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SDNs: Past, Present, Future

Day 1, SDN and OpenFlow World Congress, Germany 23 October 2012

Michael Howard
Co-founder and Principal Analyst, Carrier Networks Infonetics Research

Overview

From OSI 7 layers to API 3 layers Squeezing transport into a single layer Data centers are contained domains Service provider networks are unconstrained planes Service providers are smitten with SDNs The future for service provider SDNs
2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

Dipping into the Past to See the Future

2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

Period 20202030 20162020 20112015 Inflection 20062010 20012005 19962000 19911995 19851990

Model, Layer API 3-Layer Model API 3-Layer Model API 3-Layer Model OSI model insufficient Services over OSI L07 OSI Layer 47 OSI Layer 34 OSI Layer 2 OSI Layer 1

Focus Self organizing and optimizing networks across multiple carriers Maturing of automated, policydriven, SDN-enabled networks Emergence of SDNs for End to End Services, provisioning, cloud End to End Services; Network as a Service (NaaS) Using network as a service engine Network efficiencies to deliver services Internet, world wide web Ethernet vs Token Ring; Frame Relay vs SMDS Basic network connectivity
Source: Infonetics Research, October, 2012

2012 Infonetics Research, Inc. Infonetics Research: Mobile Backhaul Equipment and Services, Market Size, Share, and Forecasts, March 2012

Beyond OSI 7-Layer to New API 3-Layer Model


OSI 7-Layer Model API 3-Layer Model

Apps/E2E Services OSI L4/5/6/7 OSI L3 OSI L2/2.5 OSI L1 OSI L1 (a.k.a. L0)

API L3 Apps/E2E Services API L2 Network & Cloud Services

Legacy services OTN switching

IP services LSR switching

Routing

OTN Transport (G.709) Wavelength network

API L1 Transport Network

Multi-vendor, multi-layer, multi-equipment types, multi-operator


2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

Squeezing Transport into Single Layer

2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

Transport equipment: Integrating OSI Layers 0/1/2/3

Source: Infonetics white paper, Integrated OTN Switching Virtualizes Optical Networks, June 2012
2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

Service Provider Plans for SDNs

2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

Top Drivers for Carriers Considering SDNs

From July 2012 Infonetics survey of service providers that represent over 1/3 of all global 2011 carrier capex

1. Simplified provisioning 2. Creation of network servicesand virtual


networksnot possible with existing technologies

3. Creation of virtual networks across multivendor equipment


Source: Infonetics, SDNs, 40G/100G, and MPLS Control Plane Strategies: Global Service Provider Survey, July 2012
2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

OpenFlow Is Part of the SDN Neighborhood

Service providers have high hopes for SDNs, and are considering 5 new SDN technologies
1. 2. 3. 4. 5.

OpenFlow BGP-TE PCE IETF SDNP ALTO

Source: Infonetics, SDNs, 40G/100G, and MPLS Control Plane Strategies: Global Service Provider Survey, July 2012
2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

Carrier SDNs Here to Stay, but on Slow Path


Service Providers Have SDNs on Their Minds (July 2012)
100%

81% 80% 76% 38% 43% 60% 71% 67% 38% 33% 52% 33% 40% 43% 33% 20% 19% 33% 33%

Percent of Respondents

0% OpenFlow BGP-TE PCE IETF SDNP ALTO

SDN Technologies
Under consideration Will/may consider

Source: Infonetics, SDNs, 40G/100G, and MPLS Control Plane Strategies: Global Service Provider Survey, July 2012
2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

Contained Domains vs Unconstrained Planes

2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

Contained DomainsData Centers Are Easy

Service providers are smitten and inspired by data center SDNs as proof of concept

3 years of Google resources/investments + Nicira smarts solves operational problems of DC environment SDNs work!

DC is simple contained domainbut service provider networks are much more complex

Much bigger challenge / much bigger payoff

Why SDNs will take time


Source: Infonetics Research, October 2012
2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

The DC Is a Contained Domain for Abstraction


App App App App $1.2B App App App App App

SDN Controller Nicera Vendor 3 Vendor 2 L2 Ethernet

Hypervisor VMWare VMs VMs VMs VMs

Value of abstracting full data center domain


Source: Infonetics Research, October 2012
2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

But Carrier Networks Are Unconstrained Planes


App
Vendor 3 Vendor 2 L4L7 Vendor 3 Vendor 2 L3 Routing Vendor 3 Vendor 2 L2 Ethernet Vendor 3 Vendor 2 L1 OTN SDH SONET Vendor 3 Vendor 2 L0 WDM
Source: Infonetics Research, October 2012
2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

App

App

Multi-layer Multi-vendor
L3 VPNs L2 VPNs Ethernet services VLANs

SDN Controller
Wholesale connections Business connections Mobile backhaul FTTH PON DSL

Multi-equipment types Dare we tackle multioperator?

Bottom Line Q&A

2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

Where SDNs Are Headed


Moving from OSI to API Silicon/optics advances are squeezing transport into a single layer Service provider SDNs will start with contained domains And eventually develop into selforganizing and optimizing networks across multiple carriers
Source: Infonetics Research, October, 2012
2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

THANK YOU
Michael Howard
Co-founder & Principal Analyst, Carrier Networks Infonetics Research +1 408.583.3357 michael@infonetics.com

Reference Slides

2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

Detailed Marching Up the Stack Table


Period 2020-2030 2016-2020 Network Focus New 3-Layer Model New 3-Layer Model Carrier Focus, Technology Advancements * real self organizing and optimizing networks across multi carrier networks * maturity of SDNs, * real automation, policy-driven SDN-enabled networks * multi-operator services End to End Services and cloud * need for network automation within and across networks * emergence of SDNs: automation of multivendor, multilayer, multi-equipment, multi operator * need to view networks from services focus in 3-layer model * Services are most important--operators focus on revenue-bearing, customerretaining services * With focus above the 7 layers, where to next? * Need to use or view "the network" as a service--NaaS * Need new tools, new paradigm, to automate, make dynamic, create new services across single and multi-operator networks * Enter programmable networks, now known as SDNs * Applications and services * How to use the network as a service engine * Manageability of L0-L7 * load balancers L4-7 for data centers * carrier managed services Emergence of Internet, world wide web * War over Layer 2 Ethernet versus Token Ring * for WAN, Frame Relay vs SMDS Carrier focus on basic network connectivity OSI 7-Layer model established as the principal design principle for networks
2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

2011-2015

New 3-Layer Model

Inflection

No where to go within 7-layer model

2006-2010

Services over Layer0-7 Layer4-7 Layer3-4 Layer2 Layer1 7-Layer Model

2001-2005 1996-2000 1991-1995 1985-1990 1985

The 5 new SDN technologies service providers are considering

OpenFlow: Good for operations/provisioning in contained domains BGP-TE: Allows network elements to communicate across IP address domains known as Autonomous Systems (almost every operator has 1 AS of their own) PCE: Allows network elements to see farther to discover network nodes, compute pathways IETF SDNP: Goal is to define applications to network API mechanisms ALTO: Allows network elements to locate cloud resources dynamically
Source: Infonetics, SDNs, 40G/100G, and MPLS Control Plane Strategies: Global Service Provider Survey, July 2012
Infonetics Research: SDNs, 40G/100G, and MPLS Control Plane Strategies: Global Service Provider Survey, July 2012
2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

Beyond OSI 7 Layers to the New 3-Layer API Model


OSI 7-Layer Model
7. 6. 5. 4. 3. 2. 1.

New 3-Layer API Model


3. Applications, End-to-End Services 2. Network & Cloud Services 1. Network Transport

Application Presentation Session Transport Network Data link Physical

Carrier revenue focus on services/apps, not infrastructure Modernize layer structure from OSI 7-layer to API 3-layer model

Applications/E2E Services :: Network and Cloud Services :: Transport

SDNs will help over time to move to 3-layer API model

e.g., IETF SDNP between new L3L2, and OpenFlow for L2L1
Multi-vendor, multi-layer, multi-equipment types, multi-operator
Source: Infonetics Research, October 2012
2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

Likely operations relief drives operators to SDNs for automation

About Infonetics Research


Telecom and datacom market research and consulting for 22 years International - N. America, Europe, Asia offices Leader in tracking communications markets worldwide, defining early markets Accurate and objective Increasing revenue, hiring employees re A throughout the recession e W 94% renewal rate ho

Used by majority of largest equipment vendors, communications silicon vendors Highly influential on Wall Street, used by the largest investment banks in the world Top 10 most quoted analyst firm (higher than many larger peers) Among top 5% for online Inf lue influence, authority, engagement nti and trustworthiness** al

Wh at

We D

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Help clients plan, strategize, and compete via:


Market share, market size, and forecasts Insightful, strategic, and timely analysis Service provider and enterprise buyer surveys Service provider capex and subscriber tracking Custom research, consulting, events, papers

Comprehensive coverage of communications markets, from core infrastructure to client devices Global, regional, and by-country analysis Quickly adapt to market changes Informed from all players in the ecosystem
2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

*Apollo Research. ** Klout and PeerIndex.

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2012 Infonetics Research, Inc.

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