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P2 Sine Rule
sin λ sin 36.87o 9. On average, the number of cars stopping over at a petrol
λ VP=65 = M1 station is one car per minute. Find, correct to three decimal
15 65 places, the probability (i) that exactly three cars stop at the
VP2Q λ=7.96 o
petrol station in a period of one minute, [2] (ii) that more than
µ Ship P has to steered in the two cars stop over at the petrol station in a period of five
direction S 7. 96o E. A1 minutes. [4].
β=36.87 µ= 180o –36.87o –7.96o= 135.17o X = number of cars stopping over at a petrol station is one
VQ=15
minute
Q Sine Rule e− µ µ x −1
(1) x
X ~ Po(1) and P(X = x) = x! =e x! , x= 0,1,2, …..
65 VP 2 Q
= M1 e−1 (1)3 B1
sin135.170 sin 36.870 (i) P(X = 3) = 3!
B1
VP2Q =76.38 kmh−1 A1 = 0.06131 , 0.0613
Dist an ce y 5.608km Y = number of cars stopping over at a petrol station is 5
Time = = = 0.0734 hour = 4 minutes minutes
Speed VP 2Q 76.38kmh −1 M1
e− µ µ y e −5 (5) y
Y ~ Po(5) and P(Y = y) = y! = y! , y= 0,1,2, …..
A1
The time is at 0904 hours (i) P(Y > 2) = 1–P(Y < 2) B1
= 1 – [P(Y =0)+P(Y =1)+P(Y =2)] M1
e −5 (5)0 e−5 (5)1 e −5 (5)2 (5)0 (5)1 (5)2
= 1–[ 0! + 1! + 2! ] = 1–e–5[ 0! + 1! + 2! ]
7. A discrete random variable X has the following probability M1
= 1–[0.00674+0.03369+0.08422]
distribution. A1
= 0.8753 , 0.8754 , 0.875
x 5 6 7 8
2 2
P(X = x) 2c c c + 2c c2
where c is a constant to be determined.Find the exact value of 10. A survey shows that 60% of the housewives have seen the
E(|X–7|) [5] advertisement of a new product in television. The probability
Sum of all probabilities = 1 that the housewife who has seen the advertisement buys the
2c2 + c + c2 + 2c + c2 = 1 M1 new product is 0.9, while the probability that the housewife
4c2 + 3c – 1 = 0 who has not seen the advertisement buys the new product is
(4c –1)(c +1) = 0 ⇒ ∴ c = 1 , c>0 4
M1 A1 0.3. (i) Find the probability that a housewife buys the
new product. [2] (ii) Find the probability that a
x 5 6 7 8 housewife who buys the new product has seen the
1 1 9 1
P(X = x) 8 4 16 16 advertisement. [2] (iii) Using an appropriate
approximation, find the probability that less than 10 out of 50
housewives who buys the new product, have not seen the
E(|X–7|) = ∑ [ x − 7 P( X = x )] advertisement. [6]
M1
=|5–7| 81 +|6–7| 14 +|7–7| 16
9 +|8–7| 1
16 A = housewife has seen the advertisement
= 9 or 0.5625 A1 B= housewife buys the new product
16
P(B|A)=0.9 B P(A∩B)=0.54
A
P(A)=0.6 P(B’|A)=0.1 B’ P(A∩B’)=0.06
8. Continuous random variable X has the following cumulative
0, x < 0,
5
distribution function. F(x) = 4 x − 2 x , 0 ≤ x < 1, .
1 2
1 − b , x ≥ 1. B P(A’∩B)=0.12
x P(A’)=0.4 P(B|A’)=0.3
A’
1 5
(i) Find the value of b.[2] (ii) Hence , find P( < X < )[3]. P(B’|A’)=0.7 B’ P(A’∩B’)=0.28
2 4
954/2 Oct 2009 4 Confidential
(i) P(B) = P(A ∩ B ) + P(A’ ∩ B ) D1 ( whiskers seen on graph paper)
= (0.6 × 0.9) + (0.4 × 0.3) M1 D1 ( all correct with outlier)
=0.66 , 50 33 A1
Mean = np = 50× 2 = 100 (>5) 12. A company sells two types of flour, brand A and brand B, in a
11 11 B1(both mean 10 kg bag. The mass of brand A flour in each bag is normally
Variance = npq = 50× 2
11
× 11
9 = 900
121
& variance) distributed with mean of 10.05 kg and a standard deviation of
Suitable approximation : X~N ( 100 , 900 ) B1 0.2 kg, whereas the mass of brand B flour in each bag is
11 121
normally distributed with mean of 10.05 kg and a standard
X − 100 X − 100
Z= 11
900
= 30
11 deviation of 0.05 kg. (i) Find the probability that a bag brand
121 11
A flour and a bag brand B flour selected at random both are
P(X<10) = P(X<9.5) M1 more than 10 kg. [6]
X − 100 9.5− 100 M1 (ii) If J represents the total mass of two bags of brand A flour
=P( 11 < 11 )
30
11
30
11
and six bags of brand B flour, find the mean and variance of J.
=P (Z<0.15) A1 (for0.15) Hence, find the probability that the total mass of the eight bags
=0.5596 , 0.560 A1 of flour is less than 80 kg. [8]
(i) A~N(10.05, 0.22) B~N(10.05, 0.052)
11. The number of ships which anchor at a port every week for 26 P(A>10) == P ( A−10.05
0.2
> 10−0.2
10.05 ) M1
paricular weeks are as follows. A1
=P (Z> –0.25) = 0.5987
32 28 43 21 35 19 25 45 35 32 18 26 30 10.05 > 10−10.05 )
P(B>10) == P ( B−0.05
26 26 38 42 18 37 49 63 23 40 20 29 46 0.05 M1
(i) Display the data in a stemplot. [2] =P (Z> –1) = 0.8413 A1
(ii) Find the median and interquartile range. [4] P(both more than 10kg)= P(A>10) ×P(B>10)
(iii) Draw a boxplot to represent the data. [3] = 0.5987 ×0.8413 = 0.5037 M1 A1
(iv) State the shape of the frequency distribution. Give a (ii) Let J = A1 + A2 + B1 + B2 + B3 + B4 + B5 + B6 .
reason for your answer. [2]
(i) The number of ships that anchor at a port E(J) = E(A1 + A2 + B1 + B2 + B3 + B4 + B5 + B6)
1 8 8 9 Mean of J = 2 (10.05) + 6 ( 10.05) = 80.4 M1 A1
2 0 1 3 5 6 6 6 8 9 B1
3 0 2 2 5 5 7 8 Var(J) = Var (A1 + A2 + B1 + B2 + B3 + B4 + B5 + B6)
4 0 2 3 5 6 9 Variance of J = 2(0.2)2 + 6 (0.05)2 = 0.095 M1 A1
5
6 3 J ~N(80.4, 0.095) B1
Key : 1|8 means 18 ships B1 and Z= J −80.4
0.095
(ii) Median : r= 12 (26)=13 P(J < 80 ) = P ( J −80.4 < 80−80.4 )
0.095 0.095
M1
y13 + y14 30 + 32
Median = 2
= 2
= 31 B1 = P ( Z < –1.2978) or P ( Z < –1.298) A1
r= 1 (26)=6.5 Q1 =y7= 25 B1 = P ( Z > 1.2978) or P ( Z > 1.298)
4
3
(both = 0.09718 , 0.09714 , 0.0972 , 0.0971 A1
r= 4
(26)=19.5 Q3 =y20= 40 Q)
Interquartile Range = Q3 – Q1 = 40 – 25 M1
= 15 A1 13.
(iii) 1.5(Q3 – Q1)= 22.5
Q1–22.5 = 25–22.5 = 2.5
14.
Q3+22.5 = 40+22.5 = 62.5
Any value ∉(2.5,62.5) is an outlier
63 is an outlier
On graph paper,
D1
o
18 25 31 40 49 63 D1