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RMIT Risk Management Procedure

TABLE 1: Likelihood and Consequence Criteria


Moderate Moderate Low Low Low Rare High High Moderate Low Low Unlikely

Catastrophic / Outstanding Major

Very High
High Moderate Moderate Low

Very High Very High


High Moderate Low Likely

Very High Very High


High Moderate Low Almost Certain

Consequence

Moderate Minor Insignificant

Likelihood

Possible

Consequence
The following definitions have been used to describe the consequences of a risk occurring: (1) Catastrophic Financial impact exceeds $30M / 10% of project budget / Outstanding Multiple deaths Very high client sensitivity Irreparable damage to University s image and reputation Cessation of business due to non-compliance with regulations Business and Strategic objectives unable to be achieved (1) Major Financial impact $20M-$30M / 5-10% of project budget Single death and/or multiple significant injuries Significant client sensitivity Significant damage to University s image and reputation Restriction of business due by regulators Significant impact on Business and Strategic objectives Moderate Financial impact $5M-$20M / 1-5% of project budget Multiple injuries Moderate client sensitivity Medium damage to University s image and reputation Fines and penalties by regulators (e.g. delay in payment to client) Moderate impact on Business and Strategic objectives (1) Financial impact less than $5M / 1% of project budget Single injury Low impact on client sensitivity Minimal damage to University s image and reputation Censure by regulators Minimal impact on Business and Strategic objectives Risk consequences are dealt with by routine operations Risk consequences are dealt with routine operations
(1)

Likelihood
The following definitions have been used to describe positive outcomes / opportunities : Huge financial gain (exceeding $30M) Significantly enhanced image and reputation Significantly exceeds Business and Strategic objectives The following definitions should be used to describe the likelihood of the risk / opportunity occurring. Almost The event is expected to occur in most Certain circumstances Risk has more than a 75% chance of occurring Will occur within the next six months

Major financial gain ($20M-$30M) Enhanced image and reputation Significant contribution towards achieving Business and Strategic objectives

Likely

The event will probably occur in most circumstances Risk has 50-74% chance of occurring Will occur within 18 months

High financial gain ($5M-$20M) Some enhancement to reputation Moderate contribution towards achieving Business and Strategic objectives

Possible

The event could occur at some time Risk has 25-49% chance of occurring Will occur within 36 months

Minor

Some financial gain (< $5M) Minor improvement to image and reputation Minor contribution to Business and Strategic Objectives

Unlikely

The event is unlikely to occur Risk has less than 25% chance of occurring May occur within 48 months

Insignificant

Small benefit Low financial gain

Rare

The event may only occur in exceptional circumstances Not likely to occur within next five years

Note (1): Financial impact is on net revenue after insurance coverage (if any). In the case of service groups, measure is on net expenditure.

Document: Consequence likelihood and matrix Author: Darren Bass Save Date: 01/12/2010 Page 1 of 1

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