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CONFIDENTIAL* 2

1. A discrete random variable X has a probability distribution as shown in the table

below.

X= x 0 m 2 3

P(X = x) 0.1 2n 0.3 0.2

(a) Find the value of n.

[1 mark]
(b) Given that E ( X ) = 1.6 , find the value of m.
[1 mark]
(c) Given that =
Y X 1 + X 2 where X 1 and X 2 are independent random variables of X,
find E (Y ) .
[2 marks]

2. The mean height of 100 students selected randomly in a college was found to be
150 cm with a standard deviation of 5 cm.
(a) Estimate the mean and standard deviation of the mean height of all the students in
the college.
[3 marks]
(b) Estimate the standard error of the mean height of the students.
[2 marks]

3. The demand for tiger prawns in Malaysia depends on the price.

Price per kg (RM) 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20

Sales ( ‘000kg ) 10 12 15 19 27 37 44 59

Calculate the Pearson’s correlation coefficient. [5 marks]

4. The number of laptop computers that are sold in a week by 16 representatives in a

town is as follows:
6 10 9 59 22 14 25 26 11 27 50 27 37 38 19 38
(a) Draw a stemplot to represent the above data.
[3 marks]
(b) Hence, find the median and the semi-inter quartile range of this distribution.
[4 marks]
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CONFIDENTIAL* 3

5. The following table shows the number of digital camera sold in a departmental
store for the year 2007 and 2008.

2007 2008
Type of digital camera
Price(RM) Quantity Price(RM) Quantity
A 350 53 450 81
B 500 36 550 75
C 800 35 900 42
D 1200 60 1500 50

By using 2007 as the base year,

(a) calculate the average of relative quantity index of digital cameras A, B, C and
D for the year 2008.
[3 marks]
(b) calculate the Paasche price index for the year 2008 and explain your answer.
[3 marks]

6. Events A and B are such that

1 3 1
P ( A) = , P ( B | A) = , P ( A' B) =
3 4 4
Find
(a) P ( A  B ) ,
(b) P ( B ) ,
Determine whether events A and B are independent. Give reasons for your answer.
[7 marks]

7. The relationship between two variables x and y are found to be as the following:

x 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
y 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 3.0 3.5 3.6 3.4

(a) Plot the scatter diagram for the above data and state the relationship between
x and y.
[3 marks]
(b) Find the equation of the regression line of y on x in the form of y = a + bx,
where a and b are expressed correct to two decimal places. Draw the graph of the
regression line on your scatter diagram.
[7 marks]
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CONFIDENTIAL* 4

8. The following table shows the activities for a project and their preceding activities and
duration.

Activity Preceding Activities Duration (days)

A - 3
B - 3
C - 7
D A 1
E D,J 2
F B 2
G C 1
H E,F,G 1
J B 1

(a) Draw an activity network for the project showing the earliest start time and the
latest start time for each activity.
[6 marks]
(b) State the critical path and the minimum completion time.
[2 mark]

9. The table below shows the duration in minutes of 160 telephone calls made in one
month by a trading company.
Duration (minutes) Frequency
0.0 – 2.9 12
3.0 – 5.9 33
6.0 – 8.9 45
9.0-11.9 38
12.0-14.9 19
15.0-17.9 7
18.0-20.9 6

(a) Calculate the mean call duration by the trading company.

[2 marks]
(b) Plot the cumulative frequency curve for the grouped data above.
Hence, estimate the median for the durations of the telephone calls.
[4 marks]
(c) Describe the skewness of the distribution.
[2 marks]
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CONFIDENTIAL* 5

10. The following table shows the quarterly profits (RM’000) of a company.

Quarter
Year
1 2 3 4
2003 26 44 100 46
2004 32 56 120 50
2005 34 58 122 52

(a) Calculate the centred four-quarter moving averages for the above data.
[4 marks]
(b) Calculate the quarterly seasonal variation index using the multiplicative model.
[4 marks]
(c) Predict the amount of profit for the first quarter of the year 2006.
[4 marks]

11. A bakery shop bakes two types of breads, A and B, which are made of three types of
ingredients: P, Q and R. One loaf of type A bread needs 3 units of ingredient P,
1 unit of ingredient Q and 3 units of ingredient R. One loaf of type B bread needs
4 units of ingredient P, 2 units of ingredient Q and 8 units of ingredient R. The bakery
has 480 units of ingredient P, 180 units of ingredient Q and 640 units of ingredient R.
The profit for Type A bread is RM2.00 per loaf, whereas the profit of type B bread is
RM3.00 per loaf.

(a) Formulate the linear programming problem to obtain maximum profit.

[4 marks]
(b) Using the graphical method, determine the number of loaves of each type of bread
that must be baked to obtain the maximum profit and find this maximum
profit.
[9 marks]

12. The mass of a type of pill produced by a pharmacy store has a normal distribution
with mean µ g and standard deviation 0.2 g
(a) Given µ = 7 g, find the probability that the mean mass of a random sample of 16
pills exceed 7.05g.
[4 marks]
(b) If the mean mass of the random sample of the 16 pills is 7.2 g, find a 96%
confidence interval for the population mean, µ. State with reason whether the
manager’s claim that µ = 8 g is true or false.
[6 marks]
(c) Determine the minimum sample size needed so that the difference between sample
mean and true mean µ is less than 0.1 g at a 90% confidence interval.
[5 marks]
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CONFIDENTIAL* 1

Mark Scheme
1. (a) 0.1 + 2n +0.3+0.2 = 1
n = 0.2 B1

(b) 0(0.1) + m(0.4) + 2(0.3) + 3(0.2) = 1.6

m=1 B1

(c) E(X 1 ) = E(X 2 ) = 1.6

E (Y ) E ( X 1 ) + E ( X 2 )
= M1
= 1.6 + 1.6
= 3.2 A1

2. (a) Estimate of population mean = sample mean

= 150 cm B1
Estimate of population standard deviation
ns 2
=
n −1
100 ( 5 )
2 M1
=
99 A1
= 5.025 or 5.03

(b) Estimate of the standard error of the mean

s2
=
n
( 5)
2

= M1
100
= 0.5 A1
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CONFIDENTIAL* 2

∑ x∑ y
3. =
S xy ∑ xy − n
(188)( 223)
= 4952 −
8
= −288.5
B1 - Any three of the summation correct
( ∑ x)
2

=
S xx ∑x 2
−
n
M1 – method to calculate any of the Sxy, Sxx, Syy

(188)
2
A1 – All the values correct
= 4460 −
8
= 42
(∑ y)
2

=
S yy ∑y 2
−
n
( 223)
2

= 8345 −
8
= 2128.875

S xy
∴Coefficient of correlation, r =
S xx S yy
−288.5
=
( 42 )( 2128.875) M1
= −0.9648 A1
or

∑ x 188
= = , ∑ y 223
= , ∑ xy 4952
= , ∑ x 2 4460
= , ∑ y 2 8345 B1-Any three correct

n∑ xy − ∑ x ∑ y
r= M1 – calculating any of the Sxy, Sxx, Syy
[n∑ x 2 − (∑ x) 2 ][n∑ y 2 − (∑ y ) 2 ] A1 – all values correct

8(4952) − 188(223) M1
= − (his value)
336 × 17031
A1
= − 0.9648
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CONFIDENTIAL* 3

4(a)

0 6 9
1 0 1 4 9 M1 – uniform scale, Key
2 2 5 6 7 7
3 7 8 8 A1 – all correct entries
4
5 0 9 B1 – Stem for 4
Key: 2|5 = 25

(b) Median = 25.5 B1

Q 1 = 12.5 , Q 3 = 37.5 (both) B1

1
Semi-inter quartile range = (37.5 - 12.5) M1
2
= 12.5 A1

5(a)
Type of digital Sales Quantity qn
camera 2007 (q o ) 2008 (q n ) I q = q × 100
o
A 53 81 152.83
B 36 75 208.33
C 35 42 120.00
D 60 50 83.33

B1 – correct values for Iq

Average Relative Quantity Index =

∑I q

n
152.83 + 208.33 + 120.00 + 83.33
= M1 (his value)
4

= 141.13 A1

(b) Paasche price

= index
∑p q
2006 2006
×100
∑p 2005 q2006

450 ( 81) + 550 ( 75 ) + 900 ( 42 ) + 1500 ( 50 ) M1 (strict)

= ×100
350 ( 81) + 500 ( 75 ) + 800 ( 42 ) + 1200 ( 50 )
= 119.473 A1
The price of the items have increased by 19.47% B1
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CONFIDENTIAL* 4

3
6 (a) P ( B | A) =
4
P ( B  A) 3 M1
=
P ( A) 4
3
P ( B  A )= × P ( A)
4
3 1 M1
P ( A  B )= ×
4 3
1 A1
=
4
1
(b) P ( A' B) =
4
1
P ( B) − P ( A B) =
4
1 1 M1
P ( B) − =
4 4
1
P ( B) = A1
2
Since P ( A  B ) ≠ P ( A ) P ( B ) or P ( B | A ) ≠ P ( B ) thus A and B are not B1 – deduction
independent. B1 - reason
7(a) Uniform scale and at least 5 correct points D1
All correct D1
Positive linear relationship B1
(b) y= a + bx
= ∑ x 148 = , ∑ y 23= .6 , ∑ xy 444=
.4 , ∑ x 2 2780 B1
1
∑ xy − x y
b= n
1
n
∑ x2 − x 2
1 148 23.6 
( 444.4 ) −    
8  8  8  M1 – usage for the formula (his value)
= 2
1  148 
( 2780 ) −  
8  8 
= 0.186 A1
a= y − bx
23.6  148 
= − 0.186  
8  8  B1 √ (his value of b)
= −0.486
The equation of the regression line: y =
−0.486 + 0.186 x A1
( x , y ) = (18.5, 2.95) D1
Straight line passing through his ( x , y ) D1
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CONFIDENTIAL* 5

8(a)
2 D 5
3 5 4
1 6
A E
3 J 2
1 3 1 6
B F H 7
0 0 3 3 5 8
2 8 1 9 9
C
G
7 4 1
7 7

D1 – correct sequence and flow of the network diagram

D1 – correct activities and duration
B1 – correct values of EST
B1 – correct values of EFT
B1– correct values of LST
B1– correct values of LFT

(b) B1 - Critical Path : C-G-H (strict)

B1 - Minimum completion Time = 9 days

1384
9)(a) Mean = M1
160
= 8.65 A1
(b)
Less than Cumulative Frequency
2.95 12
5.95 45
8.95 90
11.95 128
14.95 147
17.95 154
20.95 160
B1- correct boundaries and cumulative frequencies
Graph
D1 – uniform scale and correct points (his values)
D1 – all correct
B1 - median = 8.4 ± 0.2
(c) X = 8.65,median = 8.0
The distribution is skewed to the right or positively skewed B1
because median < mean B1
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CONFIDENTIAL* 6

Cumulative Frequency

160 − X
X
X
140 −

X
120 −

100 −

X
80 −

60 −

X
40 −

20 −
X

0X ‫׀‬ ‫׀‬ ‫׀‬ ‫׀‬ ‫׀‬ ‫׀‬ ‫׀‬ Marks

3 6 9 12 15 18 21
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CONFIDENTIAL* 7

10 (a)
Original Data, Moving Trend, Y
Year Quarter
Y Average T T
1 26

2 44
54.0
2003
3 100 54.75 1.83
55.5
4 46 57.00 0.81
58.5
1 32 61.00 0.52
63.5
2 56 64.00 0.88
64.5
2004
3 120 64.75 1.85
65.0
4 50 65.25 0.77
65.5
1 34 65.75 0.52
66.0
2 58 66.25 0.88
2005 66.5
3 122

4 52
A1 A1
M1 M1

(b)
Quarter
Year
1 2 3 4
2003 1.83 0.81
2004 0.52 0.88 1.85 0.77
2005 0.52 0.88
Total 1.04 1.76 3.68 1.58
Average 0.52 0.88 1.84 0.79
Correction factor 0.9926 0.9926 0.9926 0.9926
Seasonal Variation 0.52 0.87 1.83 0.78
M1: Average B1: Correction factor
M1 adjusted seasonal variation
A1 all correct
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CONFIDENTIAL* 8

(c) Range of trend values = 66.25 – 54.75 = 11.5

11.5
Average change in each period =
7
11.5 M1 , A1
Thus, the projected trend value = 66.25 + 3( ) = 71.18
7
Forecast value for the first quarter of 2006
= 71.18 × 0.52
M1
= 37.01
Forecast profit for the first quarter of 2006 is RM 37 010 A1

11(a) x = number of loaf of type A bread.

y = number of loaf of type B bread
3x + 4y ≤ 480 B1
x + 2y ≤ 180 B1
3x + 8y ≤ 640 B1

x ≥ 0, y ≥ 0
Maximizing, P = 2x + 3y B1

(b) 5 lines (including axis and search line) 1 mark for every correct line D5
Correct region B1

Number of loaf of Type A bread = 120

Number of loaf of Type B bread = 30 B1 dependent on search line
Maximum profit
= 2 (120 ) + 3 ( 30 ) M1 (substitution)
= RM 330.00 A1
OR
All 4 extreme points (0,80) , (80,50) , (120,30) (160,0) M1
Substitute in obj. function M1
x = 120, y =30 (both) A1
RM 310.00 A1
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CONFIDENTIAL* 9

120 −

100 −

80 X
−

60 −

X 3x + 4y = 480
40 −

2x + 3y = 90 X

20 − 3x + 8y = 640

x + 2y = 180
0 ‫׀‬ ‫׀‬ ‫׀‬ ‫׀‬ ‫׀‬ ‫׀‬ ‫׀‬ X‫׀‬ ‫׀‬ x
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
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CONFIDENTIAL* 10

12. X ~ N(µ, 0.22)

(a) µ = 7 , n = 16
 0.22 
X ~ N  7,  B1
 16 
 
 
7.05 − 7 
P ( X > 7.05 ) = P  Z > B1 for X > 7.05
 0.22  M1
 
 16 
= P ( Z > 1)
= 0.1587 A1

(b) Z 0.02 = 2.054

B1
96% confidence interval for the population mean µ, is
 0.22 
=  7.2 ± 2.054  M1 for 7.2 ± K
 16 
  M1 for the correct term K
= ( 7.2 ± 0.1027 )
= ( 7.097 , 7.303) A1
At the level of confidence of 96%, the manager’s claim
that µ = 8 is false because the interval (7.097,7.303) B1 False, B1 Reason
does not contain 8 g

σ2
(c) Zα ≤ 0.1 M1 for ≤ 0.1
2
n
0.22
1.645 ≤ 0.1 M1 - substitution
n B1 z-value 1.645
2
 1.645 
 ( 0.2 ) M1
2
n≥
 0.1 
n ≥ 10.82
The minimum sample size is 11 A1