October 2013 Queensland Weather Predictions:

Tuesday October 1st, 2013 QLD - Partly cloudy and fine most districts. Mild with some light showers southern border districts from the Maranoa and Warrego, Wide Bay, Burnett and Southeast Coast districts. Warmer and fine elsewhere. Brisbane:

Changeable, partly cloudy, scattered showers, thunderstorms possible. Wednesday October 2nd, 2013 QLD - Partly cloudy across the State, warmer northern parts, cooler to the south. Some brief showers Capricornia to the Central West and around the Southeast Coast. Fine elsewhere. Chance of fog patches in sheltered areas. Brisbane:

Fine, warmer, mostly sunny, chance fog patches. Thursday October 3rd, 2013 QLD - Partly cloudy, warm and breezy Peninsula, Gulf Country and Northwest districts. Cloudier southern half of the State with rainy outbreaks to the Central West extending into the Channel Country, Maranoa and Warrego. Mainly fine elsewhere. Brisbane:

Cloudy, mostly fine, threat of rain. Friday October 4th, 2013 QLD - Low pressure crossing southern half of the State. Scattered cloud most districts, cloudier in the Southeast. Fine Peninsula, Gulf Country and northern coastal districts to the Central Highlands. Scattered rain acticity elsewhere, mostly overnight. Chance of thunderstorms. Brisbane:

Low Pressure, cloudy, showers. Saturday October 5th, 2013 QLD - Wet front crossing the State bringing rain and possible thunderstorms mostly overnight from the Northwest and Central Highlands to the Granite Belt, Darling Downs and around the Capricornia, Wide Bay, Burnett and Southeast Coast districts. Mainly fine elsewhere with sunny outbreaks and strong winds through the southeast quarter. Brisbane:

Warmer, static air, partly cloudy, brief showers possible. Sunday October 6th, 2013

QLD - Low pressure influencing the State. Some scattered showers Capricornia to the Southeast Coast and up into the Central Highlands. Mainly fine elsewhere. Strong windy spells southern coastal districts. Cooler southern border districts. Brisbane:

Low pressure, changeable, mild, windy, partly cloudy, mostly fine. Monday October 7th, 2013 QLD - Fine and dry with pleasant sunny spells across the State. Warm Peninsula districts to the Upper Flinders, milder elsewhere. Brisbane:

Changeable, scattered cloud, mild. Tuesday October 8th, 2013 QLD - Fine and dry with pleasant sunny spells all districts. Warm nothern half of the State, milder to the south. Brisbane:

Low pressure, fine, pleasant sunny spells, cool overnight. Wednesday October 9th, 2013 QLD - Partly cloudy, fine and warm most districts, cooler coastal fringes. Breezy spells eastern coastal regions to the Ranges. Brisbane:

Changeable, partly cloudy, mostly fine, breezy spells. Thursday October 10th, 2013 QLD - Fine and warm with scattered light cloud across most of the State, cloudier Channel Country. Brisbane:

Mainly fine, mild and pleasant, partly cloudy. Friday October 11th, 2013 QLD - Brief showers Wide Bay and Burnett districts and some rainy outbreaks and possible thunderstorms mostly overnight. Partly cloudy, warm and fine elsewhere. Brisbane:

Partly cloudy, mild, pleasant, mainly fine. Chance thunderstorms. Saturday October 12th, 2013 QLD - Weak low pressure over the State. Partly cloudy, warm and fine northern and

eastern districts. Cloudier through the west and southern parts with light showers Northwest, Channel Country, Granett Belt, Darling Downs and threat of rain through the Southeast Coast. Brisbane:

Partly cloudy, moderate, mostly fine with odd brief shower. Sunday October 13th, 2013 QLD - Widespread cloud and scattered rain activity across much of the State. Mostly fine Peninsula and coastal fringes with threats of rain and unsettled winds southeastern coastal districts. Some heavy falls likely Upper Flinders, Central West and in the Maranoa and Warrego. Cooler. Brisbane:

Cloudy, mostly fine, threats of rain. Monday October 14th, 2013 QLD - Partly cloudy, fine and warm Peninsula to the Upper Flinders with occasional threats of rain. Scattered cloud and cooler with rainy outbreaks elsewhere with chance of some heavy falls mostly overnight around the Darling Downs. Brisbane:

Generally fair, mild, fresh atmosphere, brief showers. Tuesday October 15th, 2013 QLD - Mostly sunny and warmer across the State. Some brief showers eastern districts from the Peninsula to the Central Highlands, Mackay to the Southeast coast. Mostly fine elsewhere. Brisbane:

Mostly sunny, fine, pleasant. Wednesday October 16th, 2013 QLD - Isolated rainy outbreaks northern Peninsula. Mainly fine, mostly sunny and pleasant elsewhere with increased scattered cloud around the Darling Downs and Granite Belt. Brisbane:

Partly cloudy, fine, pleasant. Thursday October 17th, 2013 QLD - Warm, static trough crossing the State bringing light scattered cloud northern and central parts with increasing cloud to the west and south. Chance of some isolated showers Channel Country districts, fine elsewhere. Brisbane:

Partly cloudy, fine, static air, threat of rain. Friday October 18th, 2013 QLD - Partly cloudy and warm Peninsula, Gulf Country and down to Mackay. Cloudier and cooler elsewhere. Some scattered showers Northwest, Channel Country and through the southern border districts. Fine elsewhere. Brisbane:

Cloudy, rain, possible thunderstorm. Saturday October 19th, 2013 QLD - Unsettled and changeable across the State with widespread scattered rain activity most districts. More isolated falls Peninsula districts, heavy falls coastal parts from the Capricornia to the Southeast Coast and scattered rain elsewhere. Brisbane:

Mostly cloudy, heavy rain, chance electrical disturbances. Sunday October 20th, 2013 QLD - Partly cloudy with scattered rainy outbreaks most districts. Mostly fine Gulf Country and around the Darling Downs. Breezy coastal fringes. Brisbane:

Clearing, mostly fine and sunny. Monday October 21st, 2013 QLD - Breezy coastal showers Northern Tropical Coast to Mackay, isolated showers Wide Bay and Burnett districts. Mainly fine and mostly sunny elsewhere. Brisbane:

Mainly fine, mostly sunny, moderate breezes. Tuesday October 22nd, 2013 QLD - Partly cloudy and mild with occasional rainy outbreaks eastern coastal districts from the Peninsula to the Southeast Coast. Mostly sunny, warm and fine elsewhere. Breezy eastern districts. Brisbane:

Mostly sunny and fine, breezy spells. Wednesday October 23rd, 2013 QLD - Mostly sunny and warm across the State. Unsettled and windy southwestern districts, calmer elsewhere. Some showers Northern Tropical Coast through the Upper Flinders to the Northwest. Fine elsewhere.

Brisbane:

Fine, mostly sunny, warmer. Thursday October 24th, 2013 QLD - Light showers Northern Tropical Coast, Wide Bay and Burnett districts. Fine elsewhere with strong winds central and southern parts. Mostly sunny and warm northern and central districts, cooler southern border. Brisbane:

Mainly fine, warm, light scattered cloud, windy. Friday October 25th, 2013 QLD - Partly cloudy with fresh to strong winds most districts. Mostly cloudy Mackay to Capricornia districts with some showers Northern tropical Coast, Mackay to Capricornia and isolated around the Central Highlands. Fine elsewhere, warm to the north, cool in the southeast. Brisbane:

Partly cloudy, fine and breezy. Saturday October 26th, 2013 QLD - Anticyclonic air continues over the State. Mostly cloudy, windy and wet with cooler temperatures, rain and occasional heavy falls Mackay to Capricornia and into the Central Highlands. Fine and partly cloudy elsewhere. Brisbane:

Fine, partly cloudy, breezy spells. Sunday October 27th, 2013 QLD - Unsettled coastal districts. Cloudy and cool with rain from the Northern Tropical Coast to the Capricornia and into the Central Highlands with occasional heavy falls. Some light showers Wide Bay and Burnett districts. Partly cloudy, fine and milder elsewhere, warmer Western Peninsula. Brisbane:

Increasing cloud, mainly fine and fair. Monday October 28th, 2013 QLD - Mostly cloudy Central Coast to Highlands, partly cloudy elsewhere. Breezy coastal districts. Pockets of rain coastal districts from the Peninsula to the Mackay, around the Eastern Gulf Peninsula, Upper Flinders and Central Highlands and Central West. Mainly fine elsewhere. Brisbane:

Changeable, mainly fine, scattered cloudy spells.

Tuesday October 29th, 2013 QLD - Mostly cloudy with occasional showers Northern Tropical Coast to Mackay and around the Central Highlands with isolated showers Wide Bay and Burnett districts. Mainly fine, warm and mostly sunny elsewhere. Breezy coastal and inland districts. Brisbane:

Fine, moderate, scattered cloud, some breezy spells. Wednesday October 30th, 2013 QLD - Tropical airflow over the state. Partly cloudy and warm across the State. Light showers lower Peninsula, North Tropical Coast, Wide Bay and Burnett Districts. Mainly fine elsewhere. Brisbane:

Changeable, partly cloudy, fine, mild. Thursday October 31st, 2013 QLD - Warm low pressure system crossing the State in a static airflow with scattered cloud, cooler temperatures western border fringes, warmer elsewhere. Some isolated rainy outbreaks with occasional heavy falls in the Northwest and around the Peninsula coastal fringes. Fine elsewhere. Brisbane:

Changeable, increasing cloud, mostly fine, threats of rain, static airflow.

Queensland Overview - October 2013

State Overall - Drier by 3% (927/957) Brisbne - Drier by 39% (44/72) Carpenteria - Wetter by 110% NE Artesian Basin - Wetter by 5% SW Artesian Basin - Wetter by 27% North & Central Coasts - Wetter by 54% Darling Downs - Drier by 36% Moreton - Drier by 30% 1st: Scattered thunderstorms possible for the South Coast and isolated thunderstorms for the central and southern inland. Chance of hail in the north Sunshine Coast-Wide Bay. Isolated fogs possible Central Coast and notheast. Isolated dust possible Central Lowlands. 2nd: Isolated thunderstorms Central Coast and Warrego. Scattered to isolated fog possible in eastern districts and isolated frosts on the Grnite Belt. Isolated dust possible Central Lowlands, Warrego and Lower Carpenteria. 3rd: Isolated thunderstorms possible in the interior and southeast. Isolated fogs possible in east coast districts.

4th: Scattered thunderstorms possible in the southeast, isolated storms in the central interior and Central Coast. Chance of isolated fogs central and southern districts and in the northeast. Isolated blowing dust possible in the Central Lowlands. 5th-6th: Chance of isolated fogs in the norheast. 7th: Isolated storms possible Wide Bay. Chance of isolated frosts on the Granite Belt. 8th: Isolated fog possible on the South Coast and isolated frosts on the Granite Belt, in the Maranoa and Central Highlands. 9th: Isolated frosts Central Highlands and Maranoa possible. 11th: Over the next 4 weeks mean maximum temperatures may be mostly below average but mean minimums may be above average. No flooding is expected in the outlook period but troughs moving through the southern and central districts bring areas of rain and occasional storms. Rain may be below averagein the lower Carpenteria and Warrego, average in the Lower Western, but all remaining districts should be above average rain. Some relief may come to the southern parts of the Port Curtis and the adjacent southeast Central Highlands and northern Darling Downs but general light falls can be expected in most inland districts and Cape York. Brisbane can expect about 8 rain days, 3 days when thunder may be heard, 1 strong wind gust day, but no days with hail or frost. 11th: Scattered thunderstorms possible in the Southeast and isolated in the southern inland. 12th: Local thunderstorms possible in western districts. Chance of local fogs in east coast districts. 13th: Isolated thunderstorms possible North Coast and Maranoa with chance of local hail. local fog possible in the North Coast. 14th: Low temperature expected in Stanthorpe. Local fogs in the east coast districts possible. 15th: Chance of isolated fogs in the southeast. 16th-17th: Chance of local fogs in the North Coast and isolated fogs in the Southeast. 17th: Chance of scattered thunderstorms in the Southeast and adjacent darling Downs. 18th: A ridge extending from a high over VIC brings strong southeast winds along the South Coast, extending to the Central Coast. Chance of isolated thunderstorms Port Curtis, Central Coast and Carpenteria. isolated fogs possible east coast districts. 19th: Strong winds for North Coast districts. Chance of isolated thunderstorms Cape York. Local fogs possible in the southern inland. Chance of dust problems in southern Cape York. 20th: Winds ease. Chance of local fogs in Port Curtis. 21st-22nd: Local fogs possible in the southeast. 23rd: Local thunderstorms possible Granite belt. Isolated dust western districts.

23rd-26th: Chance of local fogs in the North Coast, Southeast and Cape York. 24th: Strong east winds for the South Coast, Central Coast and North Coast. Chance of local thunderstorms Central Highlands, Port Curtis and Central Coast. Chance of local dust in the Northwest. 25th-26th: Isolated thunderstorms possible in Carpenteria district. 27th: Winds ease as the high moves away from the coast. 28th: Low temperature expected at Stanthorpe. 28th-29th: Local fogs possible in the southeast. 29th: Chance of local dust in the Southwest. 30th: A low in the Coral Sea brings gales but winds should ease within 24 hours. 31st: Chance of widespread dust from Western districts to the Carpenteria and Central inland.

Disclaimer:
All weather forecasting, be it short term, extended range and long-range, deals with general weather over a wide area of about 50-80 kilometres and allows for a 1 day leeway. Some long-range predictions can be missed due to the workload involved. Because unconsidered factors may have crept in, some events may not happen and some may be early or late. My success in astrometeorology is usually found to be about 80-85% or higher. Weather forecasting is an inexact science and meteorology is the study of trends. However, I will try to find relevant updates which I will print in red with sources for readers interested in my hit rate at the end of each month. Please note that these are all high percentage likelihoods, not certainties, based on lunar orbits and the subsequent cycles of weather. They are intended to assist and prepare, not cause anxiety. Space prohibits publishing every extreme event. For any enquiries regarding the above, please contact brisbaneweather@gmail.com

October 2013 Long-Range Weather Forecast Brisbane & SE Queensland, Australia by Scott Hansen E-mail: brisbaneweather@gmail.com Here is the forecast I came up with for Brisbane and Eastern Queensland for October 2013. My method is a bit different in that I take into account more charts when formulating my forecast. For example, I'll use the Solar Ingress chart for the season, the Lunar Phase Charts, Solar and Lunar Eclipses, Retrograde and Direct Motion charts, charts for important Aspects etc. Allow 24 hour error. October 2013

Oct 1-2 The main aspects now are the Sun square Pluto, and Mercury trine Neptune. Most of the charts, such as the Solar Ingress, the chart for the Sun-Pluto square, the current Lunar Eclipse, and the November 14, 2012 Solar Eclipse (triggered now by Mars) all place the Sun and Pluto over central or eastern Queensland. The New Moon and Last Quarter charts place the Mercury-Neptune trine over the area, but it seems the others outweigh this. The chart for the lunar aspect of Moon square Venus also places Venus over the eastern Queensland area, so it looks like an unsettled or stormy period for the forecast area. Oct 3-6 The Sun opposes Uranus and semi-squares Venus. Uranus also gets the ses-square of Venus and the quincunx of Saturn. Mars will also ses square Pluto. All these aspects can bring storm conditions except the quincunx between Saturn and Uranus. But both of these planets represent cold. So it appears we have a cold front triggering storms or a low pressure area. The charts that place these planets over the forecast area are: the Solar Ingress, the current Solar and Lunar Eclipses, and the Full Moon chart. The transit Moon squares the Brisbane Midheaven and conjoins the Brisbane Ascendant in the Solar Ingress, which should localize the weather pattern over Brisbane. Another important influence is found in the New Moon chart. Transit Mercury will square the radical position of Mars in this chart. Mars was on the Ic over eastern Queensland. This usually adds windy conditions to any forecast. The chart for the Suns opposition to Uranus places them on the Midheaven/Ic over central Queensland. A chart for the Moons square to Pluto puts Pluto on the Ic about 3 degrees off the coast. Mercury also conjoins radical Saturn Ic over eastern Queensland in the First Quarter Moon chart. Oct 7-10 This period starts off with a sextile from Mercury to Pluto on the 7th. This in and of itself is a fair weather aspect. The Solar Ingress shows Pluto over central Queensland as does the solar eclipse chart. The Last Quarter chart, New Moon, and Lunar Eclipse place Pluto over eastern Queensland or off shore. Im keeping my eye, however, on the Full Moon chart that placed a Venus-Saturn conjunction on the descendant over eastern Queensland. Mercury will now conjoin both of these. This argues cold and moisture affecting the area in the form of a cold front or low pressure system bringing precipitation. The Moons conjunction to Saturn sets them up on the Midheaven just off shore. On the 8th, we have the ses-square of Mars to Uranus, and the quincunx of Mercury to Uranus. This adds unsettled and colder conditions. The Solar Ingress places Uranus over central Queensland, while the First Quarter and Lunar Eclipse places Uranus over eastern Queensland. Mercury conjoins radical Saturn Midheaven over Brisbane in the Last Quarter chart. On the 9th and 10th, we have Mercurys conjunction to Saturn, which is known for increasing cloudiness, low pressure, and rain. We see this operating over the forecast area in the Full Moon, First Quarter, and Last Quarter charts. Finally, we have Mercury opposing the radical degree of the Moon in the Solar Ingress which was on the descendant over eastern Queensland. So except for that Mercury-Pluto sextile on the 7th, there seems to be many indications of stormy weather. Oct 11-13 This period features the Sun square Jupiter, but theres more than meets the eye with this with this aspect. The square falls right in hard aspect to the Solar Eclipse degree of July 12, 2010. In the chart for the solar eclipse, as the Sun makes its square to Jupiter and to the Solar Eclipse degree, it is on the Ic over Brisbane. The square between the Sun and Jupiter isnt usually too disruptive. It can generate

some thunderstorms and breezy conditions. There is another indication that heightens the breezy and stormy indications. In the Full Moon chart, transit Mercury will square the radical position of Mars. Mercury will be on the descendant over Brisbane while radical Mars was on the Ic over eastern Queensland. Oct 14-17 On the 14th, the transit Sun will conjoin the radical position of Mercury in the Solar Ingress chart. Mercury appeared on the ascendant just west of Brisbane. Hard aspects to the radical positions of Solar Ingress planets are important. Since Mercury equates with high pressure and increased wind velocities we may expect this type of weather now over Brisbane. On the 17th, Venus will trine Uranus. In the Solar Ingress, Uranus is on the descendant over central Queensland. The Venus-Uranus combination brings a cooler air mass and fair conditions. However, at this time Mars will square the Solar Eclipse degree of May 21, 2012. (I tend give Solar Eclipses that are activated more importance than the Solar Ingress. Normally, I give the Solar Ingress more importance than Lunations.) Now if you look at the chart for this solar eclipse, youll see Saturn on the Ic through central Queensland and Pluto crossing it as it descends through central Queensland. Right after Mars activates the eclipse degree, the transit Sun will conjoin the radical position of Saturn, and transit Mercury will parallel Pluto. So Im expecting this influence to be more powerful than just the Venus-Uranus trine. I would expect more along the lines of a low pressure system or cold front bring cloudy and rainy weather. Oct 18-23 The main event now is that Mercury makes a 6-day parallel to Pluto from the 18th through the 23rd. This is due to Mercurys retrograde station so its not moving much in declination. Now, I interpret the influence of Pluto for the most part to be cool. This, however, is tentative. Since Pluto is on the Ic over central Queensland in the Solar Ingress, I would lean toward Mercury parallel Pluto to mean cool, high pressure. But its not only the Solar Ingress that has Pluto angular over the forecast area. We also see it in the New Moon, Full Moon (which is the current lunation), Solar, and Lunar eclipse charts. This is basically whats happening from the 18th through the 21st. On the 22nd, the Sun will parallel Neptune. Only in the Solar Eclipse chart is the Sun angular over the forecast area as it parallels Neptune. This position tends to bring warmer temperatures and increasing humidity. What apparently adds more punch to this is the fact that the Suns opposition to Neptune, which took place on the previous August 27th, is now stimulated by the opposition of Mars to this degree. The Sun and Neptune were on the Mc/Ic just one degree off the Brisbane coast. With Mars acting as the catalyst this has the potential to bring excessive humidity and precipitation. Oct 24-31 On the 26th, the Sun will trine Neptune, which generally is a fair-weather aspect that increases temperatures. The main charts that bring this over the forecast area are the Solar Eclipse chart that places the Sun 2 degrees off the Brisbane coast and the First Quarter chart that places Neptune Ic over eastern Queensland. Something more interesting is happening, though, in the Solar Ingress. Radical Mercury ascendant just a bit west of Brisbane is receiving a square from Jupiter which is on the Midheaven about 6 degrees to the east of Brisbane. On the 26th, the transit Moon will conjoin Jupiter triggering its square to radical Mercury. The square between these two may excite higher wind velocities and bring cooler temperatures. In some cases there may be a low pressure system and

precipitation. A cold and somewhat stormy influence kicks in on the 28th. The previous Sun square Saturn aspect of July 28th which placed Saturn on the Brisbane ascendant will now be triggered by the Sun as it conjoins the radical degree of Saturn. These two are known to bring downfall, cloudy weather, and colder temperatures. All this at a time when the Sun is also parallel transit Saturn. We also have the trine of Mars to Pluto on the 31st. The Solar Ingress, New Moon, Full Moon, Last Quarter, and Solar Eclipse charts all place Pluto over the forecast area. If Mars trine Pluto can be expected to work the same way as the trines between Mars-Saturn and Mars-Uranus, then we can expect windy conditions.