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Rapid increase in nal energy demand (domestic) between 2010 and 2030 to support GDP growth rate averaging 7.6% (base) and 10.4% (MP3EI), the baseline scenario is estimated to increase 3 times of 2010, namely close to 3,000 million BOE per year, whereas in scenario MP3EI reached more than 4-fold Energy supply in 2030 will be dominated by fossil energy sources (82%). Coal became the main supplier of energy in the energy mix since 2015, amounting to 31% and to 38% in 2030. The share of natural gas (Basic Scenario) decreased slightly (15.6%), but still higher than EBT (13%), and rewood (10%) in 2015.
Base Case scenario: the provision of NRE grew > 8% per year; increase use of NRE > 4x fold: from 141 million BOE in 2010 to 670 million BOE in 2030. EBT rapid growth has not been able to increase its role in the national energy mix.
11/09/12
2030: biofuel untuk sektor transportasi menjadi pemanfaatan EBT yang utama, disusul secara berturut turut oleh panas bumi, hidro, biomasa, nuklir, CBM, CTL, matahari, sampah dan angin, namun dalam bauran energi pangsanya hanya 17,5% (skenario Dasar) dan 14,4% (skenario MP3EI).
11/09/12
Rapid increase in nal energy demand between 2010 and 2030 (Figure 2) to support GDP growth rate averaging 7.6% (base) and 10.4% (MP3EI), the baseline scenario is esRmated to 3 Rmes its needs in 2010, namely close to 3,000 million BOE per year, whereas in scenario MP3EI reached more than 4-fold. The increase is primarily to growth in industrial and transportaRon sectors. In the short term needs of the scenario MP3EI magnitude only slightly higher than the base scenario, but aVer 2020 there was an increase in the need for rapid MP3EI scenario, up to 1.5 Rmes the base scenario. Needs of the industrial sector is dominant, ie 41% in 2015, and to 43% in 2030, followed by the transportaRon sector increased from 28% in 2015 to 35% in 2030
Produc[on Consump[on
2010
2025
Let me talk briey about the current energy situa[on in Indonesia, which is remain dominated heavily by fossil fuel oil un[l now. Indonesia already a net oil importer since almost a decade ago. Therefore, the New and Renewable Energy sources and also Energy eciency should subs[tute the Fossil fuel oil as soon and as much as possible. Increasing concern on Fossil Fuel Oil availability and affordability limitation made a paradigm shift in national energy policy have to give much more role and hope to New and Renewable Energy Sources and Energy Efficiency in the national energy-mix in the near future........ etc
For more than 30 years, BPPT has been ac[vely engaged in the development of sustainable energy in the form of renewable energy and low carbon energy development. Many technologies involved in the development ac[vi[es, but their commercialliza[on through proper industrializa[on remain not existant. On the other hand, however, implementa[on and applica[on of sustainable energy and low carbon energy in Indonesia has not been very succesful due to the inadequate support in the down stream and non-integra[on of upstream and process, such as biofuels,biomass energy and clean coal energy.
Pilot Plant Bio-Ethanol & energy Planta[on -PV Applica[ons & Pilo[ngs (Housing, Rural, Pumping, etc)
PV Tes[ng Facility/Lab.
Energy Eciency Applica[ons & Audit in Energy Intensive Industries Wind Energy Technology (Low Velocity) Smart Grid
Biomass PV Hybrid Gasica[on Pilo[ng Microturbine Geothermal Cogenera[on Pilot plant Appl. Proj. Microhydro Pilo[ng OTEC Bali 1979: (Design) 1985: 1990: 1995 2003
2006 2010:
2012 -
Let me show you BPPTs [meline ac[vi[es on RET using this slide. As shown, BPPT has began ac[ve in RET as early as 1979, a year amer its established. Many of them were discon[nue, however some of them remain con[nue un[l now, such as in the eld of Solar Energy, mainly in Photovoltaic, Biofuel: Bioethanol and Biodiesel, etc. Some ac[vi[es related to Ocean Energy are hilighted
Source: Ray et.al. (2005): A Brief Overview of Tides in the Indonesia Seas
RecommendaIons
Compare
to
the
other
type
of
Renewable
Energy
(RE)
sources,
the
ocean
energy
technology
seems
lack
behind.
However,
almost
all
of
the
RE
technology
s[ll
in
the
early
stage
of
its
commercial
applica[ons
in
Indonesia.
Therefore,
the
Ocean
Energy
technology
development
could
be
accelerated
to
join
the
eort
to
give
us
the
so
called
low-carbon
energy
supply
for
the
sustainable
development
and
society. At
present
stage,
the
sources
poten[al
Mapping
very
crucial
to
accelerate
the
dissemina[on
of
the
Ocean
Energy
technology,
morover,
a
spa[al
approach
need
to
be
added
due
to
various
ac[vi[es
(transporta[on,
shery,
etc)
present
in
the
same
area
or
loca[ons. Integra[on
with
the
electricity
distribu[on
system:
Micro
and
Smart
Grid
technology
development
nowadays
can
give
benet
to
accelerate
the
Ocean
Energy
development
and
need
to
be
integrated
Terima Kasih
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