (as proportion of GDP) Source: National Treasury, Budget Review 2012 a 2008-11 SARB data, 2012-2014 SAIRR calculations. 2008 2.2% 4.5% 13.3% 3.5% 1.8% 1.5% 3.6% 2 263 46 072 36 950 2.4% 9.9% -7.2% 2009 Actual -1.6% 4.7% -3.2% -1.6% -19.5% -17.4% -1.5% 2 398 48 318 35 997 -2.6% 7.1% -4.0% 2010 2011 Estimate 3.7% 4.9% 4.9% 4.6% -1.6% 4.3% 4.2% 4.1% 4.5% 6.0% 9.6% 9.4% 2.9% 3.1% 2 661 2 941 53 088 58 549 36 668 37 442 1.9% 2.1% 4.3% 5.0% -2.8% -3.3% 2012 2013 2014 Forecast 3.6% 3.8% 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.5% 6.0% 3.9% 4.2% 4.9% 2.9% 5.8% 6.6% 7.2% 7.1% 8.3% 2.7% 3.6% 4.2% 3 204 3 526 3 897 62 648 68 194 74 549 38 067 39 008 40 204 1.7% 2.5% 3.1% 6.2% 5.3% 5.1% -4.3% -4.5% -4.4%

REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT PER HEAD, 19612014

REAL ANNUAL ECONOMIC GROWTH, 19612014

South African Institute of Race Relations

Fast Facts April 2012

NATIONAL PROFILE

EMPLOYMENT AND INCOMES

AT A GLANCEa
Unemployment rate (ofcial) Unemployment rate (expanded) Unemployed Africans as a proportion of total unemployed Increase in unemployment rate (19942011) People aged 1534 as a proportion of total unemployed People unemployed 1 year or more as a proportion of total unemployed As a proportion of total employment: Formal sectorb Informal sectorb Agriculture Private households Increase in formal employmentb (20012011) Increase in informal employmentb (20012011) Decrease in employment in agriculture (20012011) Decrease in employment in private households (2001-2011) Increase in number of governmentc employees (19992011) Labour market participation rate Labour market absorption rate Increase in total 1564 economically active (20012011) Increase in total 1564 not economically active (20012011) Increase in number of discouraged workseekers (20012011) Annual average household income (2010) Annual average personal income (2010) Gini co-efcient (2010) (0=most equal, 1= most unequal) Number of people living on less than $2 a day (2010) Proportion of people living on less than $2 a day (2010) 23.9% 35.4% 86.0% 19.5% 70.8% 67.5% 71.2% 15.8% 4.7% 8.3% 29.9% 0.2% 26.8% 13.8% 28.7% 54.3% 41.3% 12.4% 27.2% 14.5% R 134 101 R 36 253 0.64 2 502 285 5.0%

Source: Stats SA, Quarterly Labour Force Survey Quarter 4, 2011, Statistical release P0211, 7 February 2012; Department of Public Service and Administration, email communication 13 July 2010 and 26 May 2011; IHS Global Insight Southern Africa, Regional eXplorer ver 574, 2011 a All gures are for the fourth quarter of 2011 unless otherwise stated. All unemployment gures are according to the ofcial denition unless otherwise stated. b Excluding agriculture and private households. c Excluding local government.

PEOPLE LIVING ON LESS THAN $2 A DAY, 19962010

South African Institute of Race Relations

Fast Facts April 2012

NATIONAL PROFILE UNEMPLOYED (OFFICIAL DEFINITION), 19942011

UNEMPLOYED (EXPANDED DEFINITION), 19942011

ANNUAL PER CAPITA INCOME BY RACE, 1996 AND 2010

South African Institute of Race Relations

Fast Facts April 2012

NATIONAL PROFILE

BUSINESS AND LABOUR

AT A GLANCE
Fixed capital stock by ownership (2009) Public corporations General government Private enterprises Competitiveness rankings overall nancial development networked readiness ease of doing business ease of trading across borders quality of overall infrastructure quality of electricity supply auditing and reporting standards quality of the education system quality of maths and science education quality of management schools starting a business getting credit enforcing contracts dealing with construction permits registering property paying taxes closing a business economic freedom attractiveness for mining investment e-readiness protection of investors Number of BEE transactions (2009) Value of BEE transactions (2009) BEE deals as proportion of total deals (2009) Increase in black directors on JSE (20082010) Average wage settlement (2010) Number of mandays lost due to strikes (2010) 21% 25% 55% 50th out of 142 4th out of 142 76th out of 142 35th out of 183 144th out of 183 60th out of 142 97th out of 142 1st out of 142 133rd out of 142 138th out of 142 13th out of 142 44th out of 183 1st out of 183 81st out of 183 52nd out of 183 76th out of 183 44th out of 183 74th out of 183 70th out of 179 54th out of 93 40th out of 70 10th out of 183 58 R36.5bn 25.5% 58.0% 7.7% 6.2 million

Source: World Economic Forum, Global Competitiveness Report 201112, 2011; Department of Trade and Industry, Annual Review of Small Business, 20062007; The World Bank and the International Finance Corporation (IFC), Doing Business 2012; World Economic Forum, Financial Development Report, 2010; Fraser Institute, Survey of Mining Companies 2010/2011; The Heritage Foundation, www.heritage.org, accessed 19 March 2012; Empowerdex 2010; Business Times, 17 October 2010; Andrew Levy Employment Publications, The Wage Settlement Survey Quarterly Report, December 2011; South African Tourism, SA Tourism Annual Report 2010; Economist Intelligence Unit, Digital economy rankings 2010: Beyond e-readiness, 2010

BLACK ECONOMIC EMPOWERMENT, 19952009

South African Institute of Race Relations

Fast Facts April 2012

NATIONAL PROFILE CONTRIBUTIONS TO GDP JOBS, AND TAX BY SECTOR, 2011 ,

Agriculture, forestry, and shing Mining and quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, gas, and water Construction Wholesale and retail trade, catering, and accomodation Transport, storage, and communications Finance, real estate, and business services Community, social, and personal services Otherd Total GDP 2.4% 9.8% 13.4% 2.9% 4.5% 14.5% 8.2% 21.2% 23.1%a 100.0% Jobs 4.7% 2.4% 13.3% 0.6% 7.8% 22.7% 5.8% 12.9% 29.8%a 100.0% Tax assessed Individualb Companiesc 1.8% 1.5% 4.3% 10.2% 10.7% 22.2% 1.7% 0.9% 2.1% 3.7% 6.3% 13.8% 3.4% 8.3% 38.7% 35.5% 11.7% 3.7% 19.3% 0.2% 100.0% 100.0%

Source: Stats SA, Gross Domestic Product Fourth Quarter 2011, Statistical release P0441, 28 February 2012, p12; Quarterly Labour Force Survey Quarter 4, 2011, Statistical release P0211, 7 February 2012, p15; National Treasury, Tax Statistics 2011, February 2012, p43, pp91-92 a Including private households. b Assessed individual taxpayers tax assessed by economic activity 2010. c Companies tax assessed by economic activity 2009. d Includes where the sector was indicated as Other or where the sector was left blank on the tax return.

WAGE SETTLEMENTS AND INFLATION, 19982011

MANDAYS LOST TO STRIKES, 19792011

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Fast Facts April 2012

NATIONAL PROFILE

EDUCATION
NATIONAL SENIOR CERTIFICATE (NSC) RESULTS, 200811
Province Eastern Cape Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 Change 2008 2009 2010 2011 Change 2008 2009 2010 2011 Change 2008 2009 2010 2011 Change 2008 2009 2010 2011 Change 2008 2009 2010 2011 Change 2008 2009 2010 2011 Change 2008 2009 2010 2011 Change 2008 2009 2010 2011 Change Candidatesa 60 294 68 129 64 090 65 359 8.4% 29 963 29 808 27 586 25 932 -13.5% 92 723 98 659 92 241 85 367 -7.9% 136 743 132 176 122 444 122 126 -10.7% 84 614 83 350 94 632 73 731 -12.9% 42 157 53 978 51 695 48 135 14.2% 33 157 30 665 28 909 25 364 -23.5% 9 948 10 377 10 182 10 116 1.7% 43 966 44 931 45 764 39 690 -9.7% Number 30 511 34 731 37 364 37 997 24.5% 21 518 20 680 19 499 19 618 -8.8% 70 837 70 871 72 537 69 216 2.3% 78 762 80 733 86 556 83 201 5.6% 45 973 40 776 54 809 47 091 2.4% 21 855 25 854 29 382 31 187 42.7% 22 563 20 700 21 876 19 737 -12.5% 7 237 6 356 7 366 6 957 -3.9% 34 488 34 017 35 124 33 110 -4.0% Passesb Proportion 50.6% 51.0% 58.3% 58.1% 14.8% 71.8% 69.4% 70.7% 75.7% 5.4% 76.4% 71.8% 78.6% 81.1% 6.2% 57.6% 61.1% 70.7% 68.1% 18.2% 54.3% 48.9% 57.9% 63.9% 17.7% 51.8% 47.9% 56.8% 64.8% 25.1% 68.0% 67.5% 75.7% 77.8% 14.4% 72.7% 61.3% 72.3% 68.8% -5.4% 78.4% 75.7% 76.8% 82.9% 5.7% Bachelors passc Number Proportion 8 673 14.4% 9 492 13.9% 10 225 16.0% 10 291 15.7% 18.7% 9.0% 6 291 21.0% 6 030 20.2% 5 890 21.4% 6 817 26.3% 8.4% 25.2% 28 248 30.5% 28 709 29.1% 31 301 33.9% 30 037 35.2% 6.3% 15.4% 24 940 18.2% 26 287 19.9% 31 466 25.7% 27 397 22.4% 9.9% 23.1% 10 651 12.6% 10 202 12.2% 14 757 15.6% 12 946 17.6% 21.5% 39.7% 5 535 13.1% 6 556 12.1% 8 147 15.8% 8 866 18.4% 60.2% 40.5% 6 426 19.4% 6 356 20.7% 8 021 27.7% 7 187 28.3% 11.8% 45.9% 1 997 20.1% 1 741 16.8% 2 152 21.1% 2 012 19.9% 0.8% -1.0% 14 503 33.0% 14 324 31.9% 14 412 31.5% 15 214 38.1% 4.9% 15.5%

Free State

Gauteng

KwaZulu-Natal

Limpopo

Mpumalanga

North West

Northern Cape

Western Cape

Source: Department of Basic Education, Report on the National Senior Certicate Examination 2011: Technical Report, Department of Basic Education, Report on the National Senior Certicate Examination 2011: National Diagnostic Report on Learner Performance a This refers to the number of candidates who wrote the National Senior Certicate, and not the number who enrolled. b In order to pass the NSC, a pupil needs to achieve 40% in three subjects, one of which must be a home language, and 30% in a further three subjects. c This allows a pupil to study for a Bachelors degree. The minimum requirement is an NSC with at least 30% in the language of learning and teaching, and 50% in four or more subjects.

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Fast Facts April 2012

NATIONAL PROFILE PUBLIC SCHOOLS AND LABORATORIES, 2011

Province Eastern Cape Free State Gauteng KwaZulu-Natal Limpopo Mpumalanga North West Northern Cape Western Cape South Africa Number of schools 5 676 1 615 2 031 5 930 3 923 1 868 1 674 611 1 464 24 793 Schools with a laboratory Number Proportiona 493 8.7% 337 20.9% 813 40.0% 719 12.1% 235 6.0% 213 11.4% 269 16.1% 180 29.5% 513 35.0% 3 772 15.2% Schools with a stocked laboratory Number Proportiona 110 1.9% 103 6.4% 287 14.1% 221 3.7% 59 1.5% 53 2.8% 72 4.3% 67 11.0% 259 17.7% 1 231 5.0%

PUBLIC SCHOOLS AND LIBRARIES, 2011

Province Eastern Cape Free State Gauteng KwaZulu-Natal Limpopo Mpumalanga North West Northern Cape Western Cape South Africa Number of schools 5 676 1 615 2 031 5 930 3 923 1 868 1 674 611 1 464 24 793 Schools with a library Number Proportiona 549 9.7% 422 26.1% 1 191 58.6% 1 199 20.2% 293 7.5% 323 17.3% 321 19.2% 179 29.3% 775 52.9% 5 252 21.2% Schools with a stocked library Number Proportiona 168 3.0% 151 9.3% 385 19.0% 363 6.1% 95 2.4% 133 7.1% 106 6.3% 72 11.8% 382 26.1% 1 855 7.5%

Source: Department of Basic Education, National Education Infrastructure Management System (NEIMS) Report May 2011 a Proportion of schools in the province.

SCHOOL THROUGHPUT, 200911

HEAD-COUNT ENROLMENT AT UNIVERSITIES AND UNIVERSITIES OF TECHNOLOGY BY RACE, 1995 AND 2010
1995 2010

Source: Department of Higher Education

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Fast Facts April 2012

NATIONAL PROFILE

HEALTH AND WELFARE

AT A GLANCE
Infant mortality rate (2010) Under-ve mortality rate (2010) Maternal deaths (2010) Increase in adult mortality (1998-2010) Leading cause of death (2008) Pregnancies terminated (2010) Malnutrition rate under ve years (2010) Diarrhoea incidence among under ves (2010) Malaria cases (2009) Malaria deaths (2009) TB cases (2008) Number of people living with HIV/AIDS (2011) New infections in the year (2011) HIV related deaths (2011) Overall medical aid coverage (2010) Ratio of people to public-sector doctors (2011) Immunisation coverage of children under one year (2010) Number of old-age pension recipients (2010/11) Number of child support grant recipients (2010/11) Increase in number of child support grant recipients (2001-11) Increase in child support grant recipients (2001-11) Total number of social grant recipients (2010/11) Grant beneciaries as a proportion of total national population (2010/11) Proportion of households receiving social grants (2010) 34 per 1 000 50 per 1 000 1 469 35% Tuberculosis 68 736 (6.4% of recorded live births) 5 per 1 000 112 per 1 000 6 072 45 340 559 5 577 812 110 630 187 755 16% 4 211 to 1 89.0% 2 659 470 10 387 238 9 586 762 1 198% 14 932 061 29% 45%

Source: ASSA, ASSA2008 AIDS and Demographic Model, March 2011; Reply by the minister of health to parliamentary question 641/2011 by Mrs H Lamoela (DA), 7 March 2011; Stats SA, Mortality and causes of death in South Africa 2007: Findings from death notication, Statistical Release P0309.3, November 2009; The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2011, April 2011; Council for Medical Schemes, Council for Medical Schemes Annual Report 2010-11; Department of Health (DOH), South African Malaria Country Prole 2010, 7th December 2010; Health Systems Trust, www.hst.org.za; National Treasury, Estimates of National Expenditure 2011

SEVERE MALNUTRITION AMONG UNDER-FIVES, 200110

Province Eastern Cape Free State Gauteng KwaZulu-Natal Limpopo Mpumalanga North West Northern Cape Western Cape South Africa 2001 19.3 9.9 34.4 46.6 9.4 17.8 12.8 5.9 25.0 2003 13.7 6.1 18.6 42.1 10.1 13.8 21.5 4.2 19.9 2006 5.9 4.2 2.6 10.1 3.6 4.5 7.3 9.8 3.2 5.7 2008 4.8 4.5 3.9 7.2 3.2 4.3 11.4 5.1 4.6 5.4 2009 5.0 5.8 2.9 8.0 4.0 5.5 7.2 5.6 5.9 5.5 2010 5.2 4.9 3.7 7.1 4.1 3.7 6.7 8.8 2.7 5.0

Source: Health Systems Trust, www.hst.org.za, accessed 9th September 2011 a The number of children who weigh below 60% of expected weight for age per 1 000 children under the age of ve.

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NATIONAL PROFILE MEDICAL AID COVERAGE BY RACE, 2010

African Coloured Indian/Asian White

Source: Stats SA, General Household Survey 2010, August 2011, p76

BENEFICIARIES OF SOCIAL GRANTS, 2001-2012/13

Type of grant Old-age pension War veterans Disability Foster care Care dependency Child support Totala 2001 1 905 263 6 165 643 107 53 449 31 959 800 476 3 449 537 2007/08 2 218 993 1 963 1 413 263 443 191 101 836 8 195 524 12 374 770 2009/10 2 489 637 1 236 1 298 770 489 322 118 972 9 380 713 13 778 650 2010/11 2 659 470 938 1 231 323 531 898 121 194 10 387 238 14 932 061 2011/12 2 729 359 813 1 265 271 612 651 128 133 10 976 510 15 712 737 2012/13 2 786 026 703 1 289 518 708 592 134 604 11 303 073 16 222 516 Change 2001-2012/13 46% -89% 101% 1 226% 321% 1 312% 370%

Source: National Treasury, Estimates of National Expenditure 2011, p404 a The total for 2001 includes 10 000 other grants including maintenance grants, institutional grants, and unclaimed benet grants.

BENEFICIARIES OF SOCIAL GRANTS, 2001-2012/13

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NATIONAL PROFILE

LIVING CONDITIONS AND COMMUNICATIONS

CHANGES BY HOUSEHOLD, 1996 AND 2010
1996 Formala Informal Other
b

2010 11 000 000 1 859 000 1 385 000 60 000 14 304 000 49 869 000 3.5 12 774 000 5 942 000 4 161 000 8 638 000 11 893 000 10 176 000 6 530 000 8 720 000

Change 1996-2010 Change 1996-2010 (actual numbers) (proportion) 5 205 614 405 985 -259 388 -107 782 5 244 429 9 285 427 -1 5 539 972 1 965 145 2 669 772 4 085 146 6 674 687 5 908 942 2 498 491 3 882 189 89.8% 27.9% -15.8% -64.2% 57.9% 22.9% -22.2% 76.6% 49.4% 179.0% 89.7% 127.9% 138.5% 62.0% 80.2%

5 794 386 1 453 015 1 644 388 167 782 9 059 571 40 583 573 4.5 7 234 028 3 976 855 1 491 228
e

Traditional
c

Total number of dwellings/households Population Average household size Access to piped water
d

Access to piped water in dwelling Access to piped water on site/in yard Access to ush or chemical lavatories only Use of electricity for lighting Use of electricity for cooking Use of electricity for heating Refuse removal by local authority

4 552 854 5 218 313 4 267 058 4 031 509 4 837 811

Source: Stats SA, General Household Survey 2010, Statistical release P 0318, 3 August 2011 revised, pp939, 103107, and 116132; Census 2001: Primary tables South Africa, Census 1996 and 2001 compared, 2004, pp7998 a b c d e Formal refers to house/brick structure on separate stand or yard, at in block of ats, town/cluster/semi-detached house, a room/house/dwelling in backyard, dwellings on a shared property, or a room/atlet on a property or a larger dwelling servants quarters/granny at. Informal refers to dwelling/shack in backyard and not in backyard. This includes caravan/tent, hostels and compounds, units in retirement village, and other unspecied dwellings. This includes piped water in dwelling, on-site/yard, or on a communal tap/access point outside yard. This includes in dwelling, on-site, and off-site access; also includes ush lavatories connected to a sewage system and those with septic tanks.

HOUSEHOLD INTERNET ACCESS, 2010

Number Province Eastern Cape Free State Gauteng KwaZulu-Natal Limpopo Mpumalanga North West Northern Cape Western Cape South Africa Access at home 67 678 61 065 633 648 216 960 43 214 64 960 58 920 19 200 288 016 1 444 805 Access elsewhere 260 026 248 685 1 532 544 607 488 138 006 212 135 191 490 51 840 698 592 3 933 875 Without access 1 453 296 575 250 1 517 808 1 887 552 1 212 780 737 905 731 590 248 960 545 392 8 926 320 Total households 1781 000 885 000 3 684 000 2 712 000 1 394 000 1 015 000 982 000 320 000 1 532 000 14 305 000 Access at home 3.8% 6.9% 17.2% 8.0% 3.1% 6.4% 6.0% 6.0% 18.8% 10.1% Proportion Access elsewhere 14.6% 28.1% 41.6% 22.4% 9.9% 20.9% 19.5% 16.2% 45.6% 27.5% Without access 81.6% 65.0% 41.2% 69.6% 87.0% 72.7% 74.5% 77.8% 35.6% 62.4%

Source: Stats SA, General Household Survey 2010, Statistical release P 0318, 3 August 2011 revised, p34

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NATIONAL PROFILE BACKLOGS, 2010

Province Eastern Cape Free State Gauteng KwaZulu-Natal Limpopo Mpumalanga North West Northern Cape Western Cape South Africa Number of households 1 781 000 885 000 3 684 000 2 712 000 1 394 000 1 015 000 982 000 320 000 1 532 000 14 305 000 Without access to piped water 26.1% 3.8% 3.1% 15.6% 16.4% 12.6% 10.0% 7.5% 1.2% 10.7% Using parafn or wood for cooking 42.1% 10.9% 11.2% 25.9% 50.5% 26.6% 26.0% 18.5% 3.9% 23.2% Using buckets or Living in informal without toilets dwellings 16.8% 6.1% 1.2% 6.1% 8.8% 6.8% 4.3% 7.1% 3.0% 6.1% 7.4% 13.3% 21.5% 7.2% 3.8% 9.9% 18.8% 8.6% 17.1% 13.0%

Source: Stats SA, General Household Survey 2010, Statistical release P 0318, 5 May 2011, pp21, 25, 26, 31

HOUSEHOLDS IN INFORMAL DWELLINGSa, 1996 AND 2010

1996 Province Eastern Cape Free State Gauteng KwaZulu-Natal Limpopo Mpumalanga North West Northern Cape Western Cape South Africa Backyard 31 284 50 649 153 504 44 410 15 644 24 571 45 145 4 970 33 153 403 330 Not backyard 114 220 112 122 314 860 141 176 32 218 69 841 114 244 21 283 129 720 1 049 684 Total 145 504 162 771 468 364 185 586 47 862 94 412 159 389 26 253 162 873 1 453 014 Backyard 20 000 56 000 382 000 32 000 21 000 15 000 76 000 8 000 126 000 736 000 2010 Not backyard 111 000 60 000 409 000 164 000 31 000 85 000 109 000 20 000 134 000 1 123 000 Total 131 000 116 000 791 000 196 000 52 000 100 000 185 000 28 000 260 000 1 859 000

Source: Stats SA, General Household Survey 2010, Statistical release P 0318, 3 August 2011 revised, p97; Census 2001: Primary tables South Africa, Census 96 and 2001 compared, 2004, p79 a Backyard informal dwellings are ones erected within the boundaries of existing residential properties. By contrast, non-backyard informal dwellings are by denition those erected on vacant land, and will most likely form part of an informal settlement.

BANK ACCOUNTS BY RACE, 200710

Race African Coloured Indian White 2007 56% 54% 75% 95% 2010 57% 68% 85% 91% Change 1.8% 25.9% 13.3% -4.2% Very poor Poor Fair Good Very good Totalc

CONDITION OF ROADS
AA (2008)a 27.0% 32.0% 25.0% 11.0% 5.0% 100.0% DoT (2010)b 3.7% 8.6% 26.0% 43.2% 18.4% 100.0%

Source: FinMark Trust, Finscope South Africa 2010, November 2010, p13

Source: Reply by the minister of transport to question 1563 by Mr N J J van R Koornhof MP (Cope), 10 June 2011 a Automobile Association gures referring to all paved national and provincial roads. b Department of Transport gures referring to paved roads only. There is a total of 153 719 km of paved roads in the country. Information was only given on the condition of 114 861 km of this. c Figures should add up vertically but may not, due to rounding.

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Fast Facts April 2012

NATIONAL PROFILE

CRIME AND SECURITY

NATIONAL CRIME FIGURESa, 1994/95 AND 2010/11
Actual numbers Type of crime Contact crimes (crimes against the person) Murder Attempted murder Sexual offencesb Assault GBH
c

Rate per 100 000 people 2010/11 Change

1994/95

2010/11

Change 1994/95

25 965 26 806 44 751 215 671 200 248

d

15 940 -38.6% 15 493 -42.2% 66 196 198 602 185 891 101 463 54 883 47.9% -7.9% -7.2% 19.7% 68.0%

67 69 115 556 516 219 84

32 31 132 397 372 203 110

-52.3% -55.1% 14.8% -28.5% -27.9% -7.1% 30.4%

Common assault Aggravated robbery Common robbery Contact-related crimes Arson Malicious damage to property Property-related crimes Residential burglary Business burglary Theft of motor vehicles and motorcycles Theft out of motor vehicles Stock theft Crimes heavily dependent on police action for detection Illegal possession of arms and ammunition Drug-related Driving under the inuence of alcohol or drugs Other serious crimes Other theft Commercial Shoplifting Total

84 785 32 659

10 948 123 305

6 533 -40.3% 125 327 1.6%

28 318

13 251

-53.5% -21.1%

231 355 87 600 105 867 183 367 47 287

247 630

7.0%

596 226 273 473 122

495 138 129 246 60

-16.9% -38.8% -52.7% -47.9% -50.5%

69 082 -21.1% 64 504 -39.1% 123 091 -32.9% 30 144 -36.3%

10 999 45 928 25 699

14 472

31.6%

28 118 66

29 301 133

2.1% 154.6% 101.5%

150 673 228.1% 66 697 159.5%

386 292 63 056 66 302

368 095 88 388 78 383

-4.7% 40.2% 18.2% 2.6%

996 163 171 5 202

736 177 157 4 146

-26.0% 8.8% -8.3% -20.3%

2 018 890 2 071 487

Source: South African Police Service (SAPS), www.saps.gov.za, accessed 8 September 2011 Not all crimes have been included. This table includes only the 20 most serious categories of crimes plus arson. Arson has been included for continuity although it falls outside the denition of a serious crime. The SAPS denes a serious crime as one occurring with a frequency of more than 10 000 cases a year or at a rate of 20 per 100 000 of the population. b This category of crime replaces rape and indecent assault. Owing to the implementation of the Criminal Law (Sexual Offences and Related Matters) Amendment Act 32 of 2007 on 16 December 2007, the denitions of rape and indecent assault have been changed. As a result, comparisons with earlier information may not be valid. c This refers to assault with intent to inict grievous bodily harm. d Includes bank robberies, car and truck hijackings, robbery of business premises, robbery at residential premises, and robbery of cash-in-transit. a

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NATIONAL PROFILE BREAKDOWN OF AGGRAVATED ROBBERY, 1994/952010/11

Total aggravated robbery 84 785 77 167 66 163 73 053 92 630 98 813 113 716 116 736 126 905 133 658 126 789 119 726 126 558 118 312 121 392 113 755 101 463 19.7% Street/ public Residential Business Truck robbery robberya robberya Carjacking hijacking N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 93 573 96 963 96 166 105 690 100 436 91 068 92 021 77 984 72 194 64 670 57 951 -38.1% -10.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 9 063 9 351 9 391 10 173 12 761 14 481 18 438 18 786 16 889 86.4% -10.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5 498 3 677 3 320 4 387 6 689 9 862 13 920 14 534 14 667 166.8% 0.9% N/A N/A 12 912 13 052 15 773 15 172 14 930 15 846 14 691 13 793 12 434 12 825 13 599 14 201 14 915 13 902 10 627 -17.7% -23.6% N/A N/A 3 732 4 567 6 134 5 088 4 548 3 333 986 901 930 829 892 1 245 1 437 1 412 999 -73.2% -29.2% Cash-intransit N/A N/A 359 236 223 226 196 238 374 192 220 385 467 395 386 358 291 -18.9% -18.7%

Year 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 Initial period2010/11

Banks N/A N/A 561 463 493 450 469 356 127 54 58 59 129 144 102 93 39 -93.0% -58.1%

Change: 2009/102010/11 -10.8%

Source: SAPS, www.saps.gov.za, accessed 8 September 2011 a Robberies at business and residential premises, as opposed to burglaries, occur in the presence of occupants of the premises and involve violent confrontation, usually with a harmful object, with victims. N/A Not available.

CHANGE IN AGGRAVATED ROBBERY, INITIAL PERIOD 2010/11

Compiled by Thuthukani Ndebele

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Fast Facts April 2012

Fast stats
LABOUR LOG
Labour participation rate 4Q 2011 (supply) Labour absorption rate 4Q 2011 (demand) Public sector employment 3Q 2011 Private sector employment 3Q 2011 Employment change (annualised) (Feb) formal sector informal sector permanent temporary Total employment 4Q 2011 Employees in non-farm enterprises registered for income tax Number of such employees Expected employment increase 1Q 2012 Unemployment rate 4Q 2011 (official) Unemployment rate 4Q 2011 (expanded including discouraged) Change in total employment agriculture mining manufacturing utilities construction trade transport finance community and social services private households Nominal wages per worker 3Q 2011 Real wages per worker 3Q 2011 Nominal remuneration/worker public 3Q 2011 Nominal remuneration/worker private 3Q 2011 Real remuneration/worker public 3Q 2011 Real remuneration/worker private 3Q 2011 Labour productivity 3Q 2011 Nominal unit labour costs 3Q 2011 Compensation of employees to GDP (at factor cost) 2011 Average monthly earnings (Nov 2011) Average wage settlements (this year to Mar) Number of strike mandays 2011 54.3% 4Q 2010: 53.6% 41.3% 4Q 2010: 40.8% up 1.4% compared to 3Q 2010 up 2.6% compared to 3Q 2010 1.5% since Jan 2012 0.2% 4.3% 0.1% 0.4% 13 497 000 4Q 2010: 13 132 000 up 1.6% Dec 2011 vs Dec 2010 up 130 000 to 8 381 000 +1% point 1Q 2011: +5% points 23.9% 4Q 2010: 24.0% 35.4% 4Q 2010: 35.8% 365 000 4Q 2011 vs 4Q 2010 3 000 29 000 6 000 -13 000 1 000 85 000 27 000 145 000 76 000 1 000 up 8.6% compared to 3Q 2010 up 0.3% up 13.7% up 6.3% up 4.9% down 1.9% up 0.3% up 8.3% 50.1% 2010: 50.6% R13 284 Nov 2010: R12 274 7.3% Jan-Mar 2011: 8.2% 6.2m 2010: 14.6m SARB SARB SARB SARB SARB SARB SARB SARB SARB Stats SA/QES Andrew Levy Andrew Levy Stats SA/QLFS Stats SA/QLFS SARB SARB Adcorp Adcorp Adcorp Adcorp Adcorp Stats SA/QLFS Stats SA/QES Stats SA/QES Manpower Number: 4.2 million Number: 7.4 million Stats SA/QLFS

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Fast stats
INVESTMENT INDEX
Real gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) 2011 GFCF GDP 2011 Gross domestic saving GDP 2011 Real GFCF by public authorities by public corporations by private business Real GFCF in mining and quarrying in manufacturing in electricity, gas and water in transport and communication in finance etc in community, social and personal services Real GFCF in residential buildings in non-residential buildings in construction works in transport equipment in machinery and equipment Foreign investment into SA 2011 direct (FDI) portfolio other SA investment abroad 2011 direct portfolio other Balance on financial account 2011 Equities net purchases/sales by foreigners (this year to Feb) Bonds net purchases/sales by foreigners (this year to Feb) R4.6bn -R44.5bn -R3.6bn R77.4bn -R7.9bn R10.6bn R0.6bn -R33.4bn -R22.1bn R69.8bn Jan-Feb 2011: -R1.4bn Jan-Feb 2011: -R6.8bn R42.2bn R47.0bn R31.7bn 2010: R9.0bn R107.9bn R7.9bn R380bn 18.9% 16.4% up 0.8% up 4.2% up 5.3% up 8.1% up 10.4% up 5.3% up 4.8% down 1.5% up 1.0% down 6.6% down 2.0% up 0.6% up 6.6% up 11.7% up 4.4% compared to 2010 2010: 19.6% 2010: 16.6% 2011 vs 2010 (Target: 25%)

SOCIO-ECONOMIC SCOREBOARD
Total population (mid 2011 estimates) GDP per head 2011 Real growth in GDP per head 2011 Household saving to disposable income 2011 Household debt to disposable income 2011 Household debt-service cost to disposable income 2011 50.59m R58 549 2.1% -0.1% 75.8% 6.8% 2010: 49.99m current prices 2010: 1.9% 2010: -0.3% 2010: 78.2% 2010: 7.8% Stats SA SARB SARB SARB SARB SARB

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Fast stats
HOUSING HIGHLIGHTS
House Price Index (nominal) (medium size) (Feb) House Price Index (real) (Jan) Mortgage advances (Feb) Houses built smaller than 81m2 (Jan) Houses built/being built (government subsidy)
a

up 1.2% down 4.4% up 2.3% up 125.5% 3 219 236 185 425 up 4.4% down 6.7% up 2.8% up 5.6% up 4.8% down 3.3% up 9.3% up 3.4% up 9.2% down 11.3% up 6.1%

compared to Feb 2011 compared to Jan 2011 compared to Feb 2011 compared to Jan 2011

Absa Absa SARB Stats SA

Apr 1994Mar 2011 (up 6.1% from Mar 2010) down 18% on same period previous year compared to 4Q 2010 Absa Absa Absa
Absa

Government housing delivery (Apr 2010Mar 2011)a House price trends (nominal) (average) 4Q 2011 Affordable houses (4079m2/priced at under R480 000) Small houses (80140m /R706 367) (average price) Medium houses (141220m2/R992 252) Large houses (221400m /R1 529 548) All houses (80400m2/R1 071 377) Luxury housing (costing more than R3.5m) Greater Johannesburg (80400m2/R1 204 034) Cape Town metro (80400m /R1 233 427) Durban metro (80400m /R1 001 574) PE/Uitenhage metro (80400m /797 041) Cost of building a new house (average)
aDepartment of Human Settlements.
2 2 2 2 2

Absa Absa Absa Absa

Absa

Absa Absa

INFLATION INDEX
Headline inflation rate (Feb 2012 vs Feb 2011) Housing and utilities (22.56%)* Transport (18.80%)* Food and non-alcoholic beverages (15.68%)* Insurance and other services (13.56%)* Household contents and services (5.86%)* Alcohol and tobacco (5.58%)* Recreation and culture (4.19%)* Clothing and footwear (4.11%)* Communication (3.22%)* Restaurants and hotels (2.78%)* Education (2.19)* Health (1.47%)* Rise in administered (non-market) prices Inflation without administered prices CPI for primary urban areas (larger cities/towns) CPI for secondary urban areas (smaller towns) CPI for rural areas Producer price rise (PPI) Imported producer inflation
*Weighting

6.1% 6.6% 6.8% 9.6% 5.5% 2.3% 6.4% 0.3% 3.7% -1.6% 5.6% 8.6% 5.1% 11.7% 5.1% 6.0% 6.6% 7.4% 8.3% 13.0%

same period previous year: 3.7% 6.4% 2.6% 3.6% 3.2% 0.4% 7.2% -1.6% 1.2% -2.4% 4.7% 9.2% 6.6% 9.9% 2.7% 3.6% 3.9% 3.4% 5.5% 2.5%

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Fast stats
BUSINESS BAROMETER
Leading business indicator (Jan) Use of manufacturing production capacity 2011 Manufacturing production (volume) (Jan) Total vehicles sold (this year to Mar): 156 701 Vehicles exported (this year to Mar): 58 114 Tractors sold (this year to Mar): 2 235 Electricity consumed (this year to Feb) Total building plans passed (value) (Jan) Total buildings completed (value) (Jan) All building costs (average) 1Q 2012 Cement sales (tonnes) (Jan) Mining production (volume) (Jan) Retail sales (value) (Jan) Wholesales (value) (Jan) Current adspend (Jan): R2.0bn Number of liquidations (this year to Feb): 400 Judgements for debt (Jan): 35 347 Tourism accommodation occupancy rate (Jan) Overseas tourists 2011: 2 176 719 down 0.3% 80.3% up 2.4% up 6.0% down 11.1% up 37.1% up 1.0% down 12.4% up 7.2% up 13.5% up 22.0% down 2.4% up 6.9% up 6.8% up 11.1% down 43.8% down 13.8% 45.9% down 1.8% on same period last year 2010: 80.0% on same period last year on same period last year on same period last year on same period last year on same period last year on same period last year on same period last year on same period last year on same period last year on same period last year on same period last year on same period last year on same period last year on same period last year on same period last year Jan 2011: 40.5% compared to 2010 SARB Stats SA Stats SA NAAMSA NAAMSA SAAMA Stats SA Stats SA Stats SA BER CCI Stats SA Stats SA Stats SA A C Nielsen Stats SA Stats SA Stats SA Stats SA

BETTER : 13

WORSE : 6

CONFIDENCE COUNT
RMB/BER business confidence index 1Q 2012 Sacci business confidence index (Mar) BER/DTI manufacturing confidence index 1Q 2012 FNB/BER building confidence index 1Q 2012 BER building contractors confidence index 1Q 2012 FNB/BER civil construction index 1Q 2012 Consumer financial vulnerability index 4Q 2011 Ernst&Young/BER financial services index 4Q 2011 FNB/BER consumer confidence index 1Q 2012 black consumer confidence index 1Q 2012 white consumer confidence index 1Q 2012 high-income household confidence index 1Q 2012 low-income household confidence index 1Q 2012 Kagiso purchasing managers index (PMI) (Mar) Sacci trade activity index (TAI) (Feb) Sacci trade expectations index (TEI) (Feb) FNB/TBCSA tourism business index (TBI) 4Q 2011 Vehicle sales confidence indicator 1Q 2012 Agricultural business confidence index 1Q 2012 up 14 points down 3.8 points up 12 points up 5 points up 12 points up 8 points down 0.09 points up 4 points no change no change no change no change up 3 points down 2.8 points up 9 points up 2 points up 17.3 points up 0.3 points up 2 points to 52 since 4Q 2011 to 95.7 since Feb 2012 to 47 since 4Q 2011 to 34 from 4Q 2011 to 31 since 4Q 2011 to 34 from 4Q 2011 to 63 from 3Q 2011 from 5 in 4Q 2011 from 12 in 4Q 2011 from -5 in 4Q 2011 from 8 in 4Q 2011 to -0 since 4Q 2011 to 55.1 since Feb 2012 to 57 since Jan 2012 to 55 since Jan 2012 to 87.3 since 3Q 2011 to 6.4 since 4Q 2011 to 64.0 from 1Q 2011 (scale 0100) (2010 = 100) Sacci (scale 0100) (scale 0100) (scale 0100) (scale 0100) (scale 0100) (scale minus 100100) (scale minus 100100) (scale minus 100100) (scale minus 100100) (scale minus 100100) (2000 = 100) BER (scale 0100) (scale 0100) (scale 0100) (scale 110) WesBank (2001 = 50) ABC/IDC

to 4.33 from 3Q 2011 (scale 010) FinMark/BMR

BETTER : 12
South African Institute of Race Relations

UNCHANGED : 4 22

WORSE : 3
Fast Facts April 2012

Fast stats
ECONOMIC BAROMETER
GDP 2011 (basic prices) GDP growth at market prices 2011 Agriculture (2.4% of GDP) Mining (9.8%) Manufacturing (13.4%) Electricity and water (2.9%) Construction (4.5%) Non-farm GDP growth 2011 Govt consumption expenditure growth 2011 Govt capital expenditure growth 2011 Public sector expenditure to GDP 2011 Exports (this year to Feb) Imports (this year to Feb) Trade balance (this year to Feb) Gold and forex reserves (Mar) Reserves/imports (Feb) Current account deficit 2011 as proportion of GDP Capital account surplus 2011 Gold price per ounce (average) (Mar) Gold price per ounce (average) (Mar) Platinum price per ounce (average) (Mar) Platinum price per ounce (average) (Mar) Crude oil price (dated brent/barrel) 5/4/12 Petrol (premium pump price per litre Gauteng) 11/4/12 Growth in money supply (M3) (Feb) Change in private sector credit extension (Feb) Prime overdraft rate (average) 11/4/12 Real prime overdraft rate (average) (Feb) Repo rate (average) 11/4/12 /R 0.0974 R/ 10.2642 /R 0.7626 R/ 12.412 $/R 0.1279 R/$ 7.8179 -0.4% 0.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.8% 3.1% 4.5% 0.8% 28.7% R110bn R131bn -R21bn R389bn 6.0 to 1 R99bn 3.3% R131bn $1 674 R12 753 $1 656 R12 596 $122.70 R11.94 5.9% 7.9% 9.0% 2.7% 5.5% /R 10.566 R/ 0.0946 -8%/-6%/+16% -16%/-8%/+13% -14%/-13%/+8% -16%/-19%/-6% -11%/-9%/+10% R2 671bn 3.1% 2010: 2.9% 4.4% 3.3% 3.5% 2.4% 3.9% Trade etc (14.5%) Transport and communication (8.2%) Finance etc (21.2%) Community services (6.9%) Government (16.3%) 2010: 2.9% 2010: 4.9% 2010: -9.5% 2010: 29.2% up 14% on same period in 2011 up 28% on same period in 2011 Jan-Feb 2011: -R5bn Mar 2011: R335bn Feb 2011: 4.9 to 1 2010: R75bn 2010: 2.8% 2010: R106bn Mar 2011: $1 423 Mar 2011: R9 839 Mar 2011: $1 760 Mar 2011: R12 166 year ago: $120.63 year ago: R9.96 Feb 2011: 7.6% Feb 2011: 5.4% year ago: 9.0% year ago: 5.1% year ago: 5.5% /$ 0.7617 $/ 1.3129 /$ 82.60 $/ 0.0121 at 5/4/12 at 5/4/12 Highest: R/ 1.80) Highest: R/$ 0.67) (based on headline inflation) (Increase: 18%) (Increase: 30%) (Decrease: 6%) (Decrease: 4%) (Increase: 2%) (Increase: 20%)

Rand vs euro last 12/24/36 months Rand vs dollar last 12/24/36 months Rand vs pound last 12/24/36 months Rand vs yen last 12/24/36 months Rand vs basket last 12/24/36 months

(Lowest: R/ 14.65 (Lowest: R/$ 13.00

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Fast stats
LATEST FORECASTS
GDP growth 2012 3.0% SARB: revised upwards from 2.8% 2.8% Beeld Consensus; Investec; Reuters Econometer; Standard Bank 2.7% Absa: revised downwards from 2.8%; Nedbank Headline inflation rate (CPI) 2012 (average) 6.3% Absa: revised downwards from 6.5% 5.9% Investec: revised upwards from 5.8% Expected CPI (business) 2012 (average) (trade unions) Producer price inflation 2012 (average) 6.2% BER: no change 6.0% BER: revised downwards from 6.3% 8.7% Absa: revised downwards from 9.6% 7.0% Investec: revised downwards from 8.2% Imported producer inflation 2012 (average) Gross fixed capital formation 2012 6.5% Absa: revised upwards from 3.9% up 6.9% Investec: no change up 4.0% Standard Bank: no change Final consumption expenditure by households 2012 up 4.2% Nedbank: revised upwards from 4.1% up 3.5% BER: revised upwards from 3.4% Government consumption expenditure 2012 up 4.3% BER: revised upwards from 4.1% up 4.1% Investec: no change; Standard Bank Gross domestic expenditure 2012 up 4.7% Investec: no change up 3.8% Absa: revised downwards from 4% Exports 2012 up 5.5% Absa: revised upwards from 4.1% up 1.2% Investec: revised upwards from 0.1% Imports 2012 up 9.0% Absa: revised upwards from 8.2% up 7.8% BER: revised upwards from 7.2% Current account deficit 2012 R174bn Investec: no change R129bn Nedbank: revised upwards from R107bn as proportion of GDP 2012 5.5% Investec: no change 4.0% Nedbank: revised downwards from 4.1% Capital account surplus 2012 Prime overdraft rate 2012 (year end) R165bn Nedbank: no change 9.5% Absa; Investec; Nedbank 9.0% BER: no change; Standard Bank R/ exchange rate 2012 (average) 10.36 Nedbank: revised from 10.45 9.60 Standard Bank: no change 9.52 Absa: revised from 9.96 R/$ exchange rate 2012 (average) 7.93 Nedbank: revised from 7.94 7.72 Investec: revised from 8.20 7.40 Absa: revised from 7.94 Gold price per ounce 2012 (average) $1 790 Absa: revised downwards from $1 867 $1 676 BER: revised downwards from $1 698 Nominal wage rise 2012 8.7% BER: revised downwards from 8.9% These forecasts contain the highest and lowest estimates available to us. Our Fast stats pages are compiled by Tamara Dimant, Head of Information, phone (011) 482-7221 x 2016, fax (011) 482-7690, e-mail tdimant@sairr.org.za
South African Institute of Race Relations

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Fast Facts April 2012