Louisianas 2012 Coastal Master Plan

Building Resilience Workshop III March 16, 2012 New Orleans, La

Emerged through Natural Processes

restoring and protecting Louisianas coast

60 Million Years Ago 60 Million Years Ago

restoring and protecting Louisianas coast

50 Million Years Ago

restoring and protecting Louisianas coast

40 Million Years Ago

30 Million Years Ago

20 Million Years Ago

10 Million Years Ago

Today

Mississippi River & Tributaries (MRT)

Processes that continues today

The Atchafalaya and Wax Lake

restoring and protecting Louisianas coast

Louisiana is Experiencing a Coastal Crisis

1,883 square miles lost since the 1930s

Currently losing over 16 square miles per year

Louisiana is Experiencing a Coastal Crisis

Predicted Land Change Over Next 50 Years

Potential to lose an additional 800 1,750 square miles of land over the next 50 years

Louisiana is Experiencing a Coastal Crisis

Projected Land Change 2012-2061

Currently experiencing -16 square miles/year

Future could reach -51 square miles/year

Our Communities and Livelihoods at Risk

Predicted Future Flooding from a 100 Year Flood Event Future Without Action

Potential for damages to reach $7.7 to $23.4 billion annually Increasing threats to lives, jobs, communities and the economy

Responding to the Crisis Louisianas Coastal Program: Past and Present

This map shows projects that have been constructed and projects that are funded for construction

Why Do We Need Another Plan?

Legislatively required five year update to the first coastal master plan published in 2007

Built on World Class Science and Engineering

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Science and Engineering Board

Ecosystem Science / Coastal Ecology William Dennison, University of Maryland Edward Houde, University of Maryland Katherine Ewel, University of Florida Engineering Robert Dalrymple, Johns Hopkins University Jos Dijkman, Dijkman Delft Geosciences Charles Groat, University of Texas at Austin Social Science and Risk Greg Baecher, University of Maryland Philip Berke, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill Climate Change Virginia Burkett, U.S. Geological Survey Environmental/Natural Resource Economics Edward Barbier, University of Wyoming

Technical Advisory Committees

Predictive Models Steve Ashby, USACE Eng. Res. Dev. Center John Callaway, University of San Francisco Fred Sklar, South Florida Water Mgmt. District Si Simenstad, University of Washington Planning Tool John Boland, John Hopkins Ben Hobbs, John Hopkins Len Shabman, Virginia Tech Cultural Heritage Don Davis, Louisiana State University Maida Owens, LA Dept. of Culture, Recreation, and Tourism Carl Brasseaux, University of Louisiana Lafayette

Predictive Models Team

Predictive Model Ecohydrology Vegetation Wetland Morphology Ecosystem Services Storm Surge Storm Damage/Risk Data Integration Technical Advisor Lead Dr. Ehab Meselhe, ULL + 9 members Dr. Jenneke Visser, ULL + 8 members Dr. Greg Steyer, USGS + 6 members Dr. Andy Nyman, LSU + 8 members Dr. Joe Suhayda, Arcadis + 3 members Dr. Jordan Fischbach, RAND + 7 members Craig Conzelmann and USGS team Dr. Denise Reed

Barrier Island Morphology Dr. Mark Kulp, UNO + 6 members

Using New Tools, Breaking New Ground

Evaluation of Hundreds of Existing Projects

Nonstructural Measure

Nearly 400 Projects Evaluated Across the Coast

Decision Drivers
Flood Risk Reduction and Land Built/Maintained as Decision Drivers
Risk Reduction Restoration

Expected Annual Damages

Land Area

Setting a Budget

$20-$50 BILLION OVER NEXT 50 YEARS

Factors in Making Decision

Decision Criteria and Ecosystem Services Risk Reduction
Distribution of flood risk across socioeconomic groups Flood protection of historic properties Oyster Shrimp Freshwater Availability Alligator Waterfowl Saltwater Fisheries Freshwater Fisheries Carbon Sequestration Nitrogen Removal Agriculture/Aquaculture Other Coastal Wildlife Nature-Based Tourism

Expected Annual Damages

Flood protection of strategic assets Operation and maintenance costs Sustainability Support for navigation Use of natural processes

Restoration

Land Area

Support for cultural heritage Support for oil & gas

Land Building Experiments

4900
Land in the Coastal Study Area (Square Miles)

Land Building Over Time For 50 Years (Moderate Conditions)

Maximize Land

4800 4700 4600 4500 4400 4300 4200 4100

Future Without Action

Multiple Small Diversions No Diversions

2012

2021

2031

2041

2051

2061

Public Input and Review

Extensive Public Review and Input

Parish Official Group Briefings CPRA and Governors Advisory Commission Presentations Regional Community Meetings Focus Group Meetings Framework Development Team Participants Presentations to Civic or Professional Groups Attendees at Regional Community Meetings

Focus Groups
Key industries are impacted by land loss and large scale protection and restoration efforts Created three focus groups: Navigation Fisheries Oil and Gas

Framework Development Team

Over 30 Federal, State, NGO, Academic, Community, and Industry Organizations

Recently Completed Public Meetings

2012 COASTAL MASTER PLAN

Open Houses & Public Hearings

outreach & engagement stats since plan released on 1/12

meetings/ briefings

750

Attendees

Provided at Public Meetings

120 Public Comments

Presentations/ Briefings to Civic, Community, or Industry Organizations

55

Total Public Comments Received

2,200+

RECAP: 2012 Coastal Master Plan

DRAFT Plan released for public review on 1/12/12 Built on world class science and engineering Evaluated hundreds of existing project concepts Resource constrained Funding, water, sediment Identified investments that will pay off, not just for us, but for our children and grandchildren
State of Louisiana The Honorable Bobby Jindal, Governor

Louisianas Comprehensive Master Plan for a Sustainable Coast

committed to our coast

DRAFT JAN 2012

State of Louisiana The Honorable Bobby Jindal, Governor

Louisianas Comprehensive Master Plan for a Sustainable Coast

committed to our coast

DRAFT JAN 2012

What the Draft Master Plan Delivers

Provide some level of protection for every coastal community Invests in restoring barrier islands, headlands, and shorelines as first lines of defense against storms

DRAFT 2012 Coastal Master Plan

145 Projects Totaling Approximately $50 Billion over 50 Years

A Closer Look: Southwest Coast

Restoration: Restore wetlands and chenier ridges while limiting saltwater intrusion. Maintain and increase, where possible, the input of fresh water to maintain a balance among saline and fresh wetlands. Protection: Levees are proposed for the Lake Charles and Abbeville areas. Nonstructural measures are proposed for less populated areas. Restoration of chenier ridges and healthy wetlands contribute additional storm protection.

A Closer Look: Southwest Coast

A Closer Look: Central Coast

Restoration: Maintain the land building capacity of the Atchafalaya region, while increasing the use of sediment and water east to Terrebonne Parish to sustain the coastal ecosystem. Rebuild barrier islands and ridges. Protection: Levee protection is proposed for Morgan City, Houma, Franklin, and New Iberia. Nonstructural protection measures are proposed for less populated areas. Restoration of the barrier islands, marshes, and ridges contribute additional protection.

A Closer Look: Central Coast

A Closer Look: Southeast Coast

Restoration: Use sediment and water from the Mississippi River to maintain and rebuild land. Sustain a diversity of coastal habitats including cypress swamps, marshes, ridges, and barrier islands. Protection: Sustain key levee protection systems, such as Greater New Orleans area and Larose to Golden Meadow. New levees are proposed for larger, at risk communities, such as LaPlace and Slidell. Nonstructural protection measures are proposed for all parishes in the area.

A Closer Look: Southeast Coast

Investing in Land Building

Keystone of the 2012 Master Plan: Reconnecting the River

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Next Steps
MAR 21 CPRA Reviews Final Plan MAR 26 Plan Submitted to Legislature

Questions?