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More Inconvenient Truth Dr. Roy Spencer has serious climate credentials dating back to 1981 that involve research at the University of Alabama-Huntsville, and award-winning climate studies for NASAs Marshall Space Flight Center. His research has been entirely supported by the U.S. government through NASA, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and the Department of Energy. He has produced a graph based upon 73 separate climate change prediction models that shows the full high/low range of those predictions of increasing global temperatures from 1979 through 2024, as well as the median prediction of those models. These datasets show predictions of global temperatures rising as much as 2 degrees Celsius (C) over that period, and about 1.5 degrees C by 2012. These predictions shouldnt surprise anyone; they are the similar to the dozens, hundreds or thousands of news stories of impending global catastrophe if drastic steps are not taken immediately to stop mans upward pressure on global temperatures. And certainly if these models are accurate and we refuse to take steps to control greenhouse gas emissions, we will be negligent. And now, as the great commentator Paul Harvey used to say, for the rest of the story. Dr. Spencer uses the same graph to show the results of actual temperature observations from balloons and satellites from 1979 through 2012. These observations use actual measurements of temperatures that occasionally show cooling periods or static results, but most of which over the last decade show increases in temperature. Most important, however, is that even in the years from 2003 through 2012 when the warming trend has been the most consistent, the actual rise in temperature is only .2 degrees C, well below the predicted level of .6 to .8 degrees, and a mere fraction of the highest of the range of predicted increases of 1.3 to 1.5 degrees C. In explaining this dramatic difference between prediction and reality, Dr. Spencer notes that to many politicians and the public, the term [global warming] carries the implication that mankind is responsible for that warming. [M]y groups government-funded research suggests global warming is mostly natural, and that the climate system is quite insensitive to humanitys greenhouse gas emissions and aerosol pollution. He goes on to say that, Believe it or not, very little research has ever been funded to search for natural mechanisms of warming it has simply been assumed that global warming is manmade.