Technical Papers

Modeling Expert Judgment for Reliability PredictionComparison of Methods .............................................................1

Alexandra Mannhart, Ali Bilgic, Bernd Bertsche
Reliability Analysis of Phased-mission Systems: A Correct Approach .............................................................................7
Kenneth E. Murphy, Charles M. Carter, Anthony W. Malerich
Realistic Reliability Requirements for the Stresses in Use...............................................................................................13
M. Krasich
Electronic Failures and Monitoring Strategies in Automotive Control Units...................................................................17
Karsten Pickard, Tobias Leopold, Peter Mller, Bernd Bertsche
What is 217PlusTM and Where Did It Come From? .........................................................................................................22
David Nicholls
A Diagnostics Design Decision Model for Products under Warranty ..............................................................................28
Zhi-Jie Liu, Hong-Zhong Huang, Wei Chen, Bo Yang
Simulation and Calculation of Reliability Performance and Maintenance Costs .............................................................34
Per-Erik Hagmark, Seppo Virtanen
Modeling and Optimization of Extended Warranties Using Probabilistic Design ...........................................................41
Sameer Vittal, Randolph Phillips
Embedded Diagnostics Enable Military Ground Vehicle Autonomic Logistics ..............................................................48
Jeffrey Banks, Ed Crow
Real Time Consequence Engine.......................................................................................................................................53
Daniel Briand, James E. Campbell
Energetic Material/Systems Prognostics ..........................................................................................................................59
David K. Han, Michael G. Pecht, Davinder K. Anand, Robert Kavetsky
Electronic Prognostics for Computer Servers...................................................................................................................65
Aleksey Urmanov
Dynamic Reliability Block Diagrams VS Dynamic Fault Trees ......................................................................................71
Salvatore Distefano, Antonio Puliafito
Fault Tree Analysis Based on Fuzzy Logic ......................................................................................................................77
Li-Ping He, Hong-Zhong Huang, Ming J. Zuo
Automated Fault Tree Generation: Bridging Reliability with Text Mining .....................................................................83
Saikat Mukherjee, Amit Chakraborty
Developing System-level Maintenance Policies Using Stochastic Petri Nets with Aging Tokens ..................................89
Vitali Volovoi
Cost Benefit Analysis for Asset Health Management Technology ..................................................................................95
Jeffrey Banks, John Merenich
Prognostics Implementation Methods for Electronics....................................................................................................101
Jie Gu, Nikhil Vichare, Terry Tracy, Michael Pecht
Integrated Management of System Health in Space Applications..................................................................................107
Karl Reichard, Ed Crow, Tim Bair
Diagnostics to PrognosticsA Product Availability Technology Evolution.................................................................113
Keith M. Janasak, Raymond R. Beshears
Reliability Block Diagram ModelingComparisons of Three Software Packages.......................................................119
Aron Brall, William Hagen, Hung Tran
The Exponential Repair Assumption: Practical Impacts ................................................................................................125
Charles M. Carter, Anthony W. Malerich

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Use of the Weibull versus Exponential to Model Part Reliability..................................................................................131

William R. Wessels
Event-sequence AnalysisIt's How You Think!...........................................................................................................136
Ted W. Yellman
Modelling R&M in Performance Based ContractsWhen Does Risk Equal Reward?.................................................142
Andrew Jacopino
Probabilistic Risk Assessment: A Practical and Cost Effective Approach.....................................................................147
Lydia Lam Lee, Antonino J. Ingegneri, Ming Li, David F. Everett
New Approach to Create Future High Reliability NASA Launch Vehicle Systems ......................................................152
Jeffrey J. Rusick
Reliability-related Requirements in Software-intensive Systems...................................................................................155
Myron Hecht, Karen Owens, Joanne Tagami
The Personification of Reliability, Safety, and Security.................................................................................................161
John B. Bowles
How to Close the Gap between Hardware and Software Using FMEA .........................................................................167
Nematollah Bidokhti
Early Software Reliability Prediction Using CauseEffect Graphing Analysis .............................................................173
Wende Kong, Ying Shi, Carol S. Smidts
Early Reliability and Failure Analysis of Cordless Personal Communication Systems .................................................179
David E. Verbitsky
Modeling and Evaluating the Reliability of Wireless Sensor Networks ........................................................................186
Akhilesh Shrestha, Liudong Xing, Hong Liu
Capacitated Reliability for Ad-hoc Networks ................................................................................................................192
Jason L. Cook, Jose Emmanuel RamirezMarquez
Complex Networks Vulnerability: A Multiple-objective Optimization Approach.........................................................196
Enrico Zio, Claudio M. Rocco S., Daniel E. Salazar A., Gonzalo Mller
Reliability Estimation in Random Environment: Different Approaches ........................................................................202
Sorin Voiculescu, Fabrice Gurin, Miheala Barreau, Abdrafi Charki
Modeling Failure Reduction for Combinational Logic using Gate Level NMR ............................................................208
Drew C. Ness, Christian J. Hescott, David J. Lilja
Markov Chain Simulation for Estimating Accelerated Life Model Parameters .............................................................214
Mohammadreza Azarkhail, Mohammad Modarres
Data Collection and Reliability Analysis of Aged Electronic Devices ..........................................................................220
E. Soto-Campos, J. Marcos-Acevedo, S. Fernndez-Gmez, R. lvarez-Santos
On the Development of Fault Injection Profiles .............................................................................................................226
Bing Huang, Manuel Rodrguez, Ming Li, Carol Smidts
Assessing Diagnostic Techniques for Fault Tolerance in Software ...............................................................................232
Guillermo Gallardo, John May, Julio C. Gallardo
Leveraging Design Patterns and Design of Experiments for Testing Software..............................................................238
Ken Araujo, John B. Bowles
Identifying Control Redundancy for Computer Interface Analysis................................................................................244
Tom Woodbridge
Optimized Allocation of Testing Budget for Missile Defense Vehicle ..........................................................................250
Ryan Turner
HDD Micro-actuator Reliability Study...........................................................................................................................254
Mingxiao Jiang, Todd Bordson, Neal Gunderson, Bruce Lawrence

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Efficient Reliability Predictions of Particle-induced Failures in HDDs .........................................................................259

Loon-Ching Tang, Shao-Wei Lam, Quock-Y Ng, Jing-Shi Goh
Time-varying Multi-stress ALT for Modeling Life of Outdoor Optical Products..........................................................265
Chung F. Lam, Huairui Guo, Lance Larson
Virtual Qualification of IC Sockets Using Probabilistic Engineering Methods .............................................................271
Leon Lopez, Swami Nathan
Can Failure Modes and Effects Analysis Assure a Reliable Product? ...........................................................................277
Milena Krasich
Predicting Customer Integration Fallout Based on Producer's Final Quality Audit .......................................................282
Feng-Bin Sun
A Design Margin Index for MTBF and Ao ....................................................................................................................288
Joseph A. Dzekevich, Jeffrey Garretson
Uncertainty Analysis of Weibull Estimators for Interval-censored Data .......................................................................292
Sameer Vittal, Randolph Phillips
Incorporating Distribution Parameter Uncertainty in Reliability Calculation ................................................................298
Satchi Venkataraman, William C. Strack, Vinod Nagpal, Shantaram S. Pai
PER: A Process Control Methodology for Development Testing ..................................................................................305
Larry H. Crow
Updating a User Friendly Combined Lifetime Failure Distribution...............................................................................311
Daniel Briand, James E. Campbell, Aparna V. Huzurbazar
Joint Optimization of Inventory Control and Maintenance Policy .................................................................................317
Wei Li, Ming J. Zuo
Estimate of Warranty Costs Based on Research of the Customers Behavior................................................................323
Zdenek Vintr, Michal Vintr
Availability under Age Replacement with Distinct Service Time Distributions............................................................329
William P. Murdock Jr., Joel A. Nachlas
Decision Automation for Predictive Analysis Models ...................................................................................................335
Tariq Assaf, Joanne Bechta Dugan
An Innovative European Rail Industry Safety Management System .............................................................................341
Jacques J. Durand, Stphane Romei
Early Detection of Reliability Changes for a NonPoisson Life Model Using Field Failure Data ..................................346
Bahman Honari, John Donovan
Forecasting Fleet Warranty Returns using Modified Reliability Growth Analysis ........................................................350
Gianni Bettini, Rosalba Giansante, Mario Tucci
Does Hard Disk Drive Failure Rate Enter SteadyState after One Year? ......................................................................356
Feng-Bin Sun, Shaoang Zhang
Practical Application of Bayesian Reliability Demonstration ........................................................................................362
Scott W. Yates
Future Combat SystemIntegrated Computer System RAM-T Case Study.................................................................368
Melvin E. Graf, Stephen N. Stewart
Methodology to Predict Product Reliability under Repeated Random Loading.............................................................374
Srikanth V. Thiruppukuzhi, Zeynel Arslanoglu
Modeling and Analysis of the Reliability of Systems with One-shot Items ...................................................................380
Zdenek Vintr, David Valis
Structural Reliability Methods for Improved Designs against Fatigue...........................................................................386
Clifford H. Lange, Ayako Flint

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Reliability and Degradation Modeling with Random or Uncertain Failure Threshold ..................................................392
Peng Wang, David W. Coit
Optimal Modular Redundancy Using Hierarchical Genetic Algorithms........................................................................398
Ranjan Kumar, Kazuhiro Izui, Masataka Yoshimura, Shinji Nishiwaki
Time to Failure Behavior under a Stochastic Deterioration Model ................................................................................405
Yisha Xiang, C. Richard Cassady
The Application of NASA Risk Management to the SOFIA Program...........................................................................410
Koushik Datta
Accident Analysis of Protective Systems Based on System Control Concepts..............................................................414
Takehisa Kohda
An Efficient Algorithm to Analyze New Imperfect Fault Coverage Models .................................................................420
Suprasad V. Amari, Albert Myers, Antoine Rauzy
Computer Systems and Information SSR: A Unified Approach for Decision Making ..................................................427
Dov Shirtz, Zigmund Bluvband, Yuval Elovici, Peretz Shoval
Improving Storage Subsystem ReliabilityA Case Study ............................................................................................434
Jimmy Yang, John Harting
An Aging Hypothesis Test for Army Systems ...............................................................................................................440
John Nierwinski Jr., Douglas Pollack, Rashmi Ankam
Improved Reliability Using Accelerated Degradation and Design of Experiments .......................................................446
Huairui Guo, Adamantios Mettas
Development of a Mechanical Component Failure Database.........................................................................................451
William M. Goble, Julia V. Bukowski
Feasibility of Application of Alife Framework for Defining Reliability Models...........................................................456
Brian Douglas Haan
Quadruple A Model: Reliability Growth over Product Generations...........................................................................462
P. K. Au, Stephen Yu Chiu Ma, Darryl Bacheldor
Game Theory in Strategy Development of Reliability and Risk Management ..............................................................467
David J. Auda
Part Marking and Material Applications on Safety-critical and High Cost Parts ...........................................................473
Patrick W. Jemison, Christopher M. Goes
Quantitative Determination of Maintenance Concepts for COTS-based Systems .........................................................478
Michele L. Hanna
The Importance of Maintenance PlanningA Case Study ............................................................................................482
Meng-Lai Yin, Rafael R. Arellano
Failure Time Based Reliability Growth in Product Development and Manufacturing...................................................488
Tongdan Jin, Haitao Liao, Wen Luo
Improved Criticality Analysis of Railway Locomotive Components by Simulation .....................................................494
Ping Gao, Su Wu, Zhonghua Cheng

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