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2013

Issue 22

Week Ending 31-05-2013

Weekly Market Wrap Up


Stat Page
Weekly Stock Trends
S&P SL20 Watch

Pg 02
Pg 03
Pg 04

Local Economy in Brief


Currency Moves
Inflation & Interest Rates
Colombo Tea Auction
Tourism

Pg 05
Pg 06
Pg 06
Pg 06

Global Market
Equity Market Outlook
Global Commodity Trend

Pg 07
Pg 08

Research Chat:
Piramal Glass - 4QFY13 EARNINGS SNAPSHOT

Our Core Coverage

Pg 09- Pg 10
Pg 11- Pg 12

Weekly Stat Page


Weekly Market Statistics

Weekly Turnover and Volume

Daily Index Movement


12,000

350

6,400

10,000

300

6,200

8,000

6,000
5,800

250
200

6,000

150

4,000

100

2,000

5,600

('Mn)

LKR ('Mn)

6,600

0
10-May

ASPI

17-May

Turnover (LHS)

24-May

31-May

Volume (RHS)

Weekly Foreign Purchases and Sales

Daily Foreign Activity


70%
60%

Net Foreign 664

1588

1905

Linear (Foreign Activity)

JKH
COMMERCIAL BANK (+)
LANKA FLOORTILES
OVERSEAS REALTY (+)
CEYLON TOBACCO (+)

17-May

Foreign Buying

Growth in Growth in
Value
Foreign Decline in Foreign Holding
LKR 'mn
Holding
166.1
139.0
124.4
50.3
27.7

0.12%
0.42%
142.49%
0.34%
0.02%

Current Previous
1,067.6
2,486.8
493.7
582.3
573.9
1,904.5
15%
38%

WoW %
-57.1%
-15.2%
-69.9%
-62.0%

Current Previous
17.5
17.6
2.4
2.4
2.1
2.1

WoW %
-0.4%
-0.4%
0.0%

Weekly Sector Statistics


24-May

31-May

Foreign Sales

Change in Foreign Holding


Growth in Foreign Holding

LKR ('mn)
Foreign Purchases
Foreign Sales
Net Foreign Inflow
Foreign Participation

PER
PBV
DY

10-May

Foreign Activity

Weekly Foreign Flow

Weekly Market Valuations

LKR ('Mn)

30%
20%
10%
0%

WoW %
-0.4%
-0.5%
13.4%
61.5%
-0.4%

574

3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0

50%
40%

ASPI
S&P SL20
Turnover (LKR 'bn)
Volume ('mn)
Market Cap. (LKR 'bn)

50

Current Previous
6463.06
6488.85
3646.32
3666.04
5,442.0
4,799.5
200.6
124.2
2,481.8
2,491.7

AITKEN SPENCE
ACCESS ENG SL
NATION LANKA
EXPOLANKA
ENVI. RESOURCES

Decline in
Value
LKR 'mn
-31.9
-24.3
-10.2
-10.2
-8.3

Decline in
Foreign
Holding
-0.13%
-11.20%
-22.38%
-2.0%
-0.36%

BANKS FINANCE & INS.


BEV. FOOD & TOBACCO
CHEM. & PHARMA.
CONS. & ENG.
DIVERSIFIED
HEALTH CARE
HOTELS & TRAVELS
LAND & PROPERTY
MANUFACTURING
MOTORS
PLANTATIONS
TELECOM

Current Previous
12,174.2 12,051.5
15,675.1 15,397.6
7,167.8
6,934.3
2,610.9
2,580.3
1,821.1
1,796.8
582.1
575.6
3,554.3
3,493.7
506.0
490.4
2,606.0
2,576.4
15,430.7 15,058.4
808.2
800.8
163.5
161.4

WoW %
1.0%
1.8%
3.4%
1.2%
1.4%
1.1%
1.7%
3.2%
1.2%
2.5%
0.9%
1.3%
Page | 2

Weekly Stock Trends


Weekly Top Gainers
Company

Current

Previous

WoW %

High

Low

Volume

Turnover

52 High

52 Low

CEYLON PRINTERS

1,799.00

1,450.00

24.07%

1,799.00

1,799.00

1,799

3,270.00

225.00

GOOD HOPE

1,338.00

1,100.00

21.64%

1,338.00

1,300.00

2,638

1,560.00

1,100.00

347.60

289.90

19.90%

358.80

270.00

4,337,839

1,583,950,506

358.80

150.00

83.40

69.80

19.48%

99.80

70.00

3,260

269,338

110.90

43.00

202.90

170.70

18.86%

221.00

152.00

1,067,438

227,642,702

221.00

89.60

MORISONS
HUEJAY
MORISONS[NON VOTING]

Weekly Top Losers


Company
G S FINANCE

Current

Previous

WoW %

High

Low

Volume

Turnover

52 High

52 Low

537.60

670.00

-19.76%

675.00

535.10

102

61,072

1,500.00

200.00

74.00

87.70

-15.62%

85.40

65.30

20,555

1,527,564

120.00

60.00

2.10

2.40

-12.50%

2.40

2.00

4,632,923

10,103,765

11.80

2.00

AGALAWATTE

30.40

34.50

-11.88%

34.50

30.10

17,718

571,822

41.80

26.60

BIMPUTH FINANCE

24.10

26.60

-9.40%

27.20

24.00

20,480

540,695

39.80

13.20

52 High

52 Low

MIRAMAR
CIFL

Weekly Top Performers


Company

Current

Previous

WoW %

High

Low

Volume

Turnover

MORISONS

347.60

289.90

19.90%

358.80

270.00

4,337,839

1,583,950,506

358.80

150.00

JKH

285.00

293.80

-3.00%

294.90

284.50

1,124,175

324,365,972

299.80

172.00

CHEVRON

328.30

300.30

9.32%

332.90

306.00

909,208

289,187,682

332.90

160.00

11.40

10.10

12.87%

12.10

9.90

21,135,830

236,373,961

15.90

7.00

202.90

170.70

18.86%

221.00

152.00

1,067,438

227,642,702

221.00

89.60

Volume

Turnover

52 High

52 Low

NATION LANKA
MORISONS[NON VOTING]

Weekly Top Volume


Company
NATION LANKA

Current

Previous

WoW %

High

Low

11.40

10.10

12.87%

12.10

9.90

21,135,830

236,373,961

15.90

7.00

PANASIAN POWER

2.70

2.60

3.85%

2.80

2.50

15,295,857

41,180,600

3.30

2.00

ENVI. RESOURCES

16.20

16.70

-2.99%

17.00

16.00

9,370,403

156,698,303

19.80

11.30

BLUE DIAMONDS[NON VOTING] 1.50

1.50

0.00%

1.60

1.40

7,983,557

11,426,825

2.40

1.40

19.80

4.55%

21.30

19.40

7,567,615

154,569,804

21.30

11.50

OVERSEAS REALTY

20.70

Page | 3

S & P SL20 Debrief

Announcements
DIVIDENDS

Daily Index Movement

Company

3,700
3,600
3,500
3,400
3,300
3,200

Dividend (LKR)
5.00

03-06-2013

11-06-2013

Union Chemicals Lanka

5.00

03-06-2013

11-06-2013

Union Bank of Colombo

0.35

03-06-2013

12-06-2013

TeaSmallholder Factories

1.00

05-06-2013

14-06-2013

Asian Hotels &Properties

3.00

05-06-2013

14-06-2013

John Keells

3.50

06-06-2013

17-06-2013

John Keells Holdings

1.50

06-06-2013

17-06-2013

Keells Food Products

2.00

06-06-2013

17-06-2013

RIGHTS ISSUE

Current
285.00
123.30
710.00
169.90
441.90
223.00
985.40
144.90
134.00
176.90
145.00
203.40
303.10
328.30
9.50
177.40
79.40
2,000.70
76.90
42.50

Previous
293.80
123.90
716.80
170.00
445.00
224.80
951.50
148.00
138.10
175.10
150.40
199.90
317.80
300.30
9.70
176.40
79.00
2,037.50
73.70
43.10

Proportion

XR Date

Renunciation

01 for 04 @ LKR18.0

Delayed

Delayed

###

###

###

###

Company

Proportion

EGM Date

XD Date

Chemanex PLC

0-Jan-1900

02-07-2013

10-07-2013

Watawala Plantations PLC

0-Jan-1900

05-07-2013

15-07-2013

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

Proportion

EGM Date

XC Date

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

Proportion

EGM Date

Trading Date

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

Proportion

EGM Date

Trading Date

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

Pelwatte Sugar

S&P SL20

S&P SL20 Companies

Payment

Sansa Development Bank

Company

JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS


COMMERCIAL BANK
THE BUKIT DARAH
HATTON NATIONAL BANK
CARSONS CUMBERBATCH
SAMPATH BANK
CEYLON TOBACCO COMPANY
DFCC BANK
AITKEN SPENCE
NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT BANK
C T HOLDINGS
DISTILLERIES
HAYLEYS
CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA
DIALOG AXIATA
CARGILLS (CEYLON)
AITKEN SPENCE HOTEL HOLDINGS
NESTLE LANKA
ASIAN HOTELS & PROPERTIES
SRI LANKA TELECOM

XD Date

WoW %
-3.00%
-0.48%
-0.95%
-0.06%
-0.70%
-0.80%
3.56%
-2.09%
-2.97%
1.03%
-3.59%
1.75%
-4.63%
9.32%
-2.06%
0.57%
0.51%
-1.81%
4.34%
-1.39%

Turnover
324,365,972
184,004,565
18,232,768
5,297,261
21,180,753
37,211,736
85,853,602
3,983,654
38,500,223
89,469,421
2,382,602
89,539,381
7,003,940
289,187,682
20,328,102
3,317,083
2,764,847
6,514,100
4,566,833
1,274,804

SCRIP DIVIDEND

0-Jan-1900
CAPITALIZATION OF RESERVES
Company

SUBDIVISION OF SHARES
Company

CONSOLIDATION OF SHARES
Company

Page | 4

Local Economy
There were calls from various countries to bring down this limit which currently stands at US $ 500,000. So,
we have taken these requests seriously and currently, our ministry is discussing with the BoI to bring down
the investment ceiling to allow investments from SMEs, Economic Development Deputy Minister M.L.A.M.
Hizbullah said.

CURRENCY MOVES

LKR
128
127
127
126
126
125
125
124

USD : LKR

LKR
1.40

Japanese Yen : LKR

1.35
1.30
1.25
1.20

1.15

LKR
168

EURO : LKR

166
164
162
160
158

LKR
104
103
102
101
100
99
98

Singapore Dollar : LKR

LKR
198
196
194
192
190
188
186
184

LKR
2.40

GBP : LKR

Indian Rupee : LKR

2.35
2.30

2.25
2.20
2.15

Page | 5

Local Economy
BALANCE OF TRADE

TOURISM

Balance of Trade

Tourist Arrivals

140,000
120,000

2,000
1,600
1,200
800
400
0
-400
-800
-1,200

100,000
80,000

60,000
40,000
20,000
Jan

Exports

Imports

Balance of Trade

Mar-13

Exports
Imports
Balance of Trade

Feb-13
798
1,433
-636

MoM %
5%
8%
-11%

Mar-12
857
1,736
-879

Apr

May

Jun

2011

Jul

Aug

2012

Sep

Oct

Dec

Apr-13
2013
79,829
368,627

Apr-13
YTD

Nov

2013

For the Month Ending:

YoY %
-2%
-11%
20%

INFLATION & INTEREST RATE

2012 Change %
69,591
15%
330,116
12%

COLOMBO TEA AUCTION STATISTICS

Inflation and Treasury Bill Rate

14%

Mar

2010

For the Month Ending:


Mar-13
837
1,541
-704

Feb

Elevation

12%

10%

High Grown
Mid Grown
Low Grown
Total

8%
6%
4%

Sale of
21-May-13
340.31
375.50
459.91
419.39

Sale of
15-May-13
350.76
382.39
468.00
423.23

WoW %
-2.98%
-1.80%
-1.73%
-0.91%

Corres. 2012
345.81
327.22
418.34
387.85

WoW %
0.00%
0.00%

Sale of
05-Mar-13
365.00
365.00

YoY %
-1.59%
14.75%
9.94%
8.13%

2%
May-12

1-Yr T-Bill

Jul-12

Sep-12

Point to Point

Nov-12

Jan-13

For the Month Ending:


Point to Point
Annual Average Change
1-Yr T-Bill

Mar-13

Annual Average Change

May-13

COLOMBO RUBBER AUCTION STATISTICS

May-2013
Apr-13
6.4%
8.8%
11.33%

May-13
7.3%
8.8%
10.86%

Basis Points
-90
0
47

Sale of
21-May-13
RSS 1
390.00
Brown Crepe 1X
389.00

Elevation

Sale of
07-May-13
390.00
389.00

WoW %
6.85%
6.58%
Page | 6

Global Markets
The U.K. economy will grow through 2015 faster than previously forecast, the British Chambers of Commerce
said. The upward revision in our growth forecasts is encouraging, Unfortunately, this does not change the fact
that economic growth is still too weak, and the pace of recovery will remain unduly slow for a while yet. We are
still a far cry from getting the economy fully back on track.

EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK

Index
15,500

Dow Jones Industrial Average

Index
1,700

S&P 500 Index

Index
2,900

1,650

2,800

1,600

2,700

1,550

2,600

14,000

1,500

2,500

13,500

1,450

2,400

15,000
14,500

Index
7,000
6,800
6,600
6,400
6,200
6,000
5,800

FTSE 100 Index

Index
17,000
15,000
13,000
11,000
9,000
7,000

Nikkei 225

Index
24,000
23,500
23,000
22,500
22,000
21,500
21,000
20,500

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR

Hong Kong Hang Seng Index

Page | 7

Global Markets
GLOBAL COMMODITY TREND

USD/bbl
100

WTI CRUDE FUTURE

USD/t oz.
1,700

GOLD 100 OZ FUTURE

1,600

95

320

1,400

85

1,300

300

80

1,200

280

USd/lb.
95
90
85
80
75
70

COTTON NO.2 FUTURE

USd/bu.
760
740
720
700
680
660
640
620

COPPER FUTURE

340

1,500

90

USd/lb.
360

WHEAT FUTURE(CBT)

Commodity
WTI Crude

USD/bbl

Gold
Copper

USD/t oz.
USd/lb.

Cotton
Wheat

USd/lb.
USd/bu.

This
Week

Last
Week

WoW
Change

93.23

93.58

-0.4%

1,411.50
329.75

1,391.90
330.25

1.4%
-0.2%

80.18
694.75

81.49
697.50

-1.6%
-0.4%

Page | 8

Piramal Glass [GLAS: LKR6.6], the sole flacconage glass manufacturer in Sri Lanka concluded 4QFY13 with net earnings growth of 11% YoY at LKR110 mn
while full year earnings grew 6% YoY to LKR724 mn. GP margin saw an improvement of 100 bps YoY to 29% during 4QFY13 while PBIT margin grew 400 bps
YoY to 15%.
GLAS battled 4QFY13 with the slowdown in the domestic market driven by second hand liquor bottle imports flowing into the market. However increased
export market foothold to 30% and growth of coloured bottles in newly tapped export markets underscored growth in margins. The marginal appreciation
of the rupee eased pressure on operating costs in comparison to 4QFY12 which entailed an exchange loss booked under administration thereby aiding net
earnings margin to grow 100bps YoY to 8%.

A
CAGR of 11% is expected for FY14E-FY15E backed by its flexible sales
mix with high premium yielding specialty bottles being the highlight.
GLAS believes that the second hand bottle imports effect is temporary
while its annual price increase is expected to stem in from 2QFY14
ahead of 2HFY14 which is GLASs peak period encompassing Christmas
and Sinhala and Tamil New Year.
GLAS expects to increase their export market foothold to exceed the current share of 30%, further
diversifying revenue streams where growth in high margin yielding coloured bottles segment is expected. It has now reduced significant exposure to
the Indian Market and diversified to Australia, New Zealand, Mauritius, Maldives, East Africa and UK.
We expect volumes to moderate in the medium term with its capacity standing at 250 tons per day
hence a marginal growth has been factored in to the forecasts.
Softlogic Equity Research

Page | 9

GLASs energy cost composition containing 50% of furnace oil, 30% of electricity and 20% of LPG is
expected to see an increase of 18% on its energy bill with effect from April 1st 2013 as a result of the 15% weighted average increase in industry tariff.
Hence a 15 % growth on per unit electricity tariff has been factored in for FY14E and a 10% per unit growth for FY15E. Both furnance oil and LPG per
unit costs have been increased marginally above past increases on a conservative note.
We expect GLASs GP margin to dip to 26.0% in FY14E and 24.8% in FY15E as result of the expected 18% rise
in its energy bill and medium to long term contracts which were signed with consumers before the energy hike thereby limiting the ability of passing
on these cost increases. However a firm foothold and a superior product mix in GLASs export market is anticipated to support steady earnings
growth.
Going forward we expect the exchange loss component booked under administration costs to ease
due to the relative stabilization of the rupee.
We expect borrowing
levels to decline further with gearing (debt-to-equity) reaching below 30%
by the end of FY15E, as there are no significant expansion plans in the
horizon and the consideration of LKR355 mn via the sale of a part of its
land in Ratmalana expected to be utilized to repay the high cost long term
loans.
Dividend payout is expected to
remain at 49% in line with its average through FY11-FY13.

YEAR END 31st March


Revenue (LKR mn)
Net Profit (LKR mn)
EPS (LKR)
YoY % Growth
PER (X)
PEG (X)
DPS (LKR)
Div Yield (%)
BVPS (LKR)
PBV (X)

FY10
3,519
(61)
(0.1)
77%
(102.6)
N/A

FY11
4,163
579
0.6
1047%
10.8
1.0

FY12
5,120
686
0.7
19%
9.1
49.0

FY13
5,501
724
0.8
6%
8.7
156.7

FY14E
6,083
761
0.8
5%
8.2
163.3

FY15E
6,808
813
0.9
7%
7.7
111.7

2.3
2.8

0.30
4.5%
2.9
2.2

0.36
5.4%
3.4
1.9

0.38
5.7%
3.8
1.7

0.39
6.0%
4.2
1.6

0.42
6.4%
4.7
1.4

Considering GLASs energy intensive cost parameter and the significant hit on its energy bill stemming in from 1QFY14 coupled with the inability to pass on
these cost hikes via pricing immediately, we downgrade FY14E net earnings to LKR761 mn (+5.0% YoY) on a conservative note while FY15E looks at LKR813 mn
(+7.0% YoY). GLASs flexible product mix management and export market entailing higher weightage towards coloured bottles treading on a growth tangent
are the key pillars of our forecasts keeping in mind its competitive nature. The counter trades at 8.2x FY14E earnings and 7.7x at FY15E earnings vs. the trailing
manufacturing sector PER of 11.6x. The counter may appeal to pragmatic and patient investors as the company has a stable earnings flow and offers
attractive dividend yields of 6.0% and 6.4% for FY14E and FY15E respectively hence we rate GLAS a Long Term Buy.
Softlogic Equity Research

Page | 10

Name

Y/E

Rec

Mkt Price

Book

Share

Market

31-May-13

Val.
('Mn)

Cap.
('Mn)

Cap.
('Mn)

NAVPS

Earnings

P / BV

EPS

EPS Growth (%)

Mar'11

Mar'12

Mar'13E

Mar'14E

4Q

Mar'11

Mar'12

Mar'13E Mar'14E

Dec'10

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E

Trailing

Dec'10

Dec'11

Dec'12E Dec'13E Trailing

2,987

17.42

25.51

1,900

36.41

51.95

4Q

PER

DPS

Mar'11

Mar'12 Mar'13E Mar'14E

Mar'11 Mar'12 Mar'13E Mar'14E

Dec'10

Dec'11 Dec'12E Dec'13E

Dec'10 Dec'11 Dec'12E Dec'13E Trailing

4Q

Mar'13
Dec'12

Trailing

ROE

DY (%)

(%)

Banking, Finance & Insurance


Centra l Fi na nce

CFIN.N0000

Ceyl i nco Ins ura nce

CINS.N0000

Commerci a l Ba nk

COMB.N0000 D

Commerci a l Ba nk [X]

COMB.X0000

DFCC Ba nk

Buy

190.00

15,406

104.9

19,928 146.89

1.29

1,827

2,675

1,044.50

13,019

26.4

27,590 492.87

2.12

962

1,372

Buy

123.30

52,833

848.6

104,633

62.26

1.98

5,508

8,048

10,080

11,806

10,056

6.49

9.48

11.88

Buy

98.80

52,833

848.6

83,842

62.26

1.59

5,508

8,048

10,080

11,806

10,056

6.49

9.48

DFCC.N0000

MTB

144.90

26,901

265.1

38,413 101.48

1.43

5,090

2,900

3,078

3,453

3,062

19.20

Ha tton Na ti ona l Ba nk

HNB.N0000

Buy

169.90

45,668

398.1

67,632 114.73

1.48

4,787

6,149

8,111

9,594

8,086

Ha tton Na ti ona l Ba nk [X]

HNB.X0000

Buy

127.00

45,668

398.1

50,555 114.73

1.11

4,787

6,149

8,111

9,594

La nka Ori x Lea s i ng Compa ny LOLC.N0000

60.70

20,745

475.2

28,845

43.65

1.39

3,840

6,379

LB Fi na nce

LFIN.N0000

Buy

129.90

4,907

69.3

8,997

70.85

1.83

1,020

1,625

1,826

Na ti ona l Devel opment Ba nk NDB.N0000

Buy

176.90

24,928

164.2

29,047 151.81

1.17

2,150

2,706

Na ti ons Trus t Ba nk

NTB.N0000

Buy

67.00

10,095

230.6

15,451

43.78

1.53

1,084

Pa n As i a Ba nk

PABC.N0000

Buy

21.00

4,142

295.0

6,196

14.04

1.50

Peopl e's Lea s i ng

PLC.N0000

Buy

14.90

18,370

1,579.9

23,540

11.63

Sa mpa th Ba nk

SAMP.N0000

Buy

223.00

25,446

167.8

Seyl a n Ba nk

SEYB.N0000

70.30

19,775

La nka Ori x Fi na nce

LOFC.N0000

3.40

Sample Sector (16)

28.47

75

46

71.94

40

43

13.91

11.85

31

46

25

11.88

13.91

11.85

31

46

10.94

11.61

13.02

11.55

97

12.02

15.45

20.38

24.10

20.31

8,086

12.02

15.45

20.38

24.10

3,768

8.08

13.42

2,231

1,792

14.73

23.46

26.37

8,854

3,533

8,874

13.09

16.48

1,534

1,951

2,455

1,915

4.70

362

824

811

859

811

1.28

2,605

4,503

2,691

3,015

37,410 151.68

1.47

3,484

4,151

5,212

5,636

345.0

24,251

57.32

1.23

1,207

1,006

2,063

5,355

2,800.0

9,520

1.91

1.78

1,246

1,246

903

287,590

7,770.0

441,450

37.01

1.53

35,172

45,118

Full Sector (60)

584,001

3,131

3,887

958

29.86

37.06

10.9

7.4

28.7

20.1

17

19.0

13.0

10.4

25

17

15.2

10.4

(43)

12

7.5

28

32

18

20.31

28

32

18

7.93

109

66

32.21

25.87

104

59

12

53.92

21.52

54.04

26

6.65

8.46

10.65

8.31

58

1.23

2.79

2.75

2.91

2.75

3,193

1.65

2.85

1.70

1.91

5,212

20.77

24.74

31.07

33.60

2,166

3.50

2.92

5.98

1,234

0.45

0.44

0.32

73,197

4.53

5.81

0.34

17

24

6.7

1.7

0.9

17.4

14.5

12.5

1.2

10.5

8.9

10.4

4.5

3.6

15.2

8.3

7.1

8.3

4.5

4.6

15.2

13.2

12.5

11.1

12.5

5.0

3.5

10.8

14.1

11.0

8.3

7.0

8.4

8.5

5.0

13.5

10.6

8.2

6.2

5.3

6.3

8.5

6.7

13.5

7.5

4.5

7.7

0.5

0.8

30.8

22

8.8

5.5

4.9

4.0

5.0

5.0

3.8

33.1

227

(60)

13.5

10.7

3.3

8.2

3.3

15.0

8.5

10.9

41

27

26

14.3

10.1

7.9

6.3

8.1

2.1

3.1

15.2

(7)

128

(2)

17.1

7.5

7.6

7.2

7.6

1.0

4.8

19.9

2.02

126

73

(40)

12

9.0

5.2

8.7

7.8

7.4

0.8

5.0

24.5

31.07

68

19

26

10.7

9.0

7.2

6.6

7.2

6.0

2.7

16.3

6.28

117

(17)

105

20.1

24.1

11.8

11.2

1.0

1.4

5.1

0.44

1,229

(0)

(28)

7.6

7.6

10.5

7.7

23.3

9.42

57

28

12.6

9.8

6.4

5.1

9.9

6.0

1.60

15.7

10.8

Beverage, Food and Tobacco


Ca rgi l l s

CARG.N0000

177.40

7,793

224.0

39,738

Ceyl on Toba cco Compa ny

CTC.N0000

985.40

3,660

187.3

184,589

Di s ti l l eri es

DIST.N0000

203.40

40,723

300.0

61,020 135.74

Li on Brewery

LION.N0000

419.90

5,679

80.0

33,592

Nes tl e (La nka )

NEST.N0000

2,000.70

3,775

53.7

61,630

845.0

Buy

Sample Sector (5)


Full Sector (20)

34.79

5.10

1,089

1,079

704

1,315

776

4.86

4.82

3.14

5.87

3.46

54

(1)

(35)

87

36.5

36.8

56.5

30.2

51.2

2.0

1.1

13.8

19.54 50.43

5,097

6,569

8,176

8,685

8,152

27.21

35.07

43.65

46.36

43.52

24

29

24

36.2

28.1

22.6

21.3

22.6

45.2

4.6

179.5

1.50

8,124

5,982

6,109

7,643

7,409

27.08

19.94

20.36

25.48

24.70

186

(26)

25

8.0

5.91

1,013

1,262

1,046

1,001

12.67

15.78

13.07

12.51

58

25

(17)

107,489

70.27 28.47

1,891

2,633

2,994

3,281

2,994

35.19

49.01

55.73

61.07

55.73

20

39

14

426,427

72.93

17,214

17,525

19,028

20,924

20,332

20.37

20.74

22.52

24.76

24.06

74

70.99

485,051

6.92

7.5

10.2

10.0

33.1

26.6

32.1

10

56.9

40.8

35.9

10

24.8

24.3

22.4

8.2

3.0

1.5

14.7

33.6

4.0

1.0

22.2

32.8

35.9

54.0

2.7

69.8

20.4

21.0

5.18

28.4

24.5

Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals


CIC Hol di ngs

CIC.N0000

75.00

7,291

94.8

7,108

76.93

0.97

929

916

339

9.80

9.67

3.58

57

(1)

7.7

7.8

21.0

0.6

0.8

12.6

La nkem Ceyl on

LCEY.N0000

168.00

4,053

24.0

4,032 168.87

0.99

1,131

552

266

47.13

23.01

11.07

230

(51)

3.6

7.3

15.2

2.5

1.5

13.6

11,343

118.8

0.98

2,060

1,469

605

17.34

12.37

5.09

121

(29)

5.4

7.6

18.4

Sample Sector (2)


Full Sector (10)

11,140

95.51

21,859

1.12

12.9

13.5

Construction & Engineering


Col ombo Dockya rd

DOCK.N0000

235.00

Sample Sector (1)

10,407

71.9

16,887 144.82

1.62

2,081

1,804

1,977

1,974

28.96

25.10

27.51

27.46

(3)

(13)

10

8.1

9.4

8.5

8.6

10,407

71.9

16,887 144.82

1.62

2,081

1,804

1,977

1,974

28.96

25.10

27.51

27.46

(3)

(13)

10

8.1

9.4

8.5

8.6

20,371

1.36

Full Sector (4)

8.0

3.4

17.3
17.3

6.2

Diversified Holdings
Ai tken Spence

SPEN.N0000

134.00

26,548

406.0

54,403

65.39

2.05

2,536

3,709

3,830

6.25

9.14

9.43

22

46

21.5

14.7

14.2

1.5

1.1

CT Hol di ngs

CTHR.N0000

145.00

12,775

183.1

26,549

69.77

2.08

864

1,213

1,201

4.72

6.63

6.56

131

40

30.7

21.9

22.1

2.1

1.4

9.5

Ca rs ons Cumberba tch

CARS.N0000

441.90

32,105

196.4

86,783 163.48

2.70

4,541

5,763

2,989

23.12

29.34

15.22

38

27

19.1

15.1

29.0

2.0

0.5

17.9

Expol a nka Hol di ngs

EXPO.N0000

7.00

8,884

1,954.9

13,684

Ha yl eys

HAYL.N0000

303.10

19,501

75.0

Hema s Hol di ngs

HHL.N0000

36.90

11,141

John Keel l s Hol di ngs

JKH.N0000

285.00

Ri cha rd Pei ri s

RICH.N0000

Softl ogi c Hol di ngs

SHL.N0000

Va l l i bel One

VONE.N0000

LTB

Buy

4.54

1.54

1,547

1,055

1,070

0.79

0.54

0.55

199

(32)

8.8

13.0

12.8

0.1

1.7

11.9

22,733 260.02

1.17

725

2,520

1,543

9.66

33.60

20.57

(59)

248

31.4

9.0

14.7

4.0

1.3

12.9

515.3

19,014

21.62

1.71

1,210

1,209

1,439

2.35

2.35

2.79

34

(0)

15.7

15.7

13.2

0.5

1.4

10.9

76,368

857.5

244,378

89.06

3.20

8,246

9,775

11,065

9.62

11.40

12.90

59

19

29.6

25.0

22.1

3.5

1.2

12.8

7.40

7,489

1,939.2

14,350

3.86

1.92

1,681

2,340

2,053

0.87

1.21

1.06

190

39

8.5

6.1

7.0

0.7

9.5

31.2

11.80

8,086

779.0

9,192

10.38

1.14

829

494

215

1.06

0.63

0.28

438

(40)

11.1

18.6

42.7

0.3

2.5

6.1

19.80

30,846

1,086.6

21,514

28.39

0.70

579

2,025

2,215

0.53

1.86

37.2

10.6

9.7

0.3

1.5

233,744

7,992.9

512,602

29.24

2.19

22,757

30,103

27,620

2.85

3.77

22.5

17.0

Sample Sector (10)


Full Sector (18)

556,579

1,264

1,695

1,802

2,323

0.65

1.56

0.92

2.14

2.04
3.46

250
53

32

20

(16)

43

37

2.05

10.8

12.7

7.6

14.0

9.3

18.6

6.6
12.9

16.9

Healthcare
As i ri Hos pi ta l Hol d.

ASIR.N0000

15.60

7,111

1,099.1

17,146

6.47

2.41

191

440

609

0.17

0.40

0.55

130

89.9

39.0

28.2

0.3

1.6

6.2

Na wa l oka Hos pi ta l s

NHL.N0000

3.30

3,583

1,409.5

4,651

2.54

1.30

1,071

275

504

0.76

0.20

0.36

999

(74)

4.3

16.9

9.2

0.1

1.5

7.7

La nka Hos pi ta l s

LHCL.N0000

42.00

27,164

223.7

9,397 121.41

0.35

289

424

384

1.29

1.89

1.72

3,892

46

32.5

22.2

24.5

0.5

1.2

1.6

37,858

2,732.3

0.82

1,551

1,139

1,497

0.57

0.42

0.55

436

(27)

20.1

Softlogic Equity Research

Sample Sector (3)


Full Sector (6)

31,194
46,310

13.86

2.05

384

20.8
13.8

3.0

Page | 11

Name

Y/E

Rec

Mkt Price

Book

Share

Market

31-May-13

Val.

Cap.

Cap.

Mar'11

Mar'12

Mar'13E

Mar'14E

4Q

Mar'11

Mar'12

Mar'13E Mar'14E

4Q

Mar'11

Mar'12

Mar'13E Mar'14E

Mar'11 Mar'12 Mar'13E Mar'14E

4Q

Mar'13

('Mn)

('Mn)

('Mn)

Dec'10

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E

Trailing

Dec'10

Dec'11

Dec'12E Dec'13E

Trailing

Dec'10

Dec'11

Dec'12E Dec'13E

Dec'10 Dec'11 Dec'12E Dec'13E

Trailing

Dec'12

NAVPS

Earnings

P / BV

EPS

EPS Growth (%)

PER

DPS

Trailing

ROE

DY (%)

(%)

Hotels and Travels


Ai tken Sp. Ho. Hol d.

AHUN.N0000 M

Buy

79.40

11,713

336.3

26,701

34.83

2.28

1,034

1,395

1,897

2,148

1,534

3.07

4.15

5.64

6.39

4.56

97

35

36

13

25.8

19.1

14.1

12.4

17.4

1.0

1.3

11.9

Ama ya Lei s ure

CONN.N0000

Buy

80.00

2,359

48.0

3,843

49.12

1.63

470

296

344

376

360

9.78

6.16

7.16

7.83

7.50

578

(37)

16

8.2

13.0

11.2

10.2

10.7

4.0

5.0

12.5

As i a n Hotel s & Prop.

AHPL.N0000

Buy

76.90

14,803

442.8

34,049

33.43

2.30

1,775

2,151

2,332

2,623

2,565

4.01

4.86

5.27

5.92

5.79

182

21

12

19.2

15.8

14.6

13.0

13.3

4.0

5.2

14.5

Keel l s Hotel s

KHL.N0000

13.30

13,704

1,456.1

19,367

9.41

1.41

524

1,105

1,321

1,496

1,077

0.36

0.76

0.91

1.03

0.74

156

111

20

13

37.0

17.5

14.7

12.9

18.0

0.3

2.3

8.1

Ta j

TAJ.N0000

30.80

2,304

139.6

4,301

16.50

1.87

99

125

246

293

205

0.71

0.89

1.76

2.10

1.47

373

26

97

19

43.3

34.5

17.5

14.7

21.0

0.0

0.0

5.4

Tra ns As i a

TRAN.N0000

82.10

5,259

200.0

16,420

26.30

3.12

660

631

987

1,180

895

3.30

3.15

4.94

5.90

4.48

533

(4)

57

20

24.9

26.0

16.6

13.9

18.3

2.0

2.4

12.0

50,143

2,622.9

104,681

19.12

2.09

4,561

5,703

7,127

8,116

5,637

1.74

2.17

2.72

3.09

2.15

205

25

25

14

22.9

18.4

14.7

12.9

18.6

Sample Sector (6)


Full Sector (36)

161,301

1.69

11.4

32.5

Land and Property


Col ombo La nd

CLND.N0000

52.60

3,715

199.9

10,514

18.59

2.83

485

10

16

18

50

2.43

0.05

0.08

0.09

0.25 20,836

(98)

67

13

21.7

Hi gh

657.1

584.1

210.5

0.0

0.0

0.3

Overs ea s Rea l i ty

OSEA.N0000

20.70

21,966

843.5

17,460

26.04

0.79

844

2,707

1,644

1,924

2,473

1.00

3.21

1.95

2.28

2.93

(37)

221

(39)

17

20.7

6.5

10.6

9.1

7.1

0.3

1.4

12.3

25,682

1,043.4

27,974

24.61

1.09

1,330

2,717

1,660

1,942

2,522

1.27

2.60

1.59

1.86

2.42

(1)

104

(39)

17

21.0

10.3

16.9

14.4

11.1

0.9

10.6

Sample Sector (2)


Full Sector (18)

44,769

0.98

10.7

Manufacturing
ACL Ca bl es

ACL.N0000

76.80

5,444

59.9

4,600

90.89

0.84

214

244

637

3.56

4.08

10.64

5,603

15

21.5

18.8

7.2

1.0

1.3

4.5

Gra i n El eva tors

GRAN.N0000

48.00

2,060

60.0

2,880

34.33

1.40

475

388

135

100

133

7.91

6.46

2.24

1.67

2.21

255

(18)

(65)

(26)

6.1

7.4

21.4

28.8

21.7

0.0

0.0

18.8

Chevron Lubri ca nts

LLUB.N0000

328.30

4,536

120.0

39,396

37.80

8.69

1,501

2,001

2,288

2,575

2,396

12.51

16.67

19.06

21.46

19.97

33

14

13

26.2

19.7

17.2

15.3

16.4

11.0

3.4

44.1

La nka Wa l l ti l e

LWL.N0000

72.00

4,222

54.6

3,931

77.33

0.93

484

731

646

8.87

13.39

11.84

51

8.1

5.4

6.1

4.0

5.6

17.3

Pi ra ma l Gl a s s

GLAS.N0000

LT Buy

6.70

3,629

950.1

6,366

3.82

1.75

579

686

724

761

732

0.61

0.72

0.76

0.80

0.77

1,047

19

11.0

9.3

8.8

8.4

8.7

0.4

5.4

18.9

Roya l Cera mi c

RCL.N0000

LT Buy

106.60

8,213

110.8

11,810

74.13

1.44

1,441

1,958

1,601

1,977

1,654

13.01

17.68

14.45

17.84

14.92

49

36

(18)

23

8.2

6.0

7.4

6.0

7.1

2.0

1.9

23.8

Textured Jers ey

TJL.N0000

Buy

12.00

5,732

655.0

7,860

8.75

1.37

685

628

1,017

1,164

1,017

1.05

0.96

1.55

1.78

1.55

19

(8)

62

14

11.5

12.5

7.7

6.8

7.7

0.7

5.5

11.0

Tokyo Cement

TKYO.N0000

25.90

6,274

303.8

7,867

20.66

1.25

856

979

511

2.82

3.22

1.68

132

14

9.2

8.0

15.4

1.3

5.0

15.6

40,110

2,314.1

84,710

17.33

2.11

6,234

7,616

7,725

2.69

3.29

3.34

58

22

13.6

11.1

11.0

3.5

19.0

Hold

Sample Sector (8)


Full Sector (36)

110,530

1.55

11.5

Motors
Col oni a l Motors

COLO.N0000

118.30

2,657

15.2

1,798 174.79

0.68

232

1,163

692

Di es el & Motor Engi neeri ng

DIMO.N0000

574.60

7,671

8.9

5,100 864.25

0.66

2,122

2,697

1,868

Uni ted Motors

UML.N0000

121.40

6,687

67.3

8,166

99.41

1.22

903

2,275

1,466

2,160

17,016

91.3

15,065 186.28

0.89

3,256

6,135

4,026

3,904

23,999

1.15

Sample Sector (3)


Full Sector (6)

847

15.24

76.48

45.53

55.75

473

402

(40)

7.8

1.5

2.6

2.1

4.0

3.4

43.8

897 239.03

303.87

210.44

101.10

755

27

(31)

2.4

1.9

2.7

5.7

40.0

7.0

35.2

13.42

33.83

21.79

32.10

522

152

(36)

9.0

3.6

5.6

3.8

6.0

4.9

34.0

35.65

67.17

44.08

42.74

651

88

(34)

4.6

2.5

3.7

3.9

5.4

36.1

7.8

Oil Palms
Buki t Da ra h

BUKI.N0000

710.00

Sample Sector (1)

31,304

102.0

72,420 306.91

2.31

5,111

5,804

3,820

50.11

56.90

37.45

76

14

14.2

12.5

19.0

3.0

0.4

18.5

31,304

102.0

72,420 306.91

2.31

5,111

5,804

3,820

50.11

56.90

37.45

76

14

14.2

12.5

19.0

3.0

0.4

18.5

Full Sector (5)

105,328

1.93

35.4

Plantations
Ba l a ngoda

BALA.N0000

31.80

1,462

23.6

752

61.87

0.51

164

25

118

6.96

1.08

5.01

101

(85)

4.6

29.6

6.3

0.0

Hora na

HOPL.N0000

28.20

1,173

25.0

705

46.94

0.60

326

70

204

13.03

2.81

8.17

244

(78)

2.2

10.0

3.5

1.0

Kega l l e

KGAL.N0000

113.70

3,338

25.0

2,843 133.52

0.85

838

681

693

33.51

27.26

27.73

129

(19)

3.4

4.2

4.1

7.5

6.6

20.4

Kel a ni Va l l ey

KVAL.N0000

83.90

2,568

34.0

2,853

75.54

1.11

321

460

583

9.43

13.54

17.16

852

44

8.9

6.2

4.9

6.0

7.2

17.9

Kota ga l a

KOTA.N0000

56.00

2,811

40.0

2,240

70.27

0.80

668

439

608

16.69

10.97

15.19

107

(34)

3.4

5.1

3.7

2.0

3.6

15.6

Wa ta wa l a

WATA.N0000 M

12.70

3,379

236.7

3,006

14.28

0.89

642

413

898

2.71

1.74

3.79

49

(36)

4.7

7.3

3.3

0.4

14,732

384.3

12,397

38.34

0.84

2,959

2,089

3,105

7.70

5.44

8.08

136

(29)

4.2

5.9

4.0

Sample Sector (6)


Full Sector (18)

26,161

118

584

0.84

1.7
6.0

12.2
14.2

4.6

Power and Energy


La nka IOC

LIOC.N0000

26.90

12,220

532.5

14,325

22.95

1.17

877

906

2,144

1.65

1.70

4.03

307

16.3

15.8

6.7

0.0

Va l l i bel

VPEL.N0000

6.20

2,108

747.1

4,632

2.82

2.20

422

254

276

0.57

0.34

0.37

(40)

11.0

18.2

16.8

0.3

4.0

12.1

La ugfs Ga s

LGL.N0000

30.50

6,486

387.0

11,804

16.76

1.82

853

942

1,196

2.20

2.43

3.09

62

11

13.8

12.5

9.9

1.5

4.9

14.5

20,814

1,666.6

30,761

12.49

1.48

2,151

2,102

3,616

1.29

1.26

2.17

315

(2)

14.3

14.6

8.5

Sample Sector (3)


Full Sector (8)

38,360

1.44

7.4

10.1

9.8

Telecommunications
Di a l og Axi a ta

DIAL.N0000

9.50

37,182

8,143.8

77,366

4.57

2.08

5,047

5,354

6,521

7,569

6,030

0.62

0.66

0.80

0.93

0.74

141

22

16

15.3

14.5

11.9

10.2

12.8

0.3

3.5

Sri La nka Tel ecom

SLTL.N0000

42.50

54,550

1,804.9

76,707

30.22

1.41

3,943

4,781

5,329

5,912

3,739

2.18

2.65

2.95

3.28

2.07

402

21

11

11

19.5

16.0

14.4

13.0

20.5

0.9

2.0

91,732

9,948.6

154,072

9.22

1.68

8,990

10,135

11,850

13,481

9,769

0.90

1.02

1.19

1.36

0.98

179

13

17

14

17.1

15.2

13.0

11.4

15.8

Sample Sector (2)


Full Sector (2)

154,160

1.68

14.4
8.8
11.0

15.8

Trading
Browns

BRWN.N0000 M

Si nger Sri La nka

SINS.N0000

Sample Sector (2)


Full Sector (8)
Sample Market (70)

Softlogic Equity Research

Total Market (283)

124.10

13,782

70.9

0.64

2,188

1,169

99.20

4,769

125.2

12,421

8,796 194.46
38.09

2.60

668

1,263

18,551

196.1

21,216

94.61

1.14

2,856

2,432

26,758
952,656 37,900.3 1,962,996
2,474,183

1,138

224

30.87

16.49

3.16

116

(47)

4.0

7.5

39.2

1.3

1.1

8.5

1,148

5.34

10.08

9.17

403

89

18.6

9.8

10.8

6.0

6.0

26.5

1,373

14.57

12.40

7.00

149

(15)

7.4

8.7

15.5

1.19
25.14

2.06
1.89

13.1

16.4
118,282 141,888 151,820 176,111 166,696

3.12

3.74

4.01

4.65

4.40

127

20

16

16.6

13.8

12.9

11.1

11.8

14.9

15.2

Page | 12

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