The marksman shoots 3 rounds at a target. His probability of getting a "bull" is 0.3.

What will be the probability of hitting 0, 1, 2, Solution: Number of trials = 3 Probability of success = 0.3 Probability of failure = 0.7 Let X represents the number of bulls hit out of 3 attempts (n) and x are different values of X. Probablity Distribution x 0 1 2 3 Total = x 0 1 2 3 x 0 1 2 3 P(X = x) 0.343 0.441 0.189 0.027 1 nCx 1 3 3 1 x! 1 1 2 6

Combinations

Factorial

e probability of hitting 0, 1, 2, 3 bulls.

A local authority surveyed the travel preferences of people who travelled to work by train or bus. The initial analysis suggested t If 5 people are interviewed what is the probability that: a) exactly 3 prefer travelling by train, b) 3 or more prefer travelling by trai Solution: Number of trials = 5 Probability of success = 0.2 Probability of failure = 0.8 Let X represents the number of people travelled by train to their workplace of 5 people (n) and x are different values of X. Probablity Distribution x 0 1 2 3 4 5 Total = P(X = 3) P(X >= 3) P(X < 3) 0.0512 0.05792 0.94208 P(X = x) 0.32768 0.4096 0.2048 0.0512 0.0064 0.00032 1

. The initial analysis suggested that 1 in 5 people travelled by train to work. or more prefer travelling by train, and, c)less than 3 prefer travelling by train.

x are different values of X.

A manufacturing company regularly conducts quality control checks at specified periods on all products manufactured by the co is due to be delivered to a national DIY store. Historically the manufacturing record has a failure rate of 15% and the sample to 4 randomly selected light bulbs. From this information estimata the following probablities: a) Find the probability distribution for 0,1, 2, 3, 4 defective light bulbs. b) Calculate the probability that at least three will be defective. c) Determine the mean and variance of the distribution. Solution: Number of trials = Probability of success = Probability of failure = 4 0.15 0.85

Let X represents the number of defective light bulb out of 4 (n) and x are different values of X. a) Probablity Distribution x 0 1 2 3 4 Total = b) c) P(X >= 3) 0.011981 Mean and Variance x 0 1 2 3 4 P(X = x) x * P(X = x) X^2 * P(X = x) 0.522006 0 0.00000 0.368475 0.368475 0.36848 0.097538 0.195075 0.39015 0.011475 0.034425 0.10328 0.000506 0.002025 0.00810 P(X = x) 0.522006 0.368475 0.097538 0.011475 0.000506 1

n all products manufactured by the company. A new order for 2000 light bulbs failure rate of 15% and the sample to be tested consists of

E(X) = VAR(X) = np = npq =

0.6 0.51 0.6 0.51