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The vast geographical extent of India and her huge population is aptly complemented by the size of her market. The broadest classification of the Indian Market can be made in terms of the commodity market and the bond market. The commodity market in India comprises of all palpable markets that we come across in our daily lives. Such markets are social institutions that facilitate exchange of goods for money. The cost of goods is estimated in terms of domestic currency. India Commodity Market can be subdivided into the following two categories: Wholesale Market Retail Market Considering the present growth rate, the total valuation of the Indian Retail Market is estimated to cross Rs. 10,000 billion by the year 2010. Demand for commodities is likely to become four times by 2010 than what it was in 2009. 1.1 COMMODITY MARKET IN INDIA A market is conventionally defined as a place where buyers and sellers meet to exchange goods or services for a consideration. This consideration is usually money. In an Information Technology-enabled environment, buyers and sellers from different locations can transact business in an electronic marketplace. Hence the physical market place is not necessary for the exchange of goods or services for a consideration. Electronic trading and settlement of transactions has created a revolution in global financial and commodity markets.
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COMMODITY MARKET
Precious Metal
Other metals
Gold, Silver
Agriculture
Energy
Gold, Silver
Gold, Silver
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1.2 DEFINITION OF COMMODITY Any product that can be used for commerce or an article of commerce which is traded on an authorized commodity exchange is known as commodity. The article should be movable of value, something which is bought or sold and which is produced or used as the subject or barter or sale. In short commodity includes all kinds of goods. Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act (FCRA), 1952 defines goods as every kind of movable property other than actionable claims, money and securities. In current situation, all goods and products of agricultural (including plantation), mineral and fossil origin are allowed for commodity trading recognized under the FCRA. The national commodity exchanges, recognized by the Central Government, permits commodities which include precious (gold and silver) and non-ferrous metals: cereals and pulses; ginned and un-ginned cotton; oilseeds, oils and oilcakes; raw jute and jute goods; sugar and gur; potatoes and onions; coffee and tea; rubber and spices. Etc. In the world of business, a commodity is an undifferentiated product whose market value arises from the owners right to sell rather than to use. Example commodities from the financial world include oil (sold by the barrel), wheat, bulk chemicals such as sulfuric acid and even pork bellies.
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Indian Commodities Market III. DIFFERENT COMMODITY EXCHANGE MARKETS IN THE WORLD
COUNTRY United States of America EXCHANGE
Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) Chicago Mercantile Exchange New York Cotton Exchange New York Board of Trade The London International Financial Futures Options Exchange The London Metal Exchange The Winnipeg Commodity Exchange Brazilian Futures Exchange Commodities Sydney Futures Exchange Ltd. Beijing Commodity Exchange Shanghai Metal Exchange Hong Kong Futures Exchange Tokyo International Financial Futures Exchange Kuala Lumpur commodity Exchange New Zealand Futures and Options Exchange Ltd Singapore commodity Exchange Ltd Le Nouveau Marche MATIF Italian Derivatives Market Amsterdam Exchanges option Traders The Russian Exchange Petersburg Futures Exchange The Spanish Options Exchange Citrus Fruit and Commodity Futures Market of Valencia
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United Kingdom
Canada Brazil Australia People s Republic of China Hong Kong Japan Malaysia New Zealand Singapore France Italy Netherlands Russia Spain
IV.
The history of organized commodity derivatives in India goes back to the nineteenth century when Bombay Cotton Trade Association started futures trading in 1875, about a decade after they started in Chicago. Over the time derivatives market developed in several commodities in India. Following Cotton, derivatives trading started in oilseed in Bombay (1900), raw jute and jute goods in Calcutta (1912), Wheat in Hapur (1913) and Bullion in Bombay (1920). The parliament passed the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1952, which regulated contracts in Commodities all over the India. The act prohibited options trading in Goods along with cash settlement of forward trades, rendering a crushing blow to the commodity derivatives market. Under the act only those associations/exchanges, which are granted reorganization from the Government, are allowed to organize forward trading in regulated commodities. The act envisages three tire regulations: i. Exchange which organizes forward trading in commodities can regulate trading on day-to-day basis; ii. Forward Markets Commission provides regulatory oversight under the powers delegated to it by the central Government. iii. The Central Government- Department of Consumer Affairs, Ministry of Consumer Affairs, Food and Public Distribution- are the ultimate regulatory authority. After Liberalization and Globalization in 1990, the Government set up a committee (1993) to examine the role of futures trading. The Committee (headed by Prof. K.N.Kabra) recommended allowing futures trading in 17 commodity groups. It also recommended strengthening Forward Markets Commission, and certain amendments to Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act 1952, particularly allowing option trading in good sand registration of brokers with Forward Markets Commission. The Government accepted most of these recommendations and futures trading was permitted in all recommended commodities.
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Today, commodity exchanges are purely speculative in nature. Before discovering the price, they reach to the producers, endorsers, and even the retail investors, at a grassroots level. It brings a price transparency and risk management in the vital market. By Exchange rules and by law, no one can bid under a higher bid, and no one can offer to sell higher than someone elses lower offer. That keeps the market as efficient as possible, and keeps the traders on their toes to make sure no one gets the purchase or sale before they do. Since 2002, the commodities future market in India has experienced an unexpected boom in terms of modern exchanges, number of commodities allowed for derivatives trading as well as the value of futures trading in commodities, which crossed $ 1 trillion mark in 2006.In India there are 25 recognized future exchanges, of which there are four national level multi-commodity exchanges. After a gap of almost three decades, Government of India has allowed forward transactions in commodities through Online Commodity Exchanges, a modification of traditional business known as Adhat and Vayda Vyapar to facilitate better risk coverage and delivery of commodities. The four exchanges are: i. ii. iii. iv. National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) Mumbai, Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX) Mumbai National MultiCommodity Exchange of India Limited (NMCEIL) Ahmadabad. Indian Commodity Exchange Limited (ICEX) , Gurgaon
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THERE ARE OTHER REGIONAL COMMODITY EXCHANGES SITUATED IN DIFFERENT PARTS OF INDIA.
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PULSES
SPICES
OTHERS
COMMODITIES
VEGETABLES
METALS
EDIBLE OIL
ENERGY PRODUCTS
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i.
Organized futures market evolved in India by the setting up of "Bombay Cotton Trade Association Ltd." in 1875. In 1893, following widespread discontent amongst leading cotton mill owners and merchants over the functioning of the Bombay Cotton Trade Association, a separate association by the name "Bombay Cotton Exchange Ltd." was constituted. Futures trading in oilseeds were organized in India for the first time with the setting up of Gujarati Vyapari Mandali in 1900, which carried on futures trading in groundnut, castor seed and cotton. Before the Second World War broke out in 1939 several futures markets in oilseeds were functioning in Gujarat and Punjab. Futures trading in Raw Jute and Jute Goods began in Calcutta with the establishment of the Calcutta Hessian Exchange Ltd., in 1919. Later East Indian Jute Association Ltd. was set up in 1927 for organizing futures trading in Raw Jute. These two associations amalgamated in 1945 to form the present East India Jute & Hessian Ltd., to conduct organized trading in both Raw Jute and Jute goods. In case of wheat, futures markets were in existence at several centers at Punjab and U.P. The most notable amongst them was the Chamber of Commerce at Hapur, which was established in 1913. Futures market in Bullion began at Mumbai in 1920 and later similar markets came up at Rajkot, Jaipur, Jamnagar, Kanpur, Delhi and Calcutta. In due course several other exchanges were also created in the country to trade in such diverse commodities as pepper, turmeric, potato, sugar and gur (jag gory). After independence, the Constitution of India brought the subject of "Stock Exchanges and futures markets" in the Union list. As a result, the responsibility for regulation of commodity futures markets devolved on Govt. of India. A Bill on forward contracts was referred to an expert
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The primary objectives of any futures exchange are authentic price discovery and an efficient price risk management. The beneficiaries include those who trade in the commodities being offered in the exchange as well as those who have nothing to do with futures trading. It is because of price discovery and risk management through the existence of futures exchanges that a lot of businesses and services are able to function smoothly.
Price Discovery:Based on inputs regarding specific market information, the demand and supply equilibrium, weather forecasts, expert views and comments, inflation rates, Government policies, market dynamics, hopes and fears, buyers and sellers conduct trading at futures exchanges. This transforms in to continuous price discovery mechanism. The execution of trade between buyers and sellers leads to assessment of fair value of a particular commodity that is immediately disseminated on the trading terminal. Price Risk Management: Hedging is the most common method of price risk management. It is strategy of offering price risk that is inherent in spot market by taking an equal but opposite position in the futures market. Futures markets are used as a mode by hedgers to protect their business from adverse price change. This could dent the profitability of their business. Hedging benefits who are involved in trading of commodities like farmers, processors, merchandisers, manufacturers, exporters, importers etc. Import- Export competitiveness: The exporters can hedge their price risk and improve their competitiveness by making use of futures market. A majority of traders which are involved in physical trade internationally intend
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iv.
HEDGERS
SPECULATORS
brokerage houses retail investors and people involved in commodity spot trading
ARBITRAGEURS
brokerage houses people trading in commodity spot markets and warehousing companies
v.
WHAT IS THE ROLE OF COMMODITY FUTURES MARKET AND WHY DO WE NEED THEM?
One answer that is heard in the financial sector is `we need commodity futures markets so that we will have volumes, brokerage fees, and something to trade''. I think that is missing the point. We have to look at futures market in a bigger perspective -- what is the role for commodity futures in India's economy? In India agriculture has traditionally been an area with heavy government intervention. Government intervenes by trying to maintain buffer stocks, they try to fix prices, and they have import import-export export restrictions and a host of other interventions. Many economists think that we could have major benefits from liberalization of the agricultural sector.
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The commodity trading system consists of certain prescribed steps or stages as follows:
Trading
order execution position limit reporting price limits
Clearing
matching registering clearing clearing limit notation margining
Settlements
marking to market receipts and payments delivering upon expiration or maturity
Entities in the trading system a. Trading cum Clearing members TCMs can trade and clear either on their own account or on behalf of their clients including participants. Each TCM has a unique ID and can have more than one user.
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viii. Format for tickers: XXXYYYZZZ XXX: Three letters for the commodity YYY: three letters for the grade ZZZ: Three letters for the location E.g.: SYOREFIND: SYO: Soya oil REF: Refined IND: Indore
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With electronic trading, a lot of flexibility is available to investors in executing various types of orders. They must familiarize themselves with the various types. The orders can be categorized into time conditions, price conditions and other conditions. Time conditions order Day order: The order is valid for the day on which it is entered. If the order is not executed during the trading session, the system itself will cancel the order at the end of the day. Fresh order has to be entered for the next day. Good till cancelled: It remains in the system till the order is cancelled by the user. The maximum number of days the order will remain in the system will be notified by the Exchange. Good till date: The order will remain in the system up to the date the user has specified, if it is not executed. Immediate or cancel: An immediate or cancel order allows the user to buy or sell a contract as soon as it is entered into the system. If it is not matched or partial match has been done, any balance portion of the contract will be automatically cancelled. All or none order: It is a limit order in which the order will be executed in its fully entirety or not executed.
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Matching Rules
The Exchange may launch more than one order book running either parallel or at different time spans, either with the same order matching rules or with different matching rules. The Exchange is also entitled to modify or change the matching rules relevant to any market or order books any time where it is necessary to do so Without prejudice to the generality of the above, the order matching rules will have the following features: Orders in the Normal market will be matched on price -time priority basis. Best buy order shall match with the best sell order.
(b)
(The best buy order would be the one with the highest price and the best sell order would be the one with the lowest price.)
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Futures contracts have two types of settlements, the MTM settlement which happens on a continuous basis at the end of each day, and the final settlement which happens on the last trading day of the futures contract.
TYPES OF SETTLEMENTS
DAILY SETTLEMENT
FINAL SETTLEMENT
HANDLE DAILY PRICE FLUCTUATION FOR ALL TRADES (MARK TO THE MARKET) DAILY PROCESS AT END OF THE DAY
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Daily MTM settlement flow Information to members- end of trade day T Settlement through designated clearing Bank Arrangement of funds in settlement A/c by member Collection and payment of fund T +1
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Margin
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CLIENT 1
b. Final settlement: The settlement done for open Buy and Sell positions on the contract expiry date is called final settlement. On the date of expiry, the final settlement price is the spot price on the expiry day. The prices are collected from the members across the country through polling. The polled bid/ask prices are bootstrapped and the mid of the two bootstrapped is taken as the final settlement price. The responsibility of settlement is on a trading cum clearing member (TCM) for all trades done on his own A/c and his client s trades. A professional clearing member (PCM) is responsible for settling all the participants trades, which he has confirmed to the exchange. xiii. Settlement methods: Physical delivery of the underlying asset Closing out by offsetting position Cash settlement
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Derivative is a product whose value is derived from the value of one or more underlying variables or assets in a contractual manner. The underlying asset can be equity, forex, commodity or any other assets. ii. PRODUCTS OF DERIVATIVES MARKET:
Derivative contracts are of different types. The most common ones are forwards, futures, options, warrant and swaps. Forwards: A forward contract is an agreement between two entitles to buy or sell the underlying assets at a future date, at today s pre-agreed price Futures: A futures contract is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell the underlying assets at a future date, at today s future price. Futures contracts differ from forward contracts in the sense that they are standardized and exchange traded. Options: There are two types of options Calls and Put. Calls give the buyer the right but not the obligation to buy a given quantity of the underlying assets, at a given price on or before a given future date. Puts give the buyer the right, but not the obligation to sell a given quantity of the underlying asset at a given price on or before a given date. Warrants: Options generally have lives of up to one year, the majority of options traded on options exchanges having a maximum maturity of nine months. Longer-date options are called warrants and are generally traded over- thecounter. Baskets: Basket options on portfolios of underlying assets. The underlying asset is usually a weighted average of assets. Equity index options are a form of basket options.
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iii.
Participants who trade in the derivatives market can be classified under the following three broad categories: Hedgers: Ones who offset the price risk inherent in any cash market position by taking the opposite position in the futures market. Hedgers use the market to protect their businesses from adverse price changes. Speculator: One who tries to profit from buying and selling future contracts by anticipating future price movements. Arbitragers: Ones simultaneously purchase and sale of similar commodities in different exchanges or in different contracts of the same commodity in one exchange to take advantage of a price discrepancy. iv. FUNCTIONS OF DERIVATIVES: The prices of derivatives converge with the prices of the underlying at the expiration of the derivative contract. Thus derivatives help in discovery of future as well as current prices. The derivatives market helps to transfer risks from those who have them but may not like them to those who have an appetite for them. Derivatives, due to their inherent nature, are linked to the underlying cash market. With the introduction of derivatives, the underlying market witness higher trading volumes because of participation by more players who would not otherwise participate for lack of an arrangement to transfer risk.
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Derivatives can broadly be classified as commodity derivative market and financial derivatives markets. As the name suggest, commodity derivatives market trade contracts for which the underlying asset is a commodity. It can be an agricultural commodity like wheat, soybean, cotton, etc or precious metals. Financial derivatives markets trade contracts that have a financial asset or variable as the underlying.
DERIVATIVES MARKETS
FINANCIAL MARKET
COMMODITY MARKET
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TRANSACTIONS
SPOT TRANSACTIONS
FUTURE TRANSACTIONS
Using the example of a forward contract, let us try to understand the difference between a spot and derivatives contract. Every transaction has three components: trading, clearing and settlements In spot transaction, the trading, clearing and settlement is the actual process of exchanging money and goods and at the spot. Consider this example. On 1st January2004 B wants to buy some gold. The gold quotes at Rs 6,000 per 10 grams. B payRs12, 000 and get the gold, this is spot transaction. In forward/future contracts trading happens today, but the clearing and settlement happen at the end of the specified period. Now suppose B does not want to buy gold on the 1st January 2004, but wants to buy it a month later. The gold quotes 6,015 per 10 gram. They agree upon the forward price for 20 gram of gold that B wants to buy and B leaves. One month later B pays Rs 12,030 and collects his gold. This is a forward contract.
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In recent years, derivatives have become increasingly popular due to their applications for hedging, speculation and arbitrage. While futures and options are now actively traded on many exchanges, forward contracts are popular on the OTC market. While at the moment only commodity futures trade on the NCDEX, eventually, as the market grows, we also have commodity options being traded. i. FORWARD CONTRACTS
A Forward contract is a contract between two people who agree to buy/sell a specified quantity of a financial instrument/commodity at a certain price at a certain date in future. For example, Mr. X and Mr. Y. Mr. X is a wholesale sugar dealer and Mr. Y is the prospective buyer. Mr. Y agrees to buy 30 kg of sugar at Rs 15 per kg after three months. The price is arrived at on the basis of prevailing market conditions and future perceptions about the price of sugar. If after three months, the market price of sugar is Rs 20 per kg, then Mr. Y is a gainer and if the price of sugar is Rs 10 per kg, then Mr. X is a gainer. The salient features of forward contract are: They are bilateral contracts and hence exposed to counter party risk. Each contract is custom designed, and hence is unique in terms of contract size, expiration date and the asset type and quality. The contract price is generally not available in public domain. On the expiration date, the contract has to be settled by delivery of the asset. If the party wishes to reverse the contract, it has to compulsorily go to the same counterparty, which often results in high prices being charged.
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FUTURES MARKET
Futures markets were designed to solve the problems that exist in forward markets. A futures contract is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a certain time in the future at a certain price. But unlike forward contracts, the futures contracts are standardized and exchange traded. To facilitate liquidity in the futures contracts, the exchange specifies certain standard features of the contracts. Its a standardized contract with standard underlying instrument, a standard quantity and quality of the underlying instrument that can be delivered, and a standardized time of such settlement. A futures contract may be offset prior to maturity by entering into an equal and opposite transaction. More than 99% of futures transactions are offset this way. Standardized items in a futures contract are: Quantity of the underlying Quality of the underlying The date and the month of delivery The units of price quotation and minimum price change Location of settlement Unlike Equity futures, the commodity future contract expires on the 20th day of the delivery month.
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What are futures? Futuresare standardized financial contracts traded in a futures exchange. A futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell a certain quantity of an underlying asset at a certain time in the future at a predetermined price. When futures contracts are traded, there isnt necessarily an actual delivery of goods. The trader only speculates on the future direction of the price of the underlying asset, which may be a commodity, foreign exchange, bonds, money market instruments, equity or any other item. The terms "buy" and "sell" only indicate the direction the trader expects future prices to take, i.e. he would buy it if he expects the price of the underlying asset to rise in the future and sell if he expects it to fall. Futures contracts are usually closed by making an opposite transaction, i.e. the buyer of the contract sells it before the expiration date. The price at which the contract is traded in the futures market is called the futures price. Futures contracts have one-month, two-month and three-month expiry cycles, and they usually expire on the last Thursday of the respective month. There are two systems that may be followed in the settlement of futures contracts: Futures Rolling Settlement: At the end of each day, all outstanding trades are settled, i.e. the buyer makes payments for securities purchased and the seller delivers the securities sold. In India, futures exchanges function on the T+5 settlement cycle, wherein transactions are settled after 5 working days from the date on which the transaction has been entered. Weekly Settlement Cycle: This system provides the traders a longer time frame to speculate because the settlement is made at the end of each week. There are three categories of participants in the futures market speculators, who bet on the future movement of the price of an asset; hedgers, who try to eliminate the risks involved in the price fluctuations of an asset by
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Futures Trade on an organized exchange Standardized contract terms More liquid Requires margin payments Follows daily settlement
Forward OTC (over the counter) in nature Customized contract terms Less liquid No margin payment Settlement happens at end of period
iii.
OPTIONS
As the word suggests option is a contract that gives you an option, but not the obligation to buy or sell something. Unlike futures, there is an option writer who initiates the contract. An option writer is treated as the seller of the contract. The purchase of options requires an up-front payment. Commodity options are totally prohibited in Indian market. Call option: A call option gives the holder the right but not the obligation to buy an asset by a certain date for a certain price.
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A Payoff is the likely profit/loss that would accrue to a market participant with change in the price of the underlying asset. This is generally depicted in the form of payoff diagrams which show the price of the underlying asset on X-axis ant the profits/loss on the Y-axis.
+500
-500 LOSS
The Figure shows the profits/losses for a long futures position. The investor bought gold when gold futures were trading at Rs. 6000 per 10 gm. If the price of the underlying gold goes up, the gold futures price too would go up and his future
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Payoff for a seller of futures: short position. The payoff for a person who sells a future contract is similar to the payoff for a person who sells an asset. He has a potentially unlimited upside as well as a potentially unlimited downside.
PROFIT +500
6000
6500
7000
-500 LOSS The figure shows the profits and losses for a short futures position. The investor sold cotton futures at Rs. 6500 per quintal. If the price of the underlying cotton goes down, the futures prices also fall, and the short position starts making profits. If the price of the underlying cotton rises, the futures too rise, and the short position starts showing losses.
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PROFIT
7000
GOLD
500 LOSS
PAYOFF FOR SELLER (WRITER) OF CALL OPTIONS: SHORT CALL The figure shows the profits/loss for the seller of a three month call option on gold at a strike of Rs 7,000 per 10 gram, sold at premium of Rs 500. PROFIT 500 0 7000 GOLD LOSS
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0 500 LOSS
7000 GOLD
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For a market to succeed/ it must have all three kinds of participants hedgers, speculators and arbitragers. The confluence of these participants ensures liquidity and efficient price discovery on the market. Commodity markets give opportunity for all three kinds of participants. A. HEDGING Many participants in the commodity futures market are hedgers. The use the futures market to reduce a particular risk that they face. This risk might relate to the price of wheat or oil or any other commodity that the person deals in. The classic hedging example is that of wheat farmer who wants to hedge the risk of fluctuations in the price of wheat around the time that his crop is ready for harvesting. By selling his crop forward, he obtains a hedge by locking in to a predetermined price. Hedging does not necessarily improve the financial outcome; indeed, it could make the outcome worse. What it does however is that it makes the outcome more certain. Hedgers could be government institutions, private corporations like financial institutions, trading companies and even other participants in the value chain, for instance farmers, extractors, ginners, processors etc., who are influenced by the commodity prices.
B. SPECULATION
An entity having an opinion on the price movements of a given commodity can speculate using the commodity market. While the basics of speculation apply to any market, speculating in commodities is not as simple as speculating on stocks in the financial market. For a speculator who thinks the shares of a given company will rise. It is easy to buy the shares and hold them for whatever duration he wants to. However, commodities are bulky products and come with all the costs and procedures of handling these products. The commodities futures
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Indian commodities market XI. REGULATORY ISSUES FOR COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING
Government Policies on futures trading
i.
Various government policies still hinder the growth of commodity exchanges. Given the recognized need for India to have efficient exchanges in the face of liberalization and globalization, FMC should take the lead in coordinating with the responsible Ministries and other government entities a change of these policies. This would not necessarily reduce the government's possibilities to intervene in commodity markets, but would ensure that such intervention does not hinder, or even critically damage, commodity futures markets. A first issue is taxes. Different tax treatment of speculative gains and losses discourage many speculators from participating in official futures exchanges, thereby affecting the liquidity of the markets. Hedgers are affected as well: the necessary link between futures and physical market transactions is too rigidly defined. Tax issues need to be clarified so that futures losses can be offset against profits on the underlying physical trade and vice versa. A second problem is stamp duty. Stamp duties on trade in commodity futures exchanges should be nil, except when physical delivery is made. Now, stamp duty can be arbitrarily imposed by the state in which the futures exchange is located. Clarification from the Indian states in which there are exchanges that there will be no arbitrary position on stamp duty is recommended. Third, many institutions (particularly financial institutions but also, in a less direct manner, cooperatives) are not permitted to engage in commodity futures trade. The rules which prevent such engagement need to be modified. Finally, the role of government entities directly involved in commodity trade should be reconsidered. The direct purchasing practices of these entities now damage the potential of commodity exchanges. If a federal or state government wishes to continue direct interventions in commodity markets, it could, if it wished, pass through the commodity exchanges. This would ensure
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The forward contracts (regulation) Act, 1992, a central Act, governs commodity derivatives trading in India, The Act defines various forms of contract. The Act envisages a three-tier regulation. Exchange: The exchange which organizes forward trading I regulated commodities can prepare its own Articles of Association, Rules and Regulations, byelaws and regulate trading on a day to-day basis. FMC (Forward Markets Commission): The commission approves the rules and byelaws of the exchange and provides a regulatory oversight. It also acquires concurrent powers of regulation while approving the rules and byelaws of by making such rules and byelaws under the delegated powers. Central Government: Ministry of Consumer affairs and Public Distribution under the Govt. of India is the ultimate regulatory authority. Only those associations, which are granted recognition by the Government, are allowed to organize forward trading in regulated commodities. Government has the power to suspend trading, call for information, nominate directors of the Exchange etc. Central Govt. has delegated most these powers to FMC.\ iii. Forward market commission
Forward Markets Commission (FMC) headquartered at Mumbai, is a regulatory authority which is overseen by the Ministry of Consumer Affairs and Public Distribution, Govt. of India. It is a statutory body set up in 1953 under the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1952.
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To keep forward markets under observation and to take such action in relation to them, as it may consider necessary, in exercise of the powers assigned to it by or under the Act.
(b)
To collect and whenever the Commission thinks it necessary, to publish information regarding the trading conditions in respect of goods to which any of the provisions of the act is made applicable, including information regarding supply, demand and prices, and to submit to the Central Government, periodical reports on the working of forward markets relating to such goods;
(c)
To make recommendations generally with a view to improving the organization and working of forward markets;
(d)
undertake the inspection of the accounts and other documents of any recognized association or registered association or any member of such association whenever it considerers it necessary. iv. Regulation for Brokers in commodity futures trading
(e) To
Brokers should meet the following requirements: Mandated capital adequacy. The regulators should seek to minimize any risk to investors and threat to the stability of the market from the failure of an institution because it becomes unable to meet its liabilities. Currently, a broker's membership at the exchange is solely dependent upon fulfilling the financial requirements (in form of upfront payment or equity participation, membership, admission fees etc.) levied by the different exchanges. There is a need for mandated capital adequacy for brokers together with measures to monitor that the capital is, in fact, maintained.
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OF
COMMODITY
AND
COMMODITY MARKET
EQUITY MARKET
Gold gives 10-15 %returns on Gold Returns in the range of the conservative basis. 15-20 % on annual basis. Lower in the range of 4-5-6% Higher in the range of 25-40% Exists on 1-2 month contracts. There is a small difference in prices, but in case of commodities, which it is in large tonnage makes a huge difference. Price movements are purely based on the supply and demand. Price changes are due to policy changes, changes in tariff and duties. Predictability of future prices is not in the control due to factors like Failure of Monsoon and Formation of Elninos at Pacific. Lower Volatility Significant Arbitrage Opportunities exists.
Price Movements
Price Changes
Future Predictability
Volatility Securities Transaction Securities Transaction Act is Securities Transaction Act is not applicable to commodity applicable to equity markets Act Application
futures trading. trading.
Prices movements based on the expectation of future performance. Price changes can also be due to Corporate actions, Dividend announcements, Bonus shares / Stock splits. Predictability of futures performance is reasonably high, which is supplemented by the History of management performance. Higher Volatility
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More than 50% of the people are intraday trader and short term investor. So there will be an opportunity for the commodity markets to convert them to the commodity trading by proper awareness. 2. ARE YOU AWARE ABOUT COMMODITY MARKETS? AWARENESS OF PEOPLE REGARDING COMMODITIES MARKETS
Nearly 50% of the people are unaware about the commodity market. So commodity exchanges and brokers have to take some corrective steps to create the awareness into the general public.
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Only 22% of the people are trading into the commodity market so there is a large market share to cover by creating the proper awareness. 4. WHAT ARE THE REASONS FOR NOT TRADING IN COMMODITY MARKETS? REASONS FOR NOT TRADING IN COMMODITY MARKETS
lack of understanding-34% lack of guidance from brokers-10% no option for-5% warehousing problems-2% influence of macroeconomics-2% big losses-11% big lots(high margin)-5% others-31%
34% of the people are not trading because of lack of understanding. While 31% of the people are not trading because they are not having the time and interest.
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More than 50% of the people are trading into the precious metals like Gold/Silver/Copper. Only 19% of the people are trading into agricultural commodities which are very much lesser than the metals. So we can say that by creating more awareness to the farmers commodity exchanges can get better turnover into agri-commodities. 6. WHAT IS YOUR PURPOSE FOR TRADING IN THE COMMODITY MARKETS? PURPOSE OF TRADING INTO COMMODITIES MARKET
speculation-45% hedging for physical goods-20% investment (delivery purpose)0% arbitrage-15% others-20%
45% of the people are just doing speculation into the commodity markets. O% people are taking the delivery of the commodity.
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7. WHAT FACTORS AFFECT COMMODITIES THE MOST? FACTORS AFFECTING THE COMMODITIES MARKETS
34% of the people who are falling within the others criteria are believe that commodity market is just speculation so no factors are affecting to it is completely depend on the operators. Only 2% and 5% of the people believed crop harvesting and spot prices. 27% of people believe demand-supply scenario can be a important factor 8. DO YOU FEEL THAT IN LAST COUPLE OF YEARS PRICES OF GENERAL COMMODITIES HAVE INCREASED DUE TO COMMODITY SPECULATIONS?
PRICES HAVE GONE UP DUE TO COMMODITY SPECULATIONS
yes no
86% of the people are believe that price of general commodities have gone up due to commodity speculations.
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Newspapers and Articles ECONOMIC TIMES :- DATED (21ST JUNE 2012) MINT DATED :- (19TH DECEMBER 2011) TIMES OF INDIA :-DATED (9TH JANUARY 2012) Websites http://www.ncdex.com/ http://business.mapsofindia.com http://www.indiainfoline.com/ http://indian-commodity.com/ http://www.bcel.org/ http://www.moneycontrol.com http://www.fmc.gov.in http://www.trade.motilaloswal.com http://www.thefinancials.com http://www.porfolioscience.com
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