950/2

Upper Six April 2013

STPM

MATHEMATICS (M)
PAPER 2
One and a half hours

KOTA KINABALU HIGH SCHOOL

STPM SECOND TERM TRIAL EXAMINATION

Instructions to candidates: DO NOT OPEN THIS QUESTION PAPER UNTUIL YOU ARE TOLD TO DO SO Answer all questions in Section A and any one question in Section B. Answers must written in English. All necessary working should be shown clearly. Scientific calculators may be used. Programmable and graphic display calculators are prohibited. A list of mathematical formulae, statistical tables and graph papers are provided on pages 5 and 6 of this question paper.

This question paper consists of 6 printed pages

Section A [45 marks] Answer all questions in this section. 1 The nurse of a company performs a routine health check of 100 workers of the company. The report on the heart rates of the workers is tabulated as below. Heart rate (per minute) Number of workers 3 15 28 24 20 7 2 1

(i) Calculate an estimate of the mean. [2 marks] (ii) Calculate the standard deviation of the heart rate of the workers. [3 marks] (iii) Plot a relative cumulative frequency curve for the above data. Hence, determine the median and the percentage of workers who heart rates is more than 87 per minute. [5 marks] 2 If A and B are incidents where Calculate (i) (ii) (iii) Determine if A and B are independent or mutually exclusive. . [3 marks] [2 marks] [4 marks]

The discrete random variable X represents the number of air-conditioners sold by a company in a week. X has a Poisson distribution with mean and (i) Determine the value of [3 marks] (ii) Calculate the probability that five air-conditioners are sold in four weeks. [2 marks] The data below show the average closing share prices (RM) for the LTR Company for the first 12 weeks of 2013: Month Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 January 39.25 38.75 38.75 39.00 February 38.25 38.00 37.55 37.50 March 37.00 38.25 38.50 39.74 (i) Find the trend values using the moving average method. [3 marks] (ii) Using additive model, calculate the adjusted seasonal variation for each week. [5 marks] (iii) Forecast the average closing for this companys shares for the fourth week of April 2013. [3 marks]

For 10 married couples, the height of the husband (x cm) and the height of the wife (y cm) are summarized by and Calculate the coefficient of the correlation, and comment on the result. [4 marks] The manager of sport shoes company wants to determine the level of its market share in the shoe market. He collects data on the average prices and the number of pairs of sports shoes sold (in thousands of pair) in year 2011 and 2012. Type of shoes Jogging shoes Badminton shoes Tennis shoes (i) Price 28.00 32.00 35.00 2011 Quantity (000) 320 1500 1000 Price 35.00 43.00 46.00 2012 Quantity (000) 400 1900 1300

Calculate a weighted prices index of the shoes in year 2012 using 2011 as the base year and the quantities in 2011 as the weights. [3 marks] (ii) Calculate a weighted quantities index of the shoes in year 2012 using 2011 as the base year and the prices in 2012 as the weights. [3 marks]

Section B [15 marks] Answer any one question in this section. 1 The discrete random variable X takes the value k with the probability , where c is a constant. (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v) 2 Determine the value of c, Construct a probability distribution table of Calculate the mean and variance of X, Find the cumulative distribution function, F(x). Hence, sketch the graph of this function. . [3 marks] [2 marks] [4 marks] [3 marks] [3 marks]

The following table shows the marks obtained by 10 form six students for the Mathematics and Economics papers in a test. Students Mathematics (x) Economics (y) A 45 44 B 23 19 C 33 36 D 8 14 E 43 34 F 15 8 G 28 17 H 39 26 I 45 29 J 1 3

(i) Plot the data in a scatter diagram. [2 marks] (ii) The equation of the regression line of y on x is y = a + bx and the regression line of x on y is x = c +dy, determine the values of a, b, c, d and the equation of both regression line. [8 marks] (iii) Estimate the marks for Mathematics paper obtained by a student who score 40 marks for Economics paper, give your answers correct to the nearest 1 mark. [2 marks] (iv) Calculate the coefficient of determination and interpret your answer. [3 marks] END OF QUESTION PAPER

SOLUTIONS Section A: 1 Heart rate (per minute) Number of workers(f) 3 15 28 24 20 7 2 1 Mid point (t) 62.5 67.5 72.5 77.5 82.5 87.5 92.5 97.5

(i)

Mean = = [1 mark] = 76.35 [1 mark]

(ii)

Standard deviation =

= = 6.92 (iii)

[2 marks] [1 mark]

Graph correctly plotted. [3 marks] Median = 76 minutes [1 mark] The percentage of workers who heart rates is more than 87 per minute = 93% [1 mark] .

Given (i) [1 mark]

[1 mark]

(ii) [1 mark] [1 mark] (iii) , so event A and B are not mutually exclusive. [2 marks] Since OR event A and B are not are independent. [2 marks] 3 For Poisson distribution, (i) Var(X) = [1 mark] so

[1 mark] cannot be negative, so (ii) . [1 mark]

Y : the number of air conditioners sold in 4 weeks

P(X = 5) = [1 mark] = 0.000983 [1 mark]

(i)
Month Week Prices (RM) 4 point MA Trend

January

February

March

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4

39.25 38.75 38.75 39.00 38.25 38.00 37.55 37.50 37.00 38.25 38.50 39.74 38.9375 38.6875 38.5000 38.2000 37.8250 37.5125 37.5750 37.8125 38.3725 38.81 38.59 38.35 38.01 37.67 37.54 37.69 38.09

[3 marks] 6

(ii)
Month Week Prices (RM) (Y) Trend (T) SV

January

February

March

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4

39.25 38.75 38.75 39.00 38.25 38.00 37.55 37.50 37.00 38.25 38.50 39.74 38.81 38.59 38.35 38.01 37.67 37.54 37.69 38.09
-0.06 0.41 -0.10 -0.01 -0.12 -0.04 -0.69 0.16

[2 marks]

Month January February March Average SV Adjusted Factor Adjusted SV

Week 1 -0.10 -0.69 -0.395 -0.01 -0.385

Week 2 -0.01 0.16 0.075 -0.01 0.085

Week 3 -0.06 -0.12 -0.090 -0.01 -0.080

Week 4 0.41 -0.04 0.370 -0.01 0.380 [3 marks]

(iii)

The average closing for this companys shares for the fourth week of April 2013 = 38.81+ 13 ( ) + 0.380 [2 marks] = RM 37.85 [1 mark]

[2 marks] r = 0.846 [1 mark] Strong positive correlation. [1mark]

(i)

Prices index of the shoes in year 2012 = [2 marks] = 132.34 [1 mark]

(ii)

Quantities index of the shoes in year 2012 = [2 marks] = 127.77 [1 mark]

Section B: 1 (i) [1 mark] [1 mark] [1 mark]

(ii) X=k P(X = k) 0 1 2

[2 marks] (iii) = = [1 mark]

= =1

[1 mark]

= =

[1 mark] [1 mark]

(iv) F(x) = P(X x) F(x) = 0, x<0

= 1,

[3 marks]

(v)

P(X=k) 1

X [3 marks]

(i) (ii)

Scatter diagram correctly plotted. [2 marks]

x 280, y 230, xy 8097, x

10112, y 2 6824

The equation of the regression line of y on x is y = a + bx;

[1 mark] = 0.72931 [1 mark]

a= [1 mark]

The equation of the regression line of y on x is y = 2.58 + 0.729x [1 mark]

The equation of the regression line of y on x is x = c + dy;

[1 mark] = 1.08018 [1 mark]

c= [1 mark]

The equation of the regression line of x on y is x = 3.16 + 1.08y [1 mark] (iii) x = 3.16 + 1.08y = 3.16 + 1.08 (40) [1 mark] = 46.36 = 47 marks [1 mark]

(iv)

[1 mark] [1 mark] 78.8% of the variation in y can be explained by x. [1 mark]

10