STAT111HWK4 STATISTICS 111 HOMEWORK 4 due 10/4/2013 NOTE: This Homework is longer than usual and carries more

e points than usual. This homework is mainly about means and variances and calculations that can be made from them. You will also sometimes have to use some formulas for the binomial distribution. 1(i). A fair coin is to be ipped 1,600 times. Use the two-standard-deviation rule to nd two numbers between which you are approximately 95% certain that the number of heads will lie. [4 points] 1(ii). [Another window into statistics.] A coin (probability of head unknown) was ipped 1,600 times and 851 of these ips give heads. What can you say, objectively, about whether you think it is a fair coin? [Any reasonable answer gets full points.] [3 points] 2. Consider the random variable T4 , the sum of the numbers turning up on FOUR rolls of a fair die. From your answer to Homework 3, Question 3, nd the probability distribution of T4 . (This will involve some tedious work, using however nothing more than common sense. Think of T4 as Y1 + Y2 , where Y1 is the sum of the numbers turning up on rolls 1 and 2 of the die, and Y2 is the sum of the numbers turning up on rolls 3 and 4 of the die. Now think (for example) of the ways in which T4 can equal 15. One way that this could happen would be if Y1 = 3 and Y2 = 12. Another way that this could happen would be if Y1 = 4 and Y2 = 11. And so on.) [10 points] 3. Use the long formulas for a mean and a variance to nd the mean and variance of T4 in Question 2 above. [9 points] 4. Use the mean and variance of X1 (the random number to turn up on one roll of the die), together with the relevant magic formulas (given in class) to nd quickly the mean and variance of T4 in Question 2 above. Do your answers agree with those that you found in Question 3? Were they easier to calculate than they were in Question 3? [7 points] 5. Use the mean and variance of X1 (the random number to turn up on one roll of a fair die), together with the relevant magic formulas (given in class) to nd quickly the mean and variance of D (discussed in Question 7, Homework 3), and check that they agree with the values that you found in Homework 3 by using the long formula for the mean and the long formula for the variance. [6 points]
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6. Use the mean and variance of X1 , the random number to turn up on one roll of a fair die, together with the relevant magic formulas (given in class) to nd quickly the mean and variance of the average of the four numbers to turn up on four rolls of this die. [5 points] 7. Suppose that the random variable X has a normal distribution with mean 0, variance 1. Find (a)P (0 X 1.33), (b)P (0.37 X 0), (c)P (0.67 X 1.23). [6 points]

8. The random variable X has a normal distribution with mean 3, variance 4. Find (a)P (2.05 X 3.33), (b)P (1.77 X 2.64), (c)P (3.78 X 4.19). [6 points]

9. Suppose that we know that the height of a woman chosen at random is a random variable having a normal distribution with mean 67, variance 9. (Height is measured in inches.) Find:(a) the probability that the height of a woman chosen at random will be between 65 and 68, [4 points] (b) the probability that the average of the heights of 20 women chosen at random will be between 65 and 68, [6 points] (c) the probability that the average of the heights of 50 women chosen at random will be between 65 and 68. [6 points] (d) Comment on the relationship between your answers to (a), (b) and (c). TOTAL: 75 points [3 points]