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Bank of India
Performance Highlights
Particulars (` cr) NII Pre-prov. profit PAT 1QFY14 2,537 2,180 964 4QFY13 2,476 2,075 757 % chg (qoq) 2.5 5.1 27.4 1QFY13 2,044 1,674 887 % chg (yoy) 24.1 30.3 8.6
NEUTRAL
CMP Target Price
Investment Period
Stock Info Sector Market Cap (` cr) Beta 52 Week High / Low Avg. Daily Volume Face Value (`) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code Bloomberg Code Banking 10,935 1.0 392/179 159,615 10 19,748 5,886 BOI.BO BOI@IN
`184 -
Bank of India reported a healthy operating performance for the quarter, with better than expected asset quality numbers. NII expectedly grew by 24.1% yoy. Other income grew by 40.4% yoy, primarily boosted by trading gains, thereby aiding strong pre-provisioning profit growth of 30.3% yoy. On the asset quality front, Gross and Net NPA levels increased sequentially by 7.4% and 7.8%, respectively. As the asset quality numbers came in better-than-expected, the increase in provisioning expenses was limited to 47.1% yoy, thereby resulting in earnings growth of 8.6% yoy. Healthy Business growth; Asset quality remains under pressure: During 1QFY2014, the bank registered a healthy 18.2% yoy growth in its overall gross advances, aided by robust 29.0% yoy growth in its international loan book partly on back of INR depreciation. Overall deposits for the bank grew at a robust pace of 22.4% yoy. The domestic CASA ratio declined 130bp qoq to 30.6%. The Domestic NIM improved by 7bp qoq to 3.1%, as the domestic cost of funds came in 13bp lower on back of reduced reliance on high cost bulk deposits. The bank reported a subdued performance on the non-interest income (excluding treasury) front with a de-growth of 11.3% yoy. Income from treasury quadrupled on a yoy basis at `524cr. During the quarter, the banks asset quality remained under pressure, as the annualized slippage ratio for the bank came in at 2.7%. Recoveries/upgrades during the quarter came in higher at `706cr as compared to `248cr in 4QFY2013 and an average of `502cr in the last four quarters. Gross and Net NPA levels increased by 7.4% and 7.8%, qoq respectively. The PCR remained stable sequentially at 61.0%. During the quarter, the bank restructured advances worth `755cr (compared to `2,159Cr restructured in 4QFY2013), thereby taking its total standard restructured book to ~`16,231cr (~5.3% of its loan book). The Management has guided for ~`1,500cr of slippages and `800-1,000cr of restructuring in the next quarter. Outlook and valuation: Recent macro developments (RBI liquidity tightening measures) amidst a weak macro-environment clearly indicate that the asset quality pressures for the banking sector are unlikely to abate as quickly as was anticipated earlier and are most likely to have a corresponding adverse implication on sectors loan growth and margins performance, going ahead. Our view on the sector as a whole and stock in particular, largely depend on RBIs policy directions and its possible implications on the sectors loan growth, margins and asset quality. Moreover, the bank is expected to raise capital this fiscal, which is likely to be at book-dilutive valuations. Currently, we recommend a Neutral rating on the stock.
Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters MF / Banks / Indian Fls FII / NRIs / OCBs Indian Public / Others 64.1 15.6 14.0 6.3
3m 2.4 (43.7)
Vaibhav Agrawal
022 3935 7800 Ext: 6808 vaibhav.agrawal@angelbroking.com Sourabh Taparia 022 3935 7800 Ext: 6872 sourabh.taparia@angelbroking.com
Harshal Patkar
022 3935 7800 Ext: 6847 harshal.patkar@angelbroking.com
1QFY14 8,541 6,190 1,885 465 0 6,004 2,537 1,181 657 313 524 344 3,718 1,537 963 575 2,180 695 627 (80) 148 1,486 522 964 35.1
4QFY13 8,005 5,926 1,720 398 127 5,696 2,310 1,094 937 380 157 557 3,404 1,495 855 640 1,909 1,511 1,089 258 164 398 (192) 590 (48.2)
% chg (qoq) 6.7 4.5 9.6 16.8 NA 5.4 9.8 7.9 (29.9) (17.6) 233.1 (38.3) 9.2 2.8 12.6 (10.2) 14.2 (54.0) (42.4) (131.0) (9.8) 273.0 NA 63.3 8334bp
1QFY13 7,709 5,541 1,896 272 0 5,666 2,044 841 740 303 100 437 2,884 1,211 743 468 1,674 472 569 (136) 39 1,201 314 887 26.1
% chg (yoy) 10.8 11.7 (0.6) 71.3 NA 6.0 24.1 40.4 (11.3) 3.3 421.9 (21.4) 28.9 27.0 29.5 22.9 30.3 47.1 10.2 (41.0) 282.0 23.7 66.2 8.6 898bp
FY2013 31,909 23,139 7,261 1,257 251 22,885 9,024 3,766 3,319 1,263 447 2,056 12,790 5,332 3,131 2,201 7,459 4,451 3,726 76 648 3,008 258 2,749 8.6
FY2012 28,481 20,241 7,142 834 264 20,167 8,314 3,321 2,912 1,272 409 1,641 11,635 4,941 3,053 1,887 6,694 3,116 2,026 437 654 3,578 900 2,678 25.2
% chg (yoy) 12.0 14.3 1.7 50.7 (4.9) 13.5 8.5 13.4 14.0 (0.7) 9.3 25.3 9.9 7.9 2.5 16.6 11.4 42.8 84.0 (82.5) (0.9) (15.9) (71.3) 2.7 (1657)bp
Actual 2,537 1181 3,718 1,537 2,180 695 1,486 522 964
Estimates 2,497 861 3,358 1,426 1,933 1,008 925 166 758
Var (%) 1.6 37.2 10.7 7.8 12.8 (31.1) 60.7 213.4 27.1
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: Profitability ratios excluding CIR for domestic operations
21.6 15.7
19.5 11.2
20.0 13.6
16.3 20.0
16.9 22.4
31.2
31.8
32.8
31.9
25.0
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 6: Healthy Gr. in Agri and SME aides Domestic loan growth
Particulars (` cr) Agricultural SME Corporates Retail Domestic advances International Global advances 1QFY14 28,147 37,942 22,972 100,549 4QFY13 % chg (qoq) 27,622 37,230 22,350 88,932 1.9 1.9 2.8 13.1 1QFY13 % chg (yoy) 22,910 30,966 23,624 77,949 22.9 22.5 13.2 (2.8) 13.9 29.0 18.4 % to total 9.1 12.3 38.7 7.4 67.5 32.5 100.0
30.6
5.0
27.0
2.84
2QFY13
3QFY13
4QFY13
1QFY14
1QFY14 4QFY13 313 524 206 138 1,181 657 380 157 185 371 1,094 937
% chg (qoq) 1QFY13 (17.6) 233.1 11.1 (62.8) 8.0 (29.9) 303 100 93 344 841 741
Iron & Steel. Going ahead, as per the Management, the restructuring during the next quarter is likely to be in the range of `800-1,000cr.
2.6 1.7
3.4 2.0
3.1 2.0
3.0 2.1
0.5 -
3.0 2.1
55.0 1QFY14 10.7 2.7 2.8 8.2 8.0 1QFY14
1QFY13
2QFY13
3QFY13
4QFY13
42.0
40.0
42.8
41.9
39.0 38.0
41.4
1QFY13
2QFY13
3QFY13
4QFY13
1QFY14
Investment arguments
Reasonably high fee income with a moderate funding mix
International operations contribute a substantial ~32.5% (29.0% yoy growth in 1QFY2014, partly on account of INR depreciation) to the banks advances. International operations enable a wider spectrum of fee-based services to the banks domestic corporate and retail customers; further, they enable foreign currency fund-based services to Indian corporate, and savings products to the banks PIO clients abroad. The bank has a moderate funding mix, with domestic CASA ratio at 30.6% as of 1QFY2014.
Earlier estimates FY2014E 16.0 15.0 25.2 2.3 1.6 15.0 15.0 2.7 65.0 FY2015E 16.0 15.0 25.3 2.2 9.2 15.0 15.0 2.2 67.5
Revised estimates FY2014E 14.0 15.0 25.2 2.3 2.0 17.5 15.0 2.8 60.0 FY2015E 16.0 15.0 25.3 2.2 6.0 12.5 15.0 2.3 65.0
Oct-02
Oct-09
Feb-05
Feb-12
Sep-12
Nov-06
May-03
May-10
Nov-13
Sep-05
Jun-07
Dec-03
Aug-08
Dec-10
Jan-08
Apr-06
Mar-02
Mar-09
Apr-13
Jul-04
Jul-11
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note:*Target multiples=SOTP Target Price/ABV (including subsidiaries), #Without adjusting for SASF
Company Background
Bank of India (BoI) is amongst the five largest banks in India, with a balance sheet size of over `4.8lakh cr. The bank has a pan-India network of above 4,300 branches, of which ~64% are located in rural and semi-urban areas. The bank also has considerable presence overseas, which accounts for ~32% of its total loans (amongst the highest in the Indian banking industry).
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Ratio analysis
Y/E March NIMs Cost to Income Ratio RoA RoE B/S ratios (%) CASA Ratio Credit/Deposit Ratio CAR - Tier I Asset Quality (%) Gross NPAs Net NPAs Slippages Loan Loss Prov./Avg. Assets Provision Coverage Per Share Data (`) EPS ABVPS DPS Valuation Ratios PER (x) P/ABVPS (x) Dividend Yield DuPont Analysis (%) NII (-) Prov. Exp. Adj. NII Treasury Int. Sens. Inc. Other Inc. Op. Inc. Opex PBT Taxes RoA Leverage (x) RoE 2.3 0.9 1.4 0.2 1.7 0.8 2.5 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.7 20.4 14.2 2.5 0.6 1.9 0.1 2.0 0.7 2.7 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.8 21.8 17.3 2.3 0.8 1.4 0.1 1.5 0.8 2.3 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.7 20.6 15.0 2.2 1.1 1.1 0.1 1.2 0.8 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.7 19.7 13.0 2.2 0.7 1.5 0.1 1.6 0.7 2.3 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.7 20.2 13.7 2.2 0.6 1.6 0.0 1.6 0.7 2.3 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.7 20.7 13.9 5.5 0.8 3.8 4.0 0.6 3.8 3.9 0.6 3.8 4.0 0.5 5.4 3.3 0.5 5.4 3.0 0.4 6.3 33.1 231.9 7.0 45.5 288.3 7.0 46.6 324.1 7.0 46.1 345.2 10.0 55.0 373.0 10.0 62.2 433.9 11.5 2.9 1.3 2.9 0.7 65.5 2.2 0.9 1.7 0.3 72.2 2.3 1.5 2.5 0.6 64.2 3.0 2.1 2.9 0.9 60.9 4.0 2.5 2.8 0.6 60.0 4.3 2.1 2.3 0.5 65.0 27.8 73.3 12.9 8.5 25.4 71.3 12.2 8.3 26.7 78.2 12.0 8.6 25.6 75.8 11.4 8.4 25.2 75.1 10.7 8.2 25.3 75.8 10.2 8.0 FY10 2.4 43.8 0.7 14.2 FY11 2.6 48.5 0.8 17.3 FY12 2.4 42.5 0.7 15.0 FY13 2.2 41.7 0.7 13.0 FY14E 2.3 42.9 0.7 13.7 FY15E 2.2 43.9 0.7 13.9
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E-mail: research@angelbroking.com
Website: www.angelbroking.com
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Disclosure of Interest Statement 1. Analyst ownership of the stock 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock 4. Broking relationship with company covered
Bank of India No No No No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors
Ratings (Returns):
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