DSA Alert April-2011

SAARC COUNTRIES : US$ 20 REST OF THE WORLD : US$ 25
APRIL 2011
INDIA : ` 120
VOLUME 2
ISSN
ISSUE 7
0976-206X
9 770976 206003
Pakistan Special
> VOLUME 2 > ISSUE 7 > APRIL 2011
OMINOUS CLOUDS!
NO SILVER LINING?
editor-in-chief
he Raymond Davis affair truly captures the current situation, predicament, of Pakistan like no other has done in the recent past. A perplexing incident that leaves more questions unanswered than it reveals. The shadowy operations that the Pakistani intelligence agencies undertake with their counterparts from the United States of America. The loss of Pakistani lives in circumstances that were as mysterious as they are avoidable. Then the whole drama about the legal status of Raymond Davis, diplomatic or otherwise. Passions heightened by the selectivity of media leaks that ranged from the conspiratorial to the bizarre. Vast public participation in the case as a daily dose of legalese, international relations and national security affairs. A last minute change of legal representatives for the victim families. And the closing chapter in which the acquittal happened by recourse to Sharia law that has the country in a bind in any case. All of this finally ended with the flight out of Pakistan for Raymond Davis and family members of those that died from his gunfire.
All of this happened in the bright glare of media attention, but for the final closing chapter that was cloaked in a dramatic denouement that would have put even the most addicted conspiracy theorists to shame. There was a hype about the case that had the entire country riveted, even shutting out those that spoke for a different approach to relations with the greatest benefactor of Pakistan, the United States of America. The shrillness of the campaign to punish Raymond Davis was led by intelligence briefings and leaks to the media that bordered on being completely off the wall. Why a CIA contractor would want to take photographs of Pakistan army bunkers on the Indian border when better resolution images are available on US military satellites! This was amongst the more bizarre leaks that the Pakistani agencies indulged in. All the while raising hopes amongst the Pakistani public that their country was not going to succumb to the sustained pressure of the US to release a CIA contractor caught for murder. But all the while various organisations, institutions and families in Pakistan were quietly cutting a deal with powers in Washington.
Amongst the more fantastic allegations flying around web world is the one about the Director General of the ISI getting yet another extension on account of this deal. He was clearly in the picture as negotiations began to unravel a seriously vexing issue. As were the two main political parties in Pakistan, who joined hands with the army leadership in finding a way out of this maze. The judiciary were in the loop, of course. And a lawyer to do the final bidding with the families. None of this was in the know of the people of Pakistan, who had been fed on strange stories about Pakistani bunkers being compromised et al. Since Sharia law was used to arrive at a settlement even the highly vocal mullahs cant say much about it. There were deals with various players, but for the people of Pakistan and that is the reality of that country today.
April 2011 Defence AND security alert
publishers view
announcement
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Vo l u m e 2 I s s u e 7 A p r i l 2 0 11
chairman shyam sunder publisher & ceo pawan agrawal editor-in-chief manvendra singh director shishir bhushan corporate consultant k j singh art consultant divya gupta central saint martins college of art & design, university of arts, london corporate communications monika kanchan ad-sales manish upadhyay representative J&K salil sharma creative vivek anand pant correspondent (europe) dominika cosic production dilshad & dabeer webmaster sundar rawat photographer subhash circulation & distribution vijay bhatia ranjeet system administrator vikas e-mail: (first name)@dsalert.org info: info@dsalert.org articles: articles@dsalert.org subscri ption: subscription@dsalert.org online edition: online@dsalert.org advertisement: advt@dsalert.org editorial & business office 4/19 asaf ali road new delhi-110002 (India) t: +91-011-23243999,23287999,9958382999 f: +91-11-23259666 e: info@dsalert.org www.dsalert.org
SHATHE SHATHYAM SAMACHARET: TIT FOR TAT!
s the Islamic Republic of Pakistan really a pak (pious) State as it was visualised by its progenitor Mohammad Ali Jinnah? It was crafted out of India with a vision of establishing a much better nation-State, a haven for the Muslims of the sub-continent, but what the world is witnessing today is a mockery of all that is Islamic, humane and inclusive.
ANNOUNCES MAY 2011 AS SPECIAL I S S U E O N
What progress has Pakistan made in the last 64 years of its existence? Not much. In fact it stands (singularly alone among the comity of nations) on the brink of becoming a failed State. Ominous clouds look down upon Pakistan menacingly and it has reached that stage of dark existence where everybody is looking for some silver lining. All in vain. Right from its inception till date the scenario has been worsening by the day for one reason or the other. It has now reached a stage where there is little hope of any transformation or recovery at all. There is no significant development in any sector in the last six decades whether it is education or health, industry or business. There have been no new measures taken by any of the past or present governments for the welfare and well-being of the people in any manner. The education and the health sectors are so weak and dogma ridden that they have been hijacked by the fundamentalists to create a new breed of Muslims who are bloodthirsty and bereft of the milk of human kindness that the Prophet (Peace be upon him) sought to create by his teachings. As a consequence the only industry that has flourished in the past decades is that of terrorism which is thriving in Pakistan. All the previous governments and the present one have contributed by acts of commission and omission to the promotion of the business of terrorism which has now attained global proportions. It has become a multinational corporation in every sense of the term. All the politicians, defence personnel, bureaucrats and diplomats have become purveyors of the cult of terrorism as is seen in the manner in which they singly and collectively spring to the defence of the terrorist and try to justify the existence of this cult and his/her acts with such coinage as Islamophobia and Muslim-baiters. Today, Pakistan and terrorism have become synonymous and innocent Muslims all over the world suffer the consequences of an image that has been superimposed on Islam for geopolitical, not spiritual, purposes. This state of affairs is a matter of great concern for the whole world as it is affecting everyone. The masterminds propagating the cult of violence and terrorism spend time and big money researching and developing the most potent devices and products like jihad, human bombs and terrorism which are being shipped to all parts of the world. And India being the neighbour and a peace loving country is affected the most. We have seen the conspiracies being hatched and implemented by Pakistan on many occasions and we are really disturbed because of this. Thousands of Indians have been sacrificed in the macabre mechanisations and ill-advised conceit relentlessly pursued by Pakistan. How long can India keep suffering and forgiving? How long can India wait for Pakistan to realise the futility of its self-destructive ambition? The time has come for India to act. And act decisively. What are we waiting for? The most opportune time?Are we scared of the international community or we are scared that if we take strong steps against Pakistan then the Arab world is going to stop all oil supplies to India? Lets take a firm decision now otherwise these attacks on India will never stop. We are witnessing what is going on in the Arab world. They themselves are in bad shape and we should not be scared of imagined consequences. India must not delay finding a permanent solution to the Pakistani menace. Whatever the cost. Lets not waste our energy, time and money on Pakistani nationals like Kasab or Pakistan-indoctrinated and motivated anti-nationals like Afzal Guru and make them pay for their crimes against our motherland. Lets pray for the well-being of the State of Pakistan and its people but be prepared to annihilate its non-State actors and other perpetrators of crimes against India and peace loving Indians. Jai Hind!
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contents
PAKISTAN SPECIAL ISSUE April 2011
Vo lume 2 Issue 7 April 2011
contents
6 10 14 21 24 30 32 37 40 43 46 50 55 Pak-China-N.Korea nexus
Dr. Rajiv Nayan
A R T I C L E S
Islamic nukes: global implications

G. Parthasarathy
60 67 71 74 80 84
Pak-US relations
Ram Rahim Pareshan!
Prof. P. M. Kamath
Vice Admiral (Retd.) Barry Bharathan
genealogy of an oligarchy
unending quest for parity

Dr. Tej Pratap Singh
Brig. (Retd.) Gurmeet Kanwal
the two-nation theory: an amorphous idea

Prof. Kalim Bahadur
straddling the crossroads
Lt. Gen. (Retd.) O. P. Kaushik
Pakistan 2020: possible scenarios

Brig. (Retd.) Rahul K. Bhonsle
global war on terror: role reversal

Dr. Rajendra Prasad Rohit K. Mishra
the end of Jinnahs dream?

Dr. Prem Shankar Jha
fountainhead of terror: Russian equation

F E A T U R E S
Chinas Cuba?
Maj. Gen. (Retd.) Dr. G. D. Bakshi
defsec: product updates fire safety tips
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nukes: jihadi hand on trigger?

Dr. Harsh V. Pant
radicalisation: global threat

Maj. Gen. (Retd.) Afsir Karim
ballistic missile capability

Dr. Arvind Kumar
military postures: perceptions and reality

Cmde. (Retd.) Ranjit Rai Dr. Jagmohan Meher
playing for strategic depth Pakistan's undoing: media the monster or ill-advised conceit?
Brig. (Retd.) Chitranjan Sawant
for online edition of Defence and Security Alert (DSA) log on to: www.dsalert.org
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DEFENCE AND SECURITY ALERT DSALERT

Pakistan
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Kargil has shown that there is space beneath the nuclear overhang for a limited war. But that episode also underscored that such a limited war places unacceptable restrictions on manoeuvre as a means to bring about a swift and successful culmination of a military campaign. This leaves India at a disadvantage in the face of both Pakistan and Chinas attempts at salami slicing and nibbling of territory all along the Himalayas. It is also necessary to be abundantly clear that there have been freelance contacts between Pakistans nuclear scientists and military personnel with the masterminds of terrorism to coordinate and strategise their respective roles and, like Kargil illustrated, there is no sanctity of any written agreement and one will have to play it by ear if and when the crunch comes.
G. Parthasarathy
Islamic nukes: global implications

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April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert
Pakistan
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April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert
Pakistan
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Today, more than ever, Pakistans geographical position is bringing in geopolitical dividends far beyond what it received in the Cold War years. The amazing aspect is not that the billions of dollars shovelled by the US into Pakistani coffers have grown exponentially but that it is happening in the teeth of unparalled Islamic fundamentalism baring its fangs both inside Pakistan and in neighbouring Afghanistan. The US-sponsored Global War On Terror appears to be in reverse gear, adding to the general perception that the US is a nation in decline.
Prof. P . M. Kamath
PAK-US RELATIONS
international terrorism, since Taliban which ruled Afghanistan refused to hand over Al Qaeda supreme leader, Osama bin Laden to the US. Once again, geopolitical location of Pakistan helped it to come closer to the US.
Locational advantage
Thus, Pakistans relations with the US since its birth have been a matter of
mutual convenience never based on any lasting principles. And the fundamental principle propelling to two together has been Pakistans geopolitical location. Stephen Cohen, an American expert on Pakistan never gets tired of saying that US leans on Pakistan because of its geopolitical location. He adds further pepper to salt by stating that if that crucial territory was with India, it would have been critical to American
interest in Persian Gulf!
Global war on terrorism

As stated earlier, George W. Bush was forced to cement an alliance with Pakistan, soon after 9/11 primarily to seek a launching pad against Taliban-ruled Afghanistan and capture Osama bin Laden, mastermind behind 9/11 attacks alive or dead. During
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The civilian government has not been able to improve respect for human rights in Pakistan. Mullahs are setting the goal of orthodox Islamic rule as evident in killing of Punjabs Governor SalmaanTaseer and Shabaz Bhatti, Islamabads minister for minority affairs for their criticism of controversial Blasphemy Law and support to a more liberal and tolerant society. Though the victims were members of the ruling Pakistan Peoples Party, government has been impotent against those preaching religious intolerance. The US has neither condemned Pakistans move towards religious intolerance nor for its human rights violations!
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Much as the rest of the world has a distinctly negative impression of the Pakistan army, the people (both politicians and others) have a love-hate relationship with their hatchet-arm. It is not for nothing that the Pakistan army Inter-Services Intelligence is the nucleus of Pakistans jihadist tendencies. Every civilian politician from Qaid-e-Azam Mohammad Ali Jinnah down to current Head of State Asif Ali Zardari have depended on it at crucial moments of Pakistans turbulent history. The iconic Benazir Bhutto found great comfort in the troika arrangement in which the army played the puppet master from behind the scene. The Zardari - Gilani combine dare not repeal the Blasphemy Law till the army nods approval. Zardaris early comments on Kashmir have met with stony silence in General HQ and every attempt to whitewash the terror-stained image of Pakistan has been stonewalled by the army be it Indias Mumbai carnage or Americas Times Square fizzler.
genealogy of
an oligarchy
Brig. (Retd.) Gurmeet Kanwal
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While Kayani has ostensibly maintained a hands off approach, the army still calls the shots on Pakistans Kashmir and nuclear policies, does not allow any meddling in senior level appointments and the annual budget and follows its own policy in dealing with the Taliban in Afghanistan. The situation is unlikely to improve till the 5,50,000 strong army is cut to size in keeping with Pakistans legitimate national security requirements
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310mm Bleed
295mm Trim
265mm Live
The C-17 Globemaster III is the worlds most capable airlifter, able to perform the full range of both tactical and strategic airlift requirements. Whether its transporting out-sized cargo and personnel or delivering humanitarian relief into virtually any environment, the C-17 provides oneof-a-kind mission flexibility. A world of capability and value, ready now. C - 1 7 . T O D AY, M O R E T H A N E V E R .
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Pakistan
TUMULTUOUS JOURNEY
The power of a King lies in his mighty arms

Security of the citizens at peace time is very important because State is the only saviour of the men and women who get affected only because of the negligence of the State.
mission
Chanakya
t h e t w o-n a t i o n t h e o r y :
Prof. Kalim Bahadur
an amorphous i d ea
With no greater rationale for its existence than the false assumption that all Muslims wanted a separate nation-State, Pakistan tried to scavange on India by seeking a resonance among those who opted to remain within a Union of India by encouraging first the Sikhs to create a Khalistan so that the two-nation theory can gain some post ipso facto legitimacy. The frequent attempts to delink the Muslim-majority Kashmir Valley is based on that same illegitimate logic hence the recurrent need to infiltrate and coerce the local population leading to a series of wars that have only left Pakistan dismembered and stewing in its own juice.
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There has long been a perception in some quarters in India as well as among Pakistans friends that if India panders to Pakistans demands, especially concessions in Kashmir, there will be peace and tranquillity between the two countries. That this perception militates against the experience of Europe and its accommodation of Hitlers lebensraum concept has been lost on the protagonists of this pernicious idea. Peace and tranquillity depends on a radical change of heart in the Pakistani military establishment, which, as long as it has jihadist elements holding the levers of power - the so-called moderate in the military as Musharraf portrayed himself is an oxymoron (Kargil happened because of him) Indians should not allow themselves to be deluded by such strategic thinkers.
Brig. (Retd.) Rahul K. Bhonsle
Pakistan 2020: possible scenarios
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Despite the overwhelming indicators of a variety of internal and external forces at play there is too much emphasis on Indo-Pakistan dtente as a solution to the latters structural crisis. As the scenarios built indicate there is more to Pakistans debility than its differences with India. While this is not an argument against engagement of Pakistan, there is a need to highlight that this will have limited impact on the overall effort to positively restructure Pakistans trajectory towards 2020. The main change has to come from within
In incidents of terrorism from a high
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The Pakistan nation is in a state of stasis, petrified by the Islamic fundamentalist Frankenstein it has handfed and burnished since Zia-ul Haq inducted a Saudi Arabian midwife to raise a new Caliphate. To expect the Pakistan army to rectify itself is like asking the Devil to read the scriptures. It has, in fact, shown all the signs of being the eunuch-bodyguard of the seraglio consisting of the Al Qaeda, the Taliban and its several splinter groups and the United Jihad Council onetime frontline fighters against the Soviet army in Afghanistan. The US will do itself and the world a favour if it, even at this late stage of the Af-Pak farce, shuts off all military aid to the Pakistan army.
Dr. Prem Shankar Jha
the end of Jinnahs dream?
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Maj. Gen. (Retd.) Dr. G. D. Bakshi
China has created in Pakistan a proxy that has reached a state of hallucination by the frequent infusion of opiates like nuclear weapons and missiles. It is not just a danger to the nation-States around it, more particularly India, but is fast reaching the stage of critical implosion brought about by the combustible mix of jihad and nuclear weapons. Chinese policy in Pakistan is turning out to be as dangerous as the American use of Islamist fundamentalists against the Soviet occupying forces in Afghanistan in the 80s.
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China had ably utilised Pakistan to deny India a peaceful periphery for its economic growth and keep it destabilised and off balance within the geographical confines of South Asia. In analogical terms, Pakistan has been Chinas Cuba in South Asia
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Dr. Harsh V. Pant
nukes: jihadi hand on trigger ?

The recent slaying of the provincial governor of Punjab and minister for Minority Affairs by the diehard Islamic fundamentalists brought to the fore what was till then only a subliminal fear of the direction in which the Pakistani society was drifting. Now it is out in the open that the jihadis have taken control of the soul of Jinnahs Pakistan and the so-called moderates in civil society are so intimidated that their contribution to the national debate is both muted and ignored. The west has only itself to blame not just for international proliferation of nuclear weapons through Pakistan but also the looming possibility that the progeny of the madrassas could lay their hands on Pakistans nukes.
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It is often easily forgotten that the radicalisation of Pakistan began with the Pakistan army. That was the cradle in which military dictator Zia-ul Haq incubated the Saudi Arabian version of Wahabism. Three decades is a generation in any heirarchical establishment so it should be expected that the current GHQ is made up completely of dyed-in-the-wool jihadis. The man who shot the governor of the Punjab province for his liberal views is not the exception but the existing widespread reality of Pakistan.
Maj. Gen. (Retd.) Afsir Karim
radicalisation: global threat
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Pakistan
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Dr. Arvind Kumar
ballistic missile capability

With a nuclear arsenal already touted to be larger than Indias (more than 100 compared to Indias 60 plus) the expanding range of Pakistans delivery systems is intended to cover most of the Indian hinterland. If India is to remain credible with its minimum deterrence it must be able to hit several Chinese vital areas Beijing, Shanghai and its bustling ports on the Pacific seaboard. Pakistan, with its measley strategic depth (even if it places its assets in Afghanistan and Iran) would be covered in toto. Concommitantly, a ballistic missile defence capable of exo-atmosphere interception at a greater height will be a gamechanger in its own right.
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Even as Pakistan is feverishly enlarging its nuclear weapons stockpile it has built up a huge echelon of sub-conventional non-State actors with a jihadi bent of mind to counter Indias conventional forces. More and more it is this sub-conventional force led and directed by regular army officers that is used to provoke India with terrorist attacks in the sure knowledge that India will not cross the international border or even the Line of Control to ease the pressure out of apprehension about Pakistans nuclear weapons.
Cmde.(Retd.) Ranjit Rai
military postures: perceptions and reality
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Pakistan
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Indias moves to further the Peace Dialogue with Pakistan and attempts by India to resolve issues, are thwarted by Pakistan's army as it would lose primacy. Even when Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gillani met Prime Minister Manmohan Singh in Thimphu in April 2010, the discussion on resumption of dialogue between India and Pakistan was hopeful when Gillani said he would ensure that the perpetrators of the 26/11 Mumbai attack would be punished and added, "The army supports me," but the reality was different. Soon thereafter vitriolic statements emanated from Pakistan and vitiated the atmosphere
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Pakistans game plan in Afghanistan has all the hallmarks of Fascist Germanys lebensraum gambit. In a yearning for strategic depth Hitler transformed the German people into Fascists just as Pakistan has created a talibanised society in Pakistan and in the Afghan hinterland with the avowed intention of extending that ideology into the former Communist Soviet Union. If America and its allies have to win the global war on terror they must stamp it out in Pakistan and not encourage the application of the concept on landlocked Afghanistan.
Dr. Jagmohan Meher
playing for strategic depth
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But one repurcussion of the Pakistani game plan - which the military establishment in Rawalpindi is seemingly not serious about - is the country's own peril. As it is seen from the ongoing violence in different parts of Pakistan emanating from its own terrorists and other organisations which the successive military and political leadership helped create, the country has been engulfed in the clutches of the fundamentalists and extremists and is on the verge of implosion from within
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Brig. (Retd.) Chitranjan Sawant
? t i e c n o c d e s i v d a l l i r o r e t s n o m e h t media
Nothing emphasises the dismal state of Pakistani society than the reactions of influential sections to the murders of Punjab province governor Salmaan Taseer and minister for minorities affairs Mr. Shahbaz Bhatti. You had lawyers showering rose petals on the killer and there was Sherry Rehman of the Pakistan Peoples Party shamefacedly withdrawing her amendment to the blasphemy law that would have removed the causes that led to the assassination of Taseer. Now Asma Jehangir, Pakistans indomitable human rights activist, is under threat for seeking the abolition of this draconian Islamist-oriented law. International public opinion was shocked out of its wits. And the media reflected that reaction. 55 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert
: g n i o d n u Pakistan's
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GSA Exhibitions organised the fourth successful Global Security Asia 2011 at Singapore from 15-17 March, 2011. It was an International Exhibition and Conference on Homeland Security and the theme for GSA 2011 was Prevention and Protection Safeguarding People, Property and Infrastructure. The GSA show was very well organised by team GSA. The excellent floor plan was superbly executed ensuring easy visibility and prominence to each and every Booth. GSA serves the International Community and presents a platform for Industry, Governments and Security professionals to interact and develop solutions to build their respective Security structures and platforms to protect their borders and infrastructure to counter the ongoing threat of Terrorism and civil unrest. The leading international magazine Defence and Security Alert (DSA) was the official media partner for GSA 2011. DSA Booth at GSA 2011 was the centre of attraction and attracted dignitaries, visitors and industry professionals like a magnet. DSA was the most popular and sought after industry magazine at GSA 2011. Its world class content, presentation and overall production quality were appreciated by all especially the industry professionals. All the International participants showed great interest in India and expressed keen desire to promote and project their products, technologies and services in the booming Indian market. Many of them discussed with team DSA their plans to enter the Indian market using DSA platform to advertise and showcase their products and services. Team DSA gratefully acknowledges and thanks Mr. Roger Marriott, Chairman,
global presence
Mr. Andrew Marriott, MD and Ms. Sandy Wong of GSA Exhibitions Pte. Ltd. for providing this opportunity and exposure to DSA in the Asia Pacific region and for their wholehearted support and generous hospitality during GSA 2011.
We all at DSA pledge to continue our endeavours to make our beautiful world more safe and secure for all.
Pakistan
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Very much in the manner in which the US has helped create and sustain a jihadi terrorist network centred in Pakistan and is suffering the consequences by such acts as the 9/11 attack on its economic and military hubs another, more dangerous, phenomenon is in the making. The willful and mindboggling denial of Chinas role in global proliferation of nuclear weapons and the means of delivery of nuclear warheads in Asia and the Pacific has already burgeoned into North Koreas overt threats to use nuclear weapons if the US asserted its authority in its adjoining seas. China has revised its nuclear doctrine to make it clear that if what it perceives as its national interests are threatened it will not hesitate to use nuclear weapons (in the context of Jammu and Kashmir and Arunachal Pradesh). This read with the stasis recently demonstrated by Pakistans civil society in the face of jihadi terrorism over the Blasphemy laws ought to drive some sense into American heads. They will not need to send to ask for whom the bell tolls. It tolls for them.
Dr. Rajiv Nayan
Pak-China-N.Korea nexus
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defsec
TECHSHOW
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TECHSHOW
Pakistan
TUMULTUOUS JOURNEY
Vice Admiral (Retd.) Barry Bharathan
RAM RAHIM PARESHAN!

Among the questions that prick peoples minds these days on the sub-continent is whether trying to forge a consensus among the nations of the inadequately described South Asia be an exercise in putting Humpty-Dumpty together again. All of Indias neighbours profess a fear of being overshadowed by India in a Europe-like conglomeration. If France and Germany can now hit it off together (like a house on fire!) cannot India, Pakistan and Bangladesh take some steps towards greater trade and commerce if not the dreaded confederation that was once mentioned and shot down?
S
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outh Asia is akin to a horse. India thinks it is on the saddle. China controls the reins. Pakistan uses
the whip. Bangladesh clings to the saddle. America is a self imposed groom and a confused punter.
History, statistics are vulnerable to distortion and distension. An illustrative example is the futile artifice
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Aggregate South Asian economic development is the need of the decade. A full stomach is the key to reducing tensions. Motivating the polity to think differently is the need of today. Putting all disputes aside to achieve people sustenance is the start that the sub-continent can readily make without loss of constituent political face
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Dr. Tej Pratap Singh
unending quest for parity

It is a fact of history and relations between nations that there is always an element of rivalry or competition in the management of their interaction. It is out of the necessity of evolving such relationships that great minds like Chanakya and Clausewitz and Bismarck and even the much-reviled Hitler developed strategies to deal with issues of war and of peace. Pakistan, having been part of India for centuries, has not had time to bring forth an eminence grise who could chart a future for the nation-State within the context of good neighbourliness. Jinnahs legacy of the two-nation theory carried within itself the seeds of rivalry and divisiveness that were like poison in potency. Pakistan may well succumb to the gall of disappointments vis-a-vis India that it has had to experience in its short history of existence.
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Lt. Gen. (Retd.) O. P . Kaushik
straddling the crossroads

Pakistan has taken full advantage of straddling the confluence of lines of communication and egress on the roof of the world. It was not for nothing that the Great Game between Tsarist Empire and the British Raj of control and domination was played out through its territory long before Pakistan itself became a reality. How much it can become a benign influence and contribute towards the goal of a multipolar world is, as yet, a work in progress. The potential is there but the circumstances of its birth, its descent into Islamic fundamentalist depths and its congenital enmity with India may yet circumscribe its role.
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Indias concern in the strategic factors of the region is natural. Pakistan is a continuation of large Indian mass and was separated artificially through an imaginary line. India remains deeply interested in the developments taking place in Afghanistan and Central Asian Republics because of deep cultural, psychological, emotional, economic and political relationship. We cannot forget the historical fact that the Muslim and Mughal invaders came through the Khyber Pass. Even earlier than that from 1,500 BC the country was invaded by Aryans, Greeks and Persians. Arabs arrived in the AD 700, bringing the Muslim religion with them. All these historical developments took place through the territories which now comprise Pakistan. We, therefore, share the strategic concerns with Pakistan in this region and because of this reason alone a strategic partnership between India and Pakistan is called for
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protection
safety measures
Team DSA
Always be aware and alert. Install and maintain proper fire alarms and smoke detectors with automatic dialing facility. Also store the phone numbers of nearest fire station, ambulance and your mobile number in the automatic dialing facility. Install fire exit doors on every floor of the building. Install fire extinguishers on the lobby of every floor. Have regular fire drills to train all residents and family members in handling fire emergencies, understand evacuation plans and recognise sound of fire alarms. Get all your belongings and home suitably insured. Check the gas nozzles every night and keep them in the switched-off mode. When an electric or electronic gadget is not in use, make sure it is unplugged. Ensure that electric wiring is done by qualified and certified electrical contractors. Always insist on and install safety electrical devices like MCB / ELCB switches etc. Teach and educate children / youngsters the do's and don'ts in case of a fire emergency. Plan and fix the assembly point and inform everyone. Take extra precaution during festivals and monitor children when bursting fire crackers etc.
Always be aware and alert. Do not panic. Call the city / locality fire service and ambulance immediately. Feed the fire emergency numbers in the speed dial of the fire alarm systems for immediate communication. Alert all the family members and neighbours / residents without creating panic. Never use the lift during a fire in your building or apartment. Leave the premises by the nearest available exit as quickly as you can using the staircase. If you are trapped in your room or building during a fire try to stop the smoke and fire from getting into your room. Use wet towels, blankets or spare clothes to block the gaps in the doors and open all windows. If your clothes catch fire, drop yourself down and roll on the ground. Do not panic or run, it will make the fire burn faster and lead to more injuries or burns. When trying to escape from a room engulfed with smoke, protect yourself from choking. Crawl through the room on your knees, as cool and clean air can be found a few inches from the floor.
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Pakistan
tuMultuOus JOurney
The endgame in Afghanistan remains obscure given that the US-led global war on terror has not achieved its objectives either inside Afghanistan or against the jihadi diaspora. One thing is clear, the mid 2011 deadline for withdrawal is impracticable and could easily lend itself to the interpretation that it is a defeat of the US. By trying to invest greater trust on Pakistan as the arbiter in Afghanistan, the US may extricate itself locally but there is no guarantee that the globalised jihadi would declare a ceasefire and come to terms with American hegemony.
Dr. Rajendra Prasad
global war on terror: role reversal
80
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Pakistan
TUMULTUOUS JOURNEY
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April 2011 DEfENcE AND SEcURiTY ALERT
Pakistan
tuMultuOus JOurney
Moscows engagement with Islamabad can best be described as realpolitik in the face of the threat of Chechen and Islamic fundamentalists to the Russian heartland as well as the Central Asian region. It grows out of a realisation that both global terrorism as well as nuclear proliferation have their epicentre in Pakistan and Moscow cannot but be chary of Chechens getting their hands on Pakistani nuclear knowhow and materials. Also, there can be no gainsaying the fact that Pakistans location straddles the pathway that Russian oil and gas can traverse to India. Much depends on Pakistans ability to deliver on the global war on terrorism, especially after the US begins its withdrawal from Afghanistan. If and when the Taliban returns to Kabul, Moscow will need a restaining hand to prevent the mullahs from infiltrating the Muslim-dominated Central Asian Republics and threaten Moscow itself.
Rohit K. Mishra
fountainhead of terror: Russian equation
Pakistan
tuMultuOus JOurney
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GLOBAL DEFENCE AND SECURITY EVENTS / SHOWS

APRIL 2011
Friday 1st April 2011 Sunday 3rd April 2011 Civil Protec Fiera Bolzano, Bolzano, Italy Monday 4th April 2011 - Thursday 14th April 2011 IPOMEX - 4th International Police Trade Fair and Conference Messe und Congress Centrum Halle Mnsterland, Munster, Germany Tuesday 5th April 2011 - Thursday 7th April 2011 Offshore Patrol Vessels Asia-Pacific 2011, Grand Hyatt Singapore, Singapore Tuesday 5th April 2011 - Thursday 7th April 2011 The Safety Show - Workplace Safety Exhibition Melbourne Exhibition & Convention Centre, Melbourne, Australia Tuesday 5th April 2011 - Thursday 7th April 2011 ISC West Sands Expo Convention Center, Las Vegas, USA Tuesday 5th April 2011 - Thursday 7th April 2011 The Safety Show Sydney 2011 Melbourne Exhibition & Convention Centre, Melbourne, Australia Monday 11th April 2011 - Thursday 14th April 2011 Maritime Homeland Security Summit, Renaissance Baltimore Harbourplace Hotel, Baltimore, MD, USA Tuesday 12th April 2011 Friday 15th April 2011 China Sourcing Fair: Security Products AsiaWorld-Expo, Hong Kong, Hong Kong Wednesday 13th April 2011 - Thursday 14th April 2011 Defence IT 2011, Bristol Marriott Hotel City Centre, Bristol, UK, Wednesday 13th April 2011 - Thursday 14th April 2011 Search and Rescue Bournemouth International Centre, Bournemouth, United Kingdom Friday 15th April 2011 IDEF 09- 9th International Defence Industry Fair USA Sunday 17th April 2011 - Wednesday 20th April 2011 International Symposium on Air Defense Beijing, China Tuesday 19th April 2011 - Wednesday 20th April 2011 Counter Terror Expo 2011, Olympia Conference and Exhibition Centre, London, UK, Tuesday 19th April 2011 Wednesday20th April 2011 Counter Terror Expo Olympia Conference & Exhibition Centre, London, United Kingdom Tuesday 19th April 2011 - Thursday 21st April 2011 Safety EXPO Cosumnes River College, Sacramento, USA Tuesday 26th April 2011 - Thursday 28th April 2011 Security Beijing - Beijing International Exhibition for Public Security Products China International Exhibition Center CIEC, Beijing, China Tuesday 26th April 2011 - Thursday 28th April 2011 International Security Conference & Exposition Expo Center Norte, Sao Paulo, Brazil Friday 29th April 2011 - Saturday 30th April 2011 Greentech Fire, Safety & Security India Conference & Expo Shangri La Hotel New Delhi, India
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> VOLUME 2 > ISSUE 7 > APRIL 2011

April 2011 Defence AND security alert

SHATHE SHATHYAM SAMACHARET: TIT FOR TAT!

ANNOUNCES MAY 2011 AS SPECIAL I S S U E O N

Science And Technology

Available at all leading bookstores

April 2011 Defence AND security alert

contact for subscription: online@dsalert.org

Vo lume 2 Issue 7 April 2011

Islamic nukes: global implications

Ram Rahim Pareshan!

Vice Admiral (Retd.) Barry Bharathan

unending quest for parity

Brig. (Retd.) Gurmeet Kanwal

the two-nation theory: an amorphous idea

straddling the crossroads

Lt. Gen. (Retd.) O. P. Kaushik

Pakistan 2020: possible scenarios

global war on terror: role reversal

the end of Jinnahs dream?

fountainhead of terror: Russian equation

Maj. Gen. (Retd.) Dr. G. D. Bakshi

defsec: product updates fire safety tips

nukes: jihadi hand on trigger?

radicalisation: global threat

ballistic missile capability

military postures: perceptions and reality

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DEFENCE AND SECURITY ALERT DSALERT

April 2011 Defence AND security alert

Islamic nukes: global implications

April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert

April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert

interest in Persian Gulf!

Global war on terrorism

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April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert

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April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert

Brig. (Retd.) Gurmeet Kanwal

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April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert

April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert

The power of a King lies in his mighty arms

Prof. Kalim Bahadur

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Brig. (Retd.) Rahul K. Bhonsle

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In incidents of terrorism from a high

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Dr. Prem Shankar Jha

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