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Friday, 23 August 2013

SHORT AND STOCKY


damien.klassen@wilsonhtm.com.au +61 2 8247 3101

Commentary
During reporting season, short selling has been more interesting at the individual stock
level rather than the macro level with a lot of movements within sectors (see page 2). At
an aggregate level short selling increased slightly in the past week, the most short sold
sector continues to be industrials in both small and large caps.
For the sector focus this week (see bottom right), we have focussed on retail stocks.
The three key take-outs for me are: (1). The level of short selling in the sector is much
higher than other sectors except for SUL where there is little short selling (2). DJS and
MYR stand out with increasing short positions over the past few months whereas short
selling has been falling in most other retail stocks. (3) The level of short selling for HVN
and JBH is still high relative to other stocks in the market, but it has decreased
significantly for both.

1w

1m

Total
Short
Sell1

Change over
1w

1m

Total
Short
Sell1

Flight Centre (FLT)


Sims Metal Mgmt (SGM)
Harvey Norman (HVN)

-3.3%
-0.7%
-0.7%

-4.3% 18.2%
-0.7% 4.9%
-0.6% 14.5%

+1.4% +3.6%
+1.4% +2.3%
+1.2% +1.7%

Paladin Energy (PDN)


Buru Energy (BRU)
JB Hi-Fi (JBH)

-8.6%
-3.3%
-1.9%

-6.5% 7.6%
-3.2% 4.8%
-5.0% 12.4%

+1.6% +0.0%
+0.4% +0.0%
+0.2% +0.2%

3.5%
0.5%
0.2%

Industrials

2.2

Virtus Health Ltd (VRT)


Peet Limited (PPC)
AJ Lucas Group (AJL)

-0.4%
-0.1%
-0.1%

1. All figures based on % Free Float for ASX 100 and Small Ords, otherwise on % Total Market Cap

1.8

Resources

1.6
1.4

1.31

1.2
1.0

Financials
0.85
0.75

REITs&Utilities

0.4
Jun-10

Dec-10

Jun-11

Dec-11

Jun-12

-0.4%
-0.2%
-0.0%

0.0%
0.7%
0.0%

Dec-12

Jun-13

Sector Focus: Retail


% Free % Mkt
Float1
Cap
Code

% Stock
available
to short2

Value
($m)

Days to
cover5

12 Month History
Short Position as % of Free
Float1

12.4

David Jones (DJS)

12.4% 12.4%

91%

181

16.1

Harvey Norman (HVN)

14.5%

61%

235

24.3

9.1
18.3

7.9%

14.5

20.9

JB Hi-Fi (JBH)

12.4% 12.4%

47%

228

16.3

Myer Holdings (MYR)

14.3% 14.3%

81%

217

13.1

Source (all charts): Wilson HTM, ASX, ASIC, S&P, Capital IQ

12.4

10.2
1.0

Super Ret Rep (SUL)

0.7%

0.5%

4%

13

1.7

The Reject Shop (TRS)

6.6%

6.6%

38%

33

12.6

10.6

Equities Research Short and Stocky

2.21

2.0

Current Short Position

+1.5% +2.4% 11.5%


+1.0% +0.6% 3.0%
+0.7% +0.0% 11.4%
5.9%
5.6%
8.0%

Short selling edging lower over the medium


term but up over the last week

2.4

0.6

Change in Short Positions as % of Free Float Market Cap

ASX 100
UGL (UGL)
Arrium (ARI)
Leighton Holdings (LEI)
Small Ords
McMillan Shkspre (MMS)
Billabong (BBG)
Kingsgate Consolid. (KCN)
Outside ASX 300
Steadfast Group Ltd (SDF)
Collection House (CLH)
Resource Generation (RES)

% Index Sold
Short1

0.8

See http://bit.ly/oOzqNf for interactive charts.

Change over

Change in Short Positions by Sector

14.3

0.7

6.6

Issued by Wilson HTM ABN 68 010 529 665 - Australian Financial Services Licence No 238375, a participant of ASX Group and should be read in conjunction with the disclosures and disclaimer in this report. Important disclosures regarding companies that are subject of this
report and an explanation of recommendations can be found at the end of this document.

Heat Maps Current Short Position and Change in Short Position

For an interactive version of these


charts go to http://bit.ly/ubBtfP

Change in Current Short Position ASX 100 over 1 week

Lots of intra sector


moves this week within
industrials

Short positions in QBE and


SUN being bought back

Source (all charts): Wilson HTM, ASX, ASIC, S&P.

Equities Research Short and Stocky

Current Charts: Green = Few open short positions, Red = significant open short positions.

Change Charts: Green = Short covering, Red = short selling.

Heat Maps Current Short Position and Change in Short Position

For an interactive version of these


charts go to http://bit.ly/ubBtfP

Change in Current Short Position Small Ordinaries over 1 week

Short covering in highly shorted


stocks JBH and FXJ a
feature again last week

Source (all charts): Wilson HTM, ASX, ASIC, S&P.

Equities Research Short and Stocky

Current Charts: Green = Few open short positions, Red = significant open short positions.

Change Charts: Green = Short covering, Red = short selling.

Heat Maps Current Short Position and Change in Short Position

For an interactive version of these


charts go to http://bit.ly/ubBtfP

Current Short Position ASX 100

BHP & RIO numbers are


likely skewed by various
trading strategies between
Australia and the UK

Not much shorting in the


larger energy stocks lots in
the smaller ones

Short sellers are not fans


of the smaller banks or QBE
in the financials space

Source (all charts): Wilson HTM, ASX, ASIC, S&P.

Equities Research Short and Stocky

Retailers not
favoured except
for WOW

Current Charts: Green = Few open short positions, Red = significant open short positions.

Change Charts: Green = Short covering, Red = short selling.

Heat Maps Current Short Position and Change in Short Position


Current Short Position Small Ordinaries

Source (all charts): Wilson HTM, ASX, ASIC, S&P.

Equities Research Short and Stocky

For an interactive version of these


charts go to http://bit.ly/ubBtfP

Very mixed in the small caps with


most stocks either red or green
and not many light colours

Current Charts: Green = Few open short positions, Red = significant open short positions.

Change Charts: Green = Short covering, Red = short selling.

Small Caps vs Large Caps


Small Ordinaries by Sector

Small Ordinaries vs ASX 100 over time


% Index Sold
Short1

3.7

Small Ords

3.2

Both small resources and


industrials decreasing over
Industrials
the week

% Index Sold
Short1

Small Ords edging lower but


still close to record levels

4.4
3.24

3.9

3.80

3.4
2.7

2.9

2.2
1.7

ASX 100

1.2

4.1

3.80

Small Industrials

Different directions for small


vs large resources
Small Resources

3.6

3.1

Resources

3.15

2.6
2.21

2.1

Industrials

1.1

2.1
1.6
1.31

1.1

0.6
Jun-10 Sep-10Dec-10Mar-11Jun-11 Sep-11Dec-11Mar-12Jun-12 Sep-12Dec-12Mar-13Jun-13

Equities Research Short and Stocky

REITs&Utilities

0.9

4.1

2.6

1. % of Free Float for ASX 100 and Small Ords

1.87
1.70

% Index Sold
Short1

3.6

1.6

1.9

Resources vs Small Resources over time

Short selling edging off


recent highs in both large
and small industrials

3.1

Resources

0.4
Jun-10Sep-10Dec-10Mar-11Jun-11Sep-11Dec-11Mar-12Jun-12Sep-12Dec-12Mar-13Jun-13

Industrials vs Small Industrials over time


4.6

2.4

1.4
1.21

0.7
Jun-10Sep-10Dec-10Mar-11Jun-11Sep-11Dec-11Mar-12Jun-12Sep-12Dec-12Mar-13Jun-13

% Index Sold
Short1

3.15

Financials

0.6
Jun-10 Sep-10Dec-10Mar-11Jun-11 Sep-11Dec-11Mar-12Jun-12 Sep-12Dec-12Mar-13Jun-13

2. LTCA = Long Term Capital Assets, includes Property, Utilities, Infrastructure. % of index

Source: Wilson HTM, ASX, ASIC, S&P

Caution needed
Days to Cover ASX 100

Days to Cover Small Ords


Energy
Reso urces
Industrials
Financials
P ro perty
Utilities

Stocks
below 2
days to
cover not
shown see
appendix for
individual
stocks

% of Stock Borrowed but not sold Short

Latest Short Sell / Stock Available to be lent (as at last quarter)


75%
News Corp. (NNC)
Kingsgate Consolid. (KCN)
Billabong (BBG)
Monadelphous Group (MND)
Bandanna Energy (BND)
Aquila Resources (AQA)
Bathurst Res NZ Ltd (BRL)
Fortescue Metals Grp (FMG)
Whitehaven Coal (WHC)
Lynas Corporation (LYC)
Gindalbie Metals Ltd (GBG)
Buru Energy (BRU)
Ausdrill Limited (ASL)
Cockatoo Coal (COK)
Beadell Resource Ltd (BDR)
Western Areas Ltd (WSA)
Fairfax Media Ltd (FXJ)
St Barbara Limited (SBM)
Starpharma Holdings (SPL)
David Jones Limited (DJS)
Linc Energy Ltd (LNC)
Leighton Holdings (LEI)
Evolution Mining Ltd (EVN)

Latest Short Sell / Stock Available

These are stocks where the


latest short sales position
compared to the amount
of stock available to be
lent (at last quarter) is
the greatest, i.e. these are
the stocks it is probably hard
to find stock to borrow if
you want to short sell

100%

(Latest Stock Borrow - Latest Short Position)/ Free Float Mkt Cap
0%
2%
4%
6%
Northern Iron Ltd (NFE)
Galaxy Resources (GXY)
TABCORP Holdings Ltd (TAH)
Sundance Resources (SDL)
Indophil Resources (IRN)
GrainCorp Limited (GNC)
Tap Oil Limited (TAP)
Commonwealth Prop (CPA)
Aurizon Holdings Ltd (AZJ)
Alacer Gold Corp. (AQG)
Linc Energy Ltd (LNC)
Forge Group Limited (FGE)
Flinders Mines Ltd (FMS)
ResMed Inc. (RMD)
Challenger Limited (CGF)
Domino Pizza Enterpr (DMP)
Thorn Group Limited (TGA)
APA Group (APA)
Henderson Group (HGG)
Inova Resources Ltd (IVA)
Macq Atlas Roads Grp (MQA)
Lend Lease Group (LLC)
Credit Corp Group (CCP)

8%

These are stocks where the


reported amount of stock
borrowed or lent is greater than
the amount of stock reported as
sold short, which reflects stocks
that are ready to be short sold
(or data integrity issues)

Source: Wilson HTM, ASX, ASIC, S&P, IRESS

Equities Research Short and Stocky

Caution needed
Highest and lowest short positions

Stocks with: increasing shorting, underperformance, close to max lending


Short Sales

Chang Total
e over Short
1w
Sell1

Chang
e over
1w

Total
Short
Sell1

ASX 100
Flight Centre (FLT)

-3.3% 18.2%

Duet (DUE)

-0.0%

0.0%

Whitehaven Coal (WHC)

+0.1% 17.4%

GrainCorp (GNC)

+0.0%

0.0%

Harvey Norman (HVN)

-0.7% 14.5%

Aurizon Holdings (AZJ)

-0.1%

0.1%

Myer Holdings (MYR)

+0.3% 14.3%

Twenty-First FOX Inc (FOX)

+0.1%

0.1%

Monadelphous (MND)

+0.6% 13.1%

Transurban (TCL)

-0.1%

0.1%

David Jones (DJS)

+0.6% 12.4%

Henderson (HGG)

+0.0%

0.1%

UGL (UGL)

+1.5% 11.5%

Telstra Corporation. (TLS)

-0.0%

0.1%

Leighton Holdings (LEI)

+0.7% 11.4%

Brambles (BXB)

+0.0%

0.2%

Lynas Corporation (LYC)

+0.1% 10.4%

Mirvac (MGR)

-0.1%

0.2%

Metcash (MTS)

+0.1% 10.2%

Lend Lease (LLC)

+0.0%

0.2%

Fairfax Media (FXJ)

-0.7% 16.6%

Flexi(FXL)

+0.0%

0.00%

Wotif.com Holdings (WTF)

-0.2% 15.9%

Challenger Div.Pro. (CDI)

+0.0%

0.00%

Western Areas (WSA)

+0.1% 13.1%

Elemental Minerals (ELM)

-0.0%

0.00%

JB Hi-Fi (JBH)

-1.9% 12.4%

Astro Jap Prop (AJA)

+0.0%

0.01%

Cabcharge Australia (CAB)

-0.0% 10.5%

Chorus (CNU)

+0.0%

0.02%

Bradken (BKN)

+0.3%

9.8%

Kathmandu Hold (KMD)

+0.0%

0.02%

Nufarm (NUF)

+0.1%

9.4%

MACA (MLD)

-0.0%

0.02%

Boart Longyear (BLY)

-0.6%

9.2%

CSG (CSV)

+0.0%

0.03%

Mesoblast (MSB)

+0.8%

9.1%

Thorn (TGA)

+0.0%

0.04%

Virgin Aus Hldg (VAH)

+0.8%

8.8%

Credit Corp (CCP)

-0.0%

0.05%

Gunns Limited (GNS)

+0.0%

6.1%

Elders Limited (ELD)

+0.0%

4.0%

Steadfast Group Ltd (SDF)

+1.6%

3.5%

Eservglobal Limited (ESV)

+0.0%

2.9%

Aquarius Platinum. (AQP)

-0.1%

1.5%

FAR Ltd (FAR)

-0.0%

Mortgage Choice Ltd (MOC)

+0.0%

News Corp. (NNCLV)

+0.0%

0.8%

Qrxpharma Ltd (QRX)

-0.0%

0.8%

ASG Group Limited (ASZ)

-0.0%

0.7%

As % of
Free Float

1m Change

As % of
stock
available
to short

% Free
Float

Share
Price

Trading
Days to
cover
short
position

UGL (UGL)
Cochlear (COH)
G.U.D. Holdings (GUD)
Virgin Aus Hldg (VAH)
BWP Trust (BWP)
Metcash (MTS)
Horizon Oil (HZN)
Gindalbie Metals (GBG)
Energy Resources (ERA)
Whitehaven Coal (WHC)
Cudeco (CDU)
McMillan Shakespeare (MMS)
Cabcharge Australia (CAB)
Maverick Drilling (MAD)
Nufarm (NUF)
Sca Property (SCP)

11.5%
10.2%
8.5%
8.8%
3.0%
10.2%
6.0%
5.8%
7.6%
17.4%
5.0%
5.9%
10.5%
2.6%
9.4%
5.2%

85%
74%
80%
59%
63%
72%
43%
115%
38%
119%
64%
24%
70%
46%
51%
61%

+2.4%
+2.1%
+0.9%
+1.3%
+1.6%
+1.7%
+0.7%
+0.5%
+1.5%
+0.3%
+0.6%
+3.6%
+0.3%
+0.3%
+1.1%
+0.1%

-7%
-8%
-9%
-11%
-8%
-4%
-13%
-6%
-6%
-6%
-7%
-25%
-4%
-17%
-1%
-6%

10.4
13.7
15.4
10.8
9.1
13.2
16.3
6.6
24.1
17.0
7.1
5.6
23.4
4.6
16.2
12.5

Discovery Metals (DML)


Mesoblast (MSB)
Ten Network Holdings (TEN)
Aquila Resources (AQA)

3.0%
9.1%
8.0%
8.2%

39%
57%
47%
123%

+0.3%
+5.5%
+0.3%
+0.8%

-15%
+3%
-2%
+4%

1.3
25.5
12.2
24.1

0.9%

Emeco Holdings (EHL)


Bathurst Res NZ (BRL)
Adelaide Brighton (ABC)
Coca-Cola Amatil (CCL)

3.4%
6.4%
4.4%
2.7%

19%
123%
47%
29%

+1.1%
+0.3%
+0.9%
+1.0%

-25%
+0%
+1%
-4%

2.3
3.2
8.1
4.6

0.9%

Singapore Telecomm. (SGT)

3.6%

32%

+3.2%

-2%

2.4

Small Ords

Outside ASX 300

All figures based on % Free Float for ASX 100 and Small Ords, otherwise on % Total Market Cap
Source: Wilson HTM, ASX, ASIC, S&P, IRESS

Equities Research Short and Stocky

Change in Short Position vs Change in Share Price


ASX 100: 1 month change in share price vs 1 month change in Short Position

Corner for short


covering rallies

Prices in this corner


rallying despite
increased short
selling

This chart is intended to highlight


stocks where recent performance
may have been affected by short
selling.
The size of the bubble represents
the latest reported open short
position as a % of market cap and
the colour of the bubbles indicates
the sector.

Prices in this corner


falling despite
short covering
Source: Wilson HTM, ASX, ASIC, S&P, IRESS

Prices in this corner


maybe driven by short
selling?

Notes: Values on the edge of the graph have been scaled to fit. For an interactive version of this chart which shows how these
positions change over time, go to http://bit.ly/nKuuOH

Equities Research Short and Stocky

Change in Short Position vs Change in Share Price


Small Ordinaries: 1 month change in share price vs 1 month change in Short Position

Prices in this
corner rallying
despite
increased short
selling

Corner for short


covering rallies

This chart is intended to highlight


stocks where recent performance
may have been affected by short
selling.
The size of the bubble represents
the latest reported open short
position as a % of market cap and
the colour of the bubbles indicates
the sector.

Prices in this corner


falling despite
short covering

Prices in this
corner maybe
driven by short
selling?

Source: Wilson HTM, ASX, ASIC, S&P, IRESS

Notes: Values on the edge of the graph have been scaled to fit. For an interactive version of this chart which shows how these
positions change over time, go to http://bit.ly/nKuuOH
Equities Research Short and Stocky

10

Data Tables
Current Short Position
% Free
Float1
Code

Chg in Short
Position3

% Mkt
% Stock
Value
Cap available to ($m)
short2

One
week

One
month

One Month
Change
Share
Price

Days to
cover5

FY1
EPS4
F'cast

% stock
loaned
not
short6

12 Month History
Short Position as % of Free
Float1

0.3

Abacus Property (ABP)

0.2%

0.1%

2%

1 -0.0%

-0.1%

-4%

0%

0.5

0.2

Abm Resources NL (ABU)

0.2%

0.2%

18%

0 +0.0%

+0.1%

+3%

0%

1.0

0.4

0.1

Acrux (ACR)

5.5%

5.5%

33%

30 -0.1%

+0.2%

-1%

0%

10.3

N/A

1.4

Adelaide Brighton (ABC)

4.4%

3.1%

47%

65 +0.0%

+0.9%

+1%

-0%

8.1

N/A

AGL Energy (AGK)

0.9%

0.9%

10%

73 -0.1%

-0.0%

-5%

0%

2.7

N/A

0.2

Ainsworth Game Tech. (AGI)

0.6%

0.2%

5%

3 +0.0%

+0.1%

+5%

0%

1.3

N/A

0.0

Alacer Gold Corp. (AQG)

1.0%

1.0%

12%

3 -0.3%

-0.5%

+29% +135%

1.4

2.9

0.2

0.2
0.2

5.5
4.4

2.1

0.9

0.6
1.0

2.4

Alkane Resources (ALK)

1.0%

0.8%

12%

1 -0.1%

-0.1%

-19%

0%

4.2

1.0

Als (ALQ)

9.0%

9.0%

79%

293 +0.2%

-1.0%

+0%

-0%

16.3

N/A

Alumina (AWC)

7.3%

6.3%

30%

180 +0.4%

-0.7%

-1%

0%

12.1

N/A

Amcom Telecomm. (AMM)

0.5%

0.4%

4%

2 -0.1%

-0.5%

+7%

-1%

1.2

N/A

Amcor (AMC)

0.3%

0.3%

3%

39 +0.0%

+0.1%

+3%

+0%

0.8

0.7

AMP (AMP)

0.9%

0.9%

11%

123 +0.1%

+0.2%

+3%

+1%

2.0

N/A

Ampella Mining (AMX)

0.3%

0.3%

20%

0 +0.0%

+0.1%

+20%

0%

0.7

N/A

Ansell (ANN)

7.7%

7.7%

69%

184 -0.2%

-0.7%

-3%

-0%

11.7

N/A

ANZ Banking Grp (ANZ)

0.4%

0.4%

4%

360 -0.0%

-0.0%

+2%

0%

1.5

0.1

APA (APA)

1.4%

1.4%

15%

69 +0.0%

-1.4%

-0%

-2%

3.4

1.4

1.0
9.0

8.1

7.3

0.0

0.5

0.4

0.3
0.9

0.4
2.3
0.3
7.7
4.3
0.4

0.4

3.0

1.4

5.1

4.2

APN News & Media (APN)

4.2%

2.8%

24%

7 -0.0%

+0.1%

+32%

+4%

10.3

N/A

Aquila Resources (AQA)

8.2%

3.7%

123%

33 +0.4%

+0.8%

+4%

0%

24.1

N/A

3.5

ARB Corporation (ARP)

1.3%

1.1%

17%

11 +0.1%

+0.6%

-4%

-3%

7.3

N/A

0.1

Ardent Leisure (AAD)

0.8%

0.8%

5%

5 +0.0%

-0.5%

-6%

-1%

2.2

0.0

0.2

Aristocrat Leisure (ALL)

1.7%

1.6%

7%

38 +0.0%

+0.3%

-2%

+1%

3.9

N/A

Arrium (ARI)

3.0%

2.8%

26%

40 +1.0%

+0.6%

+8%

-3%

3.8

N/A

Asciano (AIO)

2.0%

2.0%

12%

105 +0.0%

+0.1%

+1%

+0%

4.2

N/A

0.6

Aspen (APZ)

0.1%

0.1%

0%

0 +0.0%

+0.1%

-9%

0.4

0.0

0.0

0.1

Astro Jap Prop (AJA)

0.0%

0.0%

0%

0 +0.0%

+0.0%

-0%

0%

0.1

N/A

0.0

0.0

ASX (ASX)

1.0%

1.0%

7%

71 -0.0%

-0.2%

+3%

0%

2.6

N/A

1.8

1.0

Atlas Iron (AGO)

5.2%

4.8%

56%

42 +0.7%

+1.0%

+10%

0%

2.5

N/A

Aurizon Holdings (AZJ)

0.1%

0.1%

0%

6 -0.1%

-0.1%

+1%

+0%

0.1

3.1

Aurora Oil & Gas (AUT)

1.3%

1.3%

13%

19 +0.1%

-0.4%

-5%

+2%

2.6

0.4

Ausdrill (ASL)

7.8%

6.9%

110%

30 -1.7%

+0.2%

+21%

-2%

4.6

N/A

0.7

Ausenco (AAX)

1.5%

1.2%

9%

2 -0.3%

+0.1%

-20%

-55%

1.9

N/A

0.5

8.2

1.3

0.8

4.9
1.7

3.0

2.4

2.0

5.2

1.0
0.5

1.6

0.1
1.3
7.8
1.5

Notes 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 : See page 21 for details / heading descriptions


Equities Research - Short and Stocky

0.0

0.6

11

Data Tables
Current Short Position
% Free
Float1
Code

Chg in Short
Position3

% Mkt
% Stock
Value
Cap available to ($m)
short2

One
week

One
month

One Month
Change
Share
Price

Days to
cover5

FY1
EPS4
F'cast

% stock
loaned
not
short6

12 Month History
Short Position as % of Free
Float1

Austin Engineering (ANG)

0.6%

0.5%

14%

2 +0.0%

-0.7%

+20%

0%

2.4

0.1

0.3
0.0

Australand Property (ALZ)

0.5%

0.2%

4%

4 +0.0%

+0.1%

-5%

-1%

1.2

0.3

0.2

Australian Agricult. (AAC)

1.4%

1.0%

9%

3 +0.1%

+0.2%

-10%

0%

6.7

N/A

0.2

Automotive Holdings (AHE)

0.3%

0.2%

2%

2 +0.0%

-0.1%

+11%

-1%

0.9

0.3

0.0

AWE (AWE)

0.2%

0.2%

2%

2 -0.0%

-0.1%

-10%

+9%

0.5

0.2

Bandanna Energy (BND)

6.0%

4.1%

133%

4 -0.3%

-0.5%

+63%

0%

16.4

N/A

Bank of Queensland. (BOQ)

2.0%

2.0%

19%

63 -0.0%

-0.4%

+6%

+2%

3.1

N/A

Base Res (BSE)

0.9%

0.7%

9%

2 +0.0%

+0.0%

+3%

0%

9.4

0.2

Bathurst Res NZ (BRL)

6.4%

6.4%

123%

8 +0.3%

+0.3%

+0%

0%

3.2

N/A

BC Iron (BCI)

0.6%

0.5%

6%

2 +0.1%

+0.2%

+11%

+3%

1.4

0.1

Beach Energy (BPT)

1.8%

1.8%

10%

31 -0.1%

+0.1%

-2%

0%

2.9

0.5

Beadell Resource (BDR)

7.5%

7.5%

107%

48 +0.6%

-0.8%

+16%

-11%

9.0

N/A

1.9

Bendigo and Adelaide (BEN)

3.3%

3.3%

37%

142 -0.0%

+0.1%

+2%

0%

9.1

N/A

2.5

BHP Billiton (BHP)

0.4%

0.4%

4%

498 +0.1%

+0.1%

+9%

+1%

1.5

0.3

0.2

Billabong (BBG)

5.6%

4.8%

185%

12 +1.4%

+2.3%

+35%

0%

3.6

0.5

1.6

Blackthorn Resources (BTR)

0.3%

0.3%

6%

0 -0.1%

+0.0%

+77%

0%

0.5

0.2

0.0

BlueScope Steel (BSL)

0.6%

0.5%

3%

16 +0.2%

-0.3%

+8%

+3%

0.8

0.6

Boart Longyear (BLY)

9.2%

9.2%

46%

25 -0.6%

+0.1%

+7%

-244%

3.3

N/A

1.8

Boom Logistics (BOL)

0.0%

0.0%

0%

0 +0.0%

+0.0%

-22%

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.2
0.6
0.5
1.4

0.8

1.3
3.7

0.3

0.2
6.0

2.0
0.9

0.1
6.4

0.6

0.0
2.0

1.8
7.5

3.3

0.4
5.6

1.4

0.3

0.6
9.2

6.1

Boral (BLD)

7.3%

7.3%

38%

248 -0.3%

+0.9%

+1%

0%

10.5

N/A

Bradken (BKN)

9.8%

9.8%

71%

95 +0.3%

+1.4%

+21%

+3%

11.3

N/A

Brambles (BXB)

0.2%

0.2%

1%

22 +0.0%

+0.1%

+1%

-1%

0.4

0.5

Breville (BRG)

6.4%

4.5%

37%

43 -0.3%

-0.7%

-4%

0%

8.8

N/A

0.1

Buru Energy (BRU)

4.8%

3.6%

112%

20 -3.3%

-3.2%

+3%

0%

9.5

N/A

5.7

BWP Trust (BWP)

3.0%

2.4%

63%

31 +0.9%

+1.6%

-8%

-1%

9.1

N/A

0.5

10.5%

9.7%

70%

50 -0.0%

+0.3%

-4%

0%

23.4

N/A

4.6

Caltex Australia (CTX)

1.3%

0.6%

8%

31 -0.0%

-0.2%

-6%

+1%

1.7

N/A

Cape Lambert Res (CFE)

0.1%

0.1%

4%

0 +0.1%

+0.1%

+6%

0%

0.5

0.7

0.1

Cardno (CDD)

7.2%

7.2%

73%

64 -0.1%

-0.2%

+11%

+1%

20.0

N/A

0.5

Carsales.Com (CRZ)

1.0%

0.9%

5%

23 -0.0%

+0.0%

+18%

+2%

2.7

N/A

Cash Converters (CCV)

1.0%

0.7%

8%

4 -0.0%

-0.0%

+7%

0%

2.4

N/A

0.0

Central Petroleum (CTP)

0.0%

0.0%

2%

0 +0.0%

-0.0%

+12%

0%

0.1

0.1

0.0

0.0
7.3
9.8

2.2
0.4

0.2
6.4

4.8
3.0
10.5

Cabcharge Australia (CAB)

3.1

1.3
0.1
7.2

9.0

1.0
1.0

Notes 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 : See page 21 for details / heading descriptions


Equities Research - Short and Stocky

2.1

0.0
3.0

12

Data Tables
Current Short Position
% Free
Float1
Code

Chg in Short
Position3

% Mkt
% Stock
Value
Cap available to ($m)
short2

One
week

One
month

One Month
Change
Share
Price

Days to
cover5

FY1
EPS4
F'cast

% stock
loaned
not
short6

12 Month History
Short Position as % of Free
Float1

0.3
2.1

3.0
0.2

CFS Retail Trust Grp (CFX)

3.0%

2.5%

17%

147 +0.1%

+0.4%

+6%

0%

6.4

N/A

Challenger (CGF)

0.6%

0.6%

4%

13 -0.1%

+0.1%

+5%

0%

1.1

1.9

Challenger Div.Pro. (CDI)

0.0%

0.0%

0%

0 +0.0%

+0.0%

+1%

-2%

0.0

0.1

0.0

0.0

Charter Hall (CHC)

0.2%

0.1%

2%

1 +0.0%

-0.1%

-6%

+0%

0.4

0.4

0.1

0.2

Charter Hall Retail (CQR)

1.5%

1.3%

20%

17 +0.2%

+0.4%

-3%

0%

3.6

N/A

0.3

1.5

Chorus (CNU)

0.0%

0.0%

1%

0 +0.0%

+0.0%

+11%

0%

0.2

0.1

Clough (CLO)

0.4%

0.1%

3%

2 +0.2%

-2.0%

+22%

0%

0.8

0.9

Coalspur Mines (CPL)

2.1%

1.5%

76%

3 -0.0%

-0.1%

-5%

0%

5.6

N/A

Coca-Cola Amatil (CCL)

2.7%

1.9%

29%

186 +0.2%

+1.0%

-4%

-1%

4.6

N/A

10.2% 10.2%

74%

337 +0.6%

+2.1%

-8%

+9%

13.7

N/A

2.3

0.6

0.2

0.0
2.9

0.0
0.4
2.1
2.7

0.9
10.4

Cochlear (COH)

10.2

2.1

Cockatoo Coal (COK)

1.4%

1.1%

109%

1 +0.1%

+0.2%

+15%

0%

3.2

N/A

Codan (CDA)

0.7%

0.5%

33%

2 -0.5%

+0.2%

+24%

0%

0.9

N/A

0.0

Collection House (CLH)

0.5%

0.5%

32%

1 ##### +53.0%

0%

2.5

N/A

0.0

Collins Foods (CKF)

0.6%

0.6%

7%

1 +0.0%

-1.0%

+4%

0%

3.5

N/A

0.0

Commonwealth Bank. (CBA)

0.8%

0.8%

9%

943 -0.0%

+0.1%

+3%

+5%

3.3

N/A

Commonwealth Prop (CPA)

1.7%

1.7%

23%

47 -0.1%

-0.4%

+5%

0%

3.6

3.4

Computershare (CPU)

1.8%

1.7%

14%

94 +0.4%

+0.4%

-1%

-9%

3.9

N/A

Corp Travel (CTD)

0.3%

0.3%

14%

1 +2.0%

+5.0%

+4%

0%

1.6

0.0

Credit Corp (CCP)

0.0%

0.0%

1%

0 -0.0%

-0.1%

+5%

+3%

0.2

1.2

Cromwell Prop (CMW)

0.1%

0.1%

1%

1 +0.0%

+0.0%

+2%

0%

0.3

Crowe Horwath Aus (CRH)

0.4%

0.4%

3%

1 -4.0% -20.0%

-4%

0%

Crown (CWN)

1.1%

0.6%

8%

58 +0.0%

+0.4%

+6%

CSG (CSV)

0.0%

0.0%

1%

0 +0.0%

-0.1%

+0%

1.4
0.7
0.5

0.6
1.3

1.2

1.6

0.8
1.7

1.8
0.3

0.1

0.0

0.1

0.0

0.1

1.4

N/A

0.0

0.4

0%

2.8

N/A

1.0

1.1

0%

0.1

0.5

0.5

0.0

0.9

CSL (CSL)

0.2%

0.2%

2%

57 -0.1%

-0.2%

-2%

-5%

0.6

0.4

CSR (CSR)

7.2%

7.2%

31%

82 +0.2%

+0.0%

+3%

0%

10.7

N/A

Cudeco (CDU)

5.0%

3.8%

64%

13 +0.6%

+0.6%

-7%

7.1

N/A

Dart Energy (DTE)

2.1%

1.8%

31%

2 +0.0%

+0.1%

+9%

0%

3.9

N/A

12.4% 12.4%

91%

181 +0.6%

+0.8%

+11%

0%

16.1

N/A

0.2
9.3
4.1

2.5

7.2
5.0

2.1
12.4

David Jones (DJS)


Decmil (DCG)

2.4%

2.0%

34%

7 +0.0%

-0.9%

+3%

0%

5.5

N/A

Dexus Property (DXS)

0.3%

0.3%

3%

16 +0.0%

+0.0%

-4%

0%

0.6

0.3

Discovery Metals (DML)

3.0%

2.7%

39%

2 +0.1%

+0.3%

-15%

0%

1.3

N/A

Domino Pizza Enterpr (DMP)

0.7%

0.5%

5%

5 +0.0%

+0.1%

+17%

+3%

2.0

1.7

Notes 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 : See page 21 for details / heading descriptions


Equities Research - Short and Stocky

9.1

0.4

2.4

0.3

0.3

3.4

3.0

0.4
1.9

0.7

2.6

13

Data Tables
Current Short Position
% Free
Float1
Code

Chg in Short
Position3

% Mkt
% Stock
Value
Cap available to ($m)
short2

One
week

One
month

One Month
Change
Share
Price

Days to
cover5

FY1
EPS4
F'cast

% stock
loaned
not
short6

12 Month History
Short Position as % of Free
Float1

0.3
1.9

2.6
0.2

Downer EDI (DOW)

2.6%

2.6%

18%

46 +0.3%

+0.6%

+8%

-7%

3.2

N/A

Drillsearch Energy (DLS)

4.0%

3.7%

33%

22 -0.1%

-0.3%

+5%

0%

7.5

N/A

1.1

Duet (DUE)

0.0%

0.0%

0%

1 -0.0%

-0.2%

-9%

-17%

0.1

0.1

0.7

0.0

Dulux(DLX)

0.9%

0.9%

8%

15 -0.1%

-0.5%

-1%

0%

1.8

N/A

2.5

0.9

Echo Entertainment (EGP)

0.4%

0.4%

2%

8 +0.2%

-0.1%

-1%

-1%

0.4

0.3

0.7

0.4

Elemental Minerals (ELM)

0.0%

0.0%

0%

0 -0.0%

+0.0%

-2%

0%

0.0

0.0

0.1

0.0

Emeco Holdings (EHL)

3.4%

3.4%

19%

4 -0.4%

+1.1%

-25%

0%

2.3

N/A

1.3

Endeavour Min Corp (EVR)

0.3%

0.3%

6%

0 -0.2%

+0.2%

+56%

-132%

0.4

0.2

0.1

Energy Resources (ERA)

7.6%

2.4%

38%

18 -0.1%

+1.5%

-6%

0%

24.1

N/A

4.5

Energy World Corpor. (EWC)

3.3%

1.5%

18%

14 +0.2%

-0.1%

+7%

14.3

N/A

2.3

4.0

3.4

0.3
7.6

3.3

2.1

Envestra (ENV)

0.6%

0.3%

8%

7 -0.0%

-0.6%

-0%

0%

1.8

0.2

Evolution Mining (EVN)

6.1%

4.1%

86%

26 -0.3%

-0.1%

+28%

-13%

8.7

N/A

0.8

16.6% 14.5%

96%

186 -0.7%

-2.5%

+8%

0%

19.2

N/A

12.7

1%

0 -1.0%

-4.0%

-8%

0%

0.3

0.1

0.6
6.1

Fairfax Media (FXJ)


Fantastic Holdings (FAN)

0.0%

0.0%

0.0

16.6

0.0

2.0

Federation Cntres (FDC)

0.4%

0.4%

3%

12 +0.1%

+0.1%

-3%

-1%

0.7

0.2

Finbar (FRI)

0.0%

0.0%

0%

0 +0.0%

+0.0%

-3%

0%

0.0

0.1

FKP Property (FKP)

4.9%

2.9%

29%

13 +0.3%

+0.8%

+4%

+6%

9.2

N/A

Fleetwood Corp (FWD)

4.9%

4.0%

59%

10 -0.1%

+0.2%

+1%

-1%

3.8

N/A

Fletcher Building (FBU)

0.6%

0.6%

12%

29 -0.1%

+0.1%

+1%

0%

2.6

N/A

Flexi(FXL)

0.0%

0.0%

0%

0 +0.0%

+0.0%

-2%

+2%

0.0

0.6

0.4
0.0

0.0

5.9

4.9

0.4

4.9

1.5

Flight Centre (FLT)

0.6
0.1
23.8

18.2% 10.1%

65%

437 -3.3%

-4.3%

-1%

0%

18.1

N/A

Flinders Mines (FMS)

0.3%

0.3%

5%

0 +0.0%

+0.1%

+4%

0%

0.9

2.2

0.1

Focus Minerals (FML)

0.8%

0.4%

32%

1 +0.1%

+0.2%

+33%

0%

1.9

N/A

0.0

Forge (FGE)

1.0%

1.0%

7%

4 +0.2%

-0.2%

+3%

0%

1.0

2.2

0.7

Fortescue Metals Grp (FMG)

9.8%

5.4%

120%

673 -0.4%

-0.6%

+8%

+5%

7.8

N/A

G.U.D. Holdings (GUD)

8.5%

8.5%

80%

36 -0.1%

+0.9%

-9%

0%

15.4

N/A

2.0

G8 Education (GEM)

1.2%

1.1%

9%

8 +0.1%

+0.0%

+4%

0%

2.9

N/A

0.0

Galaxy Resources (GXY)

1.0%

0.8%

12%

1 +0.1%

+0.2%

+0%

7.6

6.4

Gindalbie Metals (GBG)

5.8%

3.7%

115%

9 +0.3%

+0.5%

-6%

0%

6.6

N/A

Goodman (GMG)

0.2%

0.2%

2%

17 +0.1%

-0.0%

-0%

-0%

0.5

0.4

Goodman Fielder. (GFF)

2.9%

2.6%

12%

36 -0.3%

-0.3%

-1%

+5%

6.0

N/A

GPT (GPT)

0.3%

0.2%

1%

15 +0.1%

+0.1%

-3%

-0%

0.5

0.0

12.2

0.0
18.2
0.3
0.8

1.0

9.8
8.5

1.4

Notes 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 : See page 21 for details / heading descriptions


Equities Research - Short and Stocky

1.2
1.0

6.9

5.8

0.0

0.2

2.3
0.4

1.0

2.9

0.3

0.0

14

Data Tables
Current Short Position
% Free
Float1
Code

Chg in Short
Position3

% Mkt
% Stock
Value
Cap available to ($m)
short2

One
week

One
month

One Month
Change
Share
Price

Days to
cover5

FY1
EPS4
F'cast

% stock
loaned
not
short6

GrainCorp (GNC)

0.0%

0.0%

0%

1 +0.0%

-0.0%

-0%

0%

0.1

3.8

Grange Resources. (GRR)

1.5%

0.5%

38%

1 +0.2%

+0.1%

+15%

0%

3.9

0.1

Greenland Min En (GGG)

1.1%

1.0%

76%

1 +0.0%

+0.0%

+26%

0%

8.4

N/A

Gryphon Minerals (GRY)

3.0%

3.0%

35%

2 +0.2%

-0.1%

+34%

0%

2.7

N/A

GWA (GWA)
Harvey Norman (HVN)

12 Month History
Short Position as % of Free
Float1

0.3
1.0

0.2
0.0
1.5

0.6
1.0
5.0
5.3

4.6%

4.4%

31%

34 -0.2%

-0.1%

+1%

+1%

14.4

N/A

14.5%

7.9%

61%

235 -0.7%

-0.6%

+14%

-1%

24.3

N/A

18.3

0.9

Henderson (HGG)

0.1%

0.1%

1%

3 +0.0%

-0.0%

+6%

+13%

0.2

1.3

Hillgrove Res (HGO)

0.2%

0.2%

5%

0 -0.0%

+0.1%

+10%

+23%

1.0

0.0

Hills Holdings (HIL)

0.1%

0.1%

2%

0 +0.0%

-0.0%

+8%

0%

0.5

0.1

Horizon Oil (HZN)

6.0%

5.3%

43%

22 -0.2%

+0.7%

-13%

-88%

16.3

N/A

2.5

iiNet (IIN)

3.2%

2.1%

20%

22 +0.9%

+1.7%

+14%

-0%

4.4

N/A

0.2

Iluka Resources (ILU)

9.0%

9.0%

57%

425 -0.3%

-1.6%

+5%

0%

10.8

N/A

9.6

Imdex (IMD)

1.8%

1.8%

22%

3 -0.3%

-0.5%

-4%

+8%

2.0

0.4

0.2

IMF (Australia) (IMF)

1.4%

1.2%

12%

3 +0.1%

+0.2%

+5%

0%

3.7

N/A

0.0

Incitec Pivot (IPL)

1.2%

1.2%

9%

52 +0.1%

+0.2%

-2%

-6%

1.7

N/A

0.2

Independence (IGO)

2.5%

2.5%

23%

20 -0.5%

-0.4%

+12%

-28%

6.6

N/A

Indophil Resources (IRN)

0.3%

0.2%

2%

1 +0.2%

+0.2%

+5%

1.8

4.4

Infigen Energy (IFN)

0.5%

0.5%

10%

1 -0.0%

+0.1%

+11%

0%

5.2

N/A

Inova Resources (IVA)

0.5%

0.2%

8%

0 +0.0%

+0.1%

-3%

0%

1.3

1.3

Insurance Australia (IAG)

0.4%

0.4%

3%

44 +0.0%

+0.1%

-1%

0%

1.1

0.2

0.1

Intrepid Mines (IAU)

4.3%

4.0%

64%

6 +0.2%

+0.1%

+2%

0%

8.6

N/A

1.5

Investa Office Fund (IOF)

0.2%

0.2%

2%

4 -0.0%

-0.1%

-5%

0%

0.5

1.2

0.6
1.5

1.1

3.0
4.6

14.5
0.1
0.2

0.1
6.0
3.2

9.0
1.8
1.4

1.2

5.1

2.5

0.1
0.5

0.3
0.5

1.9
0.5

0.4
4.3

InvoCare (IVC)

3.1%

3.1%

33%

40 -0.0%

+0.3%

-3%

0%

10.0

N/A

IOOF Holdings (IFL)

1.1%

1.0%

10%

19 +0.1%

-0.0%

+12%

-0%

3.4

N/A

IRESS (IRE)

1.6%

1.3%

10%

15 -0.4%

-0.5%

+9%

-3%

5.2

0.2

0.4

0.2

3.2

3.1

0.9

1.1

3.2

James Hardie Indust (JHX)


JB Hi-Fi (JBH)
Karoon Gas Australia (KAR)

1.6
2.3

1.3%

1.3%

12%

55 +0.1%

+0.2%

+3%

0%

3.1

N/A

12.4% 12.4%

47%

228 -1.9%

-5.0%

+14%

0%

16.3

N/A

9%

10 -1.7%

-0.9%

-12%

0%

2.2

0.4

1.3

20.9

1.0%

0.8%

12.4

0.5

1.0

1.0

Kathmandu Hold (KMD)

0.0%

0.0%

0%

0 +0.0%

-0.6%

+10%

0%

0.1

0.2

Kingsgate Consolid. (KCN)

8.0%

8.0%

191%

24 +1.2%

+1.7%

+24%

-21%

6.0

N/A

4.6

Kingsrose Mining (KRM)

0.3%

0.2%

29%

0 +0.0%

-0.5%

-5%

0%

1.5

N/A

0.0

Leighton Holdings (LEI)

11.4%

5.5%

87%

309 +0.7%

+0.0%

-4%

-2%

10.2

N/A

0.0
8.0

Notes 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 : See page 21 for details / heading descriptions


Equities Research - Short and Stocky

7.7

0.3
11.4

1.4
0.2

15

Data Tables
Current Short Position
% Free
Float1
Code

Chg in Short
Position3

% Mkt
% Stock
Value
Cap available to ($m)
short2

One
week

One
month

One Month
Change
Share
Price

Days to
cover5

FY1
EPS4
F'cast

% stock
loaned
not
short6

12 Month History
Short Position as % of Free
Float1
1.4
0.3

Lend Lease (LLC)

0.2%

0.2%

1%

8 +0.0%

-0.0%

+5%

-0%

0.3

1.3

Linc Energy (LNC)

5.6%

3.4%

87%

30 -0.0%

-0.1%

-3%

0%

3.0

2.7

10.4% 10.4%

117%

81 +0.1%

-0.2%

-10%

0%

10.2

N/A

0.2
0.2

14.7

Lynas Corporation (LYC)

5.6
10.7

10.4
4.5

M2 Telecommunication (MTU)

4.5%

4.1%

52%

48 +0.3%

+0.6%

+15%

-0%

10.0

N/A

1.5

MACA (MLD)

0.0%

0.0%

0%

0 -0.0%

-0.1%

+5%

+0%

0.1

0.5

0.0

0.0

Macmahon Holdings (MAH)

0.7%

0.6%

5%

1 -0.1%

-0.1%

+10%

0%

1.0

0.0

0.7

0.7

Macq Atlas Roads Grp (MQA)

4.9%

4.2%

24%

47 +0.0%

-0.2%

+13%

0%

15.0

1.3

1.3

Macquarie (MQG)

0.5%

0.5%

3%

70 -0.0%

-0.2%

+1%

0%

1.0

0.5

Magellan Fin Grp (MFG)

0.2%

0.1%

6%

2 -0.0%

-0.1%

+1%

0%

0.4

0.7

0.0

Matrix C & E (MCE)

4.8%

3.4%

32%

3 -0.0%

-0.0%

+5%

0%

28.5

0.5

1.4

Maverick Drilling (MAD)

2.6%

2.1%

46%

4 +0.4%

+0.3%

-17%

0%

4.6

N/A

0.5

Mayne Pharma (MYX)

0.0%

0.0%

0%

0 +0.0%

+0.0%

0%

0.0

0.0

0.0

McMillan Shakespeare (MMS)

5.9%

4.5%

24%

39 +1.4%

+3.6%

-25%

0%

5.6

N/A

0.0

Medusa Mining (MML)

1.2%

1.2%

28%

5 -1.2%

-1.4%

+31%

+2%

1.0

0.7

0.8

Mermaid Marine (MRM)

0.2%

0.2%

1%

2 -0.0%

-0.2%

+0%

0%

0.7

0.7

4.9

1.9

0.5
0.2
4.8

2.6

0.0
5.9

0.8
0.2
11.8

Mesoblast (MSB)
Metcash (MTS)

1.2

9.1%

9.1

5.0%

57%

93 +0.8%

+5.5%

+3%

0%

25.5

N/A

10.2% 10.2%

72%

311 +0.1%

+1.7%

-4%

0%

13.2

N/A

5.0

0.3

0.3

0.1

0.1

10.2

Metminco (MNC)

0.1%

0.1%

20%

0 +0.0%

+0.1%

Miclyn Exp Offshr (MIO)

0.3%

0.1%

3%

1 -0.0%

-0.3%

+7%

-2%

0.5

N/A

0.1

0.3

Mincor Resources NL (MCR)

1.4%

1.4%

24%

2 -0.0%

+0.0%

+34%

0%

8.5

N/A

0.5

1.4

Mineral Deposits (MDL)

3.9%

3.9%

28%

8 -0.0%

-0.1%

+20%

-23%

11.4

N/A

0.5

Mineral Resources. (MIN)

4.6%

3.9%

30%

76 -0.3%

-1.7%

+14%

+1%

6.1

N/A

Mirabela Nickel (MBN)

3.5%

3.0%

31%

3 +0.1%

+0.3%

+8%

0%

1.9

0.3

1.5

Mirvac (MGR)

0.2%

0.2%

2%

10 -0.1%

-0.1%

+1%

0%

0.4

0.5

0.3

Molopo Energy (MPO)

0.3%

0.3%

1%

0 +0.1%

+0.1%

+0%

0%

1.3

0.3

3.9

3.0

4.6
3.5

0.5

0.2
0.3
13.1

Monadelphous (MND)
Mount Gibson Iron (MGX)
Myer Holdings (MYR)
National Aust. Bank (NAB)

166%

221 +0.6%

+1.1%

+8%

0%

16.5

N/A

4.6

2.1%

44%

16 +0.2%

+0.5%

+19%

-42%

4.4

N/A

0.8

14.3% 14.3%

81%

217 +0.3%

+0.2%

+2%

-0%

13.1

N/A

10.2

2%

194 -0.1%

-0.1%

+3%

0%

0.8

0.2

13.1% 13.1%
3.5%

0.3%

0.3%

14.3

0.3

5.7

Navitas (NVT)

2.2%

1.4%

13%

34 -0.3%

-2.1%

+1%

-3%

6.1

0.4

Neon Energy (NEN)

0.1%

0.1%

14%

0 -0.1%

-0.1%

-1%

0%

0.5

N/A

New Hope Corporation (NHC)

0.6

3.5

2.2
0.1
0.4

0.2%

0.2%

4%

6 +0.0%

Notes 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 : See page 21 for details / heading descriptions


Equities Research - Short and Stocky

-1.0%

+5%

0%

6.2

N/A
0.2

0.1
0.2

0.6

16

Data Tables
Current Short Position
% Free
Float1
Code

Chg in Short
Position3

% Mkt
% Stock
Value
Cap available to ($m)
short2

One
week

One Month
Change

One
month

Share
Price

Days to
cover5

FY1
EPS4
F'cast

% stock
loaned
not
short6

12 Month History
Short Position as % of Free
Float1

0.7

0.5

0.3
0.2

1.0

0.1

0.0

0%

11.7

N/A

2.3

-13%

0%

0.6

0.9

0.3

0.3

+0.2%

+26%

-42%

1.0

7.2

0.1

0.7

5 -0.1%

-0.3%

+25%

+8%

1.8

N/A

0.5

46%

20 -0.4%

-1.3%

+8%

0%

3.8

N/A

1.1

6.4%

51%

77 +0.1%

+1.1%

-1%

0%

16.2

N/A

3.4

0.7%

0.7%

38%

4 +0.5%

-0.1%

+31%

-49%

2.3

0.1

0.1

0.6%

0.5%

5%

57 +0.0%

-0.1%

+1%

+10%

1.5

N/A

0.5

Newcrest Mining (NCM)

0.6%

0.6%

8%

60 +0.1%

+0.2%

+13%

News Corp. (NNC)

0.7%

0.7%

192%

24 +0.1%

+0.6%

+6%

Nextdc (NXT)

5.2%

3.8%

19%

18 +0.2%

+0.4%

-4%

Nexus Energy (NXS)

0.3%

0.3%

3%

0 +0.0%

-0.0%

Northern Iron (NFE)

0.7%

0.5%

4%

0 +0.1%

Northern Star (NST)

1.5%

1.4%

38%

NRW Holdings (NWH)

6.3%

6.3%

Nufarm (NUF)

9.4%

OceanaGold Corp. (OGC)


Oil Search (OSH)

-14%

0.6
0.2
0.7
5.2

1.5
6.3
9.4

0.7

0.6

1.3

OM Holdings (OMH)

0.7%

0.4%

12%

1 +0.0%

-0.0%

+3%

0%

3.1

0.3

Orica (ORI)

2.9%

2.9%

25%

206 +0.1%

+0.8%

+5%

-4%

4.1

N/A

0.6

Origin Energy (ORG)

1.1%

1.1%

8%

140 -0.1%

-0.2%

-5%

-1%

3.0

0.1

0.7

1.1

Orocobre (ORE)

0.4%

0.3%

13%

1 -0.1%

-0.1%

+3%

0%

2.7

0.2

0.1

0.4

Oroton(ORL)

1.8%

1.2%

11%

3 +0.3%

+0.6%

-10%

-9%

4.8

0.4

0.6

OZ Minerals (OZL)

3.1%

3.1%

26%

38 -0.4%

+0.5%

-3%

0%

2.2

N/A

2.2

Pacific Brands (PBG)

1.7%

1.7%

8%

13 +0.1%

+0.1%

+8%

0%

4.6

N/A

0.5

Paladin Energy (PDN)

7.6%

7.1%

34%

44 -8.6%

-6.5%

-40%

0%

5.3

N/A

8.4

PanAust (PNA)

1.2%

1.0%

9%

14 +0.1%

-0.1%

+26%

+3%

1.3

N/A

Panoramic Resources (PAN)

0.2%

0.2%

6%

0 -0.0%

+0.1%

+2%

0%

0.7

0.1

1.1

Papillon Res (PIR)

2.5%

2.2%

61%

9 -0.5%

-0.8%

+15%

0%

3.9

0.1

0.3

Patties Foods (PFL)

0.0%

0.0%

0%

0 +0.0%

+0.0%

-2%

0.1

0.0

0.0

Perilya (PEM)

0.2%

0.1%

2%

0 +0.1%

+0.2%

+25%

-65%

0.7

0.0

0.0

Perpetual (PPT)

5.3%

5.3%

68%

86 +0.0%

-0.0%

-6%

0%

15.2

N/A

Perseus Mining (PRU)

3.6%

3.6%

83%

13 -0.2%

-0.3%

+41%

-7%

2.7

Pharmaxis (PXS)

2.5%

2.5%

32%

1 +0.1%

+0.2%

+0%

0%

Platinum Asset (PTM)

1.6%

0.7%

13%

24 +0.0%

+0.0%

+0%

Premier Investments (PMV)

1.5%

0.9%

6%

11 +0.0%

+0.0%

Prima Biomed (PRR)

0.1%

0.1%

11%

0 -0.1%

Primary Health Care (PRY)

5.5%

5.1%

29%

Programmed (PRG)

0.4%

0.4%

Qantas Airways (QAN)

1.5%

1.5%

0.7
2.9

1.8

3.1
1.7

0.7

7.6
1.2

0.2
2.5

0.0
0.2

5.5

5.3

N/A

2.5

3.6

2.3

N/A

1.2

2.5

+3%

4.0

0.2

+1%

0%

2.3

N/A

+0.0%

+5%

0%

0.2

0.1

132 -0.5%

-0.3%

+3%

-14%

10.5

N/A

5%

1 +0.1%

+0.1%

-0%

0%

1.8

0.8

9%

41 +0.3%

+0.4%

-6%

-3%

2.0

N/A

4.5
1.6

0.8
0.4

3.8
0.5

1.5

0.1
5.5

0.4

1.5

Notes 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 : See page 21 for details / heading descriptions


Equities Research - Short and Stocky

0.6
4.3

2.3

17

Data Tables
Current Short Position
% Free
Float1
Code

Chg in Short
Position3

% Mkt
% Stock
Value
Cap available to ($m)
short2

One
week

One
month

One Month
Change
Share
Price

Days to
cover5

FY1
EPS4
F'cast

% stock
loaned
not
short6

12 Month History
Short Position as % of Free
Float1

0.3
4.3

0.2
2.3

QBE Insurance (QBE)

2.3%

2.3%

21%

470 -0.3%

-0.2%

+5%

-1%

5.0

N/A

Qrxpharma (QRX)

0.8%

0.8%

29%

1 -4.0%

-3.0%

+16%

0%

7.2

0.3

0.1

Qube Holdings (QUB)

2.5%

1.7%

23%

27 +0.0%

+0.2%

+1%

0%

13.0

N/A

1.1

2.5

Ramelius Resources (RMS)

1.1%

1.1%

71%

1 +0.1%

+0.1%

+18%

0%

1.4

0.3

0.6

1.1

0.8

2.2

Ramsay Health Care (RHC)

1.7%

1.1%

14%

75 +0.2%

+0.3%

-9%

0%

4.5

N/A

RCR Tomlinson (RCR)

1.7%

1.7%

16%

6 +0.9%

-0.1%

+14%

0%

4.7

N/A

0.0

REA (REA)

1.7%

0.6%

9%

28 +0.2%

+0.0%

+15%

+7%

3.7

0.2

0.2

Red 5 (RED)

1.0%

1.0%

18%

1 +0.2%

+0.3%

+0%

0%

7.7

N/A

0.1

Red Fork Energy (RFE)

1.2%

1.0%

6%

2 +0.1%

+0.0%

-5%

-100%

2.7

N/A

0.4

Regis Resources (RRL)

2.3%

1.9%

25%

37 -0.0%

-1.6%

+20%

-0%

3.2

N/A

0.2

ResMed Inc. (RMD)

0.6%

0.6%

8%

53 +0.0%

+0.1%

+10%

+3%

2.0

2.0

0.2

Resolute Mining (RSG)

0.3%

0.3%

6%

2 -0.1%

-0.0%

+33%

+17%

0.4

0.0

Retail Food (RFG)

2.7%

2.1%

17%

11 +0.2%

+0.3%

-7%

-1%

11.0

0.2

0.0

Rex Minerals (RXM)

1.3%

1.2%

30%

1 +0.0%

+0.3%

+11%

0%

5.6

0.4

0.3

Ridley Corporation (RIC)

0.3%

0.2%

2%

1 -0.0%

-0.1%

+7%

+1%

1.0

N/A

0.0

Rio Tinto (RIO)

1.5%

1.5%

16%

403 +0.2%

+0.2%

+7%

-1%

2.1

N/A

1.7

1.7

1.7

1.0
1.2

2.3

0.6

1.0
0.3
2.7

1.3

0.3

4.3

1.5
0.4

0.3

ROC Oil Company (ROC)

0.3%

0.3%

2%

1 -0.0%

+0.0%

+3%

-19%

1.6

N/A

SAI Global (SAI)

5.0%

5.0%

29%

45 -0.6%

-1.2%

+13%

-13%

9.9

N/A

Sandfire Resources (SFR)

4.1%

2.6%

22%

25 -0.0%

-0.0%

+11%

+1%

4.3

N/A

Santos (STO)

0.6%

0.6%

6%

89 +0.0%

+0.2%

+6%

+3%

1.7

0.6

Saracen Mineral (SAR)

2.5%

2.5%

58%

3 -1.1%

-1.1%

+96%

+3%

2.6

N/A

0.9

Sca Property (SCP)

5.2%

5.2%

61%

53 -0.3%

+0.1%

-6%

0%

12.5

N/A

0.0

Sedgman (SDM)

0.5%

0.3%

5%

0 +0.0%

+0.0%

-4%

0%

1.3

0.2

0.0

Seek (SEK)

5.8%

5.8%

28%

186 +0.0%

-0.3%

+2%

0%

8.1

N/A

3.8

Senex Energy (SXY)

0.6%

0.5%

7%

4 +0.0%

-0.3%

-1%

+9%

1.2

N/A

0.5

Seven Holdings (SVW)

5.2%

1.7%

31%

39 -0.3%

+1.8%

+5%

0%

6.4

N/A

1.7

Seven West Media (SWM)

0.7%

0.4%

7%

10 -0.0%

-0.0%

+12%

-1%

0.9

N/A

Sigma Pharmaceutical (SIP)

0.4%

0.4%

2%

3 -0.1%

-0.2%

-12%

0%

1.4

0.1

0.5

Silex Systems (SLX)

1.5%

1.2%

15%

6 -0.0%

+0.1%

+12%

0%

18.1

N/A

0.6

Silver Chef (SIV)

0.2%

0.2%

16%

0 +1.0%

-1.0%

+4%

0%

1.0

N/A

0.0

Silver Lake Resource (SLR)

2.7%

2.7%

65%

9 -0.6%

+0.2%

+28%

-7%

1.4

N/A

3.1

2.7

Sims Metal Mgmt (SGM)

4.9%

4.0%

34%

75 -0.7%

-0.7%

+7%

0%

5.3

N/A

5.9

4.9

1.2

5.0

4.7

4.1

0.7

0.6
2.5
5.2

0.5
5.8

0.6
5.2

3.1

0.7
0.4
1.5

Notes 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 : See page 21 for details / heading descriptions


Equities Research - Short and Stocky

6.5

0.2

3.6

18

Data Tables
Current Short Position
% Free
Float1
Code

Chg in Short
Position3

% Mkt
% Stock
Value
Cap available to ($m)
short2

One
week

One
month

One Month
Change
Share
Price

Days to
cover5

FY1
EPS4
F'cast

% stock
loaned
not
short6

12 Month History
Short Position as % of Free
Float1

0.3
6.5

0.2
3.6

Singapore Telecomm. (SGT)

3.6%

3.6%

32%

22 +0.2%

+3.2%

-2%

0%

2.4

1.1

Sirius Resources NL (SIR)

2.4%

1.9%

37%

12 +0.0%

-0.0%

+35%

0%

2.3

N/A

0.0

Sirtex Medical (SRX)

0.3%

0.3%

2%

2 +0.1%

-0.6%

+6%

-3%

0.5

1.2

0.1

Skilled (SKE)

2.3%

2.0%

15%

14 -0.1%

-0.1%

+5%

+6%

5.3

N/A

0.0

Slater & Gordon (SGH)

0.0%

0.0%

0%

0 +4.0%

+4.0%

+1%

0%

0.2

0.1

0.0

SMS Management. (SMX)

2.4%

2.4%

26%

9 -0.0%

-0.2%

+2%

+0%

5.9

0.1

1.2

Sonic Healthcare (SHL)

2.2%

2.2%

24%

127 +0.2%

+0.1%

-0%

-2%

5.6

N/A

1.5

SP AusNet (SPN)

2.2%

1.0%

17%

42 +0.0%

-0.1%

-6%

0%

5.3

N/A

0.5

Spark Infrastructure (SKI)

4.7%

4.3%

28%

100 +0.2%

+0.1%

-5%

-3%

10.1

N/A

3.1

Specialty Fashion (SFH)

0.1%

0.1%

1%

0 +2.0%

+2.0%

+3%

0%

0.6

N/A

St Barbara (SBM)

5.3%

5.3%

95%

17 -0.7%

-0.3%

+7%

-6%

5.5

N/A

Starpharma Holdings (SPL)

6.2%

5.8%

91%

18 +0.4%

+0.4%

+9%

0%

36.9

N/A

0.8

Sthn Cross Media (SXL)

1.3%

1.0%

9%

12 -0.3%

-0.3%

+16%

-1%

3.4

N/A

2.5

1.3

Stockland (SGP)

0.3%

0.3%

3%

28 -0.2%

-0.0%

+2%

+2%

0.6

0.4

0.4

0.3

STW Communications (SGN)

0.4%

0.3%

2%

2 +0.0%

+0.0%

-7%

0%

1.0

0.2

0.2

Suncorp (SUN)

0.3%

0.3%

2%

42 -0.4%

-0.4%

-1%

-8%

0.7

0.0

Sundance Energy (SEA)

0.1%

0.1%

1%

0 +0.0%

-0.0%

+2%

+4%

0.3

0.3

0.0

Sundance Resources (SDL)

2.1%

1.7%

10%

4 -0.0%

+0.1%

-2%

0%

1.6

4.4

0.6

Super Ret Rep (SUL)

0.7%

0.5%

4%

13 +0.0%

+0.0%

+3%

0%

1.7

0.7

SYD Airport (SYD)

1.3%

1.0%

5%

70 +0.1%

+0.1%

+6%

-20%

2.4

N/A

Syrah Resources (SYR)

1.3%

0.7%

11%

2 +0.5%

+0.6%

-12%

0%

2.1

TABCORP Holdings (TAH)

2.4%

2.4%

16%

59 -0.1%

-0.1%

-4%

-1%

Tap Oil (TAP)

0.1%

0.1%

1%

0 +0.0%

+0.0%

-7%

Tatts (TTS)

1.1%

1.1%

8%

49 -0.0%

-0.1%

Telecom Corporation (TEL)

0.3%

0.3%

18%

12 -0.1%

Telstra Corporation. (TLS)

0.1%

0.1%

1%

Ten Network Holdings (TEN)

8.0%

5.1%

Teranga Gold Corp (TGZ)

0.5%

The Reject Shop (TRS)

2.4

0.3
2.3

0.0
2.4
2.2
2.2

4.7

1.3

0.1
3.2

5.3
6.2

0.4

0.8
0.3

0.1
2.1

1.0

0.7

1.2

1.3

N/A

0.0

1.3

4.4

5.6

1.7

0%

0.6

3.6

0.2

-3%

-2%

3.3

N/A

-0.3%

+0%

+1%

1.5

0.1

90 -0.0%

-0.3%

+4%

+2%

0.4

0.3

47%

38 -0.1%

+0.3%

-2%

0%

12.2

N/A

0.5%

4%

1 +0.3%

+0.5%

+1%

-9%

2.4

1.2

6.6%

6.6%

38%

33 -0.1%

+0.3%

+3%

0%

12.6

N/A

Thorn (TGA)

0.0%

0.0%

0%

0 +0.0%

+0.0%

+4%

0%

0.1

1.5

Tiger Resources (TGS)

0.2%

0.2%

2%

0 +0.0%

+0.0%

+10%

+1%

0.5

0.2

Toll Holdings (TOL)

4.0%

3.8%

28%

141 -0.5%

-1.1%

-6%

0%

6.1

N/A

0.5

2.4

0.1
1.1

1.0
0.3
0.2
10.9

0.1
8.0
0.5

0.1
10.6

Notes 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 : See page 21 for details / heading descriptions


Equities Research - Short and Stocky

0.1
0.6

2.7

6.6

0.0
0.2
4.0
1.4

0.0

19

Data Tables
Current Short Position
% Free
Float1
Code

Chg in Short
Position3

% Mkt
% Stock
Value
Cap available to ($m)
short2

One
week

One
month

One Month
Change
Share
Price

Days to
cover5

FY1
EPS4
F'cast

% stock
loaned
not
short6

Tox Free Solutions (TOX)

1.4%

1.4%

8%

6 +0.0%

+0.7%

-5%

-4%

4.8

N/A

Tpg Telecom (TPM)

0.4%

0.1%

3%

4 +0.0%

+0.1%

+4%

+1%

0.9

0.0

Trade Me (TME)

0.1%

0.1%

0%

1 -0.0%

-0.0%

+3%

0%

0.2

Transfield Services (TSE)

7.1%

6.1%

38%

28 +0.4%

+0.6%

+5%

0%

Transpacific Indust. (TPI)

1.0%

0.7%

4%

10 +0.1%

+0.3%

+12%

Transurban (TCL)

0.1%

0.1%

0%

9 -0.1%

-0.0%

Treasury Wine Estate (TWE)

3.5%

3.5%

23%

114 +0.2%

Troy Resources (TRY)

0.5%

0.4%

12%

Twenty-First FOX Inc (FOX)

0.1%

0.1%

2%

12 Month History
Short Position as % of Free
Float1

0.3
0.0

1.4
0.2

0.8

0.4

0.3

0.0

0.1

7.1

N/A

0.9

0%

1.7

0.2

0.8

-1%

+17%

0.2

0.4

+0.9%

+4%

-0%

4.5

N/A

2.3

1 -0.0%

-0.7%

+20%

-22%

0.7

1.1

0.3

32 +0.1%

-0.0%

+5%

0%

0.6

0.1

0.2

7.1

0.6

1.0

0.1
3.5

0.5
0.1
11.5

UGL (UGL)

11.5% 11.5%

85%

136 +1.5%

+2.4%

-7%

+1%

10.4

N/A

4.6

UXC (UXC)

0.1%

0.1%

2%

0 -0.0%

+0.0%

+5%

0%

0.6

0.3

0.0

Virgin Aus Hldg (VAH)

8.8%

3.6%

59%

38 +0.8%

+1.3%

-11%

-173%

10.8

N/A

1.6

Webjet (WEB)

2.0%

1.8%

17%

6 +0.3%

+0.0%

-4%

0%

6.6

0.3

0.1

Wesfarmers (WES)

2.8%

2.8%

28%

1149 +0.4%

+0.3%

+3%

+1%

9.7

N/A

13.1% 10.4%

102%

70 +0.1%

+0.1%

+13%

0%

20.6

N/A

7.4

0.1
8.8
2.0

3.2

2.8
13.1

Western Areas (WSA)

0.8

Western Desert Res. (WDR)

0.8%

0.6%

50%

2 +0.0%

+0.1%

+1%

0%

5.6

0.0

0.0

Westfield (WDC)

0.4%

0.3%

4%

82 -0.1%

+0.1%

-3%

0%

1.0

0.4

0.2

Westfield Retail Tst (WRT)

0.5%

0.5%

3%

42 +0.0%

+0.1%

-7%

0%

0.7

0.3

0.4

1.4
0.5
1.5

Westpac Banking Corp (WBC)


Whitehaven Coal (WHC)

0.9%

0.9%

9%

857 +0.0%

+0.1%

+7%

0%

3.3

N/A

17.4% 10.3%

119%

214 +0.1%

+0.3%

-6%

0%

17.0

N/A

17.4

Woodside Petroleum (WPL)

0.5%

0.4%

5%

117 -0.1%

+0.1%

+1%

+1%

1.2

0.0

Woolworths (WOW)

0.5%

0.5%

5%

193 -0.0%

-0.2%

-0%

+0%

2.0

0.0

WorleyParsons (WOR)

2.5%

2.1%

20%

116 -0.3%

-0.1%

+1%

-2%

4.4

N/A

15.9%

9.9%

71%

101 -0.2%

-0.5%

-5%

0%

28.0

N/A

Wotif.com Holdings (WTF)

0.9

2.9
0.7

0.5

0.5

0.5

2.1

2.5

14.6

15.9

Notes 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 : See page 21 for details / heading descriptions


Equities Research - Short and Stocky

20

NOTES
1.

Short Position as %
of Free Float

This represents the latest reported short position divided by the Free Float Market Capitalisation of the stock. The
Free Float Market Capitalisation includes the actual number of shares less those held by strategic owners and hence
is a better representation of the number of shares available to be traded on the exchange.

2.

Short Sales as %
Stock available to
short

This measure compares the amount of outstanding short positions (reported to ASIC) with the amount of stock
available to be borrowed (reported to the ASX). Note that the stock available to be borrowed is only reported once a
quarter. Some participants may not be reporting correctly to either ASIC (less likely) or the ASX (almost certainly, as
there are a large number of inconsistencies) so this data should be used with caution.

3.

Change in short
Position

This measure shows the current shorted shares as a percentage of the total free floated shares LESS the number of
short shares as a percentage of the total free floated shares reported either one month or one week prior.

4.

FY1 EPS forecast

This column shows the change in analyst forecasts for the first forecast year earnings per share.

5.

Days to cover

The number of days of trading it would take short sellers to completely cover positions based on the average of the
last six months of trading.

6.

Stock loaned not


short

This measure calculates the difference between the amount of stock borrowed (reported to the ASX and calculated as
the maximum between the borrowed and loaned number of shares) but not yet shorted as a percentage of the total
free float shares of the stock.
This data should be used with caution. Data showing N/A means the borrowed and loaned numbers are not
consistent with the open short position data and so likely have not been reported accurately.

SHORT SALES DATA


There are three primary sources of short sales data:

ASX reported short sales: This only reports short selling (not covering) and so while
the most timely is of use.

ASX reported lending and borrowing: This data shows the amount that is borrowed
and the amount that has been lent on a daily basis, and also has quarterly data on the
total amount of stock available to be lent. While useful and more timely than the ASIC
data there are clearly inconsistencies in the data where the amount reported
borrowed and the amount reported lent frequently does not match, and additionally it
is also frequently less than the amount reported short sold which suggests caution
should be used with the data.

ASIC reported short sales position: This data comes from investors to ASIC and is
the gross amount of open short positions, however it is reported with a four-day lag.
We use this as our primary source of information, although note the timeliness is an
issue. There may also be data integrity issues with investors reporting incorrectly to
ASIC, although we suspect that this is less of an issue for ASIC than it is for the ASX.

QUANTITATIVE MODELS

There is only about a year of reliable short sales data, and the key data series has
had some changes in definitions which makes quantitative conclusions about the
success or otherwise of trading short sales data hard to make.

Preliminary tests indicate that short term trading off changes in short sales positions is
unlikely to be consistently profitable, although with a four day lag in data that is not a
huge surprise.

The absolute level of short selling doesnt seem to be a consistent indicator.

Trends in short positions over period of two weeks or longer seem to be more
profitable, however with such a short time frame we are wary of making too many
claims. We will follow this data and provide updates in the future.

Quantitative Strategy Short and Stocky

21

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Quantitative Strategy

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