Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
in Figures
2013
Data Sources
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Stainless Steel in Figures 2013
Page 2
Table of Contents
Secretary Generals Message .......................................................... 4
Secon 1: History and Compeon
Compound annual growth rate of world stainless crude steel produc on........... 5
Regional share of stainless steel produc on (2005 versus 2012) ......................... 5
Stainless steel versus plas cs - produc on evolu on (1980 - 2011) .................... 6
Compound annual growth rate of major metals (1980 - 2012) ............................ 6
Secon 3: Potenal
Demand versus real stainless steel use - Europe (Q1 2002 - Q4 2012) ...........................14
Demand versus real stainless steel use - Americas (Q1 2002 - Q4 2012) ........................14
Demand versus real stainless steel use - Asia, excluding China (Q1 2002 - Q4 2012) ....15
Demand versus real stainless steel use - China (Q1 2002 - Q4 2012) ..............................15
Demand versus real stainless steel use - World (Q1 2002 - Q4 2012) ............................16
Per-capita direct and indirect use of stainless steel (2000, 2005, 2010) ............. 16
Per-capita direct and indirect use of stainless steel (2005 and 2010) ................. 17
GDP PPP per capita versus stainless steel use per capita (2005 and 2010) ......... 18
Comparison of direct versus total stainless steel use (2005 and 2010) ............... 19
Page 3
John Rowe
Secretary General,
Interna onal Stainless Steel Forum (ISSF)
Brussels, May 2013
Page 4
crisis
35
35.4 Mt
(2012)
DD
30
2001 recession
25
20
Asian crises
15
First Gulf war
10
1 Mt
1950
2012p
2%
34%
39%
21%
25%
7%
13%
EU-27
11%
Americas
45%
Other Asia
(excluding China)
China
Rest of world
Figure 2: Regional share of stainless steel producon: 2005 (le) and 2012p (right)
Stainless Steel in Figures 2013
Page 5
300
250
W
200
Stainless steel
150
100
6.9 Mt
50
1980
2011
Figure 3: Stainless steel producon versus plascs producon: 1980 2011. The producon
evoluon of both materials is similar, though stainless steel is more volale.
Lead
2.29%
Copper
2.56%
Zinc
2.48%
Aluminium
3.52%
Carbon steel
2.61%
Stainless steel
5.57%
Average: 2.69%
Figure 4: Compound annual growth rate of major metals (%/year): 1980 - 2012
Stainless Steel in Figures 2013
Page 6
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011r
2012p
Belgium
1,522
1,521
1,471
1,045
1,306
1,241
1,241
Finland
1,303
975
957
726
998
1,003
1,078
France
529
308
297
202
276
300
285
Germany
1,724
1,505
1,574
1,320
1,509
1,502
1,313
Italy
1,832
1,558
1,471
1,216
1,583
1,602
1,696
Spain
1,257
1,105
998
693
844
807
844
Sweden
684
645
574
445
546
586
510
United Kingdom
375
351
340
224
279
330
294
Other EU
152
148
158
114
152
188
195
European Union
9,379
8,115
7,838
5,986
7,494
7,559
7,455
USA
2,460
2,171
1,925
1,617
2,201
2,074
1,977
491
433
390
324
409
413
391
Americas
2,951
2,604
2,315
1,942
2,609
2,486
2,368
Japan
4,073
3,882
3,567
2,607
3,427
3,247
3,166
South Korea
2,278
1,942
1,660
1,677
2,048
2,157
2,167
Taiwan, China
1,724
1,515
1,297
1,468
1,514
1,203
1,109
China
5,299
7,206
6,943
8,805
11,256
14,091
16,087
Brazil
India
2,006
1,966
1,832
1,721
2,022
2,163
2,279
Asia
15,380
16,510
15,299
16,277
20,267
22,861
24,807
South Africa
727
651
528
546
480
443
503
Russia
131
143
135
86
122
125
112
Ukraine
138
124
104
67
118
147
118
28,706
28,146
26,218
24,904
31,090
33,621
35,363
World
Table 1:
Page 7
2012 p
2,211
-0.3
2011
2,082
2012 p
World
89
China
2,218
779
2,238
3,412
8,736
87
607
2,226
3,790
8,922
-2.6
-22.0
-0.6
11.1
2.1
114
598
2,134
3,510
8,438
2,065
98
613
2,236
4,006
9,017
-0.9
-14.1
2.5
4.8
14.1
6.9
2011
4,300
203
1,377
4,373
6,922
17,174
2012 p
4,276
184
1,220
4,462
7,796
17,939
-0.6
-9.0
-11.3
2.0
12.6
4.5
2011
1,684
104
553
2,220
3,535
8,097
2012 p
1,756
90
603
2,118
4,015
8,582
% change
Quarter 2
% change
First half
% change
Quarter 3
% change
Quarter 4
4.2
-13.7
9.1
-4.6
13.6
6.0
2011
1,899
84
557
2,177
3,634
8,351
2012 p
1,798
85
545
2,140
4,275
8,843
% change
Second half
-5.3
0.7
-2.2
-1.7
17.6
5.9
2011
3,583
188
1,110
4,397
7,169
16,448
2012 p
3,553
175
1,148
4,258
8,291
17,424
-0.8
-7.3
3.4
-3.2
15.6
5.9
2011
7,883
391
2,486
8,770
14,091
33,621
2012 p
7,829
359
2,368
8,720
16,087
35,363
-0.7
-8.2
-4.7
-0.6
14.2
5.2
% change
Full year
% change
Table 2:
Asia
(excluding
China)
2011
The
Americas
Central &
Eastern
Europe
Quarter 1
Western
Europe/
Africa
Page 8
Hot coils
23.3%
Figure 5:
Stainless steel foreign trade 2011 (above) and 2012 (below). In 2011, 79% of all stainless
exports were flat rolled products. In 2012, the share was 81%.
Cold flat
47.0%
Hot coils
25.4%
Page 9
Total
Others
Asia
Africa
Middle
East
Eastern
Europe
Western
Europe
NAFTA
Lan
America
Origin
NAFTA
Desnaon
366.5
80.0
141.6
1.1
3.9
1.3
99.8
0.8
695.1
La n
America
21.3
61.6
17.1
0.5
1.9
4.2
13.8
0.1
120.4
Western
Europe
726.5
73.7
5,478.4
723.7
78.7
66.9
568.1
33.0
7,749.0
Eastern
Europe
14.2
0.9
201.3
131.7
0.7
1.4
6.6
0.0
356.8
Middle East
Africa
Asia
Others
Total
Table 3:
3.6
0.5
21.3
2.0
67.4
0.0
7.8
0.5
103.2
40.1
22.4
85.0
4.3
16.4
6.4
74.1
0.1
248.8
389.7
152.5
965.5
189.1
200.1
77.3
4,401.1
94.7
6,469.9
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.7
0.9
2.0
1,562.1
391.7
6,910.4
1,052.5
369.1
157.5
5,171.9
130.1
15,745.2
Foreign trade exports of stainless steel in 2011 (above) and 2012 (below).
(1,000 metric tonnes.) Includes feedstock material for further processing.
Others
Middle
East
Eastern
Europe
Western
Europe
79.8
148.8
1.5
2.8
1.5
82.8
1.1
745.6
La n
America
37.6
57.7
8.1
0.3
1.5
3.3
10.8
0.1
119.3
Western
Europe
846.3
87.3
5,278.3
698.8
63.8
82.7
510.3
22.8
7,590.3
Eastern
Europe
13.7
0.8
201.1
156.6
2.7
0.7
6.2
0.0
381.9
Middle
East*
4.3
0.3
6.3
0.3
n/a
0.0
7.1
0.4
18.6
Africa
36.6
40.5
88.9
8.2
16.9
6.5
91.9
1.1
290.07
395.4
155.0
849.0
204.5
145.4
73.4
4,292.5
76.5
6,191.6
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.3
1.0
1.1
2.6
1,761.4
421.3
6,580.7
1,070.1
233.1
168.5
5,002.5
103.1
15,340.6
Asia
Others
Total
Note:
Total
427.5
Asia
NAFTA
Africa
Origin
NAFTA
Lan
America
Desnaon
Page 10
Total
Others
Asia
Africa
Middle
East
Eastern
Europe
Western
Europe
NAFTA
Lan
America
Origin
NAFTA
Desnaon
156.9
1.0
162.2
0.1
0.4
0.1
569.1
0.8
890.5
La n
America
0.6
37.4
14.2
52.2
Western
Europe
1.6
0.2
2,138.9
97.4
6.4
0.7
517.4
0.0
2,762.7
Eastern
Europe
0.0
0.1
396.8
70.8
0.0
28.0
0.1
495.7
Middle East
0.4
47.7
1.2
0.8
39.3
89.4
Africa
0.3
18.9
1.5
1.1
23.6
45.3
Asia
4.8
0.0
35.1
0.3
592.6
0.2
633.1
Others
0.0
6.4
0.1
44.6
0.0
51.2
164.6
1.3
2,843.3
168.3
9.9
2.7
1,828.9
1.1
5,020.1
Total
Table 4:
Foreign trade exports for stainless steel scrap in 2011 (above) and
2012 (below). (1,000 metric tonnes.)
Others
Middle
East
Eastern
Europe
168.5
1.2
206.5
0.0
0.2
0.1
574.0
0.2
950.6
La n
America
0.2
0.0
49.4
0.0
13.2
62.8
Western
Europe
3.3
0.6
2,256.3
112.9
5.7
0.2
471.1
0.0
2,850.1
1.3
423.9
58.7
0.0
18.4
502.3
Middle
East*
0.1
31.0
56.5
87.6
Africa*
0.0
29.5
33.2
62.6
Asia
1.1
0.0
14.0
0.5
0.0
563.1
0.0
578.7
10.3
0.0
35.9
0.0
46.2
173.2
3.1
3,020.8
171.7
6.5
0.3
1,765.1
0.3
5,140.9
Eastern
Europe
Others
Total
Note:
Asia
Total
NAFTA
Africa
Origin
NAFTA
Lan
America
Western
Europe
Desnaon
Page 11
2000
2001
2002
Western Europe
2003
2004
2005
Central/Eastern Europe
2006
2007
Americas
2008
2009
2010
2011 2012 p
China
Others
-1.0%
-6.8%
-5.0% +24.9%
N/A
+5.2%
35,363
33,621
35,000
28,706 28,146
30,000
22,840
25,000
26,218
24,570 24,546
31,094
24,904
20,690
19,187
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Western Europe/Africa
2005
2006
2007
Central/Eastern Europe
2008
2009
Americas
2010
Asia (excl. China)
2011* 2012p
China
Figure 7: Stainless crude steel producon by region: 2001 - 2012p (in 000 metric tonnes)
Stainless Steel in Figures 2013
Page 12
24.4
23.0
51.5
24.1
24.5
49.9
26.0
17.8
25.5
25.0
26.9
54.7
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
15.6
10%
57.4
64.7
62.3
20%
65.5
30%
20.4
40%
53.2
50%
17.4
60%
54.3
13.4
55.2
29.9
13.6
57.4
10.4
6.5
70.6
70%
10.9
5.7
71.3
9.4
5.5
70.6
80%
27.8
13.2
56.5
27.9
28.1
12.5
56.9
22.8
24.5
23.0
22.0
22.1
90%
23.0
100%
Q1
Q2
Q3
2012p
Q4
2011* 2012p
Cr grades (400 series)
Other/not known
10,000
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
2001
2002
2003
Quarter 1
2004
2005
2006
Quarter 2
2007
2008
2009
Quarter 3
2010
2011* 2012p
Quarter 4
Figure 9: Global stainless crude steel producon by quarter (in 000 metric tonnes)
Stainless Steel in Figures 2013
Page 13
Section 3: Potential
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
Figure 10: Stainless steel demand versus real stainless steel use - Europe (Q1 2002 to Q4 2012p)
120
110
100
90
80
70
60
Figure 11: Stainless steel demand versus real stainless steel use - The Americas
(Q1 2002 to Q4 2012p)
Stainless Steel in Figures 2013
Page 14
150
140
130
120
110
100
90
80
Figure 12: Stainless steel demand versus real stainless steel use - Asia, excluding China
(Q1 2002 to Q4 2012p)
Index: 2005 = 100
280
260
240
220
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
Figure 13: Stainless steel demand versus real stainless steel use - China (Q1 2002 to Q4 2012p)
Stainless Steel in Figures 2013
Page 15
Section 3: Potential
Index: 2005 = 100
190
180
170
160
150
140
130
120
110
100
90
80
Figure 14: Stainless steel demand versus real stainless steel use - World (Q1 2002 to Q4 2012p)
35
30
25
2000
2005
2010
20
15
10
5
0
Ta
i
an
,C
hi
na
Ko
re
a
Ja
pa
n
Ita
l
Sw y
ed
Ge en
rm
an
y
Sp
ai
n
U
Au SA
st
ra
lia
Un
ite Fr
a
d
n
Ki ce
ng
d
Th om
a
So
il
ut and
h
Af
ric
a
Ch
in
Tu a
rk
e
Ru y
ss
i
M a
ex
ic
Br o
az
il
In
do
ne
si
a
di
In
Figure 15: Comparison of per-capita direct and indirect use of stainless steel - selected
countries - 2000, 2005 and 2010 (kilograms/capita). Source: IMF, Yale.
Stainless Steel in Figures 2013
Page 16
re
a
pa
Ja
Ko
in
Ch
na
Ko
re
a
Ja
pa
n
Ita
l
Sw y
ed
Ge en
rm
an
y
Sp
ai
n
US
Au
A
st
ra
lia
Un
ite Fr
an
d
Ki ce
ng
d
Th om
So aila
ut
nd
h
Af
ric
a
Ch
in
Tu a
rk
e
Ru y
ss
i
M a
ex
ic
Br o
az
il
In
do
ne
si
a
,C
hi
an
Ta
i
n
Ita
Sw ly
ed
Ge en
rm
an
Fr y
an
Un
ce
ite
Sp
d
a
Ki
i
ng n
do
m
M
ex
ic
o
US
Au
st A
ra
lia
So Ch
ut ina
h
Af
r
Th ica
ai
la
n
Tu d
rk
e
Ru y
ss
ia
Br
az
il
In
do
ne
si
a
an
,
Ta
iw
25
20
15
10
In
di
In
Figure 16: Per-capita direct and indirect use of stainless steel (kilograms/capita) for selected
countries - 2005 (above) and 2010 (below). Source: IMF, Yale.
35
30
25
20
15
10
di
Page 17
Section 3: Potential
GDP/capita
US$45,000
USA
US$40,000
US$35,000
United Kingdom
US$30,000
Australia
Sweden
Germany
France
Spain
Japan
Taiwan, China
Italy
US$25,000
Korea
US$20,000
US$15,000 Mexico
Russia
Turkey
South Africa
Brazil
Thailand
Indonesia China
India
US$10,000
US$5,000
10
15
kg/capita
20
25
USA
US$45,000
Australia
US$40,000
United
Kingdom
US$35,000
Germany
France
Taiwan, China
Japan
Italy
Spain
US$30,000
Sweden
Korea
US$25,000
US$20,000
Russia
Mexico
Brazil Turkey
South Africa
US$10,000
Thailand
China
Indonesia
US$5,000
India
US$15,000
10
15
20
kg/capita
25
30
35
Page 18
45
Direct use
40
Total use
kg/capita
35
30
25
20
15
10
il
Br
az
in
Ch
ce
Fr
an
an
Ge
rm
Ita
ly
pa
Ja
re
a
Ko
di
In
Un
ite
d
US
A
Ki
ng
Ta
do
iw
m
an
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hi
na
Sp
So
ai
n
ut
h
Af
ric
a
Ru
ss
ia
M
ex
ic
o
45
(plus trade balance of stainless containing goods) in 2005 (above) and 2010 (below).
Source: IMF, Yale, Vale Inco.
Direct use
40
Total use
kg/capita
35
30
25
20
15
10
Fr
an
ce
Ch
in
a
Br
az
il
rm
an
Ge
Ita
ly
n
pa
Ja
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Page 19
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