Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
Total
Rm - Rm' Rm - Rm' ^ 2
Rm
11347.66 -0.05612828 -0.18489 0.034184041
12022.46
0.28076728 0.152006 0.023105914
9386.92
0.60049514 0.471734 0.222533112
5865.01 -0.583366958 -0.71213 0.507126208
14077.16 0.402037747 0.273277 0.074680188
10040.5 0.050634064 -0.07813 0.006103816
9556.61 0.536827801 0.408067 0.166518526
6218.4
0.39064317 0.261882 0.068582278
4471.6 0.655283722 0.526523 0.277226192
2701.41 1.121981682 0.993221 0.986487351
1273.06 -0.155566169 -0.28433 0.080841931
1507.59
3.243609201 1.827238 2.447389556
Market Index
16000
14000
12000
10000
8000
Market Index
6000
4000
2000
0
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
Market Return
6000
4000
2000
0
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
-2000
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
Mean Return
(Rm')=
0.128760986
This is the arithmetic average of daily returns of market of the past 5 years. We are using this mean as the
expected future returns from this security because this is the best estimate that we can make from
historical data.
Variance=
E(R - R') ^ 2 / n
= 0.489477911
Standard Deviation=
=
SQRT (Variance)
0.69962698
9.28%
3%
Hub Power
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
Total
34.2
37.41
31.08
14.09
30.5
27.6
24
32.1
38.45
40.1
15.5
19.95
R - R'
(R - R')(Rm - Rm')
Return
R - R' ^ 2
-0.085805934 -0.26273
0.04857533 0.069025271
0.203667954 0.026747
0.004065755 0.000715417
1.20581973 1.028899
0.485366825 1.058633265
-0.538032787 -0.71495
0.509138339 0.511158453
0.105072464 -0.07185
-0.019634447 0.005162166
0.15 -0.02692
0.00210323 0.000724723
-0.252336449 -0.42926
-0.175165588 0.184261679
-0.165149545 -0.34207
-0.089582096 0.117012036
-0.041147132 -0.21807
-0.114817659 0.047553569
1.587096774 1.410176
1.400616086 1.988596629
-0.223057644 -0.39998
0.113724697 0.159982656
1.946127431
2.164390472 4.142825863
40
35
30
25
Share Price
20
15
10
5
0
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
Return Trend
2
1.5
1
0.5
Return
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
-0.5
-1
Share Price
20
Return
15
10
5
0
-5
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
Mean Return
(R') =
0.176920676
This is the arithmetic average of daily returns from this security of the past 5 years. We are using this
mean as the expected future returns from this security because this is the best estimate that we can make
from historical data.
Variance=
=
E(R - R') ^ 2 / n
0.376620533
Standard Deviation=
SQRT (Variance)
= 0.613694169
This is the risk of the security.
Coefficient of
Variation=
Standard Deviation / Mean Return
= 3.468753254
This is the risk per unit of return of this security. An individual security among many securities is selected
on this basis. The lower the Coefficient of Variance is, the lower is the risk per unit of return.
Beta=
=
Cov-i,m / Var-m
0.401984984
The beta of this security is between 0 and 1. This meas that the risk of the security is less than the risk of
the market and the security movement is in the same direction as of the market.
Covariance
with market= E [ (Ri-Ri') * (Rm-Rm') ] / n
=
0.19676277
RRR using
CAPM=
=
Rf + (Rp)B
10.48%
The required rate of return is the same as the risk free rate of return. This is because the beta is 0.
Unilever
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
Total
R - R'
(R - R')(Rm - Rm')
Return
R - R' ^ 2
5,565.80 0.276509861 0.059183
-0.01094224 0.003502588
4,360.17 0.895726087 0.678399
0.103120902 0.46022506
2,300.00 0.272327973 0.055001
0.025945747 0.003025086
1,807.71 -0.207162124 -0.42449
0.302290704 0.180191179
2,280.05
0.140025
-0.0773
-0.021124893 0.005975629
2,000.00 0.126760563 -0.09057
0.007075692 0.008202314
1,775.00 0.203389831 -0.01394
-0.005687375 0.00019425
1,475.00 0.018646409 -0.19868
-0.052030958 0.039474054
1,448.00 0.196694215 -0.02063
-0.010863732 0.00042572
1,210.00 0.592105263 0.374778
0.372237336 0.140458602
760 -0.124423963 -0.34175
0.097169134 0.116793852
868
2.390599115
0.807190317 0.958468335
Share Price"
2,000.00
1,000.00
0.00
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
Return Trend
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
Return
0.2
0
-0.2
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
-0.4
4,000.00
3,000.00
Share Price
2,000.00
Return
1,000.00
0.00
-1,000.00
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
Mean Return
(R') =
0.217327192
This is the arithmetic average of daily returns from this security of the past 5 years. We are using this
mean as the expected future returns from this security because this is the best estimate that we can make
from historical data.
Variance=
=
E(R - R') ^ 2 / n
0.087133485
Standard Deviation=
SQRT (Variance)
= 0.295183816
This is the risk of the security.
Coefficient of
Variation=
Standard Deviation / Mean Return
=
1.35824612
This is the risk per unit of return of this security. An individual security among many securities is selected
on this basis. The lower the Coefficient of Variance is, the lower is the risk per unit of return.
Beta=
=
Cov-i,m / Var-m
0.149916751
The beta of this security is between 0 and 1. This meas that the risk of the security is less than the risk of
the market and the security movement is in the same direction as of the market.
Covariance
with market= E [ (Ri-Ri') * (Rm-Rm') ] / n
= 0.073380938
RRR using
CAPM=
Rf + (Rp)B
=
9.73%
The required rate of return is the same as the risk free rate of return. This is because the is 0.
Nestle Pakistan
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
Total
R - R'
(R - R')(Rm - Rm')
Return
R - R' ^ 2
3,597.11 0.514661917 0.129585
-0.023958878 0.016792276
2,374.86 0.906048348 0.520971
0.079190939 0.271411246
1,245.96 -0.065646794 -0.45072
-0.212621762 0.203151852
1,333.50 -0.259166667 -0.64424
0.458783849 0.415049778
1,800.00
0.8 0.414923
0.11338884 0.172161176
1,000.00 0.298701299 -0.08638
0.00674826 0.007460745
770 0.480911626 0.095835
0.03910697 0.009184294
519.95 0.382845745 -0.00223
-0.000584301 4.97807E-06
376 0.720823799 0.335747
0.176778374 0.112725978
218.5 0.456666667 0.07159
0.071104434 0.005125094
150
0 -0.38508
0.10948782 0.148284222
150
4.235845939
-5.6E-16
0.817424545 1.361351638
3,500.00
3,000.00
2,500.00
2,000.00
Share Price
1,500.00
1,000.00
500.00
0.00
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
Return Trend
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
Return
0.2
0
-0.2
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
-0.4
3,000.00
2,500.00
2,000.00
Share Price
1,500.00
Return
1,000.00
500.00
0.00
-500.00
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
Mean Return
(R') =
0.385076904
This is the arithmetic average of daily returns from this security of the past 5 years. We are using this
mean as the expected future returns from this security because this is the best estimate that we can make
from historical data.
Variance=
=
E(R - R') ^ 2 / n
0.12375924
Standard Deviation=
SQRT (Variance)
= 0.351794315
This is the risk of the security.
Coefficient of
Variation=
Standard Deviation / Mean Return
= 0.913568982
This is the risk per unit of return of this security. An individual security among many securities is selected
on this basis. The lower the Coefficient of Variance is, the lower is the risk per unit of return.
Beta=
=
Cov-i,m / Var-m
0.151817519
The beta of this security is between 0 and 1. This meas that the risk of the security is less than the risk of
the market and the security movement is in the same direction as of the market.
Covariance
with market= E [ (Ri-Ri') * (Rm-Rm') ] / n
= 0.074311322
RRR using
CAPM=
=
Rf + (Rp)B
9.73%
The required rate of return is the same as the risk free rate of return. This is because the is very near to 0.
Bata
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
Total
R - R'
(R - R')(Rm - Rm')
Return
R - R' ^ 2
818.4
0.18754988
-0.3302
0.061050831 0.109033452
689.15 -0.296067416 -0.81382
-0.123705676 0.662302071
979 0.310575636 -0.20718
-0.097732175 0.042922053
747 0.538778453 0.021026
-0.014973512 0.000442111
485.45 2.595925926 2.078174
0.567916635 4.318806792
135
0.5 -0.01775
0.001386911 0.000315134
90 0.267605634 -0.25015
-0.102076438 0.062573213
71 0.392156863
-0.1256
-0.032891134 0.015774143
51 0.616481775 0.09873
0.051983462 0.009747565
31.55
0.37173913 -0.14601
-0.145023022 0.021319763
23 0.210526316 -0.30723
0.08735261 0.094387632
19
5.695272197
0.25328849 5.337623929
Share Price
400
200
0
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
Return Trend
3
2.5
2
1.5
Return
1
0.5
0
-0.5
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
1000
800
600
Share Price
400
Return
200
0
-200
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
Mean Return
(R') =
0.517752018
This is the arithmetic average of daily returns from this security of the past 5 years. We are using this
mean as the expected future returns from this security because this is the best estimate that we can make
from historical data.
Variance=
=
E(R - R') ^ 2 / n
0.485238539
Standard Deviation=
SQRT (Variance)
= 0.696590654
This is the risk of the security.
Coefficient of
Variation=
Standard Deviation / Mean Return
= 1.345413692
This is the risk per unit of return of this security. An individual security among many securities is selected
on this basis. The lower the Coefficient of Variance is, the lower is the risk per unit of return.
Beta=
=
Cov-i,m / Var-m
0.047042422
The beta of this security is between 0 and 1. This meas that the risk of the security is less than the risk of
the market and the security movement is in the same direction as of the market.
Covariance
with market= E [ (Ri-Ri') * (Rm-Rm') ] / n
= 0.023026226
RRR using
CAPM=
=
Rf + (Rp)B
9.42%
The required rate of return is the same as the risk free rate of return. This is because the is 0.
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
Total
R - R'
(R - R')(Rm - Rm')
Return
R - R' ^ 2
2,513.28 0.191201354 -0.10207
0.018871684 0.010418325
2,109.87 0.420787879 0.127516
0.019383285 0.016260414
1,485.00 -0.376422471 -0.66969
-0.315917542 0.448490082
2,381.42 0.056062084 -0.23721
0.168923489 0.056268331
2,255.00 1.505555556 1.212284
0.331289047 1.469632509
900 0.285714286 -0.00756
0.000590426 5.71122E-05
700 0.129032258 -0.16424
-0.067020605 0.026974545
620
0.24 -0.05327
-0.01395087 0.002837858
500 0.612903226 0.319632
0.168293344 0.102164408
310 0.033333333 -0.25994
-0.258176017 0.067567877
300 0.127819549 -0.16545
0.047042497 0.027374365
266
3.225987053
0.099328737 2.228045826
3,000.00
2,500.00
2,000.00
Share Price
1,500.00
1,000.00
500.00
0.00
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
Return Trend
2
1.5
1
Return
0.5
0
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
-0.5
1500
Return
1000
Share Price
500
0
-500
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
Mean Return
(R') =
0.29327155
This is the arithmetic average of daily returns from this security of the past 5 years. We are using this
mean as the expected future returns from this security because this is the best estimate that we can make
from historical data.
Variance=
=
E(R - R') ^ 2 / n
0.202549621
Standard Deviation=
SQRT (Variance)
= 0.450055131
This is the risk of the security.
Coefficient of
Variation=
Standard Deviation / Mean Return
= 1.534602078
This is the risk per unit of return of this security. An individual security among many securities is selected
on this basis. The lower the Coefficient of Variance is, the lower is the risk per unit of return.
Beta=
=
Cov-i,m / Var-m
0.018447993
The beta of this security is between 0 and 1. This meas that the risk of the security is less than the risk of
the market and the security movement is in the same direction as of the market.
Covariance
with market= E [ (Ri-Ri') * (Rm-Rm') ] / n
= 0.009029885
RRR using
CAPM=
=
Rf + (Rp)B
9.33%
The required rate of return is the same as the risk free rate of return. This is because the is 0.
Standard Deviation
0.176920676
0.217327192
0.385076904
0.517752018
0.29327155
Bata
Coefficient of Variance
0.613694169
0.295183816
0.351794315
0.696590654
0.450055131
Unilever
Beta
3.468753254
1.35824612
0.913568982
1.345413692
1.534602078
Nestle
RRR
0.401984984 10.48%
0.149916751 9.73%
0.151817519 9.73%
0.047042422 9.42%
0.018447993 9.33%
Rafhan Maize
Because it has
the lowest risk
Because it has the lowest as compared
Coefficient of Variation
to the market
4
3.5
3
2.5
Mean Return
Standard Deviation
Coefficient of Variance
Beta
1.5
RRR
1
0.5
0
Hub Power
Unilever
Nestle
Bata
Rafhan Maize
0.5
0.5
Variance=
[(W1*SD1)+(W2*SD2)+2(W1*W2*COV)]
=
0.505089445
Standard Deviation=
=
SQRT (Variance)
0.710696451
Covariance=
=
Total
19.71%
( R1 - R1' )
0
71.07%
E [ (R1-R1') * (R2-R2') ] / n
0.101300906
( R2 - R2' )
0
Correlation=
= Covariance / (SD 1 * SD 2)
0.559202097
The correlation of Hub Power & Unilever is approximately 0.6. This means that these two securities are
moderately correlated, they move moderately in the same direction.
0.5
0.5
Variance=
28.10%
[(W1*SD1)+(W2*SD2)+2(W1*W2*COV)]
=
0.486864442
Standard Deviation=
=
SQRT (Variance)
0.697756721
Covariance=
=
Total
( R1 - R1' )
0
69.78%
E [ (R1-R1') * (R2-R2') ] / n
0.0082404
( R2 - R2' )
-5.55112E-16
Correlation=
= Covariance / (SD 1 * SD 2)
0.03816871
The correlation of Hub Power & Unilever is approximately 0.04 This means that these two securities
are slightly correlated, they move slightly in the same direction.
0.5
0.5
Variance=
34.73%
[(W1*SD1)+(W2*SD2)+2(W1*W2*COV)]
=
0.643039829
Standard Deviation=
=
SQRT (Variance)
0.801897642
Covariance=
=
Total
( R1 - R1' )
0
80.19%
E [ (R1-R1') * (R2-R2') ] / n
-0.024205166
( R2 - R2' )
0
Correlation=
= Covariance / (SD 1 * SD 2)
-0.056621115
The correlation of Hub Power & Unilever is approximately -0.06. This means that these two securities
are slightly negatively correlated, they move slightly in the opposite direction.
0.5
0.5
Variance=
23.51%
[(W1*SD1)+(W2*SD2)+2(W1*W2*COV)]
=
0.492898156
Standard Deviation=
=
SQRT (Variance)
0.702067059
Covariance=
=
Total
( R1 - R1' )
0
70.21%
E [ (R1-R1') * (R2-R2') ] / n
-0.077952988
( R2 - R2' )
0
Correlation=
= Covariance / (SD 1 * SD 2)
-0.282237717
The correlation of Hub Power & Unilever is approximately -0.3. This means that these two securities
have low negative correlation, they move weakly in the opposite direction.
0.5
0.5
Variance=
30.12%
[(W1*SD1)+(W2*SD2)+2(W1*W2*COV)]
=
0.356949937
Standard Deviation=
=
SQRT (Variance)
0.597452874
Covariance=
=
Total
( R1 - R1' )
0
59.75%
E [ (R1-R1') * (R2-R2') ] / n
0.066921743
( R2 - R2' )
-5.55112E-16
Correlation=
= Covariance / (SD 1 * SD 2)
0.768037032
The correlation of Hub Power & Unilever is approximately 0.8. This means that these two securities are
highly correlated, they move strongly in the same direction.
0.5
0.5
Variance=
36.75%
[(W1*SD1)+(W2*SD2)+2(W1*W2*COV)]
=
0.465236257
Standard Deviation=
=
SQRT (Variance)
0.682082295
Covariance=
=
Total
( R1 - R1' )
0
68.21%
E [ (R1-R1') * (R2-R2') ] / n
-0.061301956
( R2 - R2' )
0
Correlation=
= Covariance / (SD 1 * SD 2)
-0.298128949
The correlation of Hub Power & Unilever is approximately -0.3. This means that these two securities
have low negative correlation, they move weakly in the opposite direction.
0.5
0.5
Variance=
25.53%
[(W1*SD1)+(W2*SD2)+2(W1*W2*COV)]
=
0.373378563
Standard Deviation=
=
SQRT (Variance)
0.611047104
Covariance=
=
Total
( R1 - R1' )
0
61.10%
E [ (R1-R1') * (R2-R2') ] / n
0.00151818
( R2 - R2' )
0
Correlation=
= Covariance / (SD 1 * SD 2)
0.01142786
The correlation of Hub Power & Unilever is approximately 0.01. This means that these two have a low
correlation, they move weakly in the same direction.
0.5
0.5
Variance=
45.14%
[(W1*SD1)+(W2*SD2)+2(W1*W2*COV)]
=
0.551201172
Standard Deviation=
=
SQRT (Variance)
0.742429237
Covariance=
=
Total
74.24%
E [ (R1-R1') * (R2-R2') ] / n
0.054017376
( R1 - R1' )
( R2 - R2' )
-5.55112E-16 0
Correlation=
= Covariance / (SD 1 * SD 2)
0.220428134
The correlation of Hub Power & Unilever is approximately 0.2. This means that these two securities
have low correlation, they move weakly in the same direction.
0.5
0.5
Variance=
33.92%
[(W1*SD1)+(W2*SD2)+2(W1*W2*COV)]
=
0.453121442
Standard Deviation=
=
SQRT (Variance)
0.673142958
Covariance=
=
Total
67.31%
E [ (R1-R1') * (R2-R2') ] / n
0.10439344
( R1 - R1' )
( R2 - R2' )
-5.55112E-16 0
Correlation=
= Covariance / (SD 1 * SD 2)
0.659354043
The correlation of Hub Power & Unilever is approximately 0.7. This means that these two securities are
highly correlated, they move strongly in the same direction.
0.5
0.5
Variance=
40.55%
[(W1*SD1)+(W2*SD2)+2(W1*W2*COV)]
=
0.698380797
Standard Deviation=
=
SQRT (Variance)
0.835691807
Covariance=
=
Total
( R1 - R1' )
0
83.57%
E [ (R1-R1') * (R2-R2') ] / n
0.250115809
( R2 - R2' )
0
Correlation=
= Covariance / (SD 1 * SD 2)
0.79780689
The correlation of Hub Power & Unilever is approximately 0.8. This means that these two securities
are highly correlated, they move strongly in the same direction.
Portfolio
Return Risk
19.71%
28.10%
34.73%
23.51%
30.12%
36.75%
25.53%
45.14%
33.92%
40.55%
71.07%
69.78%
80.19%
70.21%
59.75%
68.21%
61.10%
74.24%
67.31%
83.57%
Portfolio Analysis
90.00%
80.00%
70.00%
60.00%
50.00%
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
Return
Risk
0.00%
Decision:The basic purpose of portfolio is to diversify the risk. So we take decision on the basis of risk or standard
deviation of portfolio. The risk of portfolio 5 of Unilever & Nestle is less as compared to other portfolios
which is 59.75%. So being investor we choose the portfolio of Unilever & Nestle.