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Market Outlook

June 7, 2013

Dealers Diary
The Indian markets are expected to open in the red following negative opening

Domestic Indices

trades in the SGX Nifty and across major Asian bourses.

BSE Sensex

(0.2)

Nifty

(0.0)

(2)

5,921

0.1

6,424

The US markets continued to experience volatility over the course of the trading
session on Thursday before ending the day mostly higher. The volatility was due to

MID CAP

(Pts)

(Close)

(49) 19,519

0.1

5,968

BSE HC

(1.2)

(107)

8,895

Friday. The report could have a substantial impact on the near-term outlook for

BSE PSU

(0.2)

(15)

6,612

both the economy and the Federal Reserve's stimulus program as Fed officials have

BANKEX

0.8

117 14,176

suggested that signs of sustained improvement in the labor market could lead the

AUTO

(0.0)

(3) 11,045

central bank to scale back its asset purchase program within the next few meetings.

METAL

(0.4)

(35)

8,500

Meanwhile, the European markets finished to the downside on Thursday, after the

OIL & GAS

(0.7)

(62)

8,565

ECB and BoE left their respective interest rates unchanged.

BSE IT

(0.2)

(11)

6,042

Chg (%)

(Pts)

(Close)

uncertainty ahead of the release of the Labor Department's monthly jobs report on

Indian markets edged lower on Thursday, mirroring weak global cues as investors
were reluctant to make big bets ahead of Friday's all-important US monthly jobs
report, which will give clues to the next move from the Fed at its upcoming policy
meeting on June 18-19.

Markets Today
The trend deciding level for the day is 19,517 / 5,916 levels. If NIFTY trades above
this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further rally
up to 19,638 19,757 / 5,962 6,003 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below
19,517 / 5,916 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct up to
19,398 19,277 / 5,875 5,829 levels.
Indices

S2

S1

PIVOT

R1

R2

SENSEX
NIFTY

19,277
5,829

19,398
5,875

19,517
5,916

19,638
5,962

19,757
6,003

News Analysis

Dow Jones
NASDAQ

Net Inflows (June 5, 2013)


Purch
2,341
411

Sales
2,181
492

Net
160
(80)

MTD
840
(309)

YTD
82,677
(12,386)

FII Derivatives (June 6, 2013)


` cr
Index Futures
Stock Futures

Purch
1,111
1,372

Sales
2,246
1,416

Net
(1,135)
(44)

Open Interest
6,889
28,344

Gainers / Losers
Gainers
Price (`)
chg (%)

Muthoot Finance

Company

Losers
Price (`)
chg (%)

142

5.0

Container Corp.

1,154

(3.7)

82

4.9

Glenmark Pharma

579

(3.6)

Britannia Industries

693

4.2

Godrej Consumer

856

(3.2)

Canara Bank

415

3.6

Neyveli Lignite

63

(2.8)

Syndicate Bank

135

3.2

GlaxoS. Consumer

5,669

(2.8)

Uco Bank

www.angelbroking.com

0.5

80 15,041

0.7

23

3,424

FTSE

(1.3)

(83)

6,336

Nikkei

(0.9)

(111) 12,904

Hang Sang

(1.0)

(231) 21,838

Straits Times

(1.5)

(50)

3,194

Shanghai Com

(1.1)

(25)

2,242

Chg (%)

(Pts)

(Close)

INFY

0.2

0.1

$42.7

WIT

0.0

0.0

$7.5

IBN

2.0

0.9

$44.0

(0.1)

(0.0)

$39.1

Indian ADR

HDB

BSE

NSE

Advances

1,140

637

Declines

1,226

705

136

102

Unchanged

Refer detailed news analysis on the following page

Company

Global Indices

Advances / Declines

L&T has bagged various orders worth `2,002cr


Maruti Suzuki announces a one day shutdown at its plants
Swedish company Meda expands collaboration with Cipla

` cr
FII
MFs

SMALL CAP

Chg (%)

Volumes (` cr)

BSE

1,689

NSE

9,207

Market Outlook
June 7, 2013

L&T has bagged various orders worth `2,002cr


Larsen & Toubro (L&T) said it has bagged `528cr order for construction of office
building at Bangalore and Ahmedabad from esteemed clients. Also, in the water &
renewable energy segment it has bagged order worth `806cr primarily for EPC of
a solar photovoltaic power plant in Tamil Nadu. The company has bagged various
orders worth `451cr and `217cr in the transportation and power segment. We
continue to maintain our Buy rating on the stock with a target price of `1,761.

Maruti Suzuki announces a one day shutdown at its plants


According to media reports, Maruti Suzuki (MSIL) has announced a one day
shutdown across its plants on June 7, 2013 to avoid unnecessary build up of
inventory and align the production in-line with the market demand.The company's
plants in Gurgaon and Manesar will also remain closed on June 8, 2013 for a
scheduled holiday. The decision has been taken considering the weak demand in
the passenger vehicle industry which continues to witness slowdown in sales. MSIL
reported 14.4% yoy decline in its monthly sales in May 2013 with the compact
(down 20.4% mom and 29.4% yoy), super compact (down 11.2% mom and 2.5%
yoy) and utility vehicles (down 19% mom and 44.3% yoy) segments witnessing
sluggish performance during the month. Nevertheless, we expect MSIL's volumes to
improve in 2HFY2014 (expect ~8% volume growth in FY2014) driven by the
expected easing of interest rates which is likely to boost consumer sentiments
leading to demand revival in the passenger car segment. At `1,587, the stock is
trading at 12.9x FY2015 earnings. Currently, we have a Buy rating on the stock
with a target price of `1,847.

Swedish company Meda expands collaboration with Cipla


Swedish generic maker Meda pharma is broadening its collaboration with the
Indian drug major Cipla, expanding its exclusive rights to Dymista and future
product development. Through the extended partnership, Meda now have full
coverage in all growth markets in Latin- and South America, Middle East
and Africa and Asia, including more than 120 new markets. Meda and Cipla will
cooperate on product development of Dymista. Cipla will be responsible for
formulation, while Meda will be responsible for clinical development, registration,
marketing and sales. The companies will also collaborate on future production of
Dymista and any new products developed. Dymista by the Meda was launched in
the US in autumn 2012 and in Europe in 2013. Registration is underway in other
key markets.
According to Meda, the product can be worth US $6 bn in US and European
Union. The company has been receiving the milestone payment for the product
during FY2013. Once the supplies are initiated the product will be a long term
growth driver for the company, while the product being new in the market, would
take time to scale up, the product can contribute meaningfully during FY2015. We
conservatively estimate the product to contribute US $40mn in FY2014 and
US$80mn in FY2015. We maintain our buy with a target price of `477.

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 7, 2013

Economic and Political News

RBI asks banks not to sell gold coins: P Chidambaram


New real estate Bill will curb fraud, money laundering: Ajay Maken
Government planning 10% stake sale in IOC
Pass on rate cut benefit to borrowers: FM tells banks

Corporate News

RIL plans to invest `150,000cr over three years


India Cements to restructure non-core business to improve valuation
Coal India allots contract for drilling of Mozambique mines
L&T bags `528cr office construction orders from Ahmedabad, Bangalore
Atul Auto unveils diesel run three-wheeler
Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 07, 2013
Global economic events release calendar
Date

Time

Country Event Description

Unit

Period

Bloomberg Data
Last Reported Estimated

June 7, 2013
June 8, 2013
June 9, 2013
June 10, 2013
June 11, 2013
June 12, 2013

6:00PM

US

Change in Nonfarm payrolls

6:00PM

US

Unnemployment rate

Thousands

May

165.00

165.00

May

7.50

7.50

4:29PM

China

Exports YoY%

% Change

May

14.70

6.50

7:00AM

China

Consumer Price Index (YoY)

% Change

May

2.40

2.50

11:00AM

China

Industrial Production (YoY)

% Change

May

9.30

9.20

4:29PM

India

Imports YoY%

% Change

May

10.96

--

4:29PM

India

Exports YoY%

% Change

May

1.68

--

2:00PM

UK

Industrial Production (YoY)

% Change

Apr

(1.40)

--

2:00PM

UK

Jobless claims change

% Change

May

(7.30)

--

11:00AM

India

Industrial Production YoY

% Change

Apr

2.50

--

2:30PM

Euro Zone Euro-Zone CPI (YoY)

May F

1.20

--

6:00PM

US

Producer Price Index (mom)

% Change

May

(0.70)

0.10

6:45PM

US

Industrial Production

May

(0.53)

0.30

12:00PM

India

Monthly Wholesale Prices YoY%

% Change

May

4.89

--

11:00AM

India

RBI Repo rate

Jun 17

7.25

--

11:00AM

India

RBI Cash Reserve ratio

Jun 17

4.00

--

11:00AM

India

RBI Reverse Repo rate

Jun 17

6.25

--

2:00PM

UK

CPI (YoY)

% Change

May

2.40

--

6:00PM

US

Housing Starts

Thousands

May

853.00

--

6:00PM

US

Building permits

Thousands

May

1,005.00

--

6:00PM

US

Consumer price index (mom)

% Change

May

(0.40)

--

June 19, 2013

11:30PM

US

FOMC rate decision

Jun 19

0.25

--

June 20, 2013

7:30PM

Euro Zone Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence

Value

Jun A

(21.90)

--

7:30PM

US

Existing home sales

Million

May

4.97

--

7:30PM

US

Consumer Confidence

7:30PM

US

New home sales

June 26, 2013

6:00PM

US

GDP Qoq (Annualised)

June 27, 2013

1:25PM

Germany Unemployment change (000's)

2:00PM

UK

% Change

June 14, 2013

June 17, 2013

June 18, 2013

June 25, 2013

Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

GDP (YoY)

S.A./ 1985=100

Jun

76.20

--

Thousands

May

454.00

--

% Change

1Q T

2.40

--

Thousands

Jun

21.00

--

1Q F

0.60

--

Market Outlook
June 07, 2013

Macro watch
Exhibit 1: Quarterly GDP trends

Exhibit 2: IIP trends

(%)

(%)
10.0

11.4
9.2

6.0
4.0

Mfg. PMI

58.0
7.5

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

(4.0)

Exhibit 4: Manufacturing and services PMI

(%)
7.6

(1.0) (0.6)

(0.7)

(2.0)

Apr-12

4QFY13

3QFY13

2QFY13

1QFY13

4QFY12

3QFY12

2QFY12

1QFY12

4QFY11

3QFY11

2QFY11

1QFY11

4QFY10

3QFY10

(0.1)
(1.3)

Source: MOSPI, Angel Research

Exhibit 3: Monthly WPI inflation trends

Services PMI

8.1
7.3

7.2

7.3

7.3

7.3

56.0
6.0
4.9

54.0
52.0

Source: MOSPI, Angel Research

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Source: Market, Angel Research; Note: Level above 50 indicates expansion

Exhibit 5: Exports and imports growth trends


(%)

48.0

Mar-12

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

Jul-12

50.0

Jun-12

8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0

0.5

(2.0)

8.0

2.5

2.4

2.0

Oct-12

4.7 4.8

Source: CSO, Angel Research

9.0

2.5

2.0

5.1 5.4 5.2

Sep-12

6.0

Aug-12

6.5

Mar-13

7.5

Jul-12

7.7

Jun-12

8.6

8.4

8.0

9.9

May-12

9.5

9.3

2QFY10

12.0
11.0
10.0
9.0
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0

Exports yoy growth

Exhibit 6: Key policy rates


Repo rate

(%)
9.00

Imports yoy growth

15.0

Reverse Repo rate

CRR

7.25

8.00
7.00
6.00

6.25

5.00
4.00
4.00

Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

www.angelbroking.com

Source: RBI, Angel Research

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

Jul-12

(15.0)

Jun-12

3.00

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

0.0

Market Outlook
June 07, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

Sales ( cr )
FY14E

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

Agri / Agri Chemical


Rallis

Neutral

129

2,500

1,657

1,906

14.1

14.1

7.7

8.9

16.7

14.4

3.5

3.0

22.2

21.9

1.4

1.2

United Phosphorus

Buy

163

232

7,203

10,298

11,310

16.5

16.5

20.5

23.2

7.9

7.0

1.3

1.1

18.0

17.4

0.6

0.5

Amara Raja Batteries

Accumulate

253

285

4,328

3,418

3,892

14.5

14.5

18.5

20.4

13.7

12.4

3.3

2.7

26.6

23.8

1.3

1.1

Apollo Tyres

Accumulate

93

104

4,700

13,852

15,487

11.4

11.5

12.8

14.9

7.3

6.3

1.2

1.0

17.5

17.3

0.5

0.4

Ashok Leyland

Accumulate

24

27

6,332

14,038

16,442

7.6

8.7

1.1

2.2

22.8

10.7

2.0

1.7

6.2

12.5

0.5

0.4

Automotive Axle#

Neutral

237

358

834

965

9.3

10.6

17.3

27.1

13.7

8.8

1.3

1.2

9.5

14.0

0.5

0.4

Bajaj Auto

Buy

1,748

2,056

50,593

22,684

25,908

18.0

18.5

117.3

137.1

14.9

12.8

5.4

4.3

39.9

37.2

1.8

1.5

Bharat Forge

Neutral

235

5,475

6,198

6,793

14.6

14.9

14.5

17.3

16.2

13.6

2.1

1.9

13.6

14.7

1.0

0.9

Bosch India*

Neutral

9,052

28,423

9,821

11,394

17.0

17.3

373.5

438.7

24.2

20.6

4.4

3.7

18.0

17.9

2.6

2.2

CEAT

Buy

110

170

375

5,325

5,974

8.4

8.3

40.8

48.5

2.7

2.3

0.4

0.4

17.3

17.6

0.2

0.2

Exide Industries

Accumulate

141

150

12,015

7,053

8,061

14.2

14.5

7.8

9.1

18.1

15.5

3.1

2.6

18.1

18.2

1.4

1.2

FAG Bearings*

Neutral

1,460

2,426

1,525

1,742

14.5

15.7

88.4

109.5

16.5

13.3

2.4

2.0

15.5

16.5

1.4

1.2

Hero Motocorp

Accumulate

1,643

1,819

32,808

25,274

27,658

14.1

13.7

110.2

139.9

14.9

11.7

5.4

4.3

39.8

40.7

1.1

0.9

JK Tyre

Buy

118

154

482

7,972

8,754

7.1

7.1

37.5

44.0

3.1

2.7

0.5

0.4

16.4

16.6

0.3

0.3

Auto & Auto Ancillary

Mahindra and Mahindra Accumulate

990

1,090

60,756

45,254

51,197

11.4

11.7

61.2

70.2

16.2

14.1

3.4

2.8

22.7

21.9

1.1

0.9

1,587

1,847

47,946

48,455

55,723

11.2

10.9

107.8

123.2

14.7

12.9

2.2

1.9

16.2

16.0

0.8

0.7

207

222

12,163

28,442

31,493

7.5

7.8

12.5

14.8

16.5

14.0

4.1

3.3

27.5

25.8

0.6

0.5

24

30

145

1,479

1,685

10.0

9.9

5.5

7.5

4.4

3.2

0.5

0.4

11.1

13.7

0.4

0.3

Accumulate

307

347

82,100 215,016 237,404

13.3

13.6

36.2

41.5

8.5

7.4

1.9

1.6

24.6

23.2

0.5

0.4

Accumulate

36

41

1,703

7,715

8,584

6.0

6.1

5.0

5.8

7.2

6.2

1.2

1.1

18.1

18.5

0.2

0.1

Maruti

Buy

Motherson Sumi

Accumulate

Subros

Buy

Tata Motors
TVS Motor
Capital Goods
ABB*

Sell

635

461

13,461

8,073

9,052

5.5

6.9

11.5

16.9

55.1

37.5

5.0

4.8

9.3

13.1

1.6

1.4

BGR Energy

Neutral

164

1,183

4,114

4,886

11.4

10.7

24.9

28.0

6.6

5.9

0.9

0.8

25.2

22.6

0.6

0.6

BHEL

Neutral

192

47,043

44,054

39,326

16.8

15.1

20.6

16.1

9.3

12.0

2.0

1.8

23.5

16.1

0.9

1.0

Blue Star

Buy

166

230

1,492

2,896

3,087

5.6

6.2

9.3

11.7

17.8

14.1

2.9

2.5

17.6

19.2

0.6

0.5

Crompton Greaves

Buy

92

117

5,882

13,446

15,272

6.7

7.6

6.6

8.9

13.8

10.3

1.5

1.4

11.4

14.0

0.5

0.5

Jyoti Structures

Neutral

26

213

3,360

3,597

9.7

9.8

7.3

10.2

3.5

2.6

0.7

0.7

8.8

11.4

0.3

0.3

KEC International

Buy

39

63

1,013

7,709

8,399

6.7

7.2

6.1

8.5

6.5

4.6

0.8

0.7

20.2

23.0

0.3

0.3

Thermax

Neutral

580

6,907

5,780

6,430

9.5

9.6

29.8

33.0

19.4

17.6

3.3

2.9

17.9

17.4

1.0

0.9

1,207

1,361

22,669

11,979

13,254

19.7

21.3

77.1

91.4

15.7

13.2

2.8

2.5

18.7

20.0

1.6

1.4

Cement
ACC

Accumulate

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 07, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

Cement
Ambuja Cements

Neutral

175

26,997

10,232

11,762

23.5

24.5

10.3

12.2

17.0

14.4

2.8

2.6

17.2

18.6

2.1

1.7

India Cements

Neutral

68

2,084

4,929

5,434

17.4

17.1

8.9

10.9

7.6

6.2

0.6

0.6

7.7

9.1

0.8

0.7

J K Lakshmi Cement

Buy

104

143

1,220

2,247

2,742

21.0

23.1

17.8

21.8

5.8

4.8

0.9

0.7

15.5

16.4

0.4

0.9

Madras Cements

Neutral

236

5,614

4,234

4,788

23.9

24.0

18.5

22.8

12.8

10.4

2.0

1.8

17.2

18.2

1.7

1.4

Shree Cement^

Neutral

4,691

16,341

6,540

7,452

27.4

26.6

319.7

369.9

14.7

12.7

3.6

2.9

27.5

25.4

1.8

1.4

UltraTech Cement

Neutral

1,899

52,062

21,947

25,049

23.8

23.8

106.1

119.8

17.9

15.9

3.0

2.6

17.7

17.3

2.4

2.1

200

255

1,053

1,928

2,234

21.0

21.5

18.0

22.2

11.1

9.0

1.0

0.9

10.2

10.1

1.9

1.9

11

198

2,281

2,492

5.9

6.9

0.7

2.0

15.7

5.3

0.4

0.3

2.3

6.5

0.4

0.3

Construction
Ashoka Buildcon

Buy

Consolidated Co

Neutral

IRB Infra

Buy

117

157

3,874

3,997

4,312

45.5

46.4

15.7

16.6

7.4

7.0

1.1

1.0

15.2

14.5

3.4

3.6

ITNL

Buy

174

230

3,383

7,444

8,041

27.4

28.9

29.8

32.1

5.8

5.4

0.8

0.7

14.9

14.2

2.6

2.6

IVRCL Infra

Buy

19

29

585

5,673

5,892

8.1

8.4

1.4

1.8

13.2

10.4

0.3

0.3

2.0

2.6

0.6

0.6

Jaiprakash Asso.

Buy

67

90

14,812

14,850

15,631

24.9

25.1

2.5

2.9

26.4

23.4

1.1

1.0

4.2

4.7

2.8

2.7

Larsen & Toubro

Buy

1,428

1,761

88,010

68,946

78,040

10.5

10.5

77.9

88.3

18.3

16.2

2.7

2.4

15.5

15.6

1.4

1.3

Nagarjuna Const.

Buy

31

42

783

6,167

6,945

8.0

8.2

2.7

3.6

11.4

8.4

0.3

0.3

2.7

3.6

0.5

0.5

Punj Lloyd

Neutral

44

1,476

12,954

14,740

9.9

9.9

0.5

0.9

87.6

47.7

0.5

0.5

0.6

1.1

0.5

0.5

Sadbhav Engg.

Buy

106

139

1,593

2,462

2,731

10.6

10.6

5.9

6.7

17.9

15.8

1.8

1.6

10.2

10.5

0.9

0.9

Simplex Infra

Buy

102

131

502

6,308

7,033

9.5

9.6

11.9

18.7

8.5

5.4

0.4

0.4

4.5

6.7

0.5

0.5

Unity Infra

Buy

29

41

218

2,146

2,339

13.7

13.8

11.0

11.5

2.7

2.6

0.2

0.2

9.3

9.0

0.6

0.6

Allahabad Bank

Buy

120

144

6,005

6,876

7,545

2.6

2.5

28.2

30.9

4.3

3.9

0.6

0.5

12.8

12.7

Andhra Bank

Neutral

90

5,014

5,254

5,900

2.8

2.8

21.2

22.9

4.2

3.9

0.6

0.6

13.3

13.0

Axis Bank

Buy

1,419

1,853

66,477

19,055

22,710

3.3

3.2

130.7

152.3

10.9

9.3

1.8

1.5

17.2

17.6

Bank of Baroda

Buy

675

851

28,414

16,365

18,781

2.2

2.3

121.3

142.5

5.6

4.7

0.8

0.7

15.1

15.7

Bank of India

Buy

294

350

17,528

14,482

16,383

2.3

2.3

58.1

68.1

5.1

4.3

0.8

0.7

14.4

15.0

Bank of Maharashtra

Buy

54

64

3,559

4,392

4,743

3.1

3.0

12.6

13.7

4.3

3.9

0.7

0.6

16.8

16.0

Canara Bank

Buy

415

481

18,362

11,928

13,467

2.1

2.2

74.8

86.0

5.5

4.8

0.8

0.7

13.7

14.2

Central Bank

Accumulate

65

69

6,832

8,249

9,211

2.4

2.5

14.9

18.2

4.4

3.6

0.6

0.6

12.5

13.8

Corporation Bank

Buy

379

495

5,799

5,558

6,121

2.0

2.0

98.4

107.7

3.9

3.5

0.6

0.5

14.9

14.5

Dena Bank

Accumulate

86

97

2,993

3,187

3,582

2.3

2.4

23.8

25.5

3.6

3.4

0.6

0.5

15.9

15.1

Federal Bank

Neutral

455

7,772

2,873

3,413

3.0

3.1

52.7

62.0

8.6

7.3

1.1

1.0

13.4

14.2

Financials

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 07, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

Financials
HDFC

Accumulate

845

933

130,823

8,573

10,142

3.6

3.6

37.0

43.6

22.9

19.4

4.7

4.2

30.0

30.3

HDFC Bank

Neutral

683

162,900

27,682

33,916

4.6

4.6

35.3

42.7

19.4

16.0

3.8

3.2

21.3

21.8

ICICI Bank

Buy

1,154

1,503

133,132

25,705

30,330

3.1

3.2

83.9

96.3

13.8

12.0

1.8

1.7

15.2

15.7

IDBI Bank

Buy

79

93

10,569

9,477

10,678

2.0

2.1

19.6

22.6

4.1

3.5

0.5

0.5

12.8

13.4

Indian Bank

Buy

143

185

6,135

6,185

6,978

3.0

3.0

37.0

42.2

3.9

3.4

0.6

0.5

14.8

15.1

IOB

Accumulate

61

66

5,600

8,142

8,956

2.5

2.5

16.5

20.7

3.7

2.9

0.5

0.4

11.8

13.4

J & K Bank

Neutral

1,269

6,150

3,074

3,140

3.5

3.2

224.7

201.5

5.7

6.3

1.1

1.0

20.6

16.1

LIC Housing Finance

Accumulate

266

298

13,414

2,113

2,525

2.3

2.3

25.4

29.2

10.5

9.1

1.8

1.6

18.4

18.3

Oriental Bank

Buy

242

285

7,056

6,835

7,588

2.6

2.6

56.5

63.8

4.3

3.8

0.6

0.5

13.1

13.4

Punjab Natl.Bank

Buy

775

994

27,389

20,876

23,929

3.3

3.4

151.7

177.0

5.1

4.4

0.8

0.7

16.1

16.5

South Ind.Bank

Neutral

St Bk of India

Buy

Syndicate Bank

Accumulate

UCO Bank

Neutral

Union Bank
United Bank

26

3,431

1,839

2,091

2.9

2.8

4.2

4.5

6.1

5.7

1.1

0.9

18.2

17.0

2,049

2,637

140,169

67,243

76,612

3.1

3.0

242.4

284.8

8.5

7.2

1.3

1.1

16.3

16.8

135

142

8,111

7,238

8,249

2.7

2.6

27.1

30.4

5.0

4.4

0.8

0.7

16.1

15.9

82

6,160

6,250

6,738

2.6

2.5

12.1

14.7

6.8

5.6

1.0

0.9

11.8

13.0

Buy

222

260

13,276

11,229

12,794

2.6

2.6

40.7

48.2

5.5

4.6

0.8

0.7

14.6

15.4

Buy

52

65

1,958

3,443

3,998

2.4

2.6

15.1

20.4

3.5

2.6

0.5

0.4

12.1

14.8

Vijaya Bank

Neutral

52

2,582

2,730

3,059

1.9

2.0

10.2

11.3

5.1

4.6

0.6

0.6

11.8

12.0

Yes Bank

Neutral

508

18,236

4,390

5,411

2.8

2.8

41.6

47.9

12.2

10.6

2.6

2.2

23.2

22.1

Asian Paints

Neutral

4,623

44,348

12,332

14,524

16.5

16.3

141.6

162.7

32.7

28.4

10.3

8.2

35.4

32.2

3.5

2.9

Britannia

Neutral

693

8,287

6,417

7,502

6.1

6.3

23.2

27.9

29.9

24.8

10.3

8.1

38.3

36.4

1.3

1.1

Colgate

Neutral

1,465

19,920

3,588

4,130

20.5

20.9

44.2

51.8

33.2

28.3

32.3

23.5

108.6

96.2

5.4

4.6

Dabur India

Neutral

158

27,504

7,183

8,340

16.8

16.8

5.4

6.3

29.4

25.1

11.5

8.9

41.5

40.1

3.8

3.2

GlaxoSmith Con*

Neutral

5,669

23,843

3,617

4,259

16.1

16.4

122.2

148.7

46.4

38.1

14.4

11.6

34.1

33.7

6.1

5.1

Godrej Consumer

Neutral

856

29,146

7,801

9,017

16.2

15.9

25.1

29.7

34.1

28.9

7.3

6.1

24.9

24.2

3.9

3.3

HUL

Neutral

591

127,780

29,167

33,164

13.6

13.7

17.1

18.4

34.6

32.1

33.3

24.1

113.4

87.0

4.2

3.7

ITC

Neutral

334

264,158

34,294

39,991

36.8

37.0

11.3

13.3

29.7

25.1

9.8

7.9

36.1

34.9

7.4

6.3

Marico

Neutral

234

15,079

5,273

6,044

14.8

14.9

7.3

8.7

32.2

27.0

6.3

5.2

21.4

21.0

2.9

2.4

Nestle*

Neutral

5,293

51,035

9,447

10,968

22.1

22.3

127.5

154.1

41.5

34.4

20.7

15.0

57.7

50.7

5.4

4.5

Tata Global

Neutral

150

9,251

8,069

8,957

9.8

9.7

7.8

8.6

19.1

17.4

2.3

2.2

9.5

9.7

1.1

1.0

FMCG

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 07, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

IT
HCL Tech^

Buy

748

863

52,070

28,633

32,216

21.5

20.7

57.3

61.7

13.1

12.1

3.1

2.6

24.0

21.5

1.6

1.4

Hexaware*

Buy

82

96

2,459

2,091

2,289

19.0

18.8

10.6

11.3

7.8

7.3

1.7

1.5

22.8

21.7

1.0

0.9

Infosys

Neutral

2,428

139,396

43,338

47,244

27.5

27.7

169.4

182.6

14.3

13.3

3.0

2.6

20.8

19.3

2.6

2.2

Infotech Enterprises

Accumulate

167

185

1,863

1,956

2,174

17.9

17.7

20.4

21.9

8.2

7.6

1.2

1.1

14.7

13.7

0.6

0.4

KPIT Cummins

Buy

117

135

2,255

2,513

2,819

16.1

15.5

12.6

14.0

9.3

8.4

1.6

1.3

17.9

16.6

0.9

0.7

Mahindra Satyam

Buy

105

126

12,374

8,278

9,062

20.3

20.1

10.5

11.4

10.0

9.2

2.3

1.8

23.1

20.0

1.1

0.9

Mindtree

Accumulate

819

920

3,403

2,599

2,871

19.4

19.2

85.2

92.3

9.6

8.9

2.0

1.6

21.4

18.9

1.0

0.8

Mphasis&

Reduce

456

395

9,581

6,096

6,646

17.6

17.4

38.1

41.6

12.0

11.0

1.7

1.5

14.2

13.7

1.1

0.9

NIIT

Buy

21

30

342

1,144

1,267

9.0

9.1

4.3

5.4

4.8

3.9

0.5

0.5

10.3

12.0

0.1

Persistent

Accumulate

528

593

2,112

1,445

1,617

25.2

25.0

55.3

59.3

9.6

8.9

1.7

1.5

18.2

16.5

1.0

0.8

TCS

Accumulate

1,472

1,585

288,074

71,833

81,893

28.4

28.0

78.5

88.0

18.7

16.7

5.7

4.7

30.2

27.9

3.8

3.3

Tech Mahindra

Buy

925

1,170

11,879

7,779

8,398

19.7

19.3

107.4

117.8

8.6

7.9

1.8

1.5

21.2

19.0

1.5

1.3

Wipro

Buy

330

385

81,309

40,173

43,697

20.4

20.6

26.2

28.5

12.6

11.6

2.5

2.1

19.7

18.4

1.5

1.3

D B Corp

Buy

250

290

4,590

1,750

1,925

25.1

26.6

14.2

16.8

17.6

14.9

3.8

3.2

23.4

23.4

2.5

2.2

HT Media

Buy

99

117

2,335

2,205

2,380

15.1

15.6

8.3

9.1

12.0

10.9

1.3

1.2

11.5

11.4

0.7

0.6

Jagran Prakashan

Buy

89

119

2,939

1,664

1,825

20.9

23.0

6.4

7.8

13.8

11.4

2.8

2.5

21.0

23.1

1.9

1.7

PVR

Neutral

335

1,328

1,359

1,540

17.3

17.4

17.2

21.6

19.4

15.6

1.9

1.8

10.3

12.0

1.4

1.2

Sun TV Network

Neutral

435

17,127

2,287

2,551

69.7

70.5

20.0

23.3

21.7

18.7

5.4

4.7

26.4

27.3

7.1

6.3

Bhushan Steel

Neutral

464

10,514

13,794

17,088

30.9

33.5

49.3

66.6

9.4

7.0

1.0

0.9

11.3

13.5

2.4

1.9

Coal India

Accumulate

323

345

204,303

72,174

76,311

33.3

28.4

28.4

30.9

11.4

10.5

3.1

2.7

37.6

36.2

2.0

1.8

Electrosteel Castings

Buy

16

24

511

1,976

2,017

11.8

12.7

1.3

2.6

12.4

6.0

0.1

0.1

2.6

5.2

0.6

0.2

GMDC

Buy

135

193

4,298

1,920

2,239

53.2

52.9

21.6

25.0

6.3

5.4

1.4

1.2

25.1

23.8

1.8

1.3

Hind. Zinc

Buy

114

145

48,253

12,358

13,659

51.4

51.6

16.0

17.6

7.1

6.5

1.3

1.1

19.4

18.4

1.6

1.1

Hindalco

Neutral

103

19,653

89,352

93,672

8.8

9.2

13.4

15.0

7.7

6.9

0.5

0.5

7.3

7.6

0.6

0.5

JSW Steel

Neutral

736

16,428

39,973

40,926

17.2

17.0

71.9

82.8

10.2

8.9

0.9

0.8

9.0

9.6

0.8

0.7

MOIL

Buy

203

248

3,414

1,010

1,046

46.5

47.6

26.8

28.8

7.6

7.1

1.1

1.0

15.4

14.7

1.0

0.7

Monnet Ispat

Buy

144

291

916

2,883

3,181

21.7

23.6

40.3

57.7

3.6

2.5

0.3

0.3

10.1

13.0

1.2

1.0

Nalco

Neutral

33

8,402

7,656

7,988

13.1

13.5

2.6

2.6

12.8

12.4

0.7

0.7

5.5

5.5

0.5

0.6

NMDC

Buy

116

156

45,852

10,461

11,892

71.6

72.6

16.3

17.6

7.1

6.6

1.5

1.3

22.1

21.4

2.6

2.3

Media

Metals & Mining

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 07, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY14E

FY15E

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

EV/Sales(x)

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

Metals & Mining


SAIL

Reduce

Sesa Goa

Accumulate

57

53

23,583

44,060

54,786

9.4

11.5

5.2

7.2

10.9

8.0

0.6

0.6

5.2

6.8

0.8

0.7

157

166

13,628

3,742

4,426

32.9

32.8

30.0

29.8

5.2

5.3

0.7

0.6

14.3

12.5

4.4

3.7

Sterlite Inds

Accumulate

Tata Steel

Buy

91

100

30,464

44,462

45,568

23.2

24.7

18.1

20.2

5.0

4.5

0.5

0.5

11.3

11.4

0.6

0.6

295

378

28,675 140,917 151,537

9.7

10.8

30.9

47.6

9.6

6.2

0.9

0.8

9.6

13.4

0.6

Sarda

Buy

105

153

376

1,494

0.5

1,568

19.1

20.3

31.3

36.5

3.4

2.9

0.4

0.3

11.8

12.4

0.6

Prakash Industries
Godawari Power and
Ispat
Oil & Gas

Buy

34

45

458

0.5

2,615

2,776

12.1

12.0

9.8

10.4

3.5

3.3

0.2

0.2

6.5

6.5

0.4

0.4

Buy

81

102

267

2,344

2,509

14.9

15.4

38.7

47.0

2.1

1.7

0.2

0.2

12.3

12.9

0.5

0.4

Cairn India

Buy

288

GAIL

Neutral

311

345

55,026

16,482

16,228

69.4

53.3

53.3

49.6

5.4

5.8

0.8

0.8

16.5

13.6

2.0

1.6

39,386

52,102

52,876

15.7

16.1

34.1

35.7

9.1

8.7

1.4

1.3

16.4

15.3

0.3

0.2

ONGC

Accumulate

324

Reliance Industries

Neutral

792

372

277,198 170,063 193,024

36.3

36.9

34.7

38.3

9.4

8.5

1.6

1.4

18.3

17.9

1.3

1.1

255,860 380,031 407,721

9.9

69.3

69.3

78.0

11.4

10.2

1.1

1.0

11.5

11.7

0.6

Gujarat Gas*

Neutral

218

2,800

3,707

0.6

3,850

11.7

12.4

23.7

25.7

9.2

8.5

2.6

2.2

29.6

28.2

0.6

Indraprastha Gas

Neutral

278

3,891

0.6

3,700

4,218

23.4

22.8

26.7

30.4

10.4

9.1

2.2

1.8

22.7

21.8

1.1

Petronet LNG
Gujarat State Petronet
Ltd.
Pharmaceuticals

Buy

142

167

0.9

10,673

40,356

40,872

5.8

6.4

15.0

16.7

9.5

8.5

2.0

1.7

23.0

21.5

0.3

0.3

Neutral

58

3,261

1,171

1,287

91.9

91.9

10.1

11.3

5.8

5.1

0.9

0.8

17.3

16.8

Alembic Pharma

Neutral

Aurobindo Pharma

Buy

141

2,658

1,736

2,008

17.1

18.9

10.7

13.9

13.2

10.1

4.1

3.1

35.0

34.7

1.6

1.3

186

271

5,408

6,641

7,637

15.9

15.9

17.3

20.6

10.7

9.0

1.7

1.4

19.5

18.9

1.3

1.1

Aventis*

Neutral

2,573

Cadila Healthcare

Buy

769

5,926

1,682

1,917

16.6

16.6

92.4

99.1

27.9

26.0

3.9

3.9

15.7

14.8

3.2

2.6

929

15,739

7,280

8,640

15.5

15.7

38.3

46.5

20.1

16.5

4.3

3.6

23.5

23.5

2.5

Cipla

Buy

375

2.1

444

30,122

9,192

10,535

22.1

22.1

19.6

22.2

19.1

16.9

2.9

2.5

16.2

15.9

3.0

Dr Reddy's

Buy

2.6

2,132

2,535

36,201

13,377

15,350

20.4

20.1

112.3

126.8

19.0

16.8

4.1

3.4

23.5

21.8

2.8

2.4

Dishman Pharma

Buy

GSK Pharma*

Neutral

Indoco Remedies

Buy

Ipca labs

70

168

564

1,394

1,534

22.5

22.4

15.0

16.8

4.7

4.2

0.5

0.4

11.0

11.2

1.0

0.9

2,709

22,946

2,854

3,145

28.6

28.6

76.6

83.3

35.4

32.5

10.6

9.6

31.1

31.0

7.2

6.4

63

78

581

760

922

15.3

15.3

6.1

7.8

10.3

8.1

1.3

1.1

12.9

14.7

1.0

0.8

Accumulate

602

665

7,595

3,243

3,826

20.5

21.5

36.0

44.4

16.7

13.6

3.9

3.1

26.0

25.4

2.5

2.1

Lupin

Buy

754

877

33,735

11,641

13,933

21.3

21.3

34.8

41.8

21.7

18.0

5.1

4.0

26.2

24.8

2.9

2.4

Ranbaxy*

Neutral

379

16,027

11,400

12,060

10.5

12.5

17.5

22.5

21.7

16.8

3.5

3.0

17.0

19.1

1.4

1.2

Sun Pharma

Neutral

1,019

105,352

13,509

15,846

41.0

41.0

33.0

39.8

30.9

25.6

6.2

5.2

22.0

22.0

7.2

6.0

72

78

1,087

1,444

1,482

33.4

33.0

13.7

14.8

5.2

4.9

0.6

0.6

12.3

12.0

0.8

0.6

Power
GIPCL

Accumulate

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 07, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

Accumulate

151

163

124,671

76,734

86,680

24.5

24.3

13.4

14.5

11.3

10.4

1.4

1.3

12.8

12.7

2.3

2.2

DLF

Buy

203

236

36,040

8,293

9,622

36.5

36.1

5.7

6.7

35.5

30.0

1.3

1.2

3.7

4.1

6.4

5.4

MLIFE

Buy

387

476

1,579

888

1,002

30.6

30.6

38.8

43.4

10.0

8.9

1.1

1.0

11.2

11.4

2.4

2.1

Bharti Airtel

Accumulate

295

338

112,198

86,592

95,860

31.4

31.8

10.9

14.5

27.1

20.3

2.1

1.9

7.7

9.3

2.0

1.6

Idea Cellular

Neutral

133

44,043

25,122

27,663

27.0

27.2

4.0

4.8

33.5

27.9

2.8

2.5

8.3

9.1

2.2

1.9

Rcom

Neutral

118

24,366

22,801

24,628

31.0

31.3

3.6

5.3

33.1

22.4

0.7

0.7

2.2

3.1

2.7

2.3

1,464

1,659

3,111

1,863

2,081

11.8

12.4

71.2

83.0

20.6

17.7

4.1

3.5

21.6

21.5

1.4

1.1

Power
NTPC
Real Estate

Telecom

Others
Abbott India*

Accumulate

Bajaj Electricals

Buy

171

237

1,708

3,885

4,472

5.4

7.2

11.0

19.7

15.6

8.7

2.1

1.8

13.5

20.3

0.4

0.4

Cera Sanitaryware

Neutral

547

692

630

795

14.4

13.6

42.8

51.1

12.8

10.7

3.0

2.4

26.6

25.2

1.1

0.9

Cravatex

Buy

334

459

86

248

284

6.5

7.3

27.2

38.2

12.3

8.8

1.9

1.6

15.7

18.5

0.5

0.5

Finolex Cables

Buy

53

68

804

2,563

2,899

9.8

9.8

10.1

11.3

5.2

4.7

0.8

0.6

14.3

13.8

0.2

0.2

Force Motors

Buy

320

437

417

2,304

2,649

3.1

3.6

28.0

43.7

11.4

7.3

0.4

0.3

3.1

4.7

0.1

0.1

Goodyear India*

Neutral

338

780

1,458

1,542

8.3

9.0

32.3

37.0

10.5

9.1

1.9

1.6

19.5

19.3

0.3

0.3

Hitachi

Buy

140

177

379

1,053

1,169

6.3

7.1

13.8

17.7

10.1

7.9

1.4

1.2

15.0

16.7

0.4

0.4

2,436

2,154

1,842

2,131

7.7

7.8

112.4

132.4

21.7

18.4

2.7

2.4

13.3

13.8

1.1

0.9

Honeywell Automation* Neutral


IFB Agro

Buy

155

198

140

495

651

12.7

12.9

29.3

39.5

5.3

3.9

0.8

0.6

15.4

17.6

0.4

0.3

ITD Cementation

Buy

174

234

200

1,430

1,573

11.1

11.0

19.1

26.9

9.1

6.5

0.5

0.5

4.9

6.3

0.6

0.5

Jyothy Laboratories

Neutral

200

3,225

1,220

1,476

13.3

13.6

5.5

9.0

36.3

22.1

4.2

3.7

12.1

17.7

3.0

2.4

MRF

Reduce

15,200

14,416

6,447

11,799

12,587

14.1

13.5 1,792.4 1,802.0

8.5

8.4

1.8

1.5

23.5

19.2

0.6

0.6

Page Industries

Accumulate

4,049

4,611

4,516

1,057

1,282

19.4

19.6

124.8

153.7

32.5

26.3

16.1

11.9

56.3

51.8

4.4

3.6

Relaxo Footwears

Accumulate

693

791

832

1,146

1,333

10.9

11.4

45.9

60.9

15.1

11.4

3.2

2.5

23.0

24.6

0.9

0.8

Siyaram Silk Mills

Buy

258

343

242

1,158

1,322

11.9

11.9

72.9

85.7

3.5

3.0

0.7

0.5

19.9

19.6

0.4

0.4

Styrolution ABS India*

Buy

430

617

756

1,068

1,223

9.6

9.6

38.1

44.1

11.3

9.8

1.5

1.4

14.5

14.7

0.7

0.6

TAJ GVK

Buy

61

108

381

300

319

35.8

36.2

7.9

9.1

7.7

6.7

1.0

0.9

13.9

14.4

1.6

1.3

Tata Sponge Iron

Buy

285

371

438

814

849

17.0

17.6

64.6

69.2

4.4

4.1

0.6

0.5

14.5

13.8

0.1

TTK Healthcare

Buy

527

686

409

435

516

6.2

7.1

24.3

33.3

21.7

15.8

3.6

3.1

17.6

20.8

0.8

0.6

Tree House

Accumulate

276

297

994

153

194

53.0

52.8

12.4

15.6

22.3

17.7

2.6

2.3

11.8

13.1

6.7

5.1

TVS Srichakra

Buy

187

252

143

1,591

1,739

6.1

6.6

24.5

41.9

7.7

4.5

0.8

0.7

10.9

17.2

0.3

0.3

United Spirits

Neutral

2,497

36,285

12,294

14,162

12.0

12.0

42.1

67.7

59.3

36.9

4.2

3.8

9.1

10.7

3.3

2.8

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 07, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

365

439

741

600

638

20.1

19.4

35.7

36.6

10.2

10.0

1.8

1.6

19.4

17.1

1.0

0.9

Others
Vesuvius India*

Buy

Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on June 06, 2013

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 07, 2013

www.angelbroking.com

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