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Vol.12 No.12 A joint publication of the Connecticut Department of Labor & the Connecticut Department of Economic and Community Development
December 2007
THE CONNECTICUT and after the loss of a job. The amounting to 34% six years
ECONOMIC DIGEST
The Connecticut Economic Digest is
figure shows that workers 40 years
of age and older lose 36% of their
earnings the year after displace-
following the mass layoff. The
comparable figure for the manu-
facturing industry is 33%. Work-
published monthly by the Connecticut ment and this loss grows substan- ers displaced from the financial
Department of Labor, Office of Research and tially with each successive age. services industry experience the
the Connecticut Department of Economic and Workers aged 40 at the time of smallest loss in earnings during
Community Development, Compliance Office
and Planning/Program Support. Its purpose is mass layoff see their earnings fall the year following mass layoff
to regularly provide users with a 20% the year following displace- (27%). However, they experience
comprehensive source for the most current, up- ment, whereas workers aged 70 no earnings recovery since average
to-date data available on the workforce and and over lose 67%. quarterly earnings are still 28%
economy of the state, within perspectives of Earnings of workers suffering a below their pre-displacement level
the region and nation.
mass layoff experience a slow six years after the event.
The annual subscription is $50. Send recovery. For workers at least 40 Figure 4 presents the earnings
subscription requests to: The Connecticut
Economic Digest, Connecticut Department of years old, earnings are still 26% losses for workers aged 40 and
Labor, Office of Research, 200 Folly Brook below pre-displacement levels six over who suffer a layoff in the
Boulevard, Wethersfield, CT 06109-1114. years later. For workers aged 40 at manufacturing sector and become
Make checks payable to the Connecticut the time of layoff, the comparable reemployed in the
Department of Labor. Back issues are $4 per earnings loss is 14%; for workers at nonmanufacturing industry and
copy. The Digest can be accessed free of
charge from the DOL Web site. Articles from least 70 years old, the loss is 63%. vice versa. As Figure 4 shows,
The Connecticut Economic Digest may be Workers aged 60 do not see any workers who switch from manufac-
reprinted if the source is credited. Please send recovery in their earnings losses. turing to non-manufacturing suffer
copies of the reprinted material to the Managing The year after displacement, these substantially larger earnings losses
Editor. The views expressed by the authors workers lose 51% of their earnings, than those who switch in the
are theirs alone and may not reflect those of
the DOL or DECD. and six years after displacement, opposite direction (53% versus
the earnings losses amount to 53%. 21%). These significantly larger
Older workers leaving their career earnings losses indicate that
Managing Editor: Jungmin Charles Joo
and taking part time employment specific skills are relatively more
Associate Editor: Cynthia L. DeLisa may cause this increased loss in important for workers in the
We would like to acknowledge the contributions earnings six years following the manufacturing industry when
of many DOL Research and DECD staff to the layoff. compared to workers in the non-
publication of the Digest.
Figure 2 shows the time path of manufacturing industries. Figure
earnings by gender for those 4 also shows the earnings losses
workers who are at least 40 years for workers displaced from and re-
old at the time of mass layoff. The employed in the same detailed
figure shows that men and women industry within the manufacturing
Connecticut have relatively similar patterns in and nonmanufacturing sectors.
Department of Labor their earnings. In every period The earnings losses for these two
Patricia H. Mayfield, Commissioner after the mass layoff, men have groups of workers are very similar,
Linda L. Agnew, Deputy Commissioner larger earnings losses than women and they are much lower than
Roger F. Therrien, Director
do. However, the difference is those losses for workers switching
Office of Research always small and is never more industry sectors. This reinforces
200 Folly Brook Boulevard than five percentage points. the motivation for the legislation
Wethersfield, CT 06109-1114 discussed in the introductory
Phone: (860) 263-6275
Fax: (860) 263-6263 Earnings Losses by Industry paragraph since workers who
E-Mail: dol.econdigest@ct.gov Figure 3 shows the earnings switch industries after a displace-
Website: http://www.ctdol.state.ct.us/lmi losses for workers at least 40 years ment are the ones hardest hit by
old by the industry in which they the event and most in need of
Connecticut Department worked before suffering a mass retraining.
of Economic and layoff. In the year after mass
Community Development layoff, individuals displaced from
the manufacturing industry and
Summary
Older workers face substantial
Joan M. McDonald, Commissioner
Ronald Angelo, Deputy Commissioner the business and professional reductions in their earnings upon
services industry experience the suffering from a mass layoff.
largest earnings losses (42% and These earnings losses are not only
Compliance Office and Planning/Program 43%, respectively). Workers losing severe, but also persistent. For the
Support
505 Hudson Street jobs in these industries also experi- average worker aged 40 years old
Hartford, CT 06106-2502 ence similar recovery patterns. and older, average quarterly
Phone: (860) 270-8000 Workers displaced from the busi- earnings fall 36% the year follow-
Fax: (860) 270-8200
ness and professional services ing displacement, and these
E-Mail: decd@ct.gov
Website: http://www.decd.org industry still have earnings losses --Continued on page 5--
0%
t-6 t-5 t-4 t -3 t -2 t -1 t+1 t+2 t+3 t +4 t +5 t +6
-10%
-20%
-30% 40
-40% 50
-50% 60
-60% 70+
40+
-70%
-80%
Figure 2: Percent Earnings Losses by Gender for Work ers Aged 40 and Over
0%
t -6 t -5 t -4 t -3 t -2 t -1 t +1 t+2 t +3 t +4 t+5 t +6
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
Males
-25%
-30% Females
-35%
-40%
0%
t-6 t-5 t-4 t-3 t-2 t-1 t +1 t +2 t+3 t +4 t+5 t+6
-10%
M anufacturing
-20%
T rade
Financial Activities
-30%
Business and Professional
Services
Education and Health Services
-40%
Other Industries
-50%
Trough
110 100 Peak
Trough 4/2003
3/80
Peak 2/92
100 90
5/74 Trough
Peak
90 80 12/69 1/83
80 70 Trough
Trough 11/75
10/71
70 60
70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05
The distance from peak to trough, indicated by the shaded areas, measures the duration of an employment cycle recession. The vertical scale in both
charts is an index with 1992=100.
The Slow and Unsteady Fall in the Housing and Credit Markets
The National Outlook 111.1 in September 2006 to 113 in from 193,200 a year ago, while
The Federal Open Market Commit- September 2007. Total employment construction gained 1,500 jobs over
tee (FOMC) lowered its target for the (from the household survey) increased the year (offsetting contributors).
federal funds rate 25 basis points to 2% or 34,050 persons and nonfarm Average weekly hours increased
4.5% on October 31. Economic employment (from the employer slightly in both manufacturing and
growth was solid in the third quarter, survey) rose 1.17% since July 2006 construction from a year ago. Positive
and strains in financial markets eased. and contributed positively to the contributors include the Hartford help-
However, the pace of economic annual change in this index. The total wanted index that increased slightly
expansion will likely slow in the near unemployment rate (4.5% vs. 4.44% a from a year ago; the short duration
term, partly reflecting the intensifica- year ago) and the insured unemploy- unemployment rate that decreased
tion of the housing correction. This ment rate (2.46% vs. 2.39% a year from 1.48% to 1.44% over the year,
rate reduction, combined with the ago) contribute negatively to the and initial claims for unemployment
policy action taken in September, annual change in this index. insurance that decreased by 8.3% from
should help forestall some of the On a month-to-month basis, the 16,781 a year ago. Negative contribu-
adverse effects on the broader September 2007 coincident employ- tors include Moody’s Baa bond yield
economy that might otherwise arise ment index rose to 113 from 112.1 a that worsened from 6.43% to 6.59%
from the disruptions in financial month earlier. This reflects an acceler- and housing permits that decreased
markets and promote moderate growth ating 12-month moving average growth from 733 last September to 500 in
over time. Readings on core inflation rate of this index (1.7% vs. 0.4% last September 2007.
have improved modestly this year, but month). Total employment increased On a month-to-month basis, the
recent increases in energy and by 21,000 persons (the largest monthly leading employment index worsened
commodity prices, among other increase in the past seven years) and from 120.4 to 119.9. Manufacturing
factors, may put renewed upward nonfarm employment increased by 600 employment declined by 600 jobs while
pressure on inflation. jobs as both contributed positively to construction employment declined by
According to the New England this month’s index. The total insured 1,000 jobs (both negative contributors).
Economic Partnership (NEEP) forecast employment rate inched downward Average weekly hours increased
released November 13, the housing from 2.4% last month to 2.39% in slightly in manufacturing and inched
recession has yet to play out nationally September and the total unemploy- downward in construction (offsetting
and in Connecticut. This is counterbal- ment rate improved slightly from 4.6% contributors). The Hartford help-
anced by significant job gains in the to 4.5% as both contributed positively wanted index declined slightly and
state and rising labor productivity. to the monthly change in this index. housing permits declined by 167 or
The DECD-ECRI Connecticut 25% for the month (each a negative
Connecticut Employment Indexes leading employment index that esti- contributor). Initial claims declined by
The DECD-ECRI Connecticut mates future activity improved from 1,003 and short duration unemploy-
coincident employment index is a 118.5 in September 2006 to 119.9 in ment inched downward with both
measure of contemporaneous activity September 2007. Manufacturing contributing positively to the monthly
and rose on a year-to-year basis from employment decreased by 1,700 jobs change in this index.
By Stan McMillen, Ph.D. , Managing Economist, DECD, (860) 270-8166. Mark Prisloe provides research assistance. Professors Pami
Dua and Stephen M. Miller, in cooperation with Anirvan Banerji at the Economic Cycle Research Institute developed the leading and
coincident employment indexes. The views expressed herein are the author's own and do not necessarily represent those of the
Connecticut Department of Labor or the Connecticut Department of Economic and Community Development. Components of the
indexes are described in the Technical Notes on page 23.
0%
t -6 t -5 t -4 t -3 t -2 t -1 t +1 t +2 t +3 t +4 t +5 t +6
-10%
-20%
-30%
Mfg to Non-Mfg
Non-Mfg to Mfg
-40%
Same Indus try - Mfg
-60%
earnings remain 26% below their workers who experience a mass among Older Displaced Workers.”
pre-displacement levels six years layoff. n Contemporary Economic Policy 23(4): 529-
after the event. A mass layoff is a 544.
5
harsh interruption of an 1
Kletzer, Lori G. 1998. “Job Displacement.” Rodriguez, Daniel, and Madeline Zavodny.
2003. “Change in the Age and Education
individuals life, and this is espe- The Journal of Economic Perspectives 12(1)
Profile of Displaced Workers.” Industrial and
winter: 115-136.
cially the case for older workers. 2
Chan, Sewin, and Ann Huff Stevens. 2004. Labor Relations Review 56(3): 498-510.
Displacement forces one to reevalu- “How Does Job Loss Affect the Timing of
6
See Couch, Kenneth A., Nicholas A. Jolly,
ate their life trajectory by either Retirement?” Contributions to Economic and Dana W. Placzek “The Effect of Mass
forcing early retirement due to Analysis & Policy 3(1), Article 5. Layoffs on Earnings of Connecticut’s Older
Workers.” (http://www.ctdol.state.ct.us/lmi/
lower re-employment wages, or
3
Chan, Sewin, and Ann Huff Stevens. 2001.
“Job Loss and Employment Patterns of Older occ_papers.htm) Connecticut Department of
forcing delayed retirement due to a Labor, Occasional Paper Series, October
Workers.” Journal of Labor Economics 19(2):
spending down of savings. The 484-521. 2007.
losses presented here help in 4
Lin, Emily Y. 2005. “Health Insurance
measuring the costs faced by older Coverage and Reemployment Outcomes
The Connecticut Economy's General Drift Indicators are composite measures of the four-quarter change in three coincident (Connecticut Manufac-
turing Production Index, nonfarm employment, and real personal income) and four leading (housing permits, manufacturing average weekly hours,
Hartford help-wanted advertising, and initial unemployment claims) economic variables, and are indexed so 1986 = 100.
The Banknorth Business Barometer is a measure of overall economic growth in the state of Connecticut that is derived from non-manufacturing
employment, real disposable personal income, and manufacturing production.
Sources: Connecticut Department of Economic and Community Development; U.S. Department of Energy, Energy
Information Administration; Connecticut Department of Revenue Services; F.W. Dodge; Connecticut
Department of Motor Vehicles; Connecticut Department of Transportation, Bureau of Aviation and Ports
* Estimated by the Bureau of the Census
Sources: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics; The Conference Board
*Change over prior monthly or quarterly period
**The Boston CPI can be used as a proxy for New England and is measured every other month.
***The Connecticut Economy, Connecticut Center for Economic Analysis, University of Connecticut
Conventional mortgage
INTEREST RATES
rate stayed at 6.38
OCT SEP OCT
percent over the month.
1FSDFOU
2007 2007 2006
Prime 7.74 8.03 8.25
Federal Funds 4.76 4.94 5.25
3 Month Treasury Bill 4.00 3.99 5.05
6 Month Treasury Bill 4.16 4.20 5.12
1 Year Treasury Note 4.10 4.14 5.01
3 Year Treasury Note 4.01 4.06 4.72
5 Year Treasury Note 4.20 4.20 4.69
7 Year Treasury Note 4.33 4.33 4.69
10 Year Treasury Note 4.53 4.52 4.73
20 Year Treasury Note 4.83 4.84 4.94
Conventional Mortgage 6.38 6.38 6.36
Sources: Federal Reserve; Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp.
Current months data are preliminary. Prior months data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 2006.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes. **Includes Indian tribal government employment.
For further information on the Bridgeport-Stamford Labor Market Area contact Arthur Famiglietti at (860) 263-6297.
For further information on the Danbury Labor Market Area contact Arthur Famiglietti at (860) 263-6297.
Current months data are preliminary. Prior months data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 2006.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
For further information on the Hartford Labor Market Area contact Arthur Famiglietti at (860) 263-6297.
Current months data are preliminary. Prior months data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 2006.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
For further information on the New Haven Labor Market Area contact Joseph Slepski at (860) 263-6278.
Current months data are preliminary. Prior months data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 2006.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes. **Value less than 50
For further information on the Norwich-New London Labor Market Area contact Lincoln Dyer at (860) 263-6292.
For further information on the Waterbury Labor Market Area contact Joseph Slepski at (860) 263-6278.
Current months data are preliminary. Prior months data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 2006.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes. **Includes Indian tribal government employment.
NOTE: More industry detail data is available for the State and its nine labor market areas at: http://
www.ctdol.state.ct.us/lmi/202/covered.htm. The data published there differ from the data in the preced-
ing tables in that they are developed from a near-universe count of Connecticut employment covered by
the unemployment insurance (UI) program, while the data here is sample-based. The data drawn from
the UI program does not contain estimates of employment not covered by unemployment insurance,
and is lagged several months behind the current employment estimates presented here.
Current months data are preliminary. Prior months data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 2006.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
BRIDGEPORT - STAMFORD LMA Civilian Labor Force 483,400 470,700 12,700 2.7 478,400
Employed 464,600 454,900 9,700 2.1 459,600
Unemployed 18,800 15,800 3,000 19.0 18,800
Unemployment Rate 3.9 3.4 0.5 --- 3.9
DANBURY LMA Civilian Labor Force 93,400 91,200 2,200 2.4 92,400
Employed 90,300 88,700 1,600 1.8 89,300
Unemployed 3,100 2,600 500 19.2 3,100
Unemployment Rate 3.3 2.8 0.5 --- 3.4
ENFIELD LMA Civilian Labor Force 50,400 49,600 800 1.6 50,000
Employed 48,300 47,700 600 1.3 47,800
Unemployed 2,100 1,900 200 10.5 2,300
Unemployment Rate 4.1 3.7 0.4 --- 4.6
HARTFORD LMA Civilian Labor Force 591,700 580,900 10,800 1.9 587,900
Employed 566,200 558,800 7,400 1.3 562,000
Unemployed 25,600 22,100 3,500 15.8 26,000
Unemployment Rate 4.3 3.8 0.5 --- 4.4
NEW HAVEN LMA Civilian Labor Force 314,500 310,000 4,500 1.5 312,300
Employed 300,400 297,700 2,700 0.9 298,000
Unemployed 14,100 12,300 1,800 14.6 14,400
Unemployment Rate 4.5 4.0 0.5 --- 4.6
NORWICH - NEW LONDON LMA Civilian Labor Force 153,300 150,200 3,100 2.1 153,000
Employed 147,300 144,900 2,400 1.7 146,900
Unemployed 6,000 5,200 800 15.4 6,100
Unemployment Rate 3.9 3.5 0.4 --- 4.0
TORRINGTON LMA Civilian Labor Force 56,500 55,200 1,300 2.4 56,600
Employed 54,300 53,400 900 1.7 54,500
Unemployed 2,200 1,800 400 22.2 2,100
Unemployment Rate 3.8 3.2 0.6 --- 3.8
WATERBURY LMA Civilian Labor Force 102,800 100,900 1,900 1.9 102,800
Employed 97,200 96,100 1,100 1.1 97,100
Unemployed 5,600 4,800 800 16.7 5,700
Unemployment Rate 5.4 4.8 0.6 --- 5.5
WILLIMANTIC-DANIELSON LMA Civilian Labor Force 58,600 57,200 1,400 2.4 58,300
Employed 55,700 54,700 1,000 1.8 55,300
Unemployed 2,900 2,500 400 16.0 3,000
Unemployment Rate 5.0 4.4 0.6 --- 5.1
UNITED STATES Civilian Labor Force 153,516,000 152,397,000 1,119,000 0.7 153,400,000
Employed 146,743,000 146,125,000 618,000 0.4 146,448,000
Unemployed 6,773,000 6,272,000 501,000 8.0 6,952,000
Unemployment Rate 4.4 4.1 0.3 --- 4.5
Current months data are preliminary. Prior months data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 2006.
CONNECTICUT AVG WEEKLY EARNINGS AVG WEEKLY HOURS AVG HOURLY EARNINGS
OCT CHG SEP OCT CHG SEP OCT CHG SEP
/PUTFBTPOBMMZBEKVTUFE
2007 2006 Y/Y 2007 2007 2006 Y/Y 2007 2007 2006 Y/Y 2007
MANUFACTURING $883.19 $846.21 $36.98 $890.77 42.4 42.1 0.3 42.6 $20.83 $20.10 $0.73 $20.91
DURABLE GOODS 910.30 874.86 35.44 922.29 42.3 42.0 0.3 42.6 21.52 20.83 0.69 21.65
Fabricated Metal 814.70 795.90 18.80 807.03 42.3 42.0 0.3 42.7 19.26 18.95 0.31 18.90
Machinery 872.07 847.02 25.05 863.51 41.0 41.5 -0.5 41.1 21.27 20.41 0.86 21.01
Computer & Electronic 719.55 685.89 33.66 710.40 41.0 40.9 0.1 40.0 17.55 16.77 0.78 17.76
Transport. Equipment 1,154.44 1,096.96 57.48 1,160.78 42.9 42.8 0.1 43.2 26.91 25.63 1.28 26.87
NON-DUR. GOODS 810.02 771.80 38.22 803.25 42.7 42.5 0.2 42.5 18.97 18.16 0.81 18.90
CONSTRUCTION 951.45 916.03 35.42 942.10 39.3 38.7 0.6 38.5 24.21 23.67 0.54 24.47
LMAs AVG WEEKLY EARNINGS AVG WEEKLY HOURS AVG HOURLY EARNINGS
OCT CHG SEP OCT CHG SEP OCT CHG SEP
MANUFACTURING 2007 2006 Y/Y 2007 2007 2006 Y/Y 2007 2007 2006 Y/Y 2007
Bridgeport - Stamford $850.21 $913.50 -$63.29 $904.54 41.8 43.5 -1.7 43.3 $20.34 $21.00 -$0.66 $20.89
New Haven 849.35 757.91 91.44 844.57 37.4 42.2 -4.8 38.6 22.71 17.96 4.75 21.88
Norwich - New London 870.63 840.60 30.03 867.15 42.1 41.8 0.3 42.3 20.68 20.11 0.57 20.50
Due to constraints of the sample upon which estimates are made, manufacturing hours and earnings estimates for the Hartford and Waterbury labor market areas are
being suspended.
Current months data are preliminary. Prior months data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 2006.
n In October 2007, CorePlus Federal Credit Union opened in the Waterfall Shopping Center in
Waterford with 10 workers. Ikonisys Inc., a maker of cell-based diagnostic products, has received
$30 million in capital to allow for the hiring of 15-40 employees at its New Haven facility. Kim-
berly-Clark Corp. has broken ground on a co-generation energy plant creating 50 to 70 construc-
tion jobs. As many as 400 jobs will be created as a new hangar will be built at Waterbury-Oxford
Airport. Coldwater Creek, a women’s clothing store, opened at the Milford Marketplace with 41
employees. Barnes & Noble has opened a bookstore in Stamford employing 80.
n On October 4, 2007, the Hartford Housing Authority laid off 10 workers in a restructuring. Budget
woes have led the Stafford Ambulance Association to lay off 15 emergency medical technicians.
Business & Employment Changes Announced in the News Media lists start-ups, expansions, staff reductions, and
layoffs reported by the media, both current and future. The report provides company name, the number of workers
involved, date of the action, the principal product or service of the company, a brief synopsis of the action, and the
source and date of the media article. This publication is available in both HTML and PDF formats at the Connecticut
Department of Labor Web site, http://www.ctdol.state.ct.us/lmi/busemp.htm.
OCTOBER 2007
LMA/TOWNS LABOR FORCE EMPLOYED UNEMPLOYED % LMA/TOWNS LABOR FORCE EMPLOYED UNEMPLOYED %
BRIDGEPORT-STAMFORD HARTFORD cont....
483,445 464,639 18,806 3.9 Canton 5,767 5,601 166 2.9
Ansonia 10,204 9,696 508 5.0 Colchester 8,850 8,569 281 3.2
Bridgeport 64,019 59,958 4,061 6.3 Columbia 3,102 2,999 103 3.3
Darien 9,494 9,202 292 3.1 Coventry 7,127 6,865 262 3.7
Derby 7,054 6,714 340 4.8 Cromwell 7,943 7,671 272 3.4
Easton 3,879 3,758 121 3.1 East Granby 2,971 2,873 98 3.3
Fairfield 29,125 28,116 1,009 3.5 East Haddam 5,233 5,051 182 3.5
Greenwich 31,230 30,245 985 3.2 East Hampton 6,939 6,653 286 4.1
Milford 32,364 31,195 1,169 3.6 East Hartford 25,807 24,363 1,444 5.6
Monroe 10,959 10,581 378 3.4 Ellington 8,789 8,479 310 3.5
New Canaan 9,184 8,930 254 2.8 Farmington 13,147 12,675 472 3.6
Newtown 14,694 14,255 439 3.0 Glastonbury 18,561 17,968 593 3.2
Norwalk 49,895 48,146 1,749 3.5 Granby 6,378 6,169 209 3.3
Oxford 7,094 6,852 242 3.4 Haddam 4,854 4,714 140 2.9
Redding 4,678 4,557 121 2.6 Hartford 49,052 45,151 3,901 8.0
Ridgefield 12,119 11,766 353 2.9 Hartland 1,215 1,184 31 2.6
Seymour 9,383 9,008 375 4.0 Harwinton 3,210 3,096 114 3.6
Shelton 23,204 22,320 884 3.8 Hebron 5,581 5,393 188 3.4
Southbury 9,328 8,990 338 3.6 Lebanon 4,367 4,226 141 3.2
Stamford 68,495 66,076 2,419 3.5 Manchester 32,427 31,073 1,354 4.2
Stratford 26,759 25,594 1,165 4.4 Mansfield 13,124 12,708 416 3.2
Trumbull 18,461 17,834 627 3.4 Marlborough 3,654 3,538 116 3.2
Weston 5,062 4,931 131 2.6 Middlefield 2,430 2,337 93 3.8
Westport 13,093 12,672 421 3.2 Middletown 26,931 25,800 1,131 4.2
Wilton 8,619 8,349 270 3.1 New Britain 35,075 32,911 2,164 6.2
Woodbridge 5,049 4,894 155 3.1 New Hartford 3,864 3,724 140 3.6
Newington 16,905 16,283 622 3.7
DANBURY 93,401 90,325 3,076 3.3 Plainville 10,245 9,830 415 4.1
Bethel 11,127 10,795 332 3.0 Plymouth 6,971 6,634 337 4.8
Bridgewater 1,068 1,035 33 3.1 Portland 5,453 5,239 214 3.9
Brookfield 9,276 8,951 325 3.5 Rocky Hill 10,895 10,503 392 3.6
Danbury 45,175 43,630 1,545 3.4 Simsbury 12,313 11,932 381 3.1
New Fairfield 7,813 7,552 261 3.3 Southington 24,506 23,604 902 3.7
New Milford 16,725 16,216 509 3.0 South Windsor 15,015 14,545 470 3.1
Sherman 2,216 2,146 70 3.2 Stafford 6,935 6,662 273 3.9
Thomaston 4,731 4,515 216 4.6
ENFIELD 50,412 48,325 2,087 4.1 Tolland 8,475 8,205 270 3.2
East Windsor 6,244 6,008 236 3.8 Union 476 462 14 2.9
Enfield 24,638 23,560 1,078 4.4 Vernon 17,528 16,813 715 4.1
Somers 4,836 4,625 211 4.4 West Hartford 29,948 28,786 1,162 3.9
Suffield 7,498 7,214 284 3.8 Wethersfield 13,598 13,092 506 3.7
Windsor Locks 7,198 6,919 279 3.9 Willington 3,996 3,862 134 3.4
Windsor 16,376 15,734 642 3.9
HARTFORD 591,733 566,174 25,559 4.3
Andover 2,015 1,953 62 3.1
All Labor Market Areas(LMAs) in Connecticut except three are federally-designated areas for developing labor
Ashford 2,653 2,560 93 3.5 statistics. For the sake of simplicity, the federal Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk NECTA is referred to in Connecticut
Avon 9,328 9,051 277 3.0 DOL publications as the ’Bridgeport-Stamford LMA’, and the Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford NECTA is
Barkhamsted 2,265 2,184 81 3.6 referred to as the ’Hartford LMA’. The Bureau of Labor Statistics has identified 17 towns in the northwest part of
Berlin 11,185 10,798 387 3.5 the State as a separate area for reporting labor force data. For the convenience of our data users, these towns are
included in the Torrington LMA. For the same purpuse, five towns which are part of the Springfield, MA area are
Bloomfield 10,205 9,684 521 5.1
published as the ’Enfield LMA’. Similarly the towns of Putnam, Thompson and Woodstock (part of the Worcester,
Bolton 3,110 3,016 94 3.0 MA area), plus four towns estimated separately are included in the Willimantic-Danielson LMA.
Bristol 34,785 33,188 1,597 4.6
Burlington 5,423 5,248 175 3.2
OCTOBER 2007
LMA/TOWNS LABOR FORCE EMPLOYED UNEMPLOYED % LMA/TOWNS LABOR FORCE EMPLOYED UNEMPLOYED %
NEW HAVEN 314,511 300,389 14,122 4.5 TORRINGTON 56,487 54,335 2,152 3.8
Bethany 3,142 3,032 110 3.5 Bethlehem 2,111 2,040 71 3.4
Branford 17,627 16,973 654 3.7 Canaan 630 610 20 3.2
Cheshire 14,915 14,404 511 3.4 Colebrook 864 847 17 2.0
Chester 2,310 2,241 69 3.0 Cornwall 861 841 20 2.3
Clinton 8,073 7,793 280 3.5 Goshen 1,652 1,596 56 3.4
Deep River 2,631 2,541 90 3.4 Kent 1,659 1,610 49 3.0
Durham 4,273 4,155 118 2.8 Litchfield 4,561 4,402 159 3.5
East Haven 16,399 15,604 795 4.8 Morris 1,374 1,311 63 4.6
Essex 3,843 3,732 111 2.9 Norfolk 989 959 30 3.0
Guilford 13,199 12,767 432 3.3 North Canaan 1,811 1,741 70 3.9
Hamden 31,371 30,081 1,290 4.1 Roxbury 1,429 1,390 39 2.7
Killingworth 3,633 3,529 104 2.9 Salisbury 2,079 2,020 59 2.8
Madison 10,253 9,953 300 2.9 Sharon 1,632 1,590 42 2.6
Meriden 32,097 30,450 1,647 5.1 Torrington 20,098 19,197 901 4.5
New Haven 56,508 52,709 3,799 6.7 Warren 764 738 26 3.4
North Branford 8,487 8,176 311 3.7 Washington 2,022 1,959 63 3.1
North Haven 13,307 12,808 499 3.7 Winchester 6,239 5,942 297 4.8
Old Saybrook 5,574 5,371 203 3.6 Woodbury 5,711 5,541 170 3.0
Orange 7,457 7,214 243 3.3
Wallingford 25,643 24,679 964 3.8 WATERBURY 102,753 97,179 5,574 5.4
Westbrook 3,711 3,598 113 3.0 Beacon Falls 3,318 3,166 152 4.6
West Haven 30,057 28,577 1,480 4.9 Middlebury 3,871 3,734 137 3.5
Naugatuck 17,422 16,648 774 4.4
*NORWICH-NEW LONDON Prospect 5,373 5,176 197 3.7
140,008 134,477 5,531 4.0 Waterbury 50,968 47,513 3,455 6.8
Bozrah 1,505 1,444 61 4.1 Watertown 12,632 12,138 494 3.9
Canterbury 3,232 3,108 124 3.8 Wolcott 9,168 8,803 365 4.0
East Lyme 9,781 9,471 310 3.2
Franklin 1,214 1,173 41 3.4 WILLIMANTIC-DANIELSON
Griswold 7,251 6,933 318 4.4 58,634 55,727 2,907 5.0
Groton 20,267 19,474 793 3.9 Brooklyn 3,940 3,746 194 4.9
Ledyard 8,738 8,454 284 3.3 Chaplin 1,456 1,401 55 3.8
Lisbon 2,622 2,535 87 3.3 Eastford 1,001 973 28 2.8
Lyme 1,179 1,143 36 3.1 Hampton 1,211 1,152 59 4.9
Montville 11,100 10,658 442 4.0 Killingly 9,610 9,099 511 5.3
New London 13,890 13,176 714 5.1 Plainfield 8,637 8,183 454 5.3
No. Stonington 3,339 3,230 109 3.3 Pomfret 2,327 2,250 77 3.3
Norwich 21,101 20,068 1,033 4.9 Putnam 5,348 5,056 292 5.5
Old Lyme 4,343 4,200 143 3.3 Scotland 1,012 987 25 2.5
Preston 2,911 2,797 114 3.9 Sterling 2,037 1,947 90 4.4
Salem 2,659 2,573 86 3.2 Thompson 5,491 5,246 245 4.5
Sprague 1,826 1,743 83 4.5 Windham 11,857 11,156 701 5.9
Stonington 10,732 10,413 319 3.0 Woodstock 4,708 4,531 177 3.8
Voluntown 1,649 1,582 67 4.1
Waterford 10,669 10,301 368 3.4
*Connecticut portion only. For whole NECTA, including Rhode Island town, see below. Not Seasonally Adjusted:
NORWICH-NEW LONDON CONNECTICUT 1,891,400 1,811,600 79,800 4.2
153,332 147,298 6,034 3.9 UNITED STATES 153,516,000 146,743,000 6,773,000 4.4
Westerly, RI 13,324 12,821 503 3.8
Labor Force estimates are prepared following statistical procedures developed Seasonally Adjusted:
by the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CONNECTICUT 1,895,200 1,806,800 88,400 4.7
UNITED STATES 153,253,000 146,007,000 7,245,000 4.7
For further information on the housing permit data, contact Kolie Sun of DECD at (860) 270-8167.
INITIAL CLAIMS
Average weekly initial claims are calculated by dividing the total number of new claims for unemployment insurance received in the month by
the number of weeks in the month. A minor change in methodology took effect with data published in the March 1997 issue of the DIGEST.
Data have been revised back to January 1980.
UI COVERED WAGES
UI covered wages is the total amount paid to those employees who are covered under the Connecticuts Unemployment Insurance (UI) law for
services performed during the quarter. The fluctuations in the 1992-93 period reflect the effect of the changes in the tax law and the massive
restructuring in the states economy.
Leading Employment Index .......... +1.2 Business Activity Tourism and Travel
Coincident Employment Index ...... +1.7 New Housing Permits ................... -28.3 Info Center Visitors ......................... -1.5
Leading General Drift Indicator ..... +1.5 Electricity Sales .............................. +8.4 Attraction Visitors ............................ -1.2
Coincident General Drift Indicator +1.8 Retail Sales .................................... -0.6 Air Passenger Count ...................... +2.1
Banknorth Business Barometer ... +2.5 Construction Contracts Index ........ -15.4 Indian Gaming Slots ........................ -8.5
New Auto Registrations .................. +1.8 Travel and Tourism Index .............. +2.8
Total Nonfarm Employment .......... +1.2 Air Cargo Tons ............................... +3.9
Exports .......................................... +8.7 Employment Cost Index (U.S.)
Unemployment Rate ...................... +0.4 Total .............................................. +3.1
Labor Force ................................... +2.3 Business Starts Wages & Salaries .......................... +3.4
Employed ....................................... +1.8 Secretary of the State .................... +4.7 Benefit Costs ................................. +2.4
Unemployed ................................ +11.4 Dept. of Labor ............................... -13.3
Consumer Prices
Average Weekly Initial Claims ....... +5.6 Business Terminations U.S. City Average .......................... +3.5
Help Wanted Index -- Hartford ......... NA Secretary of the State .................. +24.7 Northeast Region ........................... +3.2
Avg Insured Unempl. Rate .......... -0.51* Dept. of Labor ............................... -37.7 NY-NJ-Long Island ......................... +3.1
Boston-Brockton-Nashua ............... +1.5
Average Weekly Hours, Mfg .......... +0.7
Average Hourly Earnings, Mfg ...... +3.6 State Revenues .............................. +5.7 Consumer Confidence
Average Weekly Earnings, Mfg ..... +4.4 Corporate Tax ................................ -39.1 Connecticut ...................................... NA
CT Mfg. Production Index .............. +8.5 Personal Income Tax .................... +15.1 New England ................................... NA
Production Worker Hours ................ -1.2 Real Estate Conveyance Tax .......... +7.5 U.S. ................................................. NA
Industrial Electricity Sales ............ +10.2 Sales & Use Tax ............................. +5.2
Indian Gaming Payments ................. -7.2 Interest Rates
Personal Income ............................ +1.7 *Percentage point change; **Less than 0.05 percent;
Prime ........................................... -0.51*
UI Covered Wages .......................... -1.8 NA = Not Available Conventional Mortgage ............... +0.02*
THE CONNECTICUT
ECONOMIC DIGEST
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