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Global markets at a glance Slow-moving talks to avoid a debt default in the United States and weak Chinese export data kept a lid on European shares and oil on Monday. European shares held steady early on Monday, with investors taking a cautious stance after U.S. politicians failed over the weekend to resolve budget issues and the world's biggest economy moved closer towards a debt default. Asian shares rose to their highest in nearly five months on expectations of an imminent deal to reopen the U.S. government and avert a possible debt default Japanese financial markets were closed on Monday for a public holiday. Wall Street Update U.S. stocks ended a volatile session with modest gains on Monday, as investors bet that there would soon be a deal in Washington to increase the debt limit, though there were no obvious signs of progress. Previous day Roundup The Nifty ended range-bound session above 6,100 mark led by gains in TCS and Reliance Industries ahead of their second quarter results. The 50-share index ended at 6,113.40, up 17.20 points or 0.28 per cent. The index touched intraday high of 6,124.10 and a low of 6,082.90. The S&P BSE Sensex closed at 20,609.31, up 80.72 points or 0.39 per cent. It touched a high of 20,645.94 and a low of 20,497.88 in trade today. Index stats Bank Nifty & Bankex both advanced 0.41% & 0.55% respectively, the sectors which were in negative move in yesterdays session were; Consumer Durables [down 11.41pts], Capital Goods [down 35.72pts], FMCG [down 38.78pts]. Healthcare [down 35.09pts], REALTY [down 5.21pts], Metals [down 55.58pts] all traded downward except AUTO [up pts], Power [up 1.67pts], IT [up 197.69 pts], Oil & Gas [up 29.53pts], TECK [up 87.02 pts], PSU [up 5.45pts].
World Indices
Index DJl S&P 500 NASDAQ EURO STO FTSE 100 Nikkei 225 Hong Kong Value 15,301.26 1,710.14 3,815.28 2,977.69 6,507.65 14,475.57 23,374.82
CMP Change
Top Gainers
Company
Top Losers
Company
Indian Indices
Company NIFTY SENSEX CMP Change % Chg
6,112.70 20,607.54
+16.50 +78.95
+0.27 +0.38
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2. TATASTEEL
MACRO NEWS IndusInd Bank (July-September) net profit rising 31.9% higher-than-expected YoY to Rs 330 cr due to fall in provisions. Net interest income in the quarter gone by increased 37.25% to Rs 700 cr in September quarter from Rs 510 cr in a year ago period. The WPI inflation unexpectedly hit a seven-month high in September, mainly driven by higher food prices, increasing the odds for yet another interest rate hike by the central bank at its policy review later this month. The wholesale price index, country's main inflation measure, rose an annual 6.46 percent last month, the fastest pace since February 2013. Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Q2 -Net profit at Rs 5.9 crore versus Rs 6.1 crore (YoY) -Income from operations at Rs 20.7 crore versus Rs 19.2 crore (YoY) RBI Governor plans to permit trade in the receivables of small companies that sell goods to big producers. Deutsche Bank downgrades IDFC citing challenging operating environment. Results Today- TCS, NIITTECH, HDFCBANK, DCB, BAJAJFINANCE.
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NIFTY NIFTY NIFTY BANK NIFTY SBIN INFY RELIANCE RELIANCE Symbol
STOCKS IN NEWS NTPC power plants less affected due to Cyclone Phailin. ONGC to buy 12% of Brazil block from Petrobras for $529 mn. Fortis to sell Quality Healthcare to Bupa for $355 mln Pratibha Industries bags Rs 516cr water supply contract in Rajasthan.
Tech Mahindra ups FII investment limit to 45 percent from 35 percent.
NIFTY FUTURE
INDICES
NIFTY NIFTYJUNIOR BANK NIFTY
S2
6065.36 11796.5 10483.87
S1
6089.03 11826.24 10574.56
PIVOT
6106.56 11874.45 10640.68
R1
6130.23 11904.19 10731.36
R2
6147.76 11952.39 10797.48
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COMMODITY MCX
COMMODITY ROUNDUP The decline in exports from the world's second largest economy raised questions about the strength of the global recovery, though solid import data for the same month helped offset some concerns. Brent crude was flat at $111.3 a barrel, while robust Chinese imports of copper helped the metal edge up 0.6 percent to $7,248 a tonne (1 tonne =1.102 metric tons). Gold was hovering near a three-month low at $1276.80 an ounce as investors chose cash over the precious metal as a safe haven. India gold futures recorded an up-trend on Monday amid slight up movement on Comex gold prices. Depreciation of Indian Rupee (INR) against US Dollar (USD) was seen supporting the commodity prices to certain extent in the domestic market. US gold prices continued their downward movement on Monday and were seen trading on a bearish note near three month low amid weak global cues. The failure of weekend talks to reach an understanding to avert a US debt default failed to lift the commodity prices in the global market. Comex gold futures on electronic trading platform for December delivery was seen trading with a gain of $6.5 at $1274.7 per troy ounce as of 15.12 IST on Monday. Silver prices fell 0.31% to trade at Rs 46,745 per kg in futures trade today as speculators reduced positions amid a weakening trend in the global markets. Besides, a weak trend in the precious metals at the domestic bullion market also weighed on silver futures. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, Silver for delivery in December lost Rs 146, or 0.31%, to Rs 46,745 per kg in business turnover of 457 lots. In a similar fashion, the white metal for delivery in far-month march, last year contracts traded Rs 95, or 0.20% lower, at Rs 48,049 per kg in ten lots. Aluminium futures prices fell by 0.40% to Rs 112.85 per kg today as speculators trimmed positions amid a weak trend in metal at the London Metal Exchange. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, aluminium for delivery in October lost 45 paise, or 0.40%, to Rs 112.85 per kg, with a business turnover of 104 lots.
RECOMMENDATIONS SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER ABOVE 48150 TGTS 48450/48750 SL 47750 SELL SILVER BELOW 47150 TGTS 46850/46550 SL 47450 GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD ABOVE 29250 TGTS 29350/29450 SL 29120 SELL GOLD BELOW 28680 TGTS 28580/ 28480 SL 28800
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NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS CASTORSEED
Barley Castor Seed Chana Chilli Coriander Cotton Seed Oilcake Jeera Mustard seed Ref Soya Oil Turmeric
1226 3729 3036 5980 6610 1508 12725 3582 709.1 4426
+0.62 -0.21 -1.33 -0.96 -3.40 2.52 +0.57 +0.31 +0.93 -3.61
NCDEX ROUNDUP BUY CASTORSEED ABOVE 3830 TG 3860, 3890 SL 3790 SELL CASTORSEED BELOW 3730 TG 3700, 3670 SL 3770 DHANIYA Maize prices looked up by Rs 15 to Rs 1,391 per quintal in futures trade yesterday following fresh buying support at prevailing lower levels. At the National Commodity and Derivative Exchange, maize for current October contract resumed higher by Rs.15, or 1.09% to Rs.1,391 per quintal, with an open interest of 6,450 lots. However, reports of bumper crops in maize growing regions on favourable monsoon rains somewhat capped the gains Most active near November contract gained by Rs.6, or 0.48% to Rs.1,257 per quintal, having an open interest of 32,590 lots. Chilli prices fell by Rs 254 to Rs 6,132 per quintal in futures trade yesterday on heavy selling activity on reports of a higher output estimates. Subdued demand from retailers and stockists in spot markets also influenced the sentiment in futures. At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, chilli for delivery in November fell by Rs 254, or 3.98%, to Rs 6,132 per quintal with an open interest of 3,435 lots. Likewise, chilli for delivery in October lost Rs BUY DHANIYA ABOVE 6890 TG 6720, 6750 SL 6840 SELL DHANIYA BELOW 6690TG 6670, 6640 SL 6730 158, or 2.62%, to Rs 5,880 per quintal with open interest of 1,440 lots.
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CURRENCY
62.4000 97.9877
Senate negotiations to resolve the U.S. fiscal crisis made progress on Sunday and, while there no guarantees of an end to the government shutdown, many in the market remain hopeful a deal to raise the borrowing ceiling will emerge. The dollar down 0.3 percent against the safer option of the yen to about 98.29 yen. The Indian rupee weakened on Monday, after wholesale price inflation (WPI) came in above analysts' estimates, raising expectations that the central bank will raise interest rates for a second consecutive month in late October. USD/INR has closed @61.7275. If it breaks the level of 61.35, it can touch the level of 61.14 & 60.98. If it sustains above the level of 61.95, it can touch the level of 62.26 & 62.57. GBP/INR India's benchmark 10-year bond yield rose 8 basis points to 8.58, while the rupee weakened to 61.24 per dollar from around 61.20. Earlier, The Indian rupee lost 15 paise to 61.22 against the US dollar in early trade on the Interbank Foreign Exchange market due to fresh demand for the US currency from importers amid a lower opening in the domestic equity market. The Indian rupee had gained 32 paisa to close at a fresh two-month high of Rs 61.07 against the dollar in the previous session amid rise in local equities and sustained capital inflows, the Indian rupee's fall to fresh demand for the American currency from importers and a weak opening in the domestic equity market. But, dollar's weakness against other currencies overseas restricted the rupee's fall The dollar held firm on Tuesday, hitting a two-week high GBP/INR has closed @98.6325. If it breaks the level of 97.90, it can touch the level of 97.65 & 97.32. If it sustains above the level of 98.98 it can touch the level of 99.33 & 99.62. against the yen as top U.S. senators signaled they could soon reach a deal to reopen the U.S. government and avert a possible debt default for the time being.
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CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date 14/10/13 14/10/13 14/10/13 14/10/13 14/10/13 14/10/13 14/10/13 14/10/13 14/10/13 14/10/13 14/10/13 14/10/13 Date 14/10/13 14/10/13 14/10/13 14/10/13
TIME (ET)
Commodity/ Currency Pairs MCX GOLD MCX GOLD MCX SILVER MCX SILVER NCDEX CASTOR SEED NCDEX CASTOR SEED NCDEX DHANIYA NCDEX DHANIYA USD/INR GBP/INR USD/INR GBP/INR Scrip NIFTY UNION BANK MARUTI INDUSINDBANK
REPORT
Contract OCT. DEC. OCT. DEC. OCT. OCT. OCT. OCT. OCT. OCT. OCT. OCT.
Strategy BUY SELL BUY SELL SELL BUY BUY SELL SELL SELL BUY BUY
Entry Level 28750 28200 47300 46650 3500 3670 6750 6550 61.20 97.85 62.05 99.00 Entry Level 6115-6125 120 1500 430
PERIOD ACTUAL
Target 28950-29050 28100-27900 47600-47900 46350-46050 3470-3440 3700-3730 6780-6810 6520-6490 60.98-60.78 97.64-97.32 62.26-62.57 99.25-99.60 Target 6150-6180 123-125 1525-1550 438-450
Stop Loss 28650 28330 46900 47050 3550 3630 6710 6590
Remark BOOKED FULL PROFIT NOT EXECUTED BOOKED FULL PROFIT NOT EXECUTED NOT EXECUTED NOT EXECUTED NOT EXECUTED NOT EXECUTED NOT EXECUTED NOT EXECUTED NOT EXECUTED NOT EXECUTED Remark BOOKED PROFIT BOOKED PROFIT NOT EXECUTED BOOKED PROFIT
PREVIOUS
CASH/ FUTURE/ OP- Strategy TION FUTURE FUTURE FUTURE CASH BUY BUY BUY BUY
US ECONOMIC REPORT
CONSENSUS FORECAST TUESDAY, OCT. 15 8:30 am Empire state index Oct. WEDNESDAY, OCT. 16 8:30 am 8:30 am 10 am 2 pm Consumer price index Core CPI Home builders' index Beige Book THURSDAY, OCT. 17 Treasury expects to run out of borrowing authority 8:30 am 8:30 am 8:30 am 9:15 am 9:15 am 10 am 10 am Weekly jobless claims Housing starts (likely delayed) Building permits (likely delayed) Industrial production Capacity utilization Philly Fed Philly Fed 10/12 Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Oct. FRIDAY, OCT. 18 Oct. DELAYED DELAYED 333,000 910,000 925,000 0.5% 78.1% 13.0 13.0 374,000 891,000 926,000 0.4% 77.8% 22.3 22.3 Sept. Sept. Oct. DELAYED DELAYED 0.2% 0.2% 57 0.1% 0.1% 58 6.6 6.3
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