JUEGO DE TRONOS ELECTORAL(PROVINCIA DE MLAGA Captulo I)

Recientemente he profundizado en los PARALELOS y MERIDIANOS ELECTORALES ANDALUCES, o lo que es lo mismo,segn entiendo yo,la SEGMENTACIN DEL VOTO en funcin de los BLOQUES POBLACIONALES que previamente siempre he tenido como REFERENCIA DE PARTIDA.

Vuelvo a repetirla: 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) Capital de provincia Ms de 100.000 habitantes Entre 50.001 y 100.000 Entre 20.001 y 50.000 Entre 10.001 y 20.000 Entre 5.001 y 10.000 Entre 2.001 y 5.000 a) Entre 1.001 a 2.000 b) Entre 501 y 1.000
c) Menos de 500 Parodiando a la famosa serie televisiva JUEGO DE TRONOS, una lucha entre FUERZAS PODEROSAS, en este caso electorales, inicio una nueva serie de publicaciones para valorar estas cuestiones,para mi decisivas,del panorama electoral andaluz: 1) El peso especfico y la evolucin del BIPARTIDISMO PP-PSOE 2) El peso especfico y la evolucin del DUOPOLIO PSOE-IU 3) El peso especfico y la evolucin de los VOTOS ANDALUCES DESVINCULADOS(VV.AA.DD.), es decir, de los votos obtenidos en ELECCIONES LOCALES por fuerzas polticas que luegon no concurren a otras convocatorias electorales en el periodo 2008-2012

Comenzamos:
1) El peso especfico y la evolucin del BIPARTIDISMO PP-PSOE

PROVINCIA DE MLAGA
BLOQUE 1: CAPITALES DE PROVINCIAS
Localidades Mlaga % Voto PP Mlaga % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Andaluzas 2008 46,59 42,35 88,94 Generales 2008 44,88 45,78 90,66 Municipales 2011 53,46 24,75 78,21 Generales 2011 50,52 29,03 79,55 Andaluzas 2012 45,37 32,54 78,24 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 83,05

BLOQUE 2: MS DE 100.000 HABITANTES

Localidades Marbella % Voto PP Marbella % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Andaluzas 2008 50,06 39,55 89,61 Generales 2008 47,52 44,07 91,59 Municipales 2011 50,08 25,15 75,23 Generales 2011 51,83 30,59 82,42 Andaluzas 2012 47,18 33,65 80,83 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** 34.6 83,93

BLOQUE 3: Entre 50.001 y 100.000 habitantes

Localidades Benalmdena % Voto PP Benalmdena % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Estepona % Voto PP Estepona % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Fuengirola % Voto PP Fuengirola % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Mijas % Voto PP Mijas % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Torremolinos % Voto PP Torremolinos % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Vlez-Mlaga % Voto PP Vlez-Mlaga % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Andaluzas 2008 46,67 41,47 88,14 49,29 36,99 86,28 54,95 36,17 91,12 46,69 41,85 88,54 53,25 36,96 90,21 46,78 41,81 88,59 Generales 2008 45,28 45,05 90,33 48,83 40,04 88,87 52,22 40,19 92,41 44,97 45,55 90,52 51,45 40,60 92,05 46,45 44,19 90,64 Municipales 2011 35,58 24,89 60,47 48,93 19,42 68,35 64,48 20,26 84,74 49,96 25,10 75,06 58,88 22,48 81,36 46,74 20,86 67,60 Generales 2011 52,27 28,59 80,86 55,50 28,38 83,88 59,02 25,77 84,79 51,97 28,88 80,85 56,20 25,96 82,16 55,40 30,42 85,82 Andaluzas 2012 47,75 30,72 78,47 47,68 32,92 80,60 56,58 27,18 83,76 43,50 33,57 77,07 53,83 27,15 80,98 47,61 35,13 82,74 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

BLOQUE 4: Entre 20.001 y 50.000 habitantes

Localidades Alhaurin de la Torre % Voto PP Alhaurin de la Torre % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Alhaurin el Grande % Voto PP Alhaurin el Grande % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Andaluzas 2008 50,00 38,92 88,92 51,98 40,85 92,83 Generales 2008 47,81 43,45 91,26 50,69 43,04 93,73 Municipales 2011 57,21 20,77 77,98 57,96 30,14 88,10 Generales 2011 53,59 27,16 80,75 57,73 29,53 87,26 Andaluzas 2012 47,09 31,41 78,50 49,73 35,15 84,88 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

Antequera % Voto PP Antequera % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Crtama % Voto PP Crtama % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Coin % Voto PP Coin % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Nerja % Voto PP Nerja % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Rincn de La Victoria % Voto PP Rincn de la Victoria % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

39,21 51,42 90,63 37,43 53,04 90,47 44,95 38,59 83,54 46,02 42,64 88,66 48,98 39,15 88,13 35,45 41,02 76,47

38,32 53,51 91,83 36,94 54,19 91,13 45,32 41,52 86,72 44,97 46,33 91,03 47,39 43,45 90,84 39,89 48,86 88,75

44,56 31,47 76,03 36,10 43,38 79,48 43,55 33,65 77,20 50,50 25,08 75,58 47,71 16,83 64,54 29,14 30,08 59,22

49,50 35,29 84,79 46,90 36,12 83,02 53,54 25,93 79,47 53,28 30,57 83,85 53,88 25,54 79,42 47,83 33,26 81,09

44,35 38,58 82,93 35,75 44,58 80,33 43,27 31,14 74,41 50,85 31,47 82,32 48,84 29,33 78,17 40,36 34,88 75,24

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

Ronda % Voto PP
Ronda % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

BLOQUE 5: Entre 10.001 y 20.000 habitantes

Localidades lora % Voto PP lora % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Manilva % Voto PP Manilva % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Torrox % Voto PP Torrox % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Andaluzas 2008 30,75 57,41 88,16 44,44 37,38 81,82 41,13 38,50 79,63 Generales 2008 30,96 57,54 88,50 45,03 40,51 85,54 40,13 40,21 80,34 Municipales 2011 32,66 40,03 72,69 17,81 21,27 39,08 25,84 31,38 57,22 Generales 2011 39,62 44,09 83,71 52,72 31,20 83,92 49,95 32,01 81,96 Andaluzas 2012 31,44 48,29 79,73 41,29 35,10 76,39 42,14 36,33 78,47 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 82,56 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 73,35 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 75,53

BLOQUE 6: Entre 5.001 y 10.000

Localidades Andaluzas 2008 Generales 2008 Municipales 2011 Generales 2011 Andaluzas 2012 Porcentaje medio

Alameda % Voto PP Alameda % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

20,46 43,65 ** Expression is faulty ** 41,85 39,64 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,84 56,20 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,15 58.12 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,51 40.88 ** Expression is faulty ** 31,63 58.5 ** Expression is faulty ** 34,10 52.94 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,31 60.93 ** Expression is faulty **

21,38 63,72

16,82 18,98

23,34 55,67 ** Expression is faulty ** 52,93 33,92 ** Expression is faulty ** 32,10 46,92 ** Expression is faulty ** 32,74 45,05 ** Expression is faulty ** 37,79 34,51 ** Expression is faulty ** 39,76 44,25 ** Expression is faulty ** 43,16 36,19 ** Expression is faulty ** 33,03 46,85 ** Expression is faulty **

18,90 52,70 71.6

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 67.12

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 44,31 43,07 23,71 33,61

Algarrobo % Voto PP Algarrobo % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

40,99 39,19 80.18

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 78.65

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 27,25 59,44 16,85 37,89

Archidona % Voto PP Archidona % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

26,66 51,23 77.89

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 76.48

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 26,64 59,98 19,42 44.17

Campillos % Voto PP Campillos % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

28,58 47,27 75.85

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 77.83

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 27,80 46,92 30,28 18.64

Casares % Voto PP Casares % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

26,31 37,14 63.45

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 65.56

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 31,12 60,13 37,46 39.73

Mollina % Voto PP Mollina % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

36,50 48,21 84.71

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 85.45

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 34,24 54,27 25,48 34.99

Pizarra % Voto PP Pizarra % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

31,30 41,38 72.68

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 77.61

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 27,30 61,98 20,48 46,66

Villanueva del Trabuco % Voto PP Villanueva del Trabuco % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

26,25 52,47 78.72

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 80.65

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty **

BLOQUE 7: Entre 2.001 y 5.000

Localidades Arriate % Voto PP Andaluzas 2008 22,79 Generales 2008 24,20 Municipales 2011 11,50 Generales 2011 30,52 Andaluzas 2012 23,33 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is

faulty ** Arriate % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo 39.3 ** Expression is faulty ** 42,62 45.58 31,14 ** Expression is faulty ** 31,89 55.22 ** Expression is faulty ** 60.58

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty **

Benahavis % Voto PP Benahavis % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

62,16 31.92 ** Expression is faulty ** 21,03 41.1 ** Expression is faulty ** 29,82 62.82 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,73 44.2 ** Expression is faulty ** 38,93 55.8 ** Expression is faulty ** 31,69 56.36 ** Expression is faulty ** 48,36 41.21 ** Expression is faulty ** 30,19 57.74

60,38 33,86

68,72 28.83

64,99 22,62 ** Expression is faulty ** 50,39 34,07 ** Expression is faulty ** 35,94 51,95 ** Expression is faulty ** 37,12 28,01 ** Expression is faulty ** 51,05 35,58 ** Expression is faulty ** 43,41 39,16 ** Expression is faulty ** 53,34 32,92 ** Expression is faulty ** 34,12 50,42

63,08 18,20 81.28

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 90.96

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 29,68 44,40 59,14 21.13

Benamocarra % Voto PP Benamocarra % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

44,29 37,64 81.93

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 76.58

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 30,53 63,44 37,65 45.39

Canillas de Aceituno % Voto PP Canillas de Aceituno % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

30,17 57,80 87.97

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 27,78 46,05 43,02 18.65

Casabermeja % Voto PP Casabermeja % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

26,62 33,47 60.09

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 39,60 55,03 25,91 46.59

Casarabonela % Voto PP Casarabonela % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

42,47 42,79 85.26

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 32,13 58,36 18,11 42.86

Colmenar % Voto PP Comenar % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

31,41 51,32 82.73

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 47,90 43,84 73,14 10.61

Cmpeta % Voto PP Cmpeta % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

45,33 35,56 80.89

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 30,20 60,22 3,75 38.22

Cortes de la Frontera % Voto PP Cortes de la Frontera % Voto PSOE

28,69 53,05

faulty ** Total Bipartidismo ** Expression is faulty ** 21,61 65.79 ** Expression is faulty ** 39,08 36.55 ** Expression is faulty ** 32,46 60.73 ** Expression is faulty ** 28,27 63.91 ** Expression is faulty ** 18,64 53.57 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,69 54.44 ** Expression is faulty ** 31,07 53.79 ** Expression is faulty ** 24,33 60.54 ** Expression is faulty ** 34,11 ** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 21,75 67,89 9,48 26.83 ** Expression is faulty ** 25,59 53,52 ** Expression is faulty ** 51,10 29,15 ** Expression is faulty ** 37,00 46,42 ** Expression is faulty ** 36,95 52,18 ** Expression is faulty ** 23,98 43,38 ** Expression is faulty ** 29,38 46,32 ** Expression is faulty ** 36,17 40,10 ** Expression is faulty ** 29,30 50,85 ** Expression is faulty ** 41,40 81.74 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 74.32

Cuevas de San Marcos % Voto PP Cuevas de San Marcos % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

22,30 56,80 79.1

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 40,35 39,48 17,94 44.91

Frigiliana % Voto PP Frigiliana % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

41,84 23,37 65.21

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 32,86 61,00 26,25 52.04

Fuente de Piedra % Voto PP Fuente de Piedra % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

33,28 51,74 85.02

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 28,18 64,71 25,10 68.33

Guaro % Voto PP Guaro % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

28,89 61,04 89.93

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 18,84 54,87 16,12 34.88

Humilladero % Voto PP Humilladero % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

20,62 44,17 64.79

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 27,38 55,58 5,65 29.49

Monda % Voto PP Monda % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

21,96 46,47 68.43

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 29,06 61,93 17,87 53.09

Ojn % Voto PP Ojn % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

31,13 51,6 82.73

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 24,67 60,89 19,35 52.49

Periana % Voto PP Periana % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

24,81 55,94 80.75

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 34,41 44,46

Riogordo % Voto PP

36,79

Riogordo % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

56.46 ** Expression is faulty ** 33,49 58.87 ** Expression is faulty ** 18,27 48.71 ** Expression is faulty ** 44,06 21.36 ** Expression is faulty ** 32,87 54.47 ** Expression is faulty ** 23,28 57.84 ** Expression is faulty ** --------------------------------------

57,76

37.64

46,85 ** Expression is faulty ** 38,73 49,87 ** Expression is faulty ** 22,13 41,78 ** Expression is faulty ** 58,17 28,33 ** Expression is faulty ** 40,81 49,07 ** Expression is faulty ** 33,17 44,57 ** Expression is faulty ** 33,75 55,25 ** Expression is faulty ** 29,98 51,64 ** Expression is faulty **

52,46 89.25

** Expression is faulty ** 88.46

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 32,58 61,56 24,44 21.47

Sierra de Yeguas % Voto PP Sierra de Yeguas % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

30,04 54,87 84.91

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 81.19

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 18,36 52,89 10,00 42.7

Teba % Voto PP Teba % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

19,19 40,52 59.71

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 85.92

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 44,62 29,51 36,11 13.75

Tolox % Voto PP Tolox % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

49,91 33,70 83.61

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 32,57 55,21 48,84 29.9

Valle de Abdalajis % Voto PP Valle de Abdalajis % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

35,24 50,59 85.83

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 23,65 59,83 8,83 41.12

Villanueva de Algaidas % Voto PP Villanueva de Algaidas % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

26,34 48,83 75.17

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 21.4 53.44 74.84

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** -------------------------------------11,93 43.52 ** Expression is faulty ** 12,65 46.66

Villanueva de la Concepcin % Voto PP Villanueva de la Concepcin % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

22,29 61,54 83.83

Villanueva del Rosario % Voto PP Villanueva del Rosario Total Bipartidismo % Voto PSOE

24,01 62.05 ** Expression is faulty **

23,44 65,03

24,60 57,82 82.42

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 79.59

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty **

BLOQUE 8 a: Entre 1.001 y 2.000 habitantes

Localidades Alfarnate % Voto PP Alfarnate % Voto PSOE Andaluzas 2008 27,55 54.55 Generales 2008 27,04 57,52 Municipales 2011 14,31 59.09 Generales 2011 30,22 51,78 Andaluzas 2012 27,03 53,61 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

Total Bipartidismo Almrchar % Voto PP Almrchar % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Arenas % Voto PP Arenas % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Benamargosa % Voto PP Benamargosa % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Benaojn % Voto PP Benaojn % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo El Borge % Voto PP El Borge % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo El Burgo % Voto PP El Burgo % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Caete la Real % Voto PP Caete la Real % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Comares % Voto PP Comares % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Cuevas Bajas % Voto PP Cuevas Bajas % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Cuevas del Becerro % Voto PP Cuevas del Becerro % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Gaucin Gaucin % Voto PP % Voto PSOE

82.1 19,06 57.68 76.74 40,86 28.77 69.63 31,32 45.58 76.9 21,92 59.52 81.44 7,59 62.96 70.55 17,89 64.95 82.84 20,98 59.61 80.59 45,71 50.37 96.08 15,34 65.26 80.66 12,06 56.82 68.88 39,05 40.32

84,56 18,82 59,87 78,69 39,21 30,70 69,91 31,89 47,49 79,38 22,17 63,59 85,76 7,42 65,91 73,33 16,43 71,30 87,73 21,01 61,52 82,53 45,97 50,37 96,34 15,56 67,32 82,88 12,93 58,85 71,78 41,01 49,46

73.4 8,12 41.1 49.22 17,05 57.32 74.37 63,69 26.41 90.1 12,57 35.78 48.35 1,72 54.09 55.81 5,08 47.78 52.86 43,95 47.03 90.98 68,19 27.12 95.31 3,30 55.33 58.63 3,01 54.71 57.72 33,03 24.95

82,00 19,84 52,39 72,23 38,52 26,47 64,99 39,30 44,56 83,86 29,68 53,31 82,99 9,58 62,57 72,15 20,84 60,20 81,04 27,24 55,75 82,99 54,55 39,07 93,62 20,02 50,98 71,00 14,53 52,05 66,58 48,36 42,44

80.64 14,59 54,47 69.06 32,60 31,00 63.6 36,64 41,88 78.52 24,38 55,81 80.61 8,03 63,03 71.06 17,35 56,11 73.46 22,62 59,63 82.25 47,58 46,55 94.13 16,02 51,81 67.83 12,37 51,59 63.96 44,04 43,90

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 69,19 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 67.5 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 75.74 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 68,58 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 83.87 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 72.19 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is

faulty ** Total Bipartidismo Istn % Voto PP Istn % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Moclinejo % Voto PP Moclinejo % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Montejaque % Voto PP Montejaque % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Sayalonga % Voto PP Sayalonga % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Villanueva de Tapia % Voto PP Villanueva de Tapia % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Viuela % Voto PP Viuela % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Yunquera % Voto PP Yunquera % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo 79.37 37,92 26.95 64.87 33,33 50.37 83.7 23,78 69.66 93.44 35,82 53.75 89.57 25,16 59.34 84.5 28,14 64.01 92.15 27,08 58.06 85.14 90,47 36,23 33,80 70,03 37,78 48,59 86,37 24,62 71,30 95,92 34,66 57,24 91,90 24,73 61,87 86,60 28,14 64,88 93,02 26,49 63,99 90,48 57.98 26,20 34.19 60.3 28,45 41.19 69.64 6,73 41.05 47.78 50,79 39.18 89.97 10,65 31.77 42.42 29,00 48.4 77.4 58,59 29.54 88.13 90,80 34,85 23,98 58,83 45,98 42,47 88,45 33,65 58,73 91,88 45,71 40,11 85,82 29,83 54,25 84,08 37,95 52,74 90,69 34,43 52,47 86,90 87.94 28,57 26,69 55.26 30,08 52,52 82,60 29,93 57,23 87.16 37,70 45,97 83.67 26,05 57,54 83.59 28,36 60,70 89.06 25,99 54,72 80.71 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 61,87 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 82.15 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 83.33 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 88.19 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 76.23 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 88.47 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 86.28

BLOQUE 8 b: Entre 501 y 1.000 habitantes

Localidades Algatocin % Voto PP Algatocin % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Andaluzas 2008 25,38 43,93 ** Expression is faulty ** 30,40 60.29 ** Expression is faulty ** 39,47 Generales 2008 26,17 45,98 Municipales 2011 26,29 36,27 Generales 2011 42,12 42,91 ** Expression is faulty ** 43,29 41,38 ** Expression is faulty ** 50,29 Andaluzas 2012 32.53 45.38 ** Expression is faulty ** 36,06 38,11 ** Expression is faulty ** 45,11 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 30,09 61,36 10,36 2.24

Benalaura % Voto PP Benalaura % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 39,94 61,47

Benarrab % Voto PP

Benarrab % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

49.85 ** Expression is faulty ** 56,00 38.1 ** Expression is faulty ** 25,36 56.93 ** Expression is faulty ** 38,24 56.74 ** Expression is faulty ** 58,00 36.87 ** Expression is faulty ** 40,52 55.08 ** Expression is faulty ** 45,47 44.05 ** Expression is faulty ** 41,97 46.93 ** Expression is faulty ** 24,68 54.31 ** Expression is faulty ** 26,16

54,52

28.95

41,07 ** Expression is faulty ** 59,66 28,29 ** Expression is faulty ** 29,25 43,69 ** Expression is faulty ** 43,82 47,06 ** Expression is faulty ** 60,66 35,31 ** Expression is faulty ** 44,65 50,61 ** Expression is faulty ** 51,89 35,78 ** Expression is faulty ** 52,30 30,77 ** Expression is faulty ** 24,91 46,89 ** Expression is faulty ** 31,71

42,24 ** Expression is faulty ** 53,66 36,65 ** Expression is faulty ** 25,97 44,37 ** Expression is faulty ** 33,85 54,23 ** Expression is faulty ** 54,20 38,69 ** Expression is faulty ** 38,40 56,34 ** Expression is faulty ** 42,06 37,01 ** Expression is faulty ** 42,62 43,03 ** Expression is faulty ** 18,49 48,63 ** Expression is faulty ** 22,70

** Expression is faulty ** 90.59

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 52,23 41,21 50,71 16.84

Canillas de Albaida % Voto PP Canillas de Albaida % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 25,05 60,15 36,96 26,92

Carratraca % Voto PP Carratraca % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 37,33 57,10 60,86 37.56

Ctar % Voto PP Ctar % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 58,18 37,80 70,06 28.78

Igualeja % Voto PP Igualeja % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 41,27 55,65 35,05 58.91

Iznate % Voto PP Iznate % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 45,74 45,11 20,97 42.83

Jubrique % Voto PP Jubrique % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 41,94 48,39 20,51 53.65

Macharaviaya % Voto PP Macharaviaya % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 25,63 55,70 15,15 34.63

Sedella % Voto PP Sedella % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 27,57 3,40

Totaln % Voto PP

faulty ** Totaln % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo 40.35 ** Expression is faulty ** 41,79 52.42 38,55 ** Expression is faulty ** 41,30 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty **

BLOQUE 8 c: Menores de 500 habitantes

Localidades Alfarnatejo % Voto PP Alfarnatejo % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Andaluzas 2008 41,44 55.51 ** Expression is faulty ** 25,54 58.89 ** Expression is faulty ** 40,93 41.75 ** Expression is faulty ** 49,06 47.66 ** Expression is faulty ** 24,68 61.54 ** Expression is faulty ** 41,29 54.84 ** Expression is faulty ** 36,84 51.74 ** Expression is faulty ** 26,20 Generales 2008 41,06 55,13 Municipales 2011 40,27 55.68 Generales 2011 44,83 45,20 ** Expression is faulty ** 30,00 45,33 ** Expression is faulty ** 40,22 44,69 ** Expression is faulty ** 44,24 49,56 ** Expression is faulty ** 29,07 51,77 ** Expression is faulty ** 58,82 38,24 ** Expression is faulty ** 45,03 46,35 ** Expression is faulty ** 42,53 Andaluzas 2012 41,48 0 41,48 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 26,60 62,77 5,70 46.49

Alpandeire % Voto PP Alpandeire % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

31,88 44.92 ** Expression is faulty ** 26,54 51.85 ** Expression is faulty ** 42,2 50,45 ** Expression is faulty ** 24.81 53,38 ** Expression is faulty ** 56.6 39,62 ** Expression is faulty ** 38,96 53,89 ** Expression is faulty ** 37,54

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 40,61 46,70 27,54 4.71

rchez % Voto PP rchez % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 48,60 49,53 33,33 63.27

Atajate % Voto PP Atajate % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 25,64 61,54 10,40 54.91

Benadalid % Voto PP Benadalid % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 43,31 55,41 13,92 84.02

Cartajima % Voto PP Cartajima % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 38,15 54,91 13,66 85,25

Farajn % Voto PP Farajn % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 26,71 43,10

Genalguacil % Voto PP

Genalguacil % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

55,62 ** Expression is faulty ** 51,92 35,42 ** Expression is faulty ** 46,04 47,52 ** Expression is faulty ** 39,31 56,07 ** Expression is faulty ** 43,13 53,44 ** Expression is faulty ** 23,14 63,11 ** Expression is faulty ** 30,19 62,26 ** Expression is faulty **

59,35

55.17

50,97 ** Expression is faulty ** 57,19 32,47 ** Expression is faulty ** 52,34 43,62 ** Expression is faulty ** 36,30 51,59 ** Expression is faulty ** 43,36 48,23 ** Expression is faulty ** 40,70 46,90 ** Expression is faulty ** 39,15 49,21 ** Expression is faulty **

51,87 ** Expression is faulty ** 57,77 29,25 ** Expression is faulty ** 43,12 51,25 ** Expression is faulty ** 32.46 56.49 ** Expression is faulty ** 42 50.68 ** Expression is faulty ** 38.98 43.22 ** Expression is faulty ** 35.17 43.13 ** Expression is faulty **

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 51,04 42,01 73,20 26.12

Jimera de Lbar % Voto PP Jimera de Lbar % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 45,07 48,59 41,40 54.84

Jzcar % Voto PP Jzcar % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 39,77 56,14 27,14 72.86

Parauta % Voto PP Parauta % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 43,13 54,96 32,10 66.79

Pujerra % Voto PP Pujerra % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 23,14 67,77 32,09 65.67

Salares % Voto PP Salares % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 30,52 61,97 33,04 50.66

El Madroo % Voto PP El Madroo % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty **

Para hacer ms COMPRENSIBLE Y AMENO,incluso DIVERTIDO, el conocimiento de la REALIDAD BIPARTIDISTA ANDALUZA referida a sus realidad territorial he ideado un cdigo de colores que os explico en el siguiente cuadro:

% Voto Bipartidista PP-PSOE Color asignado 0% Entre 0,01 y 25,00 % Entre 25,01 y 50,00 % Entre 50,01 y 75,00 % Entre 75,01 y 90,00 %

Entre 90,01 y 99,99 % 100,00 %

Tras una exhaustiva observacin de los datos podemos dar, en primer lugar, un repaso a lo que yo denomino SINGULARIDADES: el 100,00 % de BIPARTIDISMO se da en una sola localidad de la provincia de MLAGA: PARAUTA Elecciones Municipales 2011 ALFARNATEJO el PSOE no consigue ni un solo voto en las ELECCIONES ANDALUZAS 2012

Tras esta curiosidad pasamos a elaborar un CUADRO ACUMULATIVO-SIGNIFICATIVO:

Bloque Territorial Capitales Provincia Nmero % Ms de 100.000 Nmero % De 50.001 a 100.000 Nmero % De 20.001 a 50.000 Nmero % De 10.001 a 20.000 Nmero % De 5.001 a 10.000 Nmero % De 2.001 a 5.000 Nmero % De 1.001 a 2.000 Nmero % De 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 26,32 13 68,42 1 5,26 0 0 19 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 33,33 14 46,67 6 20,00 0 0 30 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 25,00 6 75,00 0 0 0 0 8 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 33,33 2 66,67 0 0 0 0 3 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 100,00 0 0 0 0 8 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 100,00 0 0 0 0 6 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 100 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 100 0 0 0 0 1 100 0% Entre 0,01 y 25,00 % Entre 25,01 y 50,00 % Entre 50,01 y 75,00 % Entre 75,01 y 90,00 % Entre 90,01 y 99,99 % 100,00 % TOTALES

501 a 1.000 Nmero % Menos de 500 Nmero % TOTALES Nmero % 0 0 0 0 0 0 23 22,77 61 60,40 17 16,83 0 0 101 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7,70 6 46,15 6 46,15 0 0 13 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 33,33 4 33,33 4 33,33 0 0 12 100

Y para finalizar este primer captulo de la entrega,procede ahora trabajar con los TOTALES DE % DE VOTO BIPARDISTA PP-PSOE por BLOQUES POBLACIONES para as tratar de obtener CONCLUSIONES CONCRETAS Y PRECISAS al respecto.

Procedamos pues: PROVINCIA DE MLAGA

Tramo poblacional CAPITALES DE PROVINCIA Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE MS DE 100.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 50.001-100.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 20.001-50.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 10.001-20.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 5.001-10.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE 29,73 51,36 81,09 30,00 56,19 86,19 23,81 34,33 58,14 36,86 42,92 79,78 29,44 46,20 75,64 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 76,17 38,77 44,43 83,20 38,71 46,09 84,80 25,44 30,89 56,33 47,43 35,77 83,20 37,73 39,91 77,64 37.73 39.42 77,15 44,25 43,20 87,45 43,92 46,46 90,38 46,22 28,18 74,40 52,03 30,43 82,46 45,03 34,57 79,60 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 82,86 49,61 39,21 88,82 48,20 42,60 90,80 50,76 22,17 72,93 55,06 28,00 83,06 49,49 31,11 80,60 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 50,06 39,55 89,61 47,52 44,07 91,59 50,08 25,15 75,23 51,83 30,59 82,42 47,18 33,65 80,83 ** Expression is faulty ** 34.6 83,93 46,59 42,35 88,94 44,88 45,78 90,66 53,46 24,75 78,21 50,52 29,03 79,55 45,37 32,54 78,24 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 83,05 Andaluzas 2008 Generales 2008 Municipales Generales Andaluzas 2011 2011 2012 Porcentaje medio

PARALELO 5.000
Entre 2.001-5.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE 29,86 52,86 30,86 55,12 25,95 39,22 38,19 41,40 31,44 46,31 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression ** Expression is faulty ** is faulty ** ** ** ** Expression Expressio Expression is faulty ** n is faulty is faulty ** **

Entre 1.001-2.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE 26,87 54,13 26,95 57,14 25,50 41,90 32,37 48,23 26,84 50,78 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

** Expression ** Expression is faulty ** is faulty **

** ** ** Expression Expressio Expression is faulty ** n is faulty is faulty ** **

Entre 501-1.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE 41,30 44,96 37,60 50,40 34,32 35,00 44,54 40,19 37,14 43,83 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

** Expression ** Expression is faulty ** is faulty **

** ** ** Expression Expressio Expression is faulty ** n is faulty is faulty ** **

Menores de 500 habitantes Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE 37,12 53,24 37,38 55,48 30,49 56,17 43,13 46,01 39,25 44,29 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

** Expression ** Expression is faulty ** is faulty **

** ** ** Expression Expressio Expression is faulty ** n is faulty is faulty ** **

Mis Conclusiones:
1) El valor medio del BIPARTIDISMO ANDALUZ PP-PSOE en la provincia de MLAGA tiene sus cuotas ms altas,de mayor a menor, en los siguientes bloque territoriales: CIUDADES MENORES DE 500 HABITANTES(88,51 %),CIUDADES DE MAS DE 100.000 HABITANTES(83,93 %), Ciudades entre 20.001 y 50.000 habitantes(83,24 %), CAPITALES DE PROVINCIA(83,05 %) y Ciudades entre 20.001 y 50.000 habitantes(82,86 %) 2) El valor medio del BIPARTIDISMO ANDALUZ PP-PSOE tiene sus cuotas ms bajas,de menor a mayor, en los siguientes bloque territoriales: CIUDADES ENTRE 5.001 y 10.000 HABITANTES(76,17 %) , CIUDADES ENTRE 10.001 Y 20.000 HABITANTES(77,15 %), CIUDADES Entre 1.001-2.000 HABITANTES(78,14 %) ,CIUDADES ENTRE 2.001 y 5.000 HABITANTES(78,24 %) Y CIUDADES ENTRE 501 Y 1.000 HABITANTES(81,86 %) 3) Se detecta claramente que el BIPARTIDISMO PP-PSOE arraiga MUCHO MS en las ciudades MAYORES DE 5.000 HABITANTES

Para finalizar y por referirnos al ltimo dato electoral de la serie histrica disponible, las elecciones andaluzas 2012, ofrecemos este cuadro que indica las diferencias entre el BIPARDISMO PP-PSOE de Elecciones Generales 2011 a Elecciones Andaluzas 2012:

PROVINCIA DE MLAGA
Tramo poblacional Andaluzas 2008 Generales 2008 Municipales Generales Andaluzas 2011 2011 2012 Diferencia % BipartidismoPP-PSOE entre G2011-A2012

CAPITALES DE PROVINCIA Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE MS DE 100.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 50.001-100.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 20.001-50.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 10.001-20.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 5.001-10.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE 81,09 86,19 58,14 79,78 75,64 -4,14 83,20 84,80 56,33 83,20 77,64 -5,56 87,45 90,38 74,40 82,46 79,60 -2,86 88,82 90,80 72,93 83,06 80,60 -2,46 89,61 91,59 75,23 82,42 80,83 -1,59 88,94 90,66 78,21 79,55 78,24 -1,32

PARALELO 5.000
Entre 2.001-5.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 1.001-2.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 501-1.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Menores de 500 habitantes Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE 90,36 92,86 86,66 89,14 83,54 -5,60 86,26 88,00 69,32 84,73 80,97 -3,76 81 84.09 67.4 0 77,62 -2,98 82.72 85,98 65.17 79.59 77.75 -1,84

Mis Conclusiones: 1) El BIPARTIDISMO ANDALUZ PP-PSOE en la provincia de MLAGA retrocede SIGNIFICATIVAMENTE una media de 3,21 % de las Elecciones Generales 2011 a las Elecciones Andaluzas 2012 diferencindose este retroceso el tramo de mayores de 5.000 habitantes(-2,99 %) del tramo menores de 5.000 habitantes(-3,54 %).La prdida del BIPARTIDISMO PP-PSOE se produce en TODOS LOS BLOQUES TERRITORIALES 2) El BIPARTIDISMO ANDALUZ PP-PSOE en la provincia de MLAGA se sita en las ltimas Elecciones Andaluzas 2012 en un 79,24 %, una cifra que dificulta el JUEGO POLITICO EN ANDALUCIA AJENO A ESA FUERZA. La ALTERNANCIA POLITICA ANDALUZA EST LEJANA y CASI IMPOSIBLE con estos datos referidos a la provincia de MLAGA.

saludos cordiales esperando os haya gustado y/o sirva de utilidad este trabajo personal que he realizado. Olvera,28 de mayo de 2013 consultas,sugerencias o crticas: laboratorioelectoralandaluz@gmail.com telfono de contacto: 647770029 el autor tiene cuentas en facebook y twiter