Roanoke/Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena College Study March 2014 Q1.

Is the United States on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction? NY Residents 37% 52% 10% NY Reg Voters 36% 54% 10% VA Residents 32% 58% 10% VA Reg Voters 32% 59% 9% NJ Residents 32% 56% 13% NJ Reg Voters 32% 56% 12%

Right track Wrong direction Don't know/Refused

Q2. Is [New York State, Virginia, New Jersey] on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction? NY Residents 46% 45% 9% NY Reg Voters 44% 47% 9% VA Residents 46% 39% 15% VA Reg Voters 47% 40% 13% NJ Residents 41% 44% 15% NJ Reg Voters 41% 43% 16%

Right track Wrong direction Don't know/Refused

I'm going to read a series of names of people in public life and I'd like you to tell me whether you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of each person I name. [Q3A-Q3G ROTATED] Q3A. Barack Obama NY Residents 57% 40% 3% NY Reg Voters 56% 41% 3% VA Residents 45% 49% 5% VA Reg Voters 45% 50% 5% NJ Residents 53% 36% 10% NJ Reg Voters 50% 40% 10%

Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/Refused Q3B. Chris Christie

Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/Refused Q3C. Andrew Cuomo

NY Residents 42% 45% 13%

NY Reg Voters 42% 46% 12%

VA Residents 38% 37% 25%

VA Reg Voters 40% 38% 23%

NJ Residents 46% 41% 12%

NJ Reg Voters 48% 40% 12%

Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/Refused

NY Residents 59% 32% 9%

NY Reg Voters 59% 34% 7%

VA Residents 26% 31% 43%

VA Reg Voters 27% 33% 40%

NJ Residents 45% 18% 37%

NJ Reg Voters 47% 19% 34%

NY Residents MOE +/-3.4% NY Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% VA Residents MOE +/-3.4%

VA Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% NJ Residents MOE +/-3.6% NJ Reg Voters MOE +/-3.8%

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Roanoke/Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena College Study March 2014 Q3D. Hillary Clinton NY Residents 65% 30% 4% NY Reg Voters 64% 32% 4% VA Residents 56% 38% 5% VA Reg Voters 56% 40% 4% NJ Residents 62% 27% 10% NJ Reg Voters 59% 32% 9%

Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/Refused Q3E. Terry McAuliffe

Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/Refused Q3F. Rand Paul

NY Residents 16% 18% 66%

NY Reg Voters 16% 18% 66%

VA Residents 45% 33% 23%

VA Reg Voters 47% 33% 20%

NJ Residents 12% 12% 77%

NJ Reg Voters 13% 14% 74%

Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/Refused Q3G. Paul Ryan

NY Residents 21% 39% 40%

NY Reg Voters 22% 41% 37%

VA Residents 32% 36% 32%

VA Reg Voters 34% 37% 29%

NJ Residents 24% 29% 46%

NJ Reg Voters 26% 34% 40%

Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/Refused

NY Residents 26% 39% 35%

NY Reg Voters 27% 41% 32%

VA Residents 40% 32% 28%

VA Reg Voters 43% 33% 25%

NJ Residents 27% 26% 47%

NJ Reg Voters 29% 29% 42%

In answering the following questions, imagine that you are a United States Senator and today you must cast a vote either in favor of or opposed to each of the following hypothetically proposed laws, policies or amendments. [Q4A-Q4L ROTATED] Q4A. Legalizing same-sex marriage in all 50 states NY Residents 65% 31% 3% NY Reg Voters 65% 32% 3% VA Residents 54% 40% 7% VA Reg Voters 53% 40% 7% NJ Residents 65% 27% 7% NJ Reg Voters 64% 28% 7%

In favor Opposed Don't know/Refused

NY Residents MOE +/-3.4% NY Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% VA Residents MOE +/-3.4%

VA Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% NJ Residents MOE +/-3.6% NJ Reg Voters MOE +/-3.8%

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Roanoke/Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena College Study March 2014 Q4B. Using nationally standardized tests to assess the quality of public schools NY Residents 53% 42% 5% NY Reg Voters 51% 44% 5% VA Residents 48% 46% 7% VA Reg Voters 46% 48% 7% NJ Residents 57% 36% 8% NJ Reg Voters 53% 39% 8%

In favor Opposed Don't know/Refused Q4C. Establishing a national gun registry

In favor Opposed Don't know/Refused

NY Residents 67% 29% 4%

NY Reg Voters 68% 29% 3%

VA Residents 64% 34% 3%

VA Reg Voters 63% 34% 3%

NJ Residents 72% 24% 4%

NJ Reg Voters 74% 22% 3%

Q4D. Making abortion illegal 20 weeks after conception NY Residents 46% 48% 6% NY Reg Voters 45% 49% 6% VA Residents 42% 48% 10% VA Reg Voters 41% 49% 10% NJ Residents 43% 48% 8% NJ Reg Voters 43% 48% 8%

In favor Opposed Don't know/Refused

Q4E. Using federal funds to make free Pre-Kindergarten education available to all children NY Residents 82% 17% 2% NY Reg Voters 80% 18% 2% VA Residents 68% 29% 4% VA Reg Voters 67% 29% 4% NJ Residents 77% 20% 2% NJ Reg Voters 73% 24% 3%

In favor Opposed Don't know/Refused

Q4F. Approving the Keystone Pipeline to bring oil from Canada to the U.S. NY Residents 64% 28% 8% NY Reg Voters 63% 29% 8% VA Residents 67% 23% 11% VA Reg Voters 67% 23% 10% NJ Residents 64% 21% 15% NJ Reg Voters 65% 20% 15%

In favor Opposed Don't know/Refused

NY Residents MOE +/-3.4% NY Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% VA Residents MOE +/-3.4%

VA Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% NJ Residents MOE +/-3.6% NJ Reg Voters MOE +/-3.8%

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Roanoke/Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena College Study March 2014 Q4G. Raising the national minimum wage to $10.10 per hour NY Residents 78% 21% 1% NY Reg Voters 77% 22% 1% VA Residents 66% 31% 4% VA Reg Voters 65% 32% 4% NJ Residents 72% 25% 2% NJ Reg Voters 69% 28% 3%

In favor Opposed Don't know/Refused

Q4H. Legalizing the use of marijuana in all 50 states for medical purposes NY Residents 73% 25% 2% NY Reg Voters 73% 26% 2% VA Residents 69% 27% 4% VA Reg Voters 69% 28% 4% NJ Residents 71% 23% 5% NJ Reg Voters 74% 21% 5%

In favor Opposed Don't know/Refused

Q4I. Repealing the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare NY Residents 46% 50% 4% NY Reg Voters 44% 51% 4% VA Residents 53% 40% 7% VA Reg Voters 55% 40% 6% NJ Residents 50% 43% 7% NJ Reg Voters 51% 43% 7%

In favor Opposed Don't know/Refused

Q4J. Approving a path to citizenship for people who are in the US. illegally, but who are working, have no criminal record, and pay taxes NY Residents 77% 21% 2% NY Reg Voters 76% 22% 2% VA Residents 65% 31% 4% VA Reg Voters 66% 31% 4% NJ Residents 71% 25% 4% NJ Reg Voters 69% 26% 4%

In favor Opposed Don't know/Refused

Q4K. Reinstituting unemployment benefits beyond the initial 26 weeks of coverage NY Residents 64% 33% 2% NY Reg Voters 64% 34% 2% VA Residents 48% 45% 7% VA Reg Voters 48% 46% 6% NJ Residents 59% 34% 7% NJ Reg Voters 59% 34% 7%

In favor Opposed Don't know/Refused

NY Residents MOE +/-3.4% NY Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% VA Residents MOE +/-3.4%

VA Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% NJ Residents MOE +/-3.6% NJ Reg Voters MOE +/-3.8%

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Roanoke/Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena College Study March 2014 Q4L. Allowing the National Security Agency, or NSA, to tap domestic phone lines in the interest of national security NY Residents 38% 59% 4% NY Reg Voters 38% 57% 4% VA Residents 29% 64% 8% VA Reg Voters 29% 64% 6% NJ Residents 38% 55% 8% NJ Reg Voters 37% 55% 8%

In favor Opposed Don't know/Refused

Q7. Now, on a few other issues... Who is the one eligible person that you would most like to see as the next President of the United States? [CHOICES NOT READ] NY Residents 1% 0% 8% 39% 1% 3% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 8% 30% NY Reg Voters 1% 1% 8% 39% 1% 3% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 7% 29% VA Residents 1% 1% 7% 28% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 3% 3% 1% 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 8% 38% VA Reg Voters 2% 1% 7% 29% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 3% 3% 1% 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 9% 36% NJ Residents 1% 1% 15% 35% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 3% 1% 0% 8% 26% NJ Reg Voters 1% 1% 16% 35% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 8% 24%

Joe Biden Jeb Bush Chris Christie Hillary Clinton Ted Cruz Andrew Cuomo Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal Sarah Palin Rand Paul Mitt Romney Marco Rubio Paul Ryan Mark Warner Donald Trump Elizabeth Warren Rudy Giuliani Condoleezza Rice Scott Walker Ron Paul Barack Obama Cory Booker Tim Kaine Other Don't know/Refused

NY Residents MOE +/-3.4% NY Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% VA Residents MOE +/-3.4%

VA Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% NJ Residents MOE +/-3.6% NJ Reg Voters MOE +/-3.8%

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Roanoke/Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena College Study March 2014 Q8. Do you think that politicians here in [New York, Virginia, New Jersey] are more corrupt than those in other states, less corrupt, or is there really no difference? NY Residents 17% 8% 73% 3% NY Reg Voters 17% 8% 73% 2% VA Residents 6% 21% 71% 3% VA Reg Voters 6% 21% 70% 3% NJ Residents 22% 5% 67% 6% NJ Reg Voters 24% 5% 66% 6%

More corrupt Less corrupt No difference Don't know/Refused

Q9. Do you think that the major storms that have hit the East Coast over the last two years are isolated weather events, or do you think that they are a result of global climate change? NY Residents 29% 66% 5% NY Reg Voters 29% 66% 5% VA Residents 42% 50% 8% VA Reg Voters 44% 48% 8% NJ Residents 30% 61% 9% NJ Reg Voters 33% 57% 10%

Isolated weather events Global climate change Don't know/Refused

Q10. Do you think the long-term solution to America's economic difficulties is more likely to be found: [CHOICES ROTATED] NY Residents In governmental programs that stimulate the economy and may involve increasing the national debt In governmental policies designed to curtail spending, balance the federal budget and lessen the national debt Don't know/Refused 35% NY Reg Voters 35% VA Residents 34% VA Reg Voters 33% NJ Residents NJ Reg Voters

55% 11%

55% 10%

56% 11%

57% 10%

Q11. Do you think that stricter gun control laws would make you personally more safe, less safe, or would they make no difference? NY Residents 45% 12% 43% 1% NY Reg Voters 44% 12% 44% 1% VA Residents 35% 16% 47% 2% VA Reg Voters 36% 17% 46% 2% NJ Residents 44% 13% 40% 2% NJ Reg Voters 44% 13% 41% 2%

More safe Less safe No difference Don't know/Refused

NY Residents MOE +/-3.4% NY Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% VA Residents MOE +/-3.4%

VA Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% NJ Residents MOE +/-3.6% NJ Reg Voters MOE +/-3.8%

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Roanoke/Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena College Study March 2014 Q12A. Which of the following do you think is MOST responsible for mass shootings like those in Newtown, Connecticut and Virginia Tech? [CHOICES ROTATED] NY Residents 15% 11% 17% 36% 18% 3% NY Reg Voters 15% 12% 17% 37% 17% 4% VA Residents 10% 7% 15% 44% 21% 4% VA Reg Voters 10% 7% 15% 45% 21% 3% NJ Residents 16% 11% 12% 36% 20% 5% NJ Reg Voters 15% 10% 12% 37% 21% 5%

Weak gun laws Poor enforcement of gun laws Violent media such as movies and video games Poor policies to deal with mental illness We simply cannot stop those who want to kill others Don't know/Refused

Q12B. Of the remaining, which do you think is MOST responsible for mass shootings like those in Newtown, Connecticut and Virginia Tech? [CHOICES ROTATED] NY Residents 18% 18% 16% 22% 20% 7% NY Reg Voters 18% 17% 15% 23% 21% 7% VA Residents 12% 17% 16% 24% 23% 8% VA Reg Voters 12% 16% 16% 26% 24% 7% NJ Residents NJ Reg Voters

Weak gun laws Poor enforcement of gun laws Violent media such as movies and video games Poor policies to deal with mental illness We simply cannot stop those who want to kill others Don't know/Refused

Q13. If you could live in one of the following three states, which state would you most like to live in? [CHOICES ROTATED] NY Residents 5% 69% 26% 1% NY Reg Voters 4% 69% 26% 1% VA Residents 4% 7% 88% 1% VA Reg Voters 3% 6% 90% 1% NJ Residents 57% 15% 25% 4% NJ Reg Voters 58% 13% 25% 4%

New Jersey New York Virginia Don't know/Refused

Q14. Forced to choose, which of the following do you think is the greater problem facing America today? [CHOICES ROTATED] NY Residents 54% 43% 3% NY Reg Voters 54% 42% 3% VA Residents 45% 52% 4% VA Reg Voters 44% 53% 3% NJ Residents 48% 48% 5% NJ Reg Voters 46% 50% 4%

Income inequality Too much government Don't know/Refused

NY Residents MOE +/-3.4% NY Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% VA Residents MOE +/-3.4%

VA Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% NJ Residents MOE +/-3.6% NJ Reg Voters MOE +/-3.8%

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Roanoke/Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena College Study March 2014 Q15. Which of the following two statements more closely matches your thinking about the economy? [CHOICES ROTATED] NY Residents The current economic problems our country faces are temporary. I believe the country's economy is strong and we will as a people make adjustments to return us to financial health. Unfortunately, I think our country's best economic days are behind us. I'm afraid the next generation will have to accept a lower standard of living. Don't know/Refused NY Reg Voters VA Residents VA Reg Voters NJ Residents NJ Reg Voters

51%

52%

50%

51%

46% 3%

45% 3%

44% 5%

44% 6%

(If registered to vote) The 2016 presidential election is far away, but if the election for president were today: [Q16-Q18 ROTATED] Q16. (If registered to vote) Who would you vote for if the candidates were: [CHOICES ROTATED] NY Residents Hillary Clinton on the Democratic line Chris Christie on the Republican line Don't know/Refused NY Reg Voters 64% 28% 8% VA Residents VA Reg Voters 48% 40% 13% NJ Residents NJ Reg Voters 51% 41% 9%

Q17. (If registered to vote) Who would you vote for if the candidates were: [CHOICES ROTATED] NY Residents Hillary Clinton on the Democratic line Rand Paul on the Republican line Don't know/Refused NY Reg Voters 67% 24% 9% VA Residents VA Reg Voters 52% 38% 9% NJ Residents NJ Reg Voters 58% 29% 13%

Q18. (If registered to vote) Who would you vote for if the candidates were: [CHOICES ROTATED] NY Residents Hillary Clinton on the Democratic line Paul Ryan on the Republican line Don't know/Refused NY Reg Voters 64% 27% 8% VA Residents VA Reg Voters 51% 40% 9% NJ Residents NJ Reg Voters 58% 33% 9%

NY Residents MOE +/-3.4% NY Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% VA Residents MOE +/-3.4%

VA Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% NJ Residents MOE +/-3.6% NJ Reg Voters MOE +/-3.8%

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Roanoke/Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena College Study March 2014

Nature of the Samples New York Virginia Residents Reg Voters Residents Reg Voters N=814 N=720 N=821 N=707 Gender Male Female Age 18 to 34 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and older Political View Liberal Moderate Conservative Education Less than college degree College degree or higher Religion Catholic Jewish Protestant Other Party (NY: Registration; VA & NJ: Identification) Democrat Republican Independent/Other Children in Household Yes No Race/Ethnicity White African American/Black Latino Other Guns in Home Yes No Income Less than $50,000 $50,000 to $100,000 $100,000 or more 48% 52% 30% 26% 24% 17% 29% 43% 24% 55% 44% 34% 7% 26% 30% 48% 23% 26% 37% 62% 59% 14% 16% 9% 15% 80% 36% 27% 25% 47% 53% 25% 27% 26% 18% 28% 44% 24% 53% 48% 34% 7% 27% 29% 48% 23% 26% 36% 63% 60% 14% 15% 7% 15% 79% 33% 29% 26% 49% 51% 30% 27% 28% 16% 23% 44% 33% 54% 36% 16% 1% 56% 28% 30% 23% 47% 41% 59% 68% 18% 7% 7% 46% 54% 38% 31% 32% 51% 49% 25% 28% 30% 17% 21% 45% 34% 51% 49% 16% 1% 56% 27% 29% 24% 47% 38% 62% 71% 17% 5% 6% 49% 51% 35% 31% 34%

New Jersey Residents Reg Voters N=842 N=729 49% 51% 28% 25% 28% 19% 29% 50% 22% 47% 53% 40% 6% 17% 36% 36% 20% 44% 38% 62% 61% 13% 16% 11% 13% 87% 32% 32% 36% 47% 53% 19% 25% 33% 23% 27% 48% 24% 45% 55% 42% 7% 21% 31% 36% 23% 41% 34% 66% 70% 12% 11% 7% 15% 85% 27% 34% 39%

NY Residents MOE +/-3.4% NY Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% VA Residents MOE +/-3.4%

VA Reg Voters MOE +/-3.7% NJ Residents MOE +/-3.6% NJ Reg Voters MOE +/-3.8%

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