Documente Academic
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Kuala Lumpur Singapore
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3 4 5
CEMENT INDUSTRY
Design Capacity Production Capacity Domestic Growth Domestic Utilization Supply Domestic Export Import : : : :
SMGR 1
1
6
7
2014F 1)
74.0 mio tons 66.6 mio tons 9.0% 99%
2012
60.2 mio tons 54.2 mio tons 14.5% 98%
2013F 1)
65.6 mio tons 60.7 mio tons 10.0% 100%
DOMESTIC CAPACITY (2013) 1. SEMEN INDONESIA - Semen Padang : - Semen Gresik : - Semen Tonasa : 2. Semen Andalas 2) 3. Semen Baturaja 4. Indocement TP 5. Holcim Indonesia 6. Semen Bosowa 7. Semen Kupang TOTAL
Together We Build a Better Future
1) Based on the Companys forecast 2) Imported cement by PT Semen Andalas (1.0 mio ton) and clinker by Bosawa and Kupang 3) Imported cement & clinker
27.7 mn ton 6.4 mn ton 14.0 mn ton 7.3 mn ton 1.6 mn ton 1.3 mn ton 20.5 mn ton 10.4 mn ton 3.6 mn ton 0.5 mn ton 2 65.6 mn ton
100.000
80.000
60.000
40.000
ton(000) 2012 Installed Capacity Real Production Consumption Surplus/deficit Domestic Utilization Export Domestic Consumption Growth 60,270 54,243 54,964 (721) 100% 200 14.5% 2013F 66,420 61,106 60,460 646 99% 200 10% 2014F 69,520 63,958 65,902 (1,943) 100% 200 9% 2015F 79,020 72,698 71,833 865 99% 200 9% 2016F 93,070 79,110 78,298 812 100% 200 9% 2017F 108,570 98,073 85,345 12,728 87% 200 9%
3.8
5 6 7
0 0 0
Semen Panasia
TOTAL
Central Java
2.0
40.3
2.0
12.1
240
4,470
Greenfield (Banyumas)
kg
1.800 1.600 1.400 1.200 1.000 800 600 400 200 0
223
a ng Si
m na et Vi
do In
p ili Ph
a in Ch
nd la ai Th
a di In
a si ay al
a si ne
s ne pi
po re
60.0
Domestic consumption (LHS)
50.0
14.5%
30.0
31.5
32.1
Growth :
5.4% Growth :
6.3%
Growth : 6.1% 6.6%
10.0
4.4%
5.8% 4.7%
1.1%
4.2%
9.7%
1.8%
4.2%
1.8%
2.5%
6.0%
6.6%
19.4%
0.0 2002
1.1%
2003
2004
2005
2006
20 15 10
6.5
8.8 3.0 3.5 3.8 5.0 6.0 5.1 6.0 5.9 6.2 6.6 4.7
5
1.0 1.9
2.3
0
1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 5M2013
Bagged Cement
Source: Indonesia Cement Association and the Companys data
Bulk Cement
Together We Build a Better Future
Bulk 20%
Ready-mix (infrastructure): 60% Fabricator (pre-cast, fiber cement, cement based industry): 35% Projects (mortar, render): 5%
Bag
80%
MARKET UPDATE
SMGR Corporate Presentation June 2013
MARKET BY GEOGRAPHY
Cement Distribution (5M 2013) Population Distribution (2012)
Papua Bali & N T Kalimantan Sulawesi
2
SP
3 6
7.9% 7.1%
5.9
2.4%
5.8% 8.4%
5.5%
1.5%
1
SG
ST
Sumatera
21.5%
Java
SMGR
39.1 45.5 64.1 51.0 41.9 53.6
INTP
40.5
SMCB
18.4
KPG
-
2. SUMATERA
3. SULAWESI 4. KALIMANTAN 5. NUSA TENGGR. 6. EASTERN IND.
13.0
14.8 28.6 31.8 24.3
13.8
0.9 11.3 3.7 0.8
3.0
20.0 9.0 16.5 21.1
16.0
-
9.0
-
6.0
TOTAL INDONESIA
43.7
30.9
14.3
5.3
3.4
1.9
0.3
10
10,017,522
5,190,159
8,512,926
4,259,574 2,582,087 1,671,265
17.7
21.8 8.3 21.5
West Java Central Java Yogyakarta East Java Total Java Sumatera Kalimantan Sulawesi Nusa Tenggara Maluku & Papua TOTAL INDONESIA
2,796,549
2,030,813
368,214
2,869,734 12,664,688 4,932,070 1,803,045 1,622,599 1,355,331 556,752 22,934,485 85,240 21,467 106,707 23,041,192
310,430
2,647,113 11,542,291 4,896,337 1,678,952 1,617,705 1,154,576 512,975 21,402,837 43,508 100,416 143,924 21,546,761
18.6
8.4 9.7 0.7 7.4 0.3 17.4 8.5 7.2 95.9 (78.6) (25.9) 6.9
89,907
10,107,429
29,246
8,542,172
207.4
18.3
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COMPANY PROFILE
SMGR Corporate Presentation June 2013
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Government of Republic of Indonesia: 73% Public: 27% : Acquisition of PT Semen Padang (Persero) and PT Semen Tonasa (Persero) : Cemex became a strategic partner, Market Cap.: IDR4.9tn : Blue Valley Holdings bought Cemexs 24.9% stake in SMGR, Market Cap.: IDR21.5tn : In March 31, Blue Valley Holdings sold all of its stake ownership in SMGR, Market Cap per April 30, 2010: IDR72.1tn : Total installed capacity of 20.00mm tons, Market Cap per June 29, 2012: IDR67.0tn : Acquisition of Thang Long Cement Vietnam, Total installed capacity of 2.3mm tons, Market Cap Dec 19th, 2012: IDR91.9tn
19 57 19 70 19 80 19 8 19 4 8 19 5 86 19 90 19 9 19 5 9 19 7 98 20 0 20 6 0 20 7 0 20 8 0 20 9 1 20 0 1 20 1 12
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Public
PT Semen Gresik
PT Semen Padang
PT Semen Tonasa
% Ownership 12.00%
General trading, cement packaging 85.00% General trading, cement packaging 80.00% Cement Packaging 10.00%
Name Activities % Ownership Name Activities % Ownership 1. UTSG Limestone & Clay Mining 55.00% 1. UTSG Limestone & Clay Mining 55.00% 2. IKSG Packaging Paper 60.00% 2. IKSG Cement Packaging 60.00% 3. KIG Industrial Estate 65.00% 3. KIG Industrial Estate 65.00% 4. Swadaya Graha Conyractor & Machine Fabricator 25.00% 4. Swadaya Gra Steel fabrication, contractor 25.00% 5. Varia Usaha Transport and general trading 24.90% 5. Varia Usaha Transport and general trading 24.90% 6. Eternit Gresik Building materials 17.60% 6. Eternit Gresik Building materials 17.60% 7. SGG Energy Prima Coal Mining and Trading 97.00% 7. SGG Prima Coal Trading Coal 99.99% 8. SGG Prima Beton Ready Mix Concrete 99.99% 8. SGG Prima Beton Ready Mix Concrete 99.99%
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SMGRs PRODUCTION FACILITIES ARE WELL SUPPORTED BY STRATEGICALLY LOCATED MARKETING AND DISTRIBUTION FACILITIES
Aceh
Kuala Lumpur
Belawan
Singapore
Teluk Bayur
Kalimantan
Sulawesi
Maluku
Ambon
Sumatera
Banjarmasin
Biringkasi
Papua
Jakarta
Tuban
Gresik
Pelabuhan Tuban
Makassar
Java
Central Java Tegal Purwokerto Kudus Magelang Solo/Palur Alas Tuwo Mojopahit Sayung
Surabaya
Bali
Lombok
Pelabuhan Gresik
DI Yogyakarta Lempuyangan East Java Janti Margomulyo Tanjung Wangi Bangkalan Swabina
Total production 2012: 22.8 mn tons and targetted 2013 domestic: 26.0 mn tons and TLCC: 2.0 mn tons Operate 8 special sea ports: Padang, Tuban, Gresik, Biringkassi, Dumai, Ciwandan, Banyuwangi and Sorong 20 large packing plants: Aceh, Belawan, Padang, Dumai, Batam, Ciwandan (2 Units), Tanjung Priok, Tuban,
Gresik, Banyuwangi, Banjarmasin, Samarinda, Celukan Bawang, Tonasa, Makassar, Palu, Bitung, Ambon and Sorong Supported by warehouses in all areas of Java, Bali, Sumatra, Kalimantan, Sulawesi and Papua Nationwide distribution networks
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FINANCIAL UPDATE
SMGR Corporate Presentation June 2013
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4,773
4,970
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
FY08
31.7
FY09
33.2
FY10
34.6
FY11
33.0
FY12
35.0
3,326
3,633
2010
2011
2012
FY08
20.7
FY09
23.1
FY10
25.3
FY11
24.0
FY12
24.7
17
1Q 2012
4.284 2,362 1,922 669
1Q 2013
5,584 3,058 2,484 879
Change (%)
29.4
Ratio (%)
Ebitda margin Interest coverage (x) Cost ratio Total debt to equity *) Total debt to asset *)
Formula
Ebitda / Revenue Ebitda / Interest expense [COGS + Opex] / Revenue Total debt / Total equity Total debt / Total asset
1Q 2012
32.9 258.3 70,7 48.5 29,7
1Q 2013
33.6 24.7 71,2 44.0 31.7
Cost of Revenue
Gross Profit Operating Expenses
29.5
29.3 31.6
Operating Income
EBITDA Net Income EPS (Rp)
1,254
1,410 1,011 170
1,605
1,862 1,236 208
28.0
32.0 22.3 22.3
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3,850
3,846 5,283 3,905 3,682 3317
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Debt/EBITDA
2,00x
Return on Assets
0.56x 0,35x 0,06x 2008 0,04x 2009 0,14x 2010 2011 2012
24.0%
25.8%
23.5%
20.1%
18.2%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
The projected adjusted debt/EBITDA of 2.0x and operating margin below 20-%23% to maintain rating level from Moodys Investors Service. Together We Build a Better Future
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1829,5 1816,7
1962,7
2181,3
REGULAR DIVIDENDS Key determinants of dividend policy: Historical dividend payout trends Comparison with peers Projected cash-flows available for dividends (after taking into account potential expansionary capex etc) Analyst and investor expectations Shareholder profile
1000,0
500,0 0,0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
50%
50%
55%
50%
50%
45%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Together We Build a Better Future
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STRATEGIC PROJECTS
SMGR Corporate Presentation June 2013
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SMGR
6 CRITICAL
ELEMENTS
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Capacity Investment (mn tons) (US$ mn) 3.0 3.0 6.0 352 403 755
Construction
Tuban
Preheater Tuban IV
Tubans view
Tonasa
Pyroprocessing Tonasa V
Tonasa
These strategic projects will ensure sustainability of the Companys market leadership
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Installed Capacity
39,3 25,3
17,1 30 40,8
31,8
33,3
18
19
19
20,2
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F
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- etc.
3
2
SMGR's existing plant locations Packing plants Warehouses Sea port TLCC Existing plants TLCC Expansion projects
Together We Build a Better Future
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1991
1995
Post-Acquisition
2003-5
Independent Company
2011
Business Expansion
SG
GO PUBLIC
1 IPO (SG became the first state-owned Enterprise to go public on IDX). Operating Company 2 The process of consolidation of SP, SG and ST through the acquisition method. 3 Implementation of Synergy & Practice GCG program consistently. 4 Business Expansion
Operating Holding
Functional Holding
Strategic Holding
1. Creates Strategic Holding, to Enhance Competitiveness and to Increase Bargaining Power 2. Separates and Optimize the Role or Function of Holding and Operating Co. 3. Tax Considerations, in order to implement the Best Form of Holding 4. Support the Future Company Vision 5. Faces Challenging Environment and Business Competition 6. Optimize Performance through increased Consolidation and Synergy
Together We Build a Better Future
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SMGRs COMPARATIVE & COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE DRIVES SMGR TO BE THE MARKET LEADER IN INDONESIA
Outstanding business performance
Leading cement player in Indonesia with over 43.% market share based on sales volume for 4M-2013 and approximately 41% share of total installed cement capacity (Source: Indonesia Cement Association (ASI)) Strategically plants location is close to key markets throughout the country As of Dec 2012, acquired Thang Long Cement Company, Vietnam by 70% share with installed capacity 2.3 mio tons per annum Substantial growth opportunities through expansion and optimization Superior distribution network and strong brands recognition Long-term access to raw materials for cement production and coal for fuel consumption Concerns on environmental and Corporate Social Responsibility programs to ensure sustainable growth.
Strengths of SMGR
Outstanding performance
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THANK YOU
IMPORTANT NOTICE THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE OR FORM PART OF, AND IS NOT MADE IN CONNECTION WITH, ANY OFFER FOR SALE OR SUBSCRIPTION OF OR SOLICITATION, RECOMMENDATION OR INVITATION OF ANY OFFER TO BUY OR SUBSCRIBE FOR ANY SECURITIES NOR SHALL IT OR ANY PART OF IT FORM THE BASIS OF OR BE RELIED ON IN CONNECTION WITH ANY CONTRACT, COMMITMENT OR INVESTMENT DECISION WHATSOEVER. THE SLIDES USED IN THIS PRESENTATION ARE STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL AND HAVE BEEN PREPARED AS A SUPPORT FOR ORAL DISCUSSIONS ONLY. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION IS BEING PRESENTED TO YOU SOLELY FOR YOUR INFORMATION AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED TO ANY OTHER PERSON, IN WHOLE OR IN PART. This presentation includes forward-looking statements, which are based on current expectations and forecast about future events. Such statements involve known / unknown risks uncertainties and other factors, which could cause actual results to differ materially from historical results or those anticipated. Such factors include, among others: economic, social and political conditions in Indonesia, and the impact such conditions have on construction and infrastructure spending in Indonesia; the effects of competition; the effects of changes in laws, regulations, taxation or accounting standards or practices; acquisitions, divestitures and various business opportunities that we may pursue; changes or volatility in inflation, interest rates and foreign exchange rates; accidents, natural disasters or outbreaks of infectious diseases, such as avian influenza, in our markets; labor unrest or other similar situations; and the outcome of pending or threatened litigation. DISCLAIMER The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk and/or its affiliated companies and/or their respective employees and/or agents make any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liability as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any other such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue thereof. We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied) of PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, its affiliated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever arising (including, without limitation for any claim, proceedings, action, suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a result of acting in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, its affiliated companies or their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any errors, omission or mis-statements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or omission therefrom which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed.
Main Office: Semen Gresik Tower Jln. Veteran Gresik 61122 Indonesia Phone: (62-31) 3981731 -2, 3981745 Fax: (62-31) 3983209, 3972264
Jakarta Office: The East Building, 18th Floor, Jln. DR. Ide Anak Agung Gde Agung Kav. E3.2 No.1, Mega Kuningan, Jakarta 12950 Indonesia Phone : (62-21) 5261174 5 Fax : (62-21) 5261176
www.semenindonesia.com
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