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Republic of Korea
ECONOMIC BULLETIN (Republic of Korea)
ECONOMIC
BULLETIN
03 The Green Book:
Current Economic Trends
47 Featured Issue
51 Policy Issues
MOSF/KDI
61 Statistical Appendices
Vol.35 No.7 July 2013
Vol.35 No.7
July 2013
Republic of Korea
Vol.35 No.7
July 2013
Contents
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book: Current Economic Trends
Overview ......................................................................................................................... 03
1. External economic situation ..................................................................................... 04
2. Private consumption .................................................................................................. 09
3. Facility investment ..................................................................................................... 12
4. Construction investment ........................................................................................... 14
5. Exports and imports .................................................................................................. 17
6. Mining and manufacturing production .................................................................. 19
7. Service sector activity ................................................................................................ 22
8. Employment .............................................................................................................. 24
9. Financial markets ........................................................................................................ 28
9.1 Stock market
9.2 Exchange rate
9.3 Bond market
9.4 Money supply & money market
10. Balance of payments ................................................................................................ 32
11. Prices and international commodity prices ......................................................... 35
11.1 Prices
11.2 International oil and commodity prices
12. Real estate market ................................................................................................... 40
12.1 Housing market
12.2 Land market
13. Composite indices of business cycle indicators .................................................. 45
Featured Issue
Pursuing realistic visions for the financial industry ...............................................47
(Interview with FSC chairman Shin Je-Yoon)
Policy Issues
Economic policy directions for the second half of 2013 ........................................... 51
The Korean economy is expected to gradually recover in line with an improvement in global
economic situations and as policies have started to positively affect the economy. However, there
still remain downside risks that may arise from the early tapering of quantitative easing in the US
and the struggling eurozone economy.
The Korean government will closely watch the global and domestic economic situations and
reinforce its monitoring of global and domestic markets, while continuing to pursue policies to
stimulate the economy.
At the same time, the government will focus on securing the lives of the low- and middle income
classes through job creation and by stabilizing the prices of necessities, while continuing to adopt
policies to improve the health of the economy.
1.
The global economy is expected to continue to steadily recover, led by the US,
but the eurozone is still mired in recession and there is a possibility that Chinese
economic growth will slow down owing to a change in its policy focus to the
quality of growth*.
External
economic
situation
* Rather than implementing short-term economic stimulus measures, China is currently focused
on laying the foundation for sustainable growth through policy reforms, including stabilizing
the social safety net and investing in infrastructure to support urbanization (announced by the
National Peoples Congress in March, 2013).
(%)
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
US economic growth in the first quarter of 2013 (finalized, annualized q-o-q) was
sharply revised downward from the previously reported 2.4 percent (revised) to 1.8
percent, but recovery momentum in the US continues led by consumption and the
housing market.
US
2.40 [ 1.83 (private consumption), 0.23 [ 0.04 (corporate investment), 0.30 [ 0.34 (housing investment),
0.63 [ 0.57 (inventory investment), 0.4 [ -0.15 (exports), -0.97 [ -0.93 (government spending)
Industrial production improved to 0.0 percent in May compared with the previous
month (-0.4%), and the ISM Manufacturing Index, which shows business confidence,
registered above its baseline of 50 while beating market expectations (50.5).
ISM Manufacturing Index (base=50)
51.7 (Oct 2012) [ 49.9 (Nov) [ 50.2 (Dec) [ 53.1 (Jan 2013) [ 54.2 (Feb) [ 51.3 (Mar) [
50.7 (Apr) [ 49.0 (May) [ 50.9 (Jun)
(%)
8
6
4
2
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
-10
2001. Q1
2002. Q1
2003. Q1
2004. Q1
2005. Q1
2006. Q1
2007. Q1
2008. Q1
2009. Q1
2010. Q1
2011. Q1
2012. Q1
2013. Q1
Retail sales showed stronger growth than the previous month, up 0.6 percent, and
the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index registered its highest level
since January 2008.
Consumer Confidence Index
73.1 (Oct 2012) [ 71.5 (Nov) [ 66.7 (Dec) [ 58.4 (Jan 2013) [ 68.0 (Feb) [ 61.9 (Mar) [
69.0 (Apr) [ 74.3 (May) [ 81.4 (Jun)
-0.4 (Q1 2012) [ 2.2 (Q2) [ 1.7 (Q3) [ 1.9 (Q4) [ 3.4 (Q1 2013)
1.3 (Feb 2013) [ 1.9 (Mar) [ 1.7 (Apr)
-4.9 (Oct 2012) [ 9.0 (Nov) [ -0.5 (Dec) [ 15.7 (Jan 2013) [ -2.8 (Feb) [ 1.3 (March) [ 3.3
(April) [ 2.1 (May)
The unemployment rate was 7.6 percent in June, unchanged from the previous
month, but the job market continued to show signs of improvement as nonfarm
employment increased by 195,000, greatly exceeding forecasts (165,000).
Nonfarm payroll increase (m-o-m, thousand)
160 (Oct 2012) [ 247 (Nov) [ 219 (Dec) [ 148 (Jan 2013) [ 332 (Feb) [ 142 (Mar) [ 199
(Apr) [ 195 (May) [ 195 (Jun)
Nonfarm payroll increase in June by industry (Out of 195,000 jobs added, thousand)
202 (private sector): 1 (mining), -6 (manufacturing), 13 (construction), 194 (service),
-7 (public sector)
(thousand)
(%)
12
600
10
400
200
0
-200
-400
-600
-800
-1,000
2001. 1
0
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
2011
Real GDP
2012
2013
Annual
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Apr
May
Jun
1.8
2.2
2.0
1.3
3.1
0.4
1.8
2.5
1.9
2.4
1.5
1.6
1.8
2.6
8.6
8.0
7.5
3.6
-1.8
13.2
0.4
-1.4
12.1
20.5
8.5
13.5
17.6
14.0
Industrial production
4.1
3.8
1.4
0.6
0.0
0.6
1.0
-0.4
0.0
Retail sales
8.0
5.0
1.7
-0.3
1.3
1.5
1.0
0.1
0.6
2.4
9.9
5.5
-2.0
5.1
3.3
1.0
0.6
4.2
Unemployment rate
9.0
8.1
8.3
8.2
8.1
7.8
7.7
7.5
7.6
7.6
3.2
2.1
2.8
1.9
1.7
1.9
1.7
1.1
1.4
Consumer prices
1. Preliminary 2. Annualized rate (%)
Source: US Department of Commerce
3. Seasonally adjusted
Chinese economic growth in the first quarter was 7.7 percent, falling below market
expectations, while economic indicators were mixed as retail sales improved and
industrial production slowed down, and there is a possibility that growth will slow
down.
China
Consumption has been gradually improving, but has yet to pick up from a year
ago due to the cutting of lavish government spending, anticorruption policies
and worries about food product sanitation, and this could lead to a slowdown in
growth.
Investment continues to be strong and there are signs pointing to a recovery, such
as an expansion in investment to promote urbanization. However, factors which
limit a recovery remain, including the falling manufacturing PMI and restrictive
real estate market regulations.
Manufacturing PMI
Nonmanufacturing PMI
2011
Annual
Real GDP
Q3
2012
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
2013
Q3
Q4
Q1
Apr
May
9.3
9.1
8.9
7.8
8.1
7.6
7.4
7.9
7.7
Industrial production
13.9
13.8
12.8
10.0
11.6
9.5
9.1
10.0
9.5
9.3
9.2
24.8
24.9
23.8
20.6
20.9
20.4
20.5
20.6
20.9
20.6
20.4
Retail sales
17.1
17.3
17.5
14.3
14.9
13.9
13.5
14.9
12.4
12.8
12.9
Exports
20.7
20.7
14.4
8.3
8.8
10.5
4.5
9.5
18.4
14.6
1.0
Consumer prices
5.4
6.3
4.6
2.6
3.8
2.8
1.9
2.1
2.4
2.4
2.1
Producer prices
6.0
7.1
3.1
-1.7
0.1
-1.4
-3.3
-2.3
-1.7
-2.6
-2.9
1. Preliminary
2. Quarterly change: average of monthly change
Source: China National Bureau of Statistics
(%)
(%)
70
16
60
14
50
12
40
10
30
20
10
4
2001. Q1
2002. Q1
2003. Q1
2004. Q1
2005. Q1
2006. Q1
2007. Q1
2008. Q1
2009. Q1
2010. Q1
2011. Q1
2012. Q1
0
2013. Q1
Japan
Deflationary pressures appear to be easing as the May consumer price index fell
only 0.3 percent and core inflation remained steady at 0.0 percent.
Business sentiment is improving as the Tankan index for large manufacturers
(baseline = 0) grew from -8.0 in the first quarter to 4.0 in the second quarter.
(Percentage change from previous period)
2011
Annual
Q3
2012
Q4
Annual
Q1
2013
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Apr
May
Real GDP
-0.6
2.5
0.1
2.0
1.2
-0.2
-0.9
0.3
1.0
Industrial production
-2.4
4.3
-0.4
-0.3
1.2
-2.0
-4.2
-1.9
2.2
0.9
2.0
Retail sales
-1.2
0.5
-0.5
1.6
1.2
0.3
-0.9
-0.2
0.6
0.6
1.5
Exports (y-o-y)
-2.7
0.5
-5.5
-2.8
-1.6
4.8
-8.2
-5.5
1.2
3.8
10.1
-0.3
0.0
-0.2
-0.0
0.3
0.1
-0.4
-0.2
-0.6
-0.7
-0.3
1. Preliminary
Sources: Japan's Cabinet Office, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, Ministry of Finance, Statistics Bureau of Japan
(%)
(%)
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-2
-10
-15
-4
-20
-6
2001. Q1
2002. Q1
2003. Q1
Eurozone
2004. Q1
2005. Q1
2006. Q1
2007. Q1
2008. Q1
2009. Q1
2010. Q1
2011. Q1
2012. Q1
-25
2013. Q1
2011
2012
Annual Annual
Real GDP
1.4
-0.5
2013
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Mar
Apr
Mar
Jun
0.0
-0.2
-0.1
-0.6
-0.2
Industrial production
3.5
-2.4
-0.5
-0.5
0.4
-2.4
0.1
0.9
0.3
Retail sales
-0.5
-1.7
-0.3
-0.8
0.0
-1.5
0.2
-0.2
-0.5
Exports (y-o-y)
12.7
7.4
8.6
8.1
7.4
5.5
1.2
-0.1
9.1
2.7
2.1
2.7
2.7
2.5
2.3
1.9
1.7
1.2
1.4
1.6
(%)
(%)
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
-1
-4
-6
-2
-8
-3
2001. Q1
2002. Q1
2003. Q1
2004. Q1
2005. Q1
2006. Q1
2007. Q1
2008. Q1
2009. Q1
2010. Q1
2011. Q1
2.
Private
consumption
2012. Q1
-10
2013. Q1
Private consumption in the first quarter of 2013 (preliminary GDP) fell 0.4 percent
quarter-on-quarter while increasing 1.5 percent year-on-year.
2011
Private consumption
(y-o-y)
2012
2013
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
2.4
0.7
0.6
0.1
-0.2
1.7
0.8
0.4
0.7
0.8
-0.4
3.2
3.1
2.1
1.2
1.3
1.0
1.7
2.7
1.5
1. Preliminary
2. National accounts
Source: The Bank of Korea
Retail sales in May fell 0.2 percent compared with the previous month, as sales of
nondurable goods, such as automobile fuel, and durable goods, such as computers
and communications equipment, fell, despite an increase in semi-durable goods
sales, such as clothing. Year-on-year, the index rose 0.5 percent.
(Percentage change from previous period)
2011
20131
2012
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Apr1
May1
4.5
1.4
0.8
0.5
0.0
2.3
1.0
0.3
1.2
0.4
-1.2
-0.7
-0.2
5.3
6.2
4.0
2.6
2.8
1.4
2.6
2.5
0.2
2.1
0.5
- Durable goods
10.6
3.8
0.5
0.7
-0.9
5.3
2.5
1.9
2.8
2.3
-4.4
2.1
-1.0
Automobiles
7.0
5.2
-3.3
4.6
-11.3
2.4
2.4
9.4
-1.6
9.0
-9.0
-2.6
0.2
- Semi-durable goods
3.7
0.9
1.4
1.7
-2.7
-1.1
-0.4
0.3
-1.1
1.7
1.0
-4.4
0.9
- Nondurable goods
2.1
0.4
0.6
-0.1
1.6
2.3
0.9
-0.6
1.5
-1.1
-0.5
-0.4
-0.2
Retail sales
(y-o-y)
1. Preliminary
2. Durable goods: Automobiles, electronic appliances, furniture, telecommunications devices, etc.
3. Semi-durable goods: Clothing, footwear, etc.
4. Nondurable goods: Food, medicine, cosmetics, fuel, tobacco, etc.
Source: Statistics Korea
There is a possibility that retail sales in June will improve somewhat compared with
May due to an increase in seasonal clothing and home appliance sales.
Domestic car sales worsened due to poor midsize car sales.
Growth of department store sales accelerated from the previous month backed
by strong clothing sales due to the warm weather, and discount store sales turned
positive without a high base effect from before May 2012, when mandatory closures
were fully implemented, and owing to an increase in home appliance sales.
Gasoline sales turned negative as sales fell due to rising domestic oil prices.
Gasoline prices (won/liter)
1,897 (1st week Jun) [ 1,898 (2nd week) [ 1,902 (3rd week) [ 1,908 (4th week)
(y-o-y, %)
2012
2013
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
14.2
7.1
6.2
3.4
5.6
4.5
3.6
4.1
9.1
-0.2
-8.2
1.7
7.5
-1.9
1.0
3.7
-1.7
-5.0
-24.6
8.9
-4.4
-9.8
-4.3
4.3
3.7
-2.8
2.9
-8.0
7.6
6.5
2.6
-0.1
13.2
7.5
1.6
-13.5
-1.0
0.8
-1.9
-8.5
Sources: Credit Finance Association of Korea, Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy, Korea National Oil Corporation, Korea Automobile Manufacturers
Association, Ministry of Strategy and Finance (for June data)
Private consumption
Source: The Bank of Korea (national accounts)
14
(%)
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
-4
-6
2001. Q1
2002. Q1
2003. Q1
2004. Q1
2005. Q1
2006. Q1
2007. Q1
2008. Q1
2009. Q1
2010. Q1
2011. Q1
2012. Q1
2013. Q1
Retail sales
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trend)
25
(%)
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
(y-o-y, %)
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
2001. 1
2002. 1
Durable goods
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
Semi-durable goods
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
Nondurable goods
3.
Facility
investment
2011
Facility investment
(y-o-y)
Annual
Q3
3.6
-
2012
Q2
2013
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q3
Q4
Q1
-1.8
-3.6
-1.9
10.4
-7.8
-5.2
-1.8
2.6
1.1
-3.6
8.8
-3.5
-6.9
-5.2
-11.9
- Machinery
4.2
-2.3
-1.8
-1.1
11.3
-8.5
-6.0
-3.2
1.1
- Transportation equipment
1.4
-0.1
-10.8
-5.0
6.7
-5.2
-1.7
3.7
7.8
1. Preliminary
2. National accounts
Source: The Bank of Korea
Facility investment
Source: The Bank of Korea (national accounts)
(%)
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
2001. Q1
2002. Q1
2003. Q1
2004. Q1
2005. Q1
2006. Q1
2007. Q1
2008. Q1
2009. Q1
2010. Q1
2011. Q1
2012. Q1
2013. Q1
(y-o-y, %)
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
2001. Q1
2002. Q1
2003. Q1
Transportation equipment
2004. Q1
2005. Q1
2006. Q1
2007. Q1
2008. Q1
2009. Q1
2010. Q1
2011. Q1
2012. Q1
2013. Q1
Machinery
2011
2012
Annual Annual
Q1
2013
Q1
Mar
Apr
May1
0.8
-4.5
-0.2
-3.8
1.2
-8.2
-6.9
-15.4
-7.9
-12.1
-11.6
Q2
Q3
Q4
6.4
-5.0
-6.8
10.7
-2.7
4.0
-2.0
(y-o-y)
- Machinery
2.7
-2.2
8.1
-5.5
-6.9
-3.8
-5.7
-3.2
1.0
2.3
- Transportation equipment
9.8
-1.1
-1.0
-1.8
-6.7
22.0
0.3
7.9
-17.9
-2.9
1. Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
2011
2012
2013
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Mar
Apr
May1
-13.4
-1.1
-19.8
-10.4
-21.5
-10.7
13.4
-0.3
16.9
-5.3
-18.7
-2.0
3.9
5.2
-0.5
0.4
16.0
Annual Annual
Domestic machinery orders
7.6
(q-o-q, m-o-m)
- Public
-2.6
-11.0
126.1
-59.7
86.7
-54.6
-47.0
92.2
63.8
553.5
- Private
8.8
-13.6
-8.7
-15.1
-16.0
-15.1
-5.6
10.6
-2.3
5.3
Machinery imports
7.1
-3.0
15.3
-4.3
-12.2
-8.2
-11.8
-7.1
-7.2
-0.7
80.2
78.1
79.6
79.0
76.2
77.8
77.1
75.4
75.5
75.4
1.1
-1.4
0.7
-1.3
-3.0
-1.5
-2.9
-4.1
0.5
-2.5
1. Preliminary
2. Production growth rate minus production capacity growth rate in the manufacturing sector (%p)
Sources: Statistics Korea, Korea International Trade Association
(trillion won)
(y-o-y, %)
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
3
2
2001. Q1
70
-40
2002. Q1
2003. Q1
2004. Q1
2005. Q1
2006. Q1
2007. Q1
2008. Q1
2009. Q1
2010. Q1
2011. Q1
4.
Construction
investment
2012. Q1
-50
2013. Q1
2011
Construction investment
(y-o-y)
2012
2013
Annual
Q3
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
-4.7
-0.4
0.1
-2.2
-1.5
-1.3
0.7
-1.2
4.1
-3.6
-1.7
-0.4
-3.1
-0.3
-4.2
2.4
- Building construction
-2.7
-0.3
-1.0
-1.7
0.3
-2.6
0.1
-0.3
4.6
-7.3
-0.7
1.5
-2.9
-3.9
0.4
1.5
-2.4
3.5
1. Preliminary
2. National accounts
Source: The Bank of Korea
2011
2012
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Dec
Q1
Mar
Apr
May1
-5.8
-5.6
-0.9
1.0
1.4
2.1
4.4
-2.5
9.8
-4.3
Annual Annual
Construction completed (constant)
-6.4
(y-o-y)
2013
-4.9
-9.7
-2.3
-5.6
-8.3
5.2
3.7
19.6
12.5
- Building construction
-6.9
-7.6
-4.5
-4.8
1.0
1.8
3.0
7.6
1.5
9.0
-4.9
-5.6
-3.5
-6.9
4.1
0.9
1.0
1.1
0.6
-7.4
10.8
-3.5
2006. Q1
2007. Q1
2008. Q1
2009. Q1
1. Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
Construction investment
Source: The Bank of Korea (national accounts)
(%)
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
2001. Q1
2002. Q1
2003. Q1
2004. Q1
2005. Q1
2010. Q1
2011. Q1
2012. Q1
2013. Q1
(y-o-y, %)
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
Building construction
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
Residential buildings
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
Construction investment remains to be seen as there are both positive factors, such
as a rise in construction completed due to new home sales in new towns and a
decrease in unsold new houses, and negative factors, such as the expiration of the
acquisition tax cut and poor construction orders.
Unsold houses (thousand, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport)
75 (Jan 2013) [ 73 (Feb) [ 71 (Mar) [ 70 (Apr) [ 67 (May)
(Percentage change from same period in previous year)
2011
2012
Annual Annual
Construction orders (current value)
2013
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Dec
Q1
Mar
Apr
May1
6.1
-8.9
33.3
-0.7
-13.6
-33.1
-43.0
-41.2
-20.7
-18.6
-19.1
15.1
-14.8
-6.1
-20.4
-10.8
-5.9
-13.5
-3.2
5.1
- Building construction
14.0
-8.7
27.4
-7.0
-7.1
-27.4
-37.5
-33.6
-13.7
-26.7
-46.4
-6.0
-9.3
42.0
12.5
-26.3
-43.7
-51.6
-51.3
-33.1
-1.0
79.3
9.9
-0.5
8.7
1.2
-7.3
-2.3
9.2
-12.4
-14.2
-14.2
-12.9
(q-o-q, m-o-m)
1. Preliminary
Sources: Statistics Korea, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport
(y-o-y, %)
290
240
190
140
90
40
-10
-60
-110
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
Construction orders
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
5.
Exports and
imports
Despite an improvement in vessel exports and shipments to the EU, export growth
turned negative year-on-year in June, due to a fall in steel exports and shipments
to Japan, fewer days worked (22.5 [ 21.5) and a high base effect.
Export growth by item (y-o-y, %)
11.8 (vessels), 6.7 (semiconductors), 6.3 (mobile phones), -1.6 (automobiles), -7.7 (petroleum
products), -13.2 (steel)
Export growth fell in most items and regions due to a decrease in days worked,
while shipments to Japan continued to drop in line with the weakening yen.
Average daily exports, an indicator adjusted to days worked, amounted to US$2.17
billion, an increase of 3.7 percent year-on-year, rising for the second consecutive
month.
Average daily export growth (y-o-y, %)
1.7 (Jan 2013) [ 2.6 (Feb) [ 4.5 (Mar) [ -8.0 (Apr) [ 1.0 (May) [ 3.7 (Jun)
Exports by item
Source: Korea Customs Service, Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy (export and import trend)
160
(y-o-y, %)
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
Automobiles
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
Semiconductors
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
Steel
(US$ billion)
2012
Exports
2013
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Jun
Q1
May
Jun1
Jan-Jun1
547.87
134.85
140.13
133.13
139.77
47.16
135.47
48.36
46.73
276.69
(y-o-y, %)
-1.3
2.9
-1.7
-5.8
-0.4
0.9
0.4
3.2
-0.9
0.6
2.00
1.97
2.09
1.90
2.04
2.10
2.00
2.10
2.17
2.05
1. Preliminary
Source: Korea Customs Service
Imports by type
Source: Korea Customs Service, Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy (export and import trend)
100
(y-o-y, %)
80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
Commodities
2013. 1
Capital goods
(US$ billion)
2012
Imports
2013
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Jun
Q1
May
Jun1
Jan-Jun1
519.58
133.67
130.43
125.65
129.83
42.00
129.68
42.45
41.22
257.14
(y-o-y, %)
-0.9
7.8
-2.9
-6.9
-1.1
-6.3
-2.9
-4.6
-1.8
-2.6
1.90
1.95
1.96
1.79
1.89
1.87
1.94
1.85
1.92
1.90
1. Preliminary
Source: Korea Customs Service
(US$ billion)
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
Trade balance
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
Exports
2013. 1
Imports
The trade balance (preliminary) in June remained in the black for 17 months in a
row, posting a surplus of US$5.52 billion.
(US$ billion)
2012
Trade balance
2013
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
June
Q1
May
Jun1
Jan-Jun
28.29
1.18
9.70
7.47
9.94
5.17
5.67
5.92
5.52
19.55
1. Preliminary
Source: Korea Customs Service
6.
Mining and
manufacturing
production
Mining and manufacturing production in May decreased 0.4 percent month-onmonth and 1.4 percent year-on-year, as poor semiconductors & parts and other
transportation equipment offset an increase in chemical products and refined
petroleum.
Compared to the previous month, production of chemical products (up 4.2%),
refined petroleum (up 5.4%) and medical, precision & optical instruments (up
6.8%) rose, while other transportation equipment (down 9.6%), semiconductors &
parts (down 2.5%) and processed metals (down 2.5%) fell.
Compared to a year ago, production of semiconductors & parts (up 6.4%), chemical
products (up 5.9%) and medical, precision & optical instruments (up 15.5%)
increased, while mechanical equipment (down 6.8%), refined petroleum (down
11.8%) and audio-visual communications equipment (down 16.1%) went down.
The Green Book | 19
Industrial production
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trend)
50
(%)
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
The manufacturing inventory-shipment ratio rose by 0.1 percentage point monthon-month as inventories and shipments increased 0.2 percent and 0.1 percent,
respectively.
Inventories of semiconductors & parts (up 3.0%), mechanical equipment (up 2.2%)
and groceries (up 4.7%) rose month-on-month, while refined petroleum (down
13.4%), primary metals (down 1.7%) and chemical products (down 1.5%) declined.
Shipments of audio-visual communications equipment (up 4.6%), chemical
products (up 4.3%) and refined petroleum (up 2.0%) climbed, while other
transportation equipment (down 10.4%), semiconductors & parts (down 1.8%)
and clothing & fur (down 7.3%) slipped.
The average operation ratio of the manufacturing sector fell by 0.1 percentage
point month-on-month to 75.4 percent.
(m-o-m, %)
8
6
4
2
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
-10
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
Shipment growth
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
Inventory growth
( %)
90
80
70]
60
50
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
2012
2013
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
1.7
-0.5
(y-o-y)
0.8
3.6
1.1
Q4
May
Q1
Mar
Apr
May
-2.2
2.9
1.2
-0.9
-2.4
0.6
-0.4
-1.0
-0.1
3.1
-1.7
-2.9
1.6
-1.4
1.7
-0.5
-2.3
3.0
1.4
-0.9
-2.3
0.5
-0.4
0.8
3.8
1.0
-1.1
-0.2
3.2
-1.8
-3.0
1.5
-1.5
0.7
1.8
-0.3
-2.4
2.0
1.8
-0.5
-1.4
-0.2
0.1
-1.1
0.7
-0.3
-1.4
1.0
0.9
-0.8
-2.8
0.3
0.3
- Exports
3.0
3.2
-0.3
-3.6
3.2
2.8
-0.2
0.3
-0.6
-0.3
Inventory3
2.3
1.6
-1.8
-3.0
2.3
0.4
-0.8
-0.8
-0.7
0.2
78.1
79.6
79.0
76.2
77.8
79.5
77.1
75.4
75.5
75.4
2.2
3.1
2.3
1.9
1.3
2.4
1.1
1.1
1.0
1.0
1. Preliminary
2. Including mining, manufacturing, electricity, and gas industry
3. End-period
4. Percentage change from same period in previous year
Source: Statistics Korea
Production in the IT sector is expected to slow down from the previous month
in line with declining production growth of communications equipment and
semiconductors after demand for new mobile phone models peaked. However,
mining and manufacturing production is expected to slightly increase as the
resuming of working weekends has helped the automobile industry rebound and
average daily exports have picked up.
Growth of mobile phone exports (y-o-y, %)
32.3 (Jan 2013) [ 15.1 (Feb) [ 21.8 (Mar) [ 47.9 (Apr) [ 57.1 (May) [ 6.3 (June)
Growth of semiconductors exports (y-o-y, %)
7.2 (Jan 2013) [ 0.9 (Feb) [ 6.6 (Mar) [ 12.5 (Apr) [ 17.2 (May) [ 6.7 (June)
Growth of automobile exports (y-o-y, %)
23.2 (Jan 2013) [ -16.3 (Feb) [ -11.5 (Mar) [ -2.6 (Apr) [ 5.3(May) [ -1.6 (June)
7.
Service sector
activity
Service output in May grew 0.2 percent month-on-month and 1.6 percent yearon-year, as growth in professional, scientific & technical services and financial &
insurance services offset weaknesses in educational services and wholesale & retail.
Service output grew 0.3 percent in the first quarter of 2013, showing a slight
improvement from the previous quarter, when output remained unchanged.
Wholesale & retail declined 0.6 percent month-on-month as retail sales decreased
due to falling sales of communications equipment, computers and car fuel.
Real estate & renting rose 1.4 percent, with housing transactions increasing from
80,000 in April to 90,000 in May.
Hotels & restaurants and financial & insurance services somewhat recovered from
the previous months slump, rising 1.4 percent and 1.0 percent, respectively.
Educational services continued to contract, declining 1.4 percent from the previous
month.
(Percentage change from previous period)
Weight
Service activity index
2011
Annual Q1
20131
2012
Q2
Q3
Q4 Annual Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1 Apr1 May1
0.0
0.5
0.1
0.9
0.0
0.3
100.0
3.2
1.2
0.5
1.2
21.6
3.8
1.6
1.0
0.4 -0.3
0.7 -0.1
0.6
0.1
- Transportation services
8.5
4.5
2.6 -0.4
1.1 -1.3
1.2
1.2
0.2
0.9
0.6
0.9
8.4
5.1
0.7
0.7
0.6
1.6 -0.6
1.1
14.7
6.8
2.9 -0.5
3.1
1.1 -0.6
3.3
1.0
3.9 -0.8
1.6
3.0 -0.4
2.8
2.3 -2.6
0.5
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.7 -0.3
1.4
1.5 -0.2
1.0
2.3 -1.3
5.6
0.5 -3.7
2.7
1.1
4.1
4.0 -0.6
0.8
- Business services
3.3
5.2
1.2
1.2
0.5
0.3
3.5
2.9
10.9
2.2
0.5 -1.0
1.1
1.0
0.9
0.6 -1.4
0.0
0.9
7.5
6.4
3.0
0.9
1.4
1.5
5.8
1.4
2.5
1.0
0.2
1.4
2.9
2.7
0.4
3.0 -1.0
1.4
2.8
0.9
- Membership organizations
3.6
1.6
0.4
1.9 -0.6
0.6
3.3 -3.2
8.6
- Educational services
0.8
5.8
1.6 -2.7
3.7
1.4
7.3
1.8
0.1
0.1 -0.3
2.4 -2.0
1.8
2.7
2.2
1. Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
Service output is expected to improve in June, led by real estate & renting and
wholesale & retail, while financial & insurance services may decline due to falling
stock transactions.
Average daily stock transactions (trillion won)
7.9 (Sep 2012) [ 6.8 (Oct) [ 6.2 (Nov) [ 5.8 (Dec) [ 6.3 (Jan 2013) [ 5.5 (Feb) [ 6.0 (Mar)
[ 6.9 (Apr) [ 6.5 (May) [ 5.8 (Apr)
22 | The Green Book
Service industry
Source: Statistics Korea (service industry activity trend)
20
(%)
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
(%)
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
6
4
Tot
al i
nde
x
2
0
&r
eta
il
Tra
nsp
ort
atio
ns
erv
ice
Ho
s
tels
&r
est
aur
ant
s
Pub
lish
ing
&c
om
mu
Fin
nic
anc
atio
ial
ns
&i
ser
nsu
vic
es
ran
c
e se
Rea
rvic
l es
es
tat
e&
ren
Pro
tin
ser fess
g
vic ion
es al,
scie
nti
fic
B
&t
sup usine
ech
por ss fa
nic
al
t se cili
t
rvic y m
es an
age
Edu
me
nt &
cat
ion
bus
al s
ine
erv
ss
i
c
e
He
s
alth
car
e&
soc
ial
we
Ent
lfar
ert
e se
ain
rvic
me
es
nt,
cul
Me
tur
oth mb
al &
er p ersh
spo
ers ip o
rts
ona rga
ser
n
l
vic
ser iza
Sew
es
vic tion
ma era
es s,
ter ge
rep
ial , w
air
rec ast
&
ove e m
ry & an
rem agem
edi ent
atio ,
na
ctiv
itie
s
(y-o-y, %)
Wh
ole
sal
e
-2
-4
8.
Employment
The number of workers on payroll in May increased by 265,000 from a year earlier
to 25,400,000 and the employment rate fell 0.1 percentage point from the previous
year to 60.4 percent.
Workers in the service sector continued to grow, while growth in the number of
workers in the manufacturing sector slowed and workers in the construction and
agriculture, forestry & fisheries sectors declined by a wider margin.
By status of workers, regular workers continued to increase while self-employed
and temporary workers continued to decrease.
2010
2011
Annual Annual Q3
Number of employed (million)
2012
Q4 Annual May
Q1
2013
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Apr
May
23.83 24.24 24.48 24.46 24.68 25.13 23.93 25.00 24.99 24.80 24.18 25.10 25.40
58.7
59.1
59.5
59.4
59.4
60.5
57.8
60.2
60.0
59.4
57.7
59.8
60.4
(Seasonally adjusted)
58.7
59.1
59.1
59.2
59.4
59.5
59.3
59.4
59.5
59.3
59.2
59.5
59.3
323
415
363
474
437
472
467
430
506
342
257
345
265
405
440
414
497
451
493
498
454
504
344
266
367
306
191
63
-12
-75
14
-67 -102
-66
85
140
119
165
105
33
-2
-35
71
22
33
79
33
17
-40
-64
-10
-13
- Services
200
386
472
514
416
531
541
491
397
236
199
186
187
-82
-25
-51
-23
-14
-21
-31
-24
-2
-9
-22
-41
- Wage workers
517
427
392
374
315
309
360
281
317
303
329
466
453
Regular workers
697
575
572
500
436
356
413
379
485
469
554
659
661
Temporary workers
-34
-78
-76
-10
-2
89
110
73
- Manufacturing
- Construction
Daily workers
-146
-89
-57
-194
-11
-29
100
121
163
108
150
189
39
-118
34
125
124
186
149
173
143
33
-28
-90 -117
- Male
181
238
208
257
234
276
238
242
284
172
123
189
153
- Female
142
177
155
216
203
196
230
188
223
170
135
156
112
- 15 to 29
-43
-35
-1
-18
-36
-19
-8
-57
-85
- 30 to 39
-4
-47
-83
-56
-31
-95
-65
-80
33
-10
-15
34
11
- 40 to 49
29
57
46
47
11
25
28
12
-3
12
-28
- 50 to 59
294
291
270
315
270
282
326
260
273
220
196
264
230
47
149
131
185
222
278
178
251
245
215
181
179
136
- Non-wage workers
Self-employed workers
- 60 or more
Source: Statistics Korea
-73
-19
(thousand)
(million)
26
1,000
25
800
600
24
400
23
200
0
22
-200
21
-400
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
(%)
80
60
70.3 69.9 69.2 68.8 68.4 68.4 69.1 68.9 69.1 68.7 69.2 70.2 71.0 70.8 70.3 69.7 69.2 69.1 69.3 69.2 69.0 68.7 69.0 70.4 70.9 71.1 70.2 69.4 69.2
40
20
0
7.0 7.0 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.1 7.3 7.1 7.4 7.5 7.6 7.2 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.1 7.1 7.1 7.3 7.2 7.2 6.9 6.7 6.9 7.1 7.1
17.9 17.8 17.3 16.9 16.8 16.7 16.6 16.5 16.5 16.4 16.5 16.9 17.0 17.1 16.6 16.3 16.2 16.3 16.4 16.5 16.6 16.7 16.9 17.1 17.4 17.3 16.9 16.7 16.4
4.4 4.9 6.1 6.8 7.2 7.2 6.9 7.0 7.0 7.1 6.5 5.0 4.4 4.7 5.6 6.5 7.0 7.0 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.9 6.5 4.9 4.3 4.6 5.6 6.3 6.7
2011. 1 2
Services
10
11
12 2012. 1 2
Construction
10
11
12 2013. 1 2
Manufacturing
(%)
4.7 4.8 5.1 5.4 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.1 5.4 5.2 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.8 5.1 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.2 4.5 4.2 4.2 4.7 5.0 5.0
22.8 23.0 23.3 23.2 23.0 22.9 23.0 23.2 23.4 23.2 23.0 22.9 23.1 23.1 23.4 23.4 23.3 23.2 23.4 23.3 23.2 23.1 22.9 22.7 22.7 22.8 23.0 22.8 22.6
7.2 7.2 7.3 7.5 7.5 7.6 7.4 7.2 6.4 7.0 7.2 7.0 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.6 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.4 6.4 6.7 6.8 6.6 6.2 6.0 6.0 6.5 6.7
60
20.9 20.5 20.1 20.3 20.5 20.7 20.9 20.5 20.8 20.6 20.5 20.7 20.5 20.5 20.6 20.6 20.5 20.3 20.2 19.9 19.8 19.8 19.9 20.0 19.9 19.7 19.5 19.5 19.5
40
46.9 47.3 47.0 46.3 46.2
20 44.4 44.5 44.2 43.7 43.4 43.3 43.5 43.7 44.3 43.8 44.1 44.9 45.4 45.4 44.9 44.3 44.0 44.4 44.4 45.1 45.2 45.1 45.2 46.2
0
2011. 1 2
10
11
12 2012. 1 2
Self-employed workers
Daily workers
10
11
12 2013. 1 2
Temporary workers
Regular workers
2011
Annual Annual
2012
Q3
Q4
Annual May
2013
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Apr
May
920
855
786
740
820
807
947
841
770
722
907
825
797
31
-65
-88
-68
-35
-12
-82
-23
-16
-18
-40
-70
-9
- Male
-7
-48
-48
-41
-26
-21
-54
-19
-16
-13
-7
-46
-7
- Female
38
-17
-40
-27
-9
-28
-4
-6
-33
-24
-2
3.7
3.4
3.1
2.9
3.2
3.1
3.8
3.3
3.0
2.8
3.6
3.2
3.0
(Seasonally adjusted)
3.7
3.4
3.2
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.5
3.3
3.1
3.0
3.3
3.1
3.2
- 15 to 29
8.0
7.6
6.7
7.1
7.5
8.0
8.2
8.1
6.8
7.0
8.4
8.4
7.4
- 30 to 39
3.5
3.4
3.2
2.9
3.0
3.1
3.2
3.2
2.8
2.7
3.3
3.1
3.0
- 40 to 49
2.5
2.1
2.0
1.9
2.0
1.8
2.4
2.0
2.0
1.8
2.1
2.2
2.1
- 50 to 59
2.5
2.1
2.1
1.8
2.1
1.8
2.3
2.0
2.2
1.8
2.3
1.9
1.9
- 60 or more
2.8
2.6
2.1
1.8
2.4
1.7
4.4
2.0
1.9
1.6
3.4
1.3
1.6
The economically inactive population in May was up 273,000 from a year earlier
to 15,850,000, while the labor force participation rate fell 0.2 percentage points to
62.3 percent.
The number of those economically inactive due to childcare (down 8,000) decreased,
while those due to education (up 118,000), rest (up 74,000) and housework (up
66,000) increased.
2010
2011
Annual Annual Q3
Economically inactive population (million)
2012
Q4 Annual May
Q1
2013
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Apr
May
15.84 15.95 15.85 16.01 16.08 15.58 16.50 15.67 15.90 16.26 16.83 16.07 15.85
61.0 61.1 61.5 61.1 61.3 62.5 60.1 62.3 61.8 61.1 59.9 61.7 62.3
(seasonally adjusted)
61.0 61.1 61.0 61.1 61.3 61.5 61.4 61.4 61.4 61.1 61.2 61.3 61.3
143
112
191
53
128
56
103
-
- Childcare
-125
-5
17
23
-2
21
- Housework
201
101
143
103
123
157
85
110
57
244
336
269
273
-7
-3
-8
181
101
126
143
41
66
- Education
12
-51
-78
-69
-12
-65
-28
-64
39
118
164
118
- Old age
80
-45
-22
148
170
76
174
156
186
154
21
-56
182
193
131
-53 -103
126
71
74
- Rest
Source: Statistics Korea
Employment rate
Source: Statistics Korea (employment trend)
64
(%)
63
62
61
60
59
58
57
56
55
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
Original rate
2012. 1
2013. 1
Unemployment rate
Source: Statistics Korea (employment trend)
6
(%)
2
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
Original rate
2012. 1
2013. 1
(%)
64
63
62
61
60
59
58
57
2001. 1
2002. 1
Original rate
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
9.
Financial markets
KOSPI
KOSDAQ
May 2013
Jun 2013
Change1
May 2013
Jun 2013
Change1
2,001.1
1,863.3
-137.8 (-6.9%)
577.9
519.1
-58.8 (-10.2%)
1,164.2
1,084.2
-80.0 (-6.9%)
131.1
117.7
-13.4 (-10.2%)
4.2
4.1
-0.1 (-2.4%)
2.3
1.7
-0.6 (-26.1%)
34.5
33.9
-0.6 (-1.7%)
8.8
9.1
0.3 (3.4%)
Stock prices
2,200
2,000
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
KOSPI
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
KOSDAQ
The won/100 yen exchange rate surged to the 1,200 won range with the strong
yen/dollar exchange rate, but fell back to the 1,156 won range as the yen weakened
again.
(End-period)
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
May
Jun
Change1
Won/dollar
1,259.5
1,164.5
1,134.8
1,151.8
1,070.6
1,129.7
1,142.0
-6.3
Won/100 yen
1,396.8
1,264.5
1,393.6
1,481.2
1,238.3
1,120.2
1,156.3
7.1
1. Appreciation from the end of the previous year (%); the exchange rate is based on the closing price at 3:00 p.m., local time.
(month-end, )
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
Won/dollar
2012. 1
2013. 1
Won/100 yen
()
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
2008. 1. 2
2008. 8. 11
Won/dollar
2009. 3. 18
2009. 10. 19
2010. 5. 25
2010. 12. 27
2011. 8. 3
2012. 3. 9
2012. 10. 16
Won/100 yen
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
May
Jun
5.02
3.02
2.01
2.51
3.29
2.77
2.50
2.50
CD (91 days)
5.82
3.93
2.88
2.80
3.55
2.89
2.69
2.69
5.74
3.41
4.44
3.38
3.34
2.82
2.78
2.88
10
6.77
7.72
5.56
4.27
4.21
3.29
3.14
3.31
17
5.78
3.77
4.98
4.08
3.46
2.97
2.90
3.14
24
Change1
Interest rates
Source: The Bank of Korea
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Feb
Mar
Apr
Apr1
475.3
M12
-1.8
16.3
11.8
6.6
3.8
1.8
3.6
4.3
5.5
8.0
7.4
8.7
M2
14.3
10.3
8.7
4.2
5.2
5.3
5.6
5.6
4.5
5.3
5.0
5.1
Lf
11.9
7.9
8.2
5.3
7.8
7.5
8.5
7.9
7.1
1,867.7
4
8.1
6.8
6.9
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2,512.54
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
Reserve money
2008. 1
2009. 1
M1
2013. 1
Lf
Bank deposits and asset management company (AMC) deposits surged in May.
Bank deposits surged (-7.4 trillion won [ 7.6 trillion won), led by instant access
deposits, as corporate funds that had been lost due to tax payments in the previous
month returned.
AMC deposits also grew by a large margin (-10.1 trillion won [ 7.6 trillion won),
led by money market funds (MMF).
(Monthly change, end-period, trillion won)
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Annual
Annual
Annual
Mayr
Annual
May
Mar
Apr
May
May 1
Bank deposits
54.8
36.9
58.9
-0.4
37.0
11.6
1.4
-11.5
12.2
1,139.8
AMC deposits
-27.6
-16.7
-16.6
4.1
18.8
3.6
2.1
-3.9
10.0
341.7
20
10
0
-10
-20
2001. 1
2002. 1
10.
Balance of
payments
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
21.6 (US), 16.6 (China), 11.8 (ASEAN), -11.6 (Japan), -14.0 (EU)
The service account surplus narrowed from US$1.45 billion to US$1.13 billion as a
result of deteriorating travel and intellectual property accounts.
-0.45 [ -0.58 (travel), -0.09 [ -0.34 (intellectual property), 0.77 [ 0.86 (transportation), 1.18
[ 1.24 (construction), -0.14 [ -0.30 (business services)
The primary income account swung to a surplus of US$0.19 billion from a deficit
of US$1.09 billion as the cross-border dividend payments (March-April) by firms
whose fiscal year ended in December were completed. The secondary income
account surplus widened slightly from US$0.02 billion to US$0.04 billion.
(US$ billion)
2012
2013
Annual
May
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Mar
Apr
May1
Current account
43.14
3.61
2.56
11.19
14.56
14.94
10.02
4.93
3.93
8.64
- Goods balance
38.34
1.75
2.61
8.52
13.34
13.98
9.39
4.21
3.54
7.27
- Service balance
2.68
1.59
-0.65
2.31
0.65
0.36
-0.48
0.91
1.45
1.13
4.89
0.34
1.49
0.82
1.04
1.54
1.38
-0.22
-1.09
0.19
-2.76
-0.08
-0.89
-0.47
-0.47
-0.93
-0.26
0.09
0.02
0.04
1. Preliminary
Source: The Bank of Korea
The capital and financial account (preliminary) in May posted a net outflow of
US$11.6 billion.
Capital & financial account balance (US$ billion)
-0.91 (Jan 2013) [ -3.27 (Feb) [ -6.72 (Mar) [ -2.61 (Apr) [ -11.60 (May1)
1. Preliminary
The direct investment account swung to a net outflow of US$1.48 billion from a
net inflow of US$0.30 billion due to a decrease in foreign direct investment.
Net outflow in portfolio investment narrowed to US$1.17 billion from US$1.92
billion as foreign investors equity investment turned to a net inflow.
Financial derivatives switched to a net inflow of US$0.65 billion from a net
outflow of US$0.31 billion, while the net outflow of the other investment account
widened to US$8.53 billion from US$1.58 billion due to financial institutions net
repayment.
The current account is expected to maintain a surplus, helped by a goods account
surplus resulting from a trade surplus (US$5.52 billion) in June.
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
-4
-6
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
Goods account
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
Service account
2013. 1
Current account
(US$ billion)
3
2
1
-1
-2
-3
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
Travel balance
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
Travel revenue
2012. 1
2013. 1
Travel payment
(US$ billion)
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
Portfolio investment
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
Direct investment
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
Financial derivatives
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
11.
11.1 Prices
Prices and
international
commodity
prices
Consumer prices in June rose 1.0 percent year-on-year, staying stable at the 1.0
percent range for eight consecutive months. On a monthly basis, prices fell 0.1
percent.
Core consumer prices, which exclude oil and agricultural products, rose 1.4
percent year-on-year. Core consumer prices based on the OECD method, which
exclude food and energy, rose 1.3 percent year-on-year. Consumer prices for basic
necessities, a barometer of perceived consumer prices, were up 0.3 percent yearon-year but down 0.2 percent month-on-month.
The average expected annual inflation fell 0.1 percentage point from the previous
month to 2.8 percent and the import prices declined 9.6 percent year-on-year.
Expected inflation (%, over the next 12 months)
3.3 (Sep 2012) [ 3.3 (Oct) [ 3.2 (Nov) [ 3.1 (Dec) [ 3.2 (Jan 2013) [ 3.2 (Feb) [ 3.2 (Mar)
[ 3.1 (Apr) [ 2.9 (May) [ 2.8 (Jun)
-7.9 (Nov 2012) [ -9.0 (Dec) [ -10.6 (Jan 2013) [ -8.6 (Feb) [ -10.8 (Mar) [ -9.7 (Apr) [ -9.6 (May)
(%)
2012
2013
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Month-on-Month
0.2 -0.1 -0.2 0.4 0.7 -0.1 -0.4 0.2 0.6 0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 -0.1
Year-on-Year
2.5 2.2 1.5 1.2 2.0 2.1 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.0
1.6 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.4
1.5 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3
2.2 1.8 0.8 0.6 1.7 1.6 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.3
Prices
Source: Statistics Korea (consumer price trend) & The Bank of Korea (producer prices)
16
(y-o-y, %)
13
10
7
4
1
-2
-5
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
Core inflation
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
The prices of agricultural (down 4.7%, m-o-m) and oil products (down 0.1%,
m-o-m) fell as a result of favorable weather conditions and stable oil prices, and
those of public services and personal services remained unchanged from the
previous month, contributing to stabilizing consumer prices.
Agricultural, livestock & fishery product prices decreased 2.1 percent month-onmonth. The prices of livestock products (up 3.3%, m-o-m) rose, while agricultural
(down 4.7%, m-o-m) and fishery product prices (down 0.9%, m-o-m) fell.
Manufactured product prices inched up 0.2 percent month-on-month. The prices
of processed food (up 0.1%, m-o-m) rose, while those of oil products (down 0.1%,
m-o-m) declined.
Personal service prices remained unchanged from the previous month as dining
out expenses (up 0.2%, m-o-m) rose but other personal service prices (down 0.1%,
m-o-m) fell.
Total
Month-on-Month (%)
Public
utilities
-0.1
-2.1
0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
-0.09
-0.17
0.06
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.00
0.00
Year-on-Year (%)
1.0
-2.3
0.4
-5.1
5.6
2.6
0.7
1.3
Contribution (%p)
1.04
-0.19
0.12
-0.30
0.28
0.24
0.09
0.42
Contribution (%p)
(%)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
(%p)
4
3
2
1
0
-1
2004
2003
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Manufactured products
Housing rents
Personal services
Public utilities
2011
2012
Public services
99.4 (1st week June) [ 100.6 (2nd week) [ 101.9 (3rd week) [ 98.8 (4th week, down 0.2% from
May average)
($/B)
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2001. 1
2002. 1
Dubai crude
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
WTI crude
2010
2011
2012
2013
Annual
Annual
Annual
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Dubai crude
78.1
105.9
109.0
106.4
107.9
111.1
105.6
101.7
100.3
100.2
Brent crude
79.7
111.0
111.7
109.2
112.7
116.2
109.0
102.8
102.8
103.1
WTI crude
79.5
95.1
93.8
88.2
94.8
95.3
92.9
92.0
94.7
95.8
Domestic oil product prices continued to increase due to rising exchange rates,
staying over 1,900 won per liter.
Gasoline prices (won/liter)
1,896.5 (1st week June) [ 1,898.0 (2nd week) [ 1,901.7 (3rd week) [ 1,908.4 (4th week)
Exchange rate (won/$)
1,123.9 (1st week June) [ 1,126.9 (2nd week) [ 1,132.7 (3rd week) [ 1,155.0 (4th week)
2010
2011
2012
2013
Annual
Annual
Annual
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Gasoline prices
1,710.4
1,929.3
1,985.8
1,935.6
1,924.6
1,952.5
1,986.5
1,949.4
1,899.9
1,902.0
Diesel prices
1,502.8
1,745.7
1,806.3
1,760.0
1,749.6
1,766.7
1,786.0
1,745.2
1,699.4
1,701.0
(thousand won/B)
($/B)
160
140
140
120
120
100
100
80
80
60
60
40
40
20
2004. 1
20
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
The prices of international grain rose in June as the total stock of grain harvested in
2012 dropped, while nonferrous metal prices fell, due to concerns over economic
slowdown in China.
International grain prices were high as the planting of soybean was delayed in
the US and inventories of 2012 harvests dropped, but the price increase slowed
towards the end of June due to favorable weather conditions and concerns over a
reduction of quantitative easing in the US.
World grain supply outlook for 2013-14 (US Department of Agriculture, June, m-o-m)
Production (-0.4%), demand (-0.1%), stocks-to-use ratio (-0.3%p)
The prices of most nonferrous metal prices fell due to concerns over a credit crunch
and economic slowdown in China, the largest market.
Nonferrous metal prices in June (m-o-m, %)
Tin (-2.4), lead (3.3), nickel (-5.0), copper (-3.5), zinc (-1.2), aluminum (-2.4)
<Reuters index*>
(Period average)
2010
2011
2012
2013
Annual
Annual
Annual
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
2,553
3,062
3,006
3,067
3,037
2,996
2,990
2,947
2,880
2,828
2,756
4,000
430
390
3,000
350
310
2,000
270
230
1,000
190
150
1997. 1
0
1998. 1
1999. 1
CRB (left)
2000. 1
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
12.
Real estate
market
2010 2011
2012
2013
Q3
Q4
Jan-Jun
Q1
Q2
Apr
May
Jun
Nationwide
1.9
8.2
-2.1
-0.5
-1.2
-0.8
-0.1
-0.7
0.5
0.2
0.3
0.1
Seoul
-2.9
0.3
-5.8
-1.4
-2.1
-0.7
-1.1
-1.3
0.2
0.1
0.2
Gangnam
-2.1
-0.4
-6.7
-1.9
-2.2
-1.8
-1.0
-1.1
0.2
0.1
0.2
Gangbuk3
-1.7
-0.5
-8.0
-2.2
-3.0
-1.9
-0.5
-1.0
0.5
0.5
0.4
-2.6
-0.2
-5.0
-1.5
-1.3
-1.6
-1.6
-1.2
-0.3
-0.3
0.0
7.9 18.3
1.7
0.3
-0.2
0.2
0.9
0.1
0.8
0.8
0.3
0.2
1. Weekly trends
2. Upscale area of Southern Seoul
3. Northern Seoul
Source: Korea Appraisal Board
(m-o-m, %)
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
2009. 1
7
Nationwide
2010. 1
2011. 1
Seoul metropolitan area
2012. 1
2013. 1
Nationwide apartment rental prices continued to rise in June (up 0.3%, m-o-m).
Rental prices in the Seoul metropolitan area and regions excluding the Seoul
metropolitan area rose 0.3 percent and 0.4 percent each.
Apartment rental price increase in major districts in Seoul (m-o-m, %)
Gangnam (-0.3), Seocho (-0.2), Songpa (-0.1), Gangdong (-0.3), Gwangjin (0.6)
2010 2011
2012
2013
Q3
Q4
Jan-Jun
Q1
Q2
Apr
May
Jun
Nationwide
8.5 15.4
1.9
0.1
0.0
1.1
2.5
1.0
1.4
0.7
0.4
Seoul
7.1 13.3
0.3
-0.7
-0.2
1.1
2.4
1.1
1.3
0.7
0.3
Gangnam
7.3 13.0
0.0
-1.2
-0.2
1.7
2.4
1.7
0.7
0.4
0.2
Gangbuk
8.8 11.7
0.2
-1.4
-0.2
2.2
2.1
1.6
1.1
0.2
0.1
5.5 14.6
-0.2
-1.1
-0.2
1.2
2.7
1.7
0.3
0.6
0.4
10.2 17.9
3.6
0.8
0.2
1.1
2.6
1.0
1.5
0.7
0.5
5 metropolitan cities
1. Weekly trends
2. Upscale area of Southern Seoul
3. Northern Seoul
Source: Korea Appraisal Board
(m-o-m, %)
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
2009. 1
7
Nationwide
2010. 1
2011. 1
Seoul metropolitan area
2012. 1
2013. 1
Apartment sales transactions in May increased 16.4 percent from the previous
months 55,442 to 64,538, and were up 41.1 percent from a year earlier (45,641).
(thousand)
2012
53
48
59
42
47
45
46
Jul
37
38
2013
Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May
31
26
45
50
81
17
2012. 1
34
47
55
65
1. Monthly average
Source: Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs
(thousand)
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2006. 1
2007. 1
Nationwide
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2013. 1
Land prices continued to rise in areas excluding the Seoul metropolitan area (up
0.11%, m-o-m), with Sejong (up 0.50%, m-o-m) posting the highest growth rate in
the nation for the 15th straight month in May.
Land price increases in areas excluding Seoul metropolitan area (m-o-m, %)
0.10 (Sep 2012) [ 0.11 (Oct) [ 0.12 (Nov) [ 0.12 (Dec) [ 0.11 (Jan 2013) [ 0.11 (Feb) [ 0.12
(Mar) [ 0.13 (Apr) [ 0.11 (May)
2009 2010
2011
2012
Q3
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
2013
Q3
Q4 Jan-May Q1
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Nationwide
0.96 1.05 1.17 0.30 0.29 0.29 0.87 0.30 0.33 0.12 0.21 0.47 0.21 0.07 0.11 0.13 0.13
Seoul
1.40 0.53 0.97 0.28 0.17 0.12 0.33 0.17 0.26 -0.14 0.09 0.41 0.10 0.06 0.11 0.16 0.15
Gyeonggi
1.22 1.49 1.47 0.38 0.43 0.39 0.97 0.34 0.34 0.17 1.32 0.41 0.17 0.03 0.10 0.11 0.13
Incheon
1.99 1.43 0.66 0.18 0.15 0.15 0.36 0.21 0.16 -0.03 0.13 0.46 0.21 0.08 0.12 0.14 0.12
(%)
12
9
6
3
0
-3
-6
-9
-12
-15
-18
1994
1995
1996
National average
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Metropolitan area
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
City
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
County
Nationwide land transactions in May were 216,000 land lots, up 5.1 percent from
the previous month and 16.6 percent from 185,000 a year earlier.
Monthly land transactions rose in Seoul (up 11.1%, m-o-m), Daejeon (up 10.9%,
m-o-m), Ulsan (up 88.3%, m-o-m) and Jeju Province (up 18.5%, m-o-m).
Transactions of vacant land decreased 2.8 percent month-on-month to 84,000 lots,
making up 38.6 percent of the total amount of transactions, and were down 0.7
percent from a year earlier.
2012
203
187
208
170
182
186
2013
Jun
Jul
Aug Sep
Oct
Nov Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr May
163
167
150
172
185
141
142
181
206
133
224
216
Seoul
22
16
18
13
15
15
13
12
10
15
16
20
10
10
15
18
20
Gyeonggi
46
41
43
33
36
35
32
34
30
27
35
36
45
29
28
33
39
43
Incheon
10
10
10
10
1. Monthly average
Source: Korea Land & Housing Corporation
(y-o-y, %)
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2012
450,000
400,000
350,000
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
13.
Composite
indices of
business cycle
indicators
The cyclical indicator of the leading composite index increased 0.3 points from the
previous month.
Four components, including the ratio of job openings to job seekers and ratio of
export to import prices, were higher compared to the previous month while four
other components, such the value of construction orders received and international
commodity prices, were lower.
Components of the leading composite index in May (m-o-m)
ratio of job openings to job seekers (0.5%p), indicator of inventory cycle (0.2%p), ratio of export
to import prices (0.9%), consumer expectations index (1.0p), value of construction orders
received (-4.1%), domestic shipment of machinery (-0.2%), international commodity prices
(-0.5%), KOSPI (-0.1%), spreads between long & short term interest rates (0.0%p)
2012
Oct
2013
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar1
Apr1
May1
-0.4
1.1
1.0
-0.9
1.1
-2.0
1.7
-0.7
(y-o-y, %)
-1.0
1.4
-0.2
3.2
-1.9
-0.8
3.6
1.1
-0.1
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.0
0.6
0.2
98.9
99.1
99.2
99.2
99.3
98.9
99.0
98.8
(m-o-m, p)
-0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.1
-0.4
0.1
-0.2
0.3
0.7
0.7
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.7
99.3
99.6
100.0
99.8
99.6
99.5
99.6
99.9
(m-o-m, p)
-0.1
0.3
0.4
-0.2
-0.2
-0.1
0.1
0.3
1. Preliminary
Industrial output
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trend)
20
(%)
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
(points)
105
100
95
90
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
(points)
105
100
95
90
2001. 1
2002. 1
2003. 1
2004. 1
2005. 1
2006. 1
2007. 1
2008. 1
2009. 1
2010. 1
2011. 1
2012. 1
2013. 1
Featured Issue
How do you see the current state of the global financial sector?
The tapering of quantitative easing in the US and slowing growth in China have emerged
as the main destabilizing factors in the global economy and financial sector. However,
the situation in the US is actually part of the normalization process of the nations
monetary policy. In other words, the exit strategy reflects the fact that the US economy
is recovering. Likewise, Chinas economic slowdown is a transitional phenomenon that
comes as the Chinese economy is shifting from export- and investment-led growth to
qualitative growth. A slowdown in Chinas economy is expected to have direct effects on
Koreas real economy, since China accounts for 25 percent of Koreas total exports.
How is the Korean government coping with the recent developments in the US and China?
The government is closely monitoring the risks that may arise as the two nations undergo
changes. Despite the fact that a gradual withdrawal from the quantitative easing program
in the US and economic slowdown in China are part of a normalization process, the huge
size of the two economies requires us to pay close attention to the effect they may have on
Koreas real economy and its financial markets. Also, taking into consideration the fact
that the emerging markets may be affected as well, we will prepare for the possibility that
any economic instability in emerging markets spread to Korea.
Featured Issue | 47
Corporate governance problems have emerged as risk factors in the financial system.
Since the 2008 subprime crisis, financial firm corporate governance has become a globally
important issue. In Korea, problems related to corporate governance include difficulties
in selecting new CEOs and clashes between executive and nonexecutive directors, and
these have posed new risks in the financial system. Such problems can only be solved
by improving both related policies and actual practices at the same time. Corporate
governance of financial firms should be able to not only help optimize shareholder
profit but also protect public interest. One of the governments priorities is to enact the
Financial Firm Corporate Governance Act to streamline rules, which have been applied
differently in different business areas.
Why are you pursuing the controversial privatization of Woori Finance Holdings, and what are
your plans?
Since its establishment in 2001, Woori Finance has been involved with various interest
groups, and in the process has lost its competitive edge. Had Woori Finance been
privatized earlier, it would have helped boost the competitiveness of the entire financial
sector, as well as the company itself. The privatization of Woori Finance will be our last
chance to shake off the aftereffects of the 1998 financial crisis and bring our financial
industry up to a higher level.
The Financial Services Commission (FSC) focuses on reflecting realities in the
privatization plan, and speed up the sales process. Instead of being put up for sale as a
single entity, the 14 affiliates of Woori Finance will be divided into three groups (regional
banks, brokerage division, Woori Bank) and will be sold separately. The units in the three
groups will be sold individually or in bundles, depending on demand. In addition, the
units may be split or merged in order to make them more palatable to the market. The
regional banks and the brokerage division will be put up for sale first, and then Woori
Bank, because it will take time for the FSC to work on the sales of Koreas biggest bank.
Some have pointed out that the role of policy financing should be reestablished to reflect recent
changes in the economic environment.
I agree. The traditional method of debt financing has reached its limit as policy financing
demand is rising in high-risk fields such as startups, technology firms and overseas
projects. This is the time to reform the role and method of policy financing, such as by
expanding equity financing. We plan to reestablish the role of policy financing based on
48 | Featured Issue
four basic rules. To begin with, we will boost policy financing in market failure areas,
where the active participation of commercial financial firms is impossible. Secondly, we
will reduce overlaps among policy financing institutions in order to efficiently utilize
limited financial resources. Thirdly, we plan to cut back policy financing in areas that can
be managed by private financial institutions, and we will require policy financing firms
to focus on their distinct roles. Lastly, we aim to reinforce arbitration mechanisms among
policy financing firms in order to eliminate unnecessary competition and conflict. It will
not be easy to carry out such tasks, but we will boldly and decisively pursue our goals in
order to build a new policy financing system.
The Korea New Exchange (KONEX) was launched on July 1, opening a new era for the nations
capital market.
The KONEX has started out more smoothly than we had expected. Despite the fact that
individual investors participation is limited and the Korean stock market is performing
poorly, the KONEX has gotten off to a better start than the KOSDAQ or the UKs
Alternative Investment Market (AIM), which does not limit market participation. We will
continue to provide tax incentives and other forms of support to help the KONEX-listed
firms raise funds and create their own success stories. Meanwhile, the KONEX requires
efforts from both the government and market participants to succeed. We expect that the
market will successfully get under way if the number of KONEX-listed firms increases to
50 by the end of the year and to 100 by next year.
The FSC faces pending issues such as reforming financial corporate governance and privatizing
Woori Finance. However, presenting a vision for the mid- to long-term development of Koreas
financial industry seems to be an equally important task.
It is important to present a vision, but not like the flashy, catchphrase-centered visions that
were popular in the past. One such example was making a Korean version of Goldman
Sachs, which is something we definitely should pursue in the long term but cannot be
realized in the short term. Such catchphrases sound good but are rarely realistic. I aim for
plans that we can actually achieve. Financial visions should have substance and should
be palpable.
The Korean society is aging at a fast pace and the economy has entered a low-growth era.
Considering such changes, it is now imperative that the financial industry breathe life
to the real economy and boost added value and employment as the key industry of the
future. Therefore, our vision for the future is to boost the contribution of the financial
Featured Issue | 49
sector in terms of added value to 10 percent over the next ten years. We will provide
realistic plans by the end of this year and put them into practice starting next year.
What are your aspirations as the first FSC chairman in the Park Geun-hye administration?
My first goal is to build a nation that is free from financial crises. I will make sure that the
Korean economy and people would never again suffer from weaknesses in the financial
sector. To make this possible, we will require financial firms to boost fiscal soundness and
reserve enough foreign currency liquidity, as well as aggressively cope with risk factors.
The FSC will continue pursuing those goals, so that the financial sector will lead the
Korean economy to stable and sustainable growth.
The original version of this interview appears in the August issue of Narakyungje, a monthly magazine on
economic policies published by KDI.
50 | Featured Issue
Policy Issues
Basic directions
The government will pursue eight key initiatives to ensure that the economic
recovery takes hold and national priorities are successfully implemented.
To ensure that the economic recovery takes hold, the government will work to
accelerate the recovery process by implementing proactive macroeconomic
policies, and by improving domestic demand and export conditions. The
government will also establish a response system to guard against uncertainties,
such as the possibility of quantitative easing tapering, and manage risk factors.
Basic living conditions of the working class will be improved as the government
controls inflationary pressures and adopts tailored welfare systems.
To implement national tasks, the government will carry out its 70 percent
Employment Roadmap Initiatives, which cover creating quality part-time jobs and
an employee-friendly workplace culture, while boosting support for the service
industry and developing an institutional infrastructure to help build a creative
economy. The government will also work on the issues regarding economic
democratization.
Meanwhile, review systems will be improved to more efficiently manage fiscal
resources.
Policy Issues | 51
Action plans
1. Ensuring that the economic recovery takes hold
To help restore the economic growth rate to the 3 percent range, the government
will adopt aggressive and flexible macroeconomic policies
1) Fiscal policies
The government will make the most of its fiscal resources, including the
supplementary budget, and increase its financial capacity through public
institutions and public-private partnerships. The government will front-load the
budget in the third quarter of the year, and increase spending in public institution
projects, mostly in energy and SOC, by 500 billion won. The government will
develop measures to boost private sector investment, including measures to
improve financing conditions and remove business barriers.
2) Monetary policies
The Bank of Korea (BOK) will flexibly manage monetary policies by taking into
account overall economic conditions, such as domestic economic trends and
inflationary pressures. The BOK will also flexibly manage its aggregate credit
ceiling loans, a support fund for small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).
3) Financial policies
The government will expand financial support to SMEs and venture startups, and
redefine the role of policy-based financing.
4) Exchange rate policies
The government will ensure that the exchange rate is determined by supply and
demand and economic fundamentals. However, it will adopt market stability
measures when market volatility increases due to external factors.
The government will help boost domestic demand and exports by promoting
investment and SME support
The government will promote investment by easing regulations regarding business
location and industrial convergence, and set up a joint public-private investment
promotion task force.
Another round of SME support measures will come out in July, and a system to
provide SMEs with various services at one location from designing to legal &
accounting consultation will be set up by December. The government will increase
the facility investment funds for SMEs from 3 trillion won to 5 trillion won, and
52 | Policy Issues
allocate more of the fund to export SMEs, which are suffering from the volatile
yen. SMEs in the parts and materials industry will enjoy increased support when
they try to merge or acquire foreign companies. Funds to support M&As of foreign
companies, worth 100 billion won, will be created, which will be available for both
SMEs and larger leading businesses.
The government will announce financing programs in July to support overseas
plant construction by local companies, along with measures to help eco-friendly
businesses enter overseas markets.
The government will work to normalize the housing market and announce
medium- to long-term directions
To help increase home transactions, the government will adjust housing supply by
realigning public housing projects, and ease mortgage loan requirements for firsttime home buyers.
The government will also revise housing market regulations. Heavy transfer taxes
on multi-home ownership will be removed, high capital gains tax rates for less than
two years of homeownership will be lowered, and the new home price ceiling will
be made flexible.
In addition, the government will develop a long-term housing market plan which
covers medium- to long-term supply, regulations, mortgages and taxes, taking
into consideration changes in demographics, families and attitudes towards
homeownership.
Policy Issues | 53
The government will also strictly control the soundness of nonbank financial
institutions and increase consumer protection in the finance sector.
Meanwhile, the 2nd Basic Plan for Energy will be announced in December, which
will cover using sustainable energy and adjusting prices according to different
energy sources.
Policy Issues | 55
Policy Issues | 57
Statistical Appendices
1. National accounts
2. Production, shipment and inventory
3. Production capacity and operation ratio
4. Consumer goods sales index
5. Consumer goods shipment index and consumer sentiment index
6. Machinery orders received, domestic machinery shipment
and estimated facility investment index
7. Value of construction completed and domestic construction orders received
8. Composite indices of business cycle indicators and BSI
9. Balance of payments (I)
10. Balance of payments (II)
11. Prices
12. Employment
13. Financial indicators
14. Monetary indicators
15. Exchange rates
Statistical Appendices | 61
1.
National accounts
Real GDP
Manufacturing
Final
consumption
expenditure
Construction
Facilities
4.0
5.2
5.1
2.3
0.3
6.3
3.7
2.0
Agri., fores.
& fisheries
1.3
1.5
4.0
5.6
3.2
-4.4
-2.1
-0.6
6.2
8.1
7.2
2.8
-1.5
14.7
7.3
2.2
4.6
5.1
5.1
2.0
1.2
4.1
2.3
2.2
1.9
3.4
4.2
-1.9
-1.0
5.8
-1.0
-1.7
-0.4
0.5
1.4
-2.8
3.4
-3.7
-4.7
-2.2
5.3
8.2
9.3
-1.0
-9.8
25.7
3.6
-1.9
Period
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012P
2005
2.7
3.4
4.5
5.1
0.4
4.8
3.8
-3.1
4.8
3.9
6.7
9.3
2.7
4.7
5.9
4.9
-0.3
1.8
1.5
3.9
-3.1
0.9
-0.3
0.3
3.4
2.8
4.1
10.8
2006
6.1
5.1
5.0
4.6
3.9
-0.3
-1.4
4.2
9.4
9.1
8.7
5.4
5.8
4.9
4.6
5.1
3.8
0.1
4.0
5.7
1.9
-4.2
-0.5
5.1
7.2
8.0
12.0
5.7
2007
4.5
5.3
4.9
5.7
1.6
7.0
8.2
-0.7
4.5
7.2
6.3
10.2
5.1
5.4
5.3
4.7
7.3
5.7
1.5
3.1
4.4
2.0
-0.2
0.4
12.6
13.0
4.0
8.0
2008
5.5
4.4
3.3
-3.3
7.8
4.6
4.3
6.5
8.9
8.3
5.3
-9.4
4.3
3.0
2.4
-1.7
-0.6
0.6
2.1
-8.7
-2.5
-0.5
0.4
-7.7
2.8
2.0
5.3
-13.3
2009
-4.2
-2.1
1.0
6.3
2.5
0.0
5.0
5.0
-13.6
-7.1
1.8
13.1
-2.2
0.7
1.5
4.8
-7.5
-3.0
-1.0
6.2
1.6
4.3
3.2
4.0
-21.9
-18.1
-9.4
12.2
2010
8.7
7.6
4.5
4.9
-0.1
-2.2
-7.8
-5.9
22.4
17.6
9.5
11.0
6.1
3.6
3.5
3.0
11.2
5.8
5.6
2.3
1.8
-4.7
-4.9
-5.2
29.6
32.0
26.3
16.9
2011
4.3
3.5
3.6
3.4
-9.7
-2.6
-5.8
7.1
10.3
7.4
6.4
5.5
2.8
2.8
2.4
1.3
-1.4
0.4
-1.4
-1.8
-10.0
-4.7
-3.6
-1.7
10.5
7.7
1.1
-3.6
2012P
2.8
2.4
1.6
1.5
-0.4
-1.8
0.3
-0.5
4.1
2.7
0.9
1.3
2.1
1.6
2.1
2.8
3.7
-2.6
-2.5
-4.2
-0.4
-3.1
-0.3
-4.2
8.8
-3.5
-6.9
-5.2
2013P
1.5
0.3
1.0
1.4
-3.8
2.4
-11.9
P: Preliminary
Source: The Bank of Korea
62 | Statistical Appendices
2.
Production, shipment and inventory
(constant prices, 2010=100)
Production index
Period
2011
2012
Shipment index
Y-o-Y change
(%)
Inventory index
Y-o-Y change
(%)
Y-o-Y change
(%)
Y-o-Y change
(%)
105.9
106.8
5.9
0.8
105.6
106.4
5.6
0.8
120.2
124.1
14.9
3.2
103.2
104.8
3.2
1.6
2011
102.6
107.4
103.9
109.7
9.3
6.1
5.3
3.3
103.3
106.6
103.1
109.2
10.0
5.4
4.6
2.6
104.7
110.0
112.7
120.2
7.7
12.0
11.9
14.9
99.5
103.4
103.2
106.7
2.8
2.9
4.5
2.8
2012
106.3
108.6
102.9
109.6
3.6
1.1
-1.0
-0.1
106.3
108.1
102.6
108.4
2.9
1.4
-0.5
-0.7
117.8
115.2
114.6
124.1
12.5
4.7
1.7
3.2
102.1
104.9
104.7
107.6
2.6
1.5
1.5
0.8
2013
104.5
-1.7
104.1
-2.1
122.4
3.9
102.9
0.8
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
105.3
91.8
110.6
106.8
107.1
108.3
105.9
101.5
104.4
109.7
109.3
110.1
11.9
6.7
8.9
5.5
6.9
5.9
3.6
5.1
7.2
4.2
3.5
2.3
105.8
93.3
110.8
106.8
106.0
107.0
104.0
101.2
104.2
109.1
108.2
110.3
12.8
8.6
8.6
5.2
6.6
4.5
2.9
4.1
6.9
3.5
1.9
2.5
104.6
102.8
104.7
105.8
108.6
110.0
111.8
112.2
112.7
115.6
117.9
120.2
7.6
4.2
7.7
7.6
9.5
12.0
10.7
10.9
11.9
13.6
15.6
14.9
100.1
94.2
104.1
102.1
103.5
104.7
103.1
103.1
103.3
104.2
103.7
112.3
5.1
0.4
2.6
3.3
2.3
3.1
3.6
5.1
4.4
3.7
3.1
1.9
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
101.9
105.8
111.2
106.4
110.4
108.9
105.6
99.4
103.6
107.6
111.6
109.7
-3.2
15.3
0.5
-0.4
3.1
0.6
-0.3
-2.1
-0.8
-1.9
2.1
-0.4
102.6
105.8
110.6
105.9
109.6
108.9
104.8
98.5
104.6
106.6
109.5
109.0
-3.0
13.4
-0.2
-0.8
3.4
1.8
0.8
-2.7
0.4
-2.3
1.2
-1.2
119.4
117.5
117.8
116.6
118.4
115.2
115.8
119.5
114.6
115.5
120.4
124.1
14.1
14.3
12.5
10.2
9.0
4.7
3.6
6.5
1.7
-0.1
2.1
3.2
100.5
100.0
105.9
102.7
105.9
106.0
104.7
103.8
105.9
104.6
105.2
113.1
0.4
6.2
1.7
0.6
2.3
1.2
1.6
0.7
2.2
0.4
1.4
0.7
2013
1
2
3
4P
5P
109.7
95.8
108.0
108.1
108.8
7.7
-9.5
-2.9
1.6
-1.4
107.9
96.4
108.1
107.4
107.8
5.2
-8.9
-2.3
1.4
-1.6
127.8
124.1
122.4
120.1
121.8
7.0
5.6
3.9
3.0
2.9
101.8
100.3
106.6
105.3
107.6
1.3
0.3
0.7
2.5
1.6
P: Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
Statistical Appendices | 63
3.
Production capacity and operation ratio
Period
2011
2012
Average operation
ratio (%)
104.9
107.2
4.9
2.2
99.8
97.0
-0.2
-2.8
80.2
78.1
2011
103.6
104.7
105.2
106.1
5.9
5.2
4.5
4.0
97.6
103.1
97.3
101.3
2.0
0.4
-0.3
-2.6
81.4
80.4
80.4
78.8
2012
106.8
107.1
107.2
107.5
3.1
2.3
1.9
1.3
96.9
100.3
92.8
97.9
-0.7
-2.7
-4.6
-3.4
79.6
79.0
76.2
77.8
2013
108.0
1.1
92.7
-4.3
77.1
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
103.2
103.4
104.2
104.6
104.6
104.9
105.1
105.2
105.4
106.0
106.1
106.2
6.1
5.9
5.8
5.7
5.2
4.9
4.7
4.6
4.3
4.2
4.1
3.7
100.3
87.0
105.4
102.3
102.8
104.3
100.4
94.4
97.2
102.4
101.6
99.9
4.6
-0.1
1.3
-1.0
1.5
0.7
-2.6
0.0
2.1
-1.8
-1.8
-4.1
82.5
80.3
81.3
79.6
80.2
81.3
80.9
80.0
80.4
79.7
78.9
77.7
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
106.7
106.8
106.9
107.0
107.1
107.2
106.9
107.4
107.3
107.4
107.6
107.6
3.4
3.3
2.6
2.3
2.4
2.2
1.7
2.1
1.8
1.3
1.4
1.3
91.8
96.5
102.3
98.2
102.0
100.8
96.8
87.9
93.8
97.7
100.3
95.8
-8.5
10.9
-2.9
-4.0
-0.8
-3.4
-3.6
-6.9
-3.5
-4.6
-1.3
-4.1
79.7
80.4
78.7
79.0
79.5
78.4
77.8
74.0
76.7
77.0
78.0
78.4
2013
1
2
3
4P
5P
107.9
108.0
108.1
108.1
108.2
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.0
1.0
97.9
84.1
96.2
97.0
98.3
6.6
-12.8
-6.0
-1.2
-3.6
78.6
77.2
75.4
75.5
75.4
P: Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
64 | Statistical Appendices
4.
Consumer goods sales index
(constant prices, 2010=100)
Consumer goods sales index
Durable goods
Period
2011
2012
104.5
106.9
Y-o-Y change
(%)
4.5
2.3
Semi-durable goods
110.6
116.5
Y-o-Y change
(%)
10.6
5.3
103.7
102.6
Y-o-Y change
(%)
3.7
-1.1
Non-durable goods
102.1
104.4
Y-o-Y change
(%)
2.1
2.3
2011
100.7
104.8
103.7
108.9
5.3
6.2
4.0
2.6
105.4
112.2
111.4
113.3
11.5
16.9
10.3
4.4
98.3
105.5
94.2
116.7
5.1
5.2
3.6
1.2
99.6
101.2
104.4
103.3
2.7
2.0
1.5
2.4
2012
103.5
106.3
106.4
111.6
2.8
1.4
2.6
2.5
110.0
115.5
118.8
121.8
4.4
2.9
6.6
7.5
98.0
104.4
90.9
117.1
-0.3
-1.0
-3.5
0.3
102.9
102.8
107.5
104.3
3.3
1.6
3.0
1.0
2013
103.7
0.2
111.3
1.2
99.8
1.8
101.9
-1.0
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
105.4
92.8
103.9
102.5
107.3
104.7
104.2
100.9
106.0
107.4
107.2
112.0
10.9
-0.5
5.6
6.1
6.6
6.1
4.1
4.9
3.2
3.3
1.8
2.7
104.0
97.8
114.5
106.4
112.6
117.5
117.0
109.7
107.6
109.0
116.3
114.5
12.1
8.2
14.2
14.8
19.0
16.7
12.5
11.7
6.9
3.4
7.4
2.3
104.9
90.0
99.8
105.6
109.9
100.9
96.2
86.2
100.1
116.1
111.9
122.1
10.4
1.7
3.1
5.9
4.7
4.9
3.8
3.4
3.7
2.2
-2.6
4.0
106.3
91.7
100.8
99.4
103.6
100.5
101.8
103.4
107.9
102.7
100.9
106.4
10.7
-5.3
2.6
2.4
2.0
1.7
0.2
2.5
1.5
3.6
1.3
2.3
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
107.5
97.9
105.0
102.9
110.0
105.9
108.0
102.0
109.1
109.0
111.5
114.2
2.0
5.5
1.1
0.4
2.5
1.1
3.6
1.1
2.9
1.5
4.0
2.0
107.7
107.9
114.4
107.8
118.1
120.5
126.2
114.3
115.9
117.1
123.0
125.3
3.6
10.3
-0.1
1.3
4.9
2.6
7.9
4.2
7.7
7.4
5.8
9.4
103.6
91.0
99.3
103.7
110.4
99.2
96.0
80.7
96.0
113.5
117.8
119.9
-1.2
1.1
-0.6
-1.8
0.5
-1.7
-0.2
-6.4
-4.1
-2.2
5.3
-1.8
109.2
96.3
103.1
100.2
106.0
102.1
105.0
105.8
111.7
103.2
103.3
106.5
2.7
5.0
2.3
0.8
2.3
1.6
3.1
2.3
3.5
0.5
2.4
0.1
2013
1
2
3
4P
5P
104.6
99.5
106.9
105.1
110.5
-2.7
1.6
1.8
2.1
0.5
112.0
106.6
115.2
114.0
119.9
4.0
-1.2
0.7
5.8
1.5
101.4
91.1
106.9
104.8
111.3
-2.1
0.1
7.7
1.1
0.8
102.6
99.9
103.1
101.1
105.8
-6.0
3.7
0.0
0.9
-0.2
P: Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
Statistical Appendices | 65
5.
Consumer goods shipment index and consumer sentiment index
Domestic consumer goods shipment index (2010=100)
Durable goods
Period
2011
2012
109.2
101.1
Y-o-Y
change (%)
0.9
0.2
Non-durable goods
100.2
98.5
Y-o-Y
change (%)
0.2
-1.7
101.2
102.3
Y-o-Y
change (%)
1.2
1.1
Consumer
sentiment
index
-
2011
100.8
97.9
101.2
103.8
4.3
1.0
0.6
-2.1
99.5
100.7
100.8
99.9
4.1
3.1
-0.4
-5.3
101.4
96.7
101.4
105.4
4.6
0.2
1.0
-0.8
2012
100.0
99.7
100.9
103.9
-0.8
1.8
-0.3
0.1
97.4
98.9
96.0
101.7
-2.1
-1.8
-4.8
1.8
101.2
100.1
103.0
104.8
-0.2
3.5
1.6
-0.6
2013
98.4
-1.6
95.3
-2.2
99.7
-1.5
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
108.6
88.7
105.2
98.2
96.1
99.3
99.7
102.1
101.8
105.0
102.1
104.2
7.0
-1.6
7.2
0.9
0.9
1.2
-0.8
2.3
0.4
-1.6
-3.8
-1.0
100.9
92.6
105.1
97.3
99.3
105.4
104.2
98.1
100.0
100.3
98.6
100.9
5.1
1.5
5.4
2.2
4.1
2.9
-1.2
0.4
-0.3
-5.4
-7.4
-3.1
111.9
87.1
105.2
98.6
94.7
96.7
97.8
103.8
102.6
107.0
103.6
105.7
7.8
-2.8
8.0
0.4
-0.4
0.5
-0.6
3.0
0.7
0.1
-2.2
-0.1
111
109
110
102
105
103
103
99
99
101
105
100
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
100.2
97.9
101.9
98.7
101.9
98.6
101.6
98.5
102.7
103.7
104.2
103.7
-7.7
10.4
-3.1
0.5
6.0
-0.7
1.9
-3.5
0.9
-1.2
2.1
-0.5
92.2
98.0
102.1
93.6
100.2
102.9
105.1
87.5
95.4
98.4
101.0
105.7
-8.6
5.8
-2.9
-3.8
0.9
-2.4
0.9
-10.8
-4.6
-1.9
2.4
4.8
103.7
97.9
101.9
100.9
102.7
96.7
100.1
103.1
105.8
105.9
105.6
102.8
-7.3
12.4
-3.1
2.3
8.4
0.0
2.4
-0.7
3.1
-1.0
1.9
-2.7
98
102
102
106
106
101
100
101
99
100
100
99
2013
1
2
3
4P
5P
6
104.0
92.3
98.8
98.2
96.9
-
3.8
-5.7
-3.0
-0.5
-4.9
-
96.8
92.7
96.4
95.6
95.2
-
5.0
-5.4
-5.6
2.1
-5.0
-
107.0
92.2
99.8
99.4
97.7
-
3.2
-5.8
-2.1
-1.5
-4.9
-
102
102
104
102
104
105
6.
Machinery orders received, domestic machinery shipment and estimated
facility investment index
Domestic machinery orders received excluding ship
(billion won, constant value)
Period
2012
Private
Total
Public
21,789
2,142
19,647
Manufacturing
10,482
Estimated
facility investment
index
(2005=100)
Domestic
machinery shipment
excluding ship
(2010=100)
136.4
98.8
2012
6,310
5,391
5,079
5,004
810
285
579
468
5,500
5,106
4,500
4,536
3,055
2,765
2,320
2,339
144.5
145.7
128.1
127.4
103.4
104.6
90.9
96.4
2013
5,621
429
5,192
2,928
122.3
83.5
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1,933
2,541
1,836
1,845
1,830
1,716
1,835
1,516
1,729
1,545
1,689
1,771
52
695
63
56
39
190
310
169
100
86
127
255
1,881
1,846
1,773
1,789
1,791
1,526
1,525
1,347
1,629
1,458
1,562
1,516
1,158
1,036
860
927
988
850
779
689
852
733
833
773
139.4
146.8
147.4
143.1
145.9
148.1
140.4
118.2
125.7
119.7
124.4
138.1
95.0
106.0
109.1
104.1
103.8
105.8
96.4
87.8
88.6
92.7
93.8
102.6
2013
1
2
3
4P
5P
1,864
1,675
2,083
1,839
2,140
139
168
121
92
254
991
858
1,078
956
1,094
117.5
113.8
135.7
125.8
129.0
81.1
76.6
92.7
88.5
92.6
-13.4
-11.0
-25.9
-2.0
-5.3
2012
1,724
1,506
1,961
1,747
1,886
Y-o-Y change (%)
-13.6
2012
-1.1
-19.8
-10.4
-21.5
126.1
-59.7
86.7
-54.6
-8.7
-15.1
-16.0
-15.1
-19.0
-27.3
-26.6
-31.4
10.7
-2.7
-8.2
-6.9
4.4
-5.0
-10.7
-9.4
2013
-10.9
-47.0
-5.6
-4.2
-15.4
-19.2
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
-0.8
25.1
-23.6
-4.4
-14.4
-35.4
-9.4
-13.8
-8.1
-20.8
-26.4
-17.0
-22.2
829.0
-70.9
-10.3
-72.8
-62.2
135.5
105.9
3.5
-72.3
-75.8
31.2
0.0
-5.7
-18.9
-4.3
-10.2
-29.1
-19.5
-19.7
-8.7
-11.0
-11.6
-21.8
3.9
-12.3
-41.7
-22.4
-19.1
-38.7
-25.1
-32.7
-22.4
-24.3
-25.0
-42.0
10.3
27.3
-1.7
2.8
-3.3
-7.0
-0.4
-15.6
-8.6
-3.5
-10.8
-6.3
1.0
16.5
-2.5
-0.3
-6.8
-7.6
-6.9
-12.2
-13.1
-8.5
-8.4
-11.2
2013
1
2
3
4P
5P
-3.6
-34.1
13.4
-0.3
16.9
169.8
-75.8
92.2
63.8
553.5
-8.3
-18.4
10.6
-2.3
5.3
-14.4
-17.2
25.3
3.2
10.6
-15.7
-22.5
-7.9
-12.1
-11.6
-14.6
-27.7
-15.0
-15.0
-10.8
P: Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
Statistical Appendices | 67
7.
Value of construction completed and domestic construction orders received
(current prices, billion won)
Period
2012
Value of
construction
completion
(total)
88,031
Type of order
Public
Private
33,578
50,260
Domestic
construction
orders received
(total)
86,821
Type of order
Public
Private
26,103
57,202
2012
19,106
22,203
21,135
25,587
7,385
8,813
7,499
9,881
10,795
12,333
12,584
14,548
21,772
25,136
17,665
22,248
5,531
5,602
5,478
9,492
15,549
18,515
11,632
11,506
2013
20,113
6,984
12,364
12,805
4,279
8,255
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
5,742
5,979
7,385
6,789
7,225
8,189
6,970
6,508
7,658
7,298
8,030
10,259
2,106
2,358
2,921
2,625
2,839
3,349
2,337
2,292
2,870
2,574
2,974
4,333
3,339
3,371
4,086
3,875
4,066
4,393
4,254
3,907
4,423
4,432
4,742
5,375
7,244
8,122
6,406
6,033
7,215
11,887
6,450
5,120
6,195
5,501
7,232
9,516
1,796
2,165
1,390
1,448
1,072
3,082
2,284
1,341
1,852
1,962
2,148
5,382
5,100
5,812
4,636
4,097
6,034
8,385
3,886
3,738
4,008
3,507
4,743
3,255
2013
1
2
3
4P
5P
6,258
6,217
7,638
8,062
8,080
2,065
2,341
2,579
2,820
2,766
3,424
4,304
5,077
4,910
5,838
1,306
1,280
1,694
1,551
1,503
1,970
2,955
3,329
2,944
4,216
-4.0
-4.4
3,948
3,650
4,766
4,948
5,052
Y-o-Y change (%)
-2.7
-8.9
-8.8
-7.5
2012
2012
-0.9
-7.7
-1.3
-5.1
0.9
-5.1
-2.4
-8.7
-2.1
-7.5
-0.1
-1.0
33.3
-0.7
-13.6
-33.1
34.3
-11.2
-18.4
-17.3
40.0
4.9
-9.6
-43.1
2013
5.3
-5.4
14.5
-41.2
-22.6
-46.9
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
-7.2
12.2
-4.8
-5.4
-2.9
-13.3
3.2
-5.6
-1.5
-8.3
2.2
-7.9
-13.6
16.3
2.3
-4.3
1.8
-10.9
-1.7
-6.8
0.9
-11.3
-6.2
-8.8
-4.3
10.1
-8.8
-4.7
-4.3
-12.5
4.8
-4.7
-0.3
-5.1
10.5
-6.2
47.5
99.1
-12.8
-10.1
0.9
3.7
23.1
-32.4
-19.7
-26.6
-20.0
-43.0
50.2
53.7
0.3
1.4
-43.3
3.0
23.1
-10.9
-44.7
-15.3
-28.1
-12.9
75.6
131.7
-18.6
-11.5
27.3
1.3
25.6
-35.4
0.4
-29.7
-19.2
-65.2
2013
1
2
3
4P
5P
9.0
4.0
3.4
18.7
11.8
-2.0
-0.7
-11.7
7.4
-2.6
18.3
8.3
16.6
27.7
24.3
-52.7
-47.0
-20.7
-18.6
-19.1
-33.9
-40.9
21.8
7.1
40.2
-61.4
-49.2
-28.2
-28.1
-30.1
P: Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
68 | Statistical Appendices
8.
Composite indices of business cycle indicators and BSI
Period
Leading index
(2010=100)
Coincident index
(2010=100)
Cycle of
coincident index
(2010=100)
BSI
(results)
BSI
(prospects)
2009
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
87.4
88.2
88.7
90.5
91.9
93.6
94.3
95.0
95.9
96.9
98.2
98.8
88.5
88.5
89.2
90.3
90.8
92.3
93.1
93.7
94.3
95.3
96.0
96.5
95.3
95.0
95.4
96.1
96.4
97.5
98.0
98.3
98.6
99.2
99.6
99.7
58.1
62.4
89.0
93.7
100.9
96.6
98.5
96.0
110.5
107.5
103.8
104.8
52.0
66.0
76.1
86.7
103.8
100.2
98.7
99.8
117.0
116.5
109.0
105.9
2010
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
99.2
99.1
99.0
99.0
99.6
100.1
100.7
100.8
101.0
100.5
100.5
100.5
97.0
97.7
98.4
99.1
99.8
100.3
100.9
101.1
101.1
101.0
101.4
102.2
99.9
100.2
100.5
100.8
101.1
101.2
101.4
101.1
100.7
100.2
100.2
100.6
99.2
98.7
113.1
108.9
111.9
109.4
105.0
98.6
104.1
104.3
103.5
102.1
103.1
102.3
116.2
111.2
113.4
108.9
107.3
100.7
111.1
113.1
107.1
104.2
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
101.3
101.6
101.7
101.3
101.6
102.0
102.6
102.9
103.2
103.3
103.4
103.7
103.5
103.6
104.0
104.0
104.7
105.3
105.9
106.5
106.5
107.0
106.9
107.4
101.4
101.1
101.1
100.7
100.9
101.1
101.2
101.4
101.0
101.0
100.6
100.5
99.1
92.2
107.8
98.4
98.9
99.6
96.2
86.8
96.4
95.0
93.0
90.1
101.8
98.0
113.5
99.3
104.3
104.3
101.3
98.9
96.3
101.4
96.4
94.8
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
104.4
105.4
105.7
106.2
106.3
107.4
108.0
108.1
108.0
108.3
109.1
109.9
107.4
108.2
108.3
108.6
108.7
109.1
109.7
109.6
110.1
110.0
110.7
111.3
100.2
100.5
100.2
100.0
99.7
99.7
99.8
99.3
99.3
98.9
99.1
99.2
88.6
92.2
101.4
97.5
95.7
90.4
82.1
84.4
89.3
88.9
82.2
87.0
88.3
91.0
106.1
98.4
104.7
98.3
89.7
82.7
99.5
97.0
92.5
82.0
2013
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
110.1
110.4
110.7
111.2
112.0
-
111.8
112.3
112.3
113.0
113.2
-
99.2
99.3
98.9
99.0
98.8
-
85.0
83.0
101.3
94.1
97.6
95.0
-
85.7
86.7
104.4
101.5
99.8
97.2
90.7
9.
Balance of payments (I)
(million US$)
Current balance
Goods trade balance
Period
2011
2012
Exports
Imports
Services trade
balance
Income trade
Balance
Current transfers
26,068.2
43,138.5
31,660.0
38,337.7
551,765.4
552,565.3
520,105.4
514,227.6
-5,849.5
2,676.2
2,890.9
4,885.5
-2,633.2
-2,760.9
2011
2,610.3
5,492.2
6,896.0
11,506.8
5,842.7
7,661.0
7,197.7
10,248.9
127,691.2
142,722.8
141,393.5
140,756.8
121,848.5
135,061.8
134,195.8
130,507.9
-2,538.0
-796.0
-1,198.2
154.8
387.9
-824.8
1,314.9
1,577.8
-1,082.3
-548.0
-418.5
-474.7
2012
2,559.9
11,188.8
14,561.7
14,828.1
2,612.4
8,520.5
13,341.2
13,863.6
134,627.6
138,784.9
137,086.0
142,066.8
132,015.2
130,264.4
123,744.8
128,203.2
-648.4
2,312.7
654.4
357.5
1,487.6
821.4
1,041.3
1,535.2
-891.7
-465.8
-475.2
-928.2
2013P
9,971.8
9,339.8
137,293.0
127,953.2
-483.0
1,375.0
-260.0
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
154.7
1,126.1
1,329.5
1,277.6
2,183.9
2,030.7
3,773.6
292.6
2,829.8
4,132.9
4,564.6
2,809.3
1,557.9
1,530.8
2,754.0
3,327.6
1,633.8
2,699.6
4,728.0
371.5
2,098.2
3,547.2
3,997.2
2,704.5
42,662.8
37,228.3
47,800.4
47,879.4
47,149.8
47,693.6
48,555.9
45,634.9
47,202.7
46,451.7
46,656.2
47,648.9
41,104.9
35,697.2
45,046.4
44,551.8
45,516.0
44,994.0
43,827.9
45,263.4
45,104.5
42,904.5
42,659.0
44,944.4
-1,640.9
-569.1
-328.0
-178.8
15.5
-632.7
-690.9
-577.9
70.6
2.8
357.2
-205.2
703.7
542.6
-858.4
-1,581.9
517.3
239.8
72.3
699.6
543.0
643.5
445.6
488.7
-466.0
-378.2
-238.1
-289.3
17.3
-276.0
-335.8
-200.6
118.0
-60.6
-243.5
-178.7
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
-968.8
557.3
2,971.4
1,734.0
3,574.9
5,879.9
6,144.3
2,504.3
5,913.1
5,781.7
6,906.2
2,140.2
-1,624.0
1,310.1
2,926.3
1,750.8
1,715.9
5,053.8
5,340.6
2,514.0
5,486.6
5,168.9
6,777.4
1,917.3
41,383.8
45,863.0
47,380.8
45,820.3
46,162.8
46,801.8
46,620.5
42,895.6
47,569.9
48,144.1
49,636.8
44,285.9
43,007.8
44,552.9
44,454.5
44,069.5
44,446.9
41,748.0
41,279.9
40,381.6
42,083.3
42,975.2
42,859.4
42,368.6
-128.8
-1,219.3
699.7
549.7
1,593.0
170.1
593.3
-262.2
323.3
378.3
-51.6
30.8
1,191.7
613.4
-317.5
-422.0
341.6
901.8
401.9
435.5
203.9
521.9
374.3
639.0
-407.7
-146.9
-337.1
-144.5
-75.6
-245.7
-191.5
-183.0
-100.7
-287.4
-193.9
-446.9
2013P
1
2
3
4
5
2,331.7
2,712.9
4,927.2
3,926.9
8,638.8
2,617.7
2,562.9
4,159.2
3,543.3
7,270.0
47,163.0
42,218.6
47,911.4
47,482.1
49,593.9
44,545.3
39,655.7
43,752.2
43,938.8
42,323.9
-927.1
-461.0
905.1
1,447.6
1,130.5
968.4
628.9
-222.3
-1,088.6
193.6
-327.3
-17.9
85.2
24.6
44.7
P: Preliminary
Source: The Bank of Korea
70 | Statistical Appendices
10.
Balance of payments (II)
(million US$)
Capital & financial account
Period
2011
2012
Direct
investment
Portfolio
investment
Financial
derivative
Other
investment
-26,778.0
-43,619.1
-16,410.0
-18,628.1
13,109.3
10,114.8
-1,031.3
3,075.2
-8,468.6
-26,897.7
Errors and
omissions
709.8
480.6
2011
-2,754.1
-6,808.0
-8,320.9
-20,931.2
-4,696.3
-4,138.1
-2,807.6
-2,980.7
-1,379.1
2,035.4
8,108.4
-5,338.8
730.3
-542.9
-1,490.7
1,086.4
6,251.6
-1,432.5
-18,692.6
-11,733.2
-181.4
-111.9
235.5
106.8
-3,479.2
-2,618.0
6,326.1
-2,071.7
143.8
1,315.8
1,424.9
6,103.1
2012
-1,377.1
-7,968.0
-13,342.8
-20,931.2
-7,203.3
-3,015.2
-5,428.9
-2,980.7
15,156.1
-5,481.3
5,778.8
-5,338.8
1,355.0
-65.3
699.1
1,086.4
-4,232.7
-581.2
-10,350.6
-11,733.2
134.3
284.3
76.7
106.8
-6,586.4
890.7
-4,118.0
-2,071.7
-1,182.8
-3,220.8
-1,218.9
6,103.1
2013P
-10,901.4
-4,065.9
-5,769.9
1,418.9
1,294.3
152.0
-3,930.8
929.6
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
-1,282.0
-1,996.2
524.1
394.7
-3,956.7
-3,246.0
-2,469.2
-1,690.6
-4,161.1
-4,391.9
-6,191.9
-3,497.8
-1,725.4
-1,635.1
-1,335.8
-738.8
-1,254.7
-2,144.6
327.1
-1,036.4
-2,098.3
-1,132.2
-2,077.1
-842.7
904.6
-3,004.0
720.3
4,575.0
-1,140.1
-1,399.5
9,258.3
-2,923.0
1,773.1
3,919.1
39.8
-2,411.4
569.3
-363.3
524.3
-206.2
165.1
-501.8
526.6
-1,868.6
-148.7
108.5
-379.9
-160.6
1,773.30
5,126.9
-648.6
-145.9
-821.7
-464.9
-6,581.0
4,638.4
-16,750.0
2,784.7
-6.2
10.1
-120.7
-32.7
-28.0
-33.6
-49.9
-28.4
13.8
41.5
180.2
109.7
98.1
0.0
-2,683.1
-2,088.0
1,291.9
-3,055.8
-855.4
1,293.2
-6,014.0
-542.5
12,882.6
-10,181.7
-3,866.6
-93.2
1,127.3
870.1
-1,853.6
-1,672.3
1,772.8
1,215.3
-1,304.4
1,398.0
1,331.3
259.0
1,627.3
688.5
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1,305.6
-920.3
-1,762.4
157.7
-2,897.4
-5,228.3
-7,840.1
-605.0
-4,897.7
-7,259.3
-9,838.2
-3,833.7
-2,013.3
-3,572.6
-1,617.4
-940.4
-1,382.0
-692.8
-1,443.6
-1,607.1
-2,378.2
-975.0
-1,336.2
-669.5
7,737.0
6,115.2
1,303.9
-2,213.3
-937.1
-2,330.9
2,529.2
580.9
2,668.7
-4,657.2
-3,875.8
3,194.2
434.2
214.1
706.7
320.5
-390.4
4.6
267.1
68.3
363.7
-135.3
612.6
609.1
-2,190.4
-1,526.1
-516.2
2,667.4
-1,600.9
-1,647.7
-7,625.3
1,464.0
-4,189.3
-15.5
-2,683.7
-9,034.0
-1.7
36.0
100.0
102.3
144.2
37.8
36.3
8.0
32.4
-6.1
5.8
107.1
-2,660.2
-2,186.8
-1,739.4
221.2
1,268.8
-599.3
-1,603.8
-1,119.2
-1,395.0
-1,470.2
-2,560.9
1,959.4
-336.8
363.0
-1,209.0
-1,891.7
-677.5
-651.6
1,695.8
-1,899.3
-1,015.4
1,477.6
2,932.0
1,693.5
2013P
1
2
3
4
5
-910.3
-3,269.1
-6,722.0
-2,606.4
-11,596.0
-1,417.7
-777.8
-1,870.4
303.3
-1,482.2
-4,374.3
1,993.5
-3,389.1
-1,917.5
-1,171.9
586.9
686.9
145.1
-313.2
649.2
4,643.9
-3,218.3
-131.3
-1,584.7
-8,534.9
48.5
37.8
65.7
-36.8
-16.8
-397.6
-1,991.2
-1,542.0
942.5
-1,039.4
-1,421.4
556.2
1,794.8
-1,320.5
2,957.2
P: Preliminary
Source: The Bank of Korea
Statistical Appendices | 71
11.
Prices
(2010=100)
Consumer Prices
Producer prices
Period
All Items
2011
2012
Export
Import
104.0
106.3
Commodity
105.7
108.9
Service
102.7
104.2
Core
103.2
104.9
All Items
106.7
107.5
Commodity
108.7
108.9
100.2
97.9
111.6
110.8
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
102.2
102.9
103.3
103.4
103.6
103.8
104.3
105.0
104.9
104.7
104.8
105.2
103.4
104.4
104.9
104.6
104.7
105.0
105.9
107.1
107.1
106.6
106.8
107.3
101.2
101.7
102.1
102.4
102.6
102.8
103.1
103.3
103.1
103.2
103.3
103.5
101.4
102.1
102.4
102.6
103.0
103.4
103.7
103.8
103.7
103.6
103.9
104.3
104.3
105.1
106.3
107.0
107.3
107.1
107.2
107.4
107.4
107.3
107.0
107.1
105.7
106.7
108.3
109.1
109.5
109.1
109.3
109.5
109.6
109.4
108.9
109.0
98.7
100.7
103.7
102.3
100.5
99.3
97.4
98.1
101.0
102.2
99.5
99.4
106.3
109.3
113.2
113.9
111.5
110.9
109.5
109.8
113.6
114.8
113.1
113.3
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
105.7
106.1
106.0
106.0
106.2
106.1
105.9
106.3
107.0
106.9
106.5
106.7
107.9
108.5
109.2
108.9
109.2
108.8
107.9
108.8
110.4
109.8
108.9
109.0
103.9
104.2
103.5
103.7
103.9
104.0
104.2
104.4
104.4
104.6
104.6
104.8
104.6
104.7
104.3
104.4
104.6
104.9
104.9
105.1
105.2
105.2
105.3
105.5
107.7
108.4
108.9
109.0
108.4
107.1
106.6
107.2
107.6
106.8
106.1
105.8
109.5
110.5
111.2
111.1
110.3
108.4
107.6
108.6
109.2
107.8
106.8
106.4
100.4
100.0
100.6
101.0
100.2
98.8
97.5
97.5
97.6
95.6
92.9
92.3
114.4
115.0
116.9
115.6
113.5
109.4
108.5
110.3
111.1
107.4
104.3
103.2
2013
1
2
3
4
5
6
107.3
107.6
107.4
107.3
107.3
107.2
109.8
110.2
110.3
109.8
109.6
109.3
105.2
105.5
105.1
105.3
105.4
105.4
106.0
106.7
106.3
105.9
105.6
105.5
106.8
107.8
107.1
106.6
106.1
106.0
92.2
94.4
94.7
95.3
94.4
96.9
102.3
105.1
104.3
104.4
102.5
104.7
4.0
2.2
5.7
3.0
105.9
106.1
105.9
105.9
106.3
106.4
Y-o-Y change (%)
2.7
3.2
1.5
1.6
6.7
0.7
8.7
0.2
0.2
-2.4
11.6
-0.7
2011
2012
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
3.4
3.9
4.1
3.8
3.9
4.2
4.5
4.7
3.8
3.6
4.2
4.2
5.2
5.9
6.1
5.0
5.2
5.8
6.4
6.8
5.0
4.5
6.0
5.7
2.0
2.3
2.6
2.7
2.7
2.9
2.9
3.0
2.7
2.8
2.7
2.8
2.1
2.6
3.0
3.0
3.2
3.5
3.6
3.5
3.3
3.2
3.5
3.6
6.8
7.4
8.2
8.1
7.5
7.2
7.0
6.9
6.3
5.8
5.1
4.3
9.1
9.8
10.7
10.6
9.7
9.3
9.1
8.9
8.0
7.4
6.5
5.3
0.8
1.6
5.1
3.4
-0.9
-4.8
-6.0
-2.7
1.0
5.3
2.0
-1.0
11.7
14.5
17.7
17.4
11.7
8.6
7.6
8.0
11.9
14.5
10.7
6.1
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
3.4
3.1
2.6
2.5
2.5
2.2
1.5
1.2
2.0
2.1
1.6
1.4
4.4
3.9
4.1
4.1
4.3
3.6
1.9
1.6
3.1
3.0
2.0
1.6
2.7
2.5
1.4
1.3
1.3
1.2
1.1
1.1
1.3
1.4
1.3
1.3
3.2
2.5
1.9
1.8
1.6
1.5
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.3
1.2
3.2
3.1
2.4
1.9
1.0
0.0
-0.6
-0.1
0.2
-0.5
-0.9
-1.2
3.6
3.6
2.7
1.9
0.7
-0.7
-1.5
-0.9
-0.4
-1.4
-1.9
-2.3
1.7
-0.7
-3.0
-1.2
-0.3
-0.5
0.1
-0.7
-3.4
-6.5
-6.6
-7.2
7.7
5.2
3.3
1.5
1.8
-1.3
-0.9
0.5
-2.2
-6.4
-7.9
-9.0
2013
1
2
3
4
5
6
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.0
1.0
1.8
1.6
1.0
0.8
0.4
0.5
1.3
1.2
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.3
1.5
1.4
1.6
1.4
-1.6
-1.6
-2.4
-2.8
-2.6
-1.4
-2.5
-2.5
-3.7
-4.1
-3.8
-2.2
-8.1
-5.6
-5.9
-5.7
-5.8
-2.0
-10.6
-8.6
-10.8
-9.7
-9.7
-4.3
12.
Employment
Economically active persons (thous.)
Period
2011
2012
Wage workers
25,099
25,501
S.O.C &
service
18,595
19,033
Status of Worker
Unemployment (%)
Regular
Temporary
Daily
3.4
3.2
17,397
17,712
10,661
11,097
4,990
4,988
1,746
1,627
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
24,114
24,431
24,918
25,240
25,480
25,592
25,473
25,257
25,076
25,409
25,318
24,880
23,196
23,336
23,846
24,303
24,661
24,752
24,636
24,495
24,318
24,673
24,589
24,125
4,148
4,149
4,122
4,108
4,137
4,135
4,079
4,031
4,014
4,044
4,054
4,071
18,007
18,019
18,244
18,536
18,731
18,812
18,844
18,739
18,595
18,856
18,921
18,833
3.8
4.5
4.3
3.7
3.2
3.3
3.3
3.0
3.0
2.9
2.9
3.0
16,832
16,856
17,065
17,357
17,626
17,720
17,667
17,510
17,378
17,608
17,650
17,496
10,305
10,390
10,543
10,618
10,708
10,716
10,718
10,710
10,764
10,796
10,838
10,824
4,848
4,781
4,782
4,928
5,064
5,132
5,137
5,031
5,047
5,094
5,047
4,986
1,680
1,684
1,740
1,812
1,854
1,872
1,811
1,769
1,567
1,718
1,765
1,686
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
24,585
24,825
25,210
25,653
25,939
25,939
25,901
25,623
25,755
25,787
25,652
25,139
23,732
23,783
24,265
24,758
25,133
25,117
25,106
24,859
25,003
25,069
24,941
24,402
4,034
4,060
4,018
4,027
4,071
4,084
4,114
4,111
4,153
4,188
4,218
4,183
18,631
18,599
18,870
19,103
19,292
19,248
19,265
19,040
19,125
19,128
19,088
19,010
3.5
4.2
3.7
3.5
3.1
3.2
3.1
3.0
2.9
2.8
2.8
2.9
17,184
17,225
17,421
17,679
17,935
17,932
17,911
17,734
17,862
17,958
17,941
17,763
10,769
10,807
10,899
10,957
11,064
11,157
11,153
11,203
11,291
11,302
11,281
11,282
4,868
4,877
4,997
5,095
5,153
5,094
5,081
4,935
4,961
4,964
4,960
4,875
1,547
1,542
1,525
1,627
1,718
1,681
1,676
1,595
1,610
1,692
1,700
1,606
2013
1
2
3
4
5
6
24,901
24,973
25,397
25,928
26,195
26,291
24,054
23,984
24,514
25,103
25,398
25,478
4,189
4,139
4,141
4,192
4,175
4,180
17,581
17,493
17,743
18,145
18,388
18,429
11,292
11,336
11,510
11,616
11,726
11,750
4,791
4,725
4,769
4,892
4,964
4,980
1,498
1,431
1,465
1,636
1,699
1,699
1.4
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.6
0.3
18,810
3.4
18,736
4.0
18,989
3.5
19,303
3.2
19,492
3.0
19,531
3.1
Y-o-Y change (%)
2.1
2.4
-
2.5
1.8
5.7
4.1
-1.5
0.0
-3.9
-6.9
2011
2012
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
0.1
1.6
2.2
1.5
1.5
1.7
1.0
1.7
0.7
1.6
1.9
1.4
1.4
2.1
2.0
1.6
1.5
1.9
1.4
2.0
1.1
2.1
2.0
1.9
5.7
6.7
5.1
2.9
2.5
2.9
1.0
-0.7
-1.2
-1.3
-2.1
-2.1
1.2
1.4
1.1
1.4
1.3
2.1
1.9
3.1
2.1
3.2
3.2
3.1
3.3
3.5
2.7
2.1
2.2
3.1
2.5
2.7
1.6
2.5
2.0
2.0
6.1
6.2
6.2
6.1
6.3
6.2
6.0
5.5
5.4
5.0
4.9
4.6
-0.3
-1.2
-3.9
-4.3
-3.0
-0.6
-1.5
-1.8
-1.2
0.1
-0.4
-0.3
-2.6
1.6
1.5
-1.3
-5.1
-3.4
-4.9
-0.3
-11.9
-5.0
-7.0
-6.7
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2.0
1.6
1.2
1.6
1.8
1.4
1.7
1.4
2.7
1.5
1.3
1.0
2.3
1.9
1.8
1.9
1.9
1.5
1.9
1.5
2.8
1.6
1.4
1.1
-2.8
-2.1
-2.5
-2.0
-1.6
-1.2
0.8
2.0
3.5
3.6
4.0
2.8
3.5
3.2
3.4
3.1
3.0
2.3
2.2
1.6
2.8
1.4
0.9
0.9
2.1
2.2
2.1
1.9
1.8
1.2
1.4
1.3
2.8
2.0
1.7
1.5
4.5
4.0
3.4
3.2
3.3
4.1
4.1
4.6
4.9
4.7
4.1
4.2
0.4
2.0
4.5
3.4
1.8
-0.7
-1.1
-1.9
-1.7
-2.5
-1.7
-2.2
-7.9
-8.5
-12.3
-10.2
-7.4
-10.2
-7.5
-9.8
2.7
-1.5
-3.6
-4.7
2013
1
2
3
4
5
6
1.3
0.6
0.7
1.1
1.0
1.4
1.4
0.8
1.0
1.4
1.1
1.4
3.9
1.9
3.1
4.1
2.6
2.3
1.0
0.7
0.6
1.0
1.0
1.5
2.3
1.6
1.8
2.6
2.5
2.8
4.9
4.9
5.6
6.0
6.0
5.3
-1.6
-3.1
-4.6
-4.0
-3.7
-2.2
-3.1
-7.1
-4.0
0.6
-1.1
1.0
13.
Financial indicators
(period average)
Yields(%)
Period
Stock
2009
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2.4
2.1
1.8
1.8
1.9
1.9
1.9
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
3.2
2.7
2.5
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.5
2.6
2.8
2.8
2.8
Corporate bonds
(3 years, AA-)
7.3
7.1
6.1
5.7
5.2
5.2
5.5
5.7
5.6
5.6
5.4
5.4
2010
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.2
2.3
2.3
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.9
2.9
2.8
2.5
2.5
2.5
2.6
2.6
2.7
2.7
2.7
2.8
5.4
5.3
5.0
4.7
4.5
4.7
4.8
4.7
4.4
4.1
4.2
4.2
4.3
4.2
3.9
3.8
3.7
3.8
3.9
3.7
3.5
3.2
3.4
3.3
4.8
4.8
4.5
4.4
4.4
4.4
4.5
4.3
3.9
3.7
4.0
4.0
1,602.43
1,594.58
1,692.85
1,741.56
1,641.25
1,698.29
1,759.33
1,742.75
1,872.81
1,882.95
1,904.63
2,051.00
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.0
3.0
3.2
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.2
3.3
3.3
2.9
3.1
3.4
3.4
3.5
3.5
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
4.5
4.7
4.5
4.5
4.4
4.4
4.5
4.2
4.2
4.3
4.2
4.2
3.7
3.9
3.7
3.7
3.7
3.7
3.8
3.6
3.5
3.5
3.4
3.4
4.3
4.4
4.1
4.1
4.0
3.9
4.0
3.7
3.6
3.6
3.5
3.5
2,069.73
1,939.30
2,106.70
2,192.36
2,142.47
2,100.69
2,133.21
1,880.11
1,769.65
1,909.03
1,847.51
1,825.74
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.1
3.0
3.0
2.8
2.8
2.8
3.6
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.3
3.2
3.1
2.9
2.9
2.9
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.3
4.0
3.9
3.6
3.4
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.4
3.4
3.6
3.5
3.4
3.3
3.0
2.8
2.8
2.8
2.8
2.9
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.6
3.5
3.4
3.1
2.9
2.9
2.9
2.9
3.0
1,955.79
2,030.25
2,014.04
1,981.99
1,843.47
1,854.01
1,881.99
1,905.12
1,996.21
1,912.06
1,932.90
1,997.05
2013
1
2
3
4
5
6
2.8
2.8
2.7
2.8
2.6
2.5
2.9
2.8
2.8
2.8
2.7
2.7
3.2
3.1
3.0
2.9
3.0
3.2
2.8
2.7
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.9
2.9
2.8
2.7
2.6
2.7
3.1
1,961.94
2,026.49
2,004.89
1,963.95
2,001.05
1,863.32
CD (91 days)
Treasury bonds
(3 years)
3.4
3.8
3.7
3.8
3.8
4.1
4.1
4.4
4.4
4.5
4.3
4.2
Treasury bonds
(5 years)
4.0
4.6
4.5
4.4
4.5
4.7
4.6
4.9
4.9
4.9
4.8
4.8
KOSPI
(end-period)
1,162.11
1,063.03
1,206.26
1,369.40
1,395.89
1,390.07
1,577.29
1,591.85
1,673.14
1,580.69
1,555.60
1,682.77
14.
Monetary indicators
(billion won)
Period
Reserve money
2011
2012
M1
M2
Lf
75,232.0
82,131.1
425,675.1
441,963.6
1,708,984.5
1,798,625.7
2,208,170.4
2,379,518.7
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
73,540.8
75,432.1
73,012.7
73,206.1
73,828.5
74,705.5
74,069.7
75,642.3
77,942.2
76,944.6
76,617.3
77,842.5
429,368.1
432,482.8
430,936.6
425,420.5
423,994.7
421,885.3
418,973.1
422,649.3
425,196.4
421,480.1
423,111.9
432,602.2
1,676,448.8
1,674,390.5
1,677,475.9
1,684,792.3
1,690,543.0
1,697,204.2
1,705,451.5
1,719,437.8
1,729,531.1
1,742,645.4
1,753,296.4
1,756,597.4
2,152,814.0
2,148,254.1
2,152,736.5
2,163,485.7
2,175,557.3
2,189,729.2
2,208,624.3
2,230,191.9
2,243,675.6
2,263,627.7
2,279,234.1
2,288,816.9
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
81,635.4
81,655.3
79,068.0
80,641.8
80,547.7
81,804.0
81,555.7
82,369.1
82,958.7
85,078.6
82,956.5
85,302.7
439,352.9
437,193.9
440,075.4
437,445.3
438,795.3
441,611.0
441,760.6
439,573.2
440,034.3
444,477.8
445,463.9
457,778.9
1,757,058.7
1,762,988.4
1,773,172.9
1,777,114.7
1,784,220.5
1,796,981.5
1,807,289.2
1,817,134.9
1,819,290.1
1,822,420.9
1,830,280.3
1,835,556.7
2,292,213.5
2,302,065.8
2,341,626.9
2,349,723.2
2,357,701.0
2,377,071.3
2,393,737.7
2,405,239.9
2,415,263.5
2,424,000.4
2,440,062.8
2,455,962.9
2013
1
2
3
4
5
85,839.3
88,855.7
89,523.5
87,729.0
89,654.8
464,914.5
472,239.6
472,430.1
475,330.0
475,526.7
Y-o-Y change (%)
6.6
3.8
1,841,128.1
1,857,135.0
1,862,405.5
1,867,726.3
1,870,289.7
2,469,789.3
2,488,539.0
2,499,718.1
2,512,459.7
2,518,239.1
4.2
5.2
5.3
7.8
2011
2012
11.3
9.2
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13.0
13.3
11.2
13.9
8.8
12.8
10.6
12.4
10.9
10.1
10.3
8.9
12.6
11.5
11.6
9.6
7.4
5.4
3.8
5.4
5.1
4.1
2.0
1.6
6.5
5.0
4.3
3.9
3.7
3.0
3.2
4.0
4.2
4.4
4.4
4.4
6.6
5.2
4.7
4.5
4.4
4.0
4.6
5.5
5.7
6.1
6.2
6.2
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
11.0
8.3
8.3
10.2
9.1
9.5
10.1
8.9
6.4
10.6
8.3
9.6
2.3
1.1
2.1
2.8
3.5
4.7
5.4
4.0
3.5
5.5
5.3
5.8
4.8
5.3
5.7
5.5
5.5
5.9
6.0
5.7
5.2
4.6
4.4
4.5
6.5
7.2
8.8
8.6
8.4
8.5
8.4
7.8
7.6
7.1
7.1
7.3
2013
1
2
3
4
5
5.1
8.8
13.2
8.8
11.3
5.8
8.0
7.4
8.7
8.4
4.8
5.3
5.0
5.1
4.8
7.7
8.1
6.8
6.9
6.8
15.
Exchange rates
/US$
/100
/Euro
Period
2011
2012
End-period
Average
End-period
Average
End-period
Average
1,153.3
1,071.1
1,108.1
1,126.9
1,485.2
1,247.5
1,391.3
1,413.1
1,494.1
1,416.3
1,541.4
1,448.2
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1,114.3
1,127.9
1,107.2
1,072.3
1,080.6
1,078.1
1,052.6
1,071.7
1,179.5
1,104.5
1,150.3
1,153.3
1,120.1
1,118.1
1,122.5
1,086.8
1,083.5
1,081.3
1,059.5
1,073.2
1,118.6
1,155.5
1,132.3
1,147.5
1,356.6
1,380.7
1,331.9
1,313.8
1,335.6
1,335.7
1,353.2
1,396.8
1,536.6
1,458.0
1,475.7
1,485.2
1,356.3
1,351.0
1,376.2
1,304.8
1,333.6
1,342.8
1,333.4
1,391.4
1,456.5
1,508.2
1,460.0
1,473.4
1,514.0
1,549.5
1,563.5
1,591.2
1,549.7
1,560.5
1,507.9
1,547.3
1,601.4
1,562.7
1,532.9
1,494.1
1,495.4
1,524.6
1,572.6
1,569.4
1,551.3
1,555.4
1,515.4
1,538.7
1,542.4
1,584.0
1,536.6
1,511.0
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1,125.0
1,126.5
1,137.8
1,134.2
1,177.8
1,153.8
1,136.2
1,134.6
1,118.6
1,094.1
1,084.7
1,071.1
1,145.9
1,123.4
1,125.9
1,135.6
1,154.3
1,165.5
1,143.4
1,131.7
1,124.8
1,106.9
1,087.5
1,077.0
1,473.1
1,399.2
1,380.7
1,412.0
1,489.1
1,453.8
1,453.6
1,444.0
1,441.1
1,374.5
1,320.6
1,247.5
1,488.7
1,433.7
1,364.1
1,393.9
1,447.1
1,469.1
1,446.4
1,438.4
1,438.6
1,400.9
1,344.0
1,288.1
1,478.2
1,516.3
1,513.4
1,501.7
1,456.6
1,435.0
1,393.1
1,419.6
1,444.3
1,418.3
1,407.3
1,416.3
1,477.2
1,486.0
1,487.1
1,495.6
1,478.6
1,462.3
1,407.0
1,402.8
1,446.0
1,436.0
1,395.9
1,411.4
2013
1
2
3
4
5
6
1,082.7
1,085.4
1,112.1
1,108.1
1,128.3
1,149.7
1,065.4
1,086.7
1,102.2
1,121.8
1,110.7
1,135.2
1,196.8
1,166.4
1,161.1
1,148.4
1,100.3
1,165.7
1,469.3
1,425.8
1,425.2
1,451.3
1,471.4
1,498.2
1,415.7
1,452.3
1,427.5
1,459.6
1,441.5
1,498.7
1.3
-7.1
-4.2
1.7
1,188.5
1,176.2
1,180.1
1,132.0
1,116.6
1,167.2
Y-o-Y change (%)
6.3
-16.0
5.4
1.6
-1.3
-5.2
0.6
-6.0
2011
2012
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
-3.6
-2.6
-2.1
-3.9
-10.0
-10.9
-11.3
-9.9
3.3
-2.0
-0.6
1.3
-1.6
-3.4
-1.3
-2.7
-6.8
-10.8
-12.2
-9.0
-4.1
2.8
0.5
0.0
5.4
6.3
9.4
10.7
1.3
-2.1
-1.2
-0.7
12.7
4.8
7.4
6.3
8.7
5.4
9.6
9.2
5.4
0.7
-3.2
0.8
5.2
10.0
6.8
7.0
-6.2
-1.3
3.0
7.6
5.1
5.8
-2.9
2.7
2.9
-0.4
1.0
-1.3
-8.1
-3.8
1.8
4.5
6.2
5.0
-1.6
1.0
1.6
1.6
-0.3
-0.3
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1.0
-0.1
2.8
5.8
9.0
7.0
7.9
5.9
-5.2
-0.9
-5.7
-7.1
2.3
0.5
0.3
4.5
6.5
7.8
7.9
5.5
0.6
-4.2
-4.0
-6.1
8.6
1.3
3.7
7.5
11.5
8.8
7.4
3.4
-6.2
-5.7
-10.5
-16.0
9.8
6.1
-0.9
6.8
8.5
9.4
8.5
3.4
-1.2
-7.1
-7.9
-12.6
-2.4
-2.1
-3.2
-5.6
-6.0
-8.0
-7.6
-8.3
-9.8
-9.2
-8.2
-5.2
-1.2
-2.5
-5.4
-4.7
-4.7
-6.0
-7.2
-8.8
-6.3
-9.3
-9.2
-6.6
2013
1
2
3
4
5
6
-3.8
-3.6
-2.3
-2.3
-4.2
-0.4
-7.0
-3.3
-2.1
-1.2
-3.8
-2.6
-19.3
-15.9
-14.5
-19.8
-25.0
-19.7
-19.6
-18.6
-14.9
-17.6
-24.0
-20.7
-0.6
-6.0
-5.8
-3.4
1.0
4.4
-4.2
-2.3
-4.0
-2.4
-2.5
2.5
Editor-in-Chief
Cho Byung-Koo (KDI)
Kim Yong-Jin (MOSF)
Editorial Board
Lauren Kang (MOSF)
Lee Seong-Pyo (KDI)
Lee In-Sook (KDI)
Coordinators
Kim Dae-Hyun (MOSF)
Lee Ji-Youn (KDI)
Editors
David Friedman (MOSF)
Joung Hye-Sun (MOSF)
Park Jin (KDI)
ISSN 2287-7266
Republic of Korea
ECONOMIC BULLETIN (Republic of Korea)
ECONOMIC
BULLETIN
03 The Green Book:
Current Economic Trends
47 Featured Issue
51 Policy Issues
MOSF/KDI
61 Statistical Appendices
Vol.35 No.7 July 2013
Vol.35 No.7
July 2013