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Code 9ABS304 II B.Tech I semester (R09) Regular Examinations, November 2010 PROBABILITY & STATISTICS
(Computer Science & Engineering)

1
Max Marks: 70 Answer any FIVE questions All questions carry equal marks

Time: 3 hours

1. (a) Two marbles are drawn in succession from a box containing 10 red, 30 white, 20 blue and 15 orange marbles, with replacement being made after each draw. Find the probability that i. Both are white ii. First is red and second is white. (b) In a factory, machine A produces 40% of the output and machine B produces 60%? On the average, 9 items in 1000 produced by A are defective and 1 item in 250 produced by B is defective. An item drawn at random from a days output is defective. What is the probability that it was produced by A or B? 2. (a) Let x denote the minimum of the two numbers that appear when a pair of fair dice is thrown once. Determine the i. Discrete probability distribution ii. Expectation iii. Variance.

(b) If x is a continuous random variable and y = ax + b prove that E (y ) = aE (x) + b and V (y ) = a2 .V (x) , where V stands for variance and a, b are constants. 3. (a) Out of 800 families with 5 children each, how many would you expect to have i. ii. iii. iv. 3 boys 5 girls Either 2 or 3 boys Atleast one boy. Assume equal probability for boys and girls.

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(b) The mean and standard deviation of the marks obtained by 1000 Students in an examination are respectively 34.5 and 16.5 . Assuming the normality of the distribution nd the approximates number of students expected to obtain marks between 30 and 60. 4. (a) The mean height of students in a college is 155cms and standard deviation is 15. What is the probability that the mean height of 36 students is less than 157 cms. (b) The guaranteed average life of a certain type of electric bulbs is 1500hrs. with a S.D. of 120hrs. It is decided to sample the output so as to ensure that 95% of bulbs do not fall short of the generated average by more than 2 %? What will be the minimum sample size. 5. (a) Assuming that = 20.0 how large a random sample be taken to assert with probability 0.95 that the sample mean will not dier from the true mean by more than 3.0 points? (b) Explain the ways in which an estimation can be done. Also explain the Bayesians estimation.

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Code 9ABS304

6. (a) A die is tossed 256 times and it turns up with an even digit 150 times. Is the die biased? (b) The means of two large samples of sizes 1000 and 2000 members are 67.5 inches and 68.0 inches respectively. Can the samples be regarded as drawn from the same population of S.D. 2.5 inches. 7. (a) Two horses A and B were tested according to the time (in sec) to run a particular track with the following results : Horse A 28 30 32 33 33 29 34 Horse B 29 30 30 24 27 29 Test wether the two horses have the same running capacity. (b) A rm manufacturing rivets wants to limit variations in their length as much as possible. The lengths (in cms) of 10 rivets manufactured by a new process are 2.15 1.99 2.05 2.12 2.17 2.01 1.98 2.03 2.25 1.93 Examine whether the new process can be considered superior to the old if the old population has standard deviation 0.145cm. 8. (a) A toll gate is operated on a frequency where cars arrive according to a Poission distribution with mean frequency of 1.2 cars per min. The time of completing payment follow an exponential distribution with mean of 20 sec. Find i. ii. iii. iv. v. vi. The idle time of the counter. Average number of cars in the system Average number of cars in the queue. Average time that a car spends in the system. Average time that car spends in the queue. The probability that a car spends more than 30 seconds in the system.

(b) Consider a single server queueing system with poisson input and exponential service time. Suppose the mean arrival rate is 3 calling units per hour with the expected service time as 0.25 hours and the maximum permissible number of calling units in the system is two. Obtain the steady state probability distribution of the number of calling units in the system and then calculate the expected number in the system.

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Code 9ABS304 II B.Tech I semester (R09) Regular Examinations, November 2010 PROBABILITY & STATISTICS Time: 3 hours
(Computer Science & Engineering)

2
Answer any FIVE questions All questions carry equal marks Max Marks: 70

1. (a) Box A contains 5 red and 3 white marbles and box B contains 2 red and 6 white marbles. If a marble is drawn from each box, what is the probability that they are both of same colour. (b) Suppose 5 men out of 100 and 25 women out of 10,000 are color blind. A color blind person is choosen at random. What is the probability of the person being a male (Assume male and female to be in equal numbers)? 2. (a) A sample of 4 items is selected at random from a box containing 12 items of which 5 are defective. Find the expected number E of defective items. (b) The probability density f(x) of a continuous random variable is given by f (x) = ce|x| , < x <. Show that C= 1/2 and nd the mean and variance of the distribution . Also nd the probability that the variate lies between 0 and 4. 3. (a) If x is a poisson variate such that 3p (x = 4) = 1/2p (x = 2) + p (x = 0), nd i. the mean of x ii. p (x 2) (b) The marks obtained in mathematics by 1000 students is normally distributed with mean 78% and standard deviation 11% Determine i. How many students got marks above 90%? ii. What was the highest mark obtained by the lowest 10% of the students? iii. Within what limits did the middle of 90% of the students lie? 4. (a) A random sample of size 100 is taken from an innite population having the mean m = 76 and variance S2 = 256. What is the probability that x will be between 75 and 78. (b) The mean voltage of a battery is 15 and S.D is 0.2 .Find the probability that four such batteries connected in series will have a combined voltage of 60.8 or more volts. 5. (a) The mean of random sample is an unbiased estimate of the mean of the population 3,6,9,15,27. i. List all possible samples of size 3 that can be taken without replacement from the nite population. ii. Calculate the mean of each of the samples listed in (i) and assigning each sample a probability of 1/10. Verify that the mean of these x is equal to 12 which is equal to the mean of the population . (b) A sample of size 10 was taken from a population S.D of sample is 0.3. Find the maximum error with 99% condence. 6. (a) In a big city 325men out of 600men were found the be smokers. Does this information support the conclusion that the majority of men in this city are smokers? (b) A sample of 64 students have a mean weight of 70kgs. Can this be regarded as a sample from a population with mean weight 56 kgs and standard deviation 25 kgs. 7. (a) A sample of 26 bulbs gives a mean life of 990 hours with a S.D of 20 hours. The manufacturer claims that the mean life of bulbs is 1000 hours. Is the sample not upto the standard? (b) A pair of dice are thrown 360 times and the frequency of each sum is in detailed below Sum 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Frequency 8 24 35 37 44 65 51 42 26 14 14 would you say that the dice are fair on the basis of the chi-square test at 0.05 level of signicance? 8. (a) Barber A takes 15 min to complete one hair cut. Customers arrive in his shop at an average rate of one every 30 min. Barber B takes 25 min to complete one hair cut and customers arrive at his shop at an average rate of one every 50 min. The arrival processes are poisson and the service times follow an exponential distribution. i. Where would you expect a bigger queue? ii. Where would you require more time waiting included to complete a hair cut. (b) A car park contains 5 cars. The arrival of cars is poisson with a mean rate of 10 per hour. The length of time each car spends in the car park has negative exponential distribution with mean of 2 hours. How many cars are in the car park on average and what is the probability of a newly arriving customer nding the car park full and having to park his car elsewhere?

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Code 9ABS304 II B.Tech I semester (R09) Regular Examinations, November 2010 PROBABILITY & STATISTICS Time: 3 hours
(Computer Science & Engineering)

3
Answer any FIVE questions All questions carry equal marks Max Marks: 70

1. (a) State and prove addition theorem on probability for any three events. (b) A businessman goes to hotels x, y, z, 20%, 50%, 30% of the time respectively. It is known that 5%, 4%, 8% of the rooms in x,y,z hotels have faulty plumbings. What is the probability that business mans room having faulty plumbing is assigned to hotel? 2. (a) A random variable X is dened as the sum of the numbers on the faces when two dice are thrown. Find the mean of X. (b) A continuous random variable has the probability density function. Kxex , if x 0, > 0 0, Otherwise Determine the constant K, nd mean and variance. f (x) = 3. (a) Using recurrence formula nd the probabilities when x=0,1,2,3,4 and 5; if the mean of the poisson distribution is 3. (b) If the masses of 300 students are normally distributed with mean 68 kgs and standard deviation 3 kgs, How many student have masses i. Greater than 72 kg. ii. Less than or equal to 64 kg. iii. Between 65 and 71 kg inclusive. 4. (a) Find the value of nite population correction factor for n=10 and N=100. (b) The mean of certain normal population is equal to the standard error of the mean of the samples of 64 from that distribution. Find the probability that the mean of the sample size 36 will be negative. (c) A random sample of size 25 from a normal population has the mean x = 47.5 and the standard deviation S=8.4. Does this information tend to support or refuse the claim that the mean of the population is = 42.5 ? 5. (a) What is the size of the smallest sample required to estimate an unknown proportion to within a maximum error of 0.06 with atleast 95 % condence? (b) A random sample of 100 teachers in a large metropolitan area revealed a mean weekly salary of Rs . 487 with a standard deviation of Rs 48. With what degree of condence can we assert that the average weekly salary of all teachers in the metropolitan area is between 472 and 502? 6. (a) In a sample of 1000 people in Karnataka 540 are rice eaters, and the rest are wheat eaters. Can we assume that both rice and wheat are equally popular in this state at 1 % level of signicance? (b) In two large populations, there are 30% and 25% respectively of fair haired people . Is this dierence likely to be hidden in samples of 1200 and 900 respectively from the two populations? 7. (a) To examine the hypothesis that the husbands are more intelligent than the wives, an investigator took a sample of 10 couples and administered them a list which measures the I.Q. The results are as follows. Husbands 117 105 97 105 123 109 86 78 103 107 wives 106 98 87 104 116 95 90 69 108 85 is the hypothesis correct? (b) Find the maximum dierence that we can expect with probability 0.95 between the means of samples of sizes 10 and 12 from a normal population if their standard deviations are found to be 2 and 3 respectively. 8. (a) A T.V repair man nds that the time spent on his jobs has an exponential distribution with mean 30min. He repairs sets in the order in which they arrive. The arrival of the sets is approximately poisson with an average of 10 per an eight hour day. Find the repairmans idle time each day. How many jobs are ahead of the average set just brought in? (b) A self service canteen employs one cashier at its counter, 8 customers arrive per every 10 min. on an average. The cashier can serve on average one per min. Assuming that the arrivals are poisson and service time distribution is exponential determine : i. The average number of customers in the system; ii. The average queue length; iii. Average time a customer spends in the system iv. average waiting time of each customer.

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Code 9ABS304 II B.Tech I semester (R09) Regular Examinations, November 2010 PROBABILITY & STATISTICS Time: 3 hours
(Computer Science & Engineering)

4
Answer any FIVE questions All questions carry equal marks Max Marks: 70

1. (a) Three students A, B, C are in a running race. A and B have the same probability of winning and each is twice as likely to win as C. Find the probability that B or C wins. (b) State and prove Bayes theorem. 2. (a) Two dice are thrown. Let X assign to each point (a,b) in S the maximum of its numbers i.e, x (a, b) = max (a, b) Find the probability distribution. X is a random variable with x (s) = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} . Also nd the mean and variance of the distribution. 1 sin x, f or0 X (b) Probability density function of a random variable x is f (x) = 2 0, elsewhere Find the mean, mode and median of the distribution and also nd the probability between 0 and p/2 . 3. (a) 20% of items produced from a factory are defective. Find the probability that in a sample 5 chosen at random i. none is defective ii. one is defective iii. p (1 < x < 4) (b) Find the mean and standard deviation of a normal distribution in which 7% of items are under 35 and 89% are under 63. 4. (a) When a sample is taken from an innite population, what happens to the standard error of the mean if the sample size is decreased from 800 to 200. (b) A manufacturer claims that any of his list of items can not have variance more than 1cm2 .A sample of 25 items has a variance of 1.2cm2 . Test whether the claim of the manufacturer is correct. 5. (a) Find 95% condence limits for the mean of a normally distributed population from which the following samples was taken 15,17,10,18,16,9,7,11,13,14. (b) A random sample of 100 teachers in a large metropolitan area revealed a mean weekly salary of Rs 487 with a standard deviation of Rs 48. With what degree of condence can we assert that the average weekly salary of all teachers in the metropolitan area is between 472 to 502 ? 6. (a) Explain the types of the errors in sampling. (b) A die is tossed 960 times and it falls with 5 upwards 184 times. Is the die unbiased at a level of signicance of 0.01? 7. (a) A sample of 26 bulbs gives a mean life of 990 hours with a S.D. of 20 hours. The manufactures claims that the mean life of bulbs is 1000 hours. Is the sample not upto the standard? (b) The heights of 10 males of a given locality are found to be 70,67,62,68,61,68,70,64,64,66 inches. Is it reasonable to believe that the average height is greater than 64 inches? Test at 5% signicance level assuming that for 9 degrees of freedom. (t = 1.833 at = 0.05) . 8. Arrival rate of telephone calls at a telephone booth are according Poisson distribution with an average time of 12 min. between two consecutive call arrivals . The length of telephone calls is assumed to be exponentially distributed with mean 4-minutes. (a) (b) (c) (d) Find the probability that a caller arriving at the booth will have to wait. Find the average queue length that forms from time to time. Find the fraction of a day that the phone will be in use. What is the probability that an arrival will have to wait for more than 15 min. before the phone is free? (e) The telephone company will install a second booth. When convinced that an arrival would expect to have a wait at least 5 min. for making the call. Find the increase in ows of arrivals which will justify a second booth.

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