SIMULATION AND MODELLING-2009

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Explain continuous and discrete types of system with suitable examples. Define a model and write the process of modeling. What is meant by a mathematical model of real situation? Discuss the importance of models. (b) How can you compare model data with real system? Explain it with suitable example. (a) Find the value of -experimentally by simulation. (b) Write the methodology of simulation. (a) Write general procedure of Monte-Carlo method of simulation. (b) Write a note on simulation of a time sharing computer system. (a) Describe role of DYNAMO in simulation. (b) Write a brief introduction to important simulation languages. A bakery keeps stock of popular brand of bread. Previous experience indicates the daily demand as given below : Daily Demand Probability 0 0.01 10 0.20 20 0.15 30 0.50 40 0.12 50 0.02 Consider the following sequence of random numbers 48, 78, 19, 51, 56, 77, 15, 14, 68, 9 Using above sequence, simulate the demand for the next 10 days. (i) (ii) Find out the stock situation if the owner of the bakery decides to make 30 breads everyday, Estimate the daily average demand for the bread on the basis of simulated data. 1.