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"NEUTRAL"
The company registered its 3QFY14 net sales at Rs 687 Cr up by up 29% YoY led by strong growth across its key molecules. There has been recovery in ex-currency growth from the high single digits witnessed in the past two quarters. . ( Page : 2-3)
"BUY"
on back of cut down by managemet of FY14E guidence (Sale volume 3.76 mnsft, earlier 4.2 mnsft and Sales value 2200 crore, earlier, 2600 crore) we cut down our FY14-FY15E earninng estimates by 26%/15%. We expect the sales of the company to grow by 17% & by 20% yoy inFY14E & FY15E, however operating margin will sustain at 28.0%/28.5% over the same period. At the CMP of Rs. 276 the stock is trading at PE of 11.0x FY14E & 8.5x FY15E. We maintain our "Buy" rating on stock with revised price target of Rs. 350 per share based on P/BV of 1.5x and 1.3x of FY14E and FY15E. ........................................ ( Page : 4-5)
"BUY"
At the CMP of Rs.52, the stock P/E ratio is at 11.4x/9.9x/8.5x for FY14-16E respectively. EPS of the company for the earnings for FY14-15E is seen at Rs. 4.3/5.3/6.2 respectively. Net Sales of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 15%over FY14-16E. We expect that the company surplus scenario is likely to continue for the next three years, will keep its growth story in the coming quarters also. We maintain Buy in this particular scrip with a target price of Rs 65 for medium to long term investment. .................................. ( Page : 6-7 )
"BUY"
At the CMP of INR610, the stock discounts its FY14E EPS of INR53.20 by 10.8x and FY15E EPS of INR61.2 by 9.8x. Given the strong revenue growth at a CAGR of 21%; PAT growth at CAGR of 26% post acquisition and stable margins at ~15%, the company is poised to grow further and capable of ustaining its healthy earnings. Also, Company assurance of 30-60% dividend payout ratio implies an attractive dividend yield of 4-9%. So taking all this into consideration share looks reasonable at Rs. 610 as long term fundamental continue to remains intact and one can expect growth of about maybe 10-13% in next eight-twelve months time. We upgrade our rating on stock from "Hold" to "accumulate", with a revised price target to Rs 648 ................................. ( Page :8-9)
"BUY"
At the CMP of Rs.91, the stock P/E ratio is at 4.6x FY14E and 3.8x FY15E respectively. EPS of the company for the earnings for FY14E and FY15E is seen at Rs. 19.6 and Rs.23.8 respectively. Net Sales and PAT of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 68% and 69% over FY13-15E respectively. On the basis of Intrest coverage ratio, the stock trades at 7.5x for FY14E and 9.1x for FY15E. Price to Book Value of the stock is expected to be at 0.7x and 0.8x respectively for FY14E and FY15E at current price . We expect that the company surplus scenario is likely to continue for the next three years, will keep its growth story in the coming quarters also. We maintain Buy in this particular scrip with a target price of Rs 120 for medium to long term investment. .......................... ( Page : 10-11)
"BUY"
At CMP of Rs.75.6, KPTL tradesat 7.6x FY14 EPS and 5.5x FY15 EPS. To factor in robust revenue growth, we revise revenue estimates for FY14/FY15 by 5.1%/1.0% respectively. On account of continued losses and low margin orders in the infrastructure segment we revise standalone EBIDTA margins as well to 9.7% for FY14 and 10.0% for FY15. Hence, we maintain "Buy"rating with target price at Rs.95/share. ................................................ ( Page : 12-15)
"BUY"
For 3QFY14, Godrej CP revealed inline set of numbers with 17% sales growth led by 18% domestic and 25% international sales growth, reported growth across all geographies and segments, respectively. With launching new products in domestic as well as international market, Godrej CP will explore organic & inorganic growth. Along with its 3x3 strategy, it has 10x10 strategy also, which refers to 10x growth in 10 yrs. .............................................. ( Page : 16 -18)
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
DIVISLAB
Strong Results
Result Update
CMP Target Price Previous Target Price Upside Change from Previous NEUTRAL 1337 1420 1350 6% 5%
"NEUTRAL"
05th Feb' 14
The company registered its 3QFY14 net sales at Rs 687 Cr up by up 29% YoY led by strong growth across its key molecules. There has been recovery in ex-currency growth from the high single digits witnessed in the past two quarters. The operating EBITDA for the quarter under review came at Rs 288 Cr and OPM at 41.7%.The operating margins improve by almost 760bps on the back of improvement in companys operating metrics, currency benefits and lower power cost . The RM cost to sales for the quarter came at 36% while it was 49 % for the same time last fiscal. The employ cost as percentage of sales also showed improvement of 100 bps on yearly basis. The company has cut down its other expenses for the quarter to Rs 88 and it stands at 13 % of the net sales from 8% a year ago. The profits after tax came at Rs 218 Cr and NPM at 31.7 %.The other income for the quarter came at Rs 8 Cr verses 22 Cr for the same time last fiscal. The tax rate for the quarter was lower on yearly basis at 20 %.Forex Loss for the current quarter amounted to Rs 5 Cr while there was a forex gain of Rs 16 Cr during the corresponding quarter last year.
Market Data
BSE Code NSE Symbol 52wk Range H/L Mkt Capital (Rs, Cr) Average Daily Volume Nifty 532488 DIVISLAB 1390/905 17842 5.43 6000
Stock Performance-%
1M Absolute Rel. to Nifty 7.6 11 1yr 26.2 26.17 YTD 15.5 3.5
Key takeaways from management interaction > Sales from DSN SEZ (all 5 units) are at of Rs 3.3 Bn for 9MFY14 (versus Rs 2.2 Bn in FY2013). The company has total investments of Rs 6.0 Bn in the DSN SEZ and expects the asset turnover to be 1.8-2.0 times. > Carotenoid sales for 9MFY14 are at Rs 910 Mn and expected to reach Rs1.5 Bn for FY2015. >The company expects the inspection (by regulatory/customers) for the 3 additional units at DSN SEZ in 4QFY14. Sales from these units are expected to ramp up in 2QFY15. > There has been reduction in power and fuel cost since August 2013 with 160 bps decline on a sequential basis. >CWIP is at Rs1.8 Bn at the end of 9MFY14. There has been a sharp increase in receivables at Rs 7.1 Bn 108 days versus 86 days in FY2013. Inventory days have improved to 140 days in 9MFY14 versus 161 days in 1HFY14. View & Valuation The stock at CPM of Rs 1337 is trading at 22.05 x of one year forward FY14E EPS of Rs 61.The stock has achieved our recommended Target price of Rs 1350 and therefore we change our view to Neutral from BUY. The strong 3QFY14 results ,improvement in operating metrics, Currency movement are few factor which still provide some upsides. We have slightly revised our target price upwards to Rs 1420 based on our analysis.
Financials
Revenue EBITDA PAT EBITDA Margin PAT Margin 3QFY14 689 287 218 41.7% 31.6% 2QFY14 567 249 205 43.9% 36.2% (QoQ)-% 21.5 15.3 6.3 (230bps) (450bps) 3QFY13 534 182 143 34.1% 26.8%
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
DIVISLAB
Sales and PAT Trend (Rs)
Net sales at Rs 687 Cr up by up 29% YoY led by strong growth across its key molecules.
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
OPM %
Operating margins improve by almost 800bps on the back of improvement in companys operating metrics, currency benefits and lower power cost .
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
NPM %
The tax rate for the quarter was lower on yearly basis at 20 %.Forex Loss for the current quarter amounted to Rs 5 Cr
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
"Buy"
5th Feb' 14
Buy
276 350 460 27% -24%
Market Data
BSE Code NSE Symbol 52wk Range H/L Mkt Capital (Rs Crores) Average Daily Volume (Nos.) Nifty 532784 SOBHA 282/472 3052 105448 6002
Despite of week volume numbers in NCR & Chennai Sobha reported its Q3FY14 numbers with a topline that was inline street expectations at Rs. 544.3 crore. EBITDA for the quarter stood at Rs. 149.0 crore, growing 8.4% yoy. The EBITDA margin were down 460 bps, yoy and stands at 27.4% during the quarter mainly on account of higher proportion of contractual projects segment (this segment fetches about 20 per cent margins compared with property development business 35 per cent and increase in input costs. However managemnet assures that goinf forward margins should be around 28 percent and at profit before tax (PBT) and profit after tax (PAT) level we are at 10 percent to 11 percent level. We maintain our "Buy" rating on stock, however on back of cut down by managemet of FY14E guidence (Sale volume 3.76 mnsft, earlier 4.2 mnsft and Sales value 2200 crore, earlier, 2600 crore) we cut down our FY14-FY15E earninng estimates by 26%/15% and also reduce our price target to Rs. 350
Stock Performance-%
Absolute Rel. to Nifty 1M -17 (14) 1yr -36 -35 YTD -21 (27)
Lowered FY14E sales volume & revenue Guidence Sobha had at the begning of the fiscal set guidence of new sales area of 4.20 mnsft at Rs. 2600 crore for the current fiscal. At the close of 3 quarters of FY14, the company has registered a new sales area of 2.66 mnsft valued at 1737 crore. However, post 3QFY14 result, management had lowered his sales volume and booking guidence to 3.76 mnsft and Rs. 2200 crore largely attributed to delay in approvels Growth story remain intact; The firm had launched two new projects: 0.66 mnsft of developable area and 0.46 mnsft of saleable area in 3QFY14 and six new projects: 3.38 mnsft of developable area and 2.01 mnsft of saleable area in 9MFY14. In CY14, the firm has plans to launch 11 mnsft, and out of which 3 mnsft in 4QFY14 especially in the Rs7.5-15mn price bracket that continues to see stable demand as a result we able to belive that company will able to achive is revised sales volume guidence for FY14E. Valuations; on back of cut down by managemet of FY14E guidence (Sale volume 3.76 mnsft, earlier 4.2 mnsft and Sales value 2200 crore, earlier, 2600 crore) we cut down our FY14-FY15E earninng estimates by 26%/15%. We expect the sales of the company to grow by 17% & by 20% yoy inFY14E & FY15E, however operating margin will sustain at 28.0%/28.5% over the same period. At the CMP of Rs. 276 the stock is trading at PE of 11.0x FY14E & 8.5x FY15E. We maintain our "Buy" rating on stock with revised price target of Rs. 350 per share based on P/BV of 1.5x and 1.3x of FY14E and FY15E.
1 yr Forward P/B
Financials Revenue EBITDA PAT EBITDA Margin PAT Margin 3QFY14 544.3 149.0 58.3 27.4% 10.7% 2QFY14 540.8 143.3 56.6 26.5% 10.8% (QoQ)-% 0.6 4.0 3.0 90 bps (10) bps
Rs, Crore 3QFY13 (YoY)-% 429.8 26.6 137.4 8.4 52.6 10.8 32.0% (460) bps 12.2% (150) bps (Source: Company/Eastwind) 4
2010A
2011A
2012A
2013A
2014E
2015E
1408 6 1414 467 428 39 117 318 108 NA 210 49 5.0 21.4
1865 6 1870 548 489 59 171 324 107 NA 217 69 7.0 22.1
2180 6 2186 610 542 68 175 373 126 NA 247 69 7.0 25.2
2616 6 2622 746 674 72 200 479 162 NA 317 69 7.0 32.3
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
"Buy"
5th Feb' 14
Buy
52 65 NA 25% NA
Market Data
BSE Code NSE Symbol 52wk Range H/L Mkt Capital (Rs Crores) Average Daily Volume (Nos.) Nifty 532509 SUPRAJIT 32/62 624 10772 6002
Despite adverse market conditions, for the quarter ended December 2013, Suprajit Engineering registered a good 30% rise in consolidated sales (including other operating income) to Rs 159.53 crore. OPM jumped 260 basis points to 18.8% which lifted OP growth to 50% to Rs 30.02 crore. Other income stood at negative Rs 68 lakh (against Rs 29 lakh) and interest cost jumped 27% to Rs 3.43 crore. After providing for depreciation (up 14% to Rs 2.26 crore), PBT jumped 51% to Rs 23.65 crore. Whereas tax grew 62% to Rs 7.50 crore after which PAT grew 47% to Rs 16.1 crore. Aftermarket and non-automotive exports business clocked robust growths of 35% and 45% respectively. Suprajit Engineering (SEL) continues to deliver robust margins (at 16-17%) despite weakness in the automotive space. With healthy return ratios (RoE ~30%, RoCE ~25%) and strong balance sheet. We expect a revenue growth for FY14-16E by 15% on back of strong capacity expansion plan abd growth potential in the business. We modelled our valuation parameteres, which make us believe that share is trading at lower then fair value at current market price. We have "Buy" rating on stock with a Target price of Rs. 65. Capex will see the company having the world's largest cable capacities The Board of Directors critically assessed the business prospects for the next two years and have approved the following capex plans considering the business growth in the next two years. A new cable plant, measuring 80,000 sf.ft at Narsapura Industrial area, Karnataka, on the land already in possession. A new cable plant measuring 50,000 sq.ft to meet the customer requirements in Chennai at the recently allotted land at Vallam-Vadagal Industrial Park, Tamilnadu. Significant capacity expansion at the existing Pathredi plant, Rajasthan, with an additional plant measuring 110,000 sq.ft. Complete renovation and refurbishing of an existing plant in Bommasandra, Bangalore to relocate the aftermarket manufacturing facility to meet increased demand. Several balancing equipment and buildings in other existing units to fine-tune the capacities to meet additional customer requirements. Additional equipments to add capacity at its 100% owned subsidiary, Suprajit Automotive. The capex for the above plans would be approximately Rs. 60 crore. With these capex plans spread over the next 18-24 months, the company's standalone cable capacity will exceed 200 mn cables / year and on a consolidated basis will exceed 225 mn cables year. This would be one of the world's largest cable capacities. Valuations At the CMP of Rs.52, the stock P/E ratio is at 11.4x/9.9x/8.5x for FY14-16E respectively. EPS of the company for the earnings for FY14-15E is seen at Rs. 4.3/5.3/6.2 respectively. Net Sales of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 15%over FY14-16E. We expect that the company surplus scenario is likely to continue for the next three years, will keep its growth story in the coming quarters also. We maintain Buy in this particular scrip with a target price of Rs 65 for medium to long term investment. Financials Rs, Crore 3QFY14 2QFY14 (QoQ)-% 3QFY13 (YoY)-% Revenue 159.5 123.1 29.6 123.1 29.5 EBITDA 30.0 21.0 43.0 20.0 49.9 PAT 16.2 13.9 16.2 10.8 49.1 EBITDA Margin 18.8% 17.1% 170 bps 16.3% 250 bps PAT Margin 10.2% 11.1% (90) bps 8.8% 140 bps (Consolidated) (Source: Company/Eastwind) 6 Narnolia Securities Ltd,
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
Stock Performance-%
Absolute Rel. to Nifty 1M -3 1 1yr 56 57 YTD 57 51
1 yr Forward P/B
VResult update
CMP Target Price Previous Target Price Upside Change from Previous
"Accumulate"
4th Feb' 14
Market Data
BSE Code NSE Symbol 52wk Range H/L Mkt Capital (Rs Crores) Average Daily Volume Nifty 500407 SWARAJENG 382/535 742 601 6,002
Swaraj Engines posted a moderate revenue growth of 20.8% to Rs. 150.2 crore during Q3FY14 over corresponding period of previous year due to 21.2% growth yoy reported in diesel engines sales volume. Company sold 18,530 diesel engines during the quarter as compared to 15,288 engines sold during corresponding period of previous year. EBITDA of the company marginally outpaced by the revenue due to unexpected rise in non operating expenses and stands at Rs. 21.8 crore up by 18.6% yoy. Though company managed to control material cost, which constitutes ~90% of the total expenses; however, employee cost and administration expenses reported the growth of 22.1% and 23.9% respectively during the quarter. As a result, EBITDA and PBT margin reported a marginal deterioration of 24bps and 5bps during Q3FY14 yoy respectively. PAT reflected in-line numbers and reported the yoy growth of 21.4% to Rs. 16.7 crore before extra ordiniary item of Rs. 1.15 crore; while PAT margin improved by 5bps. Leading supplier to Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd : Leading supplier to Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd A key source to growth: SEL enjoys the access to the Indias largest tractor manufacturer M&M (41% market share in Domestic tractor industry), which has a holding of 33% in SEL. Swaraj Engines Ltd manufactures tractor engines solely for the Swaraj Division of M&M. It caters to ~80% demand of Swaraj division of M&M and rest 20% of demand is met through Kirloskar Oil Engines, which has a holding of 17% in SEL. The demand from M&M is estimated to grow further and reach ~8590%. Outlook : We have modeled a 25% of revenue growth for FY15 yoy respectively, due to SWEs ability to maintain growth in product volume and recent enhancement in annual production capacity from 75,000 units to 105,000 units. Company currently operates at TTM EBITDA and net margin of 14.8% and 11.3% respectively, which provides sufficient cushion against operating cost. With liquidity being moderate and cash flow positive, company has enough cash to finance its expansion plan of Rs. 38 crore through internal accruals. Valuations : At the CMP of INR610, the stock discounts its FY14E EPS of INR53.20 by 10.8x and FY15E EPS of INR61.2 by 9.8x. Given the strong revenue growth at a CAGR of 21%; PAT growth at CAGR of 26% post acquisition and stable margins at ~15%, the company is poised to grow further and capable of ustaining its healthy earnings. Furthermore, despite the capex of INR58crore, the company has strong cash flows and the company is debt free. Also, Company assurance of 30-60% dividend payout ratio implies an attractive dividend yield of 4-9%. So taking all this into consideration share looks reasonable at Rs. 610 as long term fundamental continue to remains intact and one can expect growth of about maybe 10-13% in next eight-twelve months time. We upgrade our rating on stock from "Hold" to "accumulate", with a revised price target to Rs 648.
Stock Performance-%
Absolute Rel. to Nifty 1M (6.6) (2.3) 1yr 24.3 24.7 YTD 51.4 45.3
1 yr Forward P/B
2009A
2010A
2011A
2012A
2013A
2014E
2015E
97 1 214
123 1 95
152 1 290
186 1 429
194 1 395
236 1 598
287 1 598
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
(Figures In crore)
VResult update
CMP Target Price Previous Target Price Upside Change from Previous
"Buy"
4th Feb' 14
Market Data
BSE Code NSE Symbol 52wk Range H/L Mkt Capital (Rs Crores) Average Daily Volume Nifty 532924 KOLTEPATIL 49/115 558 239,587 6,002
The company posted de-growth in its revenue and net profit during the third quarter compared to same period last year. KPD's net revenue for Q3FY14 dipped to Rs 188 crore against Rs 225 crore in Q3FY13. The company's net profit also decreased to Rs 20.40 crore in Q3FY14 against Rs 30.52 crore in Q3FY13. However, the company's net revenues for first nine months for FY14 grew by 15 per cent to Rs 593 crore against Rs 518 crore in 9MFY13. Interestingly the company's EBITDA soared up by 45 per cent to Rs 181 crore in 9MFY14 on yearly basis. This has improved its EBITDA margins by 630 basis points on yearly basis. The PAT stood at Rs 79 crore in 9MFY14 against the PAT during same period in last financial year. Based on revised volume guidence by management in range of 1.8-2.0mnsft, we cut our FY14/FY15 earnings by 5%/8% while maintaining BUY with a revised TP of Rs 100 (Rs 120 earlier) New sales booking recorded in Q3FY14 is 0.44 msf of which about 93% is residential and 7% commercial projects. The sales value was worth Rs 253 crore. The Average price realization (APR) for the quarter stood at Rs 5730/sft with average price for residential project stood at Rs 5421/sft and that for commercial project at Rs 9932/sft. The ongoing projects as end of Dec 2013 have a saleable area is 14.1 msf (KPDL's share is 9.3 msf) and of which the company already sold about 7.8 msf with a sale value of Rs 3157.7 crore. Cumulative collection as end of Dec 2013 in case of ongoing projects is about Rs 2442.7 crore and the collection in Q3FY14 stood at Rs 230 crore. In January 2014 launched 0.2 msf (of total saleable area of 0.9 msf) of Jazz Phase I at Aundh. Jan 2, 2014 the company obtained final approval and started pre launch activity and made 34 units as far as 0.6 msf Mirabilis, Horamavu, Bengaluru project. Gross debt excluding compulsory convertible debentures (CCD) is Rs 205 crore and the net debt is Rs 127 crore. In Q3FY14 recorded its first sale in Mumbai of 2,200 sft. at an APR of Rs 34375/sft. Management Guidence Management is hopeful of achiveing a topline target of Rs. 800-900 crore for FY14E and new area sales booking of 1.8 - 2 msf for FY2014 with average price realization of Rs 5300/sft. Valuations At the CMP of Rs.91, the stock P/E ratio is at 4.6x FY14E and 3.8x FY15E respectively. EPS of the company for the earnings for FY14E and FY15E is seen at Rs. 19.6 and Rs.23.8 respectively. Net Sales and PAT of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 68% and 69% over FY13-15E respectively. On the basis of Intrest coverage ratio, the stock trades at 7.5x for FY14E and 9.1x for FY15E. Price to Book Value of the stock is expected to be at 0.7x and 0.8x respectively for FY14E and FY15E at current price . We expect that the company surplus scenario is likely to continue for the next three years, will keep its growth story in the coming quarters also. We maintain Buy in this particular scrip with a target price of Rs 120 for medium to long term investment.
Stock Performance-%
Absolute Rel. to Nifty 1M (18.8) (14.5) 1yr (36.6) (36.3) YTD (16.3) (22.4)
1 yr Forward P/B
Financials Revenue EBITDA PAT EBITDA Margin PAT Margin 3QFY14 188.1 57.3 20.4 30.4% 15.8% 2QFY14 188.6 60.3 32.2 32.0% 18.3% (Var)-% -0.3% -5.0% -36.7% (160) bps (250) bps 3QFY13 225.4 62.9 30.6 27.9% 16.6%
Rs, Crore (YoY)-% -16.5% -9.0% -33.2% 252 bps (80) bps 10
2009A
2010A
2011A
2012A
2013A
2014E
2015E
717 819 944 173 250 250 891 1069 1194 8 8 8 89 74 74 (Source: Company/Eastwind)
(Figures in crore)
11
"Buy"
4th Feb' 14
Buy
73 95 120 30% -21%
Market Data
BSE Code NSE Symbol 52wk Range H/L Mkt Capital (Rs Crores) Average Daily Volume (Nos.) Nifty 522287 KALPATPOWR 64/105 1201 48500 6002
Kalpataru Power Transmission reported a 18% growth in standalone net sales to Rs 1051.34 crore. The growth was driven by Transmission business, which constitute about 96% of total sales and was up by 25% YoY to Rs 1007.22 crore. Infrastructure segment comprising of Railways and Pipeline execution reported a 61% fall in net sales to Rs 28.05 crore largely due to lower execution and excessive rainfall in Eastern region of the country. Other segment comprising of Biogas reported a 6% growth in net sales to Rs 16.07 crore. OPM was down by 110 bps to 8.9%. While there was a better execution of Transmission sector business including higher execution of export orders having better margins, continued losses in Infrastructure segment resulted in fall in OPM. The PBIT of Transmission business stood at Rs 89.51 crore with PBIT margin of about 9%, where as Infrastructure business reported loss of about Rs 15.23 crore as compared to profit of Rs 5 lakh for Dec'12 quarter. The Other segment PBIT was down by 11% to Rs 1.80 crore. Thus overall OP was up by 6% to Rs 94.04 crore. JMC Projects EBITDA margins improve to 5.1%, PAT up 75.6% yoy to Rs.31.4mn: Standalone PAT grew by 75.1% yoy to Rs.58.3mn upon 8.8% yoy growth in income from operations to Rs.6651mn, better than our PAT and revenue estimates of Rs.32.1 and Rs.6426mn. Robust execution of better margin factories and buildings orders and cost optimization measures,led 40 bps yoy increase in EBITDA margins to5.1%, Standalone Performance for nine months ended Dec 2013 Kalpataru Power Transmission reported a 26% growth in standalone net sales to Rs 2903.14 crore for the nine months ended Dec'13 period. The growth was driven by Transmission business, which constitute about 94% of total sales and was up by 33% YoY to Rs 2720.41 crore. Infrastructure segment comprising of Railways and Pipeline execution reported a 36% fall in net sales to Rs 138.48 crore largely due to lower execution and excessive rainfall in Eastern region of the country. Other segment comprising of Biogas reported a 13% growth in net sales to Rs 44.25 crore. OPM was down by 30 bps to 9.5%. While there was a better execution of Transmission sector business including higher execution of export orders having better margins, continued losses in Infrastructure segment resulted in fall in OPM The PBIT of Transmission business stood at Rs 259.25 crore with PBIT margin of about 9.5%, improvement of 60 bps YoY, where as Infrastructure business reported loss of about Rs 36.48 crore as compared to profit of Rs 5.45 crore for nine months ended Dec'12 period. The Other segment PBIT was stood at Rs 3.49 crore as compared to Rs 0.47 crore for nine months ended Dec'12 period. Thus overall OP was up by 23% to Rs 277.15 crore. Other income was up by 10% to Rs 37.80 crore. Interest was up by about 24% to Rs 114.26 crore and depreciation was up by 35% to Rs 51.33 crore, after which the PBT was up by 16% to Rs 149.36 crore. After providing total tax of Rs 50 crore, up by 25% YoY, standalone PAT for nine Financials Rs, Crore 3QFY14 2QFY14 (QoQ)-% 3QFY13 (YoY)-% Revenue 1051.3 962.2 9.3 889.7 18.2 EBITDA 94.0 91.1 3.2 88.6 6.2 PAT 33.7 31.0 8.7 35.1 -4.1 EBITDA Margin 8.9% 9.5% (60) bps 10.0% 110 bps PAT Margin 3.2% 3.2% 0 bps 3.9% (70) bps (Standalone) (Source: Company/Eastwind) 12 Narnolia Securities Ltd,
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
Stock Performance-%
Absolute Rel. to Nifty 1M -18 (13) 1yr -25 (24) YTD -11 (17)
1 yr Forward P/B
Outlook:
At CMP of Rs.75.6, KPTL tradesat 7.6x FY14 EPS and 5.5x FY15 EPS. To factor in robust revenue growth, we revise revenue estimates for FY14/FY15 by 5.1%/1.0% respectively. On account of continued losses and low margin orders in the infrastructure segment we revise standalone EBIDTA margins as well to 9.7% for FY14 and 10.0% for FY15. Hence, we maintain "Buy"rating with target price at Rs.95/share.
13
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
Revenue (Q-o-Q) :
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
Margin % (Q-o-Q) :
INR in crores
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
Cost % of revenue :
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
14
Performance Revenue Other Income Total Income EBITDA EBIT DEPRICIATION INTREST COST PBT TAX Reported PAT Dividend EPS DPS Yeild % EBITDA % NPM % Earning Yeild % Dividend Yeild % ROE % ROCE% Position Net Worth Total Debt Ammount in crores Capital Employed No of Share INR in crores CMP Valuation Book Value P/B Int/Coverage P/E
(Source: Eastwind Research)
6085 36 6121 475 352 122 194 194 60 135 27 8.8 1.7
7210 30 7240 584 445 139 263 212 65 147 27 9.6 1.7
8166 30 8196 692 525 167 263 293 90 203 27 13.2 1.7
1947 2068 2244 1669 2500 2500 (Source: Company/Eastwind) 3616 4568 4744 15 15 15 Company/Eastwind) 83 (Source: 73 73
(Figures in crore)
15
"BUY"
4th Feb' 14
For 3QFY14, Godrej CP revealed inline set of numbers with 17% sales growth led by 18% domestic and 25% international sales growth, reported growth across all geographies and segments, respectively. PAT grew by 14% on YoY basis. Its strong focus on driving growth in the domestic and international market by expansion of products and distribution reach, we expect strong earning in near future. With launching new products in domestic as well as international mkt, Godrej CP will explore organic & inorganic growth. Along with its 3x3 strategy, it has 10x10 strategy also, which refers to 10x growth in 10 yrs. Margin decline: The Company has been able to maintain its margin more than 15% mark. EBITDA margin declined 110bps (YoY) to 15.7%, due to rise in A&P cost by 80 bps to 11.5%. However, there was decline in RM cost by 500 bps to 38.8% of adjusted net sales. On Category wise: During the Quarter, Household insecticides grew by +8%, adversely impacted by abnormal seasonal slowdown. Both the key brands Hit and Good knight continue to gain share and strengthen market leadership positions across all formats. Soap sales growth was +6%, volume growth at +4%, ahead of the category growth, but down in value and volume term. Strong momentum in hair colours was maintained, delivering sales growth at +37%. Liquid detergents grew 36%. Geography wise performance: For 3QFY14, Business from India grew by 18% and contributed 53% of total revenue, Indonesia grew by +18% and contributed 17% of total revenue, Africa grew by 29% and contributed 15% of total revenue, Latin America grew by 15% and contributed 8% of total revenue and Europes business continued strong sales performance on both organic and Soft & Gentle (S&G) product portfolio. Business reported growth of 124%. Products strategy: The company continues to gain and enjoy market leader ship position across all three formats. The company is driving increase in penetration with launch of "Goodknight Advanced colour play". Recent developments: The Company has entered into an agreement on Oct 7, 2013, to acquire a 30% stake in Bhabani Blunt Hair Dressing Pvt Ltd, a premier hair salon company with one of the strongest consumer franchises in this space. View and Valuations: Its strong 20%+ growth in the domestic household insecticides business is the key growth driver. We expect strong momentum to continue in its international business led by Megasari and consolidation of Darling business. Despite some concerns related to higher leverage, lost domestic focus, macro uncertainties in Africa and LatAM, and currency risk, we remain confident of achieving the 20%+ sales growth with strong PAT growth for FY14E & beyond. At a CMP of Rs722, stock trades at 5.1x FY15E P/BV. We retain BUY with a price target of Rs 960. Financials Revenue EBITDA PAT EBITDA Margin PAT Margin 3QFY14 1982.3 311.1 196 15.7% 9.9% 2QFY14 1961.7 299.8 195 15.3% 9.9% (QoQ)-% 1.1% 3.8% 0.5% 210bps 220bps 3QFY13 1695.6 284.9 172.2 16.8% 10.2% Rs, Cr (YoY)-% 16.9% 9.2% 13.8% (30bps) (10bps)
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Share Holding Pattern-% Current 2QFY14 1QFY14 Promoters 63.3 63.3 63.3 FII 28.9 28.7 28.3 DII 1.4 1.2 1.2 Others 6.5 6.8 7.2 1 yr Forward P/B
India branded business grows 17%, ahead of the market growth across core categories.
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
Margin-%
It expects expansion in gross margin, which will help it to fund new product launches.
4QFY13 1QFY14 2QFY14 3QFY142 16.7% 15.8% 18.9% 18.5% 19% 15% 17% 16.0% 7% 13% 14% 18.0% 9% 3% 7% 9.0% 13% 9% 10% 6.0% (Source: Company/Eastwind)
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
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(Source: Company/Eastwind)
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
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Risk Disclosure & Disclaimer: This report/message is for the personal information of
the authorized recipient and does not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation advice to you. Narnolia Securities Ltd. (Hereinafter referred as NSL) is not soliciting any action based upon it. This report/message is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and should not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person in any from. The report/message is based upon publicly available information, findings of our research wing East wind & information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and we do not provide any express or implied warranty of any kind, and also these are subject to change without notice. The recipients of this report should rely on their own investigations, should use their own judgment for taking any investment decisions keeping in mind that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance & that the the value of any investment or income are subject to market and other risks. Further it will be safe to assume that NSL and /or its Group or associate Companies, their Directors, affiliates and/or employees may have interests/ positions, financial or otherwise, individually or otherwise in the recommended/mentioned securities/mutual funds/ model funds and other investment products which may be added or disposed including & other mentioned in this report/message.